NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019

Posted by: Seabreeze

NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/12/2018 20:43

This is the NSW Day-to-Day weather thread for 2019.
Use it like you did with the previous one that ran for over 12 years. smile

By splitting the NSW Day-to-Day thread into years, it should make finding information about past weather easier and give more organisation to the general weather discussion that occurs in NSW outside of the event threads.

The following may help with finding information in the previous Day-to-Day thread that ran from July 2006 to December 2018.

Quote:
If set to the default setting of 20 posts per page, this is the yearly distribution of posts in the previous day-to-day thread:
2006 - Pages 1 to 9
2007 - Pages 9 to 55
2008 - Pages 55 to 87
2009 - Pages 87 to 126
2010 - Pages 126 to 254
2011 - Pages 254 to 352
2012 - Pages 352 to 502
2013 - Pages 502 to 648
2014 - Pages 648 to 834
2015 - Pages 834 to 1053
2016 - Pages 1053 to 1244
2017 - Pages 1244 to 1470
2018 - Pages 1470 to 1748

And the seasonal distribution of posts in the previous day-to-day thread:
July & August 2006 - Pages 1 to 4
Spring 2006 - Pages 4 to 7
Summer 2006/07 - Pages 8 to 10
Autumn 2007 - Pages 10 to 23
Winter 2007 - Pages 23 to 32
Spring 2007 - Pages 32 to 52
Summer 2007/08 - Pages 52 to 61
Autumn 2008 - Pages 61 to 67
Winter 2008 - Pages 67 to 75
Spring 2008 - Pages 75 to 87
Summer 2008/09 - Pages 87 to 88
Autumn 2009 - Pages 88 to 96
Winter 2009 - Pages 96 to 110
Spring 2009 - Pages 111 to 122
Summer 2009/10 - Pages 122 to 138
Autumn 2010 - Pages 138 to 181
Winter 2010 - Pages 182 to 215
Spring 2010 - Pages 215 to 245
Summer 2010/11 - Pages 245 to 267
Autumn 2011 - Pages 267 to 286
Winter 2011 - Pages 286 to 308
Spring 2011 - Pages 308 to 339
Summer 2011/12 - Pages 339 to 369
Autumn 2012 - Pages 369 to 395
Winter 2012 - Pages 395 to 427
Spring 2012 - Pages 427 to 476
Summer 2012/13 - Pages 476 to 533
Autumn 2013 - Pages 533 to 569
Winter 2013 - Pages 569 to 612
Spring 2013 - Pages 612 to 641
Summer 2013/14 - Pages 642 to 691
Autumn 2014 - Pages 691 to 721
Winter 2014 - Pages 721 to 774
Spring 2014 - Pages 774 to 826
Summer 2014/15 - Pages 826 to 871
Autumn 2015 - Pages 871 to 931
Winter 2015 - Pages 931 to 987
Spring 2015 - Pages 987 to 1030
Summer 2015/16 - Pages 1030 to 1073
Autumn 2016 - Pages 1073 to 1119
Winter 2016 - Pages 1119 to 1149
Spring 2016 - Pages 1149 to 1214
Summer 2016/17 - Pages 1214 to 1259
Autumn 2017 - Pages 1259 to 1308
Winter 2017 - Pages 1308 to 1390
Spring 2017 - Pages 1390 to 1457
Summer 2017/18 - Pages 1457 to 1529
Autumn 2018 - Pages 1529 to 1607
Winter 2018 - Pages 1607 to 1669
Spring & December 2018 - Pages 1669 to 1748

cheers
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/12/2018 19:34

Thanks Seabreeze

Appreciate all the work you have done and continue to do, enjoy NYE.

Here's to 2019.

cheers

Ed
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 00:31

HAPPY NEW YEAR!
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 09:57

30C forecast top today for Sydney Airport.
Was already 29.3 at 8:53am.
Dropped back to 28.4 now after the wind change to the NW went back to the NNE.

The glorious blue skies return! Hooray
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 10:11

New year new thread.

It's beautiful day today, although very humid, a return to the recent pattern. The sea breeze is up and running near the coast after flukey light winds earlier. Sydney OH has already been to 27.9 against a forecast 29, but I think that it will probably hover around 27-28 all day now, maybe briefly spiking to 29 or 30. I think that the Airport will probably get into the low 30s as it has been doing this past week. It will be hot again for the Western suburbs.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 10:16

Happy new year everybody. A lot more humid today than yesterday probably from the rain yesterday arvo and overnight.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 10:37

First all blue sky for the year in Sydney

Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 11:26

A happy new year folks.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/01/2019 18:30

December 15th supercell that caused so much damage here. Have posted more in relevant thread. Thx to Eddy G.
https://postimg.cc/LhBnH4Ps][/url
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 09:37

Newcastle (Merewether beach) water temp down to 18.4° today. It even looks icy on webcam.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 10:11

Originally Posted By: Funkyseefunkydo
Newcastle (Merewether beach) water temp down to 18.4° today. It even looks icy on webcam.


Similar here, maybe even 17, ridiculous days and days of strong NE’erlies. The great irony of the NSW Central Coast & south - warmer weather, freezing ocean. Cold weather, warmer ocean 💁🏻‍♂️🤷🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 10:46

S’pose the fishing will be fantastic with all this upwelling?
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 11:03

Great storm, cloud and sky pictures. I do like a clear blue sky. It's a great backdrop for distant storm clouds, in 3 months' time for Autumn trees and for Jacarandas in 10 months.

----

Re sea temps, here are the MHL measurements about 10 km off Sydney's Northern beaches. It looks like the Battle of the Currents:



We seem to be getting regular deviations about a degree either side of the average (about 21.6). The frequency seems to be roughly daily. The tides perhaps?
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 12:24

The water temps seem to have recovered at least on the Shoalhaven Coast, probably from the lack of sea breeze the last few days. Not sure about Wollongong coast but probably pretty similar. Felt around 21°C to me and had a nice blue colour instead of a greenish tinge that seems to happen when the water is cold.

In fact it was almost the perfect beach day. Temps were mild (around 22-23°C) but the lack of breeze made it feel much warmer than it was.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 13:25

Quagmelson,What a great pick of that storm.it sure looks savage.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/01/2019 17:55

Further to this morning's discussion, here's an article in this morning's SMH about the cold water at the beach this Summer: Why it's hot on the beach and cold in the surf

Apparently have been more sea fogs as well, including this morning at Bondi.
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/01/2019 19:05

Been down in Jervis Bay for the yearly family holiday, and I gotta say the water's been spectacular. Wouldn't've called it unusually cold at all. Not sure what's going on up in Sydney.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/01/2019 20:16

The water at Mollymook is now quite warm after being freezing on the weekend. Long surfs are being had in just boardies with no problems even though air temps haven’t passed 25C. I was almost too warm in a wetsuit top (yet had to wear a full steamer on the weekend).

I think we’ve have more SE winds, rather than NE, which may have helped.

I have some photos and a crappy time lapse of that roll cloud riding the change earlier in the week. Will upload when I’m back tomorrow night.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 00:21

I went to Huskisson today. Water temp was quite comfortable.
I cannot believe how strong the north easter has been here this afternoon.
It's after midnight now and it's still blowing a gale.
It made dinner on the back deck of the rental very uncomfortable, but happily cool.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 07:56

Went to Malua Bay a few times for Summer hols as a kid.

The cyclone strength Nor'Easter was what I remember most about that place. Hated it. Could not do anything outside after about mid afternoon.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 08:28

Addams Family cloud over Sydney:



Just very low stratus and fog. It should burn off soon.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 09:42

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Addams Family cloud over Sydney:



Just very low stratus and fog. It should burn off soon.


Looks awesome. Pretty much fills in every bit of low elevation in the area. Even as far away as the valley of Glen Davis.

Would have loved to see the view at Kurrajong Heights lookout.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 10:47

Bank of sea fog sitting off the Northern Beaches now.
Bits and pieces spilling over North Head into the harbour.

An impressive site but it does tell the story of the nasty Ekman transport. Shows up well on layers with enhanced IR.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 12:36

Wasn't much of any sea breeze yesterday afternoon in my area, until about 8pm where it picked up a little on the coast.

A bit stronger today but still not bad, while the South Coast is getting quite a strong NEer. Even more so in Eastern Tassie, the winds there got to 87km/h at Tasman Island early this morning.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 13:03

Originally Posted By: kizz
Went to Malua Bay a few times for Summer hols as a kid.

The cyclone strength Nor'Easter was what I remember most about that place. Hated it. Could not do anything outside after about mid afternoon.


We were on the south coast from Boxing day for a week. The water temps were comfortably warm....I was expecting much brisker!

The other thing that surprised me was the complete lack of seabreeze during our time. We were staying a little bit inland, but I spent 3 afternoons fishing at Broulee and on 2 of those days there was no air movement at all. I found it quite disconcerting. It was just dead still and I couldnt really remember a time when I was on a beach and there was no wind at all. Clearly it was the exception for the area....made for good fishing and swimming though. very pleasant.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 14:14

Not weather related but a massive tanker crash and fire here - traffic is a nightmare. Banked 20-30kms in both directions atm.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 14:50

Next week looks amazing for storms. Almost worth a thread - should be plenty of severe storms about with gorilla hail possible.

Synoptic setup looks to be a thermal trough linking with a short wave trough that stalls, fed by a ne / flow with decent moisture. Looks like storms will start over the ranges Sun/Mon but then push more coastal across that week.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 15:40

Blowing the proverbial dog off a chain all day here in Culburra. Very unpleasant beach conditions so I'm passing time reading a book and watching the cricket.
The cricket is very unpleasant as well.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 17:06

Here's Narrabeen Beach early this afternoon. A perfect beach day, about 26° with a gentle sea breeze. It looks empty but it was actually crowded for a week day. Everyone was just down the beach between the flags.


Narrabeen Beach
by Steve, on Flickr

There was no sign of sea fog there, but further South it was hazy out to see and there were patches of low cloud.

Here's the view of Sydney Harbour from North Head, with the city skyline in the distance:


Sydney Harbour
by Steve, on Flickr
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 17:17

Im about 60kms sth of you Homer at Murramarang. Not so bad here wind wise but sand is too hot so doing the same as you! Just add a tall frosty. Hopefully some storm action tomorrow.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 19:43

Originally Posted By: Homer
Blowing the proverbial dog off a chain all day here in Culburra. Very unpleasant beach conditions so I'm passing time reading a book and watching the cricket.
The cricket is very unpleasant as well.


You could always do a bit of kite surfing in that wind? It looks fun.
As for the Cricket its clear India are playing for the draw, and its a wonder they didn't bat on. Although they have enough runs to win the match outright, not that Im giving up, the Aussie's could pile on 800 runs in the next two days and bowl India all out on the last day for 100 runs, and then the alarm clock went off!! laugh grin poke

Back to the weather how good were some of those temps in far west NSW and Vic today, 46.6c I saw somewhere in Vic today. Gee I would love to see some of that here!!

Nice looking day in old Sydney town Steve777.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 21:02

I, for one, am glad tomorrow this weather pattern is over.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 21:43

Originally Posted By: Petar @ Sdny
I, for one, am glad tomorrow this weather pattern is over.


Agree. I live in a double brick unit that generally doesn't get much, if any, direct sunlight and all windows and curtains have been closed during the day which has kept it comfortable in the past.

The last few days the average temperature has nudged 29 degrees and held there, with the humidity it has not been comfortable. It takes all night for the temperature to drop a degree by morning with the windows and balcony door wide open.

When using the air conditioning and turning it off it doesn't take long for the temperature to increase back to 28-29 as there's just so much heat been absorbed by the brick for such an extended duration of time.

It also doesn't make good outdoor weather i put hehe unless you head east to the beach.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 21:46

Originally Posted By: Perfect Storm
Originally Posted By: Petar @ Sdny
I, for one, am glad tomorrow this weather pattern is over.


Agree. I live in a double brick unit that generally doesn't get much, if any, direct sunlight and all windows and curtains have been closed during the day which has kept it comfortable in the past.

The last few days the average temperature has nudged 29 degrees and held there, with the humidity it has not been comfortable. It takes all night for the temperature to drop a degree by morning with the windows and balcony door wide open.

When using the air conditioning and turning it off it doesn't take long for the temperature to increase back to 28-29 as there's just so much heat been absorbed by the brick for such an extended duration of time.

It also doesn't make good outdoor weather unless you're at the beach.


My place gets to 32.5c easily during the arvo even when it doesnt hit that temp. So ill be incredibly glad. These past 2 weeks make me really glad AC exists grin.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 21:49

Originally Posted By: Sidney


My place gets to 32.5c easily during the arvo even when it doesnt hit that temp. So ill be incredibly glad. These past 2 weeks make me really glad AC exists grin.


Yikes!! shocked

The change in weather pattern can't come soon enough then!
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 21:59

Originally Posted By: Perfect Storm
Originally Posted By: Sidney


My place gets to 32.5c easily during the arvo even when it doesnt hit that temp. So ill be incredibly glad. These past 2 weeks make me really glad AC exists grin.


Yikes!! shocked

The change in weather pattern can't come soon enough then!


Yeah house is poorly planned out. Majority of windows face the West. No windows face east. One window towards the south.

Not only that, the neighbors metal shed's roof faces our west facing windows. So not only do we get the sunsets heat. We also cop the UV reflection from that roof.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/01/2019 23:47

Originally Posted By: Sidney

Yeah house is poorly planned out. Majority of windows face the West. No windows face east. One window towards the south.

Not only that, the neighbors metal shed's roof faces our west facing windows. So not only do we get the sunsets heat. We also cop the UV reflection from that roof.


Sounds like a bit of frustrating layout as you cop it from all sides.

Tomorrow I'm going to the beach really nice and early before the change and thunderstorms. Going to enjoy as much as I can beforehand before the change in weather. Hopefully some storms tomorrow and useful rain. smile
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/01/2019 00:34

I am glad I am not the only one. My rental apartment has a east to west layout with no windows to the south. I am also on top of a bakery. The apartment is old style, takes in heat, slow to release brick work frown

So it'll take several days to cool off. The place is warm to the touch including my bedroom.

Cool change looks like its the VIC-NSW border regions.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/01/2019 03:27

Sunset Thursday evening taken from North head (same position Steve took his photo from), the Harbour bridge was somewhere to the right. Would've been cool to have the sun and the bridge in line.

Sunrise
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/01/2019 06:56

Wow 24.1C min here in Monash, ACT As a minimum thats crazy warm for southern Canberra. Much more exposed sites where the official weather stations will report slightly lower minimums but down here in suburbia amongst all the houses the UHI effect is well pronounced.

Oh and Happy New Year everybody I'm still watching the forum!

Cheers
Edit Oh and we are going for our 12th day in a row above 33C!
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 12:51

Light drizzle falling here from that stalled trough. With the middle layer cloud deck and low level marine scum deck I can't see how most areas of the basin will even get above 20 today. Miserable, gloomy nuisance is all this is.

GFS fantasy hinting at a return to extended heat. Normally I wouldn't get my hopes up but it's been there for a few runs now and it nailed the heatwave we just had.
Should get a goat and make an offering to the appropriate deities to ensure it happens.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 13:11

First session of day 4 has been washed out, where was this rain in Melbourne?

Come to think of it, I can’t remember the last Sydney Test that didn’t have some sort of rain delay.

Looking at it, since 2009 5 Sydney tests have had rain delays. 2009 and 2012-2015 were dry, the rest have had rain.

Looking at OH, if today stays below 20 it will be the first time in 3 years that January has had a sub 20 max. Currently it is 19.1c. Much nicer than 38c, gives the houre a chance to cool down and gives the AC a rest. Each to their own I guess.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 14:35

Warming up again at the end of the week, but I hope we get rain again soon,We missed it all last night
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 15:36

Storms are developing NW of Merriwa but they will fizzle out before getting any closer to coast,storms will be back from tomorrow on,hoping I get some out of the next out break.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 19:11

What a sh1t of a day, 21.7c was my top today, too cool to get out and mow lawns today.
Currently 19.6c with some of the finest drizzle you will ever see.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 20:06

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
First session of day 4 has been washed out, where was this rain in Melbourne?

Come to think of it, I can’t remember the last Sydney Test that didn’t have some sort of rain delay.

You need to get tested for Alzheimer's. 2016 was almost a total washout.

With few exceptions the Sydney test, and any limited over match, has an uncanny knack of picking a day(s) of rain in between lengthy spells of fine weather.
This year has not failed to disappoint.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 21:07

So now we've lost temp data for Penrith. Not a good start to the year for the basin sites. Four have incomplete data for the year. A year that is six days old.

Penrith
Terrey Hills
Sydney Harbour
Badgerys Creek

Badgerys has been offline for about 3 weeks now so not sure what's going on there.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 21:19

Originally Posted By: kizz
Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
First session of day 4 has been washed out, where was this rain in Melbourne?

Come to think of it, I can’t remember the last Sydney Test that didn’t have some sort of rain delay.

You need to get tested for Alzheimer's. 2016 was almost a total washout.

With few exceptions the Sydney test, and any limited over match, has an uncanny knack of picking a day(s) of rain in between lengthy spells of fine weather.
This year has not failed to disappoint.


That’s what I said, that I can’t remember the last test without rain... I’d be worried to have Alzheimer’s at 23! And it used to be annoying, but with the way we’re playing now it would be better if this rain happened in Melbourne.

Got to 20.8 today. Surprised that nothing got picked up in the gauge, there was a lot of drizzle about today.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/01/2019 22:29

I'm peripherally interested in cricket but not much into its traditions. But why can't they play the game when it rains, even marginal showers like today? Baseball continues in light rain. What about England, known to experience the odd spot of cloudy, wet weather. Do they stop playing if it's overcast, even without rain? Does drizzle too light to register stop games over there?

I think the game needs a few changes so that days like today don't cause interruptions. Yesterday was fair enough, with heavy showers and lightning about, but today? If that's not possible, test matches in NSW/ACT should only be played in inland centres like Canberra or Bathurst.

Anyway, a lot of time will probably be lost tomorrow as well, with 850 humidity over Sydney 90%+ until late tomorrow afternoon.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 07:15

This time last year it was 41c here at 10am...now it’s a gloomy 19 and lucky to break 20
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 08:41

Much the same here Kino, although slightly warmer 22c and 3.8mm of drizzle.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 09:16

Gloomy, almost windless and 22 degrees in Sydney this morning. That's actually a degree bonus on yesterday's maximum. The drizzle seems to have stopped but soundings and 850 temps show the cloud sticking around until early tomorrow.

In spite of persistent drizzle here for much of yesterday, at Moore Park and presumably at OH in between those locations, the OH rain gauge did not register a drop of rain. Nowhere in Sydney seems to have registered more than 0.2 mm.

So humid, overcast but with little or no rain, temperature stuck around 20 degrees all day and all night. Warm clammy nights, gloomy days which feel cold if the wind picks up. My least favourite weather - whinge whinge whinge...
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 09:39

I don't mind one or two days like this in between heat events. It gives the house a chance to cool before the next heat event.

However, when we get overcast stratus, south-easterly, low-20's weather like this for a week in summer then it gets annoying. I remember summer 2011-2012, especially in December, almost every day was like this, not good at all.
Posted by: rain gauge

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 11:11

Awwww I love this weather. No hideously hot days ,no threat of tennis ball sized hail.. I hope it stays like this till march 1st
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 11:59

Originally Posted By: Steve777
I'm peripherally interested in cricket but not much into its traditions. But why can't they play the game when it rains, even marginal showers like today? Baseball continues in light rain. What about England, known to experience the odd spot of cloudy, wet weather. Do they stop playing if it's overcast, even without rain? Does drizzle too light to register stop games over there?

I think the game needs a few changes so that days like today don't cause interruptions. Yesterday was fair enough, with heavy showers and lightning about, but today? If that's not possible, test matches in NSW/ACT should only be played in inland centres like Canberra or Bathurst.

Anyway, a lot of time will probably be lost tomorrow as well, with 850 humidity over Sydney 90%+ until late tomorrow afternoon.


In a word, it's safety. Low light and bowling up to 150kmph is a recipe for disaster for the batsmen, and a slippery ball leads to beamers (full tosses at the head), and the risk of slipping when coming in to bowl and doing damage to a bowler as well. Additionally, playing in heavy rain means the wicket gets wet, and players would have to bat on a sticky (drying and humid) wicket, that has variable bounce, leading to the risk of injury. Having said that, I don't think conditions were that bad yesterday, definitely not bad enough for light to stop play in the afternoon. As you say, if this test was in England I doubt play would be stopped. Unfortunately there's not much chance of the game going to inland NSW, as Canberra is only this season hosting its first test. Cricke is very inflexible... If a pink ball was used then play under lights could be done, which I think is essential, all cricket should use the pink ball now.

Onto the weather. Dreary day today, more like mid to late autumn than high summer, but I'm very much enjoying the cooler weather, I hope it lasts.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 13:35

I like warmer weather but admittedly I'm kind of enjoying this weather as well. After two weeks of hot and/or humid weather, a couple of cool cloudy days are nice. It should be gone tomorrow and we look forward to more thunderstorms in this fantastic storm season.

There's no wind today so it feels mild, unlike yesterday which was breezy and felt genuinely cool in the wind.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 13:47

A few cells out near Orange now moving East
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 16:12

Very much liking the look of the current GFS run. Shows a retrograding upper low moving towards the central NSW coast inside 7 days. Yes please. Storms before, storms after....and more movement in the uppers towards the end of the run. Much more the sort of model run I like. Keep it up!

Pizzle here on and off today. Very dry again other than damp pizzle grass. Dams almost given back what December gave. Still very low for me and many others....
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 16:18

A lot of cloud streaming down from Queensland.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 17:04

Looking like a nice stream of moisture arriving in time for storms, hopefully those who missed out last time get a nice soaking. Along with the rest of us getting rid of those deficits.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 17:30

Coastal sites look bound for bonus additions to today's maximum by 9am tomorrow.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 18:13

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
...In a word, it's safety.


Thank you McBobbings - interesting. We don't want to risk player safety.

Re weather, after looking brighter this morning and starting to warm up, the gloom closed in around 9:30 AM, with drizzle mostly sticking around until about 4:00 PM. So after being stuck on 20 all night, it was stuck on 21 all day.

It's brightening up a bit now. The Sun even tried to come out, enough to get the cicadas going. They've been quiet since Saturday.
Posted by: Farmer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 20:15

Wow, Wagga has just had 27 mm in 40 minutes
Posted by: Duane

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 21:14

Not sure how they got that. Not a drop here.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 23:08

What, is no one buying fake passports tonight 🤔 yawnathon day here
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/01/2019 23:21

Car'nt wait till tomorrow afternoon,we should get some storm action here I hope, anyway it should be very warm and humid before that.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 09:11

Originally Posted By: Jimi
Coastal sites look bound for bonus additions to today's maximum by 9am tomorrow.

22.something becomes 25.6C at Obs Hill
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 09:14

Work colleagues from Kiama said they were awoken by thunder around 4:30-5:00am. Slept right through it here at Shellharbour just 15kms north.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 09:23

Originally Posted By: Jimi
Coastal sites look bound for bonus additions to today's maximum by 9am tomorrow.

And that's what happened. The record will show that at Sydney OH, the temperature range for January 7 was 18.3 to 25.6. The 18.3 occurred at or shortly after 9:00 on the 6th, the 25.6 just before 9:00 on the 8th, 48 hours apart.

So 18-26 looks like a typical Sydney Summer day, slightly cool by recent standards, especially the minimum. The day itself was in fact a gloomfest with the temperature stuck within a degree of 21 for most of the day and night.

In either case, a bit different to the same day last year (22.4 - 43.4).

Right now it's sunny, warm and fairly humid with a light breeze and the cicadas making up for lost time. Maybe some storms later.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 11:17

The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe is in the forecast today.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 11:34

There's a new thread - and BoM has 'severe storms likely' right on the Illawarra.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/01/2019 11:46

Originally Posted By: Kino
There's a new thread - and BoM has 'severe storms likely' right on the Illawarra.


Sorry did not see your thread, I'll post there.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/01/2019 11:45

GFS has mid 40's for Wednesday next week. EC not as keen with high 30's. Either way its sure going to be a stinker.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/01/2019 16:22

Yeah not looking forward to next week. I hate the heat.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/01/2019 16:51

I wonder how Ron W faired from this almighty storm back in December?

https://www.armidaleexpress.com.au/story...-memory/?cs=471

Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/01/2019 22:58

It's looking like the typical mid Jan heatwave it arrives like almost clockwork without fail. The difference with this one is that it will follow a wet couple months especially in the basin, expect a humid heatwave.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/01/2019 23:25

Nyngan and Coonamble look like standout forecasts to me at this stage. Consecutive days of 46C would be a good effort
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/01/2019 23:44

Wish meteye would add a 45-48c instead of just colour coding everything the same for 45c+. Makes it a lot easier to see extreme spots especially since were in Australia. During heatwaves half the map is that dark maroon 45c+ colour haha.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 01:38

With heat coming like this, we must get storms in the afternoons as well, because there is still a trough inland.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 02:35

Does look to be a somewhat humid stormy heatwave unlike the typical dry ones we get this time of year. Wouldn't be surprised if we get more sea foggy days either, the SST anomalies have spiked up to +4C just off the Illawarra.

WZ forecasting DPs of 23-24C during the peak of the heat for coastal SYD. Will get pretty uncomfortable.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 10:39

Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere .

Almost a month now and Badgery's Creek still offline.
Is it coming back? Anybody know? Seems a bit strange.
Posted by: Longys

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 11:58

Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere .

Almost a month now and Badgery's Creek still offline.
Is it coming back? Anybody know? Seems a bit strange.


Maybe it's part of the earthworks at the new airport?
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 13:45

Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere.


Really? Like where? The only place I can think of would be Florida due to the Gulf Stream.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 13:48

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Does look to be a somewhat humid stormy heatwave unlike the typical dry ones we get this time of year. Wouldn't be surprised if we get more sea foggy days either, the SST anomalies have spiked up to +4C just off the Illawarra.

WZ forecasting DPs of 23-24C during the peak of the heat for coastal SYD. Will get pretty uncomfortable.


The only real benefit those anomalies will have is for places like the South Coast if we have days of ese/se’erlies otherwise they’re useless that far south. If they were more e/ene/ne then they’d pump bucket loads into approaching troughs.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 14:07

Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere.


Really? Like where? The only place I can think of would be Florida due to the Gulf Stream.


Atlanta, GA (34° N), for instance; easily more humid on average than Sydney.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 14:12

Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere.


Really? Like where? The only place I can think of would be Florida due to the Gulf Stream.


I think most of Japan gets those high DPs due to being surrounded by water, also Eastern Coastal China, for example Shanghai often gets DPs in the low-mid 20's. Along with Florida, most of Eastern USA gets very humid during summer, especially July and August. However temps above the high 30's are very rare there, unlike in Sydney. Even as far north as New York dew points rise into the low-mid 20's quite often in late summer.

Mediterranean cities such as Beirut have very high DPs as well during summer, however virtually rainless.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 14:13

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere.


Really? Like where? The only place I can think of would be Florida due to the Gulf Stream.


Atlanta, GA (34° N), for instance; easily more humid on average than Sydney.


Also Buenos Aires gets fairly high dew points as well (and plenty of severe storms).


Looking pretty humid here on the Central Coast for the next week. A dew point of 28°C is forecast for Gosford next Friday.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 14:33

America is very lucky in that sense they are surrounded by two very warm regions that pump ample moisture. They have the shallow gulf of mexico and the gulf stream right next to it. Meanwhile Buenos Aires doesn't have such a warm ocean near it they have ample rainforests and forests north of it which create their own moisture feed.

On the note of heatwaves EC is predicting some amazing dew points for elevated areas Katoomba at a dewpoint of 22 degrees and Kangaroo valley at 24 degrees. This recent rain would have certainly contributed to these dewpoints and the lack of westerlies adds to it. I wonder if any wet bulb records would be broken.

Also could someone explain the concept of Wet Bulb temperatures, its a bit confusing personally.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 16:13

So massive CAPE figures and good LI's next week, but very little interest in storms at least from GFS. Must be some hefty capping expected, otherwise you would think that storms along the Seabreeze boundary would be likely?
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 16:49

I Doubt it GR it's very likely that the CAP will be extremely strong with a lot of heat pouring mixing in at higher levels. Which prove to be a very strong cap, although EC has been indicating that storms will happening on isolated areas on the tablelands which would somewhat escape the capping.
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 16:54

Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: kizz
Those DPs are business as usual in Summer for many similar latitudinal locations in the northern hemisphere.


Really? Like where? The only place I can think of would be Florida due to the Gulf Stream.


Take a look through Tokyo's summer weather, like August 2010 for example, when the dew point was hardly ever below about 23C even on the hottest days. It's like that pretty much all over Japan and Asia even up to Beijing, and in North America even up to the Canadian border (due to the Gulf of Mexico).

http://www.data.jma.go.jp/obd/stats/etrn...08&day=&view=p1
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/01/2019 19:12

It looks like a five day Heatwave starts Tuesday. I'll start a heat thread in the next day or two unless someone else wants to.

Penrith is forecast to get four consecutive days of 41+ stating Wednesday 16th. Even OH is forecast to get five consecutive 31+. A 'courageous' forecast as this rarely happens. Seabreezes will moderate coastal temperatures until the last day of the event (which currently looks like the 19th). 850 temps over Sydney reach 28 mid week.

Meanwhile, tomorrow's Sydney forecast makes no sense. Cloudy, 20 km/h Southerlies and 27? It'll get to 27 if there are lengthy sunny periods. 850 humidity and soundings aren't showing as much cloud as the three recent cloudy days when it couldn't get past 22 apart from bonus additions.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 07:13

Yeah Canberra will get it's fair share of the heat too, always does this time of year, typically early Feb is the peak time for the heat.
I guess time will tell if our all time record of 42.2C will be broken on Wednesday or not.
Teddy
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 07:49

Looks like a genuine heatwave starting on Tuesday, at least 4 days in a row over 40C in western Sydney and the Hunter.
Definitely a new thready worth event Steve.
The Upper Hunter, Singleton going for 3 x 43C days, and even 44C in Scone.
Tocal a chance of challenging the Jan record too. (no long term records at Maitland Airport)
Looks like the normal weather we get in the 2nd half of Jan, which tends to peak around Australia Day to early Feb.
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 09:29

Forecast for Katoomba from Monday onwards is downright ridiculous. Mt Boyce is already running an avg max of 26.4C, 3C above the long term avg for Katoomba (Mt Boyce would actually be a touch cooler on avg than Katoomba). May end up being the hottest month on record if next week comes off and the weather doesn’t switch to rain and SE’lies to cap the month off. Sad times for much of the fragile ecosystems in that part of the world.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 10:16

I was woken by the Southerly around 3:30 this morning. It is still reasonably brisk, around 15 - 25 knots (not km/h) near the coast. It was 100% overcast here for most of the morning, but the Sun and the cicadas are starting to come out now. The BOM just updated the forecast to "Mostly cloudy, though sunny breaks at times" and still going for 27/32 for Sydney and Penrith. I think that would take a bit more sun than the forecast implied to get there.

I was in the Hawkesbury district yesterday. It was sunny and humid with small convective clouds trying to get going, about 35 degrees on the car thermometer. Everything is looking very green after Spring and Summer rains. Dams look full or nearly full. Pughs Lagoon near Richmond is back to its normal level, the sandy beaches that appeared for a while now covered.

Here's the countryside near Kurrajong yesterday:


Green Countyside
by Steve, on Flickr
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 12:31

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Even OH is forecast to get five consecutive 31+. A 'courageous' forecast as this rarely happens. Seabreezes will moderate coastal temperatures until the last day of the event (which currently looks like the 19th). 850 temps over Sydney reach 28 mid week.

Meanwhile, tomorrow's Sydney forecast makes no sense. Cloudy, 20 km/h Southerlies and 27? It'll get to 27 if there are lengthy sunny periods. 850 humidity and soundings aren't showing as much cloud as the three recent cloudy days when it couldn't get past 22 apart from bonus additions.

The forecast for Sydney might not necessarily be Dawes Point \ Obs Hill. I know from years of working in the city that you only have to go a couple of blocks away from the harbour foreshore to experience higher temps. Barangaroo & Darling Harbour feel decidedly warmer\hotter when the ENE breeze is blowing (as opposed to a gradient ENE wind).
We've done this discussion to death but I always consider these 'courageous' forecasts to be a better representation of what you feel in the city.

Meanwhile the Obs Hill site has reached the forecast 27 in sunny breaks and under the influence of one of the few wind directions where it is not exposed to the water.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 12:31

Yes Steve I've noticed how green Western Sydney is at the moment. During July Everything was yellow and rough, but given 4 months of above average rainfall. Everything has turned beautiful and lush haven't had to water anything at all as well.
Hence probably why this heatwave will be pushing our comfort levels.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 13:47

Doesnt look like that around here thats for sure.... Great that those areas have had a reprieve. Really not looking forward to back to back days of heat. They are only ok if there is storms in the mix.....
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 14:41

Check out windy.tv GFS 2pm at Musswellbrook. 49c.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 14:56

Not NSW but interesting to see what the air mass is like around the continent.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWESTERN241#history

Take it with a grain of salt as Wiluna Airport is about 5 degrees cooler than that. The dew points and barometer readings are also questionable.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 15:03

Originally Posted By: kizz
Not NSW but interesting to see what the air mass is like around the continent.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWESTERN241#history

Take it with a grain of salt as Wiluna Airport is about 5 degrees cooler than that. The dew points and barometer readings are also questionable.


506m above sea level. Definitely invalid.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 15:04

Like this around here is'nt it GringosRain.The grass is green, but the water problem is still the same,Well done this video.

https://www.facebook.com/jamesandbelinda/videos/10218487835449778/
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 15:58

Stormy Im saying a lot of the grass isnt even green anymore. All the paddocks in Quorrobolong have browned off in the last week. Northern part of the Hunter and central coast might be ok. But its going to be crispy brown as well as no water in the dams this time next week.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 17:23

Even the well watered lawns around here are struggling, the lawns that are not watered are next to dead, very hard to keep moisture in sand based lawns.
And I have gone and fertilised my lawn heavily today!! crazy

The southerly wasn't here for long today it arrived as a sea breeze only and it swung NE not long after lunch. Quite a pleasant day really.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/01/2019 17:53

Looks like that southerly will make a return soon according to the radar, might even get a little shower out of it with a bit of luck.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/01/2019 14:06

Badgers is back from Xmas & NY holidays. I wonder where it went.
Posted by: J Pabo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/01/2019 15:12

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Even the well watered lawns around here are struggling, the lawns that are not watered are next to dead, very hard to keep moisture in sand based lawns.
And I have gone and fertilised my lawn heavily today!! crazy


Eddy, it is generall not a good thing to fertilze a lawn when it is going through stress, either from a lack of rain or extreme heat or frost.

Depending on the fertilzer that you had used, you may burn off what is there as it is with the high concentration of nitrogen, iron and sulfur in the fertilizer.

You are better off, especially if you have sandy soil to build it up with some sort of mulch or soil that isn't sandy.

Otherwise, you may have be best to use Seasol, which will assist the the plant to deal with the stress and intake of any water available for it.

Some water storage crystals may be a option to spread about, but you may need to work out whether crystals or granular type is best for your soil. I prefer the granular, especially when it contains coir peat, as this will add body of soil.mulch to the sand that you have in the soil.

Depending on the size of the land you have, may determine what you may do.

If you plan to use Seasol, buy the commercial concentrated 20L drums from a local farm produce store, as it works out cheapest of all. You can pay $78 for the 10 litre drum from Bunnings, which works out at $7.80 per litre, but the commmercial strength version is twice as strong, thus use only half as much, and they are around $180 for 20 litres, but in effect you are buying 40 litres for $180 which works at $4.50 litre. I personally have recently bought the 200L drum (as we do have acreage and the storage area as well) which was about $1,300 a drum, which in effect works about $3.25 per litre, but that is the extreme case.


Also too, if you have trees and shrubs, they love seasol too, especially when they are suffering stress from either heat or lack of water.

Follow the directions and your yard will love you back for it. It isn't a fertilizer, but more of a soil tonic that assists plants in taking in nutrients and water into its system. And you can't kill anything with too much use of it. If people say that it has a high concentration of salt in it, they are heavily misinformed, as it is made form the seaweed which has very little salt in it, not from sea water.

But the only thing you can really help much with is sun scorched lawn and plants. Only shade can save them, but there are several products which are anti-transpiration agents (Envy, Wilt-not and Floraguard are the main products) which you need to coat the entire leafage with. It assists the plants with the loss of water through its leaves, and some can acts a sun block as well. It also works for frost as well, protecting the leaves, flowers, fruit and buds from freezing. Florists at time use these in preserving fresh flowers to last longer. The only things about these products, they are very dear ($300 per 20L drum) and the mixture rate is 5% for first application, then 3% for later applications, it washes off in heavy rain or hosing, and if you don't clean your spray equipment properly, you may as well buy some new equipment as it will clog and line everything with the film layer. However, it is fully biodegradable and safe for all insects. I only use it extreme conditions, such as now in a heatwave or in heavy frosts and it may be hard to find someone whjo stocks it. But the product does last in storage for a lengthy time if stored correctly.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 11:25

GFS is interested in a nice little upper level disturbance transitioning NSW from Sunday Evening through into Monday evening. Could be some nice rain and storms about the Hunter and MNC if it proves correct tomorrow. The central west might get a nice drop this evening. I really hope it is right. generally the models show more rain/storm potential this week, so we might get a few surprises.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 11:25

The BOM's outlook for February to April came out afew days ago: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/overview/summary

Warm and dry.

----

Solid marine layer cloud here, about 22-24 across Sydney. Judging by the forecast, the BOM must be expecting some clearing later.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 16:28

Thanks for that info J Pabo, much appreciated.

I saw that too GringosRain, we definitely could get a surprise or two. Looking at GFS storm chart for 1am tomorrow morning, storms likely for our neck of the woods but for places like Gloucester and surrounding areas have the purple patch, likely to be severe.

It will be interesting to see if it comes of overnight?

Anyway been a quite a warm humid day, cloud has been slowly burning off in the last couple of hours.
2.7mm overnight too.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 16:48

Eddy I’m in your neck of the woods (on my baby moon). Looks like I’ve timed the move north well- hopefully we get something!

Could be warm next weekend
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 17:01

Originally Posted By: Jimi
Eddy I’m in your neck of the woods (on my baby moon). Looks like I’ve timed the move north well- hopefully we get something!

Could be warm next weekend


Congrats.

Where about are you staying? Nelson Bay?
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 17:48

Thanks. Trying out the northern Bannisters, so I guess that’s Soldiers Point or Salamander Bay. Importantly, the vantage point should be good for storms if we get any - my only excuse for poor photos will be my own lack of talent!!
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 18:20

One more cooler day tomorrow, before the heat starts again on Tuesday. Australia Day is forecast to be warm and sunny, if the forecast is correct, it will be the first warm and sunny Australia Day for several years at least.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 20:13

Anyone else looked into Dubbo's obs. Look at that temp spike in the middle of the storm.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 20:27

Good pick up Sidney!!

It jumps 3.7c in three minutes and in the following minute it drops 4.6c, possible close lightning strike perhaps?
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 20:57

Interesting. I'll have a look at the 1-minute data tomorrow (this is a finer resolution than goes to the public web) to see if that's any more revealing. Also seems a little surprising to me that the humidity stayed well below 100% with heavy rain falling.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 22:13

Oh i didnt even notice the humidity levels as well.


Anyways small cell just developed north of Hornsby.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 22:20

MCS forming over center, quite a slow moving storm complex. Big localised falls in places.

Not sure what's faster, the movement of the storms or the forum.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/01/2019 23:20

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Oh i didnt even notice the humidity levels as well.


Anyways small cell just developed north of Hornsby.


It’s moving very slowly. Bobbin Head would have received a decent total!
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 01:01

Things about to get interesting for many areas, especially the lower Hunter as the line moves slowly toward the coast.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 01:26

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Things about to get interesting for many areas, especially the lower Hunter as the line moves slowly toward the coast.


Thats gonna wake up a lot of people.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 02:48

Certainly woke me up! At 130. Steady diet of moderate to heavy rain with close lightning since. Over 10mm
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 03:07

Over 30mm at Richmond now. 17mm here. Still coming down. Lightning has abated a little but still impressive
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 03:24

All to the west of me here moving south,constant lightning and distant booms of thunder.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 03:39

CG barage here now. Very angry storm moving down from the north. Have lost power. Over 30mm now.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 08:25

Your a stormy magnet Quagmelson, I think we need you up in the Hunter for a week or two!! laugh

Looks like some handy falls around the place, nothing here overnight, I did get up a few times during the night to look out the window to see if there was any action and there was nothing here to see.

Hopefully today can produce the goods.

Current weather is overcast and still, Temp 22.7c, Dewpoint 21c Humidity 88%.
Posted by: Crimson_Tide_

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 08:57

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Oh i didnt even notice the humidity levels as well.


Anyways small cell just developed north of Hornsby.


Got a very nice light show out of that cell, that more or less developed out of nothing. No Rain or Thunder initially, but constant CG/CC lightning. Rain and Thunder started in the early hours of the Morning, around 20mls here from that smile
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 08:59

Managed 7.5mm and a nice freshen up, but so close to the heavy stuff, which was all south. Light show for hours in the wee hours...

The upper low is basically centred right over me this afternoon. This could create some nice convergence areas and the potential for some heavy rain and flash flooding or it could just mean that the bulk of everything stays north in the more westerly shear. Can only hope. Would love 75mm from a slow convergence....
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 09:06

Not a single mm here at Shellharbour. Overcast here, but visible clear blue to south
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 10:18

We just got some light drizzle last night here. It's a very calm morning with every station in the Illawarra coastal area registering no wind at all at 10:10am.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 10:33

Cloudy but brightening up here, enough to start the cicadas. I noticed when I got up that it had been raining. Just checked the radar now. Storms had reached Northern Sydney as far the Hornsby area around 4:00, but apparently not further South. Chatswood picked up 8 mm, although Sydney OH only managed 0.4. There were good falls in Sydney's North and West: Penrith 40 mm; Richmond 37; Hornsby 26.

I slept through it.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 11:01

Beacon Hill got a brief downpour shortly after 4. Gutters overflowing and one pathetic distant rumble of thunder.

Sun is breaking through more frequently in the CBD now. Hopefully this trend continues. Two days of gloomy overcast is enough thank you very much.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 11:18

Definitely a north shore and north west event.
I experienced same as Quagmelson - heavy rain, close lightning strikes, window rattling thunder that seemed to roll on for ages, all in that 2- 5.00 am period.
There's no way anyone around here could have slept through it, that's for sure. It was incredibly loud. A real surprise.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 11:32

Had a look at the Dubbo temperature 'spike'. It coincided with an easing of winds and brief slowing of the rain rate, so it seems plausible to me (or at least internally consistent).
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 11:56

Penrith has a temperature again.

Wonder if it was instrument or comms fault.

Hoping for the latter and fearing it was the former.
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 13:04

it has become really really dark in Campbelltown under this rain
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 13:23

There's what appears to be a quite lightning-active storm passing through Sydney's South-West.

It's closed in here, with a bit of light rain.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 16:30

Stifling humidity today, even though it's not particularly warm.

The "Layers" satellite image seems to be showing a circuluation (low?) centred between Mudgee and Lithgow.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 16:30

And the reason why the weather has closed in to make for an overcast crappy afternoon.
There's a total lunar eclipse!

Joke is on Sydney weather though - we wouldn't have seen it anyway.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 16:35

A near stationery cell over Karuah early this afternoon dropped 44mm in just as many minutes according to a PWS in Karuah.

Meanwhile just 15km further east, nothing.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 16:47

Ill come up and camp in your backyard Eddy. Only payment required is a slab of VB!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 17:20

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
Ill come up and camp in your backyard Eddy. Only payment required is a slab of VB!


I better get two slabs then!! grin
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 18:31

I'll bring a slab as well! smile
Currently hearing some rumbles from that cell out west.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 19:10

Originally Posted By: Homer
I'll bring a slab as well! smile


The more the merrier!! grin

Some solid rain in Richmond from that storm 9.6mm in 4 minutes, Richmond sitting on 37.6mm.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 19:18

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer
I'll bring a slab as well! smile


The more the merrier!! grin

Some solid rain in Richmond from that storm 9.6mm in 4 minutes, Richmond sitting on 37.6mm.


smile

Some of the rain totals have been way above what BOM forecast. Particularly last night with the storms we had here. Storms weren't even in the forecast last evening, yet it was a cracker here.
For us here in the west, it was "chance of a shower. 0-2 mm's Some places received over 40 mm's. The same has happened today.
This one has certainly caught the BOM out.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 19:27

I know it didn't catch GringosRain out, he was spot on the money.
But its has been a hit and miss event so far for a lot of places, get under a storm and its jackpot time.


Now thats said, I will get a storm tonight and get the mini jackpot, 0.2mm!!
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 20:10

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer
I'll bring a slab as well! smile


The more the merrier!! grin

Some solid rain in Richmond from that storm 9.6mm in 4 minutes, Richmond sitting on 37.6mm.


smile

Some of the rain totals have been way above what BOM forecast. Particularly last night with the storms we had here. Storms weren't even in the forecast last evening, yet it was a cracker here.
For us here in the west, it was "chance of a shower. 0-2 mm's Some places received over 40 mm's. The same has happened today.
This one has certainly caught the BOM out.
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer
I'll bring a slab as well! smile


The more the merrier!! grin

Some solid rain in Richmond from that storm 9.6mm in 4 minutes, Richmond sitting on 37.6mm.


smile

Some of the rain totals have been way above what BOM forecast. Particularly last night with the storms we had here. Storms weren't even in the forecast last evening, yet it was a cracker here.
For us here in the west, it was "chance of a shower. 0-2 mm's Some places received over 40 mm's. The same has happened today.
This one has certainly caught the BOM out.


The storms came during the wee hours of the morning. Which BoM did mention that there were possible storms in the morning and afternoon.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 20:24

Only 3-1/2 mms here out of last nights storms they where all west and south of me,and were moving S,The 3 hour lightning,and thunder display was good, I was sitting on my front verandah at 2am,enjoying it in the cool.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 20:34

Thanks Eddy. Yeah they were a bit behind the 8 ball on this one. GFS was playing with it a bit, but not so much Access, so the BOM only really upgraded their forecast late yesterday I think.

It would have been nice if the upper feature was a bit stronger, but because it isnt that strong, the rain areas and storms have been more scattered. Last nights complex though was a pearler and those that were under it should be very happy. Thing is the same areas keep getting it. I know folk on the central coast hinterland near mangrove and they recon its wet and all the creeks are flowing (that was before last night)
Still horrible here, marginal respite at best.
Waiting for our surprise.....
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 20:56

Yes Gringos Rain the surprise that does'nt seem to want to come.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/01/2019 21:21

Hopefully tonight can surprise us all.

Looks like the Newcastle or the Central Coast should have had a nice sunset tonight.
Some nice vibrant colour on the horizon, looking over the bay towards Soldiers Point.
_MG_6657 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 09:56

After three virtually sunless days, we have sunny skies with a bit of low cloud drifting in from the NE. It's up to 27 at Sydney OH and 25-27 at most Sydney sites. That light rain we had yesterday wasn't enough to register.

There are light Westerlies at the moment but they won't last. The seabreeze will most likely reach OH is about an hour and slowly work its way inland.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 11:11

Very muggy here. Sea breeze hasn't picked up yet.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 11:47

Yes,30 deg here and 56 humidity.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 12:41

Sydney Airport registered 24 minutes of sunshine in the last 3 days. So nice to see blue sky again.

Harbour is glistening in the hazy sunshine today. The difference from yesterday cannot be overstated.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 13:09

I can see some little towers way out to my SW, on radar there looks to be a cell that has developed out South of Bathurst.all other cells are from Barrington tops north, and they are moving further north.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 13:31

Williamtown sounding doesn't get any better. But steering winds are [censored].
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 13:59

yeah Storms would basically have to form at the Northern beaches in Sydney to get here. Maybe right over the Watagans might work too. Will keep hope up for a surprise. There is always a chance!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 20:11

Originally Posted By: Funkyseefunkydo
Williamtown sounding doesn't get any better. But steering winds are [censored].


