What's happening in Tassie?

Posted by: duckweather

What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2011 10:50

Just wondering how our fellow Aussies are doing in Tassie with this rain?
You are copping it too.
crazy
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2011 12:12

I live down in Hobart, and haven't had any flooding but it has been raining a fair bit the last couple days. One of my friends in the North East said they got isolated with the floods they said they got 300mm in 24 hours!
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2011 12:49

It's certainly been a volatile season.
I nearly bought a house in Hobart 20 years ago smile Lovely place.
May still move there yet.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2011 16:58

Duck weather - g'day, the locals discuss it in a different forum

http://www.stormplanet.com/forums/

There is plenty of info in there about this event, I often drop in too because I moved back to the North Island (mainland) 2 years ago after having 10 excellent years in the Hobart area. Ciao
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2011 17:15

"the locals discuss it in a different forum"

Aah, ok grin Thanks DaveM

I'll check out that forum wink
Posted by: Loopy Radar

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2011 11:51

I was wondering if there was any weather freaks in Tasmania. Perhaps the stormplanet link should be somewhere easy to find
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2011 15:40

There's gotta be, Loopy Radar grin
We must recruit! (to WZ) grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2011 12:32

Actually they started out here (and Ski.com.au) but a few years ago drifted to another forum. My faulty memory says something like this - a number of members back then (Tassie and a number of others generally) didn't like some changes (rules? layout? forgotten!!) made to these forums and basically opted out, most just continued on BUT David Simpson of Stormplanet offered his site as a forum for tassie members (as David was based down there too or about to move back there from Vic) The Tassie bunch (including me) ended up on David's site and that's where they have stayed. Several of them keep an eye on here from time to time but most members here don't seem to show much interest in Tassie so nothing changed, nobody was missed. smile

Most of the Tassie mob are snow freaks and the forums get most excited when the potential for snow is about - which is quite regularly through the year down there. It's quite an active and friendly group although they suffered badly for credibility when I moved back to the North Island. wink

Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2011 13:46

I, for one, always think of Tassie when all weather events happen. Know some people who live there and they (Tassie-ites) are Aussies like us, so I care smile

Thanks for the extra info on "where are they now" grin

Cheers wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2011 14:29

Tassie had excellent weather, lot's of variation, although not many storms (in the South).

A few members of the Tassie group are VERY good technically and observationally re the weather especially regarding snow, the local Hobart BOM used to invite us in for a visit of an evening from time to time. They found our observations/forecasting etc very useful. We had a good relationship with the BOM generally, although there was a period not soo rosy, but it got better. smile

DW it easy to register for stormplanet and they like to hear from new people. When I lived there a number of us regularly got together for a barbie/pub or camping/hut trip - especially if snow was likely. Many laughs were had (usually at my expense:) ) LOTS of FUN.

I miss the Tassie weather group (and Tassie, best place I ever lived) so I drop in to the forum quite regularly still.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/01/2011 10:23

The radar/lightening for Tassie looks very interesting.
Hope someone from the apple isle can post some pics on WZ grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/01/2011 13:17

Most of that activity is over the mountainous areas with tiny populations - so not a great chance for piccies. Sadly most of the storm activity tends to die off by the time it hits Hobart - but some might push through and then we might get some photos. Although again they will post on stormplanet most likely.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/01/2011 15:22

Hey there,
I'm new to Tassie and trying to get a grip on how the weather works down here. I've been trying to register for Stormplanet but for the last week or so I've been getting
"Creating a new account is currently not possible."
Any ideas?
Posted by: David Simpson.

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/01/2011 13:27

Hi Jocelyn & others

Sorry you couldn't register, I've temporarily closed the Tassie forum to new members due to some spamming problems but can manually join you up, I will send you and duckweather an email. I won't promote another forum here as it would be unethical & I would not do it. Most of our members on the Tas forum are members here too so it's all good. I'll be in touch.

Cheers

David
Posted by: rookie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2011 11:42

Hi to the Tassie contingent. I hale from Cairns in Far NQ Cyclone Yasi Territory. Needed a break from the chat about Yasi and as we have a holiday let at swansea thought I would see how things are going down that part of the world today. Just sitting and waiting for Yasi to vent her fury at present. Few wind gusts overcast. All prepared though for loss of water and power and telecommunications.Fun stuff.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2011 16:41

GFS shows likely snow in Tassie this coming weekend!! Hows that for variety from Yasi smile
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2011 21:13

Just looking at the radar/lightning/satellite of OZ, it's lit up like a Christmas tree with lightning strikes crazy

Tassie does look like it could get some snow. Better than the stinking heat we're getting grin

Rookie, hope you stay safe and can understand if you are exhausted from concentrating on what Yasi is up to. It must be overwhelming.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/02/2011 23:01

I lived in Hobart for 5 years. I have never been so Storm deprived. frown When we bought our house outside of Hobart looking over the Southern Ocean and back towards Mount Wellington, I thought there should be some awesome photo opportunities....... alas NONE. Views and lifestyle were fantastic.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2011 09:04

There are awesome photo opportunities of sunsets and snow caps and cloud caps etc just not many storms. smile
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2011 17:15

smile Yes, very much so. To capture the beautiful scenery against the weather images. Nothing more stunning then Mount Wellington snow laiden or watching the roaring beach at Strahan at Sunset. Sigh... I think I need a tourist trip to Tassie.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/02/2011 09:02

Yep we left 2 years ago and we wish we still lived there. Best place to live full stop. We spent every weekend out in the mountains/beaches/lakes/rivers etc.

Just the ability to whiz up Mt Wellington for a fix of cold air and an awesome alpine environment just minutes from town. Sometimes the Mt was so vicious but others it was incredibly benign.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/02/2011 21:57

Would have to agree DaveM, we especially loved going down to Cockle Creek, and doing the free camping at the boundary to the National Park. It's a very special place.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/02/2011 13:01

Aaa Cockle Creek on a sunny day - snow white sand brilliant blue green (absolutely crystal)water and a lot of the year - big snow banks on the impressive ranges just to the north.

Mind you it was a bit chilly in the water most times. smile
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/02/2011 20:39

Ahhh yes, I remember the kids in their Anchor wetsuits even during Summer. Water temps up here at the moment are 25/26, a very stark contrast. We lived near the Surf Beach at Carlton (Park Beach to be specific), also at Taroona, where we could walk down the sides of the cliffs down to beaches along the Derwent. So much beautiful water everywhere, but you need a 10 mm wetsuit, just to enjoy. Very refreshing difference up here on the Tweed Coast. I just remember watching the fronts come through and all the angry waves along the beach. You would remember, one low would pass, have a couple of days break, before the next one would come through. Also, the front page of the Mercury due to the most amazing storm, where it flashed for hours. This is my only memory of a storm in Hobart lol.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/02/2011 09:32

Our last couple of years were in Taroona - just above the channel highway in line with Taroona beach. Uphill from the little service station. Stunning views but a mountain goat block smile

I actually liked the fact that the weather was always changing, temp was a yo yo but I liked the fact you did not have cold OR heat too long generally. Changes do whip through there much more often than the mainland for sure.

I remember that storm, up here it would be just another ok storm but down there it was very special. Having said that I went through a very solid downpour with many sparks right in Campbell Town and it's the only time in my life I pulled off the road for about 15 minutes because I was completely unable to see the road. So wonders will never cease.

I also remember walking into Lake St Clair/Labyrinth area in 30 cm of snow as it was coming down - best memories ever. The options of beach vs mountains etc awesome down there.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 09:49

Same our last few years in Tassie, we did a renovation house, at the top of the bends, last street at Taroona, before you proceed onto the Shot Tower. The street ran along the edge of the cliffs there. It was amazing to see the Saphire Princess come through the Derwent over Summer. It felt like you could reach forward and touch it. To see it docked into the wharves as you came over the Tasman Bridge and see it larger then most of the other buildings in Hobart was amazing. You would see the occasional snow flurry at Bathurst? We had snow at Taroona, and my Hubby who was working down at Seven Mile Beach, said it was also snowing down there. The diversity in weather was amazing. Would you be able to move back down there again ?? I would describe so much of the weather down there as "Moody".
Posted by: Dr Philosophy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 19:48

I'm only 24 years old, but I wouldn't mind living down in Tassie, particularly Hobart, even at a young age (personally, Sydney isn't really the city for me, both in terms of their climate & lifestyle). grin

I've been down to Hobart in July 2007 for a week-long holiday, which was during the middle of winter. Maximum temps were mostly at around 10-12C during that time, which for a person that was born & bred in Sydney, was acceptable for me. Then again, I was well prepared to dress for a Tasmanian winter. It was during that holiday that I walked on & touched the snow for the first time in my life, which happened at Mt Wellington.

My parents, who both migrated from Poland in the early 80s, really liked Hobart, to the point where they wouldn't mind living down there for their retirement (it is just over 1.5 hours by plane from Sydney). Even though they currently like living in Sydney, they don't really like the heat & humidity that characterises Sydney's summer weather. This is particularly evident during the week-long heatwave in Sydney earlier this month, in which my mother concluded that she hates Australia's summer weather (she doesn't like hot weather in general). That statement obviously doesn't apply to Tassie, in which whilst we were suffering the heat & humidity back home, we looked down to Tassie in envy, where it rarely gets hot, and even when it does, it only lasts for a day.
A family friend of mine, who also migrated from Poland in the early 80s, had recently went on a week-long trip to Tasmania for a holiday, which coincidentally happened during a week-long heatwave back home in Sydney. They concluded that they also wouldn't mind living down there for retirement, particularly near Hobart.

Due to my young age, I would only move to Tassie if a job came up down there that would suit my qualifications.
At least real estate prices are still very affordable, especially when compared to most of mainland Australia. wink

Overall, I really like the climate & lifestyle that Tassie has got. smile
Posted by: H'Bay Qld

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 19:50

Hey Guys,
Just saw your post.
My partner and I are getting married in August and I'd love to have our honey moon in Tassie.
Some friends of our toured Tassie in a motor home and said that that was the way to go.
What would you guys suggest.
I would really like to tour and stay in local pubs and B&B's to get a feel of the local towns etc.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 22:15

Hi Dr Philosophy, what sort of work do you do ?? H'Bay Qld, I would highly recommend a BB & pub stay throughout Tasmania. Some gorgeous Heritage Pubs, and divine B&B's right throughout Tassie. I would allow at least 10 - 12 days unrushed to travel to most parts of Tassie. Depends obviously on what your wants are. If you are wishing to do hiking tracks and stays in National Parks, I would say longer. You can travel the island in 7 days if you wished, but it would be extremely hurried, and you wouldn't really get the "full" experience. If you let us know what your expectations are, then we can possibly advise.
Posted by: Dr Philosophy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 22:52

Originally Posted By: Prettymillielovestorms
Hi Dr Philosophy, what sort of work do you do ??


I'm not working at the moment (wish I do though frown ), but I have completed 2 Diplomas at TAFE: one in Library/Information Services & the other in Spatial Information Services.

Hobart does have a number of institutions/organisations that would have jobs that fit my qualifications, such as:

Library/Information Services


* State Library of Tasmania
* University of Tasmania

Spatial Information Services


* Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water & Environment
* Various local government institutions (eg. Hobart City Council)

The problem is, there's not many job vacancies in my line of work in Hobart. Checking out Seek online on those jobs proves just that.

Feel me to PM me to discuss further about employment opportunities in Hobart & Tasmania, especially in regards to Library/Information Services & Spatial Information Services. wink

Back on the topic of weather in Tassie, while most of Sydney sweltered in temps of mid 30s to low 40s during the week-long heatwave earlier this month, Hobart stayed in the high teens to mid 20s, which is much more moderate for my climatic tastes. smile
Posted by: whirlygirl

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2011 22:55

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Aaa Cockle Creek on a sunny day - snow white sand brilliant blue green (absolutely crystal)water and a lot of the year - big snow banks on the impressive ranges just to the north.

Mind you it was a bit chilly in the water most times. smile

LOL!
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/02/2011 21:46

Yes, employment can be a bit tricky if you are in specialised fields. The Trades are easy enough, and never a shortage of work. Don't be totally fooled by the temperatures. 24 degrees in Hobart is quite a warm day. If you get the hot Northerlies, then you can be getting up into the 32's 33's, which is very warm. I know, it sounds weird at 24 it's quite hot, the Sun has bite. Even though it may be a 24 degree day t-shirt for comfort, as soon as the sun sets, you need long sleeve tops on again. There's always sea breezes, and I mean always. I didn't have a Summer or Winter wardrobe, it was always a winter wardrobe with a few t-shirts. However, I did miss a Mainland Summer. It's not quite the BBQ Summer lifestyle that you get on the Mainland. The days during Summer are very long. There is a long twilight. It can still be light around 9.30 in the evening. Great for outdoor activities etc.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/02/2011 21:48

Oh and forgot to mention. It's extremely windy smile
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/02/2011 22:11

Pretty muched summed it up, apparently Hobart has the highest amount of sunshine hours during the summer solstice (late december) so it does stay light for a long time.
I remember a few times complaining how hot it felt only to discover later that day it only reached 20 degrees or something.
I really enjoy the winters here, as i like colder weather. Yet i do enjoy a few 30 degree days here and there but not all the time.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/02/2011 22:25

Lol, I would remember, the weather forcast. They'd say 24 and fine. I'd say to my Husband... ooo It will be a hot day, and seriously 24 would be equivalent to a mainland 30 degree day. I would tell Family on the mainland, add another 6 degree's to get the real "feel's like temperature".
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/02/2011 09:14

That temperature thing is very very real and no one seems to know why. I even remember they (UTAS I think) were going to study why a 24 (say) degree day in Hobart area felt much hotter. Even visitors to the state would say gee it was hot today and if you replied "it was only 24" or something they would not believe you.

Very very long days in summer but a bit short in worst part of winter.

