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#68363 - 22/05/2008 15:25 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
cyclonecece Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/01/2007
Posts: 7823
Loc: Brandon.. QLD..EX Karratha
yes could happen further south,just got this info from bom.. A wind gusts to 98 kilometres per hour
was recorded at Cape Leeuwin around 12:00 pm.

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#68364 - 23/05/2008 18:15 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
Some more rain today

about 10.6mm yesterday
and 6mm today?? i think

the ocf is going for 78.8mm up to the end of the month!!!

Todays rain was on and off. One minute it clears then more cloud comes along rains then clears...

We should get 20mm over the weekend.

If the ocf is correct, we may just get our average for the month.

we are way above average for the year anyway, 250mm+ for the year... only supposed to be 204mm up to may.

so lookin good. smile
and everything is green too !
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#68365 - 24/05/2008 10:09 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Fu Manchu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/11/2006
Posts: 208
Loc: Lower West, Western Australia
Quote:
Originally posted by vinny06:

Todays rain was on and off. One minute it clears then more cloud comes along rains then clears...
Hey Vinny, it's a bit like the saying, if you don't like the weather just come back in 5 minutes smile

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#68366 - 24/05/2008 13:35 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
the bom says we are going to possibly have heavy falls this afternoon

Not sure if the average this month will be reached.

If anyone from wa wants to talk about the weather there is a local forum (see below)


_______

http://www.waweathergroup.com/forum/
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#68367 - 24/05/2008 16:57 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
cyclonecece Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/01/2007
Posts: 7823
Loc: Brandon.. QLD..EX Karratha
some good falls down south..Weather News add to my site
Heavy showers return to southwest WA
Brett Dutschke, Saturday May 24, 2008 - 16:41 EST
Just two days after copping a brief deluge of 23 millimetres of rain in 15 minutes, Witchcliffe in the Margaret River region picked up another nine in 10 minutes today, according to weatherzone.com.au.

These heavy bursts have occurred amongst generally light and infrequent showers and have helped accumulate 68mm in two and-a-half days. Witchcliffe is one of the locations in the Southwest district to now have more than their May average, in excess of 100mm.

The Southwest has been one of the wettest regions in southern Australia this autumn with 100 to 200mm. Reasonable rain has reached the wheat belt, 50 to 100mm, above average for western and southern parts.

Since early Thursday the Central Wheat Belt, Goldfields and Gascoyne have only had about 10mm or less.

The next session of widespread showers looks like being on Wednesday and Thursday.

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#68368 - 27/05/2008 05:58 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Madmel Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2006
Posts: 2124
Loc: Tarneit (Werribee), Victoria
You guys in Perth have made some Tornado headlines in Perth Now paper laugh But from what I understand the weather wasnt that servere to form?

http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,23756150-948,00.html

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#68369 - 27/05/2008 10:21 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
WAWG (Tim S) Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/03/2007
Posts: 102
There were possibly more than one of these funnels reported on Sunday. I saw one of the funnels myself as did a few others on the WA weathergroup forum, there's a few more pictures here and other accounts of people that saw them: http://waweathergroup.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=10965#10965

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#68370 - 27/05/2008 19:05 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
ozzie Offline
Member

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 132
Loc: Perth (Southern Suburbs)...WA ...
i have opened a new topic in the breaking weather forum about the rain events in the next week or so for the south west.

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#68371 - 27/05/2008 20:33 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/rain.wa.shtml


says there is a 60 to 70 percent chance of below average winter rain in sw wa !!!

I remember them saying the same thing in 2005... and it was wet !!

what doesn't make sense...is that it says the indian ocean is still warm ("higher than average temps in the indian ocean)
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/rain.wa.shtml

andyet the rain is going to be below average??


and it also says qld and nsw are gonna be wetter !

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/rain.naus.shtml
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/rain.seaus.shtml
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#68372 - 29/05/2008 22:48 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
Well the event yesterday gave perth 9 mm.

I hope the event this weekend gives us more.

Although we are below the average this month the yearly rainfall is way above for this year!!!
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#68373 - 30/05/2008 23:23 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
Similar to Qld... we also have rain forecast for tomorrow..

Forecast for Friday evening
Showers developing overnight. Light to moderate mainly E/NE winds.

Precis: Showers developing overnight.

Forecast for Saturday
Rain periods, with local heavy falls and the risk of a thunderstorm. N/NE winds,
shifting fresh and gusty W/NW'ly during the morning.

