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#839646 - 28/02/2010 22:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ----]
_Sarah_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/10/2005
Posts: 3638
Loc: Salisbury North SA
Originally Posted By: -hillsrain-
Sounds damned interesting Robert! Used to drop truckloads of pellets to fish farms a few years back and have had many a tour through these setups.Hope it goes well for ya mate smile
Happy birthday too Sarah. Only 18 once dammit!


Cheers HR smile

Well, I'm in the middle of getting my station updated after 6 months offline lol. Finally putting the sensor outside and trying to find the program CD again lol.

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#839667 - 01/03/2010 00:09 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
-Deano- Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/10/2008
Posts: 2931
Loc: Melton VIC
Happy non-leap-year birthday RS! I actually had the same situation today at work and it ended up knocking 400 bucks off my pay frown Basically there was a guy that came in to sign up but was born on the 29/2/92 so was not technically 18 yet. That meant I couldn't sign him up and ended up being the difference between me moving up to the next pay bracket!!

It's quite windy down this way at the moment, driving home from my mate's house in Belair involved a lot of dodging of downed trees along the road. I would say we would be getting gusts up to at least 70km/h here at the moment, quite unpleasent. At least they are bringing freezing temperatures with them smile

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#839672 - 01/03/2010 00:59 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: -Deano-]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14896
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Hell yes looks like a cracking setup for damaging gully winds for Adelaide, especially foothills from N to S and the general S burbs. Huge pressure grad from beastly 1034hPa high (huge for this time of year, expexct that sort of high in winter!) and the low further N. Been a while since I have seen category 1 cyclone equivalent gully winds at Sellicks. No doubt there will be trees down everywhere tonight and some damage about. Most places should crack 45knots that are being affected and up to 50-55knots in localised gullies and funneled areas.

Low wise, yer VERY moist air comes down and it sort of stalls, looks reasonable for some nice falls to the north but tapers off and becomes very sporadic for the south. Good thing though is the nice upper support coming in from the west so have to watch for the position of that related to the sfc trough to see how well the ag areas can do out of it. For now 5-10mm I'd say but pockets of moisture from convective activity could easily bring out 40-50mm dumps.

TS cool

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#839675 - 01/03/2010 01:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
_Sarah_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/10/2005
Posts: 3638
Loc: Salisbury North SA
So TS, how's this system going to be for me?? Much rain, wind? Or is this are more South-Eastern system (more rain and wind lol)? I hope this question makes sense lol...

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#839732 - 01/03/2010 11:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
Weathergod Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/05/2007
Posts: 1675
Loc: Williamstown SA.
Boy where those winds un-relenting from early sunday? I certainly reckon those gully winds were the the windiest and longest lasting in my 19 years of existince. poke

Eased off now thankfully, still gusitng to around 40km at times though..
_________________________



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#839738 - 01/03/2010 12:07 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Weathergod]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9653
Loc: Mid North, SA
Let's hope Thursday's forecast comes off. Heavy rain on the menu is just what the doctor would order. wink
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#839787 - 01/03/2010 15:23 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Helen]
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1905
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
It would be a bit scary pedalling along Sellicks Hill atm. Obs 1433 wind speed 35 knots with 43 knot gusts. 62 knot gust recorded this a.m.

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#839832 - 01/03/2010 17:35 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14896
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Originally Posted By: _Sarah_
So TS, how's this system going to be for me?? Much rain, wind? Or is this are more South-Eastern system (more rain and wind lol)? I hope this question makes sense lol...


I'm not convinced totally about this system doing much for the Adelaide area, I feel that a large bulk of it will be held to the NE and even those falls will be sporadic although definitely still some heavy dumps in it. Adelaide atm has a been chance of some onshore stream showers when a massive cold pool passes below the state with onshore sw winds undercutting it. This flow will be a convergent sw flow passing over the warm gulf PLUS the added colder air aloft will steepen lapse rates and bring in some nice showers. prob 5-10mm from the onshores more than anything, 10-20mm inland from the residual moisture but how far south it comes it tricky. Helens area to me atm seems about the SW edge.

TS cool

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#839851 - 01/03/2010 18:20 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
_Sarah_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/10/2005
Posts: 3638
Loc: Salisbury North SA
Cheers TS, thats cool about the rain, I do personally hope to get 5mm, but I now know that this system is a typical NE system smile

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#839859 - 01/03/2010 18:43 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
Mmm, that cold front Friday looks like a welcome sight, a taste of further(and stronger!) winter wonders to come. Cold air moving across those warm gulf waters TS mentioned (temperatures you'd expect around Rockhampton, and also the highest above the mean from almost all Aussie waters) are at least two important ingredients for waterspouts.

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#839861 - 01/03/2010 18:46 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Chris_]
-Deano- Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/10/2008
Posts: 2931
Loc: Melton VIC
Well, I've just made the decision to defer uni for a year to work as much as I can and possibly do a couple of TAFE photography courses. The general vibe I'm getting from my family members is that this is going to come back and bite me but hey, you only live life once and I'll cross that bridge if I reach it.