WIND - yep very regular.

All in all though I loved the climate down there. (Except the heavy wind)
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/02/2011 16:13

I haven't done any research on the temps recording as say a 24, but feels like 30 etc. There was a couple of theories going around when we were down there. One was that there was a hole in the ozone and the other was that the atmosphere was thinner. I really didn't know what to think about that, when I was told. It would be very interesting to find out the true reason. I might start my search with google...
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 10:19

Ah Tassie, that long revered sanctum for summer weary Britons:

http://www.joseflebovicgallery.com/catalogue/archive/cat-124-2007/Large/0057.jpg
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 10:25

Obviously an day/night average with 62 being below 20 for memory 20c is about 70 or 72F.

Never sighted that poster before - love it.!!
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 10:56

Yeah, that would be an average temp- 62F is around 16.5C. Looks like it could be a tad lower than that over the coming days with that 0C isotherm lurking over the Apple Isle.

Does anyone know what happened to that guy who moved to Liawenee from Darwin? He posted some February snow pics in 2009 or 2010.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 12:08

Must have moved away again - was it Paul?

Went quiet after a while. Liawenee is a tough environment but I loved it up on the great lake, usually went that way from Hobart to Deloraine etc instead of the main highway.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 16:37

Funny day today in Hobart, the temp dropped to around 15-16 degrees at 2 in the afternoon and some fresh winds. Nice change after yesterday though which was abit warm smile
Perhaps some winter patterns are approaching!
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/02/2011 23:26

Yes, its a fairly short Summer in Tassie, it won't be long before you are having to stack up more wood or de - ice the heat pump (like we had to do regularly) Gosh that would be a Culture shock move from Darwin to Tassie.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/02/2011 09:09

GFS shows the higher peaks of Tassie prob see a snow dust this weekend.
Posted by: Cmon Aussie Cmon

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/02/2011 21:14

Sheffield has had 980mm in half an hour.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=91291&list=ob&ut=1
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/02/2011 21:22

Surely that can't be right?
~1metre of rain and the BOM radar isn't showing anything yet?
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR523.loop.shtml#skip
Posted by: SCC

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/02/2011 23:16

Definitely a malfunction guys...kinda obvious isn't it?
Posted by: Kevin QLD

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2011 00:00

its the reckoning!
Posted by: Cmon Aussie Cmon

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2011 09:37

lol i know.. dont think jocelyn realises..
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2011 09:49

No, I realised, I was just worried you hadn't Cmon. smile Next time I'll make sure I use the exact words "I'm pretty sure this is a malfunction."

Seeing as their station is at the farm school, I just figured someone had put the sprinkler in the wrong place.

Nice rain today, but not as bad as they were predicting.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/02/2011 10:00

There was snow in Tassie over the weekend at least down to 900m - wish I was there still.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/02/2011 10:05

Yeah it was cold overnight in Hobart, and mt. wellington got down to -2 i think. I can't see the mountain from my house but i'd imagine abit of snow on it today.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/02/2011 12:19

Saw a picture on Sunrise on snow on the Mt this morning. Will have disappeard rapidly in sunlight. Would be very chilly up there still though.
Posted by: Stuballs

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/02/2011 20:31

Hows the weather?
Posted by: nocturnal1

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/02/2011 04:14

I just got back from Tassie tonight after camping near Cradle Mountain during the cold front that passed a few days ago. I have never known such COLD!!!! We got a fair bit of rain too (had to dig shallow trenches around the tents) probably about 2 inches of rain I'd guess. Then the next day went up to Devil's Gullet where the wind (and the wind chill) was INCREDIBLE. A 70kg person could lean backwards, off their centre of gravity; the wind was strong enough to hold you up.

At the same time, there was some sleet swirling around up there. Didn't have a thermometer with me, but it was the sort of chill that makes you cover your mouth to warm your breath so it doesn't hurt your lungs. Didn't stay up there long! Three hours later we were down in the valley below and it was snowing up there. The next day, the Great Western Tiers had a healthy dusting of snow, and I heard quite a lot of walks at Cradle Mtn. were closed. Just missed out! frown
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/02/2011 15:22

Devils Gullett - what an interesting spot that is, blew a gale up the cliff when I was last there too - almost lost my hat. All that area is quite nasty when it wants to be. Stunning but sometimes very mean.

Cradle can be very wet quite often. Glad you "enjoyed" it.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/02/2011 22:24

Looks like a cold start to autumn, decent front approaching!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/02/2011 09:11

I'm heading down to Hobart this weekend for a very short (Unfortunately) trip. Down Sat morn back Sun evening. Way too short but long enough I'm sure to make me want to stay there.

Hope to get up to the Mt on Sat (plus Salamanca) or Sun and maybe Salmon Ponds for lunch Sunday.

The models are all different as to placement of a high and it's final placement will have a big bearing on what clothes we will need. smile The Mt WILL be cold. Yesss!!
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 09:35

Dose anyone happen to know if the yesterdays cold front dropped any snow on top of cradle mountain??
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 10:02

I was looking at temps and precip a number of times yesterday and I would be quite certain it would have snowed around there. Snow was forecast to 800 metres (which is around or slightly lower than the elevation of the accommodation) and Cradle itself is about or just over 1500m (I know it takes a bit of climbing and clinging to get up there). At the least the ridges and peaks would surely have had snow. The area is a real moisture magnet so that should have made it almost a cetainty.

Mt Wellington at 1275m basically did not get above zero most of the day. Even sites at 400 - 500 metres were struggling at around 4 or 5 degrees most of the day.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 10:11

Mt Read (1100m asl) is not far south and west of Cradle it sat on zero to 1 degree all day with about 18mm in a 24 hour period. Cradle was prob slightly drier but given Cradles height it would still grab a lot of moisture.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 11:42

Thanks for your quick reply, Dave. I've got 2 friends currently road tripping around Tassie and they were quite excited at the prospect of seeing Cradle snow capped in the summer.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 12:27

Snow probably gone already but possibility of more next day or so. Soil too warm to stay about except in very deep shaded areas. Or if they actually walked up near/passed Kitchen Hut and the base of the actual final Cradle Mt rise they might still find some.

If in the Hobart area they can go up Mt Wellington and maybe see some flakes OR even better head to Lake Dobson, 16 km on good dirt road up behind Russell Falls in Mt Field area. It often snows there even without the 540 line over Tassie. It is one of my absolute favourite spots in Tassie. It's microclimate is quite a lot colder than most areas.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 12:33

CS - if they have any other queries just ask. I spent virtually every weekend for 10 years out and about in the Tassie scrub/mountains/lakes/beaches etc I know lots of good local places that most tourists don't visit because they don't know about them or don't think they have time. EG most people go to Port Arthur but miss some truly spectacular scenery just nearby including Australias highest sea cliffs. 300m straight in to the sea.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 12:57

Funny you should say that, but the better half wants us to take a trip to Tassie this year, possibly sometime in July/August. We've done quite a bit of travelling around Australia in the last 5 years and Hobart is the only capital city were yet to visit, so it's on our to do list, and after having visited Cradle/Lake St Clair in July 2007 were keen to get back there. When would be the snowiest time(if there is one)to visit? It was unfortunate that our trip in 2007 coincided with some very mild(even record breaking in some parts i think) weather with very little snow.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2011 14:07

Generally I worked on the fact that the heaviest falls were late August and up to late September. June is often very light on and July it's getting a bit more snowy. If I had to say 1 month it would be August and probably mid August on. HOWEVER in any given year it can be quite different eg MAY 2000 which was ridiculously heavy for that time.

Changes whip through very quickly and in a 2 week period there could be 3 or 4 days of potential snow especially in the higher bits.

As I said above Lake Dobson/Eagle Tarn in Mt Field (16km behind Russell/Horseshoe Falls) is a truly magical spot. Wombat Moor (on the way there) is bleak/windswept awesome with stunning views of the ranges of Mt Field/Mawson/Rodway Range.

At Lake Dobson the water is often ice and snow encrusted around the edges, or over the whole surface of the lake, heaps of temperate rainforest/Myrtle/Sassafras/Scorparia (ouch) /Pandani etc and tall Antarctic Ferns etc. Walk around Dobson to Eagle Tarn & back down the road to the car park. You are only a few hundred metres from the Mt Field ski area.

It's in the shadow of Mt Mawson so snow hangs around a long time at Lake Dobson.

Lots of Platypus there. It is a magical magical kingdom in snow!!!. We always took visitors (or just ourselves) up there if it looked like snowing.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/03/2011 23:11

Enjoy your short trip DaveM, say Hi to Hobart for me, we were down there April last year, and we were mostly in jeans and jumpers. Takes some photo's and post them here, so we can enjoy. Cheers
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2011 09:19

Only 14 for Saturday and 17 for Sunday - nice n cool. Hope to go up Mt Wellington where it WILL be COLD especially with a "breeze". We get there about 8.30am tomorrow, wander into town have some brekkie, wander around Salamanca, maybe zip up the Mt, check out the ole house near Fern Tree and get organised for our sons party. Sunday - hoping to get out to Salmon Ponds maaaaaybe Mt Field but not sure if the son will be up to it cheers LOL

Then back on the big bird Sunday evening back to horrid Sydney then up through lovely Blue Mtns to home. Probably not going to want to leave Tassie really (and my "little boy" all 6 foot 8 of him).
Posted by: 43south

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2011 20:38

You'e probably already here Dave but I hope you enjoy your trip anyway, it has been cold today - almost winter weather where I am (Tasman Peninsula) and gotta love thaty blasting wind, the temp as I write is upposed to be 8 degrees, feels like 2.6 degrees (which feels pretty right) and I have had the heater on all day.

We definitely missed out on having a summer this year.

I've only lived in Tassie for 4 years now, we moved from Caloundra and love the cooler weather, pristine environment and the smaller hustle and bustle, so Dave I would love to hear sometime of some of those spots you mention which people don't know about, I have seen some of the coast down the bottom of the peninsula by yacht some years agobut I'm a very keen photographer and love going places to take pikkies as often as possible.


brrrrrrrr
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2011 20:40

Travelled to Savage River via Waratah on Thursday, road through peaks a bit over 600m, had heavy sleet for 5 minutes or so until I dropped down the hill. Would have been quite snowy above 750m this week (2 changes) in western, central and southern areas. Though I have noticed the mountains closer to the west coast are rarely snow covered - possibly due to the ocean winds and thefact the rains melt the snow as soon as the cold air passes. Inland areas such as Cradle are far better at retaining snow.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/03/2011 09:46

As we flew in to Tassie inb Sat morning, it was very obvious that the top 200 metres or so of the central high peaks had a very pronounced snow line. I first thought it was a line of cloud but soon worked out I was wrong.

It was lovely and fresh getting off the plane at about 8.45 am (about 6 or 7 degrees) we cruised to Dome in Sandy Bay for brekkie (it's still a good spot), wandered around Salamanca markets for an hour or two then charged up the Mt.

There were snow remnants (quite a lot) from just over 1000m (Chalet). Up top it was broken cover with some drifted around plants etc up to 15 or more cm deep. Even on exposed areas it was about 3 to 5cm deep. I was surprised at how much snow there was.

We then wandered down to the Fern Tree tavern for lunch which was very enjoyable. The Tavern has had ebbs and flows of food pleasures over the last 8 or 10 years and it has been known as a very good spot but then lapsed a bit, happily it now seems to be quite nice again. Would be happy to recommend it to my local friends.

Wind chill was a bit cool at times on Saturday but overall it was a lovely sunny day with a cool breeze.

Sunday was one of those typical Tassie days that felt very hot in the sun even though the thermometer did not necessarily support the feel. The sea breeze kicked in about 2pm and it was cool in the shade in the breeze near water. Away from the seabreeze it was quite warm and felt hotter.

Bathurst is currently greener than the hobart area, it looks quite dry (very brown) but it's rapidly approaching the time of year where green will start to reappear.

As expected we did not want to leave - hope I get there a few more times and for longer stays. Might have to plan the Overland Track in Autumn for next year or something. smile

G'day to 43 South, you have some awesome country righ under your feet. Also the fast boat from Port Arthur to Tasman Island and Eaglehawk Neck is absolutely incredible, make sure you have a go at it. One major highlight is bumping the boat immediately under the higherst sea cliffs in Australia (300m) Do it do it do it!!!

43s if you are considering heading out for a day anytime, pm me if you think I can help with hints (My wife and I also ran Fletchers Fotographics in Hobart for 5 years so I'm keen on photography too)

Snowies - glad to see your still out there in it. Have you grown webbed toes yet from the moisture up your way?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2011 20:32

Work puts me out in it...

Been quite dry - relatively speaking, aside from that 1 week in Jan. Still lush green though.

Was in Hobart over the weekend as well for my sister and brothers birthday, Sunday was a nice day - didn't go up the mountain cause as you say the snow wasn't visible from the city.

Is dry down there, aside from the area within 1 meter of any rain gauge owned by Sf. Really notice the change between Deloraine and Perth
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2011 09:17

A job that puts you outdoors on occasions is not too bad (mostly) smile

No snow vis but it was still definitely up there in the less sunny sides. It was nice to see it.

LOL re SF rain gauge - methinks it's in range of a sprinkler smile

Where you are now is generally much greener year round than the SE. We always noticed it heading up to Wynyard etc.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2011 20:09

Saw the first really good mist of the season this morning in Lonnie. I love mist!
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2011 21:51

Tassie-ites, where did that come from?
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2011 21:53

won't be long and that mist will turn to frost and the fog hangs around until mid morning.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/03/2011 09:03

Like Launnie, Bathurst is in the bottom of a river valley and get heaps of fog and frost. Our frosts are a bit colder than even Launnie though. Not unusual for the odd minus 5 or 6 in winter here. When it gets to minus 8 it's much more noticeable. smile

Bathurst was the first place I saw a whole tree (large pine tree) white from top to bottom on a minus 8 morning - it was frost not snow. Blew me away.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2011 21:27

I just looked up the difference between mist and fog and decided what we had was technically fog. But mist sounds so much more romantic.

