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#902237 - 30/11/2010 16:37 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Canberra's Weather]
radar obsessed Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2007
Posts: 190
Loc: Inner North, Canberra
Originally Posted By: Canberra's Weather
Do you think this La Nina will be bigger than the 1989 one?


Is Lake George full?

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#902245 - 30/11/2010 16:55 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: radar obsessed]
Animbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/05/2009
Posts: 91
Loc: Miranda, NSW
Sun now making a brief appearance after some reasonable showers here today. Maybe 10mm. GFS showing that maybe tomorrow will be better than today?
It has been a good year for rain but pales in comparison to 1998 (around here anyway). Anyone remember the night of the Wollongong Uni floods? I am too young to remember 1989...

PS - I would love to see Lake George full again. From what I remember its quite a sight


Edited by Animbo (30/11/2010 16:56)

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#902289 - 30/11/2010 18:51 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Animbo]
Crookhaven River Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/05/2010
Posts: 629
Loc: Crookhaven Heads N.S.W 14m AS...
26mms to 9am & only 3mms since then,total for this event now 55mms.
Sun came out a couple of times this afternoon & the backyard sensor recorded a max of 22.6c.
Still a muggy 21.2c atm,with the wind from the SE around 7km/hr,baro has been steady at 1016 for the past 24hrs.
_________________________
Rainfall: June 2015 94mms/ JULY 2015 MTD 110mms/ July 2014 total 4.5mms/ TOTAL 2015 YTD 806mms/ 2014 total 1018mms
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#902311 - 30/11/2010 19:35 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Crookhaven River]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8265
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Dont think ive seen this before - a S'ly swinging back to an E/NE'ly so quickly.. convergence moving back inland now causing continuous development right over the catchment.

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#902336 - 30/11/2010 20:13 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: radar obsessed]
stormymick Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/04/2008
Posts: 1488
Loc: Kambah canberra
Originally Posted By: radar obsessed
Originally Posted By: Canberra's Weather
Do you think this La Nina will be bigger than the 1989 one?


Is Lake George full?

nope but there is towards bungendore

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#902388 - 30/11/2010 21:59 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: stormymick]
kismet Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/10/2005
Posts: 184
Loc: Maitland, NSW
Some thunder in amongst this hefty rain band moving down between Bathurst and Orange... a bit unexpected! What a great few days, dunno about you guys but all this rain makes me so much happier!

Looks like a wet evening smile


Edited by kismet (30/11/2010 22:00)

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#902457 - 01/12/2010 06:21 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: kismet]
BOM99 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/08/2004
Posts: 4645
Loc: Australia
58mm since last yesterday afternoon and still coming down hard, this will be the wettest event of 2010 now.

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#902476 - 01/12/2010 08:09 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Simmah]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1172
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: Simmah
Simple... A High pressure system planted its self over the Tasman.. Nothing unusual about that.. A simple "break" in the weather..


And there's a high in the Tasman now, so what's the difference??

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#902485 - 01/12/2010 09:06 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: ant]
Canberra's Weather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2005
Posts: 1141
Loc: Canberra
Originally Posted By: ant
Originally Posted By: Canberra's Weather
Do you think this La Nina will be bigger than the 1989 one?


I'm not sure it's beaten the 1998 one yet. My dam is still half full. In '98, it was full.

Amazing rain today, it hardly stopped. I tried to sneak a walk in at 1.45pm, but nope, got wet. Sometimes it's so heavy it blots everything out from 100m onwards.
I was referring to the 1989 La Nina. We were having one of the worst El Ninos (dry and hot period) in 1998. confused
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#902488 - 01/12/2010 09:10 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Canberra's Weather]
Sydneys Wstn Outskirts Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/09/2003
Posts: 437
Loc: Sydney's Western Outskirts
34 mm over night here in the Lower Blue Mountains!
Brilliant fall of rain. Now makes it 62 mm for this event. Very good, but could do with 100's of mm to fill the rivers & dams.
Thick fog here now. Check it out on my live web cam:
_________________________
Damian
http://westsydneyweather.co.cc/weatherstation.htm

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#902494 - 01/12/2010 09:29 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Sydneys Wstn Outskirts]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9030
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
About 68mm in Bathurst since 9am yesterday morning (mostly yesterday arvo and all night), still raining steadily. As mentioned by Kismet - some rumbles last night too - no obvious flashes noticed though.

Event to 9 am this am approx 116mm in Bx.

