Good Morning All 0.2mm of rain in the early hours of this morning with one clap of thunder. Now that was very nice as a miniscule appetiser, not that I'm ungrateful for any moisture or change nature may like to send, but really, I heard the rain and decided to go out and have a look. By the time time I got outside the rain had stopped and the groung, which is so warm, had dried. So that at the moment is the extent of our rain event. BOM must expect it to pass over pretty quickly as they forecast a fine day.
Gabby

Morning Gabby, looking at charts, i think it was most likely a flock of those n/w parrots with poor bladder control going home after being thrown out of the bar!!!!! FE

Gabby,
I heard the thunder thought i was dreaming,was a bit of water on roads comming to work this morning. Where did it come from .

Mike

Some places must have got more than others if the roads were still wet. Beats me where it came from! I checked the radar about 10.30 last night and all looked boringly normal. Just some blue spots either side of Hedland, but nothing much inland. Maybe FE has a point with the parrots. Shame it can't hang around and come back tonight. THE NT low has gone back over land and is heading SW, maybe some of the leftovers of that will come our way, but I imagine it will wear itself out pretty quickly after all this time. Any way the quicker it goes, the better. Things might get back to normal with a few lows forming in the Timor and coming our way, for some decent rain, etc.

hi gabby,

most have been talking that low across to queensland and cape york, gasp have got it going south in a couple of days to alice, i dunno, seems to be shaping up for it.
precipitable moisture levels are on the up and TTs are full on so atm your looking at thunderstorms throught the week with some pretty good dumps if your underneath them.
no cyclone or monsoon on the horizon yet, but if that low goes west things could get interesting.

TH

Hi Thundahunta My guess is that the low will keep rising in pressure, if it doesn't move off, turning into a depression. If it does start moving then the models seem to suggest a westward track with lowering of pressure, again. Until it is gone we can't get back to normal weather patterns. had a look at JTWC this morning. You would have thought it was the middle of winter not the wet season. Not one thing on the page in the Indian Ocean. Pacific Ocean seems to be the place at the moment, but even there its pretty quiet for our neck of the woods. Northern equator strange to say has two suspect areas- Northern hemisphere and right on the equator. I think that must be pretty unusual any time but in particular this time of the year and we can't blame the low for that. If EL Nino was a person you'd have to put it in front of a firing squad. Wouldn't you?
Gabby

Forgot to mention Hedland weather at the moment is very overcast (alto cumulus) Looks like rain could fall at any moment, but a little high I think. Present temperature about 34. Weather supposed to be warming up to 45 but the cloud cover is impeding the rate at which the temperature is climbing at the moment. ESE blowing, quite pleasant, not too windy. The sun is making an attempt to get through those clouds, but its just making things very glarey. The sky seems to be getting darker. Maybe we'll get some rain. That would be nice.
Gabby

hi there Gabby Des here from Broome and had a nice thunderstorm last night it was building all night and there was a lot of near misses, had about 12mms of rain. Pretty overcast here now , the sat pic last night was incredible with storm activity covering half the Kimberlie.The low is certainly running its course but which course??
It seems to be moving a little west now,hope ypou get some good rain down Hedland soon.

Hello Des. Nice to hear from you. Overcast conditions here have cleared now. The thunderstorm and rain you had last night would have been great. If we ever get any rain I'll post on here.
Gabby

If we get rain you will post it on here,,,,,you may never post again i think,,,,,cause rain will never happen , i have lost all hope.

Hi All, i see BoM don't hold any hope of rain for u tomorrow, but interesting the green band on WZ home page is creeping nearer to u, and the bar lines are stretching a bit - but i want to know what you both (Gabby & HM) would consider a reasonable rain before i make any more predictions? I've emptied "interesting" liquid out of rain guages over the years, & 0.2mm would'nt count, so whats your majic figure??
:cheers: FE

Good question. we would be glad to see 1.0 mm i would say, but anything between 5 and 10 would be a bonus at the moment, what do you thing Gabby

Between 5 and 10 sounds good to me and if there is something higher, just waiting for someone to predict it before it lets us have it, then feel free to go as high as you like. Within reason of course, FE. My prediction is for some actiion over the weekend???
Gabby

Broome had a great lightning show last night a lot of sheet lightning but only couple of mls of rain. Further inland they got a lot more, the low is moving towards the West but what it does next is anybodies guess .
Des

Frustrating isn't it? No weather development over here because of that low. There are probably other reasons why we are not getting the normal lows developing as well. It looks as though it may have affected your tropical nightly storms as well.

hang in there gabby, there's a moisture plume heading in fron the northeast and its got your name all over it, i hope you like it wet.
at this stage about mid next week things should start to get interesting. looks like the season's about to crack in the next day or so for broome. fingers crossed.

TH

Hi Gabby & Co, IMO u can get BBQ fired up for weekend without to any worries. Like your courage TH, what bar pressure range would u expect would be associated with the plume of moisture if rain was to result??

hi guys, any predictions for the low in S/E gulf area ?

The low in the gulf is a big tease. At this stage I wouldn't even like to hazard a guess. That moisture Plume TH? Would you be referring to that convectiion over Broome's way? I've been looking at that for a few days now. Don't know if the conditions are right for it to develop any further though. FE, barbie is all ready to go, I'm going to wash the car and hang all the bedding out. If that doesn't get it to rain, nothing will.
Gabby

Good evening Rupax & welcome to WZ. Sorry i cant help u up there, TH is a lot more experienced. I keep to WA areas, mainly becos i've physically experienced WA weather - & not being a scientific forecaster (but always trying to learn) i just watch charts & radar for your area - for me to say anything on your particular area would be a matter of a "little knowledge being dangerous". PaulM is another experienced WZ member who I enjoy reading posts from for that nth area. Goodluck
:cheers: FE