Not much better for tomorrow either and not to mention another southerly will be working its way up the coast tomorrow, according to Gfs should be here around lunch time.
Another drizzle fest!!
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 23:12

Ready for the next Southerly!
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/01/2019 23:54

Originally Posted By: Petar @ Sdny
Ready for the next Southerly!


Yep. smile x 2
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 00:05

The good news is Australia Day is looking fantastic in Sydney. Sunny and 33 degrees. Going for 35 up here on the Central Coast. I'm looking forward to that after the total gloomfest of the past few Australia Days.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 03:35

I hope the southerly today has a storm with it, for the Hunter anyway.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 06:05

Originally Posted By: Ben K
The good news is Australia Day is looking fantastic in Sydney. Sunny and 33 degrees. Going for 35 up here on the Central Coast. I'm looking forward to that after the total gloomfest of the past few Australia Days.


We've been very lucky with the weather this year. Yes Australia day is looking fantastic, as was New Years Day and Christmas Day. Very rare that all 3 days are sunny so I guess we'll be waiting a long time for the next time we get all 3 days good. NY is usually pretty good but the other 2 are hit n miss.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 06:38

Just heard some thunder, wtf!

Actually the hourly forecast last night did show storms from 6-9am but I ignored it. Must be riding the southerly or something.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 07:12

Storm here.
Posted by: BrightSide

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 07:52

We have the thunder, and getting closer. So it's heading north. I was going to walk the dog, but I guess we'll have to wait until this passes.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 08:00

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Ben K
The good news is Australia Day is looking fantastic in Sydney. Sunny and 33 degrees. Going for 35 up here on the Central Coast. I'm looking forward to that after the total gloomfest of the past few Australia Days.


We've been very lucky with the weather this year. Yes Australia day is looking fantastic, as was New Years Day and Christmas Day. Very rare that all 3 days are sunny so I guess we'll be waiting a long time for the next time we get all 3 days good. NY is usually pretty good but the other 2 are hit n miss.

Yes - hot and sunny as it damn well should be.
Unfortunately a big fail for the cricket test match - match was drawn due to southerly scum and drizzle stopping play.

Quite a few significant events that rely on the weather in Summer. In February the Mardi Gras festivities round it off and then we fade into Autumn and hopefully another Indian Summer.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 08:01

Getting thunder here now. I think the storms are riding the Southerly.

A small cell passed over the Airport.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 08:12

This is pretty surprising; I was not expecting storms like this at 08:00 in the morning.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 08:14

Well is the peak commuting time so you know ... maximum inconvenience for maximum amount of people.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 08:20

I just got woke by the thunder. Looks like it didn't really have much rain in it for my place. Wish i woke up earlier as it would be interesting to see it as a red core in the distant during sunrise.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 09:15

I think that's it for storms here. The action passed to my East. It was rumbling for about an hour or so but that's passed. There was no rain here and just 0.4 in the CBD. There were falls of 1 to 3 mm about Sydney's South and East, 7 mm at Cronulla.

It's brightening up now and the cicadas are out.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 12:22

Whats up with albion park. Southerly went through temp stays the same but the humidity dropped like a rock.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 12:48

Temp dropping here now - was warmer but can feel the cooler air now creeping in. Breeze is heavenly.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 13:18

We got a decent storm just as I was leaving for work, some loud flangs but didn't see the CG's as I was driving the wrong way. Brief heavy rain until about 3km from home, and yeah Brightside good idea, since I saw lots of morning walkers caught out in the rain, obviously not expecting a storm at 6:45am!!

Yeah Sidney I noticed that at Albion Park, pretty strange. The weather can be very weird sometimes and contradict what you would expect. The hot southerly has produced warmer temperatures than the whole week long heatwave we got. But southerlies can often be warmer than NEers in hot airmasses because you get a downslope effect until it weakens and swings around as an E or SEer.

These are good southerlies. grin

Kizz, drizzle ruining the cricket seems to be a mandatory occurence!
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:11

That southerly is howling. Lots of white caps on the harbour.

A southerly is only good for wiping out the upwelling on the beaches so it better be doing that.
Otherwise a lot of people's harbour cruise is being ruined for nothing.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:15

Too true Kizz.

Southerly has just come through in the last half an hour, not overly strong or cool at this stage.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:20

This warmtherly is getting stronger as i speak. Still 30c here. with no sign of any storm development apart from anvil that covers the western horizon.

Catchments look like its getting a good drink
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:45

these storms arent coming off the mountains
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:46

Big storm passed through South Canberra now heading for North Canberra, it had strong winds and small hail with it and left 11.6mm of rain in my weather station slight topup for the rainwater tanks and the garden which has taken a beating with the 35C average max this month!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:47

It's quite windy now but still warm. The main effect of the Southerly was to stop it getting warmer. Penrith and Richmond made it to 35, while inland parts of the Hunter are now in the high 30s.

There were some interesting cloudscapes visible to the South and East earlier, now hidden by anvil cloud. There's a detailed warning for the cells near Katoomba (HEAVY RAINFALL, DAMAGING WINDS and LARGE HAILSTONES). Those storms are moving slowly to the NNE.

I'm expecting it to slowly cool down as the afternoon proceeds.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 14:52

The waterfalls down at katoomba/wentworth falls must be flowing good now. Solid heavy rain in that area for over half an hour now.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 15:27

Originally Posted By: Sidney
The waterfalls down at katoomba/wentworth falls must be flowing good now. Solid heavy rain in that area for over half an hour now.


A real "train" of storms sitting right on the divide. Somebody is going to get a big total from this.

It WILL NOT be Shellharbour however. Blue sky still, but southerly scud is trying to take over.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 15:32

All storms on ranges moving west unusual.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 17:06

How often do we get a squall line moving east to west through the inland, probably a one in few year event. Crazy radar loop.

Farmers out there will be rejoicing
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 18:22

Nullo Mtn 21mm in eleven minutes at one stage during the storm, currently 39.4mm with plenty to come judging by the radar.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 18:48

Showers moving up the coast now. Hope it holds.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 21:00

A great evening. This southerly has cooled things down in Sydney. Windows open, wine flowin'. Life good again. smile
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 21:41

Originally Posted By: Petar @ Sdny
A great evening. This southerly has cooled things down in Sydney. Windows open, wine flowin'. Life good again. smile


Exactly the same here. Including the wine bit!! smile
Gotta love a good southerly in summer. Some respite from this insane heat and humidity.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/01/2019 23:28

Those hailstorms at Katoomba put a few dents in the wife's car, grrr.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 08:23

Grim out there. It appears the weather thinks it is the 26th today.
On my way to the office I walked pass a group of tourists getting on a bus bound for the Blue Mountains. Felt sorry for them. Should have said don't bother getting on as you won't see sh1t.

The SST haven't budged. Crowdy Head has actually gone back to down to 18 which should impress Eddy no end. Not.

I'm off to the 50 thread and will be watching the SA obs today.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 08:40

Yep, not an ideal day for the ice cream vendors nor for mowing lawns either, luckily the humidity is the 90% range.

And as for the water temp it has less than 48 hours to get its act together!!
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 08:43

Originally Posted By: kizz
Grim out there. It appears the weather thinks it is the 26th today.
On my way to the office I walked pass a group of tourists getting on a bus bound for the Blue Mountains. Felt sorry for them. Should have said don't bother getting on as you won't see sh1t.

The SST haven't budged. Crowdy Head has actually gone back to down to 18 which should impress Eddy no end. Not.

I'm off to the 50 thread and will be watching the SA obs today.


Need to relocate the Crowdy Head one. I have only surfed there once and the water was ice bucket challenge in March !

There is something about the underwater topograpghy there.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 10:22

The ice cream vendors need to head west to SA/VIC!

We're currently making our way back to Syd after a week on Kangaroo Island, stopped in Renmark at the moment, then a 1 nighter in Hay tomorrow night before the dash home on Aus Day! Looks like we will core punch the heat pool on our way to Hay tomorrow, will be interesting to see how high it gets across the plains. Thankfully the car is only 6 months old, so the a/c is frigid, although if it gets as high as they say then I will have to roll down the windows at some point to fully immerse myself in the oven like air. cool

Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 10:30

Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
if it gets as high as they say then I will have to roll down the windows at some point to fully immerse myself in the oven like air. cool

Jealous!
You'd be mad not to roll the windows down. Historic stuff, so I'd say it is compulsory to turn a/c off and experience it in full. A good story to tell later on. "I was there when ...".

Be sure to bring some back to Sydney. Getting sick of watching all this heat and missing out.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 10:33

That's exactly what I did back in January 2013 as Sydney hit its all time record. I left the a/c of the office and did a lap around Circular Quay!
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 10:37

Yeah that was cracker of a day. Was a Friday just to make it all the better. Had a long lunch and walked around the city to savour it all.

It was a Christmas miracle that the sea breeze stalled on the beaches and didn't get to Obs Hill until nearly 3pm or something.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 12:30

Originally Posted By: kizz
Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
if it gets as high as they say then I will have to roll down the windows at some point to fully immerse myself in the oven like air. cool

Jealous!
You'd be mad not to roll the windows down. Historic stuff, so I'd say it is compulsory to turn a/c off and experience it in full. A good story to tell later on. "I was there when ...".

Be sure to bring some back to Sydney. Getting sick of watching all this heat and missing out.


I'd be more inclined to get the missus drop you 5ks out from the nearest town and experience the walk in such beautiful heat. Then years later down the track you could alway say you broke down on the hottest day and had to walk 5ks to the nearest town!!

Cloud here is trying burn off, can see bits of blue.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 14:19

The marine layer is breaking ug up, the cicadas are going full blast, it's 27 at Sydney OH and 30 at Penrith.

Ice Cream Vendor Alert cancelled.
Posted by: Phil1983

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 15:33



Storm that went through Parkes on Tuesday night. Picture taken from their local paper. That wedge looks nasty...
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 16:22

Interesting seeing all max records tumble in SA, anywhere within a 200km radious of Adlaide is just about gone, except 1 or 2 locations.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 16:32

Stormy pattern brewing from Mon according to latest GFS over E NSW, mainly southern parts.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/01/2019 23:42

One of our forum members is famous.
TC Riley is born!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 02:30

What an absolute rip snorter of a fog here this morning, visibility about 100 metres at best.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 05:22

Hmmm, Eddy with visibility less than 100mtrs at 230am. Sounds like a good night! Humidity levels have been crazy this January. Usually its a drier heat. Nothing like sweat dripping off your nose at 5 in the morning at work.
Ps congrats Wavey, Im next in line for TC Quaggy
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 08:22

Cloudless and calm skies over the basin.

Just watched the P&O Pacific Explorer cruise ship sail in under the bridge on its way to the White Bay berth. The decks were crowded.

Now that's the way to show off the place; steamy, tropical sunshine with no wind. Much better than yesterday's nonsense.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 08:45

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
Hmmm, Eddy with visibility less than 100mtrs at 230am. Sounds like a good night! Humidity levels have been crazy this January. Usually its a drier heat. Nothing like sweat dripping off your nose at 5 in the morning at work.
Ps congrats Wavey, Im next in line for TC Quaggy


No very quiet night actually. Humidity was 98% and the dewpoint was within 0.3c at its closest to the temperature, overnight low was 21.1c.

TC Riley - Australia Day Long Weekend - Young adult that he is - recipe for a Cat 4 I reckon!! grin poke laugh
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 11:40

"Mostly sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon, reaching 45 km/g near the coast."

Sydney's forecast for today. Didn't realise we measured wind by km's per gram wink.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/01/2019 23:22

Haaah youre not wrong Eddyg, I think a Cat 4 just for tonight. But tomorrow night we're in for a nasty CAT 5 shocked

Gee that wind felt heavy earlier this arvo, pieced right through me with each gram travelling about 45km from off the coast so it was just absurd. Hopefully this phenomena clears just in time for tomorrow...
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/01/2019 10:20

Borrona Downs minimum to 9am a new record - 36.6.
Was above 38 most of the night.

Fowlers Gap the only site to drop below 30 in the Upper Western. To be fair it only just fits into the SW corner of UW district.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/01/2019 14:54

Anvil and towers visible to my west now.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/01/2019 23:32

Ulladulla picked up 20mm from tonights storm complex over the south coast/illawarra. Things looking interesting around the Nowra area, appears as though it's mid-high level stuff which would give a pretty good CG display for those out and about.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 06:49

Really great lightning around Nowra late last night (10 pm till midnight) thick white bolts and hardly a drop of rain. I got some good ones on video, my battery was only half charged so it ran flat which cost me but at least I got some sleep.

This storm season has really delivered around here, even days that look average have produced good storms.
Posted by: Dipole

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 08:03

The Southerly has arrived at Tuross !

Showers and lightning during the night.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 10:02

Today’s outlook

[img]https://m.imgur.com/gallery/fVxR8lP[/img]
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 12:07

36 Ded here and rising.I am hoping for a storm this afternoon.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 13:39

Some lightning from around Nowra last night:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Es0n6KfndoU

Here's hoping for more tonight!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 13:50

Nice lightning video LC.

There's a fairly gusty Southerly change passing through Sydney's South, about 20 knots.

EDIT: a number of locations in the Hunter are on 40-42. The change won't be there for a while.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 15:13

Really good storm moving over here. Not too much wind but very heavy rain and some marble sized hail. Storms should continue into this evening
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 15:27

Getting quite dark here from that anvil cloud spreading down from that cell around Dungog and Gloucester.
Hopefully today is the day for some storm activity for around here!!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 15:49

Here's the visible satellite view on "Layers" a little after 3:00PM:



It shows storms over the Southern Highlands and a line of low cloud (a roll cloud?) off Sydney's Northern Beaches which I think marks the position of the Southerly.

Anyone see it? I saw a bank of scud cloud off to the East but it seems to have cleared, at least for now.
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 16:07

black core storm near Picton
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 16:24

That was one strong southerly. Storms started forming with the STW extended to include CT, Metro, hunter and the warra. Hope we get something. No large hail though please.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 16:53

Getting constant rumbling now. Another black core formed near fairfield.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 17:01

Detailed Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for HEAVY RAINFALL, DAMAGING WINDS and LARGE, POSSIBLY GIANT HAILSTONES

For Picton storm.

EDIT: hailstones just downgraded (4:59PM) to 'large'.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 17:08

Looks like a nice red cell over my place delivering the goods.

Hot and muggy here in Byron Bay.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 17:22

Southerly and high based towers as I was leaving Sydney Town.



Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 17:33

Originally Posted By: Perfect Storm
Southerly and high based towers as I was leaving Sydney Town.







nice pics.

So far been a fizzer for my place. Was right in the middle of the Campbelltown storm and Fairfield storm just as it merged.

edit: walked outside looks like somethings trying to form overhead with a turkey tower
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 17:39

Thanks Sidney, fingers crossed you get a much needed cool down and rain.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:30

I dont suppose anyone has ever done a dew point average. I think this January would win some kind of prize. First 100mm shadings appearing on catchment "since 9am". Has fallen in perfect area of catchment too for least loss.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:35

And yes desal plant activated. Guessing todays/overnight rains wont budge the dam over 60% then ! (Sorry to be so skeptical, #marchelection). No rain here yet, but an explosive storm over wisemans ferry, and beautiful developments on ranges with low rumbling all arvo
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:44

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
And yes desal plant activated. Guessing todays/overnight rains wont budge the dam over 60% then ! (Sorry to be so skeptical, #marchelection). No rain here yet, but an explosive storm over wisemans ferry, and beautiful developments on ranges with low rumbling all arvo


"The Dam" is actually over 60%. Warragamba is currently at 62% capacity.
It's the whole Sydney catchment that is under 60% - currently at 59.9%.

I heard a couple of douche bag right wing commentators going off about this today on the radio.
"Why are they starting up the de-sal plant when the level isn't below 60%"? They were again, mistakingly only looking at the figure for Warragamba, and that is what they quoted. Such ill-informed dumb arses.
It wouldn't take much for people to guess which radio station it was.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:48

It was rumbling away for a good part of the arvo but everything seems to be to the north and south of here like usual.
Radar isn't looking to good for here either but further south should get the goods.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:50

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
And yes desal plant activated. Guessing todays/overnight rains wont budge the dam over 60% then ! (Sorry to be so skeptical, #marchelection). No rain here yet, but an explosive storm over wisemans ferry, and beautiful developments on ranges with low rumbling all arvo


"The Dam" is actually over 60%. Warragamba is currently at 62% capacity.
It's the whole Sydney catchment that is under 60% - currently at 59.9%.

I heard a couple of douche bag right wing commentators going off about this today on the radio.
"Why are they starting up the de-sal plant when the level isn't below 60%"? They were again, mistakingly only looking at the figure for Warragamba, and that is what they quoted. Such ill-informed dumb arses.
It wouldn't take much for people to guess which radio station it was.


2GB? laugh
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:51

You calling me a dumb ass douchebag. No need for that! I dont listen to "rightwing" radio. I just smell a rat with the desal plant. And that goes right back to its construction phase. Increased water bills dont affect me anymore being on tank water, but i dont like corruption
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 19:56

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
You calling me a dumb ass douchebag. No need for that! I dont listen to "rightwing" radio. I just smell a rat with the desal plant. And that goes right back to its construction phase. Increased water bills dont affect me anymore being on tank water, but i dont like corruption


Fair call mate, I'm the same.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:00

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
You calling me a dumb ass douchebag. No need for that! I dont listen to "rightwing" radio. I just smell a rat with the desal plant. And that goes right back to its construction phase. Increased water bills dont affect me anymore being on tank water, but i dont like corruption


No, I certainly wasn't. I was referring to the dj's.
Apologies if you took it that way. It certainly wasn't intended in your direction.

I get cranky though when misinformation is spread amongst a gullible public, the type that believe every word they hear. I know you're not one of them. Sorry if I didn't type my thoughts properly.
Posted by: mithrandir

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:07

That storm near Penrith is producing copious amounts of lightning.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:10

Yeah this is awesome. I;ve heard thunder since this arvo. starting to ramp up again too bad we havnt got much rain out of this.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:10

Send it this way, I'm hanging for a storm like usual.
Nothing but the marine layer here from what I can see atm.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:12

Some awesome and unique thunder claps overhead here too in the last 10 minutes.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:13

It certainly is Gandalf! Its all good Homer, im probably too skeptical on the matter, robust debate is good. Im aware overall is under 60%, i dont believe the figures. The more questions i ask, the more skeptical i become. Like wifey said, just have a beer and enjoy the show 🍻
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:17

Cicada suddenly started a few minutes ago outside my place amidst all the lightning, thunder and rain.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:29

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
It certainly is Gandalf! Its all good Homer, im probably too skeptical on the matter, robust debate is good. Im aware overall is under 60%, i dont believe the figures. The more questions i ask, the more skeptical i become. Like wifey said, just have a beer and enjoy the show 🍻


Yep, also enjoying a beer myself, and yes, I share your scepticism.
I too, also thought it should never have been built in the first place, and was only decided upon for political gain at the time, playing on the fears of the gullible.
It was always going to rain again, and the dams were also going to fill again - as they did.
My belief is that they would have been better off spending the money on another dam, but to this day, and until the day I die, I don't think we'll ever see that again. The minority greenie wankers will see to that.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:46

There really isn't any decent area to build a dam in Sydney is there. maybe the area around glen davis could be a candidate but thats a bit far.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:46

The other plans on the table pre construction time was also, a/ to subsidise water tanks in higher (very dependable) rainfall areas, and b/ increased b-water infrastructure to all new developments and subsidising already built.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:48

Wouldve cost a fraction of desal costs with very minimal ongoing cost. Anyway it was a bugbear of mine at the time and it surfaces again.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:48

Some decent totals building up in Sydney South of a line from about La Perouse to about Bilpin. Nothing Northwards.

Smallwood' Crossing (never heard of it - in the catchment West of Picton) has picked up 104 mm this afternoon.

Nothing happening here. Any view is obscured by scud cloud.

EDIT1: a red cell just popped into exitence over Avalon. Marts will be pleased.
EDIT2: not sure where we'd put another dam. Anyway, it would take 10+ years to build.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:50

The other option, to raise the dam wall, was always going to be met with environmental concerns, thats the other option still being discussed, although very unlikely to happen
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 20:57

Its a flash a second here now
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:02

Starting to get very interesting now. Lots of lightning to the west and cells building over head.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:11

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
The other option, to raise the dam wall, was always going to be met with environmental concerns, thats the other option still being discussed, although very unlikely to happen


Yes, that indeed was also an alternative option. Can't see why that couldn't be done.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:13

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
Its a flash a second here now


Yep. Same here.
It's taking it's sweet fanny time getting here though.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:15

Originally Posted By: Steve777
EDIT2: not sure where we'd put another dam. Anyway, it would take 10+ years to build.


Someone today on another website spoke about the Colo River. First I've ever heard of that possibility. Not sure whether it would be feasible.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:15

NW rain/lightning/thunder train has broadened and looks like a big cell is going to soak the dry bits north of the Bilpin-Cronulla line that has copped it for the last few hours
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:22

Cells exploding over the basin atm. Just had moderate rain earlier and more to come by the look of it.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:27

Just a bit of sheet lightning about, no thunder. However, a swarm of cells is developing to the North, surely one of those will score a hit.

Bankstown, under a train of storm cells, has received 33 mm tonight.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:30

Must be very high based storms because despite the copious amount of lightning, the thunder is very muted.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:32

Originally Posted By: Homer
Must be very high based storms because despite the copious amount of lightning, the thunder is very muted.

I've noticed that to Homer.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:35

Raining in Chatswood. Sheet lightning but no thunder.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 21:56

just had 3 close flangs within 5 minutes. holy hell.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:10

I've just been looking into the sky during lightning flashes and they are indeed high based storms. Clouds are clearly visible as there is no scud present atm. Still getting a flash a second or two.
The next larger cell heading in from the north west might provide a bit more action if it doesn't die hitting the basin.
Steady light rain here at the moment. The rain drops are large. Still just above 25 deg's, so that southerly was pretty useless in its attempt at cooling things down.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:11

It was bucketing down for a while, with gutters running, but it's eased off for now. Occasional lighting hidden by cloud, some deep rumbles and rolls.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:11

Its very eerie here. Almost foggy/misty but with nonstop flashes, and now loud thunder wnw, its awesome!
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:14

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
Its very eerie here. Almost foggy/misty but with nonstop flashes, and now loud thunder wnw, its awesome!


Yep, hoping that next cell provides the goods. Rain a bit heavier here now.
And yes, thunder is now louder.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:21

The lightning seems a bit soft to me, terrible luck taking pics, needs more CGs
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:21

CG barage now. Very heavy rain.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:45

Feels like tropical QLD here, I've never felt such a warm humid night here. Almost 11pm and it's 25°C with 24°C dew point. Might as well stay up half the night because sleeping will be very difficult atm.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 22:53

It’s a steamy tropical night, 25 degrees, light steady rain, sheet lightning and rumbling thunder. The lightning's getting more frequent and the thunder's getting louder, deep rumbles and rolls. It's been going for a while. Not much rain yet, just 3 mm in Chatswood.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 23:14

Huge booms here,after each GC lightning, it is just missing me moving down from the north just to the east of me,I am only getting some big drops
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 23:25

Good steady moderate rain here with some deep rumbles. There was one good flang about 20 mins ago.
Good drop of rain after the heat but as mentioned its bloody humid.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/01/2019 23:57

Had plenty of lightning here tonight, and some heavy downpours as well. This storm season has been great!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 02:49

Finally seeing some bolts, unbelievable!!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 07:58

It's warm, humid and overcast with light Southerlies. I was woken just on midnight by a succession of bright flashes and loud cracks after a few hours of mostly low intensity storms.

The main action bypassed the North Shore and inner suburbs, with Chatswood finishing on 6 mm. Many sites in Sydney's West and South got over 25 mm, Bankstown 37 mm.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 09:13

Last night was very Darwin build up esk with lightning for hours and oppressive mid 20's dew points!

Currently running well above average for both min/max temps here despite us not seeing even a whiff of westerly.

Max - 29.2c
Min - 21.0c

This is a whole 1.2c above last Jan for max and 1.5c for min.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 10:31

It's pretty cloudy with a southerly wind and yet the temp is up at 26°C with ease.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 10:44

Another Cairns’esque day by the looks of it.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 11:07

Came into Sydney today expecting a nice cool day with southerlies and with a usual scud fest down to a 80 metres.

But sike, it was uncharacteristically humid and warm. Also being at 86.6 mm for the month, upon arriving back everything is lush and green.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 11:13

Thought I would gather some stats around the basin for January and found I had to compile this rather sad list of missing data.

Sydney Harbour - Temp, Wind
Sydney Olympic Park - Rain
Badgerys Creek - everything
Holsworthy (Defence) - Rain, Wind
Penrith - Temp, Rain, Wind
Terrey Hills - Temp, Rain, Wind

Granted, lightning strikes affected Badgerys but over the years these AWSs seem incredibly unlucky with lightning strike stats.
Apart from that I hear these official AWS units are very expensive.
I reckon some of the PWS networks have more reliable instruments and data feeds.

Maybe the BOM should get Davis Vantage Pros. I installed mine nearly five years ago and it has been running almost perfectly ever since. The only thing I have ever changed is a small part in the anemometer which set me back about the same amount as a round of drinks for a few mates.

PS Sun and cicadas have just appeared hear.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 11:47

Yes the missing data is a worry. Lightning strikes are a fact of life here. And, of course, equipment breaks down from time to time. However, it does seem to take a while to get things fixed. Holidays? Staff and Budget constraints?

Anyway, Sydney OH, the Airport, Bankstown and Richmond have complete records for January.

Bankstown is tracking 21.3 - 32.1, for anomalies +3.1, +3.7. The effects of today's and tomorrow's max will cancel out, while the last two days will be hot. The final position will be something like 21.3 - 32.2, both new records (by +1.0 and +0,4 respectively).

EDIT: sun and cicadas are out here too. OH has made its forecast max of 27. Most of Sydney 25-27, the Airport, exposed to Southerlies, is only on 24.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:03

OH now at a rounded 30. Surprising given the wind direction and cloud
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:04

Originally Posted By: Jimi
OH now at a rounded 30. Surprising given the wind direction and cloud


Yep. Another hot southerly.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:15

No southerly here, just a gentle noreaster.
The southerly came through around 7.30pm last night and had no real effect on the temperature, but by 2am this morning it was a norwester with those decaying storms and not a drop of rain either.
I will post some pics later.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:28

This Southerly is just recycling hot air that's spent a bit of time over the Ocean. In these conditions, a Southerly is warmer than a NE'er at OH because it's crossed more land. The Airport is more exposed to Southerlies and therefore cooler.

The real cool change arrives Thursday afternoon.

P.S. Today seems like the sort of day that would be good for storms. There's an active cell South of Blaney. Maybe more will develop.

P.S2. OH just topped 30, for the 10th time this month and the fourth day in a row. No big deal at most sites but quite unusual there.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:45

A couple of pics from this morning.

Gee it was finally great to some action, most of the activity occurred just south of the Bay.
_MG_6866 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_6869 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 14:47

Only about 24°C here, but feels very muggy due to the humidity.

Great pics Eddy.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:13

Cells have developed out near Bathurst,and a couple on the Barrington Tops that look to be moving south like last night.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:14

STW out as well.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:19

I love those lightning pictures; they look incredible. I was at the Central Coast for a few days and last night was a really good light show; all the red mass of storms passed a few kms to the south so the lightning was at a good viewing distance.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:20

Amazing shots Eddy.

A few cells have developed out west but not expecting to much here but you never know.

Last night was a bit odd as mentioned as there was not that much thunder involved, only 2mm recorded here but I'm sure it was more than that.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:31

Brilliant pics Eddy.

Our dialect in regards to southerlies has changed a lot this summer. The terms scumtherlies and scudtherlies have been replaced with hot and sneaky southerlies.

And as said above, yes another hot southerly. 29 at Albion Park and it's even fully cloudy too.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 15:58

This mornings SYD sounding has some decent shear - 15kts NW at 600hpa, increasing to 25kts at 500hpa and then to 40kts at 400hpa from a more N/NW direction. Should be enough to carry these cells to the coast. No significant capping either.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 17:40

This is probably the best explanation for why the Southerlies are burning hot and humid. Waters just of the coast are bang on average 23-24, even a little less than average. But just a little bit of the coast the East Australian Current is powering through keeping temps of 26 degrees parallel to the Coast down to Batemans Bay.

--------

Also looks like missed some killer storms yesterday if Warragamba Dam didn't see a top up I would be surprised with Small Woods Crossing picking up 105mm and it was just adjacent to the Dam.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 17:49

What a time to turn on the desal plant

$50 says Warragamba will be full in a months time
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 18:18

We wouldn't have the video of the Kurnell tornado if the desal plant wasn't built so definitely worth it in the end. poke

As for those hot or warm southerlies, I would think that the source is the predominant reason why they are still warm. As steve777 already mentioned, they are recycled warm air circulating around and around.
I have seen many a cool to cold southerly wind when the EAC is pumping tropical water down the Tasman. The reason it was cold was the source was southern maritime. All things being equal in the upper atmosphere the warm water creates more surface convection and showers when a southern maritime southerly blows over a warm Tasman sea. The wind is still cool.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 18:29

Bathurst AP total white out!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 18:37

Great lightning shots Eddy.

I don't have anything like that. Here's a distant view of the Picton cell mid afternoon yesterday, enhanced to billy-o to filter out glare and capture at least some structure:



The scudtherlies and scumtherlies will probably be back Friday and Saturday.

Re desalination, at this time of year I'd wait a few months to see how Autumn goes before turning it on.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 20:06

Much cooler tonight although you wouldn't know it due to the humidity.
Plenty of scud around, coming in from the NE this evening. Absolutely o breeze atm.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 20:31

Drove past Picton earlier and witnessed SES workers cutting down a tree that hit a house. Wonder how bad that storm was yesterday.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/01/2019 21:14

There are a lot of cumulus clouds about, moving and forming from the ene/ne, not the low stratus type. These clouds have some vertical development. Also developing storms to the far northwest of the Sydney basin.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 09:52

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Drove past Picton earlier and witnessed SES workers cutting down a tree that hit a house. Wonder how bad that storm was yesterday.


I hope to have a video of that storm posted on YT in next day or two. I stayed just ahead of it as it looked nasty for around 15 mins.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 10:37

Clear blue skies, cicadas, humid and breezy here after another warm night, the 9th consecutive night for Sydney OH at or above 22 rounded and the 18th at or above 21 rounded. That's what keeps homes warm - not much cooling overnight,

Last night's SE'er turned NE overnight and didn't stop, just dropped a little around dawn. The seabreeze is fully established near the coast now, Sydney OH is now actually cooling down, will probably not be as warm as yesterday, but everywhere else will be, possibly by a big margin.

Sydney's forecast has just been updated, still going for 30/39 at the City / Penrith, with the possibility of a thunderstorm in the West.

EDIT:
Looking as sea temps, MHL is showing temps off Sydney mostly hovering around 22, about average, with brief excursions above 23. A couple of days ago it spiked above 24: MHL Sydney

Then we've got all that warm water a little further out - 26+.

Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 11:36

Looks like penrith temp guage is back.
Posted by: rain gauge

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 11:52

For how long though. lol
Posted by: alby_14

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 14:54

Scored 48mm and some small hail yesterday. Just managed to finish mowing the lawn as CG's started landing close. A good fresh in the river this morning. We've been lucky lately!

Heres a screen dump from the webcam out at the airport looking west as it was giving us a flogging


Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 17:17

DSC_6214 (1) by Con Marathos, on Flickr

Close cg striking a tower crane in the Parramatta CBD on Sunday night 27 January.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 17:18

Great photo Con. I know which site that is.
Lucky the crane operator wasn't in there. smile
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 17:19

DSC_6501 by Con Marathos, on Flickr

Anvil crawlers above Parramatta CBD last Sunday night .
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 17:29

Nice stuff ConM

The sea gale has been unrelenting overnight and into today, gusting upwards of 50ks.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 19:26

Shame you can't fully predict where and when the storms will form or break down. poke

I was sort of half hearted trying to chase the storm activity in the Highlands on the way home from work but it appeared to break down anywway so I just drove home. If I'd known, I would've gone to Shoalhaven Heads where that big black cell just passed to the south.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 19:28

Those are fantastic lightning pictures ConM.

Great capture Alby.
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 19:39

Thanks Homer and Eddie. Yes daystrikes on construction sites would be scary.I'
m sure those sites would have early warning alerts.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 19:50

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Shame you can't fully predict where and when the storms will form or break down. poke

I was sort of half hearted trying to chase the storm activity in the Highlands on the way home from work but it appeared to break down anywway so I just drove home. If I'd known, I would've gone to Shoalhaven Heads where that big black cell just passed to the south.


The good storm chasers generally have a good idea wink and Im not one of them.

But thats the beauty of chasing to see what the storms potential is, you should have chased.

WR where is your storm counter? I know the Illawarra have had some lean years, no doubt this season is one of the better ones for down there??
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 19:59

Hahah true Eddy, and yes I should have chased for sure. Hindsight is always a wonderful thing though.

I haven't been counting the storms, I was sort of doing it but lost count and a lot of times where there were suspected storms, I wasn't home to confirm. But I'm sure there have been a lot. It has been one of the best seasons for storm consistency but we've yet to have a really severe storm in the form of extreme strong winds or large hail, but storms like that are not that common here anyway.

And yeah great pics btw Con
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 20:30

Thanks also to Steve 777 and Wave rider.
One more from the night.
DSC_6242 by Con Marathos, on Flickr
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 20:57

Another good one.

The general weather forecasts for the Illawarra area looks very conservative but instability is very high similar to today, peaking around Nowra. What's the go? Is the CAP too strong or something? I feel like chasing tomorrow arvo especially if the lightning rate will be very high. And that leads to another side question: is there actually a way of determining how lightning active a storm day will be?
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 21:19

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Is there actually a way of determining how lightning active a storm day will be?


That's a really interesting question. I've seen instances where there are huge hailstorms with little lightning, but black on the radar.

I remember in March 2015 I was looking at the radar and saw a tiny squall line stretching from Campbelltown to about Penrith moving east with only a bit of yellow and blue - I thought to myself "probably not a storm" especially since it didn't look dark and ominous at all, but that thing threw out so many sparks as it passed over Parramatta.

There was an incredible amount of lightning bolts - some probably 100m away since I could even hear the "crack" of lightning. And there were some strange blue flashes that lasted 2-3 seconds in that storm. It was so electrically charged. Yet the rain rates were very modest.

So to take a wild guess I'd say maybe the humidity has something to do with lightning rates, and maybe also in the updraft of the storm how much collisions between the water and ice there is - maybe there is some ratio of water and ice colliding to really set up a good charge within the cloud.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 21:25

Nice pic Con M.

On the point of the the rate of lightning strikes but I feel it depends on the days of heat and humidity as lighting storms are a great equaliser of charge which can build over days.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 21:50

Thanks for the responses, yes there do seem to be high lightning rates in hot and humid weather. But I have also seen very little lightning in the same conditions. I have also seen high lightning rates in cold air storms in the middle of winter. Maybe there is no certain answer to the question, could be a combination of things.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 21:55

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Is there actually a way of determining how lightning active a storm day will be?


That's a really interesting question. I've seen instances where there are huge hailstorms with little lightning, but black on the radar.

I remember in March 2015 I was looking at the radar and saw a tiny squall line stretching from Campbelltown to about Penrith moving east with only a bit of yellow and blue - I thought to myself "probably not a storm" especially since it didn't look dark and ominous at all, but that thing threw out so many sparks as it passed over Parramatta.

There was an incredible amount of lightning bolts - some probably 100m away since I could even hear the "crack" of lightning. And there were some strange blue flashes that lasted 2-3 seconds in that storm. It was so electrically charged. Yet the rain rates were very modest.

So to take a wild guess I'd say maybe the humidity has something to do with lightning rates, and maybe also in the updraft of the storm how much collisions between the water and ice there is - maybe there is some ratio of water and ice colliding to really set up a good charge within the cloud.


I’ve always looked for a little drier air around 600 or so helps dry the hail 🤷🏻‍♂️ too moist and it’s microburst-athon
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 21:57

That's a good point about the hail but have you noticed a trend with lightning though?
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/01/2019 22:28

Yeah, sorry my point was that - it seems you need dry hail for great active sparky storms. From what I’ve observed in Top End storms their active beast days always has a drier slot 600 or above. The moist monsoonal flow isn’t anywhere near as lightning active and usually is only cgs within the rain shaft.
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 08:05

Hi Peeps, long time lurker first time poster.....What a season so far lots of heat and then thunderstorms nearly every day. I am looking forward to the rest of the week finally a cool down and more rain.....loving it
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 09:08

Araluen, thats far out of the way!! Please keep us updated on the weather there, I bet you get long morning fogs or even all day ones in winter?

Welcome smile
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 09:30

Another mild night, 23.3c was the low temp even with that nor-easter breeze blowing all night but there was plenty of cloud cover during the early hours of this morning which probably helped the warmth.
That cloud did make for a rather nice sunrise.
_MG_7440 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 09:41

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Araluen, thats far out of the way!! Please keep us updated on the weather there, I bet you get long morning fogs or even all day ones in winter?

Welcome smile

Thanks WR, Araluen is known for its peaches and heat during summer, consistently 2 to 3 degrees warmer than Braidwood which is the closest AWS so summer can be brutal at times, very much like Richmond in Sydney to a degree (pardon the pun!) 9 months of the year is is stunning.......then hot and stunning! Currently sitting on 30 according to my little weather station and will probably hit 40 again this arvo.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 10:51

Originally Posted By: Targus2019
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Araluen, thats far out of the way!! Please keep us updated on the weather there, I bet you get long morning fogs or even all day ones in winter?

Welcome smile

Thanks WR, Araluen is known for its peaches and heat during summer, consistently 2 to 3 degrees warmer than Braidwood which is the closest AWS so summer can be brutal at times, very much like Richmond in Sydney to a degree (pardon the pun!) 9 months of the year is is stunning.......then hot and stunning! Currently sitting on 30 according to my little weather station and will probably hit 40 again this arvo.


At 160m above sea level Araluen should be pretty warm.

I always wondered what the weather would be like at Burragorang before it was dammed. The area lies very low and it had mountains that would slow down the sea breeze and at the same time its further out west than Penrith. Id expect pretty hot temps pretty much everyday in summer while the valley would provide frosts during winter.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 11:32

...and just like that the atypical Wollongong summer has returned.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 12:10

Penrith.

Again.
Posted by: rain gauge

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 12:26

Originally Posted By: kizz
Penrith.

Again.
Its a wonder we got to the moon 50 years ago.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 14:01

Some of the high cloud from the low way up in northern Queensland has made it all the way down here into nsw,but no moisture in it yet.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 14:25

Originally Posted By: rain gauge
Originally Posted By: kizz
Penrith.

Again.
Its a wonder we got to the moon 50 years ago.


You have to wonder what it is, given those things cost ~$50K or so?? (last heard).

Home wx station costs $500-$1K far more reliable.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 14:34

Araluen's definitely a place which has the potential to turn in some interesting numbers (for both summer highs and winter lows).
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 15:09

Originally Posted By: Stormy3
Some of the high cloud from the low way up in northern Queensland has made it all the way down here into nsw,but no moisture in it yet.


and holding back convection under it. Some nice storms starting out in the open sky of southern tablelands
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 16:34

That cloud kept temperatures down and probably blocked convection. It still felt very hot and humid away from the breeze.

Sydney OH only made 28 today, compared to the forecast 31 - surprised the BOM stuck with that in the mid-morning update. There might be a bonus addition tomorrow morning. Richmond and other outer West centres made about 34 (forecast 38).

Tomorrow's forecast has been upped to 38 for the City, 40 for Richmond. Maybe it will be a bit less humid with Westerlies. The cool change is now expected late.

After the change, we flip into a different pattern, cooler and wetter. Highs to the South will be stronger.
Posted by: Dipole

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 16:47





Tuross sunset last night, between storm cells.(just trying image uploading). These 600 by 800 may be too big.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 16:54

Beautiful pictures Dipole.

Re size, I find that 640 * 480 works well.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 17:26

Looks like the January heat thread has been temporarily locked.
Shame really, because it was a valid thread and I hope it in part returns, albeit, moderated and edited to leave all the relevant posts and documented records.

The OP had the right intentions. It's a shame it was hijacked by trolls.

Geez, despite todays forecast max temps not being reached, it was a damn sweaty one again. It's been unbelievably uncomfortable working outside this January - one of the worst months I've ever experienced in my tradesman life. Perspiration was literally dripping off me today. There's only so many timesI could wipe my forehead and face with my sleeve and t-shirt today before it becomes pointless as the shirt is just as wet.
I'm really looking forward o the southerly tomorrow, and the upcoming somewhat cooler period.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 17:47

Originally Posted By: Homer


it was a damn sweaty one again. It's been unbelievably uncomfortable working outside this January - one of the worst months I've ever experienced in my tradesman life. Perspiration was literally dripping off me today. There's only so many timesI could wipe my forehead and face with my sleeve and t-shirt today before it becomes pointless as the shirt is just as wet.


It was great hey, I really enjoyed working up a sweat mowing lawns, normally it takes a lawn or two to work up a sweat but it was dripping of me before I even started the whipper snipper!! I kept hydrated during the day and now the beers are going down like a treat!! grin


That Nor-easter still going strong.

Edit - Homer would have been doing hand-stands this morning, I know I was!!
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 18:29

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer


it was a damn sweaty one again. It's been unbelievably uncomfortable working outside this January - one of the worst months I've ever experienced in my tradesman life. Perspiration was literally dripping off me today. There's only so many timesI could wipe my forehead and face with my sleeve and t-shirt today before it becomes pointless as the shirt is just as wet.


Edit - Homer would have been doing hand-stands this morning, I know I was!!


Re the overcast skies? Yes, I knew it was going to help somewhat, but geez mate, it was still a shocker. I can't ever remember a January with such prolonged high humidity combined with high temps. I've always equated Feb as the really humid month. Even March.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 18:38

I am for one, ready and happy for this current weather pattern to depart. Tomorrow evening's southerly change will be a buster!

So
looking
forward
to
it!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 18:38

Being a Geordie trigging anything??
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 18:51

Although I was out of the country for a week this heat is a little bit irritating, given i endured the heat while missing the storms for the most part. Last week was recorded as the most humid week in 15 years so we have the figures backing us up.
Anyways rather enduring some humidity for a decent drop for me is worth imo far better than last Jan. But I feel bad for those working outside or putting up with the heat without much rain.
-----
Re the Heat thread it's sad for us to not be able to put aside our differing views to have a calm discussion about our Amazing Australian weather.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 19:33

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Being a Geordie trigging anything??


Ooops. Haha! Yes, was happy about that as well. In fact, it made my day.
Sorry, the heat has slowed my peripheral thinking!! smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 19:38

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer


it was a damn sweaty one again. It's been unbelievably uncomfortable working outside this January - one of the worst months I've ever experienced in my tradesman life. Perspiration was literally dripping off me today. There's only so many timesI could wipe my forehead and face with my sleeve and t-shirt today before it becomes pointless as the shirt is just as wet.


Edit - Homer would have been doing hand-stands this morning, I know I was!!


Re the overcast skies? Yes, I knew it was going to help somewhat, but geez mate, it was still a shocker. I can't ever remember a January with such prolonged high humidity combined with high temps. I've always equated Feb as the really humid month. Even March.


I'm pretty over the heat and humidity too actually, it's the consistency that gets tiring. Working all day in it and then sweating all night in the hot house is also not enjoyable. But I am starting to become used to it now because I'm constantly hot. The only reprieve is my air conditioned car on the way to and from work or swimming in the ocean.

PS: I can't see the heat thread locked? Maybe it was just opened back up.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 19:59

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Being a Geordie trigging anything??


Ooops. Haha! Yes, was happy about that as well. In fact, it made my day.
Sorry, the heat has slowed my peripheral thinking!! smile


Ah thats alright, a good come back, 1 nil down after just 24 seconds to win 2 -1 with only 23% of possession!! A famous win indeed.

Wave Rider, what do you do for a crust?

Looks like another mild night is on the cards, still 26c with a fairly stiff nor-easter blowing plus a near enough sky full of cloud.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:00

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer


it was a damn sweaty one again. It's been unbelievably uncomfortable working outside this January - one of the worst months I've ever experienced in my tradesman life. Perspiration was literally dripping off me today. There's only so many timesI could wipe my forehead and face with my sleeve and t-shirt today before it becomes pointless as the shirt is just as wet.


Edit - Homer would have been doing hand-stands this morning, I know I was!!


Re the overcast skies? Yes, I knew it was going to help somewhat, but geez mate, it was still a shocker. I can't ever remember a January with such prolonged high humidity combined with high temps. I've always equated Feb as the really humid month. Even March.


I'm pretty over the heat and humidity too actually, it's the consistency that gets tiring. Working all day in it and then sweating all night in the hot house is also not enjoyable. But I am starting to become used to it now because I'm constantly hot. The only reprieve is my air conditioned car on the way to and from work or swimming in the ocean.

PS: I can't see the heat thread locked? Maybe it was just opened back up.


Working in this heat day after day is simply almost unbearable. We outsiders don't have the luxury of an air-conditioned office all day.

I laugh when the ex complains about the heat, yet she drives to work in an air conditioned car, works all day in an air conditioned office, and then returns home to an air conditioned house. FMD!!!!


As for the heat thread, when I was logged on before the reply box wasn't there. It is now, so I'm not sure what happened.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:02

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Being a Geordie trigging anything??


Ooops. Haha! Yes, was happy about that as well. In fact, it made my day.
Sorry, the heat has slowed my peripheral thinking!! smile


Ah thats alright, a good come back, 1 nil down after just 24 seconds to win 2 -1 with only 23% of possession!! A famous win indeed.



A very important 3 points to say the least.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:11

Definitely agree about the humidity in Sydney. I'm only 20 so don't really have much recollection from before the mid-2000's but this has definitely been the most humid summer I can remember; probably why we are seeing constant min temps above 20.

So far I've recorded over half the month with morning cloud cover above 7 oktas - so along with humidity the cloud is keeping min temps warm.

There haven't really been proper dry north westerlies so the humidity has just mixed in with the heat over the past month with nothing much to flush it out.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:11

Yeah it's strange when people that work and live in aircon complain about the heat. I think if I was in an environment with aircon all the time I'd like a bit of warmth in me every now and then. I find most air conditioned places too cold tbh.

Eddy I'm a tyre fitter most of the time while I'm not at Uni. It's up in the Highlands and it has been very hot and humid there lately. It wouldn't be nearly as bad as Homer's situation, being in a cooler area and the workshop is mostly covered from the sun. Not so unbearable during the day down here but the nights are not cooling things down so the house is just constantly warm.

I'm the same age Jacob and I agree its more humid consistently than I can remember. This also would surely have to be the hottest for mins too. Most of the time we get below 20 easily at night with the nearby escarpment but I can't remember the last time it happened, maybe 2 weeks ago.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:35

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Definitely agree about the humidity in Sydney. I'm only 20 so don't really have much recollection from before the mid-2000's but this has definitely been the most humid summer I can remember; probably why we are seeing constant min temps above 20.

So far I've recorded over half the month with morning cloud cover above 7 oktas - so along with humidity the cloud is keeping min temps warm.

There haven't really been proper dry north westerlies so the humidity has just mixed in with the heat over the past month with nothing much to flush it out.


What a fantastic post! When I was 20, there was none of all this info from the internet. In fact, the internet didn't even exist!!

I used to wait till dad got home from work with the daily newspapers, and I would cut the synoptic charts out of the paper. That was my learning and education re the weather, besides observations, and learning from people like Alan Wilkie and Mike Bailey on the evening news bulletins.(Even though he was a meteorologist, and even as a kid, I thought Alan Wilkie was useless). Mike Bailey who was just a journalist, was far more informative on the ABC.

You are so lucky at your age to have so much information readily at hand. Geez, I even used to get sat pics faxed to me from the BOM, (which was high tech then) and which was added to the parents phone bill. I only ever did it when I thought there might be a rain event imminent. Lol.


Continue your passion. You will be rewarded.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 20:38

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Yeah it's strange when people that work and live in aircon complain about the heat. I think if I was in an environment with aircon all the time I'd like a bit of warmth in me every now and then. I find most air conditioned places too cold tbh.

Eddy I'm a tyre fitter most of the time while I'm not at Uni. It's up in the Highlands and it has been very hot and humid there lately. It wouldn't be nearly as bad as Homer's situation, being in a cooler area and the workshop is mostly covered from the sun. Not so unbearable during the day down here but the nights are not cooling things down so the house is just constantly warm.