I can't wait for the foggy, frosty, misty mornings (and evenings.) It's one of the many things I fled Queensland for.

Apparently we had enough frost to kill pumpkins last weekend, but I must have slept in. People at Deloraine were saying they got a frost too.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2011 23:49

Ahhh the Bridgewater Jerry, do you remember that DaveM?? I believe that Hobart is the 2nd driest captial city behind Adelaide for rainfall. We noticed that last April, how dry it was down there, I guess we have become used to the subtroprical Northern NSW. My neice who is at Austins Ferry was taking photo's of across the Derwent last September, and it was still very dry, and that was even after the "wet season".
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2011 09:52

Hobart & Bathurst have almost the same average rainfall Hobart 614 Bx 632. Correct, Hobart is the second driest capital city after Adelaide it also though has the second highest hours of sunshine after Adelaide as well. Once Autumn really rolls on down Hobart way it will start to green again even without much more precip, the sun has much less strength so it needs only small amounts of moisture to green up again, heavy dew, fog (sorry mist) etc can even help it green up in Autumn.

The big diff between Hobart and Bx rain is how it's delivered, we tend to get fewr but heavier falls, Hobart has more numerous falls of lighter rain/drizzle/showers. One thing I really noticed was that Hobart rarely received large rain drops, living back here the very large drops at times could very well frighten Hobartians. smile

Jocelyn, Mist does sound much nicer than FOG doesn't it. The bridgewater Jerry is quite interesting, when it has a good flow down the river (like a river in the air) it creates a really cold strong wind in some places as it charges down river. I remember shivering wickedly at the Domain Tennis courts one morning, got there it was nice and blue and calm then Jerry charged down river and we froze in cold strong windy fog for about half an hour till it cleared.

Deloraine is much frostier than Hobart, you have to get out of Hobart proper (away from the water) in general to get a good frost. I think Deloraine is a stunning little town, my wife and I often stayed overnight there on weekend travels.

You lot will make me want to move back there soon. Actually we both would love to move back, it's only family that keeps us on the north island, but for us family is too big a pull (but only just!!) smile
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2011 12:40

The old JERRY hey...Still remember one of the coldest days I can remember was watching footy at Boyer.....fffffreezing!! That was a good 15 to 20 years ago.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2011 14:57

Warm one for March today in Hobart, currently 27.5 degrees but when i was outside it felt more like early 30's.
Posted by: Inclement Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 09:03

Tassie has largely escaped all the extreme weather this summer; however, it has only been on borrowed time. Most of the models have now aligned to prog that the east coast of the Apple Isle is going to be in for an absolute shellacking early next week. Some ferocious wind and insane totals are forecast. Keep safe all.
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 09:35

IW it was only yesterday that GFS had all that bad weather off the sth coast of NSW.The charts are all over the place at the moment with this system,so i'd give it till tomorrow night at least.
Posted by: Inclement Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 10:52

Yes, pete, I saw that too, but the models have shown consistency in the last few runs, so there seems to be increasing confidence that there is a significant event in the offing. I noticed also that Hobart's forecast has been adjusted this morning to showers midweek from the mostly fine it had yesterday.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 11:06

Models definitely variable but some models show crazy rain in parts. The mountains and orographics can have a huge bearing on rain rates and amounts down there.

Oughta get St Columba Falls pumping insanely!!
Posted by: Inclement Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 15:20

This is the updated statewide forecast issued at 11.40am from Hobart for next Tuesday:

Outlook for Tuesday :
Rain periods, locally heavy about eastern
districts at times. Mild with moderate to fresh east to southeasterly winds,
strong about the coasts later.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2011 23:38

Hopefully this happens, i'm looking foward to some heavy rain!
It's been incredibly dry lately, with only very short showers if any frown
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2011 09:57

All models getting much closer in outlook now. Definitely someone will get quite wet.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2011 10:31

I was went and saw St Columba Falls during that "extreme weather event" when St Helens had massive flash flooding. (The same week that Brisbane and Toowoomba went under.) It was pretty spectacular.

It must be about time we got some rain anyway. I say bring it on.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2011 11:12

St Columba falls is excellent any time - I have also seen it pumping quite well and pump it can.
Posted by: Inclement Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2011 10:45

I'm surprised that with all manner of warnings in place for Tassie that this thread is so quite. Wake up Tassie your turn has come.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2011 12:41

The tassie folk are in another forum - Stormplanet.com Most of them don't post here generally.

Tas certainly looks like copping a flogging on the NE corner.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2011 14:27

Not a drop of rain here today as of yet, even though heavy showers have been forecast all day.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2011 15:01

Satellite shows it getting closer. smile
Posted by: KevD

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2011 15:06

This one shows it quite well:

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar.jsp?lt=wzstate&lc=tas

Always thought it a shame that there is no NE Tas radar...

Latest LAPS (or whatever it is called now) is showing some big falls down the whole E coast tomorrow...Imagine some big totals as it clatters into the mountains...
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/03/2011 19:41

Not that much rain. BOM observations still saying next to nothing, but we've had a few showers. It was windy early this morning, but nothing that spectacular.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94969.shtml

Conversation hasn't exactly been raging over at stormplanet either. I guess you've got to remember that Tassie only has a population of ~500 000 total, and they don't seem to get that excited about the weather. I mean the flash flooding in January was a talking point, but everyone down here just deals with it.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/03/2011 09:06

Most of the tassie contributors are snow freaks. They can get excited by rain but mostly snow. If the event ramped up you would probably see more action there.

The stormplanet site had a few technical issues lately and only just got back on line fully this week. Might have caused some to assume it was still not quite right.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/03/2011 10:24

Gray got 327mm in the 24 hours to 9, the third-highest daily fall on record in Tasmania.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/03/2011 13:38

Thanks Blair - that's an awesome fall.
Posted by: Storm Hunter

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/03/2011 11:24

Has anyone got any pics of St Columbia Falls in flood after this event? I was down there in 07 when there was a drought on, the falls where running but I would love to see them after this big rain event.loved Tassie will be back again.NSW main land east coast inland from Newcastle.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/03/2011 18:09

Fair enough - I'll keep an eye out for stormplanet picking up during the snowy times. I didn't mean the weather-nuts weren't into it, just the population generally seems a bit disinterested. The other day when all those EWN alerts came in by text I mentioned it to a few people, and they were mostly "meh."

Both the North and South Esk rivers are way up. Cataract Gorge is thundering, but I don't have pictures.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/04/2011 22:21

So..... What's been happening in Tassie ????? smile
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/04/2011 21:04

Well there was a lot of flooding a few weeks back, but they didn't end up evacuating.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/03/26/3174353.htm

Since then it's been beautiful crisp autumn days, with some fog in the mornings, then sunshine through to nightfall. No major frosts yet in town, although I hear the lakes received snow last weekend? Don't know if anyone can confirm this...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/04/2011 09:00

There would have been a frost or two on the central plateau and posibly places like Deloraine too.
Posted by: dlcat1

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/04/2011 14:21

Hey Tassie WZers, How much has this system kicking Vic affected you? The whole island looks to be in the path of the tail.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/04/2011 18:48

It's quite wet. Very windy last night. Most of the North-East is on flood watch, and some regions have been warned of flash flooding.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2011 09:00

My son puts solar systems on roofs around Hobart - dare say he's been on fewer buildings the last day or two.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2011 17:27

Would never have guessed that last nights rain was the wettest 24hr's to 9am for Hobart City since 1960.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2011 12:59

Lucky you're in the sunny north!! DL
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2011 21:24

Yeah! Less than 60mm this week, phew. Was brilliant sunshine today and I was at Savage River... cool, damp and mist off the paddocks first thing this morning and a really nice sunset last thing tonight - think the cows over the road were impressed juding by the smell they were emitting.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2011 11:54

There will be snowfalls down to 600 or 800m in Tas - Sat pic real speckled this morning. Looks promising for snow on peaks this weekend too and other front behind that look promising. I still remember May 2000 down there VERY fondly - awesome snowfalls and it was my first time in snow driving 4wd - had a ball.
Posted by: anewts

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2011 22:34

Loving it DaveM, i'm down in Tassie from midday Sunday for a week smile Looking forward to some colder weather smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/05/2011 09:02

It's a good time of the year for Tassie, not as many "visitors", easier to get accommodation and weather often cool but clear with frosts in highland areas and the chance of snow. The Cradle Mtn area is particularly good this time of year, plenty of chances to walk but also the chance to get snow & ice.

Enjoy it, I miss it tremendously. If my wife and I cared only for ourselves - we would be back living there in an instant.

If you get a chance another magic favourite of ours is Lake Dobson & Eagle Tarn circuit, absolutely simple walk but also wonderful, just 16 km behind Russell Falls and directly under the Mt Field ski areas. Have some crepes (supe yummy savoury or sweet) at the Salmon Ponds (@ Plenty) on the way from Hobart - another favourite.

Have a good time - post a report somewhere when you come back. cheers
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/05/2011 17:12

Dont think there was much in that snow system earlier in the week, grab 10+mm but was frontal rain. Dried up after that. Some good frosts about, first widespread frosts of the year, central highlands down to -6.

had 5 frosts so far in Ridgley including 3 on the trot.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/05/2011 10:19

Well this coming week should see some action (heavy winds too) down there DL. Inland NSW quite chilly too with lots of centres getting frosts.

You are a bit away from the water so you should see plenty of frost on clear nights. Cloud cover will save a few though. Your southern neighbours (our old cohorts) are less chatty these days - they are getting slack. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/05/2011 20:16

Cold, clear and a little breezy this evening. Could be frosty later if the wind dies, although the cloud and showers moving up the west coast may prevent that. Up here it'll be frosty under southerlies (lack of onshore wind/cloud). Moving into Burnie in a month or so, so the frosts and heavy rain will drop away closer to the coast.

Any big frosts yet? Canberra had a real cold one end of last week.


Yeah, if SF has no one to chat to even he has to be quiet.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2011 09:11

We are averaging 0.3 as o/n temp for May so yep we've had plenty of frost. Unless the patterns change - I think May for here is going to average at or below zero. May s/b 3.4 avge min - we already on 0.3 mtd.

Day temps so far about 1.5 above - sun sun sun is all we are getting. Stunning days.

Your move to Burnie will change microclimate for sure
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2011 20:04

Hi Dave, yes we'll have to stir them up a bit. So is it snowing at Taroona/Sandy Bay anyone?? Is it snowing on the beach at 7 mile Beach (sea level) ?? Gives us a report.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2011 10:32

No chat in Stromplanet so I reckon not much snow outside the usual areas. Most of the really cold pool was flung up the western side of Tas into the mainland. That happens ocassionally and Tas sort of misses out heavy falls. I suspect that happened this time.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2011 16:35

Snowfalls to 500m forecast by BOM for Friday - knowing how conservative they can be at times down there and from a little local knowledge it probably means snow to about 300m in the south. Therefore my last house down there should see snow - Sob.
Posted by: Prettymillielovestorms

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2011 21:17

Hi Dave, yes, we would have experienced the same :), although, I don't miss having to hose the ice chocked heat pump. I don't miss the very short Winter days when we would loose the sun behind the "Mountain" around 3ish. We just turned the heat pump on for the first time in a year.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2011 09:03

I had a fire that never froze up - that's why I put a fire in my place when I bought one in Bathurst. It works even with blackouts etc cause I just have to have wood and don't need power.

Yep some days in Hobart (especially if cloudy) were very short.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2011 15:45

Cradle Mountain region was covered in good snow and Great Lake had a couple of Inches. Don't think it snowed to 300m, probably fell as low as 400/450 with some light snow settling by 500. Wasn't a massive amount of rain, but even this far north I got 5.5mm.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2011 09:06

Precip often the issue away from the West Coast - and in the north with a SW system. When do you move closer to Burnie?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2011 21:15

Middle of next month!

Yeah, west coast got a reasonable drop, everyone else made do. Still surprised to get 5.5mm, more than I'd have got if I was in Hobart and that in a South Westerly.

Forecast for the north west was a bit off today, spent a lot of the day with drizzly showers out past sisters beach not the mostly clear conditions expected. Must have been some onshore moisture carried on the stiff breeze.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/05/2011 09:01

Once you go west over the Sisters Hills it's much wetter on a regular basis for sure - it's a real dividing line.

Enjoy the move.
Posted by: jocelyn

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/06/2011 12:31

Okay, so I know it's not exactly "weather" but I thought some might like this story.

UFO over Launceston - spread like wildfire around the world, mainly through the youtube of the encounter the newspaper uploaded.
http://www.examiner.com.au/news/national...ky/2179103.aspx

I can't remember ever seeing an article that then IDs the UFO... so here is the follow up. Who wants to tell all the hundreds of UFO fans around the world who've run with the first story?
http://www.examiner.com.au/news/local/ne...39/2191091.aspx

The other thing that was cool was the Hobart aurora.
http://www.themercury.com.au/article/2011/05/29/233821_tasmania-news.html
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/06/2011 15:12

Thanks Jocelyn - I've been lucky enough to see the Aurora down there - never thought to try and photograph it at the time. Dummy!!

It sure can be a lovely sight.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/07/2011 12:29

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Generally I worked on the fact that the heaviest falls were late August and up to late September. June is often very light on and July it's getting a bit more snowy. If I had to say 1 month it would be August and probably mid August on. HOWEVER in any given year it can be quite different eg MAY 2000 which was ridiculously heavy for that time.

Changes whip through very quickly and in a 2 week period there could be 3 or 4 days of potential snow especially in the higher bits.

As I said above Lake Dobson/Eagle Tarn in Mt Field (16km behind Russell/Horseshoe Falls) is a truly magical spot. Wombat Moor (on the way there) is bleak/windswept awesome with stunning views of the ranges of Mt Field/Mawson/Rodway Range.

