Wonder what levy they will think up for this event? that is IF things eventuate as so far predicted.

Has anyone done any sort of estimate as to the destructive wind coverage compared to the size of Larry IE: larry was fairly small in size while still packing a big punch, but this one appears to be at least two-three times the size with the same force.

Im not clued in on the MSLP markings ? (if that is what they are) you know the little lines making circles within circles thingys but could someone with the nouse to do so give us an indication of the area we could expect to see destructive winds just going on the models at this stage.

I know it's all up in the air so to speak so far (no pun intended) but a rough guide to what we could expect area wise according to what is indicated so far would be good, just to give a heads up to those in the expected outlying areas.

Thanks in advance for those who know this stuff.

i heard not to sure how true it is but it will just about follow Anthony's track...is this a bit of bull or could it?

i heard not to sure how true it is but it will just about follow Anthony's track...is this a bit of bull or could it?

There is some scientific reasoning there Seventh Storm. As a tropical cyclone tracks over sea, because of the constant and deep cloud cover, it somewhat reduces the SST over the area it travels. Although Anthony was never a broad/deep cyclone, the SST anomalies where Anthony has been is a little cooler.

Link.

I know this sounds stupid.... but is there any chance this thing heading south.. ie Bris Vegas... I am leaving for overseas next week and have the opportunity to push dates back.... just dont want to leave the brand new house by itself if it comes down.... it might get scared!

Thats kind of what I was wondering. The upper level conditions will always change, so it wont be exact, though it could be pretty similar. Like if this ridge dissipates before he comes through, he probably wont end up heading SW, just straight West right into Port Douglas. Who knows ..

Ahh good one Mick10 for getting this thread up and running. I think everyone knows that this system is the one to watch especially if the EC model is to go by. It should enter Australia's waters as a decent established system that will only intensify right into the coast. Australia might have survived the Global finacial crisis relatively unscathed but if this hits a major populated area I reckon Australia will be paying the price for months to come. Lets hope it hits somewhere isolated (is there anywhere isolated in QLD).

Good luck.