I'm the same age Jacob and I agree its more humid consistently than I can remember. This also would surely have to be the hottest for mins too. Most of the time we get below 20 easily at night with the nearby escarpment but I can't remember the last time it happened, maybe 2 weeks ago.


You know what mate? I commend you. Doing the hard yards while you are young. It's tough [censored], I know, but you'll be the better for it in the long run.
It certainly has been a shocking January, whatever part of NSW we all live in.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 21:27

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Definitely agree about the humidity in Sydney. I'm only 20 so don't really have much recollection from before the mid-2000's but this has definitely been the most humid summer I can remember; probably why we are seeing constant min temps above 20.

So far I've recorded over half the month with morning cloud cover above 7 oktas - so along with humidity the cloud is keeping min temps warm.

There haven't really been proper dry north westerlies so the humidity has just mixed in with the heat over the past month with nothing much to flush it out.


What a fantastic post! When I was 20, there was none of all this info from the internet. In fact, the internet didn't even exist!!

I used to wait till dad got home from work with the daily newspapers, and I would cut the synoptic charts out of the paper. That was my learning and education re the weather, besides observations, and learning from people like Alan Wilkie and Mike Bailey on the evening news bulletins.(Even though he was a meteorologist, and even as a kid, I thought Alan Wilkie was useless). Mike Bailey who was just a journalist, was far more informative on the ABC.

You are so lucky at your age to have so much information readily at hand. Geez, I even used to get sat pics faxed to me from the BOM, (which was high tech then) and which was added to the parents phone bill. I only ever did it when I thought there might be a rain event imminent. Lol.


Continue your passion. You will be rewarded.


I used to do the same RE waiting for Dad to bring the Daily Tele home from work(this was the early/mid 90's). I would flick straight to the weather page to see the synoptic chart and the expected highs/lows for NSW. In the summer my mind always boggled at the 40c+ temps and pretty red shading through western NSW. Ahh the good old days! ha ha
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 22:52

Mean 3pm dew point in Bankstown has been about 20C, which has to be a record. Don't think it's been that high at OH, let alone in the west.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/01/2019 22:59

Thanks Homer - it's really interesting how different it was back then when the only sources of weather were newspapers and T.V. When you couldn't just flick open the BOM obs page to see the current temps and all the data we have access to now along with all the weather models.

I remember when I was 5 or 6 in the early 2000's, when the internet access still wasn't as widespread as it is today (plus we only had one computer), my dad showed me how to get the weather forecast from teletext, but a few years later I realized the internet was much better - Hard to imagine weather forecasting without it now!
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 00:16

Until 2017 I would usually only watch the news for the weather and occasionally use the BOM website. But thanks to all the helpful fellas on this forum I've been able to learn about everything in leaps and bounds.
-------------
Looks like a Black Nor Easter event lining up from about Monday but i'm unsure about the level of the rainfall totals, might be a good dam filler imo. Honestly we've had almost every type of weather pattern Spring-Summer period from winter cut-off to summer troughs. The only things left to check off are a Black Nor Easter and a Proper ECL.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 06:39

Looks like a rerun of yesterday so far: overcast, a NE'er that didn't stop all night and 23 degrees. I was hoping for a nice sunrise, but things didn't quite line up, with a warm, murky night oozing into a warm, grey dawn.

The flags on the Harbour Bridge seem to be showing a light N-NW wind. How hot we finish the month in Sydney will mainly depend upon what happens with that streaming NW cloud band (or maybe it's a 'ribbon').

----

Many Sydney sites, probably most, will finish with their warmest average minimum on record for any month. OH will have finished at 21.7, just eclipsing the old record set in January 2017.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 08:25

The skies cleared around 3am this morning allowing the overnight temp to drop to 21.8c, even the Nor-easter decided to take a well earned break around 6am after blowing its head off for the past 3 or 4 days, but it won't be long before its starts again.

Like Steve777, I too was hoping for a nice sunrise but a thick cloud was way out on the eastern horizon.

I think back in the day the papers used to be The Daily Mirror and The Telegraph which I think merged in the early 90s to become the Daily Telegraph??

A lot blank post in the NSW January 2019 Heat Extravaganza laugh
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 08:32

The tone in here is refreshing!

Dipole - amazing photos thank you! You and Eddy have it covered.

Homer - yes. Threads need to encourage contributions and membership not undermine their own potential.

CoastalStorm22 - I did the same!!!! I used to clip out daily snow reports during winter and compare the data in an exercise book, keep the synoptic charts and forecasts lol. Used to call in my rain and temp results from own my weather station to Win TV wollongong.

JaCob - it's a lifelong bug searching for more and more info! How many nights have I found myself ready for bed but still checking the radar, or obs nationally or BoM stats or UKMet or ...

Steve777 - going for another 30+ here but a 23 forecast tomorrow - importantly a 13 minimum! Starting to notice later sunrise now too.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 08:39

Flags on the bridge (Harbour and Glebe Island) are indicating a stiff NNW.
Still as on the streets of the CBD.

That annoying ribbon of cloud looks to be slowly shifting to the NE so we may get a sunny day eventually. Or it might just be my wishful thinking.

Anyway, cloud clears, NW wind mixes down to ground and stays that way & late southerly. Could I dare hope the planets align and we sneak in a 40+ here?
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 09:19

I am 62 and agree this is the most humid summer I can recall. Lucky that I live 1.5km (straight line) from ocean, and just 200m from Lake Illawarra, which has keep most days sensible side of 30C, but only just.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 09:47

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
I am 62 and agree this is the most humid summer I can recall...

I'm older and ditto.

Late January into February 2011 was similar. It featured a record minimum, a 40+ and a run of 6 30+ for Sydney OH. It was also a cloudy month in spite of the heat, like this one.

January 2019 has featured consistency of the heat and especially the humidity, but no near-records in Sydney.

Minima: all but 2 over 20. Warmest 23.5, which is no big deal.

Maxima:
- Two cool days (22 and a bit), the only two maxima under 25.
- All but 3 days reached 26.
- All but 6 days reached 27.
- 11 days 30+ (including today),

P.S. the clearing edge is passing over here now and the Sun's out.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 11:26

Still hanging onto a NE wind here, around 30C, but humidity "only" 60%, normally this would be high enough.

Several coastal sites now under NW winds, Moruya and Newcastle, Moruya 35C, but humidity is just 34%
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 13:57

Bellmabi Point hanging on as the last stronghold of seabreeze on southern half of NSW. 11C difference in the 10-15kms between it and Albion Park.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:09

And Penrith is back again. Probably a brief visit for a coffee and a chat and then it'll be off again.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:11

Any reports of a roll cloud down south? Wanna know if I should pack the camera and head to the beach
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:16

Any thoughts on time of arrival in Sydney? Will I beat the change home?
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:27

Here's a picture showing the change, a sharp line off cloud off the South Coast from just South of Ulladulla. That NW-cloud band is still near Gosford.



The change passed through Moruya about 12:50 and has yet to reach Ulladulla. They tend to speed up after Jervis Bay (when 3 hours from Sydney). My guess for Sydney would be around 6:30 - 7:30 PM.

P.S. Penrith' back and closing in on 40. OH has been to 37.8 (100 F).
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:31

Interesting Steve, looks like a roll cloud about 50km offshore. Hopefully builds closer to the coast
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 14:35

I can see that clearing edge from here, but it's taking it's time to clear that's for sure.
Temps are quite warm considering we are under cloud.
I think that southerly will be quite sometime before it reaches here.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/01/2019 22:37

My latest 2 storm chase videos

Brief severe storm Picton. NSW 27th January 2019



Lightning Goulburn, 26th January 2019



As usual best watched on YT tube in full HD (and widescreen)
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 07:30

Bloody frigid this morn...haven't felt quite like this in a while! eek
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 07:51

Long live the southerly! It's dropped to below 20c, I couldn't help think this morning when it was 17c and drizzly that in a few months 17c will feel balmy once we get high pressure induced -1s and -3s most mornings in outer Sydney.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 08:23

It's below 20 at Sydney OH for the first time in 25 days. There's been a bit of rain overnight, 2 mm at Chatswood.

We're in a different pattern now. Two days of solid overcast but not much rain (I don't believe the forecast maxima of 24,and 27). A bit of a warmup then a mixed bag, although there doesn't appear to be serious rain or serious heat in the next 10 days or so. Maybe storms.

Here's another portrait of the Southerly from the Doppler radar, this time as it approached Newcastle. It had enough oomph to push as far as Lithgow by then:

Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 08:37

It was surprising how quickly it was penetrating inland compared to others that seem to take ages just to make the western suburbs of Sydney after they hit the coast. I.e. Lithgow at the same time as Newcastle is a little surprising
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 08:41

Ok you cold lovers have had your fun with this southerly buster, time for the heat to return. poke

Nice screen shot Steve777, it was amazing watching the doppler in real time last night.

We did dip below 20c last night only just 19.9c was my overnight low. The winds this morning have backed right off, under 10kmph for the last hour or so and must have been pretty strong at times last night as there is plenty of leaf and small branches down everywhere, my station only recorded a gust 48.3kmph though.

1.3mm of drizzle too!!
Posted by: snowforus

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 10:31

Heat = anything over 20.
Posted by: SapphireCoast82

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 10:52

Hello all, first time poster, having been a reader for a number of years. From a lovely picturesque little town called Eden down the bottom of the NSW Far South Coast.

All quietened down again now here after one of the more interesting weeks in recent times. Just as well since I fly to Melbourne this arvo!

Plenty of thunderstorm activity after what had been a fairly quiet summer locally. We tend to miss a lot of the storms to the north or south, but we copped a couple of direct hits this week. Unfortunately didn't get any photos this time, but Wednesday evening's storm was a cracker, lots of lightning and plenty of heavy rain. Yesterday's change was nothing special for us though. Nothing like what occurred further up the coast that's for sure!

Also in the Commercial Fishing Industry, fishing has been absolutely terrible recently, thanks in part to the drought (as odd as it might sound) and to an abnormal cold water current pushing up into the east coast over the past month or so. This current has also influenced some of the cold water temps at beaches, as mentioned above. The good news is, apparently this current is likely to move offshore over the next couple of weeks.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 14:41

Welcome SapphireCoast82. I don't think theres anyone on here that lives that far south so would be interested to see your observations smile.

Bit of a drizzle has arrived here allowing the temp to drop about 1c. A very welcome change today compared to the past few weeks. Currently still 26.6c indoors but it feels fantastic.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 16:17

Yes, welcome SapphireCoast82. Eden is a beautiful place. I've only stayed there one night, on a road trip early this century. Had a meal and a couple of beers in the Eden Fishermens' Club.

It will be good to have reports from the far South Coast.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 16:35

So it is currently a drizzly 19 in Sydney (truly disgusting*) and the forecast, just posted, is for a minimum of 21 overnight.

The only way I can read that is we are at the coldest it is going to get right now and it can only warm up from here into the evening. Which is a good thing isn't it EddyG?

*True to form, the outdoor lunar festivities begin around the city today and the weather is crap. I know one guy performing outdoors tonight in the festival and he said they can't perform if it is wet. So good on you Sydney weather, you have ruined things again.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 17:03

Originally Posted By: kizz
So it is currently a drizzly 19 in Sydney (truly disgusting*) and the forecast, just posted, is for a minimum of 21 overnight.

The only way I can read that is we are at the coldest it is going to get right now and it can only warm up from here into the evening. Which is a good thing isn't it EddyG?

*True to form, the outdoor lunar festivities begin around the city today and the weather is crap. I know one guy performing outdoors tonight in the festival and he said they can't perform if it is wet. So good on you Sydney weather, you have ruined things again.


This is exactly right, I know we need the rain but its been a disaster for ice cream vendors today and probably also a publican's nightmare tonight. grin

Luckily there was cricket on TV today, I even had a little siesta after lunch.

Just the 0.2mm since 9am, top temp was 22.9c at 10am this morning, currently its 20.4c it has warmed up in the last half too by 0.1c, I can now turn the heater off laugh
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 17:05

Yeah welcome to you SC82, it's a very nice area down there. So one new member from Araluen and one from Eden now, they will make very good additions to the scope of the NSW forum.

I'm happy we had a cool day today, made working a breeze. Reached just 15°C up here. Keen for the return of mildly warm weather though and maybe a very hot day here and there but not 2 weeks straight of it.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 17:05

Originally Posted By: SapphireCoast82

Also in the Commercial Fishing Industry, fishing has been absolutely terrible recently, thanks in part to the drought (as odd as it might sound) and to an abnormal cold water current pushing up into the east coast over the past month or so. This current has also influenced some of the cold water temps at beaches, as mentioned above. The good news is, apparently this current is likely to move offshore over the next couple of weeks.


Welcome.

Its been pretty bad up here too for a couple of years, mainly the prawning industry is struggling big time!!
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 19:48

Constant drizzle here since about 4:30pm, a welcome change from the last hot sticky two months, despite what others think, I'm lovin' it.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 19:54

There's been persistent light rain for several hours here, adding up to 3 mm so far (Chatswood).

I agree that the Sydney forecast looks odd, with a temperature range of 21-27, given that it was 19 when it was issued and has dropped to the low 18's since. Weather.com says 18-26. My guess, given the cloud is expected to stick around at least until late tomorrow afternoon, would be something like 23-24 but then we had 26-27 degree marine layer days in January. We'll see.

This is actually a common pattern I remember from past years, less common now. A very hot day, a Southerly Buster then a 'cold' day, often a run of them, before 'recovering' to average.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 20:07

Originally Posted By: Steve777


This is actually a common pattern I remember from past years, less common now. A very hot day, a Southerly Buster then a 'cold' day, often a run of them, before 'recovering' to average.


I remember this happened at the end of January 2015, where the 25th was mid-high 30's then a southerly came through dropping temps starting on the 26th. From the Parramatta climate data there were 3 days below 21 and drizzle then another 10 days or so of 24-28. A timely end to the school holidays that was grin
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 20:38

If you ever want to see an example of heavy drizzle(a thing?). The A league game on now at Homebush is awesome on tv as can see the trail of the ball on the grass.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 20:52

Heard exploding fireworks a little while ago, so the Chinese New Year festivities are underway in spite of the weather. Here is a Webcam view of Sydney Harbour about half an hour ago:



----

The rain rate has lifted, with some useful totals building, now up to 5 mm at Chatswood, 4.8 in the City.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 20:56

Sea temps dropped 2.7C degrees today offshore Sydney in 25 hours.
Down to 20.3C at 6pm according to BOM.
It was 23.0C at 5pm yesterday
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 21:01

It was 18° in Newcastle yesterday. I suspect it will heat up next few days.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 22:31

Moderate drizzle here. I love that I still am close enough to the coast to get a decent sea breeze and decent drizzle which should acculturate if it keeps up. Just what the land need's after the heat.


Picture of the long cloud before landing in Sydney today, it's like a blanket. Off to the South Pacific tomorrow. smile

Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 22:39

TH radar not showing up the drizzle/rain too well, we've had almost 4.5mm since 4:30pm, yet nothing is showing up on the rainfall since 9am map.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/02/2019 23:09

Cool pic Perfect Storm. Amazing the contrast, it's like we went from a Feb day to a June day within a 24 hr period.

11.8mm at Obs hill since 9am, some of the heaviest drizzle you'll witness around these parts laugh
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 07:47

23mm of steady drizzle since about 4pm yesterday at Sydney Obs Hill.
Still drizzling my place now.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 08:35

Nice picture Perfect Storm. The marine layer looks much better from the other side.

It wasn't drizzle here last night but steady light rain. It's eased off for the moment. Chatswood has accumulated 19 mm. Across Sydney, falls have been over 10 mm East of about Olympic Park, falling away to a few millimetres in the outer West.

I see that the BOM has downgraded Sydney's forecast to 25. Makes more sense. It looks as though the temperature did rise overnight to about 21.

Solid overcast and very humid now. We've had our rain, so this cloud can go away now, but it will probably hang around until tonight.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 09:52

Some big totals overnight in the far south of the Mid North Coast. Forster 73mm Nabiac 107mm, Willina 115mm and just 3.3mm here to 9am.

So close but yet so far!!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 10:01

Originally Posted By: Funkyseefunkydo
If you ever want to see an example of heavy drizzle(a thing?). The A league game on now at Homebush is awesome on tv as can see the trail of the ball on the grass.


At least one team can play in heavy drizzle!!! laugh poke grin
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 11:23

Thanks everyone.

Some decent totals about the place, quite impressive given the weather feature. Wonder if the warmer sea temps out in the Tassie aided?

Off to the overseas passenger terminal now for my cruise on the Ovation of the Seas. First stop Noumea in New Caledonia on Tuesday and Mystery Island in Vanuatu on the Wednesday. Hoping to experience some tropical showers and/or thunderstorms. cool
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 12:23

Here's a quick video from a severe storm on the south coast Jan 29, the first storm travelled from west of Ulladulla south to where I intercepted it at Moruya. There were several other storms throughout the evening too but mostly difficult to film due to widespread rain an inconsistent lightning.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3353i_25_CQ
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 17:08

Nice picture Perfect Storm. I love how flat and far reaching that stratus layer is! Above it full sunshine and beneath it dank, dark drizzle.

The forecast looks very typical for the last month of summer: daily maximum temperatures in the high 20's to mid/high 30's every day with minimum temperatures in the low 20's for Western Sydney. Also a lot of humidity which I find peaks in February/March.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/02/2019 17:14

copping some moderate rain right now.

lasted less than a minute smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 08:46

Hello all , had a drive down to sackville and back yesterday to see my son. We hit cloud and drizzle at yetholme which increased as we headed toward kurrajong. It was so very nice to feel the coolness and moisture of heavy drizzle. We got out for a coffee at bilpin and revelled in the conditions. It was humid but still drizzling at sackville/Maroota for the few hours we were there. Then a lovely cool moist trip home to Bx although as soo as we dropped down from yetholme it cleared and warmed to 27 rapidly.

Really enjoyed the coolness for a change, so nice. A return to low 30,s coming up this week but the nights hopefully will assist by dropping to around 18. Still well above average but a 17 degree morning beats 20 hands down 😁😁

Eddy, saw your photos in the heat extravaganza topic, methinks you have upgraded from a box brownie 👍👍

Welcome to sapphire, I love Eden, stunning place. Also echo thoughts re Steve, always an excellent contributor 👍
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 09:35

Thanks Dave and good to hear from you again.

The sun graced us with its presence for about an hour or so before sunset yesterday. It's back to clear skies today. It's now very warm and humid with a loud cicada chorus.

I've noticed on a couple of occasions I've been West on days like today that the cloud breaks up at Yetholme, which is on the Divide. On the Satellite picture, the clearing edge of marine layer cloud often etches out the Divide. It will cold, drizzly and foggy at Katoomba, cool and drizzly at Lithgow, warm sunny at Bathurst.

Unfortunately Yetholme is a two and a half hour drive away.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 15:31

Hot and humid day, 35C, typical of early Feb.
Was actually hotter here than Tocal today, which is unusual since the Maitland weather site moved in July 2016.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 15:59

Thanks DaveM, good to hear from you.

Played cricket at Clarence town yesterday and had a couple brief rain delays, it got quite steamy when the sun come out.

Quite a warm and humid day here, even with the sea gale blowing, had a gust of 40kmph here and probably even stronger near the beach.

Some nice bolts in your vid Lightning Chaser!!
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 17:48

Amazing - just had a dark red cell develop right over us, have had a couple of mm in 10 minutes so nothing major but the fascinating thing was that the sun was out the whole time - looking up and seeing all these silver arrows, huge drops raining down. wish I was a cameraman!
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 18:09

Was there much lightning in that storm DVC? Pulse storms between Goulburn and Golspie look nice on radar. I’m on holidays so might take the camera for a drive tomorrow, should be more slow moving storms.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 18:11

yes but only two flashes and one rumble! the larger cell is over Taralaga way - slow moving too.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 19:01

The sea gale is pretty strong here this afternoon.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 19:25

Originally Posted By: DVC
wish I was a cameraman!


Just take a heap of photos with your mobile phone and share away.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 20:07

tks eddy - i wish i had with the silver arrows, it was like that scene in braveheart or vikings i think it was lol.

we have another storm band forming and moving SW to NE so we might get some more.

great storm season here!
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 20:14

Inshore Cronulla Northern beaches seawater felt about 2C warmer this late afternoon than same time yesterday. Delightful.

NE warm seabreeze picked up about 6pm to blow a little stinging sand around.
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 21:40

oh wow......getting smashed.........need the rain though as it has been dry as a chip
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/02/2019 22:38

They're really getting hammered up north, NW QLD must be an inland sea by now and more to come. Woolshed west of Townsville 1,725mm so far. Can't even imagine what that would look like anywhere in NSW.
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 07:40

Now there is rumbles out the back of the hills of my area.....radar picking up storms around the mountains,Braidwood & Goulburn.....interesting day ahead. Picked up a quickfire 18mm in last nights storm
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 09:12

yes have had steady light rain here since about 8am - unexpected - forecast says sunny morning chance of showers this arvo lol. 5.4mm in the gauge at 9 am. Expecting top of 33 which if so will be quite tropical!

160 mm for the calendar summer so far is not bad at all.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 09:24

It's sunny and humid here, a rerun of yesterday, although not quite as warm as this time yesterday. There's a bit of high cloud about, with a cloud bank off to the South.

About 25-27 across Sydney, with the NE-er trying to get going.Sea temps off Sydney are still cool, a little over 21, having recovered from just above 20 a couple of days ago. The boundary of the cold water, about 20 km off the coast, shows up clearly of 'Layers' (enhanced infrared).
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 09:26

Mentioned a few days ago that this is the most humid summer I can recall. At home (no AC) I went to print a page on the ink jet and had a paper jam. Took me a while to work out as the paper was just not being picked up. It had swelled under the conditions of the last few weeks, and each page against the other did not slip. I had to feed the printer single page by page.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 09:37

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
They're really getting hammered up north, NW QLD must be an inland sea by now and more to come. Woolshed west of Townsville 1,725mm so far. Can't even imagine what that would look like anywhere in NSW.


It really depends where it falls though there are some fast flowing rivers around the Mid-north Coast and adjacent areas along with rainforest. They may be reasonably well-versed. But then Lismore which is prone to flooding will be inundated.

Dropping it inland is a tricky one because the geography is poor for a fast removal of water, but then soil moisture is a record lows or well below average along with many dams and rivers like the darling struggling to flow so an interesting battle.

Drop it further South on Sydney it's like the 5th of August 1986 multiplied by a factor of 5 so I would leave it up to imagination. Note: That event saw 327.8mm in a period of 24 hours, absolutely insane.

Looking into the Illawarra looks like it would've surpassed the 1998 August floods so quite eerie thinking about it. The monthly rainfall of August in 1998 was Kiama 728mm and Darkes Forest 744mm so more than double that. Don't know much too much about it though not a local, but I found an excellent write-up by Ozthunder.
Ozthunder Diary 1998

I would imagine that every dam would be filled if you look on the bright side though. Again i've not been alive for the comparable events that may be sitting around.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 15:18

Little cells developing everywhere to my west here.
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 15:20

Some thunder at Campbelltown
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 15:59

I could see some distant towers away to the West when I was out and about earlier. There's a chain of cells over the Divide West of Sydney. They seem to be moving slowly Northwards. There's another cell South of Putty and a small cell just passed between Campbelltown and Waterfall, probably the source of the thunder Chapo heard.

We'll see what develops.

EDIT: no sign of any "Southerly" as such. Winds are N-NE on the Illawarra, more E-SE South of about Moruya.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 17:02

Looks like Broke,west,NW of Cessnock is going to be hit by a cell very large tower just NW of me moving north.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 18:02

For the second day in a row here - storms to the north, south, east and west, but nothing overhead. Seems to have been the theme here this summer. We only got 82mm in January (below average), while 154mm in Bathurst, 171mm at Bathurst Airport and 183mm at Mt Boyce were all well above. You can see how much greener it becomes when you drive down the hill to Hartley. Normally it's the other way around - it becomes browner and drier in the Kanimbla Valley.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/02/2019 19:16

58.7 mm this past January—about average. The usual dry summer.

Winter is always much wetter here (>120 mm), which is chiefly due to snowfall.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 07:00

Awesome lightning from 8 - 10 pm last night around bungendore near Canberra. I’ll post a video when I can edit it. Shelf cloud pumping out bolts that were 10 km away at first but slowly closed in to 2 km away, not too much rain either. Michael (pingtang) was also in the area so keep an eye out for his video.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 10:11

Lightning at night is the best because when filming it with a good high frame rate camera, you can see the return strokes much more clearly than during the day.

The minimum temperatures around the Sydney basin this morning were between 23°C-24°C with Observatory Hill and the airport at around 22.5°C. So the Western suburbs had higher mins than the Eastern suburbs this morning which is very unusual.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 10:42

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
...So the Western suburbs had higher mins than the Eastern suburbs this morning which is very unusual


I noticed that too. I'd say that's a result of sea breezes continuing well into the evening, followed by a weak Southerly, possibly boosted by cool inshore Oceans.

It's been cloudy with a brisk Southerly (10-15 knots earlier, now dropping). The Sun's tried to break through a few times and is trying again now, urged on by the cicadas. It's about 25 near the coast, up to 27-28 inland.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 10:54

Has also been pretty consistently warmer for mins here vs Bellambi as well. And yes it is usually the opposite way around in this area too with the average min being 17°C. Last night was well over 20 but not uncomfortable because the days have been fairly cloudy and not that hot so the house hasn't heated up much since the big southerly change.

It's cloudy today but still rather warm and muggy. We had light rain hanging around for a couple of hours just before but it has cleared now.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 11:01

Here's my lightning video from last night at Bungendore, just north east of Canberra.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfvGP9OT1RI
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 13:04

This summer reminds me of 2017 for minimum temps. Only rarely dropping below 20, which is quite different from last year when some short term sites had record low January temps (10c). Just hasn't been much of an opportunity to escape the warmth.

Southerly is blowing now in Sydney.

Models showing some heat and then a cool down next Tuesday and Wednesday, with the change coming Thursday. Only a small amount of rain. Access, EC and GFS mostly in agreement at this stage.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 13:06

Penrith dew point looks too low.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 13:50

RH looks looks like its stuck on 38/39%. For goodness sakes BoM get your stuff together.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 14:55

16.7° C as of now at 2:55 PM (afternoon)...rubbish "summer" weather sick

Not to mention the ugly forecast next week; 9°-18° C codswallop crazy
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 15:07

I'll swap our 22-31C just about every day for your upcoming forecast cool
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 16:10

Adaminaby Angler,I would love that temp for a while after 35 to 43 temps here that have been going for weeks with only a two day break in it not long ago,and we are getting no rain as well.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 16:11

Ooh AA I miss Adaminaby heaps, Anglers even more. I’d take your temps happily 😁😁
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 16:13

Few storms out this way, one grumbling nearby but not wet yet.

With luck we will get a drink soon and maybe again in couple of hours
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 16:41

There are storms forming inland near Putty and Mangrove Mountain; they moving from east to west. Very unusual.

It would be interesting to construct something similar to a wind rose but showing the directions which storms come from and the frequencies for each direction in Sydney.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 16:46

Sydney OH hasn't had any days over 30 in February so far, but 3 over 29. Even today spiked to 29.2 at OH, almost as warm as the last two days.

It's been mostly cloudy today where I was with some sunny breaks. I think it might have been clearer near the coast.

The forecast shows a continuation of the warm pattern, consistently above average but without much rain and no particularly hot days. The 'chance' of a thunderstorm is mentioned in the forecast for tonight and for 4 of the next 5 days.

P.S. Anglers' Reach climate: Anglers Reach
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 17:59

I wouldn't mind these March-style temps if it weren't for the boring stability over the next week or so...nothing but 18°-22° C highs. January was beyond legendary, so February can go to buggery for all I care laugh

I'd like a bit more variability than this, however! For instance, a 7° C high followed by a 31° C high the day afterwards wink
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 18:28

Got to 35C in Maitland today at home.
At work, looks like Singleton has shut up shop since Jan 20.
Posted by: Duane

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 18:33

Got a welcome 10mm from storms today. Much welcome for the lawns and garden. Been very dry lately.
Duane.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 18:57

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
I'd like a bit more variability than this, however! For instance, a 7° C high followed by a 31° C high the day afterwards wink


Maybe you'd have to move to the North of the midwest USA to see that. grin

In spring they get that a lot; and single digit days following high 20's or low 30's.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 19:22

great storms in the sw slopes young had a massive dumping in one hour looking like more rain again here tonight on radar.

humidity here has not been below 68 per cent since 1030pm last night - amazing for midsummer here.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 21:09

From the synoptic charts it looks like the big high pressure systems are finally shifting southwards, which is flipping the weather around for several areas in Southern Australia.

This should have the effect of more moist easterly winds and milder temperatures in eastern Australia, which could be a welcome relief from all the heat in January.

From the forecasts, Hobart, Melbourne and Adelaide are looking much cooler for the next several days, especially compared to January, while Perth finally looks like getting one of it's heatwaves that it has lacked recently. So a definite pattern reversal and flip for most of southern Australia.

Also all that rainfall in Queensland is keeping those really hot temps away too; it'll be interesting to see how the rest of February pans out, then March.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/02/2019 22:08

Still getting light rain here. Been raining for hours now from what looks to be stationary showers. Looks like further heavy showers are developing offshore.
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 00:09

some heavy showers are sweeping thru Campbelltown tonight
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 08:20

Bright and sunny with a bit of high cloud about here, very warm and humid with light winds. It doesn't seem to have rained here overnight, although there were showers about Sydney, mostly Southwards. Heaviest fall seems to have been 9.4 mm at Holsworthy. Most falls were under 5 mm, with nothing registered at Chatswood.
Posted by: davidg

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 08:30

Penrith AWS on the fritz again. DP of 9c and RH 40%? Haha I think not. Richmond just up the road currently has a DP of 21 and a RH of 80%.

Not sure if the AWS has been replaced or just repaired but its been offline an awful lot this summer.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 13:10

I hate these screwed up shear profiles. They never seem to favour much for the coastal strip.

Having said that we did get a 5min shower last night at Shellharbour that was quite heavy, you could hear it coming across distant roofs for 5 mins before it arrived.

Last hour or so has seen some well offshore showers develop on the Newcastle radar, one or two if they last (a big if) may get to the Sydney / Illawarra coasts later.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 13:13

Looks like Penrith AWS has been repaired. For how long though?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 13:22

Originally Posted By: ozthunder


Last hour or so has seen some well offshore showers develop on the Newcastle radar, one or two if they last (a big if) may get to the Sydney / Illawarra coasts later.


That activity in the 50K ring SE quadrant on the Newcastle radar imo is just false echoes, from my vantage point it looks relatively clear.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 13:30

Being so dry of late, the river is looking crystal clear.
Looking in a southerly direction.
_MG_7655 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 14:22

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: ozthunder


Last hour or so has seen some well offshore showers develop on the Newcastle radar, one or two if they last (a big if) may get to the Sydney / Illawarra coasts later.


That activity in the 50K ring SE quadrant on the Newcastle radar imo is just false echoes, from my vantage point it looks relatively clear.




Your correct, I was suckered by the real CU I can see to my east and NE over the ocean ! Looking at Satellite reveals the truth.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 15:47

The line of storms over W NSW/VIC will do wonders for the inland, very moist atmosphere out that way with big totals in some areas. Be interesting to see how far east the line progresses.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 15:59

A cell just offshore southern Illawarra must be close to an isolated spark, has glaciated, but with crap shear, base and steering is going one way and anvil the opposite.
Posted by: SapphireCoast82

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 17:48

Thanks for the welcomes all. Just got home after spending 8 hours in a train and bus from Melbourne after an extended weekend away for my birthday. It appears I missed a bit aswell, Monday night saw thunderstorms again, before a very nice dump of rain again last night. 49mm rain recorded at Merimbula Airport and reports of around 90mm recorded in Lochiel, a small region of mostly properties and hobby farms in a valley around 20 minutes north west of Eden.

Not much really looks like happening today, though it is quite humid, but anything that is forming on the hills out west appears to be dissipating before it can really form. Tomorrow looks likely for a storm and Friday looking the best bet for some more action.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/02/2019 18:43

There were some interesting cloudscapes about earlier this afternoon, bubbly cumulus and a tower or two trying to get going, but it came to nothing. Here's a view from Macquarie Park with the Chatswood skyline in the foreground:



It didn't really come out - couldn't adjust away the glare. It looked better in real life.

It was quite warm and humid today, 31-32 on the car thermometer. Skies are now fairly clear with blowing low cloud. Tomorrow looks like being similar.

P.S. MHL shows Oceans off Sydney have recovering from their freeze of a few days ago (well almost down to 20). to peak just below 24 earlier today. It now seems to be on the way back down.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 09:27

We need the eddies in the current to change shape and steer the water on to the coast rather than parallel to the coast.

At the moment the eddies seem to be working with any Ekmann transport to ensure the warm water stays offshore from the mid north coast and southwards.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 09:38

About 5 or 6 very short, sharp showers last night in Shellharbour. Was quite surprise as around 5pm it looked like all offshore Cu was on its last legs, but closer to sunset it kicked on a bit.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 10:12

Originally Posted By: kizz
We need the eddies in the current to change shape and steer the water on to the coast rather than parallel to the coast.

At the moment the eddies seem to be working with any Ekmann transport to ensure the warm water stays offshore from the mid north coast and southwards.


This same thing happens every year where all that warm water swirls around in a big eddy offshore and never makes it to the coast. Bloody annoying!
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 10:16

GFS Stormcast seems to have a decent chance of storms for this afternoon and evening for the Sydney, Illawarra and inland, yet BOM have nothing at all. Tomorrow is still looking good for storms on both BOM and GFS
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 10:56

Today looks like a rerun of yesterday so far, another very warm night, now another sunny, warm, humid day with scattered cloud and a sea breeze. In this pattern, Eastern Sydney tends to get close to its maximum by around 10:00 AM and then hovers there until late afternoon, maybe spiking a degree or so.

Re ocean currents: I get the impression that where the coast bends Westwards between Seal Rocks and Newcastle, the East Australian current keeps on barreling Southwards, leaving Central and Southern NSW coastal waters to take care of themselves.

Re Thunderstorms: the thunderstorm outlook on Weatherzone looks good for late this afternoon / this evening, and also tomorrow.

Re temperatures: it looks like it will be quite warm tomorrow and Saturday (8th - 9th), then again Tuesday 12th, not last month's extreme heat but low to mid 30's, possibly reaching the coast. From mid-next week, it looks like an extended cooldown follows, with a week or more of SE winds, but not much rain. We'll see how it develops.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 11:27

Originally Posted By: Steve777
From mid-next week, it looks like an extended cooldown follows, with a week or more of SE winds, but not much rain. We'll see how it develops.

Hope not. We have Autumn for the cool down. Summer is for the heat lovers and there is still 3 weeks of that to go.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 13:16

Originally Posted By: Snowmaker
GFS Stormcast seems to have a decent chance of storms for this afternoon and evening for the Sydney, Illawarra and inland, yet BOM have nothing at all. Tomorrow is still looking good for storms on both BOM and GFS


THe NE wind will provide a bit of a CAP on the coast. Steering winds are rather slow, but at least going in right direction today.

Having said that late evening or even night sees mid level temps drop a little, so may fire a few late ones?
Posted by: SapphireCoast82

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 14:47

Some rather decent looking thunderstorms on the mountains, plenty of lightning activity on the radar. Severe thunderstorm warning has been issued as well.

Here in Eden, the clouds are arriving from the west so there is promise of getting at least something. Will be an interesting arvo
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 15:03

We have inland lift off, Cobar has already scored 13mm from a storm. The storm line spans the whole state plus E VIC, should be some decent falls for a lot of areas.

The sea breeze much stronger today.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 15:42

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
We have inland lift off, Cobar has already scored 13mm from a storm. The storm line spans the whole state plus E VIC, should be some decent falls for a lot of areas.

The sea breeze much stronger today.


Yes, a bit of a sea 'gale' here at Shellharbour.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 19:12

There is a long line of storms between Dubbo and Bateman's Bay moving east; we'll see if it breaks down before moving off the mountains, or continues over to the coast.
Posted by: SapphireCoast82

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 19:22

Had a bit of a storm here in Eden, mostly heavy rain but the majority of the lightning activity remained on the hills. Merimbula managed around 5mm though we had heavier falls here. Appears to have cleared from down here for the time being.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 19:53

Originally Posted By: kizz
Originally Posted By: Steve777
From mid-next week, it looks like an extended cooldown follows, with a week or more of SE winds, but not much rain. We'll see how it develops.

Hope not. We have Autumn for the cool down. Summer is for the heat lovers and there is still 3 weeks of that to go.


Too right!!
But I wouldn't mind seeing some afternoon storms that drop some serious rain too.
Lawns have turned to sand now.

Anyway another sea gale here today, one that got going rather early as well.

On a side note, the black cocky's have been out in big numbers over the past three days, rain? At least they have scared the bats away!!
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 20:45

getting hammered here for third time this afternoon very heavy rain
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 21:33

Detailed STW issued for katoomba/blackheath. Looks like theres also little cells forming near picton/camden region
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/02/2019 23:22


Some pleasant rain now with embedded cells occasionally making it stormy, good flangs earlier. Airport showing about 13 mm but I suspect slightly more here, must rig up my rain gauge somewhere, hard though - too many trees not enough open space.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 00:11

All staying out west fizzing out on the ranges,maybe tomorrow storms might come closer to the coast,I have only measured 6 mms so far this month,not much in January either,only 24 mms.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 06:44

Got 28.6 mm in the gauge bringing me to 42.6 mm for the first week of Feb after 79 mm for January - great start. So green around here and now this water soaks in.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 08:22

Originally Posted By: DaveM

must rig up my rain gauge somewhere, hard though - too many trees not enough open space.


Yeah thats not the only thing you should rig up either, you need to rig up your brownie box and show us coasties what a storm looks like!! grin or more importantly what rain looks like.

Already quite warm here currently 26c Humidity 70% Dewpoint 20c wind is light from the north.
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 09:25

Got hammered last night, got home to 38mm in the gauge and it looks like it fell in a very short time, I was in Braidwood and they picked up a very nice 54mm again in a very short time as there was localised flooding, need more as we are in a green drought.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 11:33

I'm expecting some action in the Basin today, lets see what eventuates.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 12:57

Even if nothing develops locally I'd expect that mass of cells near Wagga Wagga to reach here tonight.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:13

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Even if nothing develops locally I'd expect that mass of cells near Wagga Wagga to reach here tonight.


Yes I agree, doesn't look like slowing down anytime soon and still building as it moves along. Even then, the ingredients are there for development in the basin and coastal areas. Most areas should see some action today!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:26

The cloud band over Sydney is moving longways, parallel to the edge, so while clear blue sky is visible to the South, we've just had the odd sunny break.

The sea breeze is up and running on the coast. OH has dropped 2 degrees from a max of 30.4,around 11:30. However, it so far it's fairly weak here, mainly serving to boost the humidity. It's hot, muggy and cloudy with a light NE'er.

We'll see what develops this afternoon. Hopefully steeering winds can push storms over the sea breeze 'dome'.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:43

😁 Eddy, no time mate, no time!! ☹️

I guess we have done pretty well for a change.

That huge blob to our south and west is interesting.

We ended up with around 20mm I reckon last night.

Heading to central coast tonight for quick trip. May end up in storms as I head east over Bells etc. I will try and drag some storms with me for you coastie s 👍👍

From this weekend it seems we will finally get a step down in overnight temps, still struggling to get down to average but a drop of 4 or 5 degrees is big. After next week any nights around 20 should be rare out here. Hopefully anyhow.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:44

Yeah fingers crossed for some rain this arvo probably late, conditions are certainly ripe here 32C and humidity is increasing with the cloud cover..
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:45

A small cell has just popped up to the east of me. No lightning yet but intensified pretty quickly

Edit: lightning now, heading straight for Jamberoo
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 13:55

Got a nice line of storms going just to my north entering the Mid-North coast, another near miss though. Hoping later this afternoon can provide.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 14:21

Getting organised out here with extensive development. One cell approaches with precip expanding.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 14:26

A few CG's around Shellharbour/Kiama ATM. With luck this is not the main show, I am banking on that coming later (please)
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 14:48

Cell just popped east of warragamba
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:00

Can hear it rumbling away now.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:05

In addition to that storm near Warragamba, there's one near Bilpin. From Parramatta, you can actually see the top of the cloud displaced from the bottom. Those westerly winds up in the atmosphere are stronger than the ones below, so the towering cloud actually looks tilted.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:17

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
A few CG's around Shellharbour/Kiama ATM. With luck this is not the main show, I am banking on that coming later (please)


Some staff her (Shellhabour) have got warnings from their Insurance companies about hail

With no BOM warning this means either the insurance companies are calling hail themsleves or using a 3rd party weather company?
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:25

Those cells west of Moruya and Batemans have really beefed up, better wind shear down that way, they could be severe soon, if not already.

Crickets elsewhere?

EDIT: Crickets have stopped and now paying attention
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:48

No crickets here, it's sunny with cicadas. That cloud band has finally shifted.

There are some interesting cloudscapes to the South. This Webcam gets better images tha I can:

Posted by: Dipole

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 15:53

Good steady rain here in Canberra now (West Belconnen anyway), with thunder rolling in.
I follow the Canberra radar because the storms here seem to track down to Tuross Head.
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:02

a black core just popped up near Appin heading towards Wollongong
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:18

About 1mm so far and plenty of rumblings down south
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:25

Fully clouded over gone dark and the radar shows a heavy and wide band approaching, STW in place since 345pm. So many thunder days this year and in for another drenching I think!
Posted by: SapphireCoast82

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:30

Bit of a short sharp burst here in Eden. Developed almost right on top of us out of nothing, plenty of thunder but only a few minutes of heavy rain (if that). The storm itself dropped to the south and headed offshore, whole thing barely lasted half an hour and has just made it more humid if anything.

Looks to be more activity on the mountains, so we might get a little more later. That said, as is mostly the case in Eden, the action does tend to always be to the north.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:51

Wow at that image Steve 👍

Storms have been going around us but it is still coming through, bound to get something as I pack the car to travel this evening 😁
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 16:57



A vast area of NSW under severe storms South of Sydney the extend to the coast, indicating good shear. Hopefully the system moves further north providing the sheer needed for some killer storms.

Dave great to see you posting again. I wonder how green Bathurst must be with all this rain lately.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 17:10

Strewth! laugh
cheers
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 17:26

Towers building south and east of me atm. With the main cell just west of me. Rumbling away frequently now.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 17:55

Holy crap barrage of CG's.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:03

That windsor/richmond storm was damn explosive going up. Very pleasant viewing. Cgs are pumping out now
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:15

Storm about to go over Bexley North.
STW extended to the Sydney metro Coast
Posted by: BIG T

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:25

You guys stole our storm season , we would like it back next time.. enjoy..cell right through town looks lively.
Posted by: BIG T

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:26

Gotta be dropping ice down around Granville / parra way
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:27

Starting to consolidate on radar. My car is out. Hope it’s okay
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:29

Increasing rumbles and rolls,bright flashes and a shelf cloud approaching from the West. Have photos and a short video which I'll post if good enough.

EDIT: black cores to the West.
EDIT2: heavy big drop rain.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:38

Green tinges
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:46

Just looked outside and it looks like a massive shelf cloud trying to develop. The radar shows new cells to my west that is developing rapidly. Bit of green tinge to it as well.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:48

Originally Posted By: BIG T
Gotta be dropping ice down around Granville / parra way


That black core was right on top of me in SW Parramatta. It was cyclonic-like with hail smashing everything up in the wind. Half the massive tress around us have their branches off and half missing. And tonnes of very very close lightning.

I hope everyone out on the roads is safe.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:50

Really bucketing down in Artarmon and the wind's picked up.

Sydney Olympic Park has picked up 21 mm.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 18:58

The black starfish shaped core near Horsnby not long ago on the radar looks freaky friday!
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:02

Cyclone like conditions here in Chatswood.
Posted by: Jon77

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:03

Yep..pretty good storm here near parrmatta, heavy rain (but no hail) and constant close flashes and rumbles...but not on the same scale as the storms we had out this way in the weeks before Christmas, they were epic.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:03

Wow! Look at that development over Horsley Park in the last two frames!!!!
I was out in the storm as it hit. I'll report later.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:04

Total white out right now. A lot less thundery than the last storm though.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:04

Just got home to see a gust front to the SW, looks pretty nasty to the west atm.
Lots of thunder and lightning.

Bring it on, good old arvo summer storm
Posted by: balmz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:05

Stuck at Melb airport waiting for a flight to Sydney (Airport now closed) - Least I get to enjoy reading this stuff from you guys while I miss out. Looks insane on radar.

That explosive development on the back end is ridiculous.
Posted by: Jon77

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:05

Originally Posted By: Homer
Wow! Look at that development over Horsley Park in the last two frames!!!!
I was out in the storm as it hit. I'll report later.


Stunning rapid development..didnt expect this in the city today..
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:07

Originally Posted By: Jon77
Originally Posted By: Homer
Wow! Look at that development over Horsley Park in the last two frames!!!!
I was out in the storm as it hit. I'll report later.


Stunning rapid development..didnt expect this in the city today..


Yeh, I expected it tomorrow when the Wanderers are playing. smile
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:09

I'm in the eye atm. smile

Just went from torrential to virtually nothing in about 15 seconds. The next one will hit in a few minutes.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:09

Originally Posted By: balmz
That explosive development on the back end is ridiculous.


That’s the kicker for me. The way it’s just filling in with orange and red is quite impressive. Often the first line kills (or at least reduces) subsequent convection
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:14

And......it's torrential again!
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:14

Nothing out of the ordinary around Dee Why, the structure and greenage beforehand were quite impressive. Standard heavy rain despite being under yellow/orange, still time for a surprise though.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:15

Something to look forward too - a hot, stormy weekend: https://www.smh.com.au/environment/weath...208-p50wm8.html

Includes a great aerial picture of this afternoon's shelf cloud over Wollongong.

Easing off here now but there's more to come. Some sites in Western Sydney have scored over 40 mm in these storms.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:17

I feel sometimes Jimi it pumps in the right amount of moisture needed for some killer storms just after. I noticed it a couple times like just in the massive hailstone event, the first round was mainly hailstones. 2nd time round was heavy rain which was pretty cool.
----
I saw the first band of storms begin, and due to my heat exhaustion from being outside for most of today. I had a nap to awake to some heavy rain and storm force SW gusts. I always manage to almost nap through every event.
Posted by: Jon77

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:20

Dark as night now here NE of parramatta
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:20

Huge wind gust with that wind front from the WSW just hit Bexley North.
Posted by: balmz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:22

Check out that radar frame over the Northern Suburbs before..


And.. now with the clear air between cells over the Harbour, check out the structure on the front end of the new cells.

Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:24

Absolutely hammering down here. Mainly CC lightning but it's constant and dark as night.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:26

Wind from the SSW now.
Temps dropped too
Heading below 20C in some suburbs
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:29

Just got flanged!!!! What a beautiful thing it is.

Jeez the CG's have ramped up just off the coast.


Happy Friday everyone.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:29

Sydney Olympic Park could end up with >100mm the way things are panning out now
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:34

Mt Boyce has dropped 6.7C in recent 35 minutes down to 14.9C (7pm).
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:40

Just had 2 of the closest lightning strikes I can remember. Power went off for a few seconds so one of them must have hit the power pole outside. The sound was incredible, instant.

Had to wait for the modem to reboot before posting.

Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:40

13.4° C here...bloody refeshing! laugh

Loved the storm activity, too.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:41

7:30pm Sydney wind directions are interesting.
Covers just about every direction.

Syd Harbour N
Syd Obs Hill NNW
Syd Airport WSW
Badgerys Creek S
Bankstown SSW
Campbelltown SSE
Canterbury SW
Terrey Hills E
Posted by: LonnyDave

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:42

AFLW game GWS vs North Melbourne suspended
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:46

Cheers ashes 👍

Got home from work about 5.20 and got smashed trying to pack car for trip to the entrance, ended up chucking things in the car, torrential rain plus marble sized hail, howling gales, green tinges, everything!!! Was absolutely wild.

Got going and was thrown about by the wind, flangs everywhere, wipers could hardly keep up, drivers panicking and driving miss daisy etc.