At Lake Dobson the water is often ice and snow encrusted around the edges, or over the whole surface of the lake, heaps of temperate rainforest/Myrtle/Sassafras/Scorparia (ouch) /Pandani etc and tall Antarctic Ferns etc. Walk around Dobson to Eagle Tarn & back down the road to the car park. You are only a few hundred metres from the Mt Field ski area.

It's in the shadow of Mt Mawson so snow hangs around a long time at Lake Dobson.

Lots of Platypus there. It is a magical magical kingdom in snow!!!. We always took visitors (or just ourselves) up there if it looked like snowing.


Ok, so i'm in the process of planning my Tassie getaway in early August, so at the moment the plan is to drive down to Melbourne and catch the spirit of Tasmania to Devonport, from there i'd like to head to the Cradle Valley for a few days of leisure then on to Lake St Clair/Central Highlands. From there Id like to aim for the Hobart area, now Id like to place myself not in the city itself, but in an outlying area (a place with good altitude would be great) that is within 30mins/1hr of the city, after that Ill be heading back to Devonport via the midlands hwy through Launceston. Ive put those places you suggested on my to do list Dave, so are there any other places that spring to mind that might be of interest in the above areas? Really hoping I will get to see plenty of frost/snow while Im there, so trying to find accommodation in areas with a decent altitude to maximise my chances of this. Ill be taking my 2010 subaru outback on the trip, so even tho its an AWD would you recommend carrying a set of chains just in case things get icy, or would you say in most situations the AWD would be enough?

Thanks in advance.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/07/2011 13:25

OK - one issue is that most accommodation/towns are at lower levels but anyhow to do the Hobart area you can look at Ferntree which is an outer suburb of Hobart on the flanks of Mt Wellington around 450m asl. Accom there is really a couple of B & B's.

You could stay at Richmond (low but an olde world village) or New Norfolk - upstream of Hobart on the Derwent which gets heaps of frost and is on the way to Mt Field. You could stay out near Mt Field at "National Park" or Maydena (about an hour from Hobart)

If you stayed at/near Mt Field or Maydena you can use the Subie to get on top of Mt Tim Shea which needs awd and is steep but an absolute ripper lookout (ask in Maydena for directions).

Could go to Lakes Pedder & Gordon (huge/deep gorge at Gordon wall)

Richmond is more central (but warmer) to Hobart, the Huon valley & say Port Arthur etc.

I Generally found awd to be enough if you have experience in snow. If not sure carry chains as safety backup.

Derwent Bridge near Lake St Clair is about 700m asl in the centre of the State and is good for snow/frost. The Derwent Bridge Hotel is full of warm character.
Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/07/2011 13:48

When we went to Tassie we hired a motor home for most of our time. That gave us opportunity to get to places and stay where and when we wanted. Wasn't badly priced. Probably bout the same as motels really.

When we stayed in Hobart we stayed at Undine. It is a lovely place and the hosts there were wonderful, warm and friendly. Close enough to Hobart to see it but far enough out that it wasn't a great drama to travel out from there.

http://www.yukiba.com/hotels/australia/h...obart-8451.html

From there we travelled round in a hire car to places like MtField that didn't have large amounts of snow at that time (october) but enough for us Qlders to play in.

Have a great trip and don't forget the pictures smile
Posted by: Bunnyman07

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/07/2011 11:13

Hi All,

I am a new member on this forum. My family and I are spending a week at Cradle Mountain in the second week of August and we are hoping for some snow around some of the resorts there.

What do you think the chances are that we will get to see some? I would love for my kids to see the snow fall as they have never experienced it before.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/07/2011 11:57

Way too early for predictions that far out - However becasue you have a week there in my experience of Cradle that time of year I would think it very likely that you will see snow fall in some shape or form during your stay. It is also very likely the high ground around Cradle will have snow on it to look at. Hope you get some sunny days to see the view too.

It's a magnificent place but especially in winter. A number of walks from simple to hard in the area. A must do is the walk around Dove Lake.
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2011 01:47

There has been so much activity right across the south of our continent over the last couple of weeks with still more to come by the look of things, I was wondering how Tassie has been affected. Any storms, snow, wild winds to report ? poke I have very fond memories of my one and only viit to Tas and always enjoy your weather updates but you've been mighty quiet the last week or so.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2011 11:56

Been quite mild the last week or so , but this arvo the winds picked up a bit here in central Tas and it's freezing cold wind..brrr time to light the fire
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/08/2011 01:52

Hi TheNW its great to have another Taswegian to chat too. I can imagine it would get very cold in central Tassie, how high up are you? Have you had snow this winter? I take a peak in this thread at least once a week and its always good to get an update. Your fire sounds very cosy wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/08/2011 11:26

Check Tasmania weather forums for some interesting photos of Cataract Gorge in flood

http://tassieweather.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=388
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2011 00:11

These are great shots, well worth a look. poke
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/09/2011 00:04

Looks like there's some interesting weather passing over the Apple Isle atm. Can anyone there tell me what's happening ?? poke
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/09/2011 10:17

There's a tiny bit of chat in Tassie forums.

http://tassieweather.org/forum/

Been a bit of rain and a bit of wind, they might get a bit of snow next week.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/10/2011 08:53

Snow falling in Tassie today, official forecasts of snow to 700m but snow often FALLS up to 200m lower than forecast. So some typical spring cold changes going on down there.
Posted by: teckert

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/10/2011 23:20

was definitely a nice fall on Mt Wellington this morning....
Also flying home on plane this arvo, could see vast spreads of snow over the highlands....
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/10/2011 08:59

Teckert it should look great as long as you sit on the correct side smile

All that snow plus big alpine/highland lakes glistening - it's a lovely sight.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/11/2011 16:45

Snow forecast for 1000m Wed 16th Nov. Would like to be that cool again for a few days.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/11/2011 14:17

Heading down to Tassie for a bit of A quick visit from the 22nd - 30th Nov. Hope Tassie can put on some nice cool weather for me. lol. No doubt it will be a bit of a difference to Broome at this time of the year. Looking forward to it.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/11/2011 16:21

Well a couple of the models pointing to snow on the peaks 22/23 November - How's that for a bit of variety for you Popeye?

Could be falls to approx 1000m if it comes off.
Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/11/2011 16:35

Snow. Cold. I want to be there.
Posted by: bruski

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/11/2011 21:28

I will be down there at that time, in Hobart for at that time. Do you reckon there will be anything on Mt Wellington? Would be great if it were, never seen the white stuff in person!
Posted by: bruski

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/11/2011 22:10

Actually, I see that Mt Wellington has snow forecast for next Wednesday which happens to be the day we were planning to just sight see around Hobart... Perfect!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/11/2011 09:55

Bear in mind it will probably be strong winds etc at that time too - it will be seriously COLD on the top (Mt W) - but ya just gotta do it!! smile

If you're lucky enough that it snows to about 1000m - the "Chalet" is a rock/stone built shelter that is near some small roadside waterfalls and is almost always sheltered in snowy conditions - a wonderful place to watch snow gently fall whilst on the top of the Mt is a raging freezing blizzard. Had many a snowy bbq at the Chalet. BTW - the Chalet is on the way up the Mt - easy to find - you go right past it.

Oh - there is a bit of poly pipe and a tap hanging on the roadside just near there too - fill up your water bottles with some of the purest water in the world. Many locals bring 20 litre bottles up to do just that. You can try refilling from the waterfall but you will get cold and wet. smile
Posted by: DVC

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/11/2011 22:52

I've done that and never felt better - am planning a move there by June 2012 - any tips?
Posted by: DVC

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/11/2011 00:55

hello?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/11/2011 09:22

Any tips about what?

The state is wetter on the western half, drier the eastern. Other than that just go and enjoy it. I spent 10 years in the Hobart region but could have happily lived pretty much anywhere down there.

If you like storms - stay in the northern half. If you like regular snow stay more to the south or centre.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/11/2011 11:08

DVC - if you have any specific queries send me a pm, I'll be happy to help if I can. Please also realise I don't spend 24/7 on here so sometimes it may take a little time to respond. smile
Posted by: bruski

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/11/2011 13:23

Thanks for the info Dave, will be sure to take a bottle or two up Mt Wellington to get some of that fresh water.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/11/2011 08:56

No probs - every time I go back there, I always tip out my drinking bottles and fill em up there - it's always cold water too.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/11/2011 09:33

Hope Bruski & Popeye getting some nice cold weather. Snow forecast at about 1300m but it usually gets lower than forecast down there. Plus local factors make it very hard to determine how low it goes. Many many microclimates down there. Mt Wellington should be a good chance. About 4 degrees on Mt W but later today that will get lower.

I can't believe how many times I had snow fall on me at Lake Dobson/Wombat Moor (Mt Field) when the possibility was not even in my mind and the weather maps held no promise of it. It was a wonderful spot for that.
Posted by: bruski

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/11/2011 06:22

Well made it up to mt wellington yesterday morning from 9:00 to 9:45, got to say it was extremely cold. Looking at the bom site wind chill was minus 8 there was snow on the ground which was good.

Stopped and got some water at the chalet, fire was going inside which was nice.

Other than that I have been surprised at how warm the colder temperatures feel down here, it is very pleasant but the temp can drop and rise dramatically both ways depending on the wind and if there is a cloud above our not.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/11/2011 09:05

Glad you found a bit of snow. Wind Chill on The Mt can be horrendous for sure smile Always gets you going though.

Of course as soon as you drop the 1200 odd metres to Hobart the temp comes up HEAPS and it's not near as windy as on the Mt. That was a great feature - if I needed a hit of cool or cold air - 15 minutes had you up on top to what was often a dramatically different bit of weather,

Strong Sea Breeze is another thing that can drop the temp or apparent temp rapidly at times.

The Chalet is great - spent many an evening there with other snow freaks, fire roaring, wood fired bbq plate sizzling waiting for or watching snow falls (also trying to stop the possums stealing our snags too smile One of our group usually took tarps and we covered in at least one side of the Chalet to keep a bit mre fire warmth in there.

One more comment on your comment - the fire in the Chalet. One of the great things abvout touring Tas in Winter is that National Parks often have fires roaring in the picnic shelters in the popular National Parks - really lovely when you come across that. Winter is also a really magic time to tour Tas (albeit the days are pretty short)
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/11/2011 11:02

This probably needs a new thread for you guys but,.....hi to my friends in Tassie.
Looks like you're going to have to prepare an ark with that moisture coming down from the east of the mainland crazy
Hope all is well with you DaveM and others smile
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/11/2011 17:56

Yeah your not wrong, steady rain now for 6 hours. After a couple of near perfect skin crispingly hot days the clouds came in this morning and has forced me out of the tented accomodation and into the more luxurious cabin area. Have now moved down to Bruny Island from Coles Bay. Beautiful place. May be moving seasonally down here from next year with work. Miss all the cyclone action but tis a pretty nice lifestyle down here.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/11/2011 09:11

If you like cyclonic winds & rough seas - hang around southern Tas - you'll get em. smile
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/11/2011 20:38

smile Hi DaveM.
That's one of the things I love about Tassie - the rawness of nature. As well as Tassie's beauty.
Oh...the more I think about the Apple Isle, the more I want to move down there to its wilderness and the sea..... wink
You've certainly copped (and are copping) some awesome weather there.
Cheers smile
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/12/2011 18:11

Ahh had an awesome stay in Tassie over ther last 10 days. Flew out of Launceston at 6am on Wednesday. From about 3:30am - 5:00am there was a sweet electrical storm over the city. The last thing I expected to wake to was thunder and big branchy lightening all over the place. Absolutely awesome. To top that off nearly wiped the hire car out on the way to the airport with a huge wallaby sitting in the middle of the road and then landing in Melbourne at tullarmarine with close lightening flashes out the window just before landing. Love the changeability of the weather down south.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/12/2011 09:05

Tassie has got the treatment from the BOM, new 7 day forecasts for a swag of towns and localities:

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/towns.shtml

I notice DaveM's favourite Mt. Field has snow forecast for today.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/12/2011 09:44

Aaaarrhhgg Popeye me hearty - it's a magic place for sure. As you noticed - the north of Tas gets storms whilst they are much rarer down Hobart Way - tend to fizzle just north of Hobart most times.

The only time I ever pulled off the road because the stormy rain was too heavy was just south of Launceston in Campbell Town. - LOL lots and lots of wallabies down there - well dodged smile

Re the changeability of the weather - yea it's actually good, don't usually get bored with the weather, even the cold changes generally flick through very quickly. Don't usually get too many hot days in a row either - I like that variation.

Now back to Broome - quite a contrast. Another place that many many people love, I always hear good stories about Cable Beach/Broome.

Brad - good memory there, you've obviously been paying attention smile well spotted too.

I'm heading down - arrive on the boat New Years Eve then zipping straight to Hobart - good times around the waterfront that time of year, some of the Sydney Hobart boats could be in, fireworks, taste of tasmania etc etc.

Got about 10 nights mostly around Cradle and inland of Burnie - looking forward to it. Hope it's colder rather than hotter.
Posted by: bruski

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/12/2011 17:59

Well my last day in tassie tomorrow, snow forecast tonight and tomorrow down to 900 metres so going for one last trip up mt wellington..

Weather has been great down here, hobart is my fav place, great town.... Could easily live here.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2011 09:22

Yes Bruski it's a damn good place to live - our 10 years there was 10 out of 10.
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2011 15:03

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.99977.shtml
High temp recorded in Tassie
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/12/2011 21:20

Not good for those with young kids, but the long twilight in Tassie at this time of year is magic. We north of Deal Island on the other hand are willing the sun to POQ!

http://www.rosebay.tased.edu.au/webcam/medium.html
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/12/2011 09:51

The Days in Hobart just now are about 40 min's longer than Bathurst (all in the evening, sunrise about same time) but given the longer twilight down there it actually relatively light for much longer than that.

