Page 671 of 1387 < 1 2 ... 669 670 671 672 673 ... 1386 1387 >
Topic Options
#813235 - 05/01/2010 10:44 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ----]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
If we dont get a significant cool change then i could be in for a very busy late week and early next week in terms of fire calls cause very dry heatwaves normally equal lots of smoke sightings and call outs poke

Top
#813251 - 05/01/2010 11:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
Farm Weather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2009
Posts: 845
Loc: West Mallee SA
Seems like the tropical activity is going to stay to far north and north west and stagnate thus effecting only pastoral areas much like last hyped up event, seems it will bring only marginal relief next week or have i read it wrong as usual.

need nice weather for annual pilgramige to carrickalinga on last week of school holidays starting 17th of jan
_________________________
Average Rainfall 340mm

Top
#813267 - 05/01/2010 12:53 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Farm Weather]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
I have just looked at the GASP MSLs 0-5 days current run maps and it seems like everytime we get a low its push aside by a much stronger high according to the Saturday map we'll be under the control of a high which is 1022 hpa

Top
#813272 - 05/01/2010 13:33 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Unstable Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/01/2007
Posts: 3584
Loc: Adelaide
A match is struck, fire, heat, and after a little while smoke, the hot smoky air rises by convection, meets an impenetrable cap, spreads sideways.
What happens next?
The smoke alarm goes off about 2am in the morning shocked Takes me about a minute to stop it nerd
I put the saucepan on the gas flame but forgot to put any water in it for my coffee. Hope it didn't wake half the neighborhood (cringe) blush eek

I'm hoping gasp will come to the rescue of at least coastal districts by giving a cooler weekend smile
_________________________
Website http://sasnows.com
Email: weather at internode.on.net

Top
#813284 - 05/01/2010 14:31 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
I wouldnt count on the GASP coming to the rescue of costal areas seeking a reprieve from the heat Unstable as weekend high is set at 1022 hpa as i mentioned earlier but we may see temporary relief from the heat on Tuesday morning when the cool changes come through but after that we'll be in for more hot weather

Top
#813295 - 05/01/2010 14:50 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
that's fair enuff tek but maybe he's like me and plucks
his predictions from where the sun don't shine. not the
best place in the world to conduct analysis. poke

posted by HR:-
".....Killer dew this morning. Registered on the gauge!
Must have been a fog to be this heavy......"

nah, that was just me sprayin' me kidney filtered bundy
around the place, hope ya didn't drink it.

FW, extended gfs atm shows cool change tuesday lasting
a couple or so days, compared to what has pervious it
won't be marginal it will be good to excellent relisf
then warming up again to give 40+ for 17,18, 19th at
this stage.

posted by US:-
".....I put the saucepan on the gas flame but forgot
to put any water in it for my coffee....."

sauspan? gas? coffee? are you serious? i deem it my
civil duty both for the benefit of you and your neighbours
to inform you that there has been a device invented to
boil water safely by a thing called e-l-e-c-r-i-c-i-t-y
in a machine called an e-l-e-c-r-i-c j-u-g, they actually
turn off when the water is boiled too to stop them from
boiling dry. they are very safe, convenient and easy to
use and best of all cheap and readily available.
of course i am extending myself out on a limb here and
are assuming you do have e-l-e-c-t-r-i-c-i-t-y connected.
the only coastal areas that will gain any sort of relief
will be KI, tip if eyre, yorke and tip of flerieru(s/p)
for most days of the heatwave.

see here is up for 3x40 and 1x41 atm, that's more
like it.

TH
雷自殺的瘋狂獵人和白色
指關節猛衝與球的追趕者
*̡͌l̡*̡̡ ̴̡ı̴̴̡ ̡̡͡|̲̲̲͡͡͡ ̲▫̲͡ ̲̲̲͡͡π̲̲͡͡ ̲̲͡▫̲̲͡͡ ̲|̡̡̡ ̡ ̴̡ı̴̡̡ *̡͌l̡*
_________________________



Top
#813306 - 05/01/2010 15:11 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Just to add TH the forecast temperatures for both Naracoorte and Mount Gambier keep on flunctuating every day so the 40+ temps arent a sure thing... although then again i wouldnt be surprised if Mount Gambier and Coonawarra exceeded its forecasted temperatures


Edited by rstewart84 (05/01/2010 15:17)

Top
#813359 - 05/01/2010 17:14 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
temps here have been upgraded to 40,40,41,42
mt. gambier:- 35,35,35,38.
youll be less than me and more than the mount.
won't be surprised to see you crack a 40 or two.

edit:- the latest gfs run indicates 40,41,43,42 for here.

TH
雷自殺的瘋狂獵人和白色
指關節猛衝與球的追趕者
*̡͌l̡*̡̡ ̴̡ı̴̴̡ ̡̡͡|̲̲̲͡͡͡ ̲▫̲͡ ̲̲̲͡͡π̲̲͡͡ ̲̲͡▫̲̲͡͡ ̲|̡̡̡ ̡ ̴̡ı̴̡̡ *̡͌l̡*
_________________________



Top
#813376 - 05/01/2010 18:18 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Since Kalangadoo is more inland than coastal were likely to get to 40+ on Monday due to being closer to Coonawarra than Mount Gambier

Quote:
temps here have been upgraded to 40,40,41,42
mt. gambier:- 35,35,35,38.