Eventually got to front of THAT storm about half way to Lithgow. However rest of trip to Windsor ( food stop now) was windy damp etc.

Can see they’ve had a good one here too. 😁
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:54

Cannot believe the BOM did not update their 4.20 forecast, which was pretty bland and benign.

Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, becoming less likely later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Winds gusts have varied from just above 40 km/h to almost 80 km/h, and I'm sure there have been much stronger gusts in some areas that were not recorded.
Rainfall totals have exceeded 50 mm's in some areas. Compared to their prediction today of 0-6 mm's.

I'm aware they put out STW warnings, but seriously, this is dropping the ball big time.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 19:57

Quality lightning at the front of the storm near Nowra 2 hours ago. It was moving so fast though I got caught by the rain too soon for my liking. Got drenched by large area of dark orange on radar and very strong winds. I’ll edit a video ASAP.
Posted by: Manly

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 20:01

Just got back from sailing on Sydney Harbour. That was impressive!
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 20:02

James Ruse Drive outside Rosehill Race Course

https://twitter.com/JudyJaz/status/1093789723108114438
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 20:35

Wow chapo, lot of suburbs would've looked like that. Not surprising given how slow those storms moved.

Interesting looking radar with more rain/storms possible later, although it looks more like a thundery mess.
Posted by: nobodyinparticul

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 20:39

29327A39-083C-4A96-A9D7-03940614F8B9

A84D7D1A-0442-48EA-B202-0D1DABE8517B

A5FBE9CC-C742-45B3-8298-1C04F0B4E3B2

A few shots showing the developing northwest edge of the Horsley Park storm coming over Mount Druitt earlier.

Strangely there was very little lightning, but the rain gave us a belting for 10-15 minutes.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 20:47

Flash flooding in West Ryde due to that storm, cars couldn’t move on Victoria Rd near the old putt putt. Had to cross a river to get home (have a 4wd so no issues).

Looks like there are more storms west of the divide, here’s hoping they hold up and we get another nice little show. Look to be tracking north at this stage though.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:01

Video from this afternoon's storm east of Nowra:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiPb64nxnco
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:11

Had some great storms here this evening. This storm season has been great here. We still have most of February and March-April to go as well.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:16

Heaps of lightning and thunder here, but only enough rain to wet the road.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:31

Nice vid lightning chaser.

Hi nobodyinparticul, we cant see your shots as I think you still need a host and then post the links on here, would like to see your photos.

Looks like there is still some development out west coming this way.
Posted by: alby_14

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:43

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Cheers ashes 👍

Got home from work about 5.20 and got smashed trying to pack car for trip to the entrance, ended up chucking things in the car, torrential rain plus marble sized hail, howling gales, green tinges, everything!!! Was absolutely wild.

Got going and was thrown about by the wind, flangs everywhere, wipers could hardly keep up, drivers panicking and driving miss daisy etc.


We just managed a quick cricket training session with the U12's before the storm. Stopped on the edge of Eglington to watch it, awesome greenage and CG's. There was a right moving storm that collided with the storm front coming up from the south. Scored 47mm to go with the 19mm last night. Will post some pics and a video soon
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 21:56

The storms seem to have finished here. That was a spectacular show. After the mainstorm passed, was a bit of a light show to the East, including some very bright, very long CC's. There Seems to have been a bit of water flowing over roads and footpaths here, judging by the debris, although no flooding.

Chatswood picked up 36 mm, most of which would have fallen in the the hour 6:30 to 7:30 PM.

EDIT: great video Lightning Chaser.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 22:17

The view from my desk in Chatswood around the time Parramatta was coping it.

Posted by: alby_14

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 22:48

This was the storm that came in from the north and merged with the line to the south. The photo doesn't show the greenage much at all.


And this is the storm front to the south.


And a quick dodgy video before all hell broke loose.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8v4B9cOUyf8
Posted by: kathrynsview

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 22:56

Went to north end of Newport to take photos of the developing storm. Looked pretty spectacular as it came over. Lots of flashy lightning all around as the colour of the clouds darkened. The clouds were right over head with patches of almost aqua, the lightning turned to bolts and fat raindrops started falling as I headed back (on foot). I stopped under shelter of the surf club to film and take photos but it got so wild I had to take cover in the mens toilet. It was almost cyclonic for the next 10 minutes or so.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 23:13

Nice stuff there Alby 👍👍 that’s the beastie that soaked me and then chased me out of town 😁
Posted by: alby_14

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/02/2019 23:20

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Nice stuff there Alby 👍👍 that’s the beastie that soaked me and then chased me out of town 😁


Cheers Dave. The rain rates were nuts and the photos don't do it justice. We stopped at the shops to get bread and bits n pieces on the way home after training and got soaked just getting out of the car. All U12's cricket tomorrow has been cancelled, the girl is not happy. But she did enjoy the mini storm chase grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 00:30

What the storm “chasing” us outta town 😂

Yep I got soaked in a gap of 3 metres between porch and car. Got in the car and spent ages drying off glasses and water running off my head to everywhere else. Drove in a saturated shirt till Windsor. 🤬😁

This has certainly been a year so far of exciting storms around the Ct’s Best season for a while methinks.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 04:32

Very nice photos and yes I agree Dave it's been a good storm season.

I guess you are getting used to the whole smartphone thing!! Good to see you posting more often.

We had a great storm yesterday arvo, it was basically raining CG's at one point and it got very windy for about 5 mins too.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 07:09

Great shot coastalstorm, structure looks similar to the start of Nowra storm. I bet you saw heaps of bolts soon afterwards!

Nice video alby, one good bolt captured.

Today has good storm potential for coastal areas from Sydney ( late morning) to mid north coast ( afternoon). Cool upper temps and strong steering winds, enough instability. If only there was north east winds pushing inland it would be supercell city! As it stands the best storms might be just off the coast.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 08:22

Great photos everyone. That was definitely a supercell here in SW Parramatta from Coastal Storm's image. That black core actually formed over my area.

The nearest Weather Underground weather station to me (about 500m away) has 52mm of rainfall. The most intense thing about this storm here was probably the intense wind + hail combo. And a lot of very very close flangs (<100m away).
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 09:23

Yes, fantastic photos and videos.

CS22 - your workplace looks great for watching storms, above the clutter with a clear view West down Fullers Road.

Alby - great cloud shots.

My photos and videos didn't really come out. Here are a couple of frames from a short iPhone video, auto-enhanced, showing distant CG lightning and some structure as the storm approached.



Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 10:27

Nice pics and vids guys.

This first pic is the storm that went past just to the north of town, was also part of that line that went through the lower Mid-Nth Coast. I did manage to see a few bolts, had to wait a while between bolts and they were quality bolts too and unfortunately they were out of camera FOV.
_MG_7773 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

The second storm that came through around 10pm was just the dregs and pretty well died on the footsteps but it did drop a welcomed 6.1mm.
I also got hit by cold outflow winds a good 45 minutes before the storm arrived.
These two pics looking in a North-West direction. These are probably about the only two bolts I saw all night. Most of the lightning was sheet lightning.
_MG_7802 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_7816 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

The storm to the south of the Bay had some great structure too, but I was unable to get a clear picture of it, probably because it was a long way away.

Anyway of to play cricket this arvo.
Posted by: jackwilliam

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 11:08

This was the view of the Parramatta Storm from Beaumont Hills. Taken with my iPhone.

Posted by: ccfu

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 11:16

New member here guys, long time browser smile
Based in inner city Sydney (Alexandria)
Any thoughts on this afternoon? Will there be more storm development? Yesterday was a ripper!!
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 12:32

Looks like some fast moving storms today. Will definitely get to the coast.
Posted by: ccfu

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 12:44

On the radar there are some showers out Bathurst way, hope we get something again. I hate the heat, loved opening all the windows after the storm yesterday and feeling the cool breeze.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:14

Great photos everyone!

Getting some constant rumbles from that cell to the north, it's one of those good old days in summer with the arvo thunderstorms around.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:29

Suddenly got real windy here (WNW) blowing about 30Knots and the pressure down to 997Hpa.

Could be an interesting weather afternoon in Sydney Metro
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:33

Nothing is developing behind this line of convection so I'm a bit pessimistic.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:36

Might be the hunters turn today. Bout time too!
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:52

Started raining in West Ryde. Don’t think it will be comparable to yesterday with flash flooding.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 14:56


They are very fast moving,there might be damaging winds in them if you get under one.they are moving to fast to drop much rain,I only measured 8 mms last night.Funkyseefunkydo
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 15:07

Great pictures Eddy and Jack

Welcome aboard ccfu.

That Westerly broke through here about an hour or so ago and I see it's pushed back the sea breeze. They sky is looking interesting although there's not much on the radar. Storms seem to be forming just out to sea and zipping away. A very lightning-active cell passed ove Broken Bay a little while ago.

EDIT: just started raining from a cell that sprinted across from near Windsor and developed further as it went.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 15:09

Horizontal rain here now. 😱
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 16:15

Well that’s disappointing.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 16:36

Yes, a bit of a fizzer. It's back to clear, sunny with Westerly winds and temperatures in the low 30s. The action seems to have shifted North. Chatswood picked up a millimetre from that shower 90 minutes ago.

Forecast for tonight: Clear. It will plunge to 15-17 degrees across Sydney, cooler than it's been since before Christmas. Tomorrow will be sunny, 25-29.

After tomorrow, it will warm up for a couple of days, than flip into a cooler but still fairly dry pattern.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 16:38

Bugger me sideways, this is one nasty front! shocked

Down to 7.7° C with ~30-35 knot squalls...BRRRR! Frigid! eek

Yet Cooma AP, ~400 m lower, is straddling upwards ~18° C whistle crazy poke

Nevermind! Cooma AP just plummeted to 12.8° C as of now.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 17:28

Yep, some cold air behind this change.
Well, cold for summer anyway.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 17:33

Looking back we have not had a proper NW flow leading to a warm day since December 2nd (in the Sydney Basin), pretty impressive for Summer imo. Also loving the noticeable drier air a nice change from what we've endured.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 18:16

Today the Sydney basin is low-mid 30's, Mount Boyce on 20. That's usually what I see in summer under much more frequent northwesterlies. This summer has been much different, as Ashes said.

Today is a proper northwesterly flow. In January we had plenty of hot days but winds were from the east much more frequently with North westerlies unusually rare, and Mount Boyce was consistently as warm as the middle ring in Sydney which doesn't usually happen.

For example Jan 2009 vs Jan 2019, monthly average max for Parramatta and Mount Boyce:

Jan 2009 ... 31.3 ... 26.1
Jan 2019 ... 32.0 ... 29.0

Jan 2009 wasn't as hot in Western Sydney as Jan 2019, however it was much sunnier and drier with much stronger circulation and those proper hot dry days. It felt more summery. In Jan 2019 Mount Boyce was comparatively much hotter due to weak circulation.

And to think all these differences come down to a slight shift (few degrees north/south) and strength of the Tasman high. Amazing stuff.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 19:30

Had a good storm interrupt my cricket game this afternoon, It didn't look like like much and it didn't last long. Some pea size hail and some brief strong winds, at a guess the winds were 90-100kmph mark. I did manage some photos and video, I will check them out later.
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 19:43

The rain yesterday was unlike anything I'd ever seen before. Almost a complete white out as I was driving, could hardly see the car ahead of me. It was a bit scary actually.

Disappointing about the new weather pattern, we got enough sunny dry weather in winter to last me the rest of my life.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 19:45

Gee there is some nice structure about this evening, pity I've had too many beers this arvo!!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 19:48

Re Jac0b: January's air masses were extremely hot - 850 temps in the high 20s, but the hot air didn't reach the coast. East of the ranges, the air mass was mixed with maritime air, especially sea breezes. Today's air mass is not particularly hot - 850 temps about 20, but a NW air stream brought the hot air to the coast. Sydney gets its hottest temps in a NW air stream. It gets record temps when a very hot air mass coincides with a NW circulation strong enough to reach the coast.

Re Eddy - look forward to seeing the photos and video.

Re Cool change: that oassed through Ulladulla around 7:00 PM, dropping the temp by 7 degrees so far, to 19.

EDIT: change reached Point Perpendicular around 7:25PM. It's about 18-19 degrees behind the change.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 20:42

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Gee there is some nice structure about this evening, pity I've had too many beers this arvo!!


This is the structure I was talking about.
_MG_7894 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

Quite possibly the best back end of a storm Ive ever seen. This was that black cored storm that tracked from Gloucester all the way down to Seal Rocks and every time I had a look on radar there was always some black in it.

Thanks Steve777, still have some photos and vids to go through yet.

Edit my photo does no justice to it!!
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 20:53

Still 29.3° at Nobbys at almost 9pm.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 20:57

It's still as hot as buggery, that is for sure.
Reached 36C today, after 4pm as well.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/02/2019 23:31

Cool change came thru about half hour ago from the South as still showing in a wide arc across the Sydney Metro on the BOM wind radar.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 01:05

Saw some frequent lightning off the top of a thunderhead from my house at 8pm. Rather impressive given that the closest cell would have been around Nelson Bay.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 05:57

Down to 3.1° C this morn at 5:53 AM—refreshing, at least! laugh poke

Forecast shows 4°-5° C lows as far as the eye can see.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 07:26

Bottomed-out as low as 2.6° C this morn, it seems.

Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 10:57

Doesnt feel like summer today. Low 20's with single digit DP's. Feels really refreshing for a change, i like it.
Posted by: dazzarama

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 12:35

This morning's minimum of 2.8 C ends a run of 46 consecutive nights here in Berridale where the temperature never fell below 10 C. My 9-year average minimum in January is 12 C.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 15:48

Today's the equivalent of the warm spring day. How wonderful but I want the humidity back soon for some storms lol.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 16:26

Drove through parra earlier. Lots of toppled branches even trees were snapped. SES were still working hard to break down the tree/branches hats off to them.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 16:33

Originally Posted By: dazzarama
This morning's minimum of 2.8 C ends a run of 46 consecutive nights here in Berridale where the temperature never fell below 10 C. My 9-year average minimum in January is 12 C.

Just beaten ya by 0.2° C smirk

Bloody SSW breeze halted my temperature from plummeting any lower than 2.6° C; likely much calmer down Berridale-way due to lying leeward of these Westerlies—unlike up here.

Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 17:19

Here are a few images from yesterday storms.

At Karuah oval the view isn't all that great, first storm approaching from a North-West direction, just some heavy drops.
_MG_7838 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

Still the first storm, looking in a North-East direction. Under the anvil with some development to the east.
_MG_7841 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

Probably not even fifteen minutes later we were hit with that storm that was detailed warned for the Bay, this storm was also the same storm that went through Clarence Town a little earlier.
It hit hard for all of 30 seconds with complete white out conditions, in the end the storm was lucky to have last 5 minutes and according to a local PWS 10.7mm fell.
_MG_7846 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

The backend of the storm on its way to the bay. A hail shaft can be clearly seen here.
_MG_7851 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

Returned home to witness some nice crepuscular rays, not 15 minutes later this was a rumbling little storm.
_MG_7872 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

All in all not a bad day, even if a cricket match ended in a draw. grin
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 18:36

I wish all post-southerly days were like today instead of the usual overcast gloom we normally get.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 19:16

As per everyone's obervations, today feels like a crisp autumn or early spring day. From the forecast, the nights seems to be getting much crispier now, it feels like autumn in on the way.

What are everyone's thoughts about Tuesday? A possible 40 in the basin?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 19:41

Originally Posted By: Ben K
I wish all post-southerly days were like today instead of the usual overcast gloom we normally get.


As much as I am looking forward to the return of the heat and humidity, today wasn't all that bad for a southerly. The clear clean skies is what I enjoyed the most.
Winds are already starting to swing Nor-east, although very light, humidity and dew point slowly creeping up.


Originally Posted By: Jac0b

What are everyone's thoughts about Tuesday? A possible 40 in the basin?


Wouldn't be surprised to see the west hit 40c. Time will tell.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/02/2019 20:05

Good storm cloud photos Eddy - I especially liked the sunset.

It was a beautiful day today. I echo the sentiments about Post-Southerly days. The difference today is, it was a deep infusion of Southern Maritime air across the state, not just a shallow SE stream of cool dank Tasman air inserted under hot air aloft, so no marine layer cloud.

Actually, for OH, today was average: 65-78 F, which were its averages when degrees were Fahrenheit. But these days it's cool. The rest of Sydney had a cool morning (13-15C) and cool to average day - up to 30 at Penrith.

Another beautiful day coming up tomorrow then hot on Tuesday, with dry Westerlies reaching the coast. The air mass isn't that warm, 850 temps over Sydney of 19 at 11:00 although getting up to 23 at 5:00PM. I think 37 across the Basin is about right.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 08:36

This morning is so nice and crisp with a temperature of a low of 12.4 degrees to start the day. This clutch towards a negative SAM must be the culprit for a switch a more westerly pattern.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 11:26

Originally Posted By: EddyG

Quite possibly the best back end of a storm Ive ever seen. This was that black cored storm that tracked from Gloucester all the way down to Seal Rocks and every time I had a look on radar there was always some black in it.

Edit my photo does no justice to it!!


Nice pic ( I saw it FB at home, work here blocks pics)

Myself and Mr Keene from Nowra chased that cell. Earlier on another storm we got a surprise at Clarence town with tree branches beginning to fly, and one that was large enough to do car damage must have fell just seconds after we passed - we were on a small road and turned around to find this branch blocking the road.

We hooked onto the cell you photographed at Forster. It looked severe. It kind of split a little with the southern split powering. We encountered white out rain at dusk south of Forster, and when it cleared took some pics of it moving to sea.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 16:43

Possible dust has been added to the Sydney forecast. Car washing businesses will be happy
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 17:22

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Originally Posted By: EddyG

Quite possibly the best back end of a storm Ive ever seen. This was that black cored storm that tracked from Gloucester all the way down to Seal Rocks and every time I had a look on radar there was always some black in it.

Edit my photo does no justice to it!!


Nice pic ( I saw it FB at home, work here blocks pics)

Myself and Mr Keene from Nowra chased that cell. Earlier on another storm we got a surprise at Clarence town with tree branches beginning to fly, and one that was large enough to do car damage must have fell just seconds after we passed - we were on a small road and turned around to find this branch blocking the road.

We hooked onto the cell you photographed at Forster. It looked severe. It kind of split a little with the southern split powering. We encountered white out rain at dusk south of Forster, and when it cleared took some pics of it moving to sea.


Thanks Oz, was wondering what it would be like underneath it whilst taking some shots, now I know. I did see yours and M Keene pics on FB and stunning pics too.

About 9pm that night the lightning offshore was nearly continuous, no lightning pics from me as I had enough beer by then.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 18:52

Damaging winds forecast tomorrow for the STs.
Chart looks more like July than Feb. Even so, 27°C forecast here tomorrow. If it really does get to 27°C, more likely to be 40°C in Sydney under a westerly stream.

Lack of good rain continues in this district. Near the town and around Bathurst they've had much more. Such is the hit and miss nature of storms. Further ahead GFS suggests a dry pattern persisting until month end. Hope it's wrong.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 21:01

Forecast shows 4° / 13° C on Wednesday—another chilly summer's day for me eek
Posted by: Morham

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/02/2019 21:40

38 for the big P tomorrow. Hopefully its a cool 38, low humidity!

Though indeed the nights are getting crispier. Definitely had a taste of autumn in the last few nights. Looks like a bit more heat next monday, but no massive heat waves coming thank god.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 08:48

9deg at 7am became 22deg at 830 - that wind has started all right!
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 11:10

124 km/h gust at Thredbo TS AT 9.28 am.
Quite windy over the Central West and Riverina at the moment, also Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands and Snowy Mountains districts.
The winds are a comin'.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 11:14

Yep the same SWW has us here under DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 80 to 100 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 120 km/h are expected until the evening.

Locations which may be affected include Thredbo Tops, Braidwood, Goulburn, Cooma, Bombala, and Adaminaby.

Just had o close the doors and windows it's going mental.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 11:46

Incredibly windy here in Moss Vale also, gusts at home in Bowral up to 80km/h.

I'm not sure if this is the right thread to ask this... I have been doing a bit of research of severe weather events/records in and around Sydney and noticed an official record low maximum of 0.3c at Camden Ap on the 29th August 1986 at an elevation of 74m. Can anyone explain if this is correct? Sounds quite extraordinary if it is!!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 11:48

After dropping below 20 this morning, it's now clear, hot and sunny with NW winds and NOT HUMID. It's currently 33 degrees and 18% humidity, the former rising and the latter dropping. I find this weather quite comfortable. At Sydney OH, the 'apparent temperature' is 27.7, vs the actual temperature of 33.3. We get days like this in November and December, but not usually in February.

The only black spot, and it's a big one, is the fire danger, Severe over much of the state and Extreme in the Hunter. The winds in the Sydney area, at 10-15 knots, aren't too bad yet, but they'll pick up later. Hopefully we'll get through the single bad fire day with no major outbreaks before cooler weather arrives tonight.

EDIT: Re Snowmaker - low maximum at Camden. That doesn't now appear in the BOM records (see Camden low max). I'd say that's likely to be an error in your source.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 12:00

Winds starting to pick up here finally. Currently 30.4 deg's.

I notice, under perfectly clear blue skies, a rogue 0.4 mm fell in the Richmond rain gauge at 11.27 am. Yeh, sure it did.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 12:11

Ahh yes you're correct Steve. I just sourced it from the weatherzone climatology page. The other low max of 4.4 in september 1989 also seems to be wrong!

Gust of 72 now at Moss Vale.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 14:13

Gusted upwards 51.3 knots (95.008 km/h) up here! laugh

Strewth! cheers
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 14:38

This low humidity is doing me no good. My lips are dry, my throat is dry, pretty uncomfortable on the whole.
Posted by: Jaeger

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 15:25

Canberra had a gust of 82 km/h about an hour ago; dusty with lots of leaves, small branches etc. scattered about.

There are plumes of dust lifting off the Hay plains on the satellite view.
Posted by: Dipole

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 16:05

It looks like a windstorm on Mars out there now. I was trying to tie shadecloth down but the conditions stopped me.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 16:10

Front has just moved through Green Cape. Dropped 5 degrees in 4 mins about 30 minutes ago. Gusting up to 85km/h with mean wind speeds of 78km/h
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 16:47

Still 33 deg's here with a gusty NW'erly.
I suspect it will stay very warm well into the night until the change pushes through early tomorrow morning.
Bathurst AP cam looking a little dusty on the horizon, but not too bad.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 17:51

That’s an impressive dust storm on sat pic.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 18:25

Yep. Bathurst looking much dustier now.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 18:56

It's actually looking distinctly dusty to the West here as well. Might be an interesting sunset for anyone who can get a clear view to the Western horizon.

---

Looks like most of Sydney maxed at 36-37, a couple of centres 38. Hot, but nothing major.

It's a cooler pattern coming up, still fairly dry. Today might be the last 30 degree day on the coast for a while. There'll be a brief burst of warm but not particularly hot weather early next week, then the second week of GFS is showing an entrenched SE circulation, although the second week of GFS has been showing that for a while and it hasn't come off. One day it will be right. Even so, significant heat and significant rain seem to be off the menu for the time being.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 20:26

The southerly change has reached Ulladulla in the last 10 minutes, usually how long does the southerly take to reach Sydney from that point?
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 20:35

Roughly 4 hours, so around 12.30am which is what the wind forecast charts predicted. I'm going for 11.40pm though.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 20:57

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
The southerly change has reached Ulladulla in the last 10 minutes, usually how long does the southerly take to reach Sydney from that point?


Yes, normally it would take 3-4 hours from Ulladulla, depending on the strength of the change.
This change is a more south westerly change at first. It's not the same as what we have had over the past few weeks. Winds will turn more southerly to SE'erly tomorrow morning.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 22:17

Thanks for the info LHR and Homer, it's just passed Kiama now so it shouldn't be long now!
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 22:34

The change is through southern Wollongong, should be through Sydney at about 11:30pm.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 23:11

Yeah I am hanging out for the cooler winds.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/02/2019 23:22

Originally Posted By: Petar @ Sdny
Yeah I am hanging out for the cooler winds.


Oh yeh!!
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 00:03

My prediction was 11:40pm, it went through Syd airport at 11:42pm. BoM had some time before dawn. Think it's time they ditched their computer laugh
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 00:06

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
My prediction was 11:40pm, it went through Syd airport at 11:42pm. BoM had some time before dawn. Think it's time they ditched their computer laugh


Nice one.
It's 20 minutes away from here. Then, I can get a good night's sleep.
Posted by: Targus2019

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 06:15

Wow, 33 and windy and dusty here at 5 pm yesterday to 12 at 5.30 this morning with heavy drizzle love it.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 07:11

I thought it was a typical overcast post-Southerly day, in spite of the forecast of "Sunny", but what we have is a mixture of cloud and dust.



The dust would be aloft, above the Southerly air stream. Even though the sun rose 40 minutes ago, it has yet to make its presence felt.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 07:16

Dust extends between Ulladulla and Grafton.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 07:37

Thirroul beach North of Wollongong. The area seems to be cloud-free:



From Coastwatch.com, contrast auto-enhanced, saturation increased slightly.

Maybe like Mars when it still had Oceans.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 07:53

Plummeted down to 1.7° C this morn'...bloody well done! laugh

Today's forecast for a maximum of 14° C at Rhine Falls (1,205 m AMSL).
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 08:24

Dust in Sydney today?
Computer says No!
according to BOM forecast.
Satview shows otherwise.
Maybe BOM should actually look out the window before it finalises it’s forecast.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 08:36

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Plummeted down to 1.7° C this morn'...bloody well done! laugh

Today's forecast for a maximum of 14° C at Rhine Falls (1,205 m AMSL).


Any frost with that min?
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 09:13

Dust now features in the Sydney forecast as updated a little while ago:

Quote:
Some morning dust haze clearing to a mostly sunny afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 09:26

Not sure if can see a dust storm around here, certainly not like that spring 2009 dust storm that left red dust everywhere, but conditions are similar.
Nice drop in temp though, after the brutal heat this week.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 09:42

It was fairly dusty at 2am this morning before the change moved in, stars were all very faint apart from the brightest stars.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 10:32

The sky has a very Mars look atm. Red above and blue on the horizon with a few indistinct, odd coloured clouds.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 11:02

What a country of contrasts floods to the North of the Country in the Gulf of Carpenteria. Without a doubt there will be some countries that would be enveloped in that area of inundation. Also the Dust plumes are huge as well, making their way well into the Tasman Sea.
This shows us that even though areas of the Tablelands and East Coast have got decent rainfall areas out west are still struggling, quite evident with so much dust being lifted.

Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 11:30

Biggest summer dust storm I've seen!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 11:40

Just looking at some stats from my weather station for this morning and I had a low of 18.3c at 1.04am and so far the high is 25.6c which occurred at 4.20am just before the change came through, the low temp after the change was 20.7c about 2 hours after the change. Current temp 24.3c

Unfortunately my PWS software is wunderground which works form midnight to midnight not the 24hrs to 9am.

Pretty dusty sky now.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 11:52

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
Any frost with that min?

Aye, some light frost. Nothing to write home about.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 13:33

Skies at Shellharbour are now mostly blue, after Yellow this morning. We had a sprinkle of rain last night, just enough to leave all the local cars speckled in dust bunnies.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 13:48

It's much clearer in Sydney too although the sky is still not quite the right colour. It's still dusty to the East.

Here's the view nearby around 10:20 AM.



It's sunny and about 25 at OH, having reached 26.7 earlier. Penrith at 29.4 is just short of its forecast maximum of 30.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 15:05

Dust has completely cleared here now. Nice and sunny.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 15:26

Maximum today seems to have topped at 13.4° C, as it has plummeted since the last half-hour; Cabramurra managed 11.7° C as its maximum.

Diurnal range = 1.7° / 13.4° C; 2° / 13° C (rounded).

Farther eastwards and leeward, Cooma AP scored itself a staggering 17.9° C shocked
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 16:19

Still very dusty here, the dust seems to be thicker higher in the atmosphere than at ground level unlike previous dust storms.
Taken a couple go hours ago, the bay still visible.
_MG_7966 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 16:55

Great photo Eddy!

Nice and clear and cool in Sydney this afternoon.
Dust has gone. 24.5 deg's currently with a cool breeze from the south east. Very nice for February.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 16:58

Got the blower out this arvo to clear out the mess of leaves and branches from yesterday's dust storm that hit Canberra, wow a lot of dust was blown in and settled everywhere, guess it will wash away when we get the next rain storm (but who knows when that will be?)
Heard a lot of chainsaws today with the cleanup, there must have been a lot of trees lost yesterday!
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 17:06

Was a nice mix of dust and smoke in kurri kurri today.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 20:28

Nice Photo Eddy!
How beautiful is that beach though as well.

Some Scud has begun to move which should see us struggle for maximum temperatures tomorrow.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/02/2019 21:36

That is a great one Eddy.

Certainly does not feel like February with such dry air over the last few days. If the skies are clear, tonight could get down to almost 10°C which is nearing record territory. Usually the heat will stop during Feb and we get humid showery weather.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 09:05

Thanks guys

Overcast here this morning and the winds looks to abating.

Well it was June last year when they opened Smiths lake to release water to the ocean, now some locals are saying its the lowest they have seen the lake Story

Amazing how we go from end to the other in such short time.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 11:18

Great weather - our minimum was 5.1 degrees this morning, 7 degrees below the average. Also the lowest since November 25 which was 4.2 degrees. A top of 26 forecast and clear blue sky - 5 to 26 is perfect for me.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 11:32

Mild and partly cloudy in Sydney, about 23, after a cool 17 early this morning.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 17:34

At the mid-point of February, Sydney is tracking warm and dry. Temperatures, anomalies, rainfall and percentage of average February rainfall are shown:

Code:
Sydney OH   20.1 – 28.5 (+0.4 - +2.0)	45.2 mm	33%
Bankstown   18.7 – 30.2 (+0.5 - +2.3)	32.0 mm	31%
Richmond    18.2 - 31.3 (+0.4 - +2.0)	14.2 mm	12%

Minima are tracking slightly above average, maxima about 2 above. And yes, Sydney's temperature anomalies and Richmond's were the same. 1981-2010 averages used for Sydney OH.

For Sydney OH, in the 14 days, there have been one 35+ max, three 30+ and only one day failing to reach 25.

Coming up, it looks like average temps for a few days, then some heat for early to mid next week, not reaching the coast. After that, it looks cooler and showery for a while.

GFS is showing TC Oma tracking to be off the Gold Coast around the 25th. It will be interesting to see if that comes off.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 21:23

Interesting stats Steve. I like the comparisons between the sites.

The mins have a much lower anomaly than the maxes this February, probably due to the drier westerly component winds bringing cooler nights. I note also the southern cities, Adelaide , Melbourne and Hobart have been quite cool lately.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 21:58

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Interesting stats Steve. I like the comparisons between the sites.

The mins have a much lower anomaly than the maxes this February, probably due to the drier westerly component winds bringing cooler nights. I note also the southern cities, Adelaide , Melbourne and Hobart have been quite cool lately.


The AAO is seeing a major drop so we are getting more westerlies instead of an easterly pattern. While our Southern Neighbours see Southerlies patterns which creates this horrible Feb Pattern. Fuelling the worst bushfire conditions of the season across NSW.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 22:02

At least the nights have been nice and cool lately with this pattern, it got down to almost 10°C here this morning. Will be another cool night in the low teens I reckon. A big change from endless 20+ degree nights.

I'm probably speaking too soon but it feels like summer is all but gone.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/02/2019 22:04

I have also noticed a decline in mozzies in the past week. Probably from the cooler conditions.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 16:27

Where has kino gone?
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 17:29

I finally have internet back after last Friday 8th Feb severe storm that hit Parramatta. It was a pretty brutal storm that's for sure. It showed some great structure as it approached. Just glad no one was injured or worse. Here are some photos of the event taken from Doyle Ground in Parramatta . Storm is coming in from the SSW. By the way nice shot there from the 13th Eddie.

DSC_6919 (1) by Con Marathos, on Flickr

DSC_6984 by Con Marathos, on Flickr
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 17:32

Some more shots as the outflow was approaching.

DSC_7020 by Con Marathos, on Flickr

DSC_7063 by Con Marathos, on Flickr
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 17:45

Thanks Con, and you absolutely nailed those storm shots.

It was a pretty fresh overnight minimum here last night, it got down to 13c.
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 18:08

Thanks Eddie.
Hopefully there's still a storm or two coming up before the season ends.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 21:35

Absolutely fantastic pics Con M!!

I drove through Parramatta Park yesterday and was astounded at the amount of tree damage throughout the area.
I saw trees at least 100 years old, and at least 100 ft tall just torn apart. The area just around the Kings Oval (behind the new Parra Stadium) was the worst hit. Extraordinary stuff.

I took photos, but haven't yet taken advantage of Eddy's informative lesson thread about how to post pics. (Sorry Eddy. Will try and do soon.) Could you post the pics if I send them to you?

Cheers.


One thing I found quite weird was that trees had fallen in all different directions - some towards the east, (which is obvious as that's where the storm winds would have been focused) but there were many trees that were laying towards the west. Does this suggest some sort of locally concentrated tornadic influence?
The only other explanation could be lightning strikes splitting tree trunks.
Judging from Con's pics, this is a distinct possibility, although I've never personally seen a tree struck by lightning. I was looking for what may be obvious signs, but really, all torn trunks just looked as though they had been blown over.

Whatever way it was, I was shocked at the damage.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 22:09

Yeah the suburbs around Parramatta were hit the worst. Here in south west Parramatta all the fallen trees and branches fell towards the west. There were extremely strong and sustained cyclonic winds with that storm. Lightning was hitting pretty much everything at one point. The wind direction however was from the east/south east. We must have been at the southern end of that supercell for the winds to be easterly. Lots and lots of big branches still around.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/02/2019 23:51

Nice pics ConM from without a doubt Sydney's storm corridor.

Honestly this storm season has been an absolute god send in terms of rainfall. Avoiding much of the damaging wind gusts and gigantic hail, but seeing so much rainfall.

Rainfall from the beginning of September the start of the real turn around.
September: 68.1mm
October: 140.8mm
November: 140.8mm
December: 140.2mm
January: 115.1mm
Feb (so far): 38.9mm
Total: 643.9mm

The months preceding that (Feb 2018 to August 2018) 234.5mm.

With the lack of interesting weather I thought i'd post a bit of an analysis.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/02/2019 09:23

Always good to see analysis.

Sydney's South West had been very dry in the year up to August last year. The total rainfall at Bankstown Airport (66137) in the 12 months September 2017 to August 2018 was only 314 mm, 36% of the average (868 mm). In the 8 months 1/1/2018 to 31/8/2018, Bankstown received just 212 mm. For the remaining 4 months of 2018, it received 467 mm to make up the annual total for 2018 to a respectable 78% of the average.
---

Bright and sunny with cicadas after another cool-ish night, now about 23 degrees with light Westerlies. Very pleasant.

---

Great lightning captures ConM.
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/02/2019 10:49

Thank you very much for your comments Homer, ashestoashes and Steve777.
Yes, I agree with you Homer in relation to the storm's outflow winds coming from various directions. Firstly it came from the south. Then the strongest winds where I were came from the east and this was proven as the biggest trees to be uprooted were facing the west..
I have one more photo from this amazing storm.


DSC_6963 (2) by Con Marathos, on Flickr
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/02/2019 17:46

Another great photo Con.

Here's some of the damage I was talking about in Parramatta Park.
Sorry about the quality of the pics. Taken on the phone. I think I might need to clean the screen. smile

Thanks EG for the help. smile











Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/02/2019 18:32

Great set of photos there Homer. Certainly some very strong winds associated with that storm. Again, thankful no one was hurt during the event .
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 00:48

Love the green in the 3rd photo.they are all ball tear'er photos.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 08:23

Great pics everyone. That looks just like my place after december 15th Homer. It really has been a very interesting storm season (so far). Im in Orange this weekend, what a beautiful view from top of mt canobalas. Does anyone know when it was hit by bushfires, a lot of the hiking trails are closed
Posted by: Westerly Wind

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 08:43

Welcome to Orange Quagmelson... I’m glad you’re enjoying the view from the highest spot on the Central Tablelands. The Mt Canobolas fire started almost exactly 12 months ago and went on for about a week. Great to see the regeneration of vegetation happening. One result of the cleared out scrub was that it made the settled snow much easier to see from a distance last winter.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 13:07

You're right about the re generation WW, natures amazing at bouncing back. Mustve looked very bare directly after fire. Lovely wineries just below the mountain, not to mention Towac park racecourse. What a beautiful area you live in!
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 13:12

Has anyone on here ever watched a storm line roll in from top of mt canobolas. Thats what i was imagining up there. That would be an amazing experience. Not for me this weekend. Nice whispy cirrus formations yesterday made for a nice "orange" sunset
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 17:33

Hot enough today, not quite to the 35C forecast though.
Looks like Singo is still out of action.
Would not surprise me if they have moved the station there too.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 20:27

Anytime Homer.

A pleasant enough day here although the nights have cooled of quite significantly these past few nights.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 22:03

Awesome photos there. You would not want to be out in the park when that [censored] was going on!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/02/2019 22:29

Interesting photos Homer. Parramatta Park is beautiful, it's sad to see the damage.

Sydney's West to Northwest seems to have been hit hard by storms over the last couple of months. I drove through the Castle Hill area some weeks back, I think it was after the December storms. I noticed piles of boughs and branches piled up by the kerbside waiting for collection, plus tarps on some roofs.

----

It was very pleasant here today, but it actually got quite hot inland today, 36 at Penrith, 34-35 at other outer West sites. Tomorrow will be very hot, it might reach 40 in the outer West, although again the heat won't reach the coast. After that, it looks like an early change Tuesday followed by unsettled, possibly stormy weather, then several days of cooler, showery weather that looks like a foretaste of Autumn.

As always,new shall see.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 08:26

The behaviour of the weather has been very encouraging over the last 8 weeks but I fear that the models are showing a case of recidivism for Sydney.

Just like that alcoholic uncle that has fallen off the wagon again, Sydney is about to lapse into a lengthy dose of southern maritime gloom.

Will it push that 26+ water onto our beaches? Doubt it. But that is all there is to look forward to.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 14:28

37 Deg,and rising here,a few cumulus clouds to my west but nothing building yet,light N winds.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 14:38

Amazing how Penrith has hit 38.7c at 2:30pm while at Sydney Harbour it's at 23.4c.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 14:45

I was just about to say the same thing. Not too often there is a 15C+ sea breeze effect
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 15:22

Clear and sunny with sea breezes here, not quite as strong as earlier. The NE'er didn't stop all night. I thought for a while that for Sydney OH, the 28.1 at around 10:30 this morning might be the maximum, after which it dropped back a couple of degrees, but it seems to be warming up there again.

It feels very humid, although dewpoints aren't that high, around 17 near the coast and 11 inland. Penrith just hit 40, with other sites in the outer West on 38-39. The Middle Ring is on 31-35. The place to be if you don't like the heat is the beach or Observatory Park.
Posted by: sjt2060

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 15:43

Firing up to the West and Northwest of the ACT right now
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 16:20

Yes just seen on the radar,sjt2060,the action might move a bit further north later,storms look very lightning active.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 18:10

Sea gales...

For the first time since before Christmas, Sydney OH won't reach 27 for 7 days and Penrith will stay below 30 for 6 days.

Tomorrow might be a 'hot Southerly' to start off so I think tomorrow might be a bit warmer than forecast, say 27-28, but the hot Southerly will soon be replaced by a cool one, Southern Maritime air. 850 temps over Sydney next weekend will be as low as 8 degrees, so the forecast of 24 might be a bit warm.

After recent weeks it will feel almost cold.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 18:16

Next weekend sounds revolting Steve777. Looking forward to the warm signal on NAEFS.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 18:53

When is that due CoastalStorm?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 19:38

Is that southerly moving up the coast ahead of schedule? Or is it expected to stall or slow down?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 20:32

This was nearly 7 weeks ago.
Originally Posted By: EddyG

_MG_6360 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr


And its still smouldering away!! Obviously not as bad.
_MG_8102 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 20:35

Next weekend sounds fantastic Steve.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 20:40

Looks like theres a SW change moving up. Reached Bowral.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 21:49

Frustrating storm chase for me this arvo. I went down to Bawley point and saw a reasonable outflow dominant storm, but little lightning. Driving past lake conjola in the evening and saw a flash or two, by the time I got to the coast 10 minutes later there were frequent bright white bolts 15-20 km out to sea and racing further out. Good to watch but too far for worthwhile video.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 21:50

I for one, am looking forward to the rest of the week and next weekend. And tracking Oma as well with several bottle of wines!
Posted by: Morham

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/02/2019 21:54

I cant quite believe the forecast? A week in February with temperatures below the average? In Penrith???? Something is wrong. grin

Now listen here March..I dont want any nonsense heat from you. Your younger brother february behaved well at the end!
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 09:04

Originally Posted By: lightning chaser
Frustrating storm chase for me this arvo. I went down to Bawley point and saw a reasonable outflow dominant storm, but little lightning. Driving past lake conjola in the evening and saw a flash or two, by the time I got to the coast 10 minutes later there were frequent bright white bolts 15-20 km out to sea and racing further out. Good to watch but too far for worthwhile video.


A quick storm here at Mt Warrigal (Shellharbour) just after dusk last night. It was that quick moving that in the 2km drive to Barrack Point from home the lightning had moved from occasional bolts over Shellharbour township, to being 5-10km offshore. Not much rain.

From my vantage point it moved quickly, within less than 15 mins from booms, to lightning that far away the thunder did not carry.

I got a few shots in however. Not able to post from work however.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 10:08

The Southerly is just reaching Sydney's Southern suburbs. It doesn't have much puff yet, but it looks cooler and windier on the Illawarra where the Southerly is more established - about 21 degrees and 20 knots.

The maximum in Sydney has overshot the forecast, 28.5 so far and might go a bit higher. Then maybe some storms. The Weatherzone Layers thunderstorm outlook looks quite good for our part of the world this afternoon.

EDIT: I notice that the 'T' word has been removed from the Sydney forecast after today. So it's just 6 days of cool SE'ers to look forward to, with a 'revovery' by this time next week.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 11:57

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Tomorrow might be a 'hot Southerly' to start off so I think tomorrow might be a bit warmer than forecast, say 27-28, but the hot Southerly will soon be replaced by a cool one, Southern Maritime air. 850 temps over Sydney next weekend will be as low as 8 degrees, so the forecast of 24 might be a bit warm.

After recent weeks it will feel almost cold.


Spot on
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 13:30

While SE winds and possible showers will affect the coastal strip into the weekend, the usual annoying HP ridge just inland from the coast should see this district starved of rain yet again. We had 1mm overnight - barely enough to wet the ground. Looking ahead, models suggest little prospect of rain for the next two and a half weeks. Plus the SOI has dropped below 0 again.

Drought has stepped up its bite here over the past few weeks. Below average rain combined with persistently elevated temperatures and near plague numbers of locusts are making conditions worse. If we don't get an autumn break by the end of March, all stock will need to be sold off.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 14:06

Red core headed my way grin
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 14:10

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Red core headed my way grin


Yes Sidney. Some small storms have quickly popped up on the radar.
Moving pretty quickly too.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 14:27

Southerly is killing them closer to the coast.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 14:33

It's getting pretty windy here, although it's still warm and sunny - 25-26 on the car thermometer just now after 30-31 around 11:00 this morning before the change.

There were some interesting cloudscapes to the South and South West earlier, now hidden by anvil cloud. There are also some towers building to the North.

---

Rob G - I hope you get your rain. Things are looking nice and green around here but judging by Eddy's photos even the coast near Port Stephens isn't doing so well. The storm rains have delivered for some areas - Bathurst and SW Sydney - but not for others.

----

Yes those storms are moving quickly through Southern Sydney. Another cell just popped up near Wyong - maybe those towers I saw a little while ago. Hopefully those storms can move over Sydney above the Southerly - with more storms for places that need rain.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 14:35

Ye fizzled by the time it arrived. Still got a decent heavy shower out of it.
Posted by: BrightSide

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:20

We're getting some reasonably heavy rain. It's been increasingly windy, all day.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:21

Originally Posted By: Rob G
While SE winds and possible showers will affect the coastal strip into the weekend, the usual annoying HP ridge just inland from the coast should see this district starved of rain yet again. We had 1mm overnight - barely enough to wet the ground. Looking ahead, models suggest little prospect of rain for the next two and a half weeks. Plus the SOI has dropped below 0 again.

Drought has stepped up its bite here over the past few weeks. Below average rain combined with persistently elevated temperatures and near plague numbers of locusts are making conditions worse. If we don't get an autumn break by the end of March, all stock will need to be sold off.

Middle parts of the Hunter are very dry. Some places I've seen the grass is not even brown. It's just dirt now.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:22

Incredible visible sat pic imagery of the blanket of scud moving up the coast. Good thing I snapped the almost full moon last night, will probably be a while before we see clear skies.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:28

Feels very cool here in Moss Vale, 16.3c! Second coldest in the state behind Thredbo TS. Agreed, it could be 5 days before we have a full sunny day!
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:32

Fairly warm here at 20.2° C; wind chiefly WNW.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 15:42

Big temperature gradients too, Braidwood and here both on 16c, while Canberra and Goulburn both 30c+
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 16:16

A few brief big drops thundery showers around now from the west nothing heavy enough to measure yet,cooler se winds,fast moving scud cloud to the SE,moving in.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 16:35

No southerly here as yet, still a very light Noreaster. Plenty of storms to the south and north of me atm.
Posted by: snowforus

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 16:36

Not a trace of a cool change here in Lithgow yet. I'm beginning to think it's a bad joke and the rest of you have invented it.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 16:43

Originally Posted By: snowforus
Not a trace of a cool change here in Lithgow yet. I'm beginning to think it's a bad joke and the rest of you have invented it.

Welcome to Western NSW, matey! cheers

20.4° C here...still warm! laugh
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 16:45

Originally Posted By: snowforus
Not a trace of a cool change here in Lithgow yet. I'm beginning to think it's a bad joke and the rest of you have invented it.


Looking at the TH doppler it can't be too far away!!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 17:19

Yeah, we just made the change up. Its really sunny here with a NW wind and 35°.

But seriously, that's not quite true, it's now totally overcast with scud cloud and about 23. It seems unlikely that we'll get any storms now. If we do, we won't be able to see much.

----

The change did take a while to work its way inland. It reached OH at about 10:40, dropping the temp from 31 to 27, where it hovered for a few hours before heading for the low 20s.

It reached Bankstown about 11:10, half an hour later, then Penrith maybe around 1:00PM, where it gradually dropped from 35 to 26 over the next four hours. For Sydney's outer West, the change seems to have started as a 'hot Southerly', which gradually got cooler as oceanic air filtered through. That's probably what will happen further inland, the cooler air will just slowly filter through until it reaches the Divide.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 17:22

20.7° C now; only getting warmer for me.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 17:38

The southerly arrived about 20 minutes ago, its not overly strong at this stage and no scud as well, so far anyway.

Can hear thunder here now, nearest storm is still 40ks away.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 17:41

It's a total scumtherly here now, proper summer weather you come to expect in these parts poke

Will be great working weather though but no after work swims will be on the agenda.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 18:00

Hot as buggery again today, got to 40C.
Fortunately an easterly came in before 4pm, unusual for here, and cooled things off.
Some storms brewing now.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 18:52

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
It's a total scumtherly here now, proper summer weather you come to expect in these parts poke



"Occasionally"...… after a southerly.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 18:54

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Yeah, we just made the change up. Its really sunny here with a NW wind and 35°.

But seriously, that's not quite true, it's now totally overcast with scud cloud and about 23. It seems unlikely that we'll get any storms now. If we do, we won't be able to see much.

----

The change did take a while to work its way inland. It reached OH at about 10:40, dropping the temp from 31 to 27, where it hovered for a few hours before heading for the low 20s.

It reached Bankstown about 11:10, half an hour later, then Penrith maybe around 1:00PM, where it gradually dropped from 35 to 26 over the next four hours. For Sydney's outer West, the change seems to have started as a 'hot Southerly', which gradually got cooler as oceanic air filtered through. That's probably what will happen further inland, the cooler air will just slowly filter through until it reaches the Divide.