I will be heading down for 10 days on the 30th Dec - starting to look at long term GFS with interest now. smile
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2012 12:35

Gnarley summer system heading towards Tassie at the moment. Looks beautiful on sat images and water vapour loops. The majority of it looks to be passing to the south. Still will be interesting to see what unfolds down in Tassie over the next 24-48hrs. Heading back down there from the 11th-19th of Feb. Can't wait.



Posted by: cory

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/01/2012 08:05

just checked devonport observations. The wind chill is definitely active.
Posted by: wingtipvortex

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/01/2012 00:30

Ohh, what happened to my snow pics and vids of Hobart? Cant seem to find them.
Looks like a cold snap for Tas this week, looking forward to it.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/01/2012 09:03

I was at Cradle the day before it briefly snowed. My son sent me a phone photo of it snowing but it doesn't really show. Had several occasions of about 9 degree temps with strong wind while down there. However, first couple of days around Hobat were approx 30 or high 20's depending on where you were - and the nights were above 15 - 20 so it was a warm spell to start.

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2012 11:33

Currently half a degree on Mt Wellington atm - if a bit of moisture is around - could be a flake or two. Higher places in the Centre with more precip may be seeing flakes - be a bit cool on the Overland Track. smile
Posted by: davidm

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2012 16:33

Noticed today that a lot of highest min temperatures were broken in Tas today - checked yesterday and tonnes of lowest max temps! Certainly a big change down there...

http://www.australianweathernews.com/news/2012/120131.SHTML
http://www.australianweathernews.com/news/2012/120130.SHTML
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2012 11:28

Looks like one of my fav. states is going to get some good rain.
Batten down the hatches. wink
Posted by: Mick10

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/02/2012 23:33

just to advise, the weatherzone tipping comp is back open. winner gets free weatherzone pro for 12months!! go to the lounge to find more details.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2012 14:03

Some amazing diurnal ranges around Hobart today, 8.3/38.4 at Bushy Park and 6.8/36.8 at Grove. Temp may well go up a bit yet. 37.5 and 37.7 are the maxs to date at Hobart and Hobart Airport to date, so the BOM was right to go long on heat.

Can't remember such high temps this late in Feb in Tassie. Hard to believe it's still quite pleasant in Sydney, this heat is very focused on the southern capitals.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2012 15:19

Old man said it was 26 earleir on in Devonport
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2012 16:04

Which is believable as the northerly is a seabreeze there. The NW coast of Tassie rarely gets to the high 20's let alone into the 30's, definitely the most heat proof part of Australia. Hobart and the SE get heat because the northerly must descend the Central Plateau, a bit like Sydney and Melbourne in that way.

Topped out at 38.8 (City) and 39.4 (Airport), amazing numbers for this late in Feb.

Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2012 12:24

Well, the north coast isn't quite as heat-proof as the highest summits of the Alps, but that's about it. Low Head has never reached 30 in 117 years of observations.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2012 14:03

Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Well, the north coast isn't quite as heat-proof as the highest summits of the Alps, but that's about it. Low Head has never reached 30 in 117 years of observations.

Should have qualified the above as the most heat-proof part of Australia at or near sea level blush .

Amazing that Low Head (near George Town) hasn't ever got above 30C. As for other centres along the north coast of TAS:

Devonport: 33.2C
Burnie: 33.8C
Stanley: 32.8C (closed 1999)
Smithton: 36.6C

33C seems to be the common absolute max for stations at or near the coast. Smithtons station must be a little further inland, was surprised at this. I noticed King Island was hot yesterday also so its AWS must be on the eastern coast of the island.

Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2012 23:35

Hard to put readings on Low Head or Smithton. Both sitting on the coast as well as most towns on the NW coast. Devonport/Burnie readings are too inconsistent as they are read at the airports. Devonport's sits literally on a beach,(Moorlands beach) open air. Wynyard, just a hole. Launceston/Hobart have totally diff weather patterns and temps. The only thing going against Hobart is the southerly's that rip thru you. Coldest place of been to was New Norfolk, many a year ago. Having lived in Devonport for 30 years, when the old man says it's 24 and hot - it's hot.....lol. He's gonna struggle in Cairns.

P.S Launny can be the coldest/warmest place because it sits low in the Tamar Valley. In general, good reason to leave Tassie. smile
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/02/2012 21:06

When it comes to being 'on the coast', even metres can make a difference - a move of 200 metres at Low Head, from the lighthouse grounds to the headland next to the water, looks to have knocked a couple of degrees off extreme high maxima (even in the 2009 heatwave the highest they got was 26.3). A few kilometres makes even more difference, as Smithton shows (that said, the Smithton reading was one of the more remarkable ones of the 2009 heatwave).

Obscure stat of the day: Hobart and Orford managed the first recorded instances in Tasmania of consecutive nights of 22 or above.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/02/2012 09:02

Thanks Blair - 22 degrees is a shocker for Hobart & surrounds let alone 2 of them!!
Posted by: Blizzard

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2012 11:42

Tassie is a wonderful spot, often check the weather down there and look at the webcam. The much more regular cold fronts would be great compared to up here but I would miss my storms a bit.

I wouldn't want to live in suburbia though, a nice quiet spot somewhere, with a good view, would suit me more.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/03/2012 10:17

I notice that the forum site that a few of the Tassie folk post on seems to be no longer available. Be nice if they migrated the weather discussion back here. Here hoping. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/03/2012 17:04

Very isolated deluge today, Wynyard, Burnie area only copped the downpour at about 5am this morning. Dumped 61mm in my rain gauge. Drove 60km to work and the last 20km were dry, was a fine sunny day everywhere else in the state. Burnie had 48mm to 3pm and Wynyard 23mm in the same time. Devonport reported 0mm...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/03/2012 09:17

61mm is pretty solid for there!! Slow moving storm?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/03/2012 12:44

Convergence zone, didn't go anywhere, just formed and dissipated. Solid showers/rain this morning, cleared to a sunny afternoon.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 09:45

Hi, Just new at this and just wondering if anybody thinks this April in Hobart will set any new above average temperature records ? Is it unusual to have continual daytime temps consistently well over the monthly average and what's causing it ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 10:11

Hello Mountain H2o - welcome to the forums. Don't be scared to ask questions or even better post observations so us mainlanders have some local input from there.

I lived there for 10 years but came back to the north island a couple of years ago - miss Hobart tremendously.

We don't have many regular posters from Tas so I look forward to hearing from you.

Hobart is running about 3.5 degrees above avg so far (max) and about a degree above for nights. It can turn about in the 2nd half of April but I suspect you will end up warmer overall for the month.

The cause basically is you are getting more northerly winds than normal and also missing out on regular southerly changes so far - although you had a beauty of a change last weekend. Northerlies is the issue I reckon. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 11:40

Thanks so much for your quick response. I wondered what it was. Looking at the next 7 days with averages around 24 then 25 I think next Thursday , that's like 7 degrees over and even more than the January maximum of around 22.
I just loved last weekends cold blow much better than having the heat pump on aircon cycle. Hope to post some updates / observations as best as I can for a complete beginner. Cheers
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 12:22

Don't worry about "beginner" we were all the same at some stage - many people on this forum hang out for info from Tassie, we used to have a good little tassie group but most wandered away, moved etc.

Any info you have will be lapped up by quite a few on the big island. Especially me because I wish I still lived there. smile

I've been surprised at how often lately Hobart has been hotter than here (Bathurst NSW) next week might be the same again by the look of it.

Did you head up the Mt in the cold? I loved going up there when it was nasty, I also loved going to Lake Dobson (Mt Field) when it looked like snow. Do you go to Dobson?
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 12:55

Speaking of the mountain, the cable car was back on the agenda last night I see:

http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2012/s3476376.htm

Would be great to get some sort of all weather access up there but I doubt it.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 13:38

Yeah SB there should be a much more substantial visitors centre up there - tourists and locals flock there every single day.

The issue mainly is that the mountain forms a large proportion of the water gathered for Hobart water supply. They are absolutely paranoid about any contamination of that water - fair enough really, but personally I think they are too anti development up there.

The mountain directly behind Queenstown (NZ) has a great visitors centre on it and I thought it was excellent. Some place to get out of the wind, grab a coffeee or a light meal etc would be great up there. The toilets though panic them.

Biggest problem with a cable car is that they seem to work on the theory that once a cable car exists - the road should be closed to the public - that is one aspect that the locals really don't like.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 13:41

Re all weather access - the winds are so heavy down there that I reckon the cable car would be on wind hold at times anyhow. They close the road because of the nongs in 2wd (and some 4wd) cars that get stuck as soon as it's a bit slippery. Generally with 4wd it is accessible at all times if you have a key to the series of gates on the road.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 14:36

Very true about the wind hold, but it wouldn't be pleasant up there anyway on such days to say the least! Nongs they may be but most visitors have little to no experience in snow and ice being mere lowlanders/mainlanders or both smile. A similar situation with Mt. Canobolas road but I reckon a cable car there is much more feasible than Wello.

Tassie being Tassie (that is green, not backward) I wouldn't expect any action on this front, I was unaware of the extent of the water issue, thanks for pointing this out. At the very least, as mooted in the ABC's piece, the visitors' centre should be upgraded. It's a unique area of Australia being truly alpine and easier to access than other alpine areas such as the Snowies.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 15:54

Very true SB - A proper visitors centre up there would be excellent, it really is a spectacular place to visit, at times it's just like being on Kosciusko (weather wise)but you can drive there. Above the tree line - howling freezing winds and snow but at other times beautiful blue still days where you can see really special views in a full 360 degrees.

In one day it can go from vicious to stunning or vice versa. It's absolutley unique in Australia with the combination of factors.

Yeah the nongs range from visitors to locals (put me own hand up) smile I was once caught out on a snowy day (all of about 2cm thick) 100m short of a spot I could turn around because my 2wd Falcon immediately became 1wd at the time I most needed 2 wheels driving. Took me about 30 minutes to creep up to the Chalet to turn around and retreat.

Meanwhile some young blokes ahead of me were having a ball fanging up and down the road in an old Subie towing a bloke on a board - that's when I knew I needed to get a 4wd if I was to really get into snowy areas. smile
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/04/2012 17:37

Yes Dave i can attest to the weather up there.I could'nt believe how cold it could be on a mountain only 1260mtrs high and that was in NOV.I will say the visitors centre does provide a place to get out of the wind which i would say is the biggest factor in why the mountain top is so cold nearly all year round.I will say the views tho are out of this world.In regards to funiculars and the likes they have been built in some very exposed mountain areas of the world.I wonder if it would be possible to build a rack and pinion railway up the mountain?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2012 09:25

I think an elevated cable car is the preferred option there to avoid/minimise damage to the mountain environment. Anything with tracks on ground will be hounded down immediately, that has been the case throught the years of discussion that I've seen.

On the one hand I'd love to see a cable car but then they will close the road and it will become more expensive, less convenient and time (access hours) restrictive for too many people.

Either way though I think the visitors centre desperately needs to be enlarged, it is ALWAYS busy up there even in a howling blizzard. Gee I love that mountain, I would go up at least once a week all the years I lived there. Heaps of walks, severe conditions at times to experience and stunningly beautiful conditions at other times. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2012 09:29

Just an addition - in an earlier post I mentioned that the pinnacle is above the tree line (about 1100m) to get above the tree line near kosi you need to be above about 1800m so that gives a fair indication of how much impact a few hundred km further south of the Snowies makes.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2012 11:04

Yep treeline is significantly lower in Tassie, not only due to the latitudinal difference but proximity to the coast as well relative to the Snowy Mountains (which results in cooler summers). I think the treeline on the Central Plateau is a tad higher (c. 1200 m)? Wind also plays a role in lowering the treeline.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2012 14:03

Very gusty, dry and very warm down here again today. Feels like being in a fan forced oven. Mount Wellington has a very heat hazy look about it. Plenty of cars going up and down today,mirrors reflecting in the hot sun. I don't like their chances of seeing any snow. Just can't believe it's mid April.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/04/2012 15:58

It's been an unusual April for you for sure. Can't see much in the way of strong cold changes for a while yet although Anzac Day and Surrounds could be a bit uncertain as to what happens. Models have changed a bit for that time recently.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/04/2012 00:17

Will be an interesting start to May in Hobart , if the BOM is correct the first 2 days will start off at 5 deg above the monthly average for daytime temps and between 2 to 6 deg over the May night average.
Wondering when I'll ever be able to put away the shorts and t-shirts this year ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/04/2012 08:56

Just head up the Mountain to cool off. smile

An amazing period of warmer temps down there. Making up for last year when it seemed to snow pretty much evey month. smile
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/04/2012 22:23

The current weather around Hobart shows up well on their new doppler. Really does show how poor their old radar was at detecting precipitation around the region.
Hobart 128km doppler radar: http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR763.loop.shtml#skip

Gusts up to 141km/h at Maatsuyker Island today. Wind gusts up to 80-125km/h today closer to Hobart.
Posted by: teckert

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/04/2012 22:47

OMG @ the wind http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR76I.loop.shtml#skip
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/04/2012 10:45

A little dusting of snow on Mt.wellington this morning. Was a very windy night so I think most of the white stuff was simply blown away.Got some photos this morning but can't find how to upload them to this post. Can someone give me some pointers as i'm only new.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/04/2012 13:19

I just recently asked the same question about loading pics to here.
One of our ever helpful members recommeded Imageshack as an example. From there, after you've uploaded your pic to e.g. Imageshack, you can copy and paste the pictures' code to upload the picture on WZ.
When you look at your image gallery on Imageshack, there will be some small symbols running down the side of your picture. Click on the 'share' symbol and copy the long code, then paste it into your text field here/post space. Then preview your post to see if it's worked for you.
When uploading a pic to WZ choose the "Switch to full reply screen' to use for your post and pic.
Just watch the size of your image, you don't want to slow down the loading of it for others when they read your post if the image is too big.
Hope that helps.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/04/2012 17:11

Thanks so much duckweather . will give it a try . cheers
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/04/2012 17:28

The Mt. Koonya radar is great, the Tasman Peninsula looks a lot wetter than Hobart in SW'ly airstreams as moisture is picked up across Storm Bay. If there was a decent sized mountain on the TP it would be a snow lovers' delight for sure.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/04/2012 14:10

The old radar at the airport was useless really, it only helped the airport really and close in. By the time rain appeared on the radar for Hobart from the SW you were generally already wet anyhow so you knew without using it.