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#902499 - 01/12/2010 09:54 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: DaveM]
.... Offline
Occasional Visitor

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 5018
Close to 2 inches in Coffs in the last 2 hours...Nice fall...Did not make it any distance inland but as that line moves S expect some more decent falls down coastal MNC smile

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#902504 - 01/12/2010 10:03 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: ....]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Thunderstorms? Thunderstorms? They'll have to elbow the torrential RAIN out of the way. But the forecast said "thunderstorms". Look at the radar.

The wind settled down last night, and it was dry all night until 5am when it started up in earnest, really roof-drumming rain. I had 50mm in the gauge at sunset last night, and 62mm in there when I left this morning. The wind was veering slightly, from SE to East. It's been going steady and medium-heavy ever since. Big crashes in Canberra on some of the major roads.

See this report in the crappy local paper about the cherries: the picture is pretty depressing, they're not just cracked, they're burst.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/local/news/general/rain-brings-ruin-to-cherry-crop/2011766.aspx

Got my car slightly boggeed at the family farm last night too, and got my nice office shoes very muddy getting it out! Got it out though.

Edit: the local vineyards are already experiencing rot (botrytis and soem other thing) and the fruit aren't even properly set yet. So this year's vintage could be interesting.


Edited by ant (01/12/2010 10:05)
Edit Reason: rotting grape vines

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#902505 - 01/12/2010 10:05 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Sydneys Wstn Outskirts]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1172
Loc: Australia
Warragamba may get to 100% at this rate!!! . You never know smile

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#902508 - 01/12/2010 10:18 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: Canberra's Weather]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Originally Posted By: Canberra's Weather
I was referring to the 1989 La Nina. We were having one of the worst El Ninos (dry and hot period) in 1998. confused


Winter of 98 was extremely wet (after the el nino of 97), I believe it was a la nina following straight on from the dry. I believe it continued to the end of the year, not sure when it broke down. My dam filled up, and it's not been full before or since.

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#902509 - 01/12/2010 10:21 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: radar obsessed]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Originally Posted By: radar obsessed
Is Lake George full?


I don't think we'll see that just yet. The water table has been so depleted over.... how long? It would be nice (the farmer might get a bit miffed at losing so much land he's had the use of for a decade!) but I'm not hoping for that yet.

Someone did a study and figured that the water levels had something to do with the Murrumbidgee across the range, adn some acquifer, and something else...

When I was a kid, Lake George being full was the norm.

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#902510 - 01/12/2010 10:22 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: ant]
BOM99 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/08/2004
Posts: 4645
Loc: Australia
Ant is your dam not full now?

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#902512 - 01/12/2010 10:25 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: gleno71]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3585
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Thats a good drop BNE pity it did'nt make out your way.

We had 14.5mm to 9am this morning and the previous morning 6.1mm to make our event total 20.6mm, so not much has fallen here as yet.
The newy radar is starting to fill out quite nicely.
3.1mm so far since 9am, just some light rain atm.
Baro 1016.2 and steady, Humidity 92%, Temp 20.9 Dewpoint 19.5, wind is calm
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 412.5mm
MTD 263.2mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another p1ss poor season!!
Summer Southerlies - Too many to count.
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#902515 - 01/12/2010 10:32 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: EddyG]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9030
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Ant - you answered the question you asked about one of my comments earlier in this topic (grapes). smile

As you said too, my memories of Lake George when passing through regularly over a lot of years was that I always expected to see water in Lake George. Your comment re the 'Bidgee was very enticing!! Love to find out more about that.

Rain settled down for a bit now in Bathurst but have had about 8mm since 9 am. Cloud higher and lighter but radar also shows more coming down from our north and not very far away.

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#902520 - 01/12/2010 10:41 Re: NSW Storms & Rain 26 Nov - 4 Dec 2010 [Re: DaveM]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Nup. Dam still half full. It's quite high up a slope, takes a lot to fill it, and the ground has been soaking up a lot.

I cannot fathom how teh grapes can have fungus when the fruit's not set yet, but apparently the vines have got the fungus and it stays there. The fungicide is horrifically expensive, too. And they're going to have to use a lot of it as this wet weather cycle will stay.

There used to be all this poop about Lake George being "spooky" because of teh water coming and going "mysteriously", and there was quite a good study published showing the rock composition of that dramatic escarpment range just west of it, and how it interacted with the Murrumbidgee, there was some other stuff too. But it explained why the water came and went without seemingly being directly affected by local rainfall.

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