It certainly was a hot southerly - one of many we have experienced this summer.
It took about 4 hours for the cooler winds to penetrate.
Even now, it's still 23.3 here. Nothing much cool about that.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 19:08

A drizzle chase could be on the cards for tonight. Some light stuff already being picked up on radar.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 19:16

For me an extended spell of cool, showery, south easterly weather as forecast reminds me that autumn is not far off. Personally this is probably my least favorite weather. I love extended heat + storms, and this summer has definitely provided abundantly.
Posted by: snowforus

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 19:57

The change reached Lithgow around 6.30 pm. It's now down to 19.
Hopefully, today will have been the hottest day until November or December.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 20:26

I'm in Port Macqaurie for work atm and there is a bit of lightning to the south. Looks good on radar atm but I dont really know if we will get anything.
Would love a good storm while being away.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 20:57

There's a lot of lightning in this storm but it's mainly just CC in the cloud with the odd CG to the west.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 21:32

Good luck with the storms Marts.
Pretty heavy drizzle here atm. Nice and cool as well.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 21:44

Well we had a couple of close storms to town this evening and about 15 drops of rain unfortunately.
The southerly has backed right off too, barely a breeze out there but I just peaked outside to see if I could see any lightning and it looks as if the scud has rolled in.

In fact its nearly a degree warmer now than what it was an hour ago, currently 24.1c

I may post some pics up later.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/02/2019 21:52

Just been outside for the first time in a few hours. There's drizzle and light rain, the roads and footpaths are wet, the TV towers pierce the cloud deck and it's about 20 degrees. Chatswood has clocked up a millimetre so far.

Total rainfall forecast for the coming week is 2-16 mm in exchange for 6 days of gloom. It really needs to rain more efficiently. I'm looking forward to the other side of this pattern. Sydney will reach 27 again in a week's time.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 08:42

Quite a mild night last night 22.4c.
Reasonably clear this morning with a light Nor-west breeze, unfortunately no recordable rain hopefully today is the day.

High based storm yesterday evening produced little if any rain at all. It was quite an active noisy storm but poor contrast and and rain wrapped bolts made viewing bolts next to impossible.
_MG_8204 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

An hour or so later, this little pimple cell threw out some nice bolts but most of them were rain wrapped.
_MG_8265 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_8279 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 09:03

Once again great storm pictures Eddy.


It's totally overcast in Sydney with light Southerlies and about 19 degrees. It's gloomy enough to turn the lights on.

There was some useful rain overnight, with falls of about 5 mm across much of Sydney and over 10 mm on the coast and North Shore. Chatswood has clocked up 10 mm. The radar shows some fairly heavy showers oozing out of the Sea South of Newcastle and marching down the Central Coast.

We've had our rain, so it can clear up now, but it won't. I think that the NZ Met chart shows the current situation accurately, with the change stalled around Newcastle and sitting there for the next couple of days: NZ Met Tasman Chart
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 09:12

Originally Posted By: Steve777
I think that the NZ Met chart shows the current situation accurately, with the change stalled around Newcastle and sitting there for the next couple of days: NZ Met Tasman Chart


Thanks Steve777.

And thats probably why the bom have chance of T-storms for the Hunter and lower Mid-Nth coast.

Current condition here 26.1c Dewpoint 23.4c Humidity 85%.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 10:00

Nice pics again Eddy!

Looks like some moderate showers heading in from the north east atm. Currently a cool 19 deg's here.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 11:16

Cooler but humid,low scud cloud.no wind
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 11:18

Looks like there will be some showers coming in from the NNE-NE for Sydney for most of the day.

This is certainly a nice change up. Hopefully this pattern continues into March and April, cooler days with showers, then a few days of warm conditions.
Posted by: ccfu

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 11:19

Nice showers overnight in Sydney. Lovely fresh feeling again on my morning walk to the gym. I'm a happy chappy.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 12:43

There's a storm out to sea maybe some 40 km off Broken Bay.

The bulk of the rain is staying out to sea, veering South East after the Central Coast. Sydney is just getting drizzle and light showers, adding up to a millimetre or two since 9:00.

----

It's not often the BOM gets the forecast wrong by 4 or 5 degrees two days running, but they might just do it for Sydney today if the temperature hovers around 19-20 until 9:00 tomorrow, a real possibility. Undershot by 5 degrees yesterday, overshot by 4 or 5 today, so on average, about right.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 17:41

Originally Posted By: Steve777
There's a storm out to sea maybe some 40 km off Broken Bay.

The bulk of the rain is staying out to sea,


Yep look at all that rain that has fallen offshore, nearly 100mm, what a waste!!

I wonder what happened to our trough, split in two, half stayed offshore off the coast of Sydney/Central Coast and the other half ended up in the Mid-North coast Port Macquarie area?
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 18:31

Has the direction turned?
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 18:42

Those are some fantastic photos Eddy; definitely a high storm base there with nice purple lightning.

I've noticed the Brisbane forecast now includes the cyclone movement over the weekend. I wonder if that system will move further south and reach Sydney, like when a decaying cyclone did in late Jan 2013.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 19:20

There's a beasty of a storm NW of Taree moving S/SE. Another almost stationary storm about 60km off the northern beaches dumping a good 150-200mm over that piece of ocean.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 19:55

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
I wonder if that system will move further south and reach Sydney, like when a decaying cyclone did in late Jan 2013.





Unlikely.
Currently models have it moving north west and decaying over central QLD.
Currently 20.3 degrees. Heavy drizzle falling.
Temp has fluctuated just 1.8 degrees since this morning.
Posted by: Petar @ Sdny

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 22:23

Beautiful weather smile
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 22:51

I would love to see this cyclone move south down the coast as far as the hunter,and just sit here just to the north and give us a big flow of Easterly winds on the southern side of system,that would bring in some huge falls here and break the drought, in this area anyway.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 22:55

Yh hopefully you guys get a miracle ECL up in those parts with maybe a convergence zone. Anyways the SST anomalies are geared more towards the East Coast this year as opposed to NZ so hopefully there is some solid fuel with an upper level system, come ECL season. One defining thing of this drought is there hasn't been a proper ECL that slides down the Coast since the June 2016. Only the South Coast came close in December 2017.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/02/2019 23:06

Some heavy looking stuff off the coast at the moment,intensifying.and it looks to be moving in on each radar update,I have been watching it.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 08:51

Nice total for Lake Macquarie - Cooranbong overnight and this morning. 39.4 mm's so far.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 10:01

Finally some nice rain falling, 13.5mm so far this morning.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 10:24

Pretty thick fog here atm and some very light drizzle moving in. Point perpendicular reached a total of 25mm overnight due to a stationary blob which sat over them most of the night
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 10:31

Looks like that is it for the time being, 14.2mm. Now I can get out and mow some lawns.

Certainly some good falls about, but none better than what fell offshore in the past 24 hours upwards of 200mm.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 10:51

14 mms here EddyG from the east SE.it is that dry here I have bare dirt out on the front footpath.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 11:15

As someone mentioned in the Tropical Weather forum - latest GFS run has Oma going right down NSW coast.

GFS on drugs if you ask me. That high over Tasmania/Tasman Sea needs to defalated a lot for anything remotely like that.

Would love a $ for every wild GFS scenario I have seen over the years.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 11:24

I haven't been outside yet, but from what I can tell it hasn't rained for a while, even though it's solid overcast with the temperature stuck on 20.9. Chatswood had 8 mm overnight, bringing the total for the'event' there to 18 mm.

Early this week I was considering starting an 'event thread', but because only a small amount of rain was forecast and storms were mostly taken off the menu, it would have been something like 'Bummer Summer - a week of gloom".

Anyway, good to see some rain about where needed. There did seem to some very lightning-active storms out to sea yesterday afternoon and evening, which might have provided a light show had visibility been better. I could hear the crackling on the car radio when driving back from the Central Coast yesterday evening.

The stalled front seems to have moved a little to the North to encompass the lower Hunter and Port Stephens. Yesterday afternoon I would have placed it near Norah Head and Wyong and bending back South over the Tablelands near Katoomba. North of Wyong, it was warmer with some sunny breaks and little or no rain, although there were some showers on the return journey.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 11:50

Just thought I'd capture GFS for 11:00PM March 2 for posterity - the situation in an alternative Universe:



Were this to come off, Oma would likely be an ECL by this stage. It looks pretty windy on the coast, plus powerful surf, but the heavy rain stays out to sea.

Access shows Oma hovering about 600 km off Brisbane on Saturday before being shoved away by the strong high to the North and North West and fizzling out, but still bringing heavy rain to the far North Qld coast.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 12:38

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
As someone mentioned in the Tropical Weather forum - latest GFS run has Oma going right down NSW coast.

GFS on drugs if you ask me. That high over Tasmania/Tasman Sea needs to defalated a lot for anything remotely like that.

Would love a $ for every wild GFS scenario I have seen over the years.


Given the season we've had so far; anything is a possibility. Too far off the coast to give any decent rain, just huge surf and coastal fringe winds looking at that.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 16:52

The latest gfs has it directly on top of the Hunter on 3rd of March. We all had a good laugh. 😂
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 20:47

Really enjoying this change of weather, have had about 35mm the last 24/hr on and off drizzle showers and heavy showers the past 2 hours also. The only negative to this here is the funnel webs leave there holes and go walk about for mating or whatever we have a lot here, feeding the cat before there was one playing dead/still next to his bowl. I love all nature but funnel webs still make my skin crawl
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 22:08

Quite a heavy shower here in Killara at present and a few around on radar
Posted by: Morham

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 22:22

Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Really enjoying this change of weather

It's heavenly at the moment. Looking at the 14 day outlook i am just smiling. There's 1 day that might get to 30. Perfection!

But yes..funnel webs..bad. Baddddd creatures.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/02/2019 22:44

The radar is showing chunky looking showers from the Illawarra to the Central Coast. Accumulations are only modest so the Terry Hills radar seems to be over-reading.

It's a depressing forecast, 'nothing' showers and cool SE winds forever. Unfortunately I can't take a few days away for a road trip.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 09:21

Mt seaview on the mid north coast recorded an impressive 166mm since 9am yesterday, with a number of other places in the same region recording between 50-80mm
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 09:54

It looks as though the models agree that Oma will be pushed away to the North and North West after being several hundred kilometers off Brisbane late today / early tomorrow.

Most of Sydney received falls between 5 and 10 mm overnight. The three day 'event' totals in my area are: Chatswood 26 mm (8 mm overnight) and Sydney OH 17 mm (4 mm overnight). Most of the rain over the last 3 days has fallen at night.

After having a whinge last night, the weather has improved slightly (no causal connection I'm sure), with a few small gaps in the cloud and a couple of brief sunny breaks. It's still cool (about 20) with little wind. It doesn't seem to have rained much here in the last few hours, although the radar still shows light showers marching up the coast from the Illawarra.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 10:25

Three days of Southerlies have had their effect on sea temperatures off Sydney, pushing the warm water closer to tyhe shore. MHL is now showing over 25 degrees 10 km off Sydney, a jump of nearly 4 degrees in a day.

MHL Sydney (link will update).

Either that or the gauge is malfunctioning as it has at a couple of locations recently.

Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 11:14

I tend to believe the Sydney bouy as the IMOS site shows the warm current eddy slowly edging towards the coast. Coffs was definitely faulty for a while there.

More showers rolling in now. The harbour was trying to get back to the sparkling blue diamond look in the brief spurts of sunshine earlier. Now it's back to the grey and dour bleakness of the past few days.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 12:37

I must say it looks like lovely weather down at home tbh. 24 degrees and only 53% humidity so it's probably mostly sunny. One of those days where the showers are coming almost directly from the south so Sydney gets hit but we don't.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/02/2019 20:16

Weird old day here today, warm one minute quite fresh the next, just a couple of very light drizzly patches that didn't even bother the rain gauge.

It felt like a mid to late Autumn day today!!


Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 08:28

Cool and partly cloudy here, with the Sun shining for now. The radar shows a chain of showers coming up from the South and coming ashore near Port Hacking, as it has for the last few days.

Rainfall in Sydney since 9:00 yesterday has been pretty much confined to Sydney's North and East. Chatswood had 5 mm of rain yesterday afternoon and evening, Sydney OH 6.6 mm.

"Event" totals to date:

Chatswood: 31 mm
Sydney OH: 24 mm

OMA is now at about it's furthest latitude South, about 600 km East of the Gold Coast, with its forecast track about to make a U turn back North.

Looking forward to the warmer pattern to start March.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 10:42

Originally Posted By: Steve777


Looking forward to the warmer pattern to start March.


Definitely agree there; hopefully March and early April will give a couple more good rounds of warmth before Arpil - June delivers us this constant showery maritime air weather.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 12:01

IMO this is what Summer should consist of otherwise we would run away with above average temps without no barrier. Plus this is an amazing respite from the continuous heat throughout most of Summer.

Anyways this is another Summer without the presence of a proper Easterly Dip hanging around the west providing widespread rain and funnelling in Tropical Moisture. Seems most of the moisture for this Summer has centered East of the Tablelands.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 13:02

I was just looking on the radar and satellite for somewhere I could go outdoors without the cloud, cool winds and annoying light showers. It closed in around 9:00 after sunny periods early. That rain train is still aiming straight for Sydney, although there's very little in it. It's amazing how constant it's been. There must be a front or convergence zone that doesn't want to move.

It looks like Sydney's West is no good. It would be necessary to go West of the Divide, South of Wollongong or maybe North of Wyong.

So I it looks like a good day to catch up with indoor stuff at or near home.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 14:37

The weather again is not too bad down here- partly cloudy with long sunny breaks and 24°c. It's a pretty pleasant day overall. Camden looks good Steve, 25 degrees so it's probably mostly sunny out there too.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/02/2019 14:57

Wattamolla has a 2km/h southerly gusting at 44km/h, yeah okay.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 09:51

Looking at the satellite picture, it did clear in Sydney's SW yesterday afternoon but the cloud and rain clung to Sydney's East and North. That rain train kept on into the night, with some moderate falls yesterday evening. Falls were in the range 10-20 mm within 10 km or so of the coast, with lighter falls further inland and nothing in the outer West.

Event totals:

Sydney OH: 39.8 mm
Chatswood: 40 mm (only measures to nearest mm).

Like this time yesterday, it's mostly cloudy with blue gaps and occasional sunny breaks. Unlike yesterday, there's no rain train. Hopefully this pattern is nearing its end.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 11:04

Other than the temps and wind, this isn’t that bad wx - great soaking rain at night, part,y cloudy days. But it’s had a significant impact - we were running at +0.7c above average until this spurt of colder weather - now mins are below and max will also dip below average today I’d assume.

I heard somewhere that this is the coldest end to summer in 34 years for a few major locations? Hopefully these days of endless se’erlies will setup a big ECL season, driving that warmer water towards the coast.

Oh and we’ve quietly collected nearly 40mm over the last few days! Can’t complain about that! Everything is lovely and green.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 12:20

Highest this month: 25.5° C (Cabramurra); 27.2° C (Angler's Property).

Aye, you've heard me correctly—nothing above 27° C for the entirety of Failbruary! crazy mad crazy mad

Below-average w*nk... sick sick sick

Usually I'd cop at least one >30° C day, but this time? Yeah nah mate. whistle whistle whistle

And don't even bother with the bloomin' forecast, fellas...highest temp til' March is a scorching 24° C poke poke poke
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 13:42

Yeah agreed Kino it hasn't been bad at all here. Being further inland we haven't been getting nearly as much wind and it has been warmer than the coast. But we've collected almost no rain in the last few days. Today is very similar to yesterday's weather.

And how many 30 degree days did you cop in January though AA? I bet it would have been much higher than average.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 13:50

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Yeah agreed Kino it hasn't been bad at all here. Being further inland we haven't been getting nearly as much wind and it has been warmer than the coast. But we've collected almost no rain in the last few days. Today is very similar to yesterday's weather.

And how many 30 degree days did you cop in January though AA? I bet it would have been much higher than average.

Can't be buggered to count em', but certainly more than average! laugh

Alongside an almost-35° C (34.7° C) day.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 15:53

Really enjoying the recent cool down, nights out here from now on will be more in the 12 to 16 degree region for coming week, finally the longer nights are impacting temps out here. I know I’m greedy but some rain anytime soon would be nice even though we have better than a lot of places.

I have to head to Narrabri tomorrow for 3 days, back to warm temps for a while.

After another couple of weeks the night temps here will get down near 10 more often, that will become our main temperature driver, especially for the house.

Autumn colours finally dropping hints of starting out here but minimal at best so far 😁
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/02/2019 20:21

Enjoying these milder temps at the moment, and a small sum of rain for the last few days. (just over 10mm at the airport).
Looking like a stable patter starting on Tuesday, with every day in the low 30s and sunny. At least the big temps have gone.
Tocal running at 31.8C max for the month, some 2.9C above average, but well short of record levels of 2017.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/02/2019 16:53

There's not been any significant addition to rainfall totals in Sydney since 9:00 yesterday, just some scattered falls yesterday afternoon and evening, mostly less than a millimetre. So in Eastern parts of Sydney we ended up with a four day spell (20th-23rd) of cool, cloudy weather, moderately wet near the coast, with most rain falling overnight - a foretaste of Autumn.

Event totals: Sydney and Chatswood 40 mm; Bankstown 14 mm; Penrith 11 mm.

The last couple of days here have been quite pleasant, partly cloudy with temperatures about average or a little below. It seems to have been sunnier near the coast than inland.

It looks like a spell of benign, fairly sunny weather coming up, with temps a little above average to finish Summer. It might get a bit hot in about a week's time.

Cyclone Oma has gone, but the second week of GFS has another one tracking to SE Queensland and moving into NE NSW by the end of its run. It will probably all change tomorrow.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/02/2019 18:24

Autumn-like weather here for the past few days with a low of 7.5°C on Sunday morning and the need to wear a winter jacket in the mornings. The easterlies of recent days gave us early morning low cloud and mist with the faintest trace of drizzle (didn't register in the gauge). The lack of rain and likelihood of nothing at all for the next 2 weeks is a major concern. Worse, all that heat festering over SA is slowly progressing eastwards. March will no doubt have a very warm and dry start. Some long-time residents say they’ve never seen it so dry. I was looking at photos yesterday from Feb 2016, when it was lush and green. Hard to believe it can get so dry.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 08:17

It's the first clear blue sky I've seen in a while, especially this early. It's also the 'coldest' morning in much of Sydney since before Christmas, just 16.6 at Sydney OH, 13.2 at Bankstown, down to 11 at Camden and Campbelltown.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 09:11

Originally Posted By: Kino

Oh and we’ve quietly collected nearly 40mm over the last few days! Can’t complain about that! Everything is lovely and green.


You have done well. Here in Shellharbour, not even 4mm all up. The Mount Saddleback rain/cloud shadow played a role.

It is starting to look dry here again.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 12:05

Certainly feels like autumn is on the way. Got down to 13 degrees at Gosford last night. The sunny weather today is nice compared to the gloomfest over the weekend.

Hopefully March and April give us a few final storms for the season. And then roll on East Coast Low season!.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 15:17

MHL is showing sea temps off Sydney having shot up to 26.2:



That's close to a record. The 'Occurrence' table says that temps of 26 and over occur off Sydney in February 0.03% of the time, equivalent to one hour in 5 Februarys.

The Februray average is 22.67, the all time record 26.55 (data 1992-2011)
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 15:28

Does this bode well for ECLs forming in Autumn?
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 15:46

I don't think so.

We always get encouraged by high water temps but it doesn't seem to make much difference. It's all about the upper level conditions, placement and whether it moves away quickly or not.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 15:55

Originally Posted By: Jimi
I don't think so.

We always get encouraged by high water temps but it doesn't seem to make much difference. It's all about the upper level conditions, placement and whether it moves away quickly or not.


Yep, agreed. And as quickly as it has gone up, it can retreat just as quickly to much cooler temps.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 16:02

Yeah it's all in the uppers for the ECL's. If we get any juicy cold pools moving over then it could be good.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 18:05

My understanding is that warm oceans form a fertile breeding ground for ECLs if other factors line up. That's why they're common in June - cold air masses moving over a warm Tasman sea. Also thunderstorms off the coast. Warm waters might also provide more moisture to feed into any unstable pattern that forms over land (e.g. Easterly dip situation).

---

Sydney OH February Stats

Sydney OH is currently tracking 19.7 - 27.4 for min - max. Anomalies are 0.0 - +0.9 compared to 1981-2010 averages and differ by -0.1 - +0.2 compared to 2018.

Rainfall, at 85.4 mm, is tracking 63% of average and 81% of the median.

Looking at the forecast, Sydney's final numbers for temperature and rainfall will be close to these.

The cool, wet spell from the 20th - 23rd knocked nearly a degree off the average maximum and provided nearly half of the month's rain, making the month's total look a respectable 'below average' rather than 'dry'. I expect that much of Sydney's West will still be 'dry'.
Posted by: Jaeger

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 18:51

The Canberra forecast updated at 6:45pm adding chance of showers (50%) and a storm - just as the first crack of thunder from a surprise storm arrives...
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 20:07

Forecast shows 26° C on the 4th of March...almost as warm as my highest February temp this year of 27.2° C poke whistle poke whistle

F*ck me dead and bugger me sideways, why couldn't this heat arrive any blasted earlier?!

crazy mad crazy mad sick mad sick
Posted by: Jaeger

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/02/2019 20:59

Originally Posted By: Jaeger
The Canberra forecast updated at 6:45pm adding chance of showers (50%) and a storm - just as the first crack of thunder from a surprise storm arrives...


... and updated again at 8:35pm to drop the chance of showers back to 5% after the storm cleared.

What is going on?!

Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 09:30

Showers here now - gloomy and low cloud. Perfect netflix weather. This is when we do better than Metro as the SE'erly piles up against the escarpment, unlike the more southerly stream which tends so skirt past us.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 10:20

It's partly cloudy in Sydney with lengthy sunny periods, about 25 degrees. Light winds early now seem to be resolving into Southerlies. It's 23 at the Airport which is more exposed.

I see there's a blob of cloud over the Illawarra, which seems to be expanding. That will probably engulf Sydney later.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 12:36

And the flow turns more southerly and viola the showers move towards Metro and away from us!
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 14:19

Originally Posted By: Kino
And the flow turns more southerly and viola the showers move towards Metro and away from us!


You must be in the lucky Illawarra quadrant, nothing here at Shellharbour at any stage today, although it looked very close around 7:30am. May be some drizzle along escarpment later this evening.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 15:15

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Originally Posted By: Kino
And the flow turns more southerly and viola the showers move towards Metro and away from us!


You must be in the lucky Illawarra quadrant, nothing here at Shellharbour at any stage today, although it looked very close around 7:30am. May be some drizzle along escarpment later this evening.


Yeah Wollongong & north where escarpment is closest we tend to get these events better. Whereas with the NE'erlies you mob seem to do better as it clogs up in the Macquarie Pass.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 17:57

It was another pleasantly warm, mostly sunny day here, until it closed in around mid afternoon. It got quite gloomy for a while, looking like something might happen, but apart from some light, spitting rain nothing did. It's brightening up a bit now with some patches of blue appearing.

It reached 28 in the City and 30 in Penrith earlier and it's still warm, mostly 24-26 across Sydney.

The storm season's gone into recess here after being quite active earlier in the season. My last storm was nearly 3 weeks ago on February 8.

The calendar says Summer's nearly over. That went quick. The weather won't change with the calendar though. There's a bit of heat early next week. At this stage it looks like it won't reach the coast. Last year Summer ended around April 16.

There doesn't seem to be much in the way of rain or storms in the offing.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 20:05

Just looking at my rainfall figures for summer 18/19 looks like I will have had my driest summer in 22 years of keeping rainfall figures, unless I get a surprise deluge overnight but it looks like my summer total will stand at just 107.5mm (Ave 306.5mm) and just over a third of that total fell in one night on the 19th Dec when 42.4mm fell from a rogue thunderstorm that thought Port Stephens was part of Sydney that passed by. wink poke

Anyway hopefully Autumn can be a better season rain wise. Average for Autumn for my neck of the woods is close to 500mm and thats going to feel a long way off!!
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 20:41

Gee,EddyG,that is dry for you there on the coast you always get heaps of rain,sticking out to sea more then Newcastle,I measured 150 mms here for Summer from Dec 1st to now 27th of Feb.and that is dry for here.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/02/2019 23:39

Waters are warm enough for a Cyclone to develop off the East coast.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/02/2019 16:43

Still warm enough, 31C today just over the forecast, and low 30s until Sunday, before an early March mini-heatwave starts early next week.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/02/2019 19:38

Very interesting reading about the sea surface temps over this past week.

A few of my stats for this summer (Dec, Jan, Feb) for Southwest Parramatta, which would be representative of a large part of Sydney:

Average min - max:
Dec: 17.2 - 29.9
Jan: 21.1 - 32.4
Feb: 18.0 - 29.0

Days > 32°C (90°F): 37
Days > 35°C (95°F): 19
Days > 38°C (100°F): 6
Days > 39°C (102°F): 3

The first 3 weeks of December was average and February was also average. The main heat occurred at the height of summer from late Dec - late Jan with a few hot spells that had multiple consecutive days > 35°C.

The coolest week was 20th Feb - 26th Feb, with an average max of 25.2°C. There were 4 consecutive days < 24°C.
The hottest week was 26th Dec - 1st Jan, with an average max of 36.5°C. There were 6 consecutive days > 35°C and 4 consecutive days > 37°C.

Number of thunderstorm days: 11
Days with hail: 3
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/03/2019 09:14

Interesting numbers Jac0b. January was a standout, in fact the heat ramped up around Christmas and mostly stuck around until the end of January. February finished only a little above average, mostly hot in the first half but setting into a cooler pattern from the 20th.

I'll do a graph for a Sydney AWS later if I get time.

Re sea temps off Sydney, they're on the way back down, after having been 26 degrees or above for most of the 60 hours 12:00 Feb 26 to 24:00 Feb 28. The stats on the MHL site suggest that it was above 26 degrees for only about 8 hours during 1992-2011. It peaked at 26.5 yesterday afternoon, just short of the record.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/03/2019 15:13

Can see a few towers out to sea. They're headed this way.
Sydney and surrounds look to be in the firing line.

Fingers crossed they die out and fail to spoil the Friday evening merriment around town.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/03/2019 17:34

Yes some chunky towers off the coast for most of the day, but thats where they have stayed unfortunately. It would be nice to jag 1mm.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/03/2019 18:21

Quote:
Fingers crossed they die out and fail to spoil the Friday evening merriment around town.

I always think a good storm adds to the merriment.

I also saw some promising looking towers off to the East earlier this afternoon but there doesn't seem to be anything in them. It was warm and humid again today, about 28-32 across Sydney. It looks as though Summer continues for the time being, but the 'opportunity' for / risk of major heat has probably passed.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/03/2019 20:43

The ducks have gone, they don't like swimming in mud.
_MG_8094 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

This pic was taken two weeks ago. This little pond don't take much rain to fill it, last week we had a solid downpour that dropped 14mm and it put about 2 foot of water in it, fast forward a week and that water has since gone and is now lower than ever!!
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 00:21

A couple of spots of rain so far tonight. Something with a bit more punch to it may be incoming however it’ll only last 5 mins
Posted by: Manly

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 00:26

Heavy rain and strong wind here in Manly at the moment.
Posted by: Manly

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 00:27

... and now it has stopped.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 00:47

Just had a brief heavy shower here. That was unexpected. It's eased off now to steady, light rain. Sydney OH seems to have picked up 6 mm in 10 minutes as that rain band crossed.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 10:02

I see Nelson Bay recorded 8mm in the 24 hours to 9am, whilst nothing fell on this side of the bay.
Looking at PWS over the bay and I can't find any other stations that recorded any rainfall so it must have been one very isolated fall.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 10:16

Also had some heavy showers overnight from fat moist cu wafting in from the ne. Hopefully bodes well for storms today.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 12:11

Rain needs to stay well away from eastern Sydney today and this evening.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/03/2019 12:19

I haven't done one of these for a while. I put together a spreadsheet chart of Sydney Olympic Park's daily mean temperature for the Summer just finished:



The dashed blue line gives the daily means (average of min and max), the solid red line is a 7 day moving average, which gives an indication at any point in time of how hot it's been in the past week. The orange line is the long term mean (old and new sites, 1996-2019). Forecasts have been used for March 2-8.

So what does it show?

- After a cool start, things quickly warmed up
- A cool spell in the lead-up to Christmas
- The post-Christmas heatwave
- A cool down to average in the second week of January
- Peak Summer for mid to late January.
- a steady cool down during February to another dip late in the month
- A ramping up of heat to start March - how long will it last?

I might update it in a couple of months.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 12:30

Looking an active week weather wise coming up with Wednesday Storms and and upper low/easterly flow combo coming up on Sat/Sunday hopefully it keeps up.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 13:58

Rather an uneventful week, I must say. frown

2° / 14° C with sideways showers and likely strong SW wind squalls forecast next Wednesday on the 6th, however...should be fun! laugh
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 15:26

Hi AA.

Where do you get a forecast for Anglers Reach?

Cheers.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 16:56

That's an excellent graph Steve. Lots of information conveyed there about this past summer. I'd imagine that graph would also be similar for Bathurst and Canberra but with less day-day variation.

AA, 14°C would normally be considered really cold for me (especially in March), very wintry.

Given how uninteresting the last 2 winters have been with constant high pressure systems, it would be nice to have a winter this year similar to the winters of the 60's or 80's or even 2007 or 2015, with plenty of cold/snow. I'm yet to experience a sub-10°C day here in Sydney, which I know has happened a couple of times in June and July.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 18:54

For a moment I thought you meant -10c, which hasn't happened in Sydney since probaly 4 ice ages ago. But days failing to crack 10c have happened. The CBD and OH are very unlikely to have this again for some time, but some western suburbs could do it if a near freezing min was followed by a cloudy day.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 19:50

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
but some western suburbs could do it if a near freezing min was followed by a cloudy day.


I remember a couple of these when I was a kid. It was so exciting for me as a cold lover, and I was thinking it might be a regular occurrence.
Lol at my ignorance as a teenager.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 20:06

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Given how uninteresting the last 2 winters have been with constant high pressure systems, it would be nice to have a winter this year similar to the winters of the 60's or 80's or even 2007 or 2015, with plenty of cold/snow. I'm yet to experience a sub-10°C day here in Sydney, which I know has happened a couple of times in June and July.

I remember two such days as a kid. July, 1983 & July, 1984. The novelty wears off quickly when you're out and about.

Both days were the same; raining and a strong west to south west wind.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 20:52

Originally Posted By: Homer
Hi AA.

Where do you get a forecast for Anglers Reach?

Cheers.

Chiefly from Google's very own display of Weather.com; simply type "Anglers Reach Weather" into search, then it shall present you with a lovely forecast table. Another method is to type Anglers Reach NSW 2629 into Weatherzone itself—although it is not as reliable in the long-run as Google's forecast, I find; forecasts for Rhine Falls, which lies much farther eastwards than Anglers.

You can also use Meteye or BOM search to see reliable, albeit short-term forecasts for Anglers Reach; to ultimately conclude, Google's Weather.com display has proven the most accurate method for me in both the short and long-run. wink

Downgraded forecast as we speak; 2° / 13° C now, downwards from 2° / 14° C.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/03/2019 22:18

There are 11 days on record with maximums of 10C or less at Obs Hill. The most recent was 9.6C on 3 July 1984.

Here is a list of sub-11C maximums in my lifetime (since 1985).

- 21 June 1995: 10.4C
- 19 August 1996: 10.4C
- 27 July 1990: 10.7C

I upped it by one degree to capture the 10.something days that I can remember vaguely from the mid 90s. 9am temps the following day have no doubt ruined a few low maximums over the years.

Looking at the data sorted from low to high really highlights how many cold days there were in the late 1800s and early 1900s.

FWIW, the lowest maximums so far this century have been:

- 11.7C on 27 June 2016;
- 11.9C on 22 August 2008; and
- 12.0C on 2 July 2003.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 12:46

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
For a moment I thought you meant -10c, which hasn't happened in Sydney since probaly 4 ice ages ago. But days failing to crack 10c have happened. The CBD and OH are very unlikely to have this again for some time, but some western suburbs could do it if a near freezing min was followed by a cloudy day.


In my younger days (Illawarra) we used to get maybe at least 1 day every winter where it only got to 10C ( 10C seems far more common than 9C).
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 19:15

Hot as buggery again today, and for the next 2 days.
Back to mid 30s again by the weekend though, so the reprieve will only be brief on Thurs-Fri.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 19:40

Looking forward to Wednesday.
Hopefully some storms again.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 19:55

Good ole sea gale was up and running again today, strong enough to blow the froth off a beer this afternoon, luckily Im drinking stubbies!!

Crystal clear skies and relatively warm too, I'm glad the start of March is making up for the end of February.
Although fifteen inches of rain wouldn't go astray!!
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 19:56

Thanks Jimi and Kizz, interesting stats there about the sub-10°C days. It seems a few years in the mid-80's had them. I also remember that 11°C in late June 2016 well.

The thing about this mini warm spell is that the days are shorter and the sun is noticeably weaker compared to mid-Jan, and the nights are cooler too, with mins above 20°C not happening much now.

Yeah Homer I have my fingers crossed for Wednesday with storms.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 20:05

Originally Posted By: Homer
Looking forward to Wednesday.
Hopefully some storms again.

Cheers to that Homie! have had some showers but in reality it’s been such a dry summer for my area. Really craving an ECL or days of easterlys flows feeding a deep trough for real relief especially while the warm SST’s are loitering close by.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 20:56

Thank you Jac0b (previous page).

--

Re sub10 maxima in Sydney, the most recent ones were at Sydney OH were 1983 and 1984. The one before that was 1962 (9.3) and the one before that was 1899. From 1859-99 there were about 5, so even back then it was unusual. I expect that the same goes for anywhere near Sydney close to sea level.

I don't expect there will ever be another sub-10 maximum at OH.

--

I'm finding current pattern quite pleasant, every day partly cloudy, not too humid, about 20-28 near the coast, low 30s inland. It'll be warmer tomorrow and Wednesday, maybe some storms Wednesday afternoon, one coolish day then business as usual. The lack of rain is a bit of a problem. Parts of Sydney got decent falls a couple of weeks ago but they were pretty much restricted to the coastal strip.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 21:59

yes illawarra (wombarra) born and growing up left for uni aged 18 1984.

we never had frost. but in june 1982 or so i remember looking from my school train and for the first time ever seeing frost in the escarpment side paddocks. my thermometer at the time recorded 2.3 deg c when i got up to got to school ...
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/03/2019 22:02

... but back to now, here in goulburn we are being treated to lightning on three sides (n, w and s) from three separate cells with no rain but competing thunder from diff directions ...
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 00:37

Interesting to compare March 4th 2019 (dry with dead grass) with March 5th 2012 (green and lush) over central eastern NSW.

March 2013 and 2014 weren't too bad, but the past 4 years have been pretty bad.



Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 08:01

Smokey out there this morning.

Bloody Victorians.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 08:05

Interesting pictures Rob G.

The maps on the BOM site tell the story - 12 month rainfall deciles: Interesting pictures Rob G.

The maps on the BOM site also tell the story - 12 month rainfall deciles: NSW Rainfall Deciles 12 months

Some areas have done better in recent months, but much of that has been hit or miss storms or coastal events.

The North of the state is doing very badly.

-----

It was a dusty sunrise this morning. Here's the Satellite view around 7:15 this morning:

Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 08:58

The sea breeze is well and truly established, probably a bit early to be knocking the froth off laugh
Other than that it looks like a nice day coming up.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 09:52

On the subject of cold days in Sydney, remember that the pre-1917 site was about a degree cooler for maxima than the current one (in summer, but not in winter, this was essentially cancelled out by the effect of the different instrument shelter).

Sub-10 days have become reasonably rare in Canberra, never mind Sydney: the historical average (1961-1990) is 19 such days per year, but the last year to reach that was 1995 and the last year in double figures was 2007. Average for the last 10 years has been 6.2 (last year had three).
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 11:13

The BOM stuck to their forecast of 31 for the City in their 9:06 update, in spite of there being no resistance to the sea breeze. At 25.9, it's over a degree cooler than this time yesterday, so 31 will be a struggle.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 11:24

Interesting Blair. Thanks for the info. Very disconcerting figures re Canberra.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 12:00

Yes, thank you Blair - interesting.

In Sydney, the corresponding measure might be sub-15 days. These seem to be becoming far less common. In one of the cooler recent years, 2011, Sydney OH had 8. Last year, which featured a warm Winter for maxima, there were just 2.

To pick a past year which looks about average for its time, 1958, there were 18.

That corresponds with my memory. Cold days in Sydney used to be more common, days that felt cold, not just a quirk of the site where temperature is measured.

On the other hand, the temperature at OH can be expected to reach 20 as often as not on sunny days in June and August. That might be a quirk of the site.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 12:25

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Good ole sea gale was up and running again today, strong enough to blow the froth off a beer this afternoon, luckily Im drinking stubbies!!



Same here, wanted to go for a surf after work, but that Sea Gale makes it uncomfortable no matter the temperature.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 12:29

Originally Posted By: DVC
yes illawarra (wombarra) born and growing up left for uni aged 18 1984.

we never had frost. but in june 1982 or so i remember looking from my school train and for the first time ever seeing frost in the escarpment side paddocks. my thermometer at the time recorded 2.3 deg c when i got up to got to school ...


It was about that time I think that I also had the only frost ever seen in my backyard at Mount Warrigal. I am on NE side, slight hill.

There was 2 to 3 frosts last year that started to appear about 1.5km inland, as soon as you crossed the hill near Shellharbout Square (no longer facing ocean).
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:05

That cell just south of robbo has blown up. Pretty big black core on it now
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:12

In recent winters at least I think cold days have been replaced by frosty nights. 2017 and 2018 were both below average for minima. Certainly last year had more frosts than I can ever remember, with the final frost in late August, which for West Ryde is highly unusual.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:25

Originally Posted By: Snowmaker
That cell just south of robbo has blown up. Pretty big black core on it now


Yeah can hear thunder here and it's black with nice structure to the south.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:27

There are some interesting cloudscapes about. That looks like a very lightning-active storm West of Kiama.

EDIT: Severe thunderstorm warning issued for parts of the Illawarra and Western Metro.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:28

STW out.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN21033.shtml
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:38

That storm looks awesome on satellite too. Was just sent a video from a mate driving down Macquarie pass of 20c piece sized hail
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 14:48

The answer is probably topography, but can someone tell me why storms can get to the coast so much more easily in the Illawarra and south coast compared to Sydney? Our sea breeze just destroys them.

This is a classic example. I would have thought Kiama had a similar sea breeze to Sydney but the Sydney coast is probably zero change of a drop today.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 15:04

I think that the answer is topography. In the Illawarra, high ground (about 400-500m, higher in places), comes close to the coast. The same is true to a lesser extent on the Central Coast (about 250-400m). But the Sydney Basin is ... a Basin, full of a layer of cooler, stable air in its Eastern parts.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 15:21

Originally Posted By: Jimi
The answer is probably topography, but can someone tell me why storms can get to the coast so much more easily in the Illawarra and south coast compared to Sydney? Our sea breeze just destroys them.

This is a classic example. I would have thought Kiama had a similar sea breeze to Sydney but the Sydney coast is probably zero change of a drop today.


Don't worry it all anvilus maximus here, died a horrible death once off escarpment. The same seabreeze / sea level rules apply.
Posted by: mithrandir

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 16:24

That storm approaching Penrith is producing some small hail (1 to 2cm).
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 16:33

MT must have annoyed it cause we are copping it here now with pea sized hail interspersed with massive drops. Nothing ‘severe’ as yet but some massive clunks every now and then.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 16:59

Can hear lots of distant rumbles here.
Not sure we'll get much though.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 17:53

Stuggles to get above 10° C here most winters; quite the contrast to Canberra, Sydney, and their ilk. laugh

And yes, frosty morns have definitely replaced cooler noons and afternoons around the bulk of NSW; not so much up here, but in lower regions, most certainly. That –11.1° C at Marrangaroo back in winter 2018 had downright shocked me, which is honestly a very astonishing feat to accomplish—I'm quite hard to impress.

Much of NSW seems to be repeating the 1970's pattern this decade; warm days, cold morns, and chiefly high-pressure dominated.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 18:12

Curse of the rain gauge - we probably had 20-30mm this arvo, yet Bellambi only 7km north had 0.0mm
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 19:08

Looking good for storms tomorrow for some of the drier areas.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 20:55

2nd storm for the day and raining again smile
Posted by: Morham

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 21:13

That is an awesome satellite comparison pic rob g.
Looks like desertification. I would love an animation of that dieoff. Though I am reminded of pics of california dams almost empty, then filled up due to good rain. Hopefully we swing back to the lushness soon.

Penrith today, stinking hot. Some hail in emu. Tomorrow? Even hotter maybe some rain.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 21:57

Saw some distant lightning way off Southwards about half an hour ago, the first lightning of any sort I've seen in a month - probably the cell off Wollongong. It clouded over this afternoon but it was just anvil stuff. The sun had returned by 6:00 PM.

There's been a certain sameness to the weather in Eastern Sydney so far this month, with a bit more variation inland:

OH maxima 28, 28, 28, 28, 29.
Bankstown: 33, 30, 30, 32, 32
Penrith: 32, 32, 33, 36, 36.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/03/2019 22:29

Here's a video from today's storm chase. Hail at Robertson followed by some other storms near Kangaloon and Picton Rd. No close lightning for me today frown

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLB5Qj1wVQ8
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 08:50

Originally Posted By: Kino
MT must have annoyed it cause we are copping it here now with pea sized hail interspersed with massive drops. Nothing ‘severe’ as yet but some massive clunks every now and then.


MT more annoyed as stuck at work until 5pm
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 12:41

Storms have popped up on the Illawarra again, moving on Kiama and Wollongong

EDIT: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for DAMAGING WINDS for Nowra to Newcastle and inland NW to Coonamble.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 13:16

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Storms have popped up on the Illawarra again, moving on Kiama and Wollongong

EDIT: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for DAMAGING WINDS for Nowra to Newcastle and inland NW to Coonamble.


Grumbling thundery shower in Shellahrbour, now passed. I hope we are going to get a bit more rain yet from this system, so dry here.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 13:42

I thought that the temperatures 'achieved' around Sydney would be today's maxima, but the sun has returned fir now and temperatures are shooting up. Now 38 degrees at Penrith and Richmond, 35-37 elsewhere in Sydney's West.

Can't see any traditional Southerly riding up the coast, although it is cooler South of Sydney, which is affected by cloud and some rain. Maybe there's cooler air gradually filtering through.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:01

Richmond now 26 deg's after a brief storm went through dropping 1.8 mm's.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:17

Seabreeze hanging on for dear life at my fathers place on the Dee Why Headland, brief surge that lasted only minutes before it took over again. laugh

Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:30

Loud peals of thunder.

A detailed warning for the cell in Sydney's NW aiming directly for the CBD.

A Fire Warning just issued for the Hunter.

I think that the storms are riding a cooler SW change, more Southerly on the coast. Just reaching the CBD.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:38

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Loud peals of thunder.


I think that the storms are riding a cooler SW change, more Southerly on the coast. Just reaching the CBD.


I don't think it's the real change though, although I may be wrong.
It's still over 25 at Port Kembla and Kiama and just 15 - 17 further down the south coast. The cooler air is much further south, which will probably coincide with a stronger southerly later on.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:54

Watch out for the hail bomb guys!! grin

https://dailym.ai/2EHMA62
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 14:59

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Watch out for the hail bomb guys!! grin

https://dailym.ai/2EHMA62



It's not right they can get away with this crap.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 16:54

I scored some great lightning footage from Wollongong early afternoon, I’ll edit footage tonight and post a link. Fairly high based storms and the first couple weren’t very active but the last one made up for it......
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 17:17

Look forward to seeing your footage LC.

I had thunder and lightning for an hour or so this afternoon, including what sounded like nearby CGs. The rain was mostly light, with a couple of briefly heavy showers. There were no high winds or hail bombs, however.

The lightning's gone, the storms having shifted to the Central Coast and the Hunter, but I just had another light shower. These seem to be backbuilding over Eastern Sydney. The rain hasn't added up to much, only 3 mm at Chatswood. Apart from an isolated 12 mm at Manly, Sydney's falls were mostly under 4 mm. Sydney OH only picked up 1.4 mm.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 17:24

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Watch out for the hail bomb guys!! grin

https://dailym.ai/2EHMA62



Hahaha yep the media over-hypes everything these days; as if hail has never happened before. Or storms. Or any sort of weather.

I can't even think of the media reaction if the intense hailstorms of Jan 1947 and Apr 1999 in Sydney ever repeated again.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 17:26

Two good storms here. Very rare these days. There’s this tinge of smoke in the clouds now. Could that fire at Cessnock updrafted smoke?
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 18:28

Seems like today's high had occured about 6:10 AM this morn', which was 12.7° C...

And now? It is barely over 9° C poke Cabramurra peaked at just 11.9° C this morn', at 6:08 AM as well.

Google's forecasted high for today was 13° C, whilst WZ's Rhine Falls was 16° C; proves that Google is indeed more reliable for me.

Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 18:54

https://www.facebook.com/countrygall57/videos/10217219088903225/

West Cessnock on Wollombi Road heading south, this is the Kitchener fire to the E.

BELOW.Time laps of Kitchener fire at South Cessnock looking south towards Kitchener.

https://www.facebook.com/nsbamford/videos/10156070817162647/
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 19:09

Twas' snowing down at Mt. Baw Baw some time today, apparently! shocked

Really highlights the difference between 35°/36° S and 37°/38° S...yikes.
Posted by: Weather_Viewer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 19:23

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Twas' snowing down at Mt. Baw Baw some time today, apparently! shocked

Really highlights the difference between 35°/36° S and 37°/38° S...yikes.


Yes & No to that generalisation.

It all depends on the direction of the wind at times. Many locations at those Latitudes (37°/38° S) were nudging close to 40c for quite a few days. Melbourne was much warmer than Sydney for example.

35°/36° S is less exposed to stronger Cold fronts off the Southern Ocean. That's why Victoria is famed for four seasons in one day!

Definitely chilly this evening down in Melbourne!
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 19:49

Here's my lightning video from Wollongong today:

https://youtu.be/fAvWOIE4cPQ
Posted by: crikey

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 19:50

Mt Baw Baw twitter says
Closed due to fires ...and then the snow arrives! 🔥❄🤷
We hope the resort will open again tomorrow.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 20:33

Originally Posted By: Weather_Viewer
Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Twas' snowing down at Mt. Baw Baw some time today, apparently! shocked

Really highlights the difference between 35°/36° S and 37°/38° S...yikes.


Yes & No to that generalisation.

It all depends on the direction of the wind at times. Many locations at those Latitudes (37°/38° S) were nudging close to 40c for quite a few days. Melbourne was much warmer than Sydney for example.

35°/36° S is less exposed to stronger Cold fronts off the Southern Ocean. That's why Victoria is famed for four seasons in one day!

Definitely chilly this evening down in Melbourne!


Yes, it was a stupid generalization. It also has a lot to do with many other factors that came into play today.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 20:39

Originally Posted By: lightning chaser
Here's my lightning video from Wollongong today:

https://youtu.be/fAvWOIE4cPQ


Spectacular, thanks for sharing.

Storms were hit and miss here today, did manage to capture some nice bolts. Overall I rate todays storm 2/10. But gee it was nice to see a what a storm looked like again!!
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 21:08

Originally Posted By: Weather_Viewer
Yes & No to that generalisation.

It all depends on the direction of the wind at times. Many locations at those Latitudes (37°/38° S) were nudging close to 40c for quite a few days. Melbourne was much warmer than Sydney for example.

35°/36° S is less exposed to stronger Cold fronts off the Southern Ocean. That's why Victoria is famed for four seasons in one day!

Definitely chilly this evening down in Melbourne!

Nah, what I meant to say was that beneath similar conditions (i.e. wind direction, frontal activity, etc.), an extra ~2° farther southwards can make quite the plunge for "only" 2° of latitudinal distance. If astride the GDR in NSW, then how far westerly/inland (windward) or easterly/coastal (leeward) also render substantial differences.

Remember that 1° of latitude = 111 km, so >2° should be very noticeable in terms of locational climate averages.

Regarding my current weather conditions, I'm standing at a fairly pleasant 4.3° C this evening. laugh
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 21:11

Great video LC. The Illawarra escarpment would be fantastic for viewing storms. You can actually see where they hit.

---

Great snow picture Crikey. It's a bit cold down South,only 25 in Melbourne, 10 in Hobart.