The Hartz Range will possibly still mask some of the rain BUT this will be dramatically better all round. It will really highlight just how much precip Bruny Island and the Tasman Pen really get.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/04/2012 14:55

There are a few peaks over 400 m on the TP (Mt. Koonya included), so they would cop a fair few dustings throughout the winter I'd imagine. Was just reacquainting myself with the area around Port Arthur, very lush country- a bit like coastal Oregon at the same distance from the equator. Hard to believe this place was the scene of so much terror, both in historical and contemporary times.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/04/2012 15:45

The higher parts of TP indeed would see flakeage, I lived at 350m on flanks of Mt Wellington and saw numerous falls each year. However given that the TP is surrounded by water, snow would not hang around for long on most occasions.

Conversely though the levels of precip seem to be higher there than say Hobart so if the accumulation was enough on the higher peaks it could hang about a couple of days - especially when sea/low level snow was about.

The Peninsula is extremely scenic - eg highest sea cliffs in Australia at approx 300m straight out of the ocean. The ultra heavy waves of Shipsterns Bluff are there, many many sea caves, blow holes, waterfall into the ocean at Waterfall Bay, Remarkable Cave, Cape Huay etc etc Tremendous place all round.
Posted by: boomer

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2012 01:05

Beautiful image sat wise right now
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2012 08:57

With the big spiral bang on Tassie? Bullseye for sure.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2012 12:40

Yes , Plenty of heavy rain in the Bart. Totally fogged in and can't see anything around the Valley. I wanted to go up the fire trail today for a walk and check it out but it won't stop pouring. frown
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/05/2012 09:46

It's amazing that the low bullseye is still so close to Tassie. Which fire trail do you like to walk? There are so many tracks on the mt and surrounding ridges to walk.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/05/2012 23:52

I mainly go up the Lenah Valley fire trail , to Junction Cabin and over to the new North South Track on a long walk. Short walks I just stick to the Main Fire Trail and the Lenah Valley trail.
Also I love the Pipeline Track from South Hobart. It's amazing how you can escape into the forest just 10 mins from town. A warmer week ahead can't wait for the next series of lows.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/05/2012 10:40

Junction is an interesting spot for sure.

The next series of lows might be quite good for you - as long as they don't end up as "cutoff" lows and push over the North Island.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 15:10

Just booked a flight down to Tassie on the 15th-19th May for a bit of a look around for work. Timed it nicely with a big high sitting over the state for the period and it so happens to fall just after a big thumping LOW has dumped some snow. I'm heading up to Cradle Mountain. Im a bit worried now, what are the chances of that area being closed for a few days if the snowfalls are reasonably heavy over this coming weekend. Ice on roads etc. Any info would be appreciated. Cheers.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 16:25

Not often the roads are closed really. Snow at road level will melt fairly quickly in general. Once you get a bit of elevation past Moina the country opens up and melt is generally really quite quick in the open.

I assume you will hire a vehicle - go awd or 4wd just for some extra piece of mind. It's really only about 10 to 20 km where you MIGHT have some on the road but someone will have been through before you to clear a path for sure.

Ice will really only be about if it's frosty and early and in shaded places. Watch shady bends if it is frosty. There is one particular spot that is known to locals but I cant quite work out how to point it out to you. Say half or 2 thirds of the way between Moina and Cradle is a spot where you are sheltered under a large cutting which blocks the sun and it's a left hand bend going towards Cradle. Don't rush but don't panic either just keep speed around 80 ish in open areas and you will have time to react.

Remember - Clear conditions, temp under 2 or 3, shady corners go steady. If the section of the road is experiencing conditions that are cloudy, sunny or windy, ice is much less likely in that spot.

You don't get above 800m until pretty much at the accomodation areas. Looks like the southerlies will be about so it will be chilly and the isobars say expect a reasonable breeze for that added wind chill. No worries after Broome smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 16:30

Re ice - most times you will notice obvious signs of frost eg white icy grass. If it's frosty be more aware.

If there are no signs of frost then USUALLY the chances of any other ice basically fall well away.

As I said before don't panic though, people not used to it usually fear more than is necessary - just be aware.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 16:47

And here's a bit of a soundtrack to the whole thing:

Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 16:56

Cheers for all that info DaveM much appreciated. Really looking forward to it. 3rd trip to Tassie in 6 months. I love the cold temps. A big change from a decade in the tropics. Used to work up in the snowfields of VIC and NSW before moving to WA so looking forward to the feeling of cold again. Havn't worn long pants in over 10 years and I dont own any ATM lol. Might need to do some quick shopping in Launie before getting on the road.

Did hire an AWD this morning and I think I know that area you were talking about 2/3 the way up. The long range forecast has some good below 0 temps on the cards for WED/THURS/FRI mornings with reasonably clear skies so will keep an eye out. Again cheers.

I Have found this website fairly accurate in its predictions. I am pretty sure it is a representation of the EC model which is fairly on the ball most times.
LONG RANGE FORECASTS FOR CRADLE MOUNTAIN

-5 and -7's Youch!!!
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2012 21:26

Correct. It is based on EC. Does look like some pretty hefty snow , but bear in mind that the forecast is Cradle Mountain and the given altitude is 1340m. The lodge is about 800m and Waldheim about 950m from memory, so there will be differences in temperature and rain vs snow.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 09:30

That's right Laurier, the road in is low enough that it rarely has HEAVY snow (but can sometimes) and it's so open it melts quickly in most spots.

Popeye - jeans will do for long duds. Beanie might be handy to have in the car too, especially if windy.

Yeah that road spot is obvious although you don't get a LOT of warning coming from Moina way. The road is hard in against a fair sized cutting on your RHS and it's shady, left hand bend at the bottom. That's the main one the locals treat with respect. It can hold snow and ice, the snow should be gone by the time you get there though.

Make sure you take a camera smile

SB - well done smile
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 13:13

Looks like Tassie is in for a very interesting next few days crazy
The surf is apparently going to be up to 8 metres on the west coast shocked I know that this side of Tassie is not heavily populated, but wish I was there to see this.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 14:08

Yeah the West coast gets pummelled by big seas on a regular basis. Some of the wave buoys over there have had ridiculous wave heights, 8 metres for there is not all that uncommon actually - fishing boats off sthn Tas have an interesting time. One of my friends has a fishing boat and his stories about waves, seals, Orcas etc - very interesting.

The conditions you see in "Deadliest Catch" etc happen down there too.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 14:57

[Here] is the Cape Sorell waverider buoy to watch over the next few days. The highest wave recorded there has been 18.68 metres on 11 July 2011.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 15:29

Just had a play around with the Norwegian/EC site and here's what I get:

http://www.yr.no/place/Australia/New_South_Wales/Oatley/long.html

I wish it was that cool, add about 5C each day and you'd be about right. There's no way it will only be 23C tomorrow! Wind direction is about the only thing that seems right.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 16:42

Today's top of 29 at Observatory Hill was the highest May maximum in 70 years.
Posted by: Homer

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 17:37

Why are the last two posts in the Tassie thread?

Homer
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 17:44

I was thinking the same thing lol. Im a bit surprised that no warnings were issued for the upcoming event in TAS at the 5pm issue considering this low pressure system and cold front are forecast to pack winds gusts to 125km/h+ for the SW corner. 3day Accumulated precip totals are forecast to be around 100-125mm range for the West aswell.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 17:52

Yes, fair question Homer. Unfortunately, there are few Taswegians in the Tassie thread either. For some reason they all migrated to Stormplanet [here] some time ago, and they've even gone a bit quiet on that lately.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 18:19

Originally Posted By: Scottie A
Im a bit surprised that no warnings were issued for the upcoming event in TAS at the 5pm issue considering this low pressure system and cold front are forecast to pack winds gusts to 125km/h+ for the SW corner.


Hi Scottie A, where did you see 125km/h+. There's a gale warning out for coastal offshore waters from late tomorrow morning into Saturday, but that's only going for winds of 65-75 km/h while over land in the SW the top expected speeds are late tomorrow morning at 45-55km/h. Even though the low is skirting fairly close to the south TAS coast with a central pressure of 988 tomorrow morning, the Bureau's manual forecast isn't going for an exceptionally strong pressure gradient, hence their borderline gale warning. My gut feeling is wind will be stronger by 10-15km/h, but it's the Tassie guys doing the forecasting and they know their weather better than I do.

The snow is another matter. They've eased off the forecast a bit - snow level lowering to 700m tomorrow, maintaining that on Saturday then lifting on Sunday. Their own guidance gives 25-50mm on the West Coast and Southwest during Fri-Sun, grading to 15-25 on the Central Plateau. I would have thought these significant snow accumulations above 700m would have warranted some sort of warning. However, with TAS now standardised in its forecasting and warning practices (along with SA, VIC and NSW), I believe that the old bushwalkers, road and sheep alerts are no longer issued, and only a severe weather warning can be issued to deal with the situations that they used to cover. I would have thought this was a case where it was justified.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 19:29

Hi Laurier,

The 125km/h+ max gusts came from the ECMWF Model, has been very consistently progged and a excellent performer usually.

Im certain TAS still issue Sheep Grazier warnings unless this is a very recent change or im misunderstanding what you mean.

Lets see what happens, Im certainly no expert especially with these systems down south.

Edit: Just on a side note looking through the latest charts EC has moved the timing/impact (wind element) of the low on land to a little later around 10am tommorow this may explain why no warnings went out. Probably will at 5am tomorrow.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 19:36

All interesting reading crew. I'm looking forward to heading down there next Wednesday. Hopefully some snow still on the ground when I head up to Cradle Mountain. Will take a few pics and post them up in here. Good to see this forum slowly firing with some interest. If we move down to Tassie in Nov I will have to fire it up.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 19:50

Originally Posted By: Laurier Williams
[Here] is the Cape Sorell waverider buoy to watch over the next few days. The highest wave recorded there has been 18.68 metres on 11 July 2011.

shocked

Also DaveM, I was on a small (powered) boat in Fiji many moons ago, and I threatened a 'mutiny' if the boats 'captain' didn't stop joking that he as going to cross through the 'channel' between two islands and head into what looked like something out of "The Perfect Storm" shocked

Love the sea, but respect it's power too. smile
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 21:46

Originally Posted By: Scottie A
Hi Laurier,

The 125km/h+ max gusts came from the ECMWF Model, has been very consistently progged and a excellent performer usually.

Im certain TAS still issue Sheep Grazier warnings unless this is a very recent change or im misunderstanding what you mean.


Sorry to persist, Scottie, but what site gave you a gust reading from the EC? I know Wunderground's Wundermaps [here] give a lot more parameters than available on other public weather sites, but not wind gusts. Was it the registered section of EWN? This morning's EC has a belt of 40-45 knot winds hitting the TAS West Coast south of Strahan about 10 tomorrow morning, then sliding around the south coast during the day before moving off east mid-afternoon. It keeps land winds below 25knots except for the far SW coastal fringe. If you add the usual 40% for gusts to an average of 45 knots, you get 45 knots = 83km/h x 1.4 = 116km/h so maybe that's where the 125 comes from?

As for the sheep grazier alerts, I hope you're right.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 22:20

Hi Laurier, nah not EWN but from another subscription service. It is a 10m max gusts chart I am getting the readings from I have found it to be very reliable from what I understand it takes into account topography etc. 125km/h+ is the upper scale in a very localised area but 100-120km/h for much of the SW corner, which is still over the criteria for SWW.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 22:36

Yeh im sure they still do issue sheep grazier warnings, the most recent one was issued one on the 27th of April 2012.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 23:02

Sorry for the multiple postings keep getting distracted. VIC, SA, TAS and NSW all still currently issue Sheep grazier warnings.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2012 23:39

Thanks Scottie. The 100-120km/h gusts would agree with the average wind given by the EC charts on Wundermap that I mentioned earlier, given the usual allowance of gusts being up to 40% higher than mean winds. The 10.02pm issue marine wind warning summary (i.e. coastal) for Friday is:

Gale warning for Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast

Strong wind warning for Upper East Coast, Storm Bay and Channel

Small craft alert for Central Plateau Lakes and South West Lakes

It's a bit surprising, though, that the Ocean Wind Warning for the South Eastern Area is:

Clockwise winds 34/47 knots within 540nm of low in all quadrants except the southeast. Winds 45/55 knots within 300nm of low in northwestern semicircle.

I would have thought that the NW semicircle impinged on the TAS South Coastal area, so there might be a conflict of forecasts there.

Also interesting is that the Ocean Wind Warning contains the now usual proviso: PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. However, the coastal wind warning doesn't mention this.

Right on cue following our discussion, a road weather alert came out at 10.01pm for gusty winds (but no mention of snow) just about everywhere on Friday. Tucked away on the Bureau's site is a list of "unclassified warnings" [here] that's dated October 2004, and these are the warnings that I feared may have been eliminated. I know there was some fierce debate in the Bureau as to how warnings should be standardised across the country, but it seems those that argued for their regional peculiarities, like brown rot in VIC, won out. Good.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 09:24

When I was down there we had some spirited discussions with BOM folk in Tas re warnings at times. A few of us felt they left Bushwalkers alerts in particular too late for walkers about to set off on walks. We thought these were particularly important ones because it may stop walkers heading into the high areas with a bit of a "heads up" a few days out.

