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#912399 - 21/12/2010 08:22 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: NCSC - Antonio]
KevD Offline
Occasional Visitor

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 5193
Loc: Bellingen NSW 2454
Down to 9C this morning here in Bello...very impressive for this time of year, easily our coldest December morning since I started recording about 6 years ago smile

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#912424 - 21/12/2010 10:33 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: KevD]
nocturnal1 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 04/03/2010
Posts: 1079
Loc: Murwillumbah, NE NSW
Very fresh this morning, had to put on a jumper to walk the dog. Unheard of in December! smile Another lovely clear day, good day to get some yardwork done, but the ground is still too wet. By the time it's dry enough, it will be raining again. d'oh!

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#912445 - 21/12/2010 11:56 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: nocturnal1]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4457
Loc: Brisbane
An interesting week ahead. With big falls predicted by the weekend by GFS, dams at over 100%, big tides SEQ Water may face some tough decisions in the days ahead as to when to release water and how much.

Looking at the river levels just below Wivenhoe, it seems like a significant release of water is already underway.

Looking out my window in Toowong the Brisbane River is already overlapping the banks and the biggest tides are not til the end of the week.
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

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#912448 - 21/12/2010 12:03 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Locke]
shama Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 784
Loc: Frenchs Forest, Petrie, QLD (H...
Agreed Locke. There were photos in the CM yesterday of Waterloo Street in Newstead with minor flooding (up around the tyres of the cars) from the combination of rain over the weekend, high tide and dam releases (I assume).

Will be especially interesting if this wet trend continues as expected, and then have the SUmmer King tide on the 21st January at 10.37am (expected to peak at 2.65m)

King Tides in Queensland

add in a few tropical lows in early KJanuary, and it will be a very interesting leadup to Australia Day indeed!
_________________________
Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe habour. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover....

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#912478 - 21/12/2010 14:11 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: shama]
shama Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 784
Loc: Frenchs Forest, Petrie, QLD (H...
Quote:
Sky-watchers in eastern Australia should look up to the heavens this Tuesday evening, as a spectacular lunar eclipse rises above the north-eastern horizon.

The eclipse, which coincides with the summer solstice, will be in full swing by the time the Moon rises tomorrow night.

People in Brisbane will see the Moon rise while it is totally eclipsed, appearing a dark rusty-brown colour.



Blood Moon on the Rise - ABC
_________________________
Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe habour. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover....

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#912611 - 21/12/2010 20:51 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: shama]
!SCHUMMY! Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/04/2008
Posts: 2915
Loc: Jimboomba, SEQ
was a nice lunar eclipse, wasnt able to go out and only managed to get one shot behind the trees frown

it was my first eclipse so i was happy either way lol


Edited by !SCHUMMY! (21/12/2010 20:51)

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#912618 - 21/12/2010 21:00 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: !SCHUMMY!]
Ozzroo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/08/2005
Posts: 158
Loc: Spring Mountain, Queensland
We dropped to 9.1 at 4.26am this morning. Also lowest December morning I have recorded in 5 years of
weather recording in Brisbane.
_________________________
Spring Mountain Weather Centre
http://www.primagicproductions.com/weather/

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#912622 - 21/12/2010 21:17 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Ozzroo]
Scottie A Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2009
Posts: 2050
Loc: Spring Mountain, Greenbank
Originally Posted By: Ozzroo
We dropped to 9.1 at 4.26am this morning. Also lowest December morning I have recorded in 5 years of
weather recording in Brisbane.


It definitely felt like it I nearly had to grab another blanket to put on my bed after putting summer sheets on!!


Edited by Scottie A (21/12/2010 21:18)
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#913379 - 23/12/2010 14:20 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Scottie A]
DARK&STORMY Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/05/2007
Posts: 1613
Loc: Kilkivan, Wide Bay Burnett, QL...
Did a bit of cutting and pasting from the BOM state outlook for the mention of our area from Fri to Sun, gives a bit of an idea whats on the cards atm. I have no time to go through all the updates of rainfall charts for how much rainfall is expected over these days but looks to be wet.


A monsoon low will develop on the trough during Thursday,

Forecast for Friday The monsoon low will move close to the north tropical coast by evening. Rain areas with moderate to heavy falls will increase over the southeast of the state and the southeast tropics. The heavy falls will become focused mostly about the tropical coast to the northern Capricornia area.

Forecast for Saturday The monsoon low will move into the southern tropical interior and weaken, whilst another monsoon low is expected to develop on the trough in the Gulf of Carpentaria. So further rain areas with widespread moderate to heavy falls will occur generally over the southern tropics and most of the southeast of the state.