It's also getting cooler here now, after hovering around 25-26 since mid afternoon.

The models, especially GFS, seem to be presaging interesting weather ahead, a bit of heat,even cold outbreaks, a bit of rain, maybe storms, although not the traditional March deluge. Maybe that's being saved up for a late Easter.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 21:40

Originally Posted By: Steve777
...It's a bit cold down South,only 25 in Melbourne....


Typo - Make that 15, now 14. Meanwhile, back in Sydney, it looks set to drop below 20 for the first time this month.
Posted by: Marts

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/03/2019 22:52

Nice footage there LC, cheers for sharing.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 07:13

Down to a frosty –2.1° C this morn', which had occured about 7:01 AM; –5.9° C at Perisher Valley.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 07:52

Bloody cool this morn but it’s a refreshing change
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 09:46

A few pics from yesterdays hit and miss storms.
This pic was riding the first southerly change it also had some nice structure about it at times, problem was it was over 40ks out to sea.
_MG_8459 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

It wasn't long after this pic we got hit with the first southerly, a PWS located on Jimmy's beach recorded a wind gust 88kmph, and it was about this time I gave up on the storms, a strong southerly blowing and anvil junk rapidly filling the skies was enough for me to head home and drown my sorrows.
After about 2 hours and few beers later the wind had disappeared and the radar started popping up a few small cells all over the place.
This was probably the most photogenic storm of the evening, a nice high based storm that threw out some nice bolts at times.
_MG_8514 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_8518 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_8533 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_8546 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: BIG T

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 09:56

nice pics eddy , as per usual.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 10:05

It feels cool in Sydney as well, it's barely moved off the minimum of 18 since marine layer cloud moved in shortly after sunrise. It looks clear South of Sydney, however

My sister in Newcastle sent me a video of yesterday's storm, taken from her back deck. Here's a still:


Lightning
by Steve, on Flickr

The thunder arrived after about a second, suggesting that the strike was about 300 metres distant.

Here's the portion of the video, slowed down for the lightning strike:

https://youtu.be/IxPpYQacRLs


EDIT: if you go swimming in the ocean today, be ready for a chilly surprise. The sea temperature off Sydney is down to 20.65, a drop of nearly 2 degrees in two days and nearly 6 degrees in a week.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 11:35

You're always prepared for a bit of a drop in water temp when the NE was blowing as hard it was but the reality is just so much more disastrous. The coast line is the wrong shape. We need to get rid of that bump. I propose we remove about 50km of coast between Newcastle and South West Rocks.
What say you Eddy? You fine with that?


Perisher Valley was -5.9 this morning. Some decent ground cooling. Enough to get the guns going I reckon!
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 12:44

Lovely colours in those lightning shots eddy. And Steve, that’s a great close CG video. Love that close thunder!
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 16:23

20-21C diurnal range today, very autumnish indeed.
Back to the mid 30s very soon though.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 16:40

Originally Posted By: kizz
You're always prepared for a bit of a drop in water temp when the NE was blowing as hard it was but the reality is just so much more disastrous. The coast line is the wrong shape. We need to get rid of that bump. I propose we remove about 50km of coast between Newcastle and South West Rocks.
What say you Eddy? You fine with that?


Mmm Nup!! grin Unless I have my own private Island out here cool . But I propose we move Sydney and the Blue Mountains a further 500ks east ? Then North Sydney will have all the warm water and then I would like to see how those southerlies would go reaching here!!

20.8c the min and 22.3c the max here today, very winterish!! wink
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 18:24

That Perisher Valley temp was Aus coldest in 10 years for this time of year apparently.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 21:06

What's this all about? Marsfield.

Something coming? Or one of Weatherzone's special quirks? I'm inclined to go with the latter but it is still nice to think an AWS in the north shore is in the offing.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/03/2019 21:42

Those records at Marsfield make fascinating reading.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 09:37

Looked up Marsfield. The only Bureau instrument there is the ceilometer - the other instruments are owned by Macquarie University and don't feed into the Bureau data stream.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 10:32

Ceilometer. Not sure if that is for cloud deck heights or some gyprock tool you can get at the hardware store.

Spent many hours at the original Mac Uni weather station before it made way for the school of management building. Even though I was there a lot and majored in Climatology at the school of earth sciences, I never saw anyone take measurements and had no idea who would.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 10:37

Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Looked up Marsfield. The only Bureau instrument there is the ceilometer - the other instruments are owned by Macquarie University and don't feed into the Bureau data stream.


So no new AWS then? frown

MU have a link to their AWS, but unfortunately it doesn't work.

http://aws.mq.edu.au/
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 11:00

Sunny and partly cloudy this morning, a big improvement on yesterday's (anticyclonic?) gloom. A number of Sydney stations got a bonus addition to yesterday's maximum, including OH: 22.1 --> 23.9.

Sydney's forecast for tomorrow was updated at 9:28. Rainfall totals have been upped to 5-20 mm (4-15 at Penrith) with a possible thunderstorm. A low is expected develop off the South Coast. What happens where will depend upon its exact position.

Meanwhile, the second week of GFS is showing a 100 mm bullseye over Sydney in a fortnight's time.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 11:26

The second week of GFS has been hinting at a cool down and some rain for the past two weeks. Unfortunately it is yet to deliver.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 12:16

That is why extended GFS is a fantasy forecast for me. A US based weather podcast had some scathing comments recently regarding the updated GFS model; not ready for release was the gist of it.

Conversely, I have noticed that over the summer, GFS extended did get the heatwave(s) correct.
Every time Steve777 mentioned it was predicting a rain and/or cool down event, it never happened. It got to the point where, as a heat lover, I thought Steve777 had some quantum observer effect on this and was cheering every time he mentioned it.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 12:59

Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Looked up Marsfield. The only Bureau instrument there is the ceilometer - the other instruments are owned by Macquarie University and don't feed into the Bureau data stream.


So no new AWS then? frown

MU have a link to their AWS, but unfortunately it doesn't work.

http://aws.mq.edu.au/


The North Shore really needs a proper BOM AWS, either on the North Shore line/Pacific Highway or the Northern Line (Pennant Hills Rd). Maybe Hornsby would be realistic... At the moment Terrey Hills is not representative compared to the less exposed inhabited areas further inland, it's too close to the coast, is in no man's land a bit though I accept it's a great place for a radar.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 13:55

Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Looked up Marsfield. The only Bureau instrument there is the ceilometer - the other instruments are owned by Macquarie University and don't feed into the Bureau data stream.


So no new AWS then? frown

MU have a link to their AWS, but unfortunately it doesn't work.

http://aws.mq.edu.au/


To heavily populated there for a AWS, it needs to be in a homestead or small town where the population is less than 20 and also be expected to crack the 50c mark!! poke laugh
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 19:27

Not much talk about tomorrows storm potential?
Worth a thread? could be some severe storm about imo.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 19:48

Well, what can I say? GFS is showing a troughy, Easterly pattern becoming established by the end of next week, with rain, possibly heavy, over much of the State, with heavy falls in the NE inland and the coast North from the Illawarra.

The GFS rainfall prediction is as follows. The 100 mm bullseye over Sydney is now gone:



Of course it might all change. GFS days 9-16 have often shown a switch to Easterlies with rain and cooler conditions during the Summer just past, but the existing pattern with a Tasman High, a weak ridge South of the continent and the Quidge would re-assert itself. Or the cooldown may be shorter and less pronounced, as for Feb 20-23.

Access looks more mixed, more or less a continuation of the current pattern. Meanwhile Weather.com seems to be consistent with GFS, with the SE quarter dominating from the end of next week, with showers, 'rain' and storms:

Weather.com Sydney (will update)

If weather were a democracy, I'd vote for Access.

We shall see.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 20:14

EC is also going for a similar pattern as well, but with less inland rain over NSW, but the Northern Coast looks like it will get hammered.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 20:58

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Not much talk about tomorrows storm potential?
Worth a thread? could be some severe storm about imo.


Keep the camera handy and limit beer consumption so you can drive. Wind shear and instability looking ok, but upper temps are slightly warm and there will be some cloud about.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 21:15

Originally Posted By: lightning chaser
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Not much talk about tomorrows storm potential?
Worth a thread? could be some severe storm about imo.


Keep the camera handy and limit beer consumption so you can drive. Wind shear and instability looking ok, but upper temps are slightly warm and there will be some cloud about.


Yes, where is the like button when you need it? I will pay that one, had a good chuckle grin
Well I have no car at the moment, gear box shat itself. Beer - well I do have a cricket training run after lunch in prep for next weeks GF, no doubt there will be the odd ale consumed. Like you mentioned upper temps are a worry.
One good thing is I may have a dedicated driver tomorrow arvo, if things go to plan storm wise.
Here's hoping anyway and the camera is ready.

Cheers guys.
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 21:24

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Looked up Marsfield. The only Bureau instrument there is the ceilometer - the other instruments are owned by Macquarie University and don't feed into the Bureau data stream.


So no new AWS then? frown

MU have a link to their AWS, but unfortunately it doesn't work.

http://aws.mq.edu.au/


To heavily populated there for a AWS, it needs to be in a homestead or small town where the population is less than 20 and also be expected to crack the 50c mark!! poke laugh
On the subject of BOM's Automatic Weather Stations, a few more of them on the Mid North Coast would be nice!
There are only 4 AWSs on the Mid North Coast. Compared to other coastal forecast districts: Northern Rivers (9 AWSs), Hunter (13 AWSs), Sydney Metro (21 AWSs), Illawarra (9 AWSs), and South Coast (7 AWSs).

It makes for quite a hole in official and live weather observations between Newcastle and Grafton.
I've whited out (well "blued" out) the BOM weather stations within the coastal forecast districts which are manual stations (and not AWSs). The MNC sticks out like a sore thumb for AWS scarcity.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/03/2019 23:12

i dont get our synoptic charts anymore - we seem to have a massive increase in trough depictions in the last year or so - very hard to read and extract information on air flows etc! is it just me? check out the latest from 5pm with four almost parallel and closely spaced. really?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 11:24

Originally Posted By: Seabreeze


It makes for quite a hole in official and live weather observations between Newcastle and Grafton.
I've whited out (well "blued" out) the BOM weather stations within the coastal forecast districts which are manual stations (and not AWSs). The MNC sticks out like a sore thumb for AWS scarcity.


Totally agree, one place that I would love to see an AWS would be Seal Rocks, one would be for tracking southerly, two would be for rainfall and plus its has a very small population too!! laugh
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 11:53

Already hit our forecast of 34C before midday, now it is dropping back a bit.
Still as hot as buggery, and looking like it until mid next week at least.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 12:16

Mostly thick overcast here, 8/8 cloud cover. The cloud rolled in just before sunrise and the temperature's been mostly stuck on 22 since then. The sun tried to break through a little while ago. There's been some rain, but not enough to register.

Not sure about storm chances. There is a massive storm way out to sea SE of Sydney, but nothing on land or near the coast. Maybe something will develop later but it doesn't look likely here. We'll see.

Just saw my first Autumn colours, a tree in Chatswood which is always first to turn, about a month before most other deciduous trees start. The other apparent sign of Autumn is NRLon the front pages, mostly scandals.

EDIT: re the Mid North coast, it does represent a transition zone between temperate (Newcastle Southwards) and subtropical (Northwards from about Port Macquarie). Southerly changes go there to die. They mostly reach Newcastle but fizzle out before Port Macquarie. An AWS or two in that area would be interesting.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 13:28

Need more military bases on the MNC in that case. I've seen lots of new AWSs appear around the country with the (Defence) suffix.

One of those right off days weatherwise here. Gusty southerly to ruin the water activities. Overcast and occasional light drizzle to ruin any other outdoor activities.
The rain has stopped here but everything is now wet. Nuisance wet.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 13:58

With the AWS's, inside the Sydney basin there are also a few gaps given the microclimates. I know the BOM can't put AWS's every few kms but a few more could go a long way.

Parramatta (maybe Parramatta Park?) should have one since the AWS weatherzone uses for Parramatta is at Olympic Park which is always much cooler on summer days. Often it'll be 30-32 at Olympic Park and 38-40 at Parramatta.

But the main areas in the basin that need AWS's are around the northern/northwestern areas such as Kellyville, Castle Hill and Hornsby, as the closest they have there is Terrey Hills on the far east or Richmond to the far west, but nothing between in.


Originally Posted By: kizz

One of those right off days weatherwise here. Gusty southerly to ruin the water activities. Overcast and occasional light drizzle to ruin any other outdoor activities.
The rain has stopped here but everything is now wet. Nuisance wet.


I find those nuisance wet days have their highest frequency in March-June, especially in April.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 14:44

No thunder here but some solid heavy rain under an orange core.
Posted by: lab276

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 15:03

Currently having the kind of weather I've been craving for months. It's mild and overcast with on/off rain, perfect for Autumn.
Posted by: eauetsoleil

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 15:12

Was that a bit of a twist in the BOM wind radar over Dungog (NE of Maitland)?
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 15:23

I am hearing some long deep rumbles out of the cells just north of Cessnock .
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 15:38

Got a lucky lightning strike during the storm on Wednesday courtesy of my dash cam (apologies about the annoying E tag thingy). It's useful for me because I'm too impatient to hold my camera and wait, and it does just as good capturing lightning as my proper camera anyway. Only issue is that it seems to be a fish eye type lens.

Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 16:46

Nice capture WR.

Today was a bit of a 'meh' day in Sydney - gloomy with a couple of passing light showers. All the action was up North.

Anyway, the Satellite shows it set to clear up shortly, although it's still full overcast here. After that, we get a mini heat wave.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 20:24

Nice capture WR.

Well that was a bit of a flop storm wise, the change came trough a little earlier than expected hence why most of the storm activity is in the lower mid north coast.

Not complaining though as we scored 20.1mm with some embedded thunder. Tocal did well with 45mm. Taree had a good storm roll through with some destruction at the rowing club losing their roof.

Bom have a chance of storms for the morning and early afternoon tomorrow for this neck of the woods, but I think they will be for more the mid north coast and further north than here, we shall see.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/03/2019 20:36

42.4mm since 9am, not a bad drop in Maitland as well, after 35C was reached earlier.
Had an afternoon nana nap, but could here the rain outside.
Going for 35C again tomorrow, and up to 37C by Tuesday. Wed the only cool day, before up to the mid 30s again late week.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 07:27

Originally Posted By: EddyG


Well that was a bit of a flop storm wise, the change came trough a little earlier than expected hence why most of the storm activity is in the lower mid north coast.

Not complaining though as we scored 20.1mm with some embedded thunder. Tocal did well with 45mm. Taree had a good storm roll through with some destruction at the rowing club losing their roof.


Yes and no. It got cluttered quickly and was thundery rain by 6:30 pm. I chased with Michael Keene and the early afternoon storms just north of Bulahdelah were throwing out plenty of clear air CGs in all directions many landing 4-10km away. We couldn’t get any closer as the road we were on led into a forest.

After that we drove to Taree, arriving a little after the strongest storm hit there. There was lots of branches down and we saw several police and fire brigades heading to the rowing club. Later storms gave us a few more bolts but again they were in the 4-10 km range. In the daytime that distance looks good visually but is only average on video. In the end I think I only kept footage of two strikes about 4 km away. Michael had similar plus a dozen more distant ones.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 08:53

Fair bit of cloud cover around this morning, after rain yesterday the ground is all still wet.
No chance in hell of reaching the 35C forecast max if it stays around, and that won't be such a terrible thing either.
Posted by: Aussea

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 08:58

There was a lot of tree damage and damage to some structures in Taree resulting from that strong storm lightning chaser reported above. Mostly on the East/NE side of town - including the local Taree Rowing club. I live on the NW side of town and whilst we were battered, we got off a bit more lightly.

I am surprised by the extent of tree damage in the town of Taree.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 18:01

A very late surge has seen us max out at 33C today after 5pm, and still hovering around that.
More akin to summer that is for sure.
Shoulder seasons are a thing of the past as it is.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 18:24

Yh just looking over the numbers in the Hunter we are already on track for a hotter March than last year which is immense. Although fingers crossed for a huge rain event to conjure up for the 'Autumn Break' which was non existent last year.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 19:24

Definitely noticing the shorter days now. Dark when I get up for work and the night closes in earlier and earlier now. We're almost at the equinox and so the rate of change of daylight hours is near the peak.

4 more weeks until we put the clocks back.

Severe tropical cyclone "North East Seabreeze" is absent here tonight as well. Always another sign of the impending regular visits to ski.com.au.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 20:34

After tomorrow the charts are starting to interest me. Im probably exaggerating them from my own desperation for some solid rainfall. But it’s been overall so dry for so long here I’m thinking the shortening days with these soup like SST will create a situation for the atmosphere to precipitate actual rainfall before the dry autumn SW cold fronts start to overun SE AU, un contrary of the last few years.
Plus the sun has just let off the first 2 consecutive solar flares facing earth since mid 2018, due to hit between march 11-15. Always playes with models somewhat.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 23:13

Originally Posted By: kizz
Definitely noticing the shorter days now. Dark when I get up for work and the night closes in earlier and earlier now. We're almost at the equinox and so the rate of change of daylight hours is near the peak.


Yeah I'm noticing the dark mornings especially. DLS is an absolute pain at this time of the year, I hate getting up in the dark. The sunrise on the day before it ends (April 6th) will be 7:10am so basically like mid winter. I reckon DLS should have been over a good couple of weeks ago!!
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 23:33

Well I hate leaving work in the dark. It’s like the day is saying ‘you’ve finished now but there is no daylight left for you’. I’d support a permanent shift to GMT +11!

A few spots of rain not long ago with that band from the SW
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 23:41

Originally Posted By: Jimi
Well I hate leaving work in the dark. It&#146;s like the day is saying &#145;you&#146;ve finished now but there is no daylight left for you&#146;. I&#146;d support a permanent shift to GMT +11!

A few spots of rain not long ago with that band from the SW
I agree. I'd like a permanent shift to GMT+11.

On the shortest day of the year here, instead of a 6:45am sunrise & 4:54pm sunset, it would be a 7:45am sunrise & 5:54pm sunset. Glorious.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/03/2019 23:44

Imagine living in GMT +0 in London though, 8:04am sunrise and a 3:53pm sunset on Dec 22. That's real depressing at least we have decent sunshine hours during our winters bar June.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 02:06

I'd love permanent daylight saving time as well. The 7:10 AM sunrise on April 6th is hardly late anyway. Many major cities around the world have post 8:00 AM sunrises. Even Melbourne has sunrises as late as 7:37 AM.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 03:19

A muggy night it is, still 23.3c at 3.20am dewpoint 21.7c and humidity sitting at 91%.
And fully overcast too, so I doubt it will get much cooler.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 06:11

Seems like today’s min will have been set at 9am yesterday, only just fell below 24c at OH tonight. Urgh...
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 06:24

GMT 11 would be pretty painful for those that live further south such as in Melbourne and Hobart where the sun would come up well after 8am. I also hate leaving work in the dark but I prefer it over leaving home in the dark. Yes I wouldn't like to live somewhere where the days are as short as London in winter, although you'd get used to it I'm sure.

Well Sydney Obs Hill has had a very warm night only dropping to 23.9°C. I was thinking it would be up there with some of the warmer March nights on record, but 9am yesterday was only 21.4°C.
Posted by: Manly

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 06:38

Strong smoke smell here in Manly the morning.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 06:56

Whoops didn't notice there was another page! So I basically repeated what McBobbings said.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 07:34

The weather isn't really giving much hint on the changing season yet, at least near the coast, but the other signs are appearing:

- First hints of Autumn colour, although it will be another month before it gets seriously underway.
- Cicadas: I heard them yesterday for the first time in a while, much quieter than the raucous chorus of just a few weeks ago. It made me realise their absence.
- It's dark at 6:30 AM, even 7:00 AM is pretty gloomy on cloudy days.

- The other signals will rapidly follow:
-- NRL starts in a few days - March 14
-- The equinox a week later: 21 March, 8:58 am AEDT
-- End of Daylight Saving: late this year, April 7.
-- Easter, also late: Sunday April 21

In due course we'll get sub 15 minima, which will predominate in a month's time, then later sub 10. Most maxima will be sub 25 in a few weeks, with sub 20's starting to appear. Actually, on the coast, the temperature signals are quite subtle - eventually you bring out a blanket, a coat or jumper then, some time in May, you might occasionally use a heater. After all, the difference between Summer and Winter in Sydney is only 10 degrees on the coast, 11 or 12 inland.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 10:33

Sydney SST charging back towards 25. And hopefully beyond.

I guess the dip was temporary so as to disappoint the weekend crowds and the nippers etc. Typical.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 16:53

Looks like it’s going to be a bit wet for eastern nsw this week.
Posted by: Rob_S

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 17:12

Originally Posted By: steve777
In due course we'll get sub 15 minima, which will predominate in a month's time, then later sub 10. Most maxima will be sub 25 in a few weeks, with sub 20's starting to appear. Actually, on the coast, the temperature signals are quite subtle - eventually you bring out a blanket, a coat or jumper then, some time in May, you might occasionally use a heater. After all, the difference between Summer and Winter in Sydney is only 10 degrees on the coast, 11 or 12 inland.


The range would be closer to 14c for Penrith during the last few years. March is the last proper month of summer in the Nepean-Hawkesbury. Days and nights are still summer like in terms of temperature and the seabreeze effect across the basin is still in force.

April usually experiences a very pleasant drop off night temperatures but is still warm by day. May is the true transition month out here with the first light frosts and significantly milder days. By this point, maximum temperatures are similar to OH.

By comparison, coastal Sydney's seasonal change is a lot less pronounced and, in some years, OH won't record a sub-10c minimum until July.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 18:05

Originally Posted By: Rob_S
Originally Posted By: steve777
In due course we'll get sub 15 minima, which will predominate in a month's time, then later sub 10. Most maxima will be sub 25 in a few weeks, with sub 20's starting to appear. Actually, on the coast, the temperature signals are quite subtle - eventually you bring out a blanket, a coat or jumper then, some time in May, you might occasionally use a heater. After all, the difference between Summer and Winter in Sydney is only 10 degrees on the coast, 11 or 12 inland.


The range would be closer to 14c for Penrith during the last few years. March is the last proper month of summer in the Nepean-Hawkesbury. Days and nights are still summer like in terms of temperature and the seabreeze effect across the basin is still in force.

April usually experiences a very pleasant drop off night temperatures but is still warm by day. May is the true transition month out here with the first light frosts and significantly milder days. By this point, maximum temperatures are similar to OH.

By comparison, coastal Sydney's seasonal change is a lot less pronounced and, in some years, OH won't record a sub-10c minimum until July.


I can’t recall a June ever not getting to at least a 9c. All time warmest June was 12.5c average in 1967 at OH. I’ve checked every year to 1960 and all June’s between 2018 and 1960 have had at least 3 sub 10c mins, most June’s having at least 1in the first week.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 18:42

The forecast shows a damp but not particularly wet week after a brief heat spike tomorrow. Rainfall totals for Sydney and Penrith, in round figures, are 10-40 mm. That looks like hit or miss storms. Thunderstorms are forecast on 5 of the next 7 days. Threadworthy?

----
Re temperature ranges around Sydney:
- Sydney OH 1981-2019: 13.1 - 23.1 (10.0)
- Richmond 1993-2019: 10.6 - 24.2 (13.6)

----
Re sub 10 at OH, the 'hottest' coldest June minimum was 8.6 in 2014. Every June back to the 80s has dropped below 8 except 2014 which looks like a standout.
Most Mays drop below 10. 2014 and 1988 were exceptions but every other May since the 80s has dropped below 10.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 19:10

Drops like bricks from March onwards round my way; sub-freezing minimums occur most summers, too—particularly in December, which always seems to get below freezing one way or another.

Regarding maximum temps, the heftiest drop of bricks is from March to April; oftentimes by April, the first flakes of snow start to fall, as well as regular sub-10° C maximums. What also sees a hefty drop from March to April is sunshine; notable increase in precipitation, likewise cloud-cover.

Rather petty compared to the drops they receive in the Riverina, however! poke
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 19:31

Originally Posted By: Manly
Strong smoke smell here in Manly the morning.


It was pretty smoky here today too!!

Well looks like a couple of interesting days coming up, maybe as early as tonight, but I reckon it will be a bit of a hit and miss scenario, I suppose it will be something different to talk about!!
Lets hope its interesting.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 20:12

All the comparisons of how Autumn cools down are piss weak compared to a lot of places.

I used to work with a guy from Fort Wayne in Indiana. Summers there are hot. However, he said that mid-Winter in Sydney is the same as mid October for them. All thanks to Canada of course.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 20:20

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Manly
Strong smoke smell here in Manly the morning.



Well looks like a couple of interesting days coming up, maybe as early as tonight,


Tonight?
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 20:30

Yep Homer, according to the updated forecast for tonight, the upoer Hunter has a chance of a thunderstorm. The marine forecast has a chance of a storm as well for the morning.

I suppose it's just a wait and see game now if anything eventuates.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 20:59

I'm so excited to finally be getting the Autumn Break, going by EC most of the state is as well all the way to Cobar. With an easterly flow/upper trough combo. Last Autumn we completely missed a break as well, hopefully it eventuates. Access is also backing this event inland as well grin.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/03/2019 21:17

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Yep Homer, according to the updated forecast for tonight, the upoer Hunter has a chance of a thunderstorm. The marine forecast has a chance of a storm as well for the morning.

I suppose it's just a wait and see game now if anything eventuates.


Cheers, hadn't noticed that. The Sydney forecast was rather benign. Wasn't expecting anything significant close by.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 03:18

Homer, Doesn't look like anything significant happened.

Again a very humid night, current temp 22.3c dewpoint 21.4c and humidity 95%.
A few stars are appearing in the sky, I'm still hoping for some offshore action.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 03:46

Looks like I spoke too soon, some rain appearing in the NW Hunter according to the newy radar.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 11:09

Originally Posted By: kizz
Sydney SST charging back towards 25. And hopefully beyond.

I guess the dip was temporary so as to disappoint the weekend crowds and the nippers etc. Typical.


I don't think I can remember a season where sea water has been such as dogs breakfast. Surf is tolerable one day, and cool the next. Thankfully we have not had a really cold upwelling since before Christmas, but the amount of switching from 19-22C day to day is ridiculous, and that 3C variation is for me the difference between freezing and comfortable.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 12:24

EC still showing a pretty significant rain event MON-TUES next week. A bullseye of 215mm in the next 10 days over wollongong. BOM has something very similar. GFS still not interested at all in either of the upcoming events.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 14:19

Feels much hotter than 34C outside here in Shellharbour. Perhaps the sub 30C days and longer nights of late have deaclimatised me.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 15:10

Southerly has been stuck between Moruya and Ulladulla half the day, it may come with a surge once it finds its feet. Hope to get a wave after work so please wait until 6.30pm.

Lovely convective complex out in Tasman ( well offshore)
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 15:34

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Feels much hotter than 34C outside here in Shellharbour. Perhaps the sub 30C days and longer nights of late have deaclimatised me.

Quite the opposite here I didn't notice it was 34 degrees here in Kensington even though I was outside. I've gone so extreme that 27-28 is the only comfortable temperature indoors for me atm.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 16:26

Wow. BOM have 20-60 mm's for the city on Thursday. That's quite a jump from yesterdays/this mornings forecast.
I think Steve asked whether we should have a thread for this next week of rain, showers and storms. I think it's time, but I'll let one of you more learned people do it.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 17:48

Car thermometer report: 36 degrees around 3:00 PM.

The hottest around Sydney was 36.7 at Penrith. The airport was just behind at 36.5. The sea breeze got to OH just before it could reach 35.

The change passed through Nowra at 5:23PM. It hasn't reached Kiama yet where it's still 30 with a light sea breeze. I expect that the change will reach coastal parts of Sydney around 8:00 PM.
I started a thread for the coming wet and hopefully stormy spell.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/03/2019 18:21

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Car thermometer report: 36 degrees around 3:00 PM.

The hottest around Sydney was 36.7 at Penrith. The airport was just behind at 36.5. The sea breeze got to OH just before it could reach 35.

The change passed through Nowra at 5:23PM. It hasn't reached Kiama yet where it's still 30 with a light sea breeze. I expect that the change will reach coastal parts of Sydney around 8:00 PM.
I started a thread for the coming wet and hopefully stormy spell.


Cheers Steve.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/03/2019 08:42

Driving to work this morning, I've noted quite a lot of trees have started to turn yellow on the leaves, some of them with almost all leaves. I imagine given the gloom and overcast weather for the next week will send a lot of the holdouts into yellow leaves too.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/03/2019 07:23

Originally Posted By: Mcbobbings
Driving to work this morning, I've noted quite a lot of trees have started to turn yellow on the leaves, some of them with almost all leaves. I imagine given the gloom and overcast weather for the next week will send a lot of the holdouts into yellow leaves too.


I think it's to do with heat and/or dry stress causing the trees to turn. It seems way too early for it to be happening naturally.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/03/2019 07:38

We have Chinese Tallow and Silver Birch just starting to turn yellow her as well, but agree it's more to do with moisture stress than anything else.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/03/2019 09:33

Models seem to be going for a warm period starting from next Saturday, then extended cool right out to the end start of April, with both GFS, Access and EC predicting heat to start around friday, then end tuesday. (at least GFS which is the only model that goes that far that I have access to). Bit of rain about, but no major events that I can see, but I didn't look too much in detail.

I also note that more trees have started to turn yellow, with a bit of red about too. These seem to be more genuine than heat stress than anything else.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/03/2019 18:11

Only 25mm from the rain event here over the past few days. So still very much in the grip of drought. Rain totals forecast were yet again overly optimistic. The rain will help stave off what might otherwise have been a disastrous autumn, but it still could be without at least 50mm within the next 3 weeks.

GFS and ACCESS both align on a cold snap early Tuesday next week. Hopefully some good rain falls ahead of the front, but not looking forward to snow/frost that may arrive it its wake.
Posted by: Duane

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/03/2019 19:15

Haven't been on here for a while. Been extremely dry here and still low 30's every day. Everything is brown and dusty here. Not looking good for cropping this year either. If only this rain could fall on the inland areas.
Duane.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/03/2019 19:46

Originally Posted By: Rob G
Only 25mm from the rain event here over the past few days. So still very much in the grip of drought. Rain totals forecast were yet again overly optimistic. The rain will help stave off what might otherwise have been a disastrous autumn, but it still could be without at least 50mm within the next 3 weeks.

GFS and ACCESS both align on a cold snap early Tuesday next week. Hopefully some good rain falls ahead of the front, but not looking forward to snow/frost that may arrive it its wake.

Bugger me, I've just glanced at my long-term Google forecast, and it already shows proper late-autumnal chill...merely in March! shocked eek

Hopefully it will snow for me—early snowfall is always fun. laugh

Looking like a cold, snowy winter ahead for my region; just as I've predicted. smirk
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/03/2019 10:05

Trevor's impact for us will be very interesting in the coming week - assuming he gets across the Cape and re-intensifies into a massive significant TC.

ACCESS not interested and keeps him bubbling away around northern Aus. However EC & GFS have him plowing sw and then S, linking with the first major cold change of the year. This would provide, you'd think and as models suggest, abundant moisture leading to a widespread rain event for many many areas needing it.

The other complicating factor is the potential TC off NW WA which could throw a spanner in the works for Central Aus rainfall but bring much needed rain to Vic!

But - generally - these systems look to be pattern breakers. Very interesting days ahead *hopefully*.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/03/2019 13:14

Back to the mid 30s by the weekend, and on Monday.
It ain't over until the fat lady sings this summer, which could become another extended Indian summer like last year.
Currently Tocal running at 3.5C above average for March, after a brief respite for about 3 or 4 days.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/03/2019 20:41

Forecast's been ***ed-up a little regarding next week's cold snap, it appears. frown

Although knowing this climate, things could easily do a 180° turn within a few days, so I am merrily of the notion that it might not be a bloomin' fizzer.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 06:48

Event is not over here (although I thought it was), there's been 3mm overnight and fair bit a fair bit more to come. The forecast is still over suggesting a possible shower and only a medium chance. I'd say the forecasted will get amended to showers today.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 08:46

Groundhog day here.

Slate grey overcast. Need lights on. Another torrential downpour about to sweep over me.

Over it.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 09:16

A chain of heavy showers is marching Northwards up the coast once again, just touching Sydney's East. Heavy cloud arrived just before dawn. Here, started raining a little while ago.

Looking at the BOM obs, I see that Sydney OH recorded 0.2 mm just before 9:00 AM. With showers ongoing, that will make 10 consecutive days at Sydney OH with measurable rain.

I'm also looking forward to days without rain. Looking at the satellite picture, it does look like this lot will pass soon, hopefully to a similar day to yesterday.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 09:35

Just a bit of drizzle in the early hours this morning, currently its nice and clear with some nice looking clouds sitting just offshore.

Well today the long Indian summer can officially start, hopefully!!
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 11:36

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Event is not over here (although I thought it was), there's been 3mm overnight and fair bit a fair bit more to come. The forecast is still over suggesting a possible shower and only a medium chance. I'd say the forecasted will get amended to showers today.


Yes, caught me out too. Went to bed with moonshine through the window, woke to rain.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 12:26

And there's still a lot of shower activity around and forecast is still just a possible shower.

Apologies about my poorly written post this morning. I'd just woken up, heard the rain and jumped on here to post about it. So I was still half asleep grin
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/03/2019 15:08

Just had a moderate shower here from the south,but on the eastern side of town,only 1/4 km away,
there was a white out and it sounded like a freight train it was so heavy,just missed my gauge.lol.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/03/2019 10:11

Finally a mostly clear sky. Rejoice!
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 08:24

First flakes of the year on the cards for next Saturday, fellas! laugh

https://m.imgur.com/gallery/UDn078f

Strewth! cheers bounce
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 09:05

It's been a cloudy morning here after a warm night. There now seems to be a a clearing edge passing overhead. The cloud basically covers the Southern half of the State. North of Sydney, it would be sunny.

It was a beautiful warm, sunny day yesterday on the Hunter River until some high cloud rolled in during the late afternoon. The countryside, near the river at least, looks nice and green. One thing I noticed - some Jacarandas there are having a small, second blooming. I've noticed that in Sydney in recent past years but not this year. I think that it's an indication of the dryness of the Summer just past.

Here's the view on the Hunter River yesterday morning (Fullerton Cove):

Fullerton Cove by Steve, on Flickr
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 10:51

Thats a really nice pic Steve.

And geez it feels hot this morning as the cloud clears, up to 29 at Albion Park now. The models are showing that the sea breeze will be pretty light so it will be a brilliant beach day.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 11:19

Need a storm fix,watch this from last night.

https://www.facebook.com/supercell1/videos/2336913196329254/
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 11:24

How much did you pick up Stormy, hopefully something you deserve.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 11:39

Nice pic Steve777

4.9mm from last nights thundery rain, that storm also lasted several hours too. Nothing severe about it and at times it was a great light show.
I did manage to take some pics, but they didn't turn out that great, most likely because I was one beer short of about 1000 grin

Anyway here they are.
This one I didn't see happen, I wish I had of seen it as I then could have got the exposure right. (I was probably grabbing another beer)
_MG_9528 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

Then this one didn't land too far away, probably 600-700metres away and it was that bright it just blew the exposure right out, so I upped the F-stop couple of notches.
_MG_9534 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

This one landed even closer. According to lightning maps it was about 400-500 metres away, it didn't land too far away from a road so later on I will take a look to see if I can find what it hit.
And still I couldn't get the exposure right.
_MG_9539 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

In the end it was a bit of a fun night.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 12:07

Thank you WR, Eddy.

And Eddy, those are amazing lightning pics, especially the first.

I encountered the storm on the Freeway last night. It was very lightning active but yes, not that severe, just seemed so on the freeway.

-----

There's a Southerly on the Illawarra and South Coast - it's reached Wattamolla and will be here soon. We don't need it, I'm enjoying the warmth of what might be the last 30 degree day of the season.

-----

Good to see that Gringos got some good rain. And great video Stormy with some nice captures. That close strike really set the dog going. Hopefully you got a decent total from that lot. It sounds like you did.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 13:12

Yes great pics Eddy.

And where did this damn southerly come from!! The models had predicted pretty light winds all day so I did all my studying this morning before I was going to go to the beach. Kicking myself now that I didn't go earlier, everu beach I've been so far is blown out. Meanwhile still a warm 30 degrees at home. I think this "sneaky southerly" will ease as the arvo wears on though.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 13:28

33.0C at Obs Hill is the hottest so far for the Basin (or on the Sydney BOM obs page in fact). Good ol' UHI
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 13:38

ashestoashes,only 16 mms,but GringosRain,SE of me 36 mms,need heaps more then that to run creeks around here and to fill cattle dams that are still dry,sadly.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 13:40

Great video Stormy I had a listen of most of it while I was driving.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 14:22

wonderful satellite pic sequence showing the cyclone cloud dragging down form the northwest to south east.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 16:55

I’m really looking forward to our solid cool down from tomorrow . 😀😀

Just got home from coast but it’s steamy here too, at least it’s showery here and hopefully that will continue overnight. 😁
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 17:40

The radar is showing storm cells forming in/near the Sydney basin, one near Richmond, the other near Liverpool, with more showers moving in from the NW.
Posted by: Perfect Storm

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 18:16

Moderate rain here. Beautiful.

Edit: Borderline heavy. No thunder or lightning.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/03/2019 18:41

Hopefully more NW Cloudbands throughout winter to keep the dials tipping over.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 07:32

Near constant overnight light rain, plenty more on its way by the look of the radar.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 07:57

Bloody gloomy this morning, we're getting to some of the latest sunrises of the year and it really is telling when there's rain and cloud. Daylight savings ends April 7th, so the reset will be soon.
Posted by: ViolentDrizzle

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 09:37

A long and wet commute to Sydney this morning. Rain was quite steady on the M1 with some heavier bursts of convection from time to time. Felt remarkably cool outside but not complaining. Will need to see a decent break in the cloudband to get up to the high 20's this arvo. Dry SW'er tomorrow, should be lovely!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 11:16

Originally Posted By: ViolentDrizzle
Dry SW'er tomorrow, should be lovely!


Welcome ViolentDrizzle, I am also very keen for the low humidity as well.

Got a max of 26 before 6am today and has not gone above that again so far. It was also quite windy.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 11:24

WR how disgusting was last night frown so damn hot & muggy.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 13:26

Originally Posted By: Kino
WR how disgusting was last night frown so damn hot & muggy.


Yeah it sure was, tonight will be like heaven compared to that. I just hope it isn't too windy that I can't have my window open.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 15:26

Chilly and refreshing today—only 9.6° C as of now (3:23 PM); squally showers with low-lying cloud and fog throughout the day. Well and truly autumnal.

Saturday & Sunday's snowfall chance has improved for me, too! laugh

https://m.imgur.com/a/LsdYXI7
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 18:50

Mild to warm and 8/8 overcast in Sydney today after a warm, clammy night. It hasn't rained since mid morning. Falls overnight and early this morning across Sydney came to around 5 mm. Falls were 10 mm+ on much of the Central Tablelands and in a narrow strip Westwards past Broken Hill.

So some rain where it would be appreciated but for Sydney a waste of a perfectly good North Wester.

A clearing edge is appearing on the horizon. The forecast for tomorrow is 'sunny' for the first time in ages, with temps close to the long term March average. The end of the week looks quite Autumnal. The curtain comes down on Summer 2018/19
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 19:33

Another nice storm last night, but not much rain. It was a very lightning active storm but the majority of lightning was cloud to cloud.
Today was just one those horrible days to mow lawns in, sitting on the ride on with persistent light rain that actually felt quite cool whilst moving along.

Anyway I won't bore you guys with anymore lightning shots, but you will have to settle for a moon pic. grin
Taken at 2.15 this morning.
_MG_9713 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 20:32

Lightning shots are never boring.

Nice Moon with halo plus Jupiter Eddy.

It was a nice sunset here after a dull overcast day:

Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 21:29

Copping some moderate rain from this SW change.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/03/2019 22:24

Still waiting for the change frown come on already.
Posted by: ViolentDrizzle

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 08:40

Cheers WR smile

Feast your eyes on this mornings sounding from Sydney Airport. A dramatic change in 24hrs (yesterday in blue). Atmosphere looking exceptionally drier post front (precipitable water value only 12mm) with a cooler boundary layer. Finally feeling like a change of season to me.

Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 11:52

Welcome aboard Violent Drizzle. Interesting chart, a complete flip from yesterday. It's been a beautiful clear, cool sunny morning here, the first sunny day in a while that isn't hot or humid.

That cloud band has shifted North. It's edge is still visible towards the North. The satellite shows a sharp clearing edge extending WNW from Newcastle.

More deciduous trees are showing signs of turning. Autumn displays will be in full swing in a few weeks.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 12:28

Today's weather is nothing short of amazing. It is such a pleasant day, wish I could be outside all day. Certainly by the far the best weather this Autumn I reckon.

It's a bit of a shame that the winds almost always swing S/SEly within a day or two of these post frontal westerly days.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 12:43

Still 6.3° C at High Noon (12:40 PM) after a cold sub-freezing morn' here...with a lovely, dry Westerly gale blowing about.

Agreed WR—lovely weather indeed. smile
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 17:45

6.3 deg's at noon! That's very pleasant!
I'm just enjoying the cooler nights atm.
Looking at a very nice 13 or 14 tonight.

WR, I agree. A gorgeous day today. The lack of humidity was the highlight.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 17:50

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Today's weather is nothing short of amazing. It is such a pleasant day, wish I could be outside all day. Certainly by the far the best weather this Autumn I reckon.

It's a bit of a shame that the winds almost always swing S/SEly within a day or two of these post frontal westerly days.


Got my vote!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 19:38

Yes it's so nice to have low humidity after such a humid summer in general. And looks like another round of dry westerly weather on Sunday.

Wow sub freezing, just how cold did it get down to AA?

Also I suspect it's going to be a pretty chilly night here. I had the window open on the way home and it was already colder in the frost hollow areas. I'm reasonably confident it will drop below 10°C or if not it will be just above that.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 20:15

That SW change really knocked out the humidity here as well the lowest Dewpoint so far this year was recorded this year with 5.7 degrees. Also the sun was really showing its weakening today, it was delightful to stand outside. Hoping the humidity comes back though need to keep the rain momentum going.

This year i'm really hoping for a 'wet' (better than the record lows seen lately) July-Sep will be very annoyed with another winter like last with frost after frost. Don't mind the light rain and cooler days.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 21:28

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Yes it's so nice to have low humidity after such a humid summer in general. And looks like another round of dry westerly weather on Sunday.

Wow sub freezing, just how cold did it get down to AA?

Also I suspect it's going to be a pretty chilly night here. I had the window open on the way home and it was already colder in the frost hollow areas. I'm reasonably confident it will drop below 10°C or if not it will be just above that.

–0.3° C; not much below freezing at that, but still below. Bit of an inversion from the ranges astride Mt. Denison and Mars Hill, I must say (straddling ~1,400 m AMSL).

Of course, pesky gale kept it from plummeting any colder. As for the maximum, 10.9° C was managed; just about reached the forecast 11° C.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/03/2019 22:19

Early days at the moment, but do I see the likely hood of some decent rain coming down that trough line from central Queensland? Fingers crossed for the upper Darling/Barwon rivers.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 15:47

Charleville, on the northern end of the Warrego river is approaching 200mm in 2 days, a flood watch is out, and if it does get a move on (as much as these rivers move) water should eventually move down stream and join the Darling down stream of Bourke. Just don't hold your breath, these rivers have a very small drop along their courses.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 15:52

Anyone having problems with getting on Wunderground? I keeping getting under maintenance, but its been like that for over a week now?

Its been quite a pleasant day here, reasonably warm that easterly breeze.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 18:08

In Sydney, cloud rolled in after 9:00 AM and has stuck around all day, ruining what started out like a rerun of yesterday. Just marine layer I think, soundings still show warm air aloft. There's been no rain. Most of Sydney maxed around 23, with OH spiking to 24 late in the morning, probably during a sunny break.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 19:39

Some amazing falls over the inland border, Longreach radar was just about full for 2 days. The next TC that forms will most likely track further south to give those in W NSW some decent falls, although it may be at least 3-4 weeks til that happens. The SST's off the coast are still pretty warm so a lot of energy yet to be used up.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 19:57

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Anyone having problems with getting on Wunderground? I keeping getting under maintenance, but its been like that for over a week now?

Got to see my PWS in the new format earlier but could not change it from ye olde Fahrenheit and logged out. When I logged back in I got the maintenance message.

So it is the usual mess that has been Wunderground of late.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/03/2019 21:00

Either I have made a mistake, or the BoM is playing silly buggers. When I added up Charleville's two day rainfall earlier today, weather obs said they got close to 200mm, now when I go back and look at it, it only adds up to about 74mm...

Yes I'm aware that this thread is for day to day weather in NSW, but I was hoping some of that elusive rain would head down our way to the Darling.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/03/2019 00:17

Might be mixing up sites; Charleville seems to be on the southeast edge of the heaviest rain. In any case (as previously mentioned on the Queensland thread) the Warrego isn't a significant contributor to Darling flows in anything except the biggest of flood years - the Condamine and the border rivers (and in NSW, the Namoi and Macquarie/Castlereagh) are the main players.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/03/2019 17:53

Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Today's weather is nothing short of amazing. It is such a pleasant day, wish I could be outside all day. Certainly by the far the best weather this Autumn I reckon.

It's a bit of a shame that the winds almost always swing S/SEly within a day or two of these post frontal westerly days.


Got my vote!


Yep the weather the last few days has been very pleasant; cool and sunny with dry winds, although today was a bit warmer. Overnight minimums across Western Sydney have approached close to 10°C; I think Sunday will mark the first sub-10°C across most of Sydney.

Also South Eastern Australia is set for a cold few days too.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/03/2019 18:17

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Today's weather is nothing short of amazing. It is such a pleasant day, wish I could be outside all day. Certainly by the far the best weather this Autumn I reckon.

It's a bit of a shame that the winds almost always swing S/SEly within a day or two of these post frontal westerly days.


Got my vote!


Yep the weather the last few days has been very pleasant; cool and sunny with dry winds, although today was a bit warmer. Overnight minimums across Western Sydney have approached close to 10°C; I think Sunday will mark the first sub-10°C across most of Sydney.

Also South Eastern Australia is set for a cold few days too.


It was still actually quite hot and uncomfortable today working in the full sun.
It's amazing how much sting there still is at this time of year.
As a builder, I'm so glad I'm over the worst of the summer heat.
Those that enjoy the pleasant air-conditioned environment of an office summer, and air-conditioned trips home in cars or public transport, it must be a joy at this time of year.
Posted by: ViolentDrizzle

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 10:01

Agree, summer has been a tough slog. Been finding the cooler mornings of late to be quite refreshing. Nicer sleeping weather too, actually needing the doona now! Our pedestal fan will probably get the boot soon. Tonight’s a bit of a different story though with the approaching fronts dragging some moisture back down from the tropics. A warm day followed by a cloudy/raining night frown .

Looking fairly wet into Saturday morning, maybe some embedded thunderies too before a dry and very gusty westerly change in the arvo clearing out the humidity again. Sunday should be spectacular once the winds ease off.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 11:03

Snow falling above 1,100 m this Saturday in South-Western NSW, on the 30th of bloody March...unusually early for snowfall. smirk

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/snowy.shtml

Well and truly guaranteed snowfall for me, it appears; well above the >1,100 m AMSL altitudinal threshold meself—google forecasts even display snowstorm! laugh

https://m.imgur.com/gallery/vYUl8ho
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 11:52

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Snow falling above 1,100 m this Saturday in South-Western NSW, on the 30th of bloody March...unusually early for snowfall. smirk

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/snowy.shtml

Well and truly guaranteed snowfall for me, it appears; well above the >1,100 m AMSL altitudinal threshold meself—google forecasts even display snowstorm! laugh

https://m.imgur.com/gallery/vYUl8ho


From what I can see going off EC, the coldest air should reach you at around 5pm tomorrow, with 850hpa temp around 0c (GFS showing this height will be around 1450m). Putting the temp at your place around 1-2c. Temps will be pretty marginal but you should see some wet flakes! Looking forward to the updates AA
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 14:09

Those storms are really starting to get going now. 10mm in 10mins in Deniliquin with a gust of 80km/hr. Hopefully these storms start firing ahead of the front later this evening further north
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 17:07

These storms really pop off according to Access-R around 150 degrees East so really the tablelands as the front interacts with a northerly infeed of tropical air, probably from TC Trevor. Hopefully a squall line forms.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/03/2019 18:45

40mm's at Khancoban, 22 mm's at Wagga Wagga. Some decent totals accumulating.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 02:27

Coonamble up to 57mm from a storm line, all of this heading for the Hunter. Gonna be a lot of happy faces up there soon.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 03:20

Sydney radar showing some heavy falls moving towards the coast. Should be some decent totals by 9am.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 06:43

There has been widespread rain over the State overnight. Heaviest falls look to have been in the Upper Hunter and the Central and Southern Tablelands and Slopes. Cassilis in the uppermost Hunter scored the most rain with 121 mm since 9:00.