They still seem to leave B/W warnings till quite late from what I've seen.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 10:17

A few scattered showers and strong wing gusts about 20 mins apart in Hobart this morning. Enough to blow the deck chairs over.
Most of the weather is hitting the back of Mt.Wellington and pushing south as per the BOM Radar. No snow yet but the wind chill is picking up so fingers crossed.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 10:36

Got awoken at around 4:20am to the SWW as I thought/mentioned.

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the Midlands, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, Western and East Coast forecast districts
Issued at 4:21 am EST on Friday 11 May 2012.
Weather Situation
A cold front is crossing Tasmania while an associated low will move south of the state during today.

Damaging winds averaging 50 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are forecast for the Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts and parts of the Midlands, Western and East Coast forecast districts, mainly from late morning until early evening. The area affected lies south of a line from Strahan to Maria Island.

Recent gusts have included 98 km/h at Maatsuyker Island, 93 km/h on Mt Wellington, 87 km/h at Cape Sorell and 76 km/h at Low Rocky Point.

The State Emergency Service and Tasmania Police advise that people should:

Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
Keep clear of fallen power lines.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 11:08

Tell you what, that new radar for Hobart (Tasman Peninsular) is EXCELLENT compared to the old one. It provides a dramatically better view of precip across large areas of the state. Gee I wish I had access to that when I was living there.

Deck chairs - yeah I remember my cast iron chairs blowing over reasonably regularly on my patio in Ridgeway - it does get breezy in Tas smile
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 11:19

That low must be very close to Maatsuyker - baro down to 994.0, wind averaging around 100km/h with gust of 124km/h sometime in the 10 mins to 10.51. The Maatsuyker instrument gives atypical readings because it is perched atop a sharp cliff 150m above the sea, but most other locations in the rather hastily issued SWW area are now into strong wind or near gale territory - Hobart AP for instance is now gusting 80km/h. EC got it right, Scotty, as did GFS though the mean wind speeds over land were underestimated by both models. Winds everywhere still from the NW or NNW so the trough has yet to pass. Cape Sorell waverider has just reported a peak wave a tad over 10m.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 12:47

Local ABC news , at 12.30 pm. 16mm rain at Mole Creek , 4mm falling as Snow in Cradle Valley. Snow to 600 to 700 mts in the Central Plateau. Wave Rider Bouy has hit 14 meters and expected to go higher this afternoon and this evening. Low expected to hang around next 24hrs then slowly move away.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 13:34

Good info there H2o - thanks. There are a few people watching here so any local info is great. I suppose the Mt is stopping a few of your showers there as usual.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 14:58

That was a rogue wave at midday [here] but significant wave heights (average of highest third) are running at 7m with max heights 10-12m and still rising. Maatsuyker's wind has been averaging 100-120km/h since about 10.30 with the highest gust so far 139km/h at ~1.36pm and Low Rocky Point, which is more representative, has been averaging 50-70km/h with gusts 80-95. Mt Read near Zeehan at 1120m has had 6mm precipitation since the rain turned to snow a bit after noon with heavy snow now falling. Mt Wellington cam [here] is showing classic coldies moving across, obscuring the mountain, while Mt Mawson (near Mt Field NP) is snowing a nice initial dusting [here].
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 15:06

Mt Mawson is a great Spot in this type of weather - if you want shelter, Lake Dobson just below is stunning when snowing and NO CROWDS smile

Mt Rufus should have done well with this change too (just west of Lake St Clair) it is an excellent snow catcher and accumulator. It usually hold large drifts till late spring or early summer which are clearly visible from the highway.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 15:17

Current apparent temp on Mt Wellington minus 17 - youch!!
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2012 21:08

Damn straight Big M, that new radar is excellent, but hard to get use to seeing showers and rain across the SW. Can see then stopping short of Hobart on the ranges and not making it off the western tiers
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 08:50

Awoke to a Snow capped Mt.Wellington this morning.tired Snow dusting down to about 300 meters. I guess they will be driving around town this morning with the snowman on the bonnet as usual. Also blew like a demon last night. House was creaking and shuddering. Will try to upload a few pics this arvo after work.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 09:31

Thanks H20 - that is low - my house in Ridgeway would have seen some for sure. I loved driving to town with snow all over my car. I was trying to gauge it off the Wrest Point Cam but it doesn't show up clear enough. I estimated The Springs but it was obviously better than that. smile

Hey Snowies - that rain really shows up now as you said. You're very right about seeing the rainshadow effects etc. We can work out which ranges of Mtns are blocking quite easily. It would have been great to have that radar when our group was more active.

Cradle should have done OK - Waratah must have had some settle too?
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 09:53

Mawson looking lovely and bleak with plenty of the white stuff. Look at that thick cloud over Tas ATM, looks to be hammering the Central Plateau.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 10:07

For sure SB some higher areas will be getting quite decent snow. The SW ranges especially, The Arthurst, Mt Anne, Hartz, Snowy Range (Nevada Peak etc) Mt Field for sure and of course up into the middle Mt Rufus, Cheyne Range, Olympus, Ossa etc some of them I expect would have drifts already approaching a metre in wind blown spots.

Look at the Sat Pic there is a train of moisture going right through Tas with plenty to come - see that really long tail west and south of Tas maybe 1000km long.
Posted by: Laurier Williams

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 11:47

Some good rainfall totals - Strathgordon 31, Scotts Peak and Lake St Clair 33, Warra 41, though not much snow at the mid-level stations suggesting most of it fell as rain/sleet. At 9am, Liawenee (1058m) had 5cm snow on ground with light snow falling, Tarraleah (585m) 2cm moderate snow, Lake St Clair (740m) 1cm with moderate snow, but LSC reported 25.4mm rain in the gauge + 8mm melted snow which equates with 8cm snow falling overnight. Mt Read (1120m) only had 14.8mm to 9am with sub-zero temps (just) overnight. Mt Wellington (1260m) only had 0.4mm with overnight temps hovering between -2 and -3. I do wonder how much snow the Mt Wellington gauge misses in strong wind conditions, as it's very exposed (just west of the carpark).

I think there will be a fair bit of slushy stuff around except at the highest levels. 850hPa temps (1400m) are expected to keep hovering around -2 or -3 until early Monday morning according to GFS giving a freezing level of 900-1000m. Allowing for some radiation warming, Liawenee's current (11.30am) temp of 0.9 seems to agree with that.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 14:47

I would love to be sitting down on an isolated beach on the West coast of Tassie this arvo watching this cloud formation rolling through. Maybe Strahan might see it in a few hours. It would be an interesting sight to see. Any guesses as to what has formed this cloud structure pictured below.

Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2012 20:49

Hi , Sorry if these don't work out or i've done something incorrect. Still learning confused
https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-U3PxmIfjTGo/T648mfY6fPI/AAAAAAAAAAs/w31QXcDfmu0/s128/DSCF2862.JPG

https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-lmQGeYbdBzs/T648nQtuMFI/AAAAAAAAAA0/K2Uh6r1I2iE/s128/DSCF2863.JPG

https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-mFZGNfqUzvM/T648oldUfqI/AAAAAAAAAA8/qz-oYOuQGL8/s128/DSCF2864.JPG
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2012 11:24

Good effort H20. Thanks.

Pops - I was looking at that cloud on the Sat heaps of times - I'm not sure when I'd last seen one quite like it before.
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2012 11:44

Seems pretty quiet weatherwise down in Tas hey?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2012 13:44

Been away in Melbourne and enjoyed some of last weekends mega rain while I was there poke
Nothing to report this week so far down here in Hobart , just more warm sunny days that are above average . You wouldn't think it was the first day of Winter. A very warm night last night and a very warm day for the first day of Winter.
Looking forward to the weekend when the temps and rain should come our way ? I would appreciate if anybody out there can tell me if they think that it will actually happen .
Cheers from the Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2012 15:10

G'day H2o

I suspect southern peaks may see a flake or two tomorrow, wind is quite southerly so really only the southerly ranges might see a little bit.

Quite a good chance of snow on higher ground (depending on precip) on several days next week. Winds look to be very southerly or SW down there which again means mainly southern and maybe central areas. The Ben would be dry I think.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/06/2012 10:06

Hi all , Well received basically nothing from the recent Lows. A brief couple of cooler overcast days and a few showers. Bright and sunny here now and not a cloud in sight. Nothing much on the outlook either with more Highs sitting on top of us. Forecast is for 14 to 15 degrees for the rest of the week.Already shaping up for another above average month , I wish the highs would just go away.
Another interesting thing that allot of bulbs have already sprung up in the garden , usually happens at the beginning of spring or late winter. Have they been fooled with all the warm weather.
Cheers from the Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/06/2012 13:08

Hello H2O I saw a (Tassie) news item on Tv this week and I noticed some bulbs out in the shot. Early for sure. These Cut off low events are annoying for Taswegians because the state gets bypassed. I used to hate cut off lows hitting the mainland when I lived in Tas.

Your turn will come smile
Posted by: Scooteroo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/06/2012 14:27

I was in tassie all last week walking the Overland Track. I was quite suprised that I had no really bad weather on the 9 days I was on the track (as I was actually hoping for a system to come through and make the area a winter wonderland...). The first few mornings were frosty (my dodgy thermometer had a reading of -4C at New Pelion Hut on the Wednesday morning) and then the cloud came in with some drizzle the for latter half of the week, keeping things mild. There was still some ice on the high peaks and very few patches of snow at the end.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/06/2012 10:08

Hello Scooteroo - snow in Tassie tends not to last long between falls until well into winter. Shame you didn't get to see some fall though. O/T is a great walk. Did you enjoy D'Alton, Fergusson, Hartnett Falls etc? D'Alton Falls is my all time favourite. I've seen it under heavy snow and otherwise.
Posted by: Scooteroo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/06/2012 22:01

I did quite a few side trips, including Pine Valley, but of the falls I only did Hartnett, which was amazing. The way I figured it is that I need to save something for next time wink I might go back a bit later in the winter next year, or the years to come, to hopefully see it under snow, will be tough walking though. Looks like there might be some snow coming late this weekend down there and a follow up next weekend.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/06/2012 09:45

I've walked in from the Lake St Clair end to Windy Ridge and Pine Valley/Labyrinth on several occasions in solid snow - it's actually wonderful. Bit hard to find the track in virgin snow but a magnificent place under snow.

On our way to Windy Ridge it began snowing abd we settled into the hut for the night - it had snowed heavily overnight, we knew it was coming but didn't expect quite so much. smile

Next morning we awoke to very heavy snow everywhere, approx 20 to 30 cm but drifts MUCH greater. We headed off to go over Du Cane Gap to the waterfalls as a day trip and only because I knew where the trail went were we able to find our way without any usual visual clues. All the undergrowth was burdened down with snow so you could not see clear paths - what a great day that was, one of the absolute best of my walking life as an experience. I had some ladies with me who'd never been in there in those conditions (nor ever seen the falls) and apart from slight nervousness at first they also rated it about the best thing they had ever done too.

Another trip we headed from Lake St Clair to Pine Valley and it began snowing heading in (which we expected). Next day we headed up to the Labyrinth with about 15 - 20cm snow everywhere and the cloud absolutely on the deck - we could only see one or two hundred metres generally but it was so magical and slightly eerie but great.

Therefore Scooteroo - as long as you're prepared for it etc it can be stunning to be there in heavy snow. Common sense needs to be applied very much though whilst in there and good decisions made, if all that happens - one word - MAGIC. smile

You have to see D'Alton Falls it is very different to Hartnett and I think easily superior.

If you want to walk there under snow August/September most likely times for snow falls in my experience there.
Posted by: Scooteroo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/06/2012 21:03

I had a report that the snow is nice and thick at Ronnie Creek at the moment. Would be good to go back next week...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/06/2012 09:59

Keep the reports coming there, always plenty of people in here looking for info. Cheers smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/06/2012 19:30

weather constantly changing, sunny, rainy, frost, snow... last night it was 0 at 9:30pm and rained at 5am. Hasn't been a decent low level snowfall for 12 months - might change a bit tomorrow night/Monday, decent looking cold air stream pushing up behind the front.

Felt like we went from Summer to Winter and almost by passed autumn this year, suddenly went from mild to cold sometime May, certainly on the coast where it doesn't get hot summer days, so you don't get the contrast.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/06/2012 23:09

Hmm a little bit surprised that the BOM haven't put out a SWW for damaging winds. EC has been quite consistent in progging wind gusts in excess of 100km/h developing from late this evening in Southern and Western parts in association with a cold front. Looking at the obs they support this very much with a gust of 107km/h being recorded at scotts peak at 8:30pm. Several other Western and Southern AWS's have recorded similar. Where is the warning guys? Looks like these conditions should stick around for the next 24-48hrs potentially deteriorating further from early Monday morning in association with a rapidly developing (deepening) low pressure system passing by to the south.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2012 10:27

Mostly all of Tassy will be affected on Monday looking at the latest EC run. SWW for damaging winds should be out by now for southern and western areas as mentioned above then extended this morning to include basically all of Tas for the next vigorous coldfront/low pressure system. BOM are asleep on this one.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2012 11:14

hey Scottie A.
There is certainly some 'weather' and wind coming your way, if I can gage anything. Even just looking at the sat pic, you can see some quick moving winds/system (?) to your west on your doorstep.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2012 12:02

Hi Everyone,
Plenty of snow on Mt.Wellington this morning. Down to about 500 meters I reckon. Still rainy showers pushing through as I'm typing and can be seen falling as snow on the Mountain.
Also very windy last night , it's not unusual for the BOM to not put out wind/gale warnings. Have gone through many a day or night with the winds howling and the windows creaking and it's just classed as another day , after all we on an Island poke
Great to finally see some Winter at last. Was in Launceston earlier in the week and had some really cold nights around -1 to 1 . Drove back to Hobart on Friday and could see Ben Lomond in the distance with a fair amount of snow on the higher peaks.
Looks like it could be a warm start to next month again, but it seems like it's going to one of those years that keep going from Winter to Spring back to Summer and then back to Winter all within a two week period.
Cheers form The Bart.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2012 17:20

Hi guys, duckweather I don't live in Tassy just monitoring the situation down there. BOM finally put out the SWW around lunch time today. This warning should have been out around 18hrs earlier. Kinda slack if you ask me.