Im not too sure about the forecast of it being 35 on Friday in Mount Gambier as i got an information message on my pager regarding an info session for IMT's being cancelled for that day due to extreme fire conditions so maybe the temp will be upgraded again

Top
#813470 - 05/01/2010 22:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Unstable Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/01/2007
Posts: 3584
Loc: Adelaide
Hey TH, re your comment "i deem it my
civil duty both for the benefit of you and your neighbours
to inform you that there has been a device invented to
boil water safely by a thing called e-l-e-c-r-i-c-i-t-y
in a machine called an e-l-e-c-r-i-c j-u-g, they actually
turn off when the water is boiled too to stop them from
boiling dry. they are very safe, convenient and easy to
use and best of all cheap and readily available".

Those are worthy sentiments indeed and sound eminently sensible, IF you aren't Unstable lol
Here's what happened.

Aeons ago I boiled up a dead rat in my electric jug to extract the bones nerd
I've never been able nor will I ever be able to boil water for my coffee in an electric jug or electric kettle again - blaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaagh!!! frown sick
_________________________
Website http://sasnows.com
Email: weather at internode.on.net

Top
#813490 - 05/01/2010 23:39 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9635
Loc: Mid North, SA
Robert, extreme fire conditions doesn't necessarily mean extreme temps... lots of other factors involved, eg. the Haines Index is 6+ for those days.

Though you can't really see it in this small panorama, there is a funnel in the left hand side of this image along with the mammatus that brought rains to the ENE of the state on New Year's Day. This taken from just south of Hallett.

_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



Top
#813564 - 06/01/2010 11:04 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Helen]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
That's pretty incredible Helen! We wouldn't be able to get a crop of the funnel by any chance would we? grin

Top
#813583 - 06/01/2010 13:20 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14835
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I have just looked at the GASP MSLs 0-5 days current run maps and it seems like everytime we get a low its push aside by a much stronger high according to the Saturday map we'll be under the control of a high which is 1022 hpa


You've got a better chance at getting a more accurate prediction out of a frying pan than you do out of GASP. Do NOT look at it if you are trying to make obs/forecasts based on the models!

Certainly looking like an impressive heatwave coming up, I think 41C is generous for all 3 days, at least one of the 3 days could well crack 42-43C.

I also can't see much in the way of thunderies until maybe sunday and more likely monday afternoon/evening as the mid level de-stabilise a little. The first half of the heatwave the moisture is still on the building phase, but at least it slowly builds so one can probably expect afternoon Cu about the ranges and associated Mallee/inland areas without any precip. Monster cap that won't break until the moisture feeds in at a high enough level, often heatwaves in SA are intermixed with some form of thundery or near thundery weather, however this one won't until right near the end.

TS cool

Top
#813585 - 06/01/2010 13:24 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14835
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
BTW impressive pic there Helen! great countryside that I remember visiting very well smile

Interesting funnel/spout/dust devil/vortex whatever you want to call it Chris, have not had a good enough look at it myself but the RIPE condensation funnel in your first image to me reeks of landspout over dust devil.

TS cool

Top
#813610 - 06/01/2010 15:22 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9635
Loc: Mid North, SA
Here 'tis Chris. Not very good quality, but as we watched it retreat into the cloud above, we were again blown away by Mother Nature's little surprises.
smile

_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



Top
#813617 - 06/01/2010 15:38 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Unstable Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/01/2007
Posts: 3584
Loc: Adelaide
Beautiful panorama there Helen smile - what a skyscape shocked
We don't often see big storms in an otherwise clear blue sky.
That mammatus looks spectacular - not surprising there was a funnel somewhere about.
I just made a typing error and realised that if you had been named Nelen or heleh your name would have been a ... forgotten the word - spelled the same backwards or forwards crazy
_________________________
Website http://sasnows.com
Email: weather at internode.on.net

Top
#813629 - 06/01/2010 16:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9635
Loc: Mid North, SA
Originally Posted By: Unstable
Beautiful panorama there Helen smile - what a skyscape shocked
We don't often see big storms in an otherwise clear blue sky.
That mammatus looks spectacular - not surprising there was a funnel somewhere about.
I just made a typing error and realised that if you had been named Nelen or heleh your name would have been a ... forgotten the word - spelled the same backwards or forwards crazy


That'd be a 'palindrome' wink

Many thanks for the compliments from you, Chris and Lennie. smile

Have added another Flinders panorama in this ALBUM and am in the process of putting together a few more. smile
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



Top
#813645 - 06/01/2010 17:29 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Helen]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
Wow again! I actually thought it was that tube like object half way up the first puff of Cu on the left.

Top
#813648 - 06/01/2010 17:33 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Chris_]
_Sarah_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/10/2005
Posts: 3638
Loc: Salisbury North SA
I was thinking the same Chris, but that one still is amazing Helen, beautiful panorama as well grin
Very hot here as well, temp around 37-38C atm I think lol

Top
#813652 - 06/01/2010 17:40 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
You can definitely see the "barber's poll" twisting in that funnel though, it's SA gold.

Top
Page 671 of 1387 < 1 2 ... 669 670 671 672 673 ... 1386 1387 >


Moderator:  Helen, Lindsay Knowles, Markus, teckert 
Who's Online
0 registered (), 251 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Ben K, gardener, Thunderpunch, Wezza
Forum Stats
29315 Members
32 Forums
23640 Topics
1456278 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image