It started raining in Sydney around 2:00 AM, with falls now totalling around 25 mm at most Sydney sites. There looks to be a lot more to come.

Storm activity is now well out to Sea.

Sydney doesn't need this rain but places that do need rain are getting it this time.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 08:55

Wow, heavy rain overnight, now have 50mm since 9am yesterday.
Did not see this coming.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 08:56

Received a big 49.3mm over here we've really, just looking over the archives i was just under a Red line overnight which hence threw up the big totals. Looks like the hunter scored some dandy totals, Cessnock-Maitland and Upper Hunter scored more than 50mms.
Wonder how much Surly Bond also scored looks like he came under some decent rain as well.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 09:47

Originally Posted By: DerekHV
Wow, heavy rain overnight, now have 50mm since 9am yesterday.
Did not see this coming.



Yep I didn't see this much coming either and happy b'day for the other day too!!

37.2mm so far.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 10:02

The rain's stopped here and it's brightening up. Sydney and Chatswood have both received 31 mm, which is typical for the Sydney area. Bankstown and Prospect both received over 50 mm.

There might be a bit more to come but the main rain band has shifted North.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 10:06

Yes, there sure were some very good totals overnight. The following stations broke their record for the highest 24hr March rainfall total:

Station (years): total

Merriwa (47) 91mm
Scone Ap (21) 66mm
Gunnedah (15) 81mm
Coonabarabran Ap (15) 69mm
Coonamble Ap (19) 94mm
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 10:10

Originally Posted By: kizz
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Anyone having problems with getting on Wunderground? I keeping getting under maintenance, but its been like that for over a week now?

Got to see my PWS in the new format earlier but could not change it from ye olde Fahrenheit and logged out. When I logged back in I got the maintenance message.

So it is the usual mess that has been Wunderground of late.


I still can't see my station online, in fact I can't see anyone's now!!

My only regret with this cheap arse station is that it didn't come with its own software!! crazy
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 11:33

They have made a mess of the individual pws sites. Looks worse than before. The imperial and metric display is all mixed up. The display is rounded to the nearest whole number rather than the decimal.

Appalling. You're not missing much.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 12:20

Originally Posted By: kizz
They have made a mess of the individual pws sites. Looks worse than before. The imperial and metric display is all mixed up. The display is rounded to the nearest whole number rather than the decimal.

Appalling. You're not missing much.


Thanks, it gives me a split second look at the new interface and that is it before it goes to the under maintenance screen.
Trying to sign up with a couple of others.

Rain has pretty well stopped here, 41.4mm. Sun is trying to make an appearance.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 13:15

A clearing edge passed over just now and it's warming up for what looks like a nice warm sunny afternoon. Last night's rain got the river flowing over Lane Cove Weir again.
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 13:46

Heard first thunder of day 20min ago out of a small quick forming cell. Got 32mm this morning as per most of sydney
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 13:53

Originally Posted By: Quagmelson
Heard first thunder of day 20min ago out of a small quick forming cell. Got 32mm this morning as per most of sydney


Why are you not at Rosehill? To many scratchings? grin

Turning out to be a nice afternoon here.

Radar looks interesting on the south coast.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 14:07

Didn't really do that well out of this event - only 16mm to 9am. The main rain bands were to our south and north (as usual). Even so we've had our first above average rain month since Nov last year.

It's turned bitterly cold over the last hour or so. Now on 6 degrees with low cloud/mist and gusty WNW winds. I think I ought to start the fire.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 14:08

Well our nice, sunny afternoon didn't last long. It got cloudy while I was having lunch and I just got a brief, heavy shower with what looks like Winter-style small hail mixed in. That was unexpected. Location: Macquarie Park.

EDIT: no thunder or lightning.
EDIT2: and now the Sun returns.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 15:35

Temp has dropped right back to 18°C now, mostly sunny and blowing a gale. It actually feels like winter here this afternoon.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 15:36

A cold front is passing through Sydney from the West. It's getting quite windy with some chunky clouds about. It's 20 degrees in the outer Western suburbs, 18 at Camden and Campbelltown, just 6 at Mt Boyce.

Still 24-25 in the City and Middle Ring.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 15:57

Cloud is breaking up a little here. Coldest air has passed - temp got down to 4.6, lower than our minimum to 9am (10.8). Amazingly cold for this time of year. It's that hand aching cold you get in westerlies in mid winter. Temperature is now up to 5.9 degrees.
Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 17:30

We had a beautiful 48mm here. These back to back events are very good. Keep them coming. brisk westerly now.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 17:38

Snowing here now
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 17:43

This front has got me excited for winter! Decent snowfalls and settling down to around 1400m in the snowies, with snow falling down to around 1200m throughout the afternoon. Interested to see if Adaminaby Angler had any luck.

7c here now, we would have probably got our first frost tomorrow morning if it wasn't for the wind keeping temps up

Edit: Any pics Rob?
Posted by: Westerly Wind

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 17:47

Great news Rob G to hear you are having some snow now...nice and early in the season. Sadly, as shown on the Sydney radar here in Orange we are a bit too far North of the cold cells moving over the Southern parts of the Central tablelands to receive any form of precipitation.
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 17:57

Originally Posted By: Rob G
Snowing here now


That is a good effort for late March. What would the elevation be there at Porters Retreat?
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 18:01

Originally Posted By: GringosRain
We had a beautiful 48mm here. These back to back events are very good. Keep them coming. brisk westerly now.

That's good to hear mate.
Looks like we've hit 192.6mm for the month here although the PWS seems to have done the maths wrong for some reason it's missing 38.2mm.
Slowly climbing out of the drought, with above average rain every month except February starting from September last year.
From that point we've picked up 847.1mm so in a period of 7 months we've picked up almost the average (868mm).
Hopefully others can see a climb out of drought this year, although with the cooler months we need a couple things like an ECL and NW cloudbands for the Inland.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 18:40

We’re at 1260m. Snow shower started with big wet flakes, then small hail. A few small flakes falling now.
Posted by: Stoxxo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 19:28

Also snowing at Edith south of Oberon at about 1190m, impressive for March!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 19:52

Ditto Black Springs apparently.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:23

Watching the lightning off shore of Ulladulla is quite beautiful, have seen some cool cloud to air’s, almost sprite like strikes!.
My mother thinks I’m crazy I was telling her those storms are actually east of Ulladulla and she said you can’t see lightning that far away haha. I’m trying to explain that we are 500m From the sea and 100m ASL facing south but she can’t comprehend it, owell 😜
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:30

Was most certainly snowing down here, I can tell you that! Lovely, fat flakes indeed. laugh Was out & about driving much of the day; overseeing the yonder snow-laden alps.

However, what shocked me the most was getting the call from my relative at Black Springs-Shooters Hill (who owns the property there—precisely where I was for much of last year at 1,277 m AMSL); snowing up North too!

Never have thought the snow would fall so far northerly this time of year...absolutely unusual. Something tells me this upcoming snow season might be one for the books. smirk

Gotta love the contrast from January til' now!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:33

Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Watching the lightning off shore of Ulladulla is quite beautiful, have seen some cool cloud to air’s, almost sprite like strikes!.
My mother thinks I’m crazy I was telling her those storms are actually east of Ulladulla and she said you can’t see lightning that far away haha. I’m trying to explain that we are 500m From the sea and 100m ASL facing south but she can’t comprehend it, owell 😜


Wow didn't realise that, might need to go and have a look. But it's sooo windy and fairly cold so maybe not lol.
Posted by: Rsav

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:43

I'm at Thredbo till Friday, and it's snowing right now.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:47

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: DerekHV
Wow, heavy rain overnight, now have 50mm since 9am yesterday.
Did not see this coming.



Yep I didn't see this much coming either and happy b'day for the other day too!!

37.2mm so far.


Thanks Eddy.
Glad your getting some rain on the Port Stephens coast as well!
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/03/2019 20:51

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Watching the lightning off shore of Ulladulla is quite beautiful, have seen some cool cloud to air’s, almost sprite like strikes!.
My mother thinks I’m crazy I was telling her those storms are actually east of Ulladulla and she said you can’t see lightning that far away haha. I’m trying to explain that we are 500m From the sea and 100m ASL facing south but she can’t comprehend it, owell 😜


Wow didn't realise that, might need to go and have a look. But it's sooo windy and fairly cold so maybe not lol.

Oh yeah you would have had a prime view WR. Lucky me I can watch with the doors closed but damn it’s a stiff breeze, It’s so cool out tonight I’ll put blankets on the bed it’s been awhile. The lightning’s getting more in frequent at a steady pace now anyway so your not missing much.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 06:58

I was beach fishing at culburra yesterday and can confirm lots of lightning from those storms to the south east. I also saw two funnel clouds between 630 and 640 pm, almost certainly waterspouts but I can’t be certain as the land at currarong was hiding the lower portion and they were probably about 50 km away. Razor sharp edges to the funnels though and the larger one stayed down for a few minutes.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 07:32

35.6mm for the event here brings me to 129.4mm for the month.

With town mean 55 and median 47 and dec9 108, and airport 38/28/64, we are having a special month.

260mm for the year and 443.8mm for the last six months.

Great turnaround up here, green and lush going into winter.

I recall the BoM outlook last year explaining wetter than usual south east - spot on here.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 07:51

Interesting LC. I'd love to see a waterspout.

---

It's quite chilly around Sydney this morning with a few sub-10 minima about, probably the coldest March morning for a decade or more at most / many Sydney sites, e.g:

Sydney OH: 12.5, coldest in March since 2005 (when 12.1)
Bankstown: 9.3, coldest in March and first sub 10 in March since 2008 (when 8.3)
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 08:24

Bit annoyed really, many sites were sitting at around 14c at 10pm when I went to bed, I was hoping that OH might go lower than forecast, but the wind didn’t die down.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 08:50

To get an idea of true coldness I have compared data at Thredbo Top Station where it got down to -4.2°C this morning which is the coldest March temp since 2001 (-5.0 on the 28th). It's also interesting to note Feb 29th 2008 got down to -5.7°C so if it wasn't a leap year it would have been 1st March.

The wind has dropped here this morning but it's a chilly 14°C. Min was 11.6°C which is not the coldest night of the year so far, but that's fairly cool for a windy night even if we were closer to winter.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 09:50

Beautiful morning today. Gusty cold breeze not a cloud in the sky and i think this is the most blue sky I've seen in a long while.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 10:04

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Beautiful morning today. Gusty cold breeze not a cloud in the sky and i think this is the most blue sky I've seen in a long while.


+1 to that. It's sensational, the air is so clear today, can see right up the coast in complete clarity and even the waves are pretty good. I might head out there when it warms up a bit but I think air temp of 15°C is a bit cold to be going swimming even if the water is like a bath.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 10:38

2008 comes up again in terms of records, 31st March 2008 was the coldest March morning on record for Albion Park getting down to 5.0°C. Bellambi's previous coldest night was also on that date, but the 10.9°C there this morning was a record. Shows just how rare strong cold fronts are in March. Nice to see cold records can still be broken and this is not even related to inversions or anything like that, just almost unprecedented March cold.

If the front hit 2 days later it wouldn't be anything special.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 13:50

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
2008 comes up again in terms of records, 31st March 2008 was the coldest March morning on record for Albion Park getting down to 5.0°C. Bellambi's previous coldest night was also on that date, but the 10.9°C there this morning was a record. Shows just how rare strong cold fronts are in March. Nice to see cold records can still be broken and this is not even related to inversions or anything like that, just almost unprecedented March cold.

If the front hit 2 days later it wouldn't be anything special.

F*cken ayyye mate...just imagine if Charlotte Pass were still active. whistle crazy

Scoundrels at BOM must establish an AWS at Charlotte Pass right away—just watch how the records shatter! wink laugh
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 16:07

Looks like a lack of cold fronts on the mainland for next 2 weeks at least.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 16:33

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/synoptic_col.shtml

Well, latest synoptic has a double centred low, one centre at 979mb, at about lat 41.5/42, with a pre-frontal trough, the front then three tightly space troughs? imagine the media coverage if it was sub-tropical, equidistant from "Sydney" lol ...
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 16:52

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
2008 comes up again in terms of records, 31st March 2008 was the coldest March morning on record for Albion Park getting down to 5.0°C. Bellambi's previous coldest night was also on that date, but the 10.9°C there this morning was a record. Shows just how rare strong cold fronts are in March. Nice to see cold records can still be broken and this is not even related to inversions or anything like that, just almost unprecedented March cold.

If the front hit 2 days later it wouldn't be anything special.

F*cken ayyye mate...just imagine if Charlotte Pass were still active. whistle crazy

Scoundrels at BOM must establish an AWS at Charlotte Pass right away—just watch how the records shatter! wink laugh


I agree, Charlotte Pass has most of the Australian monthly cold records, so it would have been useful to keep it open.

Some excellent reports of snow around yesterday, hopefully this early and strong cold front is a good sign of the upcoming winter! Personally I'm hoping for a sub-10 or even 10.something maximum in Western Sydney this winter.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 18:10

23.2c was my maximum here today, it had taken right to 5pm to achieve it when the wind started subsiding around 3pm.
It should be a good night for star gazing, be a bit fresh though!!
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 19:03

Hello friends.
I watch this daily space, sun and earthly weather news on you tube. There channel is called suspicious Observers. Its mainly for earthquake forecasting but it has everything world weather related I love it! Anyway a couple of days ago he said North America’s spring is shaping up to be carbon copy of 2011’s. I wonder if there will be any similarities to our 2011 autumn?
This man has a 75+% correct forecasting average.
Any thoughts on the 2011 idea? We all remember what happened in QLD that year.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 19:28

What happened in 2011? poke I'm flat out trying to remember what happened yesterday!! grin In all honestly I will have to check out the youtube channel tomorrow.

Temp dropping really fast here tonight, currently 15.2c. Could tomorrow morning hit single figures here? would have to go close I reckon.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 19:35

Originally Posted By: EddyG
What happened in 2011?.

The Autumn and Winter were quite cool by recent standards. Later that year, December was one of the coolest on record.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 20:02

Although for both places we were coming off the back of a super La Nina Modoki. Which was significant enough to break records and end the millenium drought. Because it was a La Nina Modoki it affected both places profoundly.
Things are really different this time, we go into this year with the Worst Drought since 1902. Meanwhile America had the wettest winter on record hence they probably could make a claim to 2011, certainly not for us though.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 20:49

Bloody cold today; maximum temp barely managed above 5° C..!! eek

Near-record cold maximum for March since 1984 round here and up Cabramurra-way—an astonishing snow year (perhaps the year of snowfall in Melbourne...or was it 1986?) Either way, it's looking epic!

If memory recalls correctly, the Northern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Granite Belt regional(s) had witnessed some of their most spectacular snowfalls in 1984, as well as a –3.2° C midday reading for Guyra.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 21:26

Only got to 8.2°C here, way below the forecast of 11°C. Horrible day - overcast and blowing a gale from the west all day.

I would say the maximum today is a 1 in 50 or 100 year event. Looking at local weather stations (none of which has a continuous record):

Record lows:
Gurnang State Forest: 10.0°C on Mar 26th 1966 (1933 to 1975)
Oberon town: 11.1°C on March 27th 1984 (1948 to 1919 only 46 years complete)
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 31/03/2019 22:17

Originally Posted By: Rob G
Only got to 8.2°C here, way below the forecast of 11°C. Horrible day - overcast and blowing a gale from the west all day.

I would say the maximum today is a 1 in 50 or 100 year event. Looking at local weather stations (none of which has a continuous record):

Record lows:
Gurnang State Forest: 10.0°C on Mar 26th 1966 (1933 to 1975)
Oberon town: 11.1°C on March 27th 1984
(1948 to 1919 only 46 years complete)

Even better than I had initially thought...yikes.

And it does seem that the forecasts for Porters Retreat, Shooters Hill and so forth tend to be absurdly over-estimated (i.e. over-warmed) oftentimes; they didn't forecast even the slightest hint of snowfall for you Central Tablelanders, yet lo and behold!

Managed up to a petty 4.8° C here at the upper reaches of the property, with a maximum of 5.1° C down along Bugtown Rd—albeit with plentiful sunny breaks; not entirely miserable and overcast.
Posted by: DVC

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 01:29

Just the weather, BoM have been great to date - thank you Blair.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 09:37

Going back far enough, 27 March 1913 is the benchmark event for extreme March cold outbreaks, with snow down to around 700m in the Goulburn area. Not a lot of available temperature observations then.

The Central Tablelands maxima would have looked more impressive on Saturday had the front gone through a couple of hours earlier; Orange, for example, didn't get above 10 degrees after 10am.

Lots of March record low maxima on Saturday in both Victoria and southern NSW but mostly at short-term sites; the handful of 30+ year sites which set records were mostly in northeast Victoria, and an area of the western slopes of NSW stretching from about Cootamundra to Grenfell and West Wyalong.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 09:38

Originally Posted By: Rob G
Only got to 8.2°C here, way below the forecast of 11°C. Horrible day - overcast and blowing a gale from the west all day.

I would say the maximum today is a 1 in 50 or 100 year event. Looking at local weather stations (none of which has a continuous record):

Record lows:
Gurnang State Forest: 10.0°C on Mar 26th 1966 (1933 to 1975)
Oberon town: 11.1°C on March 27th 1984 (1948 to 1919 only 46 years complete)


The daily data from these sites will only go back to 1965. Still an impressive event.
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 11:54

Indeed it was. That said I’m hanging for a reciprocal to our just gone January heat played out with July cold. Imagine a July with maxima 5C below avg over most the entire state. Katoomba average max between 4-5C would potentially see snow on the ground for weeks at a time while the Oberon region would likely remain all white. A reciprocal event would see Thredbo Top with an avg max of -5.1C, meaning the 0C contour for the month would likely reside just as you got up the hill out of Jindy, about the 1200m mark.

What a sight to see such a reciprocal winter to our summer anomalies would be.

I feel I may be waiting a while.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 13:12

The change in seasons is marked by a wetsuit !

Yesterday was the first wetsuit day for this year.

However I am sure there will be a few non-wetsuit days to come yet.

Water temperature - On Saturday at MM beach Port Kembla (which faces NE) it was the warmest water of the year at my estimate of perhaps 23C, but a gale force West Wind made it miserable cold, except when you wiped out - that felt like a warm bath. Sunday at Shellharbour and the water has taken a nose dive to 19C (estimate) and with strong W/SW winds, it felt cold even in wetsuit.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 15:01

What a weird day 21c at 11am, 16c at 12noon and the temp is currently 19c. It has been overcast and drizzly with very light winds.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 19:12

Showers starting to get heavier here now and looking at the radar there should be some good totals alongs the coast by morning, Newcastle have already had 26mm.

Still fresh at 17c. A good night for a roast and a glass or three of Pinot Noir!! grin
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 19:17

Been about 20 minutes of overflowing gutters here.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 21:49

Originally Posted By: Funkyseefunkydo
Been about 20 minutes of overflowing gutters here.

It’s been lovely hasn’t it! On about 15mm here so far today In a heavy shower ATM.
Can see Wambral on a random 56mm so far that’s definitely not an error, I drove through from bateau bay at 4pm and it was so wet. Bring it on 😀
Posted by: Morham

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/04/2019 21:52

Did anyone catch katoombas "feels like" temperature when that cold front hit on saturday?
-4°C

Was anyone in the blue mountains at that moment? I imagine It would have been bone chilling.
Posted by: ViolentDrizzle

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 09:23

The central coast has scored well with these showers! Plenty of 25mm+ between about Williamtown and Terrigal, with sharp drop offs either side. Wamberal Reserve had the highest at 68mm in the 24hrs to 9am.

I'm thinking there was some subtle convergence in the SE stream at play which acted to focus the showers into narrower and heavier bands. At times the radar seemed to have these long "trains" of showers. Haven't considered the SST patterns.

This would have to be a pain for the BOM to forecast, as if this convergence zone moved, say, 50km southwards, Sydney would have copped it all.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 09:34

Originally Posted By: Morham
Did anyone catch katoombas "feels like" temperature when that cold front hit on saturday?
-4°C

Was anyone in the blue mountains at that moment? I imagine It would have been bone chilling.


I was at Hill End, which isn't much lower. Wasn't warm.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 09:39

Originally Posted By: Eigerwand
Indeed it was. That said I’m hanging for a reciprocal to our just gone January heat played out with July cold. Imagine a July with maxima 5C below avg over most the entire state. Katoomba average max between 4-5C would potentially see snow on the ground for weeks at a time while the Oberon region would likely remain all white. A reciprocal event would see Thredbo Top with an avg max of -5.1C, meaning the 0C contour for the month would likely reside just as you got up the hill out of Jindy, about the 1200m mark.

What a sight to see such a reciprocal winter to our summer anomalies would be.

I feel I may be waiting a while.


I feel you might. Perhaps you should be hoping for history to repeat itself; the summer heatwaves of 1939 were followed by the coldest July mean maxima on record for NSW (and Australia), but the NSW anomaly was only -1.8. (Looking at Canberra for that month, it was consistently cold - 16 days out of 25 below 10 - but there were only two days below 7).
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 13:57

Looking ahead

Sunday- Tuesday should be hot, with western sydney getting up to 30c. Following that, the models hint at a cooldown, with the exact timing varying between the dates, EC going for Monday, GFS v3 for Tuesday. Will be cool after that, potentially the first sub 20 maximum for the year. After that, looks to be temps in the low to mid 20s for most of Sydney from about Thursday next week. Right at the end of its run, GFS is hinting at a strong cold front, with 850 temps potentially at -5 or lower. We'll see if that eventuates, if I had a dollar for every time GFS was forecasting something crazy at the end of its run, I'd be able to go on a nice long holiday in the Seychelles.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 14:10

Neat summary McBobbings. Yes, strong cold fronts seem to be off the menu for the time being, with the ridge of high pressure tracking South.This is also allowing troughs to form in the Tasman like the one that now seems to be sitting over the Central Coast and Newcastle.

There were some substantial showers in the Newcastle and Central Coast areas overnight, some over 50 mm. There were lighter showers further South in Sydney and the Illawarra. Chatswood had nothing overnight and has had 1 mm since 9:00.

The satellite and radar shows the showers and cloud moving in from the East but it just seems to be back-building over areas that already have cloud and showers. Here, the cloud's been surprisingly persistent. It seems to be a pattern - sun early then a grey blanket rolls over mid morning and sits there for the rest of the day.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 16:00

Rubbish weather here - too far north for clear skies; too far south for that lovely se'erly stream shower flow. Result = scrappulous grey skies. Bleh.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 17:28

Honestly loving the beautiful light drizzle that's been persistent from 11am, this is what Autumn is about, no annoying freight train westerlies which are often so dry. You can still be out and about with the light drizzle.
Looking forward to the bit of heat coming up Sunday and Monday bit of a mix up in month where the max temps literally fall off a cliff.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 19:30

These guys in the upper Hunter just cannot take a trick.

https://www.nbnnews.com.au/2019/04/02/heavy-rainfall-washes-away-paddocks-in-the-upper-hunter/
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 19:55

Had a minute of small hail at 7:55 and picked up about 12mm in 10 mins. Sharp and heavy, heading to northern beaches now.
Wasn’t aware these showers were tapping in to the cold uppers. I thought they were too low capped?
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 21:26

Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Had a minute of small hail at 7:55 and picked up about 12mm in 10 mins. Sharp and heavy, heading to northern beaches now.
Wasn’t aware these showers were tapping in to the cold uppers. I thought they were too low capped?


Seems like there are some very dry and cold uppers basically off the charts, with an inversion layer on top of it. I would imagine would've created those interesting conditions.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 21:43

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Had a minute of small hail at 7:55 and picked up about 12mm in 10 mins. Sharp and heavy, heading to northern beaches now.
Wasn’t aware these showers were tapping in to the cold uppers. I thought they were too low capped?


Seems like there are some very dry and cold uppers basically off the charts, with an inversion layer on top of it. I would imagine would've created those interesting conditions.


Hey Ash thanks for your input! Makes sense :), I guess I should study more.
Heavy showers on and off for awhile now, a few ks north would be in the thick of it. Still some showers floating around the place.
I wonder how dry it will even get between now and Thursday for the lower hunter coast/north sydney area before the same pattern returns? I say 14 continuous non rain hours? 😜
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/04/2019 22:28

Originally Posted By: Kino
Rubbish weather here - too far north for clear skies; too far south for that lovely se'erly stream shower flow. Result = scrappulous grey skies. Bleh.


It was such nice weather until somewhere in the early afternoon. 12:30 was completely clear and by the time I made it back outside around 3pm it was completely cloudy.
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 07:07

Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Originally Posted By: Eigerwand
Indeed it was. That said I’m hanging for a reciprocal to our just gone January heat played out with July cold. Imagine a July with maxima 5C below avg over most the entire state. Katoomba average max between 4-5C would potentially see snow on the ground for weeks at a time while the Oberon region would likely remain all white. A reciprocal event would see Thredbo Top with an avg max of -5.1C, meaning the 0C contour for the month would likely reside just as you got up the hill out of Jindy, about the 1200m mark.

What a sight to see such a reciprocal winter to our summer anomalies would be.

I feel I may be waiting a while.


I feel you might. Perhaps you should be hoping for history to repeat itself; the summer heatwaves of 1939 were followed by the coldest July mean maxima on record for NSW (and Australia), but the NSW anomaly was only -1.8. (Looking at Canberra for that month, it was consistently cold - 16 days out of 25 below 10 - but there were only two days below 7).


Imagine that must have led to a bit of extra ‘snow on ground’ time for the areas of elevation outside the Snowies. I remember the great front of May 2000 lead to a true feeling of ‘winter’ up in the Blue Mountains. I think the temp didn’t go above 5C for about 4 days and there were patches of snow lingering on Katoomba golf course four days after the initial dump, and distinct areas of white out towards Hampton-Jenolan clearly visible from Narrow Neck. 2000 was the last really good winter I can remember (I was away for most 2007), think there were about 4 fronts that came through that winter beginning with the one in May which were significant enough to give us snow on ground in the Blue Mountains. The other snow hotspots all did really well that year too from memory.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:02

Very thick fog getting funnelled down the harbour at the moment. Harbour Bridge and Opera House completely enveloped.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:03

Just catching the train towards the city, passing Riverwood and absolutely enveloped by fog been sometime since and Autumn Fog.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:12

Here's a picture of the fog Kizz mentions. In this view you normally see the Harbour Bridge and the Opera House.



Bright and sunny here above the fog.Hopefully no 9 O'Clock cloud band to spoil it this time.

---

Re May 2000, Maxima for 27th - 31st:

Katoomba: 9.2, 3.0, 3.5, 3.2, 7.6. Average May = 13.2, June = 10.1
Bankstown: 19.8, 13.7, 14.1, 13.3, 15.9. Average May = 20.6, June = 17.8.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:48

Getting thicker and expanding now. Lots of horns sounding out on the water now.

Some large spiders attacking people and huge tentacles coming out of the mist and grabbing people ....
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:53

The fog's moving in here now. I don't normally get fog here, it tends to stick to the Harbour and valleys.

No spiders or tentacles though.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 08:59

Originally Posted By: kizz
Lots of horns sounding out on the water now.


Captain on our last cruise kept saying it was the ship's whistle you could here everybody else was calling it a horn/fog horn as we were in thick fog near Greenland and it would sound approximately every 3 minutes and went on for hours. Fog horns belong on land.
To get back on topic very thick fog in Canberra/Tuggeranong this morning cleared now ad it was forecast probably cause of the cold temperatures and a fair bit of moisture around after all the rain last week (approx 46mm here which was very welcome)
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 09:06

Whistle. Horn. Toot.

Henceforth I shall call it a mini-horn. poke
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/04/2019 23:04

What a gorgeous day in the ‘Gong! Bring on the rain tomorrow.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 07:22

Whoa look at the heavy rain moving up the coast, I didn't expect anything like that.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 08:02

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Whoa look at the heavy rain moving up the coast, I didn't expect anything like that.


Thought I caught a flash out of the corner of my eye on the way to work, and yes a couple on tracker just offshore Kiama. Starting moderate rain in Shellharbour just now.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 09:48

Yeah steady moderate rain here now - beautiful! Weird that we're getting it first but I'll take it.

Seems that the southerly arrived much earlier than forecast - not a breath of wind though, but good steady rain right now. Heavier stuff to the south and slowly creeping up. Should see 20mm I'm hoping.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 10:35

Still raining - some heavy falls now interspersed within the moderate stuff. Looks like more coming too.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 11:40

Those showers are moving into Sydney's South now, with cells popping up in Sydney's West ahead of the main front. There are more showers way out to sea. There doesn't appear to be any lightning with the showers.

It was sunny with some interesting cloudscapes about a little while ago, especially to the East. I was going to take a picture of a photogenic cauliflower tower - got my phone out, brought up the camera, adjusted the zoom, pointed it at the sky and found that a bank of strato-crapulus had moved in front of it. Such is life.

The low cloud has since multiplied and it looks like it's here to stay. It's also getting a bit windy and cooling down. No rain yet, however.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 13:05

The shower blobs is slowly creeping it's way along to the middle ring, I have also seen some very dark clouds at it as well.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 13:36

It's also warm and muggy, not cool like I expected. Happy b'day Ashes!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 14:02

Yes it got quite dark to the SE. It's just started raining, starting to get heavy.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 14:33

Teaming down here at rates well over 100mm/h!!!
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 15:00

We are stuck under the rain train in Lane Cove! eek
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 15:12

Chatswood, not far from me or CS22, has picked up 14 mm, which would have fallen in the last hour or so. Other sites on the lower North Shore and Manly area have had over 10 mm.

It's brightened up here and has stopped raining.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 15:30

It was quite heavy in Macquarie Park, probably similar to what you guys in Lane Cove had. Almost all over now. Nice little surprise!
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 15:35

About 30 minutes of steady rain here which was at times very heavy.
Probably about 4 or 5 mm's. Look's as though it will end soon.
Temp dropped 3 degrees as well to 17.8.
Beautiful.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 16:09

Montague Island has picked a quick fire 40mm over last 90mins or so. Always encouraging in my area to see stuff to your south (as long its not a stream from NE), means the Illawarra is in with a shot for more this evening/tonight. May just be some good, but well scattered totals over next 12 hours.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 17:01

We've had 30.8mm here since 9AM!

Chatswood in the east and North Ryde to the west both missed the heaviest that train had to offer. I recorded a peak rate of 180mm/h.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 17:46

No rain here as yet!!

But there was some half decent structure about this morning.

When I first spotted this cell I was mowing a lawn and I should have stopped there and then to take a pic but I pushed through and drove a few minutes to the beach to capture this pic below. Had Ive taken this pic when I should have, one I would have been able to fit it all in the one pic and two it was ten times better looking than what you see here.
_MG_9870 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:13

Absolutely beautiful pic Eddy!
Posted by: chapo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:19

7 News just reported a waterspout off the coast of Cronulla
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:41

Some really decent heavy showers pushing through the metro atm.
Young Bart is going to get drenched at football training tonight.
Re football, I mean the round ball game, not egg ball.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:42

Fantastic photo Eddy, that's a very nice cloudform!

It looks like a few heavy showers are moving from the coast into the Western suburbs.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:48

Some really spectacular cloud formation overhead atm.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 18:49

These heavy showers must be cumulus congestus clouds hence why there doesn't seem to be any lightning; something is preventing them from growing further.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 19:11

Thanks Guys. Still grey and overcast here but no precip.

Looks like the Newy radar has gone on the blink!!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 20:36

Absolutely hammering down here atm!
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 20:39

Just about to post the same! Massive fat drops loving it! Already 25mm well over the forecast 5-10mm!
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 22:45

Mad Pic Eddy! Thanks for the wishes. The rain has mostly missed us here.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/04/2019 22:49

While everyone is chatting about the potential TC’s for WA, how about this potential ECL / Tasman Low for us! Check out the fetch of those southerlies and those uppers!



Long way out but worth watching!
Posted by: Quagmelson

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 14:27

Ol fashioned deluge in Glenorie, quickfire 7.5mm in 10mins under red on radar, no thunder
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 15:38

Surprised no one has mentioned the savage cold change due next week. May even deserve its own thread with snow a potential on higher peaks. 
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 17:04

Originally Posted By: Kino
Surprised no one has mentioned the savage cold change due next week. May even deserve its own thread with snow a potential on higher peaks. 


The one due on Tuesday? MSLP chart doesn't seem to indicate a sustained SW'ly airflow in the wake of the front and hints at winds quickly swinging S'ly and becoming variable. At this time of year I don't think that will result in particularly cold conditions, unlike like the one that came through weekend before last. Still, could improve between now and then as was the case with the last front.

The cold front currently visible on the satellite deep in the Southern Ocean looks like a bit of a monster. Fingers crossed one like that slips north soon.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 17:22

The front next week doesn't look that interesting to me, stock standard for the time of year really.
Posted by: Rainbow Spirit

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 17:45

A quick fire downpour here, gone in a 10 minutes.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 19:06

It was mostly overcast today with a couple of sunny breaks. It must have been sunnier at Sydney OH where it reached its forecast 24. The rain mostly stayed away but I got caught in a shower just now.

That front for Tuesday looks like it will bring some snow to the Alps but the winds will quickly turn Southerly, so it will mostly just deliver more mild, overcast, showery weather to the coast.

Looking forward to some sun and warmth over the next few days. It's a long weekend coming up: 49 hours.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 05/04/2019 20:45

Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
The front next week doesn't look that interesting to me, stock standard for the time of year really.

Yes stock standard but something about it reminds me of the mundane April 99 setup.
I Had to drive a client to royal price alburt hospital today, noticed all the water seeping throughout the sandstone in the lane cove tunnel area. Must have been quiet the downpour yesterday.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 09:48

Looks like a few 30C days coming up, starting today, then returning to very mild weather again.
Certainly nothing like last year's 1st half of April, and back to a more shoulder season like pattern - which is great.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 09:55

Looks like a bit of human input in the 9.39 am updated Sydney forecast.

Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight (30%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the far west during the afternoon and early evening, possibly extending across the basin. Northerly winds about 10 km/h tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h near the coast.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 10:14

Yeah Homer, I was just looking at stormcast and was thinking storms are a possibility than I looked at the forecast and saw the update as well!!

As for the front next week, I don't think it will even get the mullet to run.

After all this recent rain, the mosquitos here are in there millions and I have even seen the odd Hexham grey too!! Already gone through a couple of bottles of Bushmans.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 10:19

The bulk of the instability seems to be right along the coastal fringe. Pretty decent CAPE and LI. Looking forward to seeing how it pans out
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 19:47

Well it never ever looked like a storm would develop up this way, not even close.

Just an all round beautiful Autumn day.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 19:55

A beautiful day today with what is probably the last of the Summer wine over the next few days. Probably Sydney's last 30+ day until Spring next Monday.

Tuesday's front seems to have been wound right back, now it's just a few flakes in the Alps before quickly ridging across. Several days of cloud and showers on the coast, nothing inland. The models hint at a better front early the following week.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 22:02

Originally Posted By: Steve777
A beautiful day today with what is probably the last of the Summer wine over the next few days. Probably Sydney's last 30+ day until Spring next Monday.

Tuesday's front seems to have been wound right back, now it's just a few flakes in the Alps before quickly ridging across. Several days of cloud and showers on the coast, nothing inland. The models hint at a better front early the following week.



Only Tuesday is forecasted to get some rain here while I notice Sydney has it til Thursday. But I would not be surprised if there was no rain at all in this area. Sydney has a better chance but I reckon only Tuesday will rain. This is the type of setup where Eddy may get heaps of rain but nowhere else gets much.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 06/04/2019 23:33

Since the storm season's almost certainly over (happy to be proven wrong), here's the rest of my lightning footage from this season.

Hoping to get a new video camera before next season, researching options for 4K video like Fuji XT3, Nikon Z6. Perhaps something even better will be released soon (A7Siii perhaps??)

https://youtu.be/o29RH5NOViU
Posted by: AnnerleyX1

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 02:45

Must have been quite a storm in Woolbrook today... 930mm of rain apparently! That should green things up nicely poke
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 02:47

Haha.
Just noticed that myself.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 09:18

Originally Posted By: lightning chaser
Since the storm season's almost certainly over (happy to be proven wrong), here's the rest of my lightning footage from this season.

Hoping to get a new video camera before next season, researching options for 4K video like Fuji XT3, Nikon Z6. Perhaps something even better will be released soon (A7Siii perhaps??)

https://youtu.be/o29RH5NOViU


Nice little vid and yeah hopefully we can manage one more storm before winter.

Ive probably asked this question before, what camera are you currently using? Your slow mo looks good.
I just looked at the A7Siii 4K @ 60fps and 1080 @ 240fps, I would be happy with 1080 @ 240fps.

A nice looking day outside again.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 10:46

Yes, great lightning video LC. I especially liked the loop around 1:03. Some impressive captures.

I had a look at my storm spreadsheet. In the last season, I had a storm on April 29 (cold pool moves up the coast). There were four more events after that: May 30 (including small hail) and June 6, 19 and 26, the June events being more 'thundery rain' than storms. Then nothing, not even much rain, until September.

To finish 2016-17, there were events on April 26, May 24 (very loud 'inversion thunder') and June 7.

So the main season is over, but maybe there's a bit more to come.

P.S. my storms for 2018-19 to date, at or near home unless otherwise stated:

Code:
September: 7, 26, 28
October:   10, 17, 18, 20
November:  2, 28
December:  13, 14, 15, 19, 20, 31
January:   5, 13, 27
February:  8
March:     6, 14, 23 (Somersby), 30 (small hail)

To count as a storm, need rain plus at least one of visible lightning, audible thunder or hail. A distant light show noted but not counted. Distant rumbles not counted.
Posted by: lightning chaser

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 11:37

Eddy I’m currently using Sony HDR - AX2000. It was a pro level camcorder but it’s about 9 years old and very outdated. Basically 1080P and 25 frames / second. Data rates only 28 megabits per second. Built in ND filters and manual iris / focus have been handy though.

Panasonic HC - X1GC is a modern 4K equivalent which I’m also considering.

I’ve also recently bought a GoPro 7 black. The wide angle lens does a great job of making bolts 3 km away look distant!
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 15:06

The valley effect in full force this afternoon.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 17:37

With Daylight saving done looks like the gloomy winter finally sets in with early sunsets.
Nice vid LC.

That an interesting count Steve it seems we pulled a barely above average storm season accounting for the Sep-Mar period. The average by my calculations is 18.4 and we pulled 22 days from your count. That kind of says something by our severely lowered standards.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 18:31

Golly the clock only changed this am and already we’re plunging headlong into darkness frown bring on the winter gloom, only hope it’s a wet and wild ECL pack one, or some decent snow chases.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 18:59

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
The average by my calculations is 18.4 and we pulled 22 days from your count. That kind of says something by our severely lowered standards.


100% accurate; I've counted a similar number of storms in Parramatta and it is only slightly above average. I guess our low standards from the previous few years has meant that we enjoyed this storm season more which is a good thing.

And yeah Kino I'm also hoping for some interesting winter weather, I like really hot summers and really cold winters to balance.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 19:16

Meanwhile I can't wait to not have to wake up in the dark tomorrow morning!
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 07/04/2019 21:19

Originally Posted By: Steve777
To finish 2016-17, there were events on April 26, May 24 (very loud 'inversion thunder') and June 7.


Nice detail. I think the entire of Sydney remembers being woken up by the sound of the world ending that morning in May. The only time I've ever heard thunder like it.

As for the end of the storm season, we're about to have the 20th anniversary of a not-insignificant hailstorm. wink
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/04/2019 11:32

Originally Posted By: lightning chaser
Eddy I’m currently using Sony HDR - AX2000. It was a pro level camcorder but it’s about 9 years old and very outdated. Basically 1080P and 25 frames / second. Data rates only 28 megabits per second. Built in ND filters and manual iris / focus have been handy though.

Panasonic HC - X1GC is a modern 4K equivalent which I’m also considering.

I’ve also recently bought a GoPro 7 black. The wide angle lens does a great job of making bolts 3 km away look distant!


Mr Pecos Hank on YouTube (best lightning I have seen) uses a global shutter Black Magic for lightning.

Know what you mean about the Gopro, this is the reason I have stayed away from them, just too much wide angle.

Great clip by the way.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/04/2019 15:31

Yh Pecos Hank is also a personal favourite of mine. I wonder what he'd make Australian Storms look like if he ever comes down here. After America we have some of the most dynamic storms in the world, I can claim.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 08/04/2019 15:41

Probably the last hot day of the season near the coast today, reaching 32 in the City and nearly 35 at the Airport. The NW'er has been battling the sea breeze at OH for a few hours now, with Easterlies at Fort Denison while the flags on the Bridge show a brisk NW'er.

Most of Sydney reached 33-34, with a thin layer of alto cumulus likely taking the edge off the heat. The hottest in the State looks to have been 36 at Bourke.

The Southerly change looks likely to arrive in Sydney mid morning tomorrow, after another warm night. After that it's a cooldown for a couple of days, then not much of anything for a while. Storm chances for tomorrow look promising, but they might be better in the Hunter with a later Southerly.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 12:20

The Southerly passed through Point Perpendicular around 11:15. Seems to be just arriving at Kiama. It's a bit later than expected.

It's cloudy now after a sunny start. I had a few drops of rain on the windscreen. Sydney sites have reached 27-28. The Hunter Valley under sunshine is as hot or hotter than yesterday.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 14:39

Southerly now through the airport and heading up towards Bankstown and Homebush.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 14:59

The change is just arriving in Artarmon.

Some lightning-active storms passed through the Hunter earlier (mentioned by Stormy on the Autumn thread). They're now out to sea. Cells are also developing just off Sydney's coast but are rapidly moving off to the East.

The change is dropping temps by about 4 degrees, maybe eventually by 7 degrees judging by the Illawarra.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 17:11

No real action here today, storms have evaded me here, but it did provide some ok structure.
A well defined Rain/Hail shaft.

_MG_9972 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 17:24

Unbelievable photo mate,big cumulus passing over me here then intencifying into storms as they move further east.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 17:57

Could really feel the chill now with this wind.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 19:25

EddyG one of your best yet!

I could smoke a fat one and stare at that for hours.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 19:30

Yes Eddy that picture is amazing.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 19:31

Originally Posted By: kizz
EddyG one of your best yet!

I could smoke a fat one and stare at that for hours.


I agree.
That photo is amazing!!

BTW, Geez this cool down is nice this evening.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 19:58

Originally Posted By: kizz
EddyG one of your best yet!

I could smoke a fat one and stare at that for hours.


Haha, glad you like it!!

And thanks to everyone else for the comments too!!

Not much in the way of precip here, just 0.6mm. And not much in the way of storm activity either believe it or not, just the odd rumble from that cell offshore. Change has come through in the last hour or so, some strong winds closer to the beach with a local PWS recording a gust of nearly 80kmph.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 20:15

That's a magnificent rainshaft; looks very close! And I love the effect of the rainbow through it too.

It looks like cool nights are on the way with possibly the next few nights falling below 10°C; also yesterday's 33°C was very pleasant because it was so dry.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 20:33

Another pic take just a couple of minutes early. I didn't quite get the exposure right on this one, but goes to show the core in its entirety.
_MG_9947 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 09/04/2019 20:37

Amazing pics Eddy!

What's interesting was that even with the southerly in full force at 5pm the mozzies still found a way to attack me. That's with my area being a ross river virus outbreak region. What's also interesting is the amount of slugs moving throughout in the night.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 08:28

Had a bit of light frost on my neighbors car this morning. Which is the first this year. Dipped to 7.0C at campbelltown AWS. Lovely morning for a cup of coffee.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 08:45

Surprisingly it wasn't that cold here overnight with the minimum being 19c, currently its 20.4c.
Wind has eased somewhat and there appears to be a few drizzly patches about.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 12:25

This morning.

Perisher -6.2.
Thredders Top -4.6.
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 12:46

Originally Posted By: Sidney
Had a bit of light frost on my neighbors car this morning. Which is the first this year. Dipped to 7.0C at campbelltown AWS. Lovely morning for a cup of coffee.


Frost? That is very surprising. Do you live in a frost hollow? I know we are in one at West Ryde as we are surrounded by hills on all sides, but I've never recorded a frost earlier than late May in 10 years of record keeping.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 14:13

That's interesting that you guys dipped so low in that area, usually we take the cake but the recent rainfall has probably shifted that dynamic.
Last year it was very dry so we were able to record a frost in April.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 19:40

Already down to 12°C here so it will be cold tonight. Also this morning at 6:30 it was 11.9°C at Albion Park with a dew point of 6.6 and 70%. I got in the car at 6:45 and there was a dew, not particularly heavy but still some effort to clear the windscreen as I was driving. So I reckon it could have got close to 100% humidity at my house and based on that dew point reading, it may have been as low as 7°C here.
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 21:07

Right place, right time, Great shots there Eddie.
The following shot was taken on a flight back from the sunshine coast this arvo of a decaying storm near Toowoomba, sure beats a clear blue sky at this time of the year.


20190410_162805 by Con Marathos, on Flickr
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 21:12

Looks like bloody Antarctica, ConM^
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 21:16

What a fantastic photo Con!!
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 21:22

Wow that is absolutely unreal. Imagine the amount of amazing cloud formations you would see as a pilot, would be an amazing job in that regard.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 10/04/2019 22:57

Awesome pic ConM!!

Coldest morning since last October here this morning with a low of 2.2, but no frost. Already down to 3.2 tonight, so should get our first frost of the year tomorrow morning if the wind and cloud stays away!
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 07:18

Great top view of a storm ConM.

----
It's a bit chilly around Sydney this morning. Cloud rolled in over the coast around 4:00 today, halting the drop in temperatures there. Even so, Sydney OH got down to 12.2, the coldest since November 8 and colder than all but one minimum in April last year. Inland, outer West sites dropped into single figures with Camden and Campbelltown dropping below 7.
Posted by: Longys

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 08:01

Hopefully the cloud clears away soon. Today feels like it has the potential to remain below the forecast maximum of 22 with this cloud cover restricting any heating.
Posted by: ConM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 09:46

Thanks for the comments everyone, much appreciated.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 11:50

First frost of the year, and first since last October. Had a low of 0.3c
Posted by: Mcbobbings

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 11:51

Let's look forward towards Easter. EC, GFS and GEM going for a bit of a ripper cold front passing SW WA and into Adelaide over Easter Friday- Sunday, at which point EC and GEM don't have model runs yet, and GFS sends it further down towards the south, missing us. Fingers crossed it follows EC's trend which could have it hitting SE Australia. The front actually has a potential to produce snow in the SW, with 850 temps of around -2 over the Stirling Ranges. One to follow.

Before that there is nothing really too interesting for us that I can see, it is just slightly warmer than average temps over easter, except maybe Easter Saturday according to Access, which might have high 20s for the western suburbs over Easter.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 11/04/2019 22:50

Extremely boring weather for the next week. Roll on June.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 06:55

Oh yay the dreaded thin StratoCu is back in full force this morning. There's bits of blue sky through it but hard to say if it will actually burn off or just stay cloudy like yesterday.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 07:50

No way it has almost completely cleared already. A beautiful sunny day now smile
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 08:41

Pretty much full cover of stratocrapulus here. I had a vague hope that it would be clear and sunny today as it cleared up late yesterday.

But no, the crap has rolled back in to ruin the morning.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 12:45

What an absolute useless waste of a day weather wise. sick
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 15:17

At least it is mostly sunny now. Where I am at least.

The slow warm up over the next week and a bit gives me some solace.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 15:44

It's truned into a not so bad afternoon thankfully.

I much prefer afternoon as my balcony garden faces NW and needs a much sun as it can get!

