that is a confusing forcast

Latest 3-dimensional (perhaps more) forecast:

A surface trough enters SW Queensland middle levels next week

This is the latest offering for the Melbourne 7-day forecast, leaves it open for suggestions really doesn't it? I guess anyone's in with a shot really...


Sunday Fine day. Chance at night. Min 17 Max 31

Ha ha, that's good, but I'm not going there at all!

It would be a "fine day" anyday indeed, if we had a chance at night!..........
(of a stormy night, I mean.........of course!)

I wonder if there any forecasters in there that like Spoonerisms, such as Fawning Moggies, Soppy Cheese, Sleaze Site, Shattered Scours..

And heres one from WZ themselves this morning........ Storms will again be slow-moving so there is a chance of flash flooding, mainly on high ground. Large hail is a chance in Victoria where there is dry air in the middle atmosphere. Strong winds are a possibility in QLD strong upper level winds. ...... Flash flooding on high ground !!!!

there is nothing wrong with that statement

I can't see too much wrong with that apart from the missed 'due to' after QLD.

The flash flooding on high ground is a bit strange considering flooding normally happens in low lying areas doesn't it?

Thats right, it usually happens in LOW lying areas... If its happening on higher ground then we might consider building an "ark"....lol

No flash flooding can occur at any height, though the local topography plays a part in how severe or unsevere flash flooding could/can be. You generally don't get flash flooding on steeper hill slopes but in the valleys of these highlands often alot of runoff can be all focussed into a small valley causing flash flooding. Or even streams and small creeks running through or next to a farm on the small plateaux could be overwhelmed by the sudden increase in water and briefly break their banks, possibly damaging crops or other structures that are positioned nearby to the stream/creek.

Yes I know that, but flash flooding occurs more commonly in lower lying areas and when water flows from those higher areas.

We had flash flooding here in North Tamworth way up the hill a couple of years ago. Roads were ripped up, backyards swamped, fences knocked down by the water, even some damage to the railway line at the crossing.

Yep these things have happened.

The flooding would have more to do with localised flooding of roads etc due to the water not being able to get away, especially if the soil is already soaked from previous rainfalls.

From the BOM QLD extended outlook
"IDQ1070002
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
A new upper level trough will shift the thunderstorm activity a little east on
Saturday with increased precipitation on the central coast including the Wide
Bay and Burnett. Possible severe thunderstorm cells near the central coast,
showers and thunderstorms generally over eastern and northern QLD. Some thundery
rain overnight on the Capricornia and Burnett, Wide Bat districts. The upper
trough will move towards the coast and develop a weak surface low off the
southern tropical coast during Saturday. By Sunday, the upper level trough has
cleared the coast with reduced weather over QLD. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms over the north and the eastern half of the state. Showers
continuing over the SE coast. Dry over the west. By Monday, showers and
thunderstorms redeveloping over the west ahead of a new trough while decreasing
activity over the east. Little change over the tropics. By Tuesday, the western
trough progressing east with a band of showers and thunderstorms from the NW to
the Darling Downs. Isolated showers about the east coast. By Wednesday, the
trough stalls over the Darling Downs with thunderstorms from the Gulf to the
Downs, isolated showers about the east coast. "

Could have sworn it used to be wide bay? lol

I was never Wide Bay Stephen, it was always Wide Bat.

Oh there is 2 things funny about that.

1. Wide bat Obviously meant to be Wide bay

2. Capricornia and Burnett, didn't it used to be be Wide bay an Burnett lol not Capricornia and Burnett. Maybe some tectonic plates have been on a rapid move north, never know HEHE.

I find it funny how they say REDUCED weather. So we aren't expecting much weather after Saturday? I have never seen a day without weather. I know what they really mean but perhaps they should have worded it differently.

It's been a couple of weeks in between drinks however the Aviation department have pulled out a wee ripper this morning (Taken from the area 20 forecast) .....

15:45 UTC, 15/12/2007
AREA FORECAST 151700 TO 160500 AREA 20.

OVERVIEW:
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL HUNDERSTORMS SW OF YNBR/MVI