Forecast for Sunday A surface trough is expected to lie from the northwest of the state into the Warrego. Further rain areas with widespread moderate to heavy falls will occur to the north and east of the trough.

http://forecasts.bsch.au.com/forecast_machine.html

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#913450 - 23/12/2010 16:16 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: DARK&STORMY]
Buff-WeatherNutt Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/07/2005
Posts: 398
Loc: Beaudesert, SE QLD
http://forecasts.bsch.au.com/apf.html?region=brisbane&start=1&stop=8&gribdate=2010122300

If that came off, Queensland would ruined! Well the southern/eastern sector! WOW

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#913468 - 23/12/2010 16:40 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Buff-WeatherNutt]
KevG Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2009
Posts: 166
Loc: Modanville Northern Rivers
Gotta remember to halve the totals with GFS thats usually about right. LOL

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#913471 - 23/12/2010 16:42 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: KevG]
Buff-WeatherNutt Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/07/2005
Posts: 398
Loc: Beaudesert, SE QLD
Haha I know, but sometimes you just look at something so extreme, you expect at least some grunt with predictions like that!! It will probably be different by tomorrow but still wow!

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#913476 - 23/12/2010 16:48 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Buff-WeatherNutt]
shama Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 784
Loc: Frenchs Forest, Petrie, QLD (H...
750mm just out of St George! Geez thats a lot of rain for a week - almost a metre!



Edited by shama (23/12/2010 16:52)
Edit Reason: wrong thread! :-)

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#917186 - 28/12/2010 09:34 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: shama]
Adam Ant Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/10/2003
Posts: 1039
Loc: West Toowoomba
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...

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#917195 - 28/12/2010 10:03 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Adam Ant]
pabloako Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/03/2007
Posts: 1641
Loc: Ocean View, Queensland
Originally Posted By: Adam Ant
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...


I am getting bored with this weather now frown
Can I order some sunshine please?
_________________________
Ocean View, QLD. (Alt. 412m)

GFS + Long Range - http://www.OceanViewWeather.com.au/GFS
Himawari Satellite Images - http://www.OceanViewWeather.com.au/Satellite

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#917232 - 28/12/2010 10:55 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: pabloako]
Radar05 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 25/12/2010
Posts: 1
Loc: Goonellabah, Lismore
Originally Posted By: pabloako
Originally Posted By: Adam Ant
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...


I am getting bored with this weather now frown
Can I order some sunshine please?


Yes please bring that on.

what is sun?????? poke

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#917234 - 28/12/2010 10:58 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Adam Ant]
WelloMeteo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1488
Loc: Wellington Point SEQ (30km eas...
Originally Posted By: Adam Ant
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...


Looks like a cyclone/low crossing the central coast - today is the last day I can cancel my camping booking (5th - 12th) and get a credit for the fees - curious to know how much faith people hold in extended GFS??

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#917248 - 28/12/2010 11:42 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: WelloMeteo]
Adam Ant Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/10/2003
Posts: 1039
Loc: West Toowoomba
Originally Posted By: WelloMeteo
Originally Posted By: Adam Ant
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...


Looks like a cyclone/low crossing the central coast - today is the last day I can cancel my camping booking (5th - 12th) and get a credit for the fees - curious to know how much faith people hold in extended GFS??


Ive always liked extended gfs for trough systems, I think it always gives you a ball park figure a week out. However Im not sure on its accuracy for lows. You might be better asking that in the tropical thread...Ec also has a low around mackay on its final day (6 jan). Long way out to call

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#917258 - 28/12/2010 12:07 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Adam Ant]
StevefromSurfers Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 294
Loc: Surfers Paradise
Whats causing it to be so windy?

Cape Moreton 83km/h 94km/h gusts!

Stronger winds than Cyclone Tasha last week!


Edited by StevefromSurfers (28/12/2010 12:13)

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#917432 - 28/12/2010 17:43 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: WelloMeteo]
DARK&STORMY Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/05/2007
Posts: 1613
Loc: Kilkivan, Wide Bay Burnett, QL...
Originally Posted By: WelloMeteo
Originally Posted By: Adam Ant
Extended Gfs is pointing towards some more rain next week sometime...


Looks like a cyclone/low crossing the central coast - today is the last day I can cancel my camping booking (5th - 12th) and get a credit for the fees - curious to know how much faith people hold in extended GFS??


There was only once I can recall that extended GFS got it right with picking up cyclone development and followed through with it, and that was servere TC Hammish which in the end just missed the Fraser coast and caused 12mm of rain here with some gusty winds, so even a day out it was hard for models to pedict a path for a crossing which in the end did not happen for a crosssing, Lows are more predictable in models to keep an eye on then cyclones on most occasions.

And Steve those strong winds are from the highs ridge now starting to dominate.


Edited by Muso (28/12/2010 17:49)

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