Anyways, back to the weather. Looking very nice for the end of this week, I'm not holding my breath for any massive rainfall totals but it will be nice to have a few showers here and there with some nice cool autumn temperatures smile

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#839884 - 01/03/2010 19:13 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: _Sarah_]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: _Sarah_
........... but I now know that this system is
a typical NE system smile


this system up north is anything but typical, to quote what
was said on another forum it's approaching category one
cyclone status and is as good as a landphoon, winds at
birdsville are at 87kmh and increasing, there has been
s**tloads of rain up there and appears to be feeding off
massive tropical pwat levels to sustain itself.
if s.a. is really lucky it could end up with gobs more
water for the murray and lower lakes out of all this.

this is a ne system being cleared by a strong sw system
(if one could call it that since it's got to actually
get here to be able to be cleared),
and the way the models are trending the ne system will
be lucky to give anything to even the far eastern
boarder areas let alone have any significant penetration
into the s.e.quadrant of s.a.
like TS said and i agree the ne system will deliver sfa
for adelaide and the best i can see is 1-5 mm from the
cold front and associated polar system although orographic
lift could boot this in the ranges.
certainly going to be a taste of winter for a day or so,
the end of summer is nigh, time to hunker down for 6
months and reminisce on what a great summer it's been
and look forward to the next round of marrow boiling
heatwaves.

TH
雷自殺的瘋狂獵人和白色
指關節猛衝與球的追趕者
并且我的生日打开行军第九
*̡͌l̡*̡̡ ̴̡ı̴̴̡ ̡̡͡|̲̲̲͡͡͡ ̲▫̲͡ ̲̲̲͡͡π̲̲͡͡ ̲̲͡▫̲̲͡͡ ̲|̡̡̡ ̡ ̴̡ı̴̡̡ *̡͌l̡*


Edited by ThD Ht (01/03/2010 19:21)
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#839898 - 01/03/2010 19:44 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
Farm Weather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2009
Posts: 845
Loc: West Mallee SA
was thinking this morning i wonder what the great man who is rather partial to bundy thinks of the chatter and hope about upcoming system and here he is.

so to honour his thoughts im having a bundy red
_________________________
Average Rainfall 340mm

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#839901 - 01/03/2010 19:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Farm Weather]
_Sarah_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/10/2005
Posts: 3638
Loc: Salisbury North SA
I have finally got my outdoor sensor outside, under the shade and directly facing the sun, now I hope to record temp, humidity etc...proberly lol smile

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#839907 - 01/03/2010 19:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Farm Weather]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
bundy red?!, now there's a man who's got class.
an 'ol hillbilly redneck like me likes his bundy
straight from the still, gives me better aim on
them imported ferals.


TH
雷自殺的瘋狂獵人和白色
指關節猛衝與球的追趕者
并且我的生日打开行军第九
*̡͌l̡*̡̡ ̴̡ı̴̴̡ ̡̡͡|̲̲̲͡͡͡ ̲▫̲͡ ̲̲̲͡͡π̲̲͡͡ ̲̲͡▫̲̲͡͡ ̲|̡̡̡ ̡ ̴̡ı̴̡̡ *̡͌l̡*
_________________________



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#839939 - 01/03/2010 20:47 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
andyfish67 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/02/2008
Posts: 125
Loc: St Agnes
From what I have heard the last time there were 4 such inland rain events through central Aust.in a 2 - 3 month time period it was in 1974.
1974 was also the last major flood through the murray darling system.
Could the already soaked catchments and todays 200mm rain in them provide us with some river system saving floods ???????
Or will Qld and NSW somehow manage to hold it all back ???????
Surely we MUST receive some well needed flood waters here in SA.....

Menindee lakes and lake victoria must be surely looking at capacity in the next few weeks. Possibly overflowing !!!!!!!!


Edited by andyfish67 (01/03/2010 20:48)

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#839949 - 01/03/2010 21:16 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: andyfish67]
Max Record Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/04/2009
Posts: 1658
Loc: Adelaide
Birdsville 167.8mm in one day - it looks like their wettest day on record and their entire yearly average!
_________________________
2017: 478.0mm
2016: 680.0mm
2015: 392.8mm
2014: 450.4mm
2013: 470.6mm
2012: 426.8mm
2011: 518.2mm
2010: 549.4mm
2009: 459.2mm
Yearly Average: 460mm

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#839956 - 01/03/2010 21:21 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Max Record]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2083
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Almost time to break out the woolen blankets and electric heaters for another marrow chilling autumn unless mother nature has something else in store for us before winter sets in at the start of may smile

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#839968 - 01/03/2010 21:39 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
Olaf Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2010
Posts: 1851
Loc: Noarlunga, SA
Yar yar, agree agree & agree, anywhere west of the ranges don't expect much more than 5mm from the NE low .. IF IT GETS HERE .... + maybe another 5mm from the SW pool of cool air, anywhere on & east of the ranges interesting, will be a wait'n'see, the NE low .... IF IT GETS HERE ... has pot to bring substantial falls while it briefly sticks it's behind into SA before flooding VIC, & those convective showers/storms on the weekend from SW pool to me will be more possible than the low reaching us at this stage, my money is on them to the job smile
_________________________
�I�d keep playing. I don�t think the heavy stuff�s gonna come down for quite awhile.� Bill Murray

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#839975 - 01/03/2010 21:51 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Olaf]
Olaf Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2010
Posts: 1851
Loc: Noarlunga, SA
_________________________
�I�d keep playing. I don�t think the heavy stuff�s gonna come down for quite awhile.� Bill Murray

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