Page 21 of 114 < 1 2 ... 19 20 21 22 23 ... 113 114 >
Topic Options
#949308 - 01/02/2011 16:43 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Tan]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13339
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
I will Tan! I wouldn't expect the surge to affect the coast until about lunchtime at least.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

Top
#949318 - 01/02/2011 16:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: exodus]
nthqlndr Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/03/2010
Posts: 566
Loc: Andergrove, Qld
Virgin Airlines have just put out an announcment regarding extra flights to NQ for people wanting to leave the area. See http://www.virginblue.com.au/MinorIncidentReport/index.htm for details.
_________________________
It is best to read the weather forecast before praying for rain. --- Mark Twain

Top
#949320 - 01/02/2011 16:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Raindammit]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
army truck just turned up in our street big truck seeing neighbours on the low side of the street listening to anna bligh on the radio saying all this stuff about cairns to me it seems a bit early for bom to be calling it so sure thing as was seen with anthony to hard to be that precise this far out opinions???

Top
#949331 - 01/02/2011 16:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
Maisie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/03/2004
Posts: 1515
Loc: Bluewater Park,Nth of Townsvil...
Nitso Why does it look like its going NW on BOM satellite but sw on NOAA.

Top
#949343 - 01/02/2011 16:57 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Maisie]
Mr_Billiam Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 21
Loc: Townsville
I think that's down to the projection of the satellite map. NOAA flattens things out (removes the 'bulge' from the curvature of the planet) while the BOM uses a raw image.

Top
#949352 - 01/02/2011 17:00 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Maisie]
DeniseEm Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/02/2010
Posts: 1092
Loc: Cobar, NSW
Goodluck with all your homes up NQ and HOPEFULLY most of you will get through with mininal damage. And TRAV dont try anything stupid ( we all know your secret obsession is to be in the EYE of a Cat 5 ). Most of you will be prepared and ready by now. All thats left is the nerve wrecking hours of the countdown to the coast. Dont forget to keep updating us all in the next 2 days so we know all our weatherzone buddies are ok.

Top
#949356 - 01/02/2011 17:01 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Mr_Billiam]
Maisie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/03/2004
Posts: 1515
Loc: Bluewater Park,Nth of Townsvil...
Originally Posted By: bbbbk
I think that's down to the projection of the satellite map. NOAA flattens things out (removes the 'bulge' from the curvature of the planet) while the BOM uses a raw image.

Thank you for that,I couldnt work it out. TC Yasi has gone a lot more nth than expected.
I notice that Victoria has dropped 17deg in 10 mins so obviously their cool change has gone thru which may mean the high is moving away. Will this make a difference to Yasi or is it too late now.
Even though still about 36hrs from landfall.

Top
#949359 - 01/02/2011 17:01 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: DeniseEm]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
http://realtime2.bsch.au.com/vis_sat2.html?region=coralsea&loop=no&images=&allday=&start=&stop=#nav
and the bom satelite how can they be so sure with the sth west track??????????

Top
#949378 - 01/02/2011 17:11 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Maisie]
Mr_Billiam Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 21
Loc: Townsville
Originally Posted By: Maisie
Originally Posted By: bbbbk
I think that's down to the projection of the satellite map. NOAA flattens things out (removes the 'bulge' from the curvature of the planet) while the BOM uses a raw image.

Thank you for that,I couldnt work it out. TC Yasi has gone a lot more nth than expected.
I notice that Victoria has dropped 17deg in 10 mins so obviously their cool change has gone thru which may mean the high is moving away. Will this make a difference to Yasi or is it too late now.
Even though still about 36hrs from landfall.


I think we're best of deferring to Nitso at this point, but given how far Yasi is from the coast there's a lot of water to cross before she crosses anywhere. As the BOM officials said at the last press conference, these things can change over only a few hours.

Top
#949399 - 01/02/2011 17:23 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville
Originally Posted By: mow the lawn
army truck just turned up in our street big truck seeing neighbours on the low side of the street

where was this ?

Top
#949401 - 01/02/2011 17:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Mr_Billiam]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14283
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Mainly beacuse they use something a tad more sophisticated than using a Mow the Lawn Mark 1 eyeball.


Edited by Sir BoabTree (01/02/2011 17:25)
_________________________
785mm Jan
799mm Feb
70 March
2019 Total 1654mm
2018 Total 822mm






Top
#949403 - 01/02/2011 17:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: exodus]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
Annandale exodus

Top
#949448 - 01/02/2011 17:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
yeah SBT i understand that but it just seems a little early for them to be so precise given what i have witnessed in past cyclones of all shapes and sizes from this far out i dont think gthey have ever been correct from this far out it is a good guide but never deadly accuratasle like they are treating it that is all

Top
#949451 - 01/02/2011 17:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
LD 4811 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/03/2010
Posts: 481
Loc: Idalia Townsville QLD
Is it just me or is it beginning to feel a lot more hot and humid??

