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#456808 - 23/09/2008 21:45 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
cyclonecece Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/01/2007
Posts: 7823
Loc: Brandon.. QLD..EX Karratha
Quote:
Originally posted by cycloncece:
First Darwin storm...30th september...Monsoon arrival...December 25.....First cyclone.. 10th January...First landfall..Mardie station
sorry coldfront,i did post late in this comp due to been away....but i got september..i sound like a kid who has won a lolly pop :cheers: :p if Darwins storm season has started

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#456809 - 23/09/2008 22:18 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24818
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Quote:
Originally posted by ColdFront:
No-one has picked September for the first Darwin storm. There is currently a nice squall line heading towards Darwin. Will it make it?
still heading towards darwin CF, 22km south of berrimah atm. i think darwins rain free dry season record is not going to get broken either.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#456810 - 23/09/2008 22:20 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8329
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
would it be too late to change my tip? laugh laugh

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#456811 - 23/09/2008 22:25 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24818
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
joys of being a mod, i can edit (how much ER?)
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#456812 - 24/09/2008 12:43 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14865
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
LOL...

Comp is well and truly safe for now...small chance it may go today...but last nights certainly didn't make the classification stakes.

TS cool

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#456813 - 24/09/2008 12:59 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Rainy Night Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2004
Posts: 4267
Loc: Jindalee, Brisbane
First Darwin Storm : 7th October
Monsoon Arrival: 21st December
First TC : 14th December NE Indian Ocean S of Java
First TC Landfall: 27th December - Qld coast between Cooktown and Port Douglas - cat 2

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#456814 - 24/09/2008 13:27 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4359
Loc: Brisbane
First Darwin Storm: 30th September
Monsoon Arrival: 12th December
First TC: 20th November, 800km West of Darwin, 973HPA
First TC Landfall: 29th December, near Mornington GOC, 980HPa
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

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#456815 - 29/09/2008 15:57 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5186
Loc: Diamond Valley
I have consulted the Delphic Oracle and tossed some grass clippings into the air, and have come up with the following dates:

first Darwin Storm: 19th October;
monsoon arrival: 20 December;
first TC: 24th December GoC; and
first landfall: 26th December CYP.
(I'm going for the trifecta for the last three wink )
_________________________
The original donut hole

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#456816 - 29/09/2008 16:57 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7775
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Better get in before the closing date:

First Darwin Storm: 12th October
Monsoon Arrival: 7th December
First TC: 11th December, Cocos island area
First TC Landfall: 26th January, Eighty Mile Beach area
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#456817 - 29/09/2008 17:00 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 17908
Loc: Wide Bay..Near the beach
Quote:
Originally posted by cycloncece:
Quote:
Originally posted by cycloncece:
[b] First Darwin storm...30th september...Monsoon arrival...December 25.....First cyclone.. 10th January...First landfall..Mardie station
sorry coldfront,i did post late in this comp due to been away....but i got september..i sound like a kid who has won a lolly pop :cheers: :p if Darwins storm season has started [/b]
It didn't happen anyway. But yeah ,my other half pointed out that you picked September. :cheers: Close, but no cigar.
_________________________
"Don't steal. The government hates competition."

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#456818 - 29/09/2008 17:43 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6765
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
I might have an another go at this before this is close.

If I get same of my post that I post before and get it not right before I am not that too worry there is all way next year.

Monsoon Arrival: 1st December

I reckon December we are more likely to see the First Tropical Cyclone develop over in the Queensland coral sea.

First cyclone: December 5th QLD coral sea

first cyclone landfall December 13rd Townsville
_________________________
Rs tl 2017/18 Wet Season.
Aug 8/16/2017 Oct 15th 109.22mm
> > 11/07/17 Nov 07 5:07 pm 5.08mm p 24 h 0.00mm h 0.00mm
T now 28.5C > Tm 31.3C minT 23.7C H 57% W 8.3kmG 8.3GW BAROMETRIC 756.9mmhg 05:57pm 11/17/17 > re update evening

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#456819 - 29/09/2008 17:55 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
DJC Offline
Member

Registered: 22/10/2007
Posts: 5905
Loc: Townsville, Condon. 621mm PMR,...
I may as well get involved as well.

First Darwin Storm: 10 October
Monsoon Arrival: 19 December
First TC: 17 December (in accordance to onset of Monsoon) east of Cocos Island, max intensity 965hPa.
First landfall: 1 January southern GOC (Mornington Island area) as a category 2, possibly 3 and moving south producing widespread floods which will flow into Murray/Darling Basin.

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#456820 - 01/10/2008 22:01 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Oh well, what the heck.........
1ST storm for Darwin..7th Oct
Dec 3rd for monsoon.. (early i kno)
Oct 25th for 1st cyclone...coral sea..955
1st landfall, .... Sth of weipa..7th Dec
Here's hoping for four out of four tips and a prize in excess of 5 million dollars.

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#456821 - 01/10/2008 22:42 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10200
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
1) First Darwin Storm: October 5th

2) Monsoon Arrival: December 20th

3) First TC: December 14th - 1000kms WNW of Port Headland - Lowest air pressure will be 974hPa

4) First TC Landfall: January 5th - Karratha - It will be a weak Category 2 cyclone
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
November 2017 Rainfall: 54.2mm (Nov Avg. 115.9mm) // November 2017 Raindays: 10 (Nov Avg. 11.7 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 1422.0mm (Yearly Avg. 1491.2mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 138 (Yearly Avg. 137.4 raindays)

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#456822 - 02/10/2008 09:28 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Willow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2006
Posts: 855
Loc: Whitsunday
Darwin Storm - October 11th
Monsoon - December 21st
First TC - December 24th, GOC.
First Landfall - December 26th, West coast of CYP.
_________________________
Home - Dingo Beach
Work - Hamilton Island
www.squidoo.com/lensmasters/whitwillow

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#456823 - 02/10/2008 09:38 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Max744 Online   happy
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1553
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Quote:
First landfall: 1 January southern GOC (Mornington Island area) as a category 2, possibly 3 and moving south producing widespread floods which will flow into Murray/Darling Basin.


We live in hope Dylan!!!!!!!

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#456824 - 02/10/2008 09:44 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
DJC Offline
Member

Registered: 22/10/2007
Posts: 5905
Loc: Townsville, Condon. 621mm PMR,...
Yeah Max, would love to see that happen not only for them but we also can get good coastal convergence zones if lows move south to the west of us.

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#456825 - 02/10/2008 11:07 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
davidg Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/06/2008
Posts: 2204
Loc: Glenbrook/Penrith
haha they should move melbourne and adelaide to darwin for the wet season, or build an enormous dam up there and pipe the water like they do for las vegas.

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#456826 - 02/10/2008 19:43 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Johnoo Offline
Member

Registered: 23/11/2006
Posts: 8610
Loc: From: Where it forgot to Rain....
We would take anything at the moment thats how bad things have gotten.

Good idea this competition.. Am enjoying in seeing the guesses will be good to see who gets it the closest smile

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#456827 - 03/10/2008 06:44 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2008/2009
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6765
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
Hi all,

I am just letting everyone know we only got the weekend to go before this close.

It is going to be very interesting to see who won the extra bonus points.
_________________________
Rs tl 2017/18 Wet Season.
Aug 8/16/2017 Oct 15th 109.22mm
> > 11/07/17 Nov 07 5:07 pm 5.08mm p 24 h 0.00mm h 0.00mm
T now 28.5C > Tm 31.3C minT 23.7C H 57% W 8.3kmG 8.3GW BAROMETRIC 756.9mmhg 05:57pm 11/17/17 > re update evening

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