#942128 - 29/01/2011 23:06
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: awritingpassion]
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Cloud Gazer
Registered: 26/01/2011
Loc: Gladstone Qld
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Hey first post, been reading for a couple of years just had to get in on this one she just looks so good.
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#942140 - 29/01/2011 23:09
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: DeniseEm]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/01/2011
Loc: Brisbane, Australia
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The scary thing for me is we aren't even in peak season...there is still all of February and March to go!
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#942145 - 29/01/2011 23:11
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: DeniseEm]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 24/01/2010
Loc: Gladstone, QLD
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Is it just me or have the EC & GFS finally agreed on townsville as a crossing point? Just had a look at both maps and they're very similar now.
_________________________
B. Environmental Science @ Griffith University, Brisbane.
Home grown Gladstonite & Uni semesterly resident of the lost city brislantis.
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#942146 - 29/01/2011 23:11
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: awritingpassion]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 16/12/2005
Loc: Bundaberg, QLD
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The scary thing for me is we aren't even in peak season...there is still all of February and March to go! And don't forget the MJO has recently left us, and is predicted back in around 2 weeks...
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#942152 - 29/01/2011 23:12
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: Petros]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 20/03/2009
Loc: Charters Towers
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thats the same track as anthony so t'ville in the firing line still.
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#942156 - 29/01/2011 23:13
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: LittleDavey83]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/01/2011
Loc: Brisbane, Australia
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The scary thing for me is we aren't even in peak season...there is still all of February and March to go! And don't forget the MJO has recently left us, and is predicted back in around 2 weeks... Does the MJO increase the chance of cyclone development? Or just increase strength potential?
Edited by awritingpassion (29/01/2011 23:13)
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#942171 - 29/01/2011 23:19
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: awritingpassion]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 15/12/2007
Loc: Mackay, Qld
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latest EC  No matter where the eye passes over- Townsville/ Ayr/ Bowen/ Prossy/ Mackay- there will be destructive winds felt over an extremely large area. This system is forecast to be extremely HUGE ( not just in wind speeds- but also in area)
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#942180 - 29/01/2011 23:21
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: Occo]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/01/2011
Loc: Brisbane, Australia
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Would those winds be felt as far South as Brisbane area do you think? Lets assume that map is what will happen.
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#942186 - 29/01/2011 23:24
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: awritingpassion]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 22/02/2010
Loc: Emerald
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Don't forget April, there is always one late developer!
_________________________
Weird weather fan!!
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#942190 - 29/01/2011 23:27
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: awritingpassion]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 28/03/2006
Loc: Melbourne
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Was told a theory from an old guy from fnq, about cyclones following each other. he likened it to racing car 'slip streaming' where it's easier to travel in the cleared air behind the leading car. The old guy reckoned therefore that the 2nd system sticks closer to the tracking of the first when they appear in similar waters a few days apart.
Is there anything in this "old wives (man in this case) tale? Is there actual evidence to support the supposition?
_________________________
You want a prediction about the weather, you're asking the wrong Phil. I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey, and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life.
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#942198 - 29/01/2011 23:31
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: kaz14]
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Cloud Gazer
Registered: 23/03/2010
Loc: Atherton QLD
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Man! Townville in firing line for two cyclone in week, this could be a worry! I remember what the damage was like when cyclone Tess hit and that was only Cat 2 Storm. Strand was smashed and castle hill was a mess. Landslides Changed the shape of that big rock taking down homes as well.
Will be an intrested week for you guys, Especially if our new developing friend follows Anthonys path. MTSAT Looks unreal. Love watching the little ones grow and develop. Brings a tear to the eye
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#942199 - 29/01/2011 23:31
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: BigBen]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 13/01/2011
Loc: Emerald Q.
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Was told a theory from an old guy from fnq, about cyclones following each other. he likened it to racing car 'slip streaming' where it's easier to travel in the cleared air behind the leading car. The old guy reckoned therefore that the 2nd system sticks closer to the tracking of the first when they appear in similar waters a few days apart.
Is there anything in this "old wives (man in this case) tale? Is there actual evidence to support the supposition? Perhaps unrelated but sometimes in western Queensland early season storms will use the same track over several days resulting in great starts for some graziers while neighbours miss out altogether.
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#942220 - 29/01/2011 23:43
Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (SPAC, Coral Sea) - 29/01/11 - 3/2/11 - General Chat
[Re: Morning Glory]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 22/03/2010
Loc: Yungaburra FNQ
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Does the GFS model look a little further north than the EC model, or am I just imagining things???
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