Top
#949455 - 01/02/2011 17:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: LD 4811]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23708
Loc: Townsville
Classic townsville forcast

Warning Summary at issue time
A CYCLONE WARNING has been declared for coastal areas of the district.

For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld

Forecast for Tuesday
Isolated showers, more scattered in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms, chiefly afternoon and evening. Moderate SE to E winds tending fresh and gusty at times in the afternoon and evening near the coast.

Townsville: A few showers. Light to moderate SE to E winds tending fresh and gusty at times in the afternoon and evening.

Townsville: A few showers Max 31UV 15Ayr/Home Hill: A few showers Max 32UV 15Ingham: A few showers Max 32UV 15Bowen: A few showers Max 32UV 15UV Alert from 8:20 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Forecast for Wednesday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms tending scattered with areas of rain. Heavy falls developing in the afternoon. Damaging wind developing during the day and becoming destructive in coastal areas north of Townsville in the evening.

Townsville: Showers increasing to squally rain.Min 25Max 32Forecast for Thursday
Widespread showers, rain areas and thunderstorms. Damaging winds tending destructive in coastal areas north of Townsville in the morning. Heavy falls.

Townsville: Squally rain, storms. Min 25Max 26Forecast for Friday
Scattered showers, rain areas and thunderstorms. Strong winds easing.

Townsville: Rain periods, storm Min 25Max 29

Destructive in the north !!!!! thats assuming yasi doesnt move further south.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

Top
#949458 - 01/02/2011 17:52 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: LD 4811]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
i worked today it has been humid all day bloody shocking in air con now while i still have power so i dunno wouldnt be surprised though

Top
#949461 - 01/02/2011 17:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
so what are you guys thinking trav dog

Top
#949462 - 01/02/2011 17:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mow the lawn]
mscactus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/10/2005
Posts: 2240
Loc: Heatley QLD
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 7
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:53pm EST on Tuesday the 1st of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Melville to Sarina
extending inland to Georgetown and west of Charters Towers.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Lockhart River to Cape
Melville and for the northern tropical interior.

The Cyclone WATCH from Sarina to Yeppoon has been cancelled.

At 4:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 3 was estimated to be
1020 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 1020 kilometres east northeast of
Townsville moving west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour.

YASI IS A LARGE AND POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES A SERIOUS THREAT TO
NORTH QUEENSLAND COMMUNITIES

The Cyclone is expected to slowly intensify overnight and continue moving in a
west-southwesterly direction.

DAMAGING winds with gusts to 90 km/hr are expected to develop on the islands
during Wednesday morning, then extend onto the coast during the day, and
further inland across the northern tropical interior overnight.

Between Cooktown and Townsville these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts
in excess of 125km/hr late Wednesday afternoon and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts
above 170 km/hr between Port Douglas and Cardwell during the evening as the
cyclone approaches.

As the centre approaches the coast sea levels between Cairns and Townsville will
rise significantly above the normal tide with damaging waves, strong currents
and flooding of low lying areas near the shoreline.

Flooding rains will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during Wednesday afternoon
and then extend inland overnight.


People between Cooktown and Sarina and extending inland to areas from Georgetown
to west of Charters Towers should immediately commence or continue preparations,
especially securing boats and property [using available daylight hours/before
nightfall].
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

People between Lockhart River and Cooktown and remaining tropical interior
should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat
increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.4 degrees South 154.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 220 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 3
.Central pressure......... 960 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 8:00 pm EST Tuesday 01 February.

Top
#949467 - 01/02/2011 17:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: mscactus]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23708
Loc: Townsville
If the ridge weakens out, we could see YASI cross as far south as cardwell, meaning townsville could possibly see the worst.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

Top
#949468 - 01/02/2011 17:57 Re: North Queensland Wet Season 2010/11 Cardwell to Bowen - February 2011 [Re: Dawgggg]
mow the lawn Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 145
what are the chances of that ridge weakening and do you think this is a likely scenario

Top
Page 21 of 114 < 1 2 ... 19 20 21 22 23 ... 113 114 >


Who's Online
13 registered (CirrusFibratus, balmz, cold@28, Alex_96L, Dahlia, Snowmaker, Birdie, wetdreams, davidg, mysteriousbrad, bbowen, Ricky, 1 invisible), 114 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
james123, Weary
Forum Stats
29893 Members
32 Forums
24118 Topics
1521975 Posts

Max Online: 2985 @ 26/01/2019 12:05
Satellite Image