Precis: Rain. Possible thunderstorm.
City: Min 15 Max 19
Mandurah: Min 15 Max 19

______________________________________

and check this out
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW28001.txt

IDW28001
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia



TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Widespread Damaging Winds with Locally Destructive Gusts and Abnormally High
Tides
For people in the Southwest District and adjacent parts of the Lower West, Great
Southern and South Coastal Districts, including Mandurah, Bunbury and Busselton.
Issued at 3:45 pm on Friday 30 May 2008

A low pressure system and rain band are developing off the west coast. The low
is expected to deepen and pass to the south of Cape Leeuwin late Saturday
morning or early afternoon. The passage of the low is expected to cause widespread damaging winds to 100 kilometres per hour with locally destructive gusts in excess of 125 kilometres per hour . Severe winds are forecast to develop
in coastal parts of the Southwest District early Saturday morning, then extend
to remaining parts during Saturday morning and early afternoon. The rain band is
likely to produce locally heavy rainfall through the Southwest, Lower West and
adjacent parts of the Central West. Thunderstorms are also possible in the
warning area and remaining parts of the Lower West and Central West Districts.

Higher than normal tides may result in inundation of low-lying coastal areas,
The FESA - State Emergency Service advises that people should secure loose items
and stay indoors when strong winds develop. Boat owners should ensure that small
craft are securely moored. Driving conditions will be hazardous. Should flash
flooding occur, avoid affected roads, watercourses and floodways in the vicinity
until safe to proceed.

The next warning will be issued by 10:00 pm Friday


So it finally looks like a decent system that will give us more than 10mm

Weird that Qld is getting heavy rain.... i would expect that in jan-march rather than now... rain hoggers !!!!

So Perth should get a good soaking tomorrow.
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#68374 - 31/05/2008 09:40 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
ozzie Offline
Member

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 132
Loc: Perth (Southern Suburbs)...WA ...
great storm development out to the west, hail now on the forecast laugh

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#68375 - 31/05/2008 13:20 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14835
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Yer stacks storms around Perth atm, good sfc convergence with excellent uppers and divergence there with jet aloft and good turning down low, plus the sounding indicates some deep instability....cloud tops to 40,000ft. Looking good now on radar and knowing Perth radar severely underestimates rainfall rates, there would be some very heavy storms in that. One place just copped 58mm.

TS cool

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#68376 - 31/05/2008 14:58 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Fu Manchu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/11/2006
Posts: 208
Loc: Lower West, Western Australia
Perth is offically going off!

the waweathergroup.com is running hot smile

The last cell that just moved over Perth really just exploded in size and started getting rotation.
Very exiting to watch.

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#68377 - 31/05/2008 22:02 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
Perth so far has scored 40.8mm out of it... that goes towards june's total

Amazing ,.... storms and lightning almost all day.
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#68378 - 01/06/2008 22:45 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
ozzie Offline
Member

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 132
Loc: Perth (Southern Suburbs)...WA ...
if you want to read the comments on the super storm event that happened yesterday, click on this link:

http://www.waweathergroup.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=389&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=420

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#68379 - 02/06/2008 16:17 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
Next weekend the temp will be 25 !!! from bom.... though this could be wrong and changed if the ocf turns out to be correct....

Saturday Fine. Min 8 Max 23
Sunday Fine. Min 9 Max 25

Looks like a decent front to hit perth next sunday/monday.... well by the synoptic maps at the moment... though i better not get my hopes up as it may not be in the maps in a few days time but ... here's hoping it comes through !
though it has to get past a 1035hp high. the ocf is heaps optimistic.... look at their predictions... we will get over 100mm easily this month in just over a week if it is correct....

20mm for next sunday
4mm on monday (18 degrees max)
29mm on tuesday with only 16.9 degreees ( wow winter to the max!! )

So looks like we only have 3 weeks or less to get the average. If you believe the 3 month outlook then it looks like we won't make the average either for this month... 70 percent chance of below average conditions... and above average temps... so far it looks like they are right.... but the ocf may also be right so this forecast of below average rains could turn out to be a load of tripe

and qld and nsw are getting very heavy rain... just like they predicted... i will be a little concerned if we are halfway through the month and we have had nothing and qld and nsw have another two rain events !!! and have had more than normal rainfall.
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#68380 - 02/06/2008 20:47 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
SEAN888 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/09/2007
Posts: 1069
Loc: Merrbin
Glad to see you guys are getting some nice rain :wave:

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#68381 - 03/06/2008 01:13 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
We did get some good rain... though we have a blocking high for all of this week frown

Though the ocf is optimistic that we will get over 50mm next week.
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#68382 - 03/06/2008 14:13 Re: Perth and WA day to day weather
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6227
Loc: Central Qld.
the forecast is for showers on monday still so that is good.. 20-40mm possible !!!!

fine all week and up to 24 degrees today.
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