Wow, they have really butchered the WU site I see, not a fan of the new layout at all, some areas are metric some imperial with no option to change it seems. Not sure the rapid fire is still offered? it really needed an overhaul, but right now it seems worse than it was...
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 12/04/2019 19:31

Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22


Wow, they have really butchered the WU site I see, not a fan of the new layout at all, some areas are metric some imperial with no option to change it seems. Not sure the rapid fire is still offered? it really needed an overhaul, but right now it seems worse than it was...


Tell me about it!! No decimal point in the temperature but rainfall will go to the 2nd decimal point, go figure pardon the pun!!
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/04/2019 13:26

Can you really get a more perfect Autumn Day than today. Temperatures hovering around 25, an absolute lack of wind and perfectly clear skies.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 13/04/2019 14:14

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
Can you really get a more perfect Autumn Day than today. Temperatures hovering around 25, an absolute lack of wind and perfectly clear skies.


It is very pleasant this afternoon.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 08:15

Sneaky heavy shower around 3am here with what appeared to be a shortwave trough pushing through.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 14:52

Been getting brief but heavy showers here since mid-day,straight from the south.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 15:03

Brief showers here too, but very little in it (in fact nothing registered at Maitland Airport).
SSE winds and only 22C right now.
Still above the average for April so far, can't remember the last time April was below average for the month, it would have to be over a decade ago.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 16:16

Interesting.

Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 16:38

Some good solid downpours here today, even had some very small scattered hail too.
Have heard some reports of a waterspout or two about today.

20.1mm today.
Posted by: Stormy3

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 17:08

Yes EddyG,I was watching some red areas on the radar ealier pass right over you,some would have thunder.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 14/04/2019 17:22

It was overcast early but the cloud broke up mid-morning to a mostly sunny, coolish day. Sydney OH spiked to 24 around 2:00 PM but most Sydney locations maxed at 22-23. There were some interesting, bubbly cloud formations about in the middle of the day, especially to the North, but no rain.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/04/2019 10:46

Originally Posted By: EddyG
Some good solid downpours here today, even had some very small scattered hail too.
Have heard some reports of a waterspout or two about today.

20.1mm today.


Not surprised about the waterspout reports. I was watching the ocean here early AM as it had that look, but nothing and the beefier CU cleared NE towards your area.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/04/2019 18:32

Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Some good solid downpours here today, even had some very small scattered hail too.
Have heard some reports of a waterspout or two about today.

20.1mm today.


Not surprised about the waterspout reports. I was watching the ocean here early AM as it had that look, but nothing and the beefier CU cleared NE towards your area.


Yep I did spy one this morning as I was crossing the bridge, but it was a long way out to sea, I thought about turning around as I had my camera with me but I didn't have my zoom lens which was needed.
But in saying that I did waste a quite a few hours at the beach after lunch trying to spot one, needless to say not much work got done today!!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 15/04/2019 19:06

A couple of pics of todays clouds late this evening, was hoping to spot a spout or two but not to be. I did see plenty of little lowerings that had the potential.
_MG_0007 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
20 minutes later
_MG_0300 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/04/2019 11:19

Nice pictures Eddy. The rain is around again today, in the Lake Macquarie area with scattered calls further North.

In Sydney, there's been no rain for a while - 9 days at OH, the longest dry spell there since mid February. We've had some cloudy days, though. Today is typical - sunny start then cloud rolls in mid morning.

April in Sydney at the mid point is tracking dry and a little warmer than average:

Sydney OH:
Min Max : 15.8 - 24.6 (-0.2 - +0.8)
Rainfall: 11 mm (9% of April monthly average)

Bankstown:
Min Max : 13.4 - 25.5 (-0.3 - +1.0)
Rainfall: 9 mm (11% of April monthly average)

Average temps for the first half of April have been computed as 25% March + 75% April. 1981-2010 average temps have been used for OH.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/04/2019 12:44

I have a great view to the east and from quite high. Seen a couple of spouts today but they have been quite far off the coast.
They are Schrödinger spouts; when I go to type an alert on this forum they dissipate.

The Weather Underground PWS network still has the old view available. My site is https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?id=INEWSOUT344#history.
Insert the site id you wish to see to get rapid fire and sensible metric values with correct decimal places.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/04/2019 18:50

WA's getting all the fun, it seems. frown mad

The Weather.com forecast for Perth shows 8° / 14° C on Friday, so if Weather.com wins the wager against BOM's (often overestimated) forecast, it might very well break records back to April 16th, 1919—in which Perth recorded an April maximum of 13.6° C; 100 years.

I'm wagering money on Weather.com to win the forecast bet, as BOM often overestimates during these polar fronts by quite a bit—from experience, it is always the case for my region.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/04/2019 19:00

That front won't be reaching the East of NSW. Weather.com shows something like the current pattern continuing indefinitely.

It was surprisingly warm today, with Sydney OH spiking to nearly 26°. Most of Sydney except the outer West was a degree or two cooler.

There were some nice cloudscapes about. Here's the view North around 1:00PM:

Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 16/04/2019 19:24

Absolutely loving the weather atm, the loss of daylight saving means that i don't have to tote around a jumper in the morning, because the temperatures are at 18 by the time i've left.

Also on the point of accuracy the West Coast I feel performs a lot better with the BOM due to the lack of factors at play, things are a lot more straightforward, With Ridging and Moisture patterns. Meanwhile us over here see Moisture have to travel over the driest inhabited continent, and predicting Tasman ridging and can be an absolute pain.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/04/2019 09:19

The Illawarra (particularly Shellharbour and south) has been in glorious blue skies last two days. You would hardy think that 150km north up the coast it was showery.
Posted by: Jimi

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/04/2019 13:39

There was a shower in the city around 10:30am. I’m surprised OH didn’t pick up a trace.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/04/2019 19:00

Despite all the showers in recent days the weather hasn't been all that bad, there has been very little wind and quite warm when the sun is out.
Anyway waterspouts have been teasing me of late, see pic below.
_MG_0342 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/04/2019 19:42

West Cape Howe, WA; southernmost point in WA, at sea-level (35° S), with a 9° C forecast maximum by BOM (Meteye)...not in July, in bloody April. Now this is bound to either approach or shatter the 100-year April cold record—held previously on the 16th, 1919; going by Perth Regional Office's date-of-record.



This is one behemoth of a polar front! Straight out of the South Indian Ocean.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 17/04/2019 20:19

Nice Pic Eddy!

Looks like it may also break an early snow record in WA with meteye predicting some snow on the Stirling Range with this front. Which is absolutely incredible only if we had something like that moving through NSW with North-West Moisture.
Posted by: Rob_S

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/04/2019 13:02

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
Nice Pic Eddy!

Looks like it may also break an early snow record in WA with meteye predicting some snow on the Stirling Range with this front. Which is absolutely incredible only if we had something like that moving through NSW with North-West Moisture.


Despite being roughly the same latitude as Taree, Perth gets a lot more seasonal variation due to its exposed Western location.

By comparison, Sydney is stuck in that small, warm temperate, East coast zone in which nothing of note happens except maybe the occasional ECL.

We're too sheltered to get anything of note from the Southern Ocean in winter and too far South to get anything tropical in summer.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/04/2019 14:35

Originally Posted By: Rob_S
Despite being roughly the same latitude as Taree, Perth gets a lot more seasonal variation due to its exposed Western location.

By comparison, Sydney is stuck in that small, warm temperate, East coast zone in which nothing of note happens except maybe the occasional ECL.

We're too sheltered to get anything of note from the Southern Ocean in winter and too far South to get anything tropical in summer.

I'd reckon the Great Dividing Range might yield the most prominent influence upon Sydney's sheltered climate; the most common and often the most vigorous polar fronts, South-Westerlies, are blocked by the Abercrombie Range (i.e. Oberon & Upper Lachlan Shire) to the far West.

That being said, the Abercrombie Range seems to be quite a lot snowier than the Stirling Range at similar altitude and latitude, so perhaps that exposed Westerly location only counts occasionally. Abercrombie soars upwards to 1,370 m AMSL, but even down at 1,100 m—it still seems snowier.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/04/2019 14:46

It really depends on where the long wave trough will peak/amplify. SE Aus can get those savage long-fetch troughs and low combo's but the major beneficiary is the Snoiwes, of course.

Perth's major advantage is no land to its west hence no friction and fronts can roll in unimpeded, especially once the Leeuwin current reverses and the water cools.
Posted by: Funkyseefunkydo

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/04/2019 17:05

Today’s Newcastle forecast has changed from 25-27 over 7 days to 23-25. 🤔
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 18/04/2019 21:40

The second last Weather Pulse video is rather interesting if not alarming...
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 08:10

This is an interesting discussion guys, to see what happens in Perth and south-west WA in terms of temperatures and snow over the next few days.

This April is quite dry, and I've found a rather interesting pattern. Typically April/May are wet months, however, in the last 5 years it hasn't rained much (exception 2015), especially in May, where 4/5 Mays are all in the 5-10th percentile. Is there possibly a link with dry April/May and warm Julys? Because in 2015 July was very cold.

Parramatta North

April:
2014: 47.2mm
2015: 406.5mm
2016: 30.6mm
2017: 36.8mm
2018: 13.9mm
2019: 13.6mm (so far)

May:
2014: 9.0mm
2015: 81.4mm
2016: 9.6mm
2017: 8.2mm
2018: 8.8mm
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 11:55

Yh I've noticed this as well Jacob it's been straight peculiar. Often it's a wet March followed by a Dry April,May then finally a wet June. I feel it says a lot about the lack of upper level disturbance to really create anything leaving us with an Indian Summer.
Posted by: kizz

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 17:54

Moon. Now.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 18:53

Moon, wow.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 22:34

Without a decent rain event, April, usually one of the wetter months, is going to finish well below average here with only 32mm so far, after a wetter start to the year. Hopefully May will catch us back up.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 22:54

Interesting the discussion on WA versus NSW events. I can think of a couple of late March/April events with snow locally to 700m in parts of central/southern NSW - March 1913 and April 1995 are two which come to mind. Not many though. Haven't seen definitive numbers on WA snow levels but from the Albany temperatures and reports from Bluff Knoll I'd guess 600-700.

There hasn't previously been a sub-10 maximum in April in WA, but a couple of sites are still in the hunt for that depending on what happens in the morning. Of course, there are no high-elevation sites in southern WA - it's likely that if a site existed on the Stirling Ranges it would get 6-8 degrees lower there under current conditions than any existing WA site.

Perth (where I currently am) had enough sunny intervals to get up to 17.1.
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 19/04/2019 23:58

My theory on the differing amounts of snow between SW WA and SE AUS would be the topography. So far as I can tell from photos, Bluff Knoll is rather more a stand alone high point than many areas of similar altitude in SE AUS, so the amount of air that’s being lifted to an altitude to precipitate as snow would be significantly lower around Bluff Knoll as opposed to say the area around 1000-1100m in the CT’s or Southern Highlands. Perhaps if the high ground in SW WA formed a broad plateau around the 1000m mark, we’d see more similarity in snow on ground events at similar altitude and latitude between either side of the continent.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/04/2019 15:49

Looks like a decent inland rain event is forming through the heart of the Murray Darling Basin, with some solid moisture coming in from the Pacific. This will be this monday with remnants of the monster front that whipped SW WA.

Although a long way out GFS want's 2 big powerful bouts of NW cloudbands straight from the GOC and Arafura Sea. IO is really lacking, with below average SSTs.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/04/2019 23:42

Absolutely bucketing outside which is a huge surprise.
Posted by: Manly

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 20/04/2019 23:54

Just had a nice downpour here in Manly.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/04/2019 16:52

I had no idea there were some showers about the metro last night.

Anyway, I love these cool autumnal afternoons with high cirrus increasing. Such a shame there is not a decent rain band accompanying this increase in cloud, which, as I remember from my childhood was a reasonably common occurrence.

Such a shame that the weather is generally so boring atm, which is evident on most of the state forums. Very little discussion to get our teeth into.
Hopefully this changes soon.
Anyway, it was a gorgeous Easter Sunday. Early thick fog cleared to a fine and sunny day here. Temp almost reached 25.
Just perfect.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 21/04/2019 17:43

Happy Easter everyone. Yeah the weather during April has been very boring so far, hopefully May is better.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 06:52

There was a brief heavy shower up the road from us late yesterday afternoon, but nothing here, despite some dark clouds looming up.

April 2019 is likely to be an almost rainless month for us (only 2mm to date). It seems the forecast inland trough will stay well inland, and won't come over here. On top of that both minima and maxima are running well above average. Temperatures over this Easter weekend are more typical of March than April. Without at least 20mm soon, we'll slip back into drought.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 08:50

Wilcannia's 65mm to 9am at the AP appears to have broken the old April record. The AP site only goes back to 2000, but the other one goes back to 1879 where the old record (presuming overnights total was as high) was 51.1mm on April 14th 1939.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 11:29

Amazing these big totals right through drought country, probably the best event that region for years.Looks like an Autumn Break actually occurred throughout most of the state. grin


Along with a smashing amount of lightning sitting occuring in the West for the past 24hrs.

Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 14:38

Originally Posted By: Eigerwand
My theory on the differing amounts of snow between SW WA and SE AUS would be the topography. So far as I can tell from photos, Bluff Knoll is rather more a stand alone high point than many areas of similar altitude in SE AUS, so the amount of air that’s being lifted to an altitude to precipitate as snow would be significantly lower around Bluff Knoll as opposed to say the area around 1000-1100m in the CT’s or Southern Highlands. Perhaps if the high ground in SW WA formed a broad plateau around the 1000m mark, we’d see more similarity in snow on ground events at similar altitude and latitude between either side of the continent.


Yep, Bluff Knoll and the Stirling Ranges pretty much protrude from sea level.
But then again so does Mount Wellington in Tassie, but further south.
SW WA also has much more seasonal lag than NSW, so has had snow in November, but extremely unlikely in April or even May.
Interesting comparisons though.
At the moment, consistently above average for the 2nd half of April right now. This could run until the end of the month.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 17:10

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
Amazing these big totals right through drought country, probably the best event that region for years.Looks like an Autumn Break actually occurred throughout most of the state. grin


Along with a smashing amount of lightning sitting occuring in the West for the past 24hrs.



Awesome! And not one word in the media about it.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 22/04/2019 19:59

Maybe not in the media you were following, but it certainly got a mention on the ABC news where I was. Agree it's probably the best general event in the northwest quarter of NSW since 2016.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 08:32

Sneaky storm here this morning! Some good flangs and heavy rain!
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 10:14

Today looks unstable! Already big fat Cu building over the escarpment. Forecast running with "possible storm".
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 12:22

Have had a couple of short, heavy showers this morning. Maybe 0.5 to 1 mm each. No thunder though.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 12:46

No rain or thunder here, although the sky looks interesting, as it often has recently. The Sydney forecast as updated a little before 9:00 says showers are more likely than not and thunderstorms are possible. We'll see. The Sun's out at the moment in a partly cloudy sky.

Sydney OH is in a dry spell, with not a drop of rain from the 8th - 22nd. If you disregard the sneaky 0.2's just after 9:00 on the 7th and just before 9:00 today, it's been 17 days.

It's been warm, espcially minima, even though no days have been particularly warm, just every day and night about 2 - 4 degrees above average. This pattern ends with a front due Friday afternoon.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 12:47

Overall Easter was much sunnier here at Shellharbour to what I expected. The ocean water temperature sat around 20-21C, so the wetsuit went on hold again. Surf even cooperated, small 2-4ft (occasional bigger set) but surfable, especially early AM each day.

As Kino mentioned we got some showers last night and distant thunder (all further north from Shellharbour).

I think wind shear may muck us over today, but hoping for a thundery none the less .
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 15:59

About 50% cloud here, but it has the look that could turn to showers rather quickly, perhaps if evening temperatures drop just 1-2C just missing an ingredient ATM.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 18:14

Raining now - coast scraper shower, enhanced by the escarpment.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 19:04

Been on a fishing & hunting trip, but as I've come back today, I've found that the earliest snowfall in Western Australian history had just occured...

Strewth! cheers
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 19:17

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Been on a fishing & hunting trip, but as I've come back today, I've found that the earliest snowfall in Western Australian history had just occured...

Strewth! cheers


This must have caught the snow chasers by surprise!
Snow before Anzac Day, that is incredible.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 21:22

Holy cow! Super heavy shower here at west of Gosford atm, gutters overflowing in 30 seconds even the sweet old woman’s house I’m at is in shock with the roar of the rain, still a waterfall as I’m typing. Suppose it’s just a summer microburst? No lightning
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 23/04/2019 22:36

Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Holy cow! Super heavy shower here at west of Gosford atm, gutters overflowing in 30 seconds even the sweet old woman’s house I’m at is in shock with the roar of the rain, still a waterfall as I’m typing. Suppose it’s just a summer microburst? No lightning


Looks as though I'm just about to receive the remnants of that downpour. It has held together pretty well.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/04/2019 09:01

Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Andrew-A
Holy cow! Super heavy shower here at west of Gosford atm, gutters overflowing in 30 seconds even the sweet old woman’s house I’m at is in shock with the roar of the rain, still a waterfall as I’m typing. Suppose it’s just a summer microburst? No lightning


Looks as though I'm just about to receive the remnants of that downpour. It has held together pretty well.


We had nice 10 minute downpour at Shellharbour as well around 11pm. Gutter overflowed for only a minute or so only however.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/04/2019 11:35

Quite astonishing how green it is up here in comparison to how dry it is down Coolringdon-way; all it takes is a quick ascent up the Western side of Rhine Falls and Wambrook Hill for to see the drastically greener grass. I've got plentiful pictures to share, but saddly, they are too massive...and I'm rubbish in photograph technology i.e. resizing photos, amongst that ilk.

Especially green and lush up here, having recorded 159.6 mm of precipitation (with some snowfall) in the past March alone—a tremendous increase from the 43.9 mm in February, and the 57.2 mm in January.

Back on the 22nd of April, just two days ago, I caught a fragment of the storm that struck farther inland...rainbands and all, with some thunder. The range upwards from Providence Portal copped it the hardest, with fairly heavy rain down here as well.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/04/2019 19:12

Yes! ACCESS-G and EC are predicting a solid breakaway cold pool tapping in to pacific moisture over NSW, which transitions into an ECL in 8-10 days time.
They models are certainly going hard in terms of rainfall but hopefully this event turn out to be true, it's been coming up for the past couple of runs.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 24/04/2019 22:24

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
Yes! ACCESS-G and EC are predicting a solid breakaway cold pool tapping in to pacific moisture over NSW, which transitions into an ECL in 8-10 days time.
They models are certainly going hard in terms of rainfall but hopefully this event turn out to be true, it's been coming up for the past couple of runs.


Looks very good...and afterwards it leaves behind an unstable se’erly flow with days/ week of showers. Fingers crossed!
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 09:15

And just like that a dagger through the heart....cutoff over land now peaking west (great for inland though if it comes off, drought breaking rains possible...)
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 11:40

Absolute cracking day here.

A couple of pics from the dawn service.

_MG_0487 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

_MG_0514 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

The moment the sun come up, you could feel its bite, certainly not as strong as in the Summer time but not bad for this time of the year!!

Lest we Forget.
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 13:31

Third hottest ANZAC Day here so far. Hottest was 27.7°C in 2017 and second hottest was 27.0°C in 2002. Currently 26.9°C.

The wet March and dry April/May trend of the past few years seems to be repeating itself again this year.


Lest we Forget.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 13:56

A nice warm day in Sydney. It reached 26.7 at Sydney OH before the sea breeze arrived, just over 80° F in the old money. That would have been unusual at this time of year in the past. Sydney's West is now up around 28 with maybe a bit more to go. There's been no significant rain in 18 days.

It cools down after tomorrow, but soon bounces back. There's little or no rain on the coast with the change. The models are showing rain on the horizon, but where or how much is uncertain.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 14:57

Nice pics Eddy.

I'm not quite sure what to make of current weather situation. Sunny morning with a few storm clouds having popped up. Currently there's a big layer of flat mid level cloud covering the much of the sky but it looks very dark like it could drop a storm right overhead. Hard to say what may happen but it's not the kind of sky I'm used to seeing before a storm but it certainly looks unstable to me.

The last few days have been interesting with marginal convection about on each day, all it takes is one little thing to change (like temp drop or rise in humidity) and you get a storm or heavy rain like the other night.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 16:03

Hot Anzac Day again this year, 29C, and into the last week of April.
No rain on the horizon either until probably May.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 18:52

Yes Eddy lovely Dawn and sunrise pictures.

At this time of year, temperature averages are about the same as late October into early November but the weather can be very different. The sea retains much of its Summer warmth while the land has cooled down, so the temperature gradient between land and sea is much lower.

So we don't get the heat spikes and cool or cold days of Spring. You can get a nice sunny day without the sea breeze practically blowing you over. A Southerly doesn't rush up the coast as soon as it gets a bit warm. And the wind can come from the East without smothering the coast in marine layer cloud. The weather will often get into a rut, in some years delivering long runs of warm, sunny weather as now, in others extended and sometimes intense rain events, and in others long runs of mild, showery weather.

It can be boring for weather affectionados but quite pleasant to experience.

As for the future, Access is predicting a widespread inland rain event in 8-10 days time, while GFS is predicting heavy rain mostly confined to the beach. I think that the first outcome is to be preferred but the weather will just do what it wants to do.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 19:37

I sure hope the inland precipitation event comes off, as opposed to its coastal counterpart. Past week's been bloody boring as of late, with only a single proper weather event occuring—on the 22nd.

Snow falling above 1,500 m according to BOM in a few days time, so that's something in the meantime at least. Much to my misfortune, I'm only receiving cold rain with –1° / 8° C tomorrow. frown
Posted by: Ben K

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 19:58

It reached 27.1°C here today, the second warmest ANZAC Day on record, slightly behind 2017's 27.7°C.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 21:11

Lest We Forget.

Great Pic Eddy, seem like these two very hot Anzac Days have had Bone Dry Aprils for the most part and wet Marchs preceding.
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 25/04/2019 23:15

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Sydney OH is in a dry spell, with not a drop of rain from the 8th - 22nd. If you disregard the sneaky 0.2's just after 9:00 on the 7th and just before 9:00 today, it's been 17 days.
Meanwhile around 375kms up the coast, we had 15 raindays in a row here (the first of those being a storm day, then onshore showers on all of the following days). One of those occasions where it really feels like we're a world away.
Posted by: Locke

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 10:34

18Z GFS has a biblical deluge for Sydney in about a weeks time with falls in excess of 300mm in a period of 12-24 hrs.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 13:34

Very windy here up in the Southern Highlands. Hard to see this wind dying down for places to reach their cold progged temps tomorrow morning. ie. Orange : 1 , Perisher: -8!!

If this front comes off next week, especially going off Access' scenario, it couuld be one of those snow in funny places setups where the higher areas of the CTs and snowies will get hammered. No shortage of moisture either!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 19:01

Lovely photos Eddy 👍👍

We actually have a bar heater on this evening, left windows open too long tonight and house has cooled . Could be close to frost around here tomorrow morning 🥶😁
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 19:42

Thanks Guys.

Good to see you DaveM, no need for a heater here just yet, It managed to get to 30c here today.

Originally Posted By: Seabreeze
Originally Posted By: Steve777
Sydney OH is in a dry spell, with not a drop of rain from the 8th - 22nd. If you disregard the sneaky 0.2's just after 9:00 on the 7th and just before 9:00 today, it's been 17 days.
Meanwhile around 375kms up the coast, we had 15 raindays in a row here (the first of those being a storm day, then onshore showers on all of the following days). One of those occasions where it really feels like we're a world away.


Not quite as many wet days here, although we had a 11 wet days out of the first 19 days, but there were days where there was shower activity about but not falling in my gauge.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 20:23

It nearly got up to 30 here, in fact it did at the Airport.

It's cooled off a bit now, below 20 in most suburbs, 20 point something in the city and near the coast. There seems to be no change as such, just cooler air filtering through.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 26/04/2019 20:24

I thought this was pretty funny!! Yesterday's comic.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 10:04

I thought this was supposed to be a dry change, anyway thats Port Stephens for you. 7.9mm here this morning and 11mm over the Bay, still some light drizzle about.
Overnight low was 13c and currently its 14.9c and overcast, winds are light atm.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 10:49

Low of –5.3° C early in the morn'! laugh

Cabramurra managed –2.1° C; Cooma AP –4.4° C; Thredbo Top Station –5.5° C; Perisher Valley –7.2° C.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 11:04

-3°C here here early this morning. The frost wasn’t really that heavy, which just goes to show how dry the air is. Looks like April will be an almost rainless month with only 3mm so far. Bathurst has only had 0.6mm - just over its record low of 0.5mm in April 1967. Still quite green around the district, but not sure for how much longer as the relentless dry continues.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 15:07

Very nice drop in temp today, after 29-30C yesterday in the Hunter.
SSE winds, only just the forecast max of 21C today for a couple of fleeting moments.
Cool night coming up too, just dropped my daughter and her friends of to Groovin the Moo, jackets needed later on for sure.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 16:52

Originally Posted By: DerekHV

Cool night coming up too, just dropped my daughter and her friends of to Groovin the Moo, jackets needed later on for sure.


They'll certainly be needed at the Canberra GTM too!!
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 27/04/2019 17:10

We had a top of 21.5c today, it certainly felt fresh in the shade with that light South-Wester.
Temp started falling around 3pm this arvo too, currently 17.9c.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 05:30

Down to 3.3c now at campbelltown. Coldest night of the year so far.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 06:03

Sub 10 at most Sydney locations apart from the city and coast, e.g. Olympic Park 8.5°, Bankstown 6.0° earlier. Even OH's 11.2° is the coldest there since October 1 (when 10.6).

However, that's the end of the 'cold' spell, with the pattern bouncing right back to warm days from today and warm nights from Tuesday.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 06:22

Bugger me sideways, you Sydney blighters always seem to get nothing but boring warm weather all year-round, even in the midst of your winter.

Any cooler weather pattern that comes through, you'd think it'd remain cooler throughout...nah mate! Right back to warmth. I'd hate to live in Sh*tney-like subtropical climates—dastardly climate for a polar foamer like meself.
Posted by: Sidney

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 06:27

If you want boring check out Brisbane week forecast. Pretty much no variability. At least cold fronts have some effect on us.

Honestly only time its exciting here is when we get ECL's or a T-storm outbreak.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 09:21

It even dipped below 10c here for the first time this year, 9.5c was the min.

I'm actually enjoying this warm boring weather, but it would be nice to have one last thunderstorm before the cold days hit, even some offshore action would be nice!!
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 13:11

A good amount of smoke haze about, mainly due to hazard reduction burns. Absolutely perfect day to do so. The end of week event looks to be decent rainfall event what I would call a good autumn break, although a ridge reduces it's effect past of the tablelands. The NW moisture input looks minimal more pacific then and GOC than anything.Hoping for a negative AAO winter though, to keep it coming.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 16:40

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Bugger me sideways, you Sydney blighters always seem to get nothing but boring warm weather all year-round, even in the midst of your winter.

Any cooler weather pattern that comes through, you'd think it'd remain cooler throughout...nah mate! Right back to warmth. I'd hate to live in Sh*tney-like subtropical climates—dastardly climate for a polar foamer like meself.


It's a bit more interesting than somewhere like Perth though?
Anyways I don't live in Sydney, and climate here is still temperate and not subtropical.
Not sure where that classification would lie, maybe Port Macquarie.
Anyway got to our forecast max of 25C today, but very late and may have even nudged 26C after 3pm.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 16:54

Originally Posted By: DerekHV
It's a bit more interesting than somewhere like Perth though?
Anyways I don't live in Sydney, and climate here is still temperate and not subtropical.
Not sure where that classification would lie, maybe Port Macquarie.
Anyway got to our forecast max of 25C today, but very late and may have even nudged 26C after 3pm.

Nah, Perth's better due to stronger and drier heat than Sydney; I favour dry, potent heat—as opposed to muggy, weak heat. Perth's winters are also much better, especially in regards to precipitation and frontal activity.

However, if we count Richmond RAAF (>1928) as Sydney, then Sydney>>>>>Perth. –8.3° C record low (July 1970, lowest ever in Sydney Basin); 47.8° C record high (Janaury 1939, highest ever in Sydney Basin). I actually fancy the climate of Richmond, to an extent.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 17:51

If sydney actually stuck to it's averages in terms of rain days we would actually be a lot more satisfied about the climate outcomes. Rather now we're stuck in a rut of low rain days which leaves with long periods of monotonous periods. Along with us not coming even close to the July Average max temps, this I feel has a lot to do with the lack of July Rain.
Going off OH there's 143 raindays per year(Obviously not indicative of the the rest of Sydney) This works out to a rainy day about every 2.56 days.

Another site such as bankstown has 113.9 Raindays per year which works out to be a rain day every 3.20 days.

I'm very sure we haven't been even close to that mark for many years.

On the point of Sydney's weather being very boring I have to disagree. We can get interesting weather at all times of the year. Let's go through cooler seasons. We get fronts throughout winter (obvious lacking the bite, but means less in the way of damaging winds which dry out the place). ECLs can smash our shores and provide a deluge to top up our dams. In the warmer months ECLs can pop up again often more extratropical, along with quite severe storms. With the Southerly Buster to beat the heat.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 18:33

Aside from the Sydney talk, NSW looks to be in for another rain event this week, with excellent widespread follow up rains after last week. Really starting to work on those anomalies west of the divide. Meanwhile, for us coastal folk, nadda!
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 20:41

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
If sydney actually stuck to it's averages in terms of rain days we would actually be a lot more satisfied about the climate outcomes. Rather now we're stuck in a rut of low rain days which leaves with long periods of monotonous periods. Along with us not coming even close to the July Average max temps, this I feel has a lot to do with the lack of July Rain.
Going off OH there's 143 raindays per year(Obviously not indicative of the the rest of Sydney) This works out to a rainy day about every 2.56 days.

Another site such as bankstown has 113.9 Raindays per year which works out to be a rain day every 3.20 days.

I'm very sure we haven't been even close to that mark for many years.
I had a look at the annual rainday totals for Sydney and Bankstown over the past 20 years. These are the numbers:

Syd....Year....Banks
125....2018....113
123....2017....93
129....2016....107
166....2015....127
146....2014....105
119....2013....98
142....2012....108
175....2011....127
149....2010....112
122....2009....120
143....2008....129
133....2007....125
136....2006....104
113....2005....107
107....2004....97
135....2003....119
119....2002....98
133....2001....112
124....2000....127
169....1999....141

135.4...20yrMean...113.5

139.6...10yrMean...111.0 (2009-2018)
131.2...10yrMean...115.9 (1999-2008)
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 22:03

Ahhhhh nostalgia...contradicting statistics since 24BC
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 28/04/2019 22:03

Interesting that it hasn't been much divergence in Rainy Days from the average even with the 2 droughts during that period listed. Cheers for that Seabreeze.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/04/2019 07:15

Very poor air quality this morning:



From this camera: Potts Point Webcam

You can just make out the Opera House in the bottom left. The Harbour Bridge is lost in the gunk.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/04/2019 08:36

That looks awful Steve777, no such problems here.
Those light offshore showers are getting closer and closer to the coast, most likely pick up a mm or two.
Another sub 10c night but only just 9.9c was the overnight low.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/04/2019 14:13

Nice little frost at home this morning, lit the fire for first time last night 😁
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/04/2019 16:49

Models: The upcoming rainband is pretty significant on latest GFS, big follow up from the recent event for the NW parts of the state. The geopotential forecast from EC at +48hrs looks pretty spectacular. Could be a season of plentiful fronts if these ridges remain weak with the model cooking up another low/front over WA toward the end of the run.

Obs: The front is starting to interact with a long source of moisture from Indonesia as the event starts to take shape on the sat pic.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 29/04/2019 16:58

Looks like upgrades could happen with that very obvious infeed of moisture that has been taking shape for the past few days.
Hopefully that occurs, can't wait to see what happens when the MJO swings around as well hopefully there's a link up.
Posted by: ozthunder

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 08:57

Originally Posted By: Kino
Aside from the Sydney talk, NSW looks to be in for another rain event this week, with excellent widespread follow up rains after last week. Really starting to work on those anomalies west of the divide. Meanwhile, for us coastal folk, nadda!


The slopes need it badly. The last rain event must not have moved too far east from the plains. I drove to Melbourne on Friday and it was very dry all the way. The driest parts appeared to be a stretch between Yass and Gundagai. By the way it took just a titch under 8 hours hours from Wollongong.

Melbourne itself is barren unless watered.

Drove back by Princes Hwy - 12 hours !!. There was a small 50-60km strip around Drouin in Victoria that was green, but the rest to Lakes Entrance was dry. In comparison the south coast of NSW looks lush, but farm dams tell another story.

Drove
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 15:49

I'm surprised that the BOM didn't have "High Cloud Increasing" or "Becoming Cloudy" in their forecast today.
From sat pics this morning this was clearly going to happen.
Sticking with "Mostly Sunny" in their forecast, even the updated one at 10.36 am, was clearly dropping the ball.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 16:52

And they've now put "Mostly clear apart from some high clouds" in their 4.20 update.
Not quite the correct terminology, but at least they tried.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 17:15

This rain event is looking the goods with an atmospheric river extending way into the tropics. The cold pool west of Adelaide will interact with this warm moist air and should see widespread 20-50mm falls IMO with local heavier stuff.

Meanwhile for us coasties, next week is looking interesting with the first major cold pool of the year forecast by ACCESS slamming up from the south late on Thursday. If this comes off should see snow around higher peaks and storms/showers with hail for coastal areas. GFS and EC push it back to the weekend (fingers crossed) could be a weekend snow chase on!
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 19:05

Originally Posted By: Kino
This rain event is looking the goods with an atmospheric river extending way into the tropics. The cold pool west of Adelaide will interact with this warm moist air and should see widespread 20-50mm falls IMO with local heavier stuff.

Meanwhile for us coasties, next week is looking interesting with the first major cold pool of the year forecast by ACCESS slamming up from the south late on Thursday.
If this comes off should see snow around higher peaks and storms/showers with hail for coastal areas. GFS and EC push it back to the weekend (fingers crossed) could be a weekend snow chase on!

Yeah...nah. Shows nothing but high-pressure boredom for several days to come on my local forecast, and the "first major cold pool of the year" had already occured on the 30th-31st of March—with the record-shattering WA polar front following on the 19th-20th of April.

I won't wager a single coin on that whatever's coming off next week will even hope to match what struck us earlier in March, I'm afraid. frown
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 20:25

If this event comes off it'll be a while since we've had any kind of action in May. The last few Mays have all been the same, dry (less than 10mm of rain), above average days, and below average nights, with very stagnant weather patterns.
Posted by: Andrew-A

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 20:38

Like the way the models have all flipped to onshore rain flows as the forecast main low heads into the Tasman. Hanging out for some winter weather for a change 😀
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 22:56

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
Originally Posted By: Kino
This rain event is looking the goods with an atmospheric river extending way into the tropics. The cold pool west of Adelaide will interact with this warm moist air and should see widespread 20-50mm falls IMO with local heavier stuff.

Meanwhile for us coasties, next week is looking interesting with the first major cold pool of the year forecast by ACCESS slamming up from the south late on Thursday.
If this comes off should see snow around higher peaks and storms/showers with hail for coastal areas. GFS and EC push it back to the weekend (fingers crossed) could be a weekend snow chase on!

Yeah...nah. Shows nothing but high-pressure boredom for several days to come on my local forecast, and the "first major cold pool of the year" had already occured on the 30th-31st of March—with the record-shattering WA polar front following on the 19th-20th of April.

I won't wager a single coin on that whatever's coming off next week will even hope to match what struck us earlier in March, I'm afraid. frown


Well for starters, the forecast only goes out to 5/7 days, next Thursday is clearly more than that. And the last “cold pool” didn’t have the 540 line anywhere near us, but this one does. Huge difference.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 30/04/2019 23:07

Interesting to see the models slowly shifting to meridional flow from the high providing a solid top up for the coasties that missed out from the event. Access wants an ECL forming from this which I reckon is a very real possibility as the cold air wafts about the Tasman. Will keep my eyes peeled.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 07:57

Ummmmmmm anyone seen 12z ACCESS? Retrograding ECL anyone? Looks like a wild Sunday PM / Monday AM for the coasties between Nowra & Newcastle if that comes off. EC & GFS not at all interested, but it’s a strong possibility given the current LWT & synoptic setup IMO.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 10:15

Access 12Z prognostication for +138 hours (4:00 PM EAST Monday May 6), captured for posterity:



GFS agrees on an ECL for the central part of the NSW coast, although nothing quite as striking.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 11:21

Thanks Steve - looks tasty hey!
Posted by: KevD

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 12:13

And if that one ends up not working out there is always the following weekend to keep an eye on:

GFS:


EC:
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 13:58

Oh look at those nice tight isobars between Newcastle and Nowra (again!).

2 ECL's in a row, over the same areas a weekend apart, seems improbable but nice if it comes off. Be some great follow-up rain for the dams.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 17:19

Damn EC going for 3 quick succession cold pool moving over SE Aus. Honestly that's insane, but shame moisture won't be good until the 3rd one where we get a SE flow coming in. Seems like the huge blocking high is displacing some very cold air, into SE AUS.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 18:16

Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
.... Seems like the huge blocking high is displacing some very cold air, into SE AUS.



That high has been the dominant feature of our weather for the past 20 years.

Major downgrade in the rain event on Friday for here. Pity, after one of the hottest and driest Aprils on record. Still I'll believe the rain when I see it. These models are just shifting sands.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 19:13

The ECL's been cancelled, or at least pushed away to the East and South. After a widespread rain event late this week, an ECL does form in the Central Tasman and drafts towards the South Coast. Most most of the action is out to sea, with rain on land pretty much restricted to the coastal strip.

----

If we disregard three 0.2's, at least one of which fell out of a clear sky, it hasn't rained in Sydney since April 6. That's 25 days, a long dry spell at any time of year for Sydney.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 19:20

Tremendously dry April for me—only 7.4 mm registered (with >90% of it on the 22nd alone)—but not even close to "hot"; my highest reading this April was a mere 19.2° C, with an average of 15.1° C; slightly above-average. Minima averaged 3.6° C, with my lowest reading at –5.3° C.
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 01/05/2019 21:56

Sure looks like some interesting weather coming up! EC and BOM going for a nice front/wandering cold pool scenario mid to late next week. EC and GFS going for an ECL of some sort early next week with some onshore flow and a good few days worth of showery weather for the coast regardless of where the centre of the low is situated. Not to mention the good possibility of a few storms tomorrow afternoon and Friday. Excited to see how it all pans out as it gets closer!
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 05:14

Here's my forecast for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday—respectively:

2° / 8° C, mostly cloudy; 3° / 8° C, rain and snow; 4° / 8° C, rain.

About average for May round here (my average May high is approximately 10° C), so $100 says that this is a fizzzzzzzzer. mad mad mad
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 07:52

There were some useful falls in the SW of the Date, including 16 mm at Deniliquin, 17mm at Ivanhoe, 18 mm at Swan Hill just over the Murray and 8 mm at Wagga.The highest fall looks to be an isolated 47.4 mm at Mulurulu, near Lake Mungo NE of Mildura.

It's warm and overcast here after a nice sunrise:

Posted by: GringosRain

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 08:26

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Access 12Z prognostication for +138 hours (4:00 PM EAST Monday May 6), captured for posterity:



GFS agrees on an ECL for the central part of the NSW coast, although nothing quite as striking.


GFS is still Keen on this in both the latest 12z and 18z runs. showing a weak low crossing the coast near the Hunter/Sydney coast. Both Access and EC look pretty lame with the low bombing to the SW Tasman and just blowing southerlies or south westerlies along the NSW coast.
Be good if GFS wins out for sure.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 13:44

Certainly something to watch, although without much support from EC or ACCESS I'm not very hopeful.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 17:36

Yikes! Spoke too bloody soon, but I'm glad for that. laugh crazy

https://m.imgur.com/a/jiDr4FZ

1° / 5° C on Friday, with snow showers; Saturday 3° / 7° C, rain and snow.
Posted by: Jac0b

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 17:42

This has been the pattern over Australia in the past few runs for the NAEFS model. I haven't seen that much blue in a while.

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/semaine2_combinee_e.html
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 17:47

All this cloud has been making for spectacular sunrises these past few days.
This was this morning sunrise. Take about 40-45 minutes before sunrise, The nice pinks and reds occurred just prior to sunrise which Im regretting for not staying long enough, I was just too tired.
_MG_0626 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
Posted by: Duane

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 18:09

Not sure where our 20-40mm today was supposed to come from!
Duane.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 18:18

Looks like the 20-40mm forecast here isn't going to happen either, any rain that appeared on the radar initially died in the guts when it hit the Tidbinbilla/Brindabella ranges. Shame it would have been nice for some rain to kick May off as April was way below average frown
Here's hoping tomorrow but the forecast is 1-5mm now which means probably get nothing here
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 19:42

...
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 19:56

Right, as young people might say, too much information.

I'm actually hoping that the cold outbreak predicted by GFS and EC for the end of next week comes off. The blue line up into Northern NSW, snow on the Central Tablelands. ACCESS looks like a boring continuation of the current patter with a bit of light rain thrown in.

It's been warm long enough.
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 20:01

Originally Posted By: Steve777


It's been warm long enough.


Nice hey?

Its 8pm and its still 21.5c outside.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 20:18

Originally Posted By: Steve777
Right, as young people might say, too much information.

I'm actually hoping that the cold outbreak predicted by GFS and EC for the end of next week comes off. The blue line up into Northern NSW, snow on the Central Tablelands. ACCESS looks like a boring continuation of the current patter with a bit of light rain thrown in.

It's been warm long enough.

Never enough information when it comes to fun weather. wink

Regarding CT's snowfall, I can already sight snow showers forecast for Shooters Hill on Friday evening, extending well into Saturday. –1° / 7° C on Friday; 1° / 8° C on Saturday.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 20:41

Originally Posted By: Jac0b
This has been the pattern over Australia in the past few runs for the NAEFS model. I haven't seen that much blue in a while.

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/semaine2_combinee_e.html


Cheers - the warm anomaly one is always posted, good to see a colder one!
Posted by: Eigerwand

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 20:43

Originally Posted By: Adaminaby Angler
...


Moderators, this guy needs to be cautioned (yet again) and if he keeps up with this type of rubbish, banned.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 02/05/2019 23:10

Certainly is warm tonight, and humid!!

The imagination can only wonder what was said a bit further above. And nice pic Eddy.
Posted by: Long Road Home

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 04:07

Originally Posted By: Duane
Not sure where our 20-40mm today was supposed to come from!
Duane.


Aren't you in Wagga? 27mm so far and counting. Looks pretty spot on to me
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 07:12

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider


The imagination can only wonder what was said a bit further above. And nice pic Eddy.


Thanks WR, I could tell you what was said but I would get banned!! wink

19.4c was the overnight min, but for the majority of the night it was above 20c, certainly warm for May.

Forecast for the next four days has a chance of t-storm for each day, you don't see that too often in May!! Probably won't see any.
Posted by: Teddy

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 07:19

Well waking up to 8mm in the gauge this morning and looks like more to come, lovely we really do need this in many areas of NSW/ACT.
Radar is looking promising and we can expect more today woohoo.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 07:34

Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Certainly is warm tonight, and humid!!

The imagination can only wonder what was said a bit further above. And nice pic Eddy.

{edited}

An important part was also deleted from my post, which was the upgrade down to 1° / 3° C with snow showers all day on Friday, and now as of this morn', another upgrade has been applied to Saturday as well; 2° / 6° C with scattered snow showers.

Here's the splendid forecast in detail: https://m.imgur.com/a/ah4Ph74
Posted by: Duane

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 07:45

Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Originally Posted By: Duane
Not sure where our 20-40mm today was supposed to come from!
Duane.


Aren't you in Wagga? 27mm so far and counting. Looks pretty spot on to me


Didn’t look promising earlier. Sounded great while in bed last night. Stopped just in time for the Wagga Gold Cup today 😁
Posted by: EddyG

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 07:56

Originally Posted By: Duane

Didn’t look promising earlier. Sounded great while in bed last night. Stopped just in time for the Wagga Gold Cup today 😁


My tip Morton's Fork
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 08:11

Another warm, overcast night. "Coldest" so far in May at Sydney OH is just under 18.

It hasn't rained here but there were good falls in the South of the State, including 36 mm at Wagga, 46 at Albury and 33 at Griffith. Deniliquin got a further 12 mm to add to the 21 mm it received in the last two days.
Posted by: Adaminaby Angler

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 09:39

Collected 36.3 mm from this recent storm in total, with Cabramurra at 42 mm and Cooma AP at 15 mm...and Thredbo Top at a staggering 99 mm..!!

Lovely start to May...gonna stay emerald green for a while now.
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 10:48

Raining here - only light at this stage, nice to see though.
Posted by: Rob G

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 11:44

First rain of any significance for over a month here. Not a lot - around 10mm so far, but better than nothing and much more effective rain than 10mm in mid summer.

Victoria and the SW slopes of NSW have done very well. Unfortunately in eastern NSW the set up just doesn't favour a lot of rain - at first a strong stationary ridge in the Tasman kept the moisture feed further inland; and now it's all shifting east very quickly.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 12:17

It's started raining here in the last 20 minutes or so, steady light to moderate rain. It looks like a relatively narrow rain band moving in from the WNW. The Western edge is near Lithgow.

Falls in Sydney's outer West are mostly around 2-4 mm, OH up to 1 mm, the first fall over 0.2 in 4 weeks.

EDIT: 13 mm in Bathurst, 14 mm at Orange.

Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 13:13

Yep Steve , actually nice rain, with luck we may squeak towards 20mm? But clearing line not far west of here at all. Prob about 16 or 17mm in town now. Temp about 15 too.

At least we know it’s possible 😁

Loving EC n GFS for next weekend 😁 that gives a good reason to get the fire going proper like 😁
Posted by: Snowmaker

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 03/05/2019 15:46

GFS 00z update looks pretty incredibly cold for May. Looking at Stormcast there is a broad area of -4c at 850hpa, and -14c at 700hpa and -33 at 500hpa all over the southern and central tablelands. Going off the forecast skew diagram freezing levels are at around 800m and snow falling probably down to 600m. The deep cold through all the levels is pretty rare for Aus, even in winter. The majority of the moisture comes with the leading edge of the front though, with it becoming too cold after that for any moisture. Hard not to get excited about it, even if it is still 6 days away! Will be doing a snow chase up to the high spot behind crookwell if anything remotely like this comes off
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 07:45

All up around the 23mm mark here, luvverly!!! Now to be greedy and hope for follow up 😁

Unfortunately some areas not as much but at least many places did well.

It’s only a respite though without more in a week or two. Have some hope that frontal activity could possibly trigger a bit more in coming werks. Could be wishful thinking too. 😁
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 08:50

Some useful falls in the North East and East Central parts of the State, with falls of about 30-50 mm around Tamworth and the NW slopes and plains, 20 mm in the Central West and 10-20 mm in the Hunter. Sydney got about 10-15 mm in the North, 5-10 mm in the South.

Still warm, still cloudy with the Sun trying to break through. It hasn't dropped below 17 degrees so far in May. There was a bit more rain overnight, nearby totals since 9;00 yesterday are 11 mm at each of Chatswood and OH.
Posted by: DerekHV

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 09:24

Had about 15mm since 9am yesterday at Maitland Aerodrome, and still falling slowly but steadily now.
Nice start to the month, after only 13.0mm for the whole of April.
Obviously cooled down a lot too, after 26C yesterday.
Posted by: ashestoashes

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 11:08

EC is literally going guns blazing a 540 line making it almost all the way to NSW QLD border. Along with a dusting of snow on the Northern Tablelands near Walcha and Guyra. Just one of those systems where it'll just be very dry and cold, but delivering a nice bit of snow.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 15:15

All 3 main models going for significant coverage of 5400 thickness over large areas of NSW and almost Qld. Agree minimal moisture but with 3 models in similar agreement it’s a goer I reckon. 👍
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 20:10

I’ll start a thread as be good to record for posterity.
Posted by: Homer

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 20:12

Originally Posted By: Kino
I’ll start a thread as be good to record for posterity.


Would be good if maps could be posted like this thread.
It gives so much more info.
I would if I could.

https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/8-10th-may-preseason-chill-down.84495/
Posted by: Kino

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 20:35

Agree but this forum is ridiculous to post images. Takes so much effort.
Posted by: Steve777

Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 - 04/05/2019 22:54

Some substantial cells marching Northwards off the Sydney coast. The Sat