Latest issue below

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the North West Coast, King Island, Western, Central Plateau, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, Furneaux Islands, East Coast and North East forecast districts
Issued at 4:47 pm EST on Sunday 24 June 2012.
Weather Situation
A vigorous westerly flow will strengthen as a developing low pressure system and associated cold front approach Tasmania, before crossing the state overnight and early Monday.

Damaging westerly winds averaging 60 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are forecast for King Island and parts of the North West Coast district. Wind gusts are forecast to reach 120km/h in the Western, Central Plateau, East Coast, North East, South East, Furneaux Islands and Upper Derwent Valley districts.

The State Emergency Service and Tasmania Police advise that people should:

Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
Keep clear of fallen power lines.
For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Sunday.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2012 20:22

Ummm Scottie A, I should have read your location under your name blush blush silly me whistle
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/06/2012 08:53

G'day Snowies & Bart, thanks for the commentary, love hearing from the locals, especially since you two report from different areas of Tas.

Re the wind - it's very common down there to have heavy wind, it's in the path of the "Roaring 40's" after all. Where we on the north island would have stacks of warnings they treat ordinary ole gales as nothing special, now storm force though gets them more excited. smile
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/06/2012 09:21

There were some nasty wind gusts recorded take a look at the cancellation

Cancellation of
Severe Weather Warning
for people in the North West Coast, King Island, Western, Central Plateau, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, Furneaux Islands, East Coast and North East forecast districts
Issued at 8:22 am EST on Monday 25 June 2012.
Weather Situation
A low pressure system has passed to the south of Tasmania and an associated cold front has crossed the state. Winds remain fresh to strong and gusty in places but have now eased below warning levels.

The severe weather warning for the Western, South East, Furneaux Islands and King Island forecast districts and parts of the Upper Derwent Valley, North West Coast, Central Plateau, East Coast and North East forecast districts has been cancelled, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

In the last six hours, winds have gusted to 148 km/h at Maatsuyker Island, 146 km/h on Mt Wellington, 130 km/h at Scotts Peak, 115 km/h on Tasman Island, 111 km/h at Droughty Point, 104 km/h at Low Rocky Point, 83 km/h at Strahan and 76 km/h in Hobart.

The State Emergency Service and Tasmania Police advise that people should:

Keep clear of fallen power lines.
Don't drive, ride or walk through water flowing over roads and bridges and obey all road closure signs.
Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
Beware of fallen trees or debris on the road.
For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES on 132 500.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/06/2012 17:37

A bit arctic last night, even on the coast, heavy frost at home, outdoor thermometer which is probably overexposed read -2 as the min last night and was reading 0 at 8am. Even at 8am the windows were re-freezing when putting water on them despite the windscreen wiper...

Typically it was raining by the time I reached waratah - where there was still frost on the ground.
Posted by: David Simpson.

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2012 07:51

-4.6 here this morning in Launceston. Bracing wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2012 09:13

Enjoy a good frost there lads.

Now, raining on top of frost is not something I've seen much before (if at all) there's an interesting weather combo. smile
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2012 10:01

A seriously cold and frosty night/morning in Hobart.
Currently 4.7 at 10am and i think it got down to 1.5 around 5.30am
The windchill made it feel more like -2 most of the night.
Alot of frost on my car and lawn this morning.
The water in the dogs bowl had turned to ice!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2012 11:19

I remember living in Taroona, we would get the occasional morning where our steep street would be white and no one could walk or drive on that section of road. It was so shaded that the sun would not melt the ice all day. A rare event but dicey when it happened.
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/06/2012 12:01

In Devonport currently, pretty average weather by my Qld standards lol

Only around for a few days and scoring the bad end of weather
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/06/2012 14:47

Hi all , Well what a up and down week. Got to nearly 18 Degrees today in Lenah Valley. More like an October day. Frost and snow has has gone and those warm Northerlies are back They have been so consistent this year. Also getting pretty gusty now and looks like we may get some showers tonight. I read somewhere on this forum ( can't remember where ) that another member had the opinion that all the Highs and Warm Northerlies we are getting this year down South are because of the change/indication that next season will be from a La Nina to El Nino . Has anyone heard of this or have any thoughts. I'm keen to learn more.
Cheers for The Bart.
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/06/2012 18:24

Heavy rain and full on storm in Ulverston tonight, be lucky if power doesn't get knocked out!
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/06/2012 06:38

More good rain during night and some extremely strong wind gusts at time
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/06/2012 09:43

Hey Pic Du Midi.

Have you been up high anywhere to try and get some proper cold weather smile See some snow falling? It would be easy to find some if you can gain elevation there.

You're in one of the wetter parts of the state there so no surprised it's damp. Good to see you experiencing good Tassie breezes. smile

How long are you there?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2012 20:11

Was sleety and wet across the plateau on Friday arvo, got back to the Bronte Park turn off (from Queenstown) and had been just in front of the weather all day then turned straight into it on the cross over to Miena. Was ok in Launnie Friday arvo but rained most of Fri night and Sat morning - Ben had a decent cover that was peaking out from under the cloud on Sun.

Was a great cover on Rufus and Frenchmans cap, patchy snow along the side of the road up Arrowsmith and round Miena. Lady at Derwent bridge shop said they missed the snow the weekend before, just a sprinkling, but had a bit so far this year, best fall was 4 inches...in March... said she'd had 4 white christmas's in 12 years there and it's been a pretty warm 12 years. Goodness knows what Christmas was like 150 years ago.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2012 20:38

On another note, charts seem to be building nicely toward a decent cold change in the next couple of weeks, i.e. a good low level snow event. Might be late next week as per the models but certainly in the week or two there after, long wave pattern lining up
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2012 08:50

Cheers Snowies - Rufus often looks good doesn't it.
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2012 09:57

OK got this pic - Apologies its a ph pic

In Miena area - Sunday Lunchtime

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2012 10:09

Excellent - thanks for that.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2012 13:33

Well Spring has sprung , it's 18.5 degrees here in the valley and rising. No clouds , very little breeze. Oh well saving heaps in power heating bills this year . Next 5 days look much of the same. The clear skies should see Jack Frost return . Looks like Winter days have forgotten us this year frown
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2012 14:09

Nah you'll get winter in December smile

I always worked on August/September being the snowiest months when I lived there. June and 1st half of July often seemed benign to me. It will come smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2012 15:01

Hi Dave,
Yes your right , about four years ago it snowed on Mt.Wellington on Christmas Day.
It was magic and the rellies from up North that were visiting thought it was the best Xmas day ever!
Do you think you will ever return to live here again ? You seem to really miss it.
Cheers
From The Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/07/2012 09:18

Miss it like crazy, so does the wife. Best place we have EVER lived was Tassie. Trouble is all our family live up here, that was the reason we came back to the north island. Our hearts will always be in Tas. It's possible we would head back but not likely - unless you find me a really good job to do smile

In our 10 years there we had snow on Christmas Day or Eve about 4 times on Mt Wellington - we thought it pretty magic too. We always made sure to get a picture with our Santa hats on to send to rellies.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/07/2012 22:35

Should see a SWW for damaging winds go out for you guys down there is Tasmania sometime tomorrow in association with a coldfront motoring through on Sunday. Most districts look to be affected except for Central areas. Western and Southern areas look to bare the brunt as usual.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2012 09:03

Thanks for the heads up Scottie. It's about time we got our usual Winter blow. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2012 10:12

August/September/October the windy months - VERY windy months.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/07/2012 12:01

Low Rocky Point on the western side of Tassy blowing 80km/h sustained gusting up to 102km/h
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/07/2012 16:50

Hi everyone, We had some really strong gusts the last 24 hours. Last night it was howling through Lenah Valley which tends to funnel the wind. Also a very warm night only got down to 10.4 and a warm gusty day at 16.4 . I still think it's still a chance (just a gut feeling confused ) we will see 20 degrees before the month is done.

Cheers from The Bart.
Posted by: WANDJINA G'vale

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2012 10:02

Originally Posted By: DaveM
August/September/October the windy months - VERY windy months.


Good for the big wind farms on the east coast
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/07/2012 16:25

The Unseasonal warm weather continues down here in Hobart . Another 15 degree day, but was probably a few degrees warmer than that in the suburbs.Almost certain this month will see no white stuff on the mountain. A very dry warm Winter , unless August can bring us something ,Winter has been a non event mad
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2012 19:17

A few pics from todays Snow surprise.
[img:center]http://[/img] https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-iItUz...29072012144.jpg
[img:center]http://[/img] https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-qDF5w...29072012145.jpg
[img:center]http://[/img] https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-hR5z5...29072012148.jpg
Looks like more on the way tonight smile
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2012 23:40

Good news about your surprise snow, I hope there is more to top it off tonight.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2012 15:29

Good steady showers in Hobart today. Temps have been sitting around 9 degrees most of the day. Very heavy cloud cover over the Mountain and my mate tried to get up there yesterday and the road was closed at the Springs due to heavy snow. I would say it would still be that way today.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2012 15:32

Yep 9 degrees down there in town means much lower up top and in the SE flow you've had gives the heaviest snow (and rain when warmer). The Mt should look really good once it clears up.
Posted by: Michael Bath

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2012 16:50

Nearly 12mm for Mt Wellington in the past few hours with temps around zero.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60901/IDT60901.95979.shtml
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/08/2012 11:16

Some of the weather group around Hobart are expecting snow to about 300 metres this weekend. That will excite a few people.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/08/2012 14:35

Gee Dave , I hope your right. The BOM and myself expected a bit of a sign of things to come around midnight last night. When I checked the Radar before going to bed there was nothing in sight and the sky outside was clear as. So we awoke to a bright and sunny day with those North West winds back again, and it got to around 14 predicted was 12.
This afternoon the winds are picking up and it's started to shift more South Westerly. Still nothing significant on the Radar anywhere near Tassie. I'm thinking of going up to Evandale tomorrow so hopefully we might see some snow through St.Peters Pass. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2012 22:41

Went driving through the Midlands Highway today and experienced some very heavy rain showers. No snow in the high areas but,was just to warm with Temps around 7.5 all day. Got home to Hobart around 2.00 PM and boy did we cop it! Blew Gale Force winds for about 3 Hours straight. House was creaking , has died down now around 10.00 PM and the icy rain is back again. The chill factor is making the night a very cool one.I would expect to see some Snow on the mountain tomorrow. Just feels sort of like when a Cyclone has passed over and you get that calm period and then it blows like mad from the other direction. Expecting that to happen very early tomorrow morning. Cheers for now .
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 05:54

Sounds pretty wild down there! I'll be watching to see if you do indeed get snow. Stay warm and take care wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 08:55

All sorts of alerts out for snow to 400m in Southern Tass. Some areas will prob see it a little bit lower.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 09:10

Shame the Cradle Mountain webcam doesnt work anymore, Id say they would have been creamed last night!! One thing about Tassie is there never seems to be a lack of moisture with the coldest air.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 10:43

Well the west and sw areas usually get plenty of moisture but often the Hobart area and further north and east dry out quickly in westerly airstreams.

Some of the southern peaks like Mt La Perouse, The Hartz and Snowy Ranges get lots of snow. Ben Lomond in the NE gets very little out of SW flows. If Ben Lomond was more central it would get stacks more snow.

Yeah Cradle is stunning in snow.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 11:30

Hi Everyone, Woken up at about 4.00 am by howling winds and pelting icy rain. It's just starting to ease off now but still raining steadily. Where I am in Lenah Valley I can see Snow down to about 400 meters . We are pretty close to the bottom of the first hills so it's hard to tell what it's really like . Going into town so should get a better view over the Western side form there. When it turns it on down here it's mother nature at her best. My wife thinks I'm nuts , yeah perhaps Weather Nuts ?
Cheers
from The Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 12:08

Cheers - thanks for the news. Been watching for news. Notice some solid precip on the radar. Top of the Mt could have some good drifts.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2012 21:19

https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-64UBo...F2914.JPG?gl=AU
https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-qvKEb...F2915.JPG?gl=AU

A couple of pics from the driveway this afternoon.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 08:51

Thanks for the photos. In that second photo, I used to look straight up the big gully behind the front row of cliffs (Organ Pipes) from my house in Ridgeway. I wish I still lived there.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 12:31

From "Snowies" in Tas

Snow in Waratah - Tassie West coast about 500 or 600m asl

http://www.tasweather.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=394&start=100
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 16:26

Thanks for the Link and the great photos. Still been very gusty today with a good wind chill factor. Just started some light showers now and can be seen topping up the Mountain Snow. Tomorrow they say it's going to 14, so will see if that melts away this evenings falls.
Hoping to get a top up again Thursday and Friday.Ben Lomond is expecting a big weekend so hope it goes to plan.
Cheers.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 16:46

14 is in Hobart, Mt Wellington Pinnacle will be about 0 to 4 or so. Sun will melt snow quicker on the Glenorchy side but the Fern Tree side of the Mt will hold it much longer.

Yes the poor old Ben Lomond skiers finally get the tows going.

Mountain H20 - that link I posted, most of the people I was involved with re snow when I lived in Hobart are involved in that web site. You might find more locals to talk to in there. Worth keeping an eye on and maybe joining up. Cheers from Dave. I still go in there regularly too to check on me ole mates. smile
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 16:56

It's a shame that the Australian weather community is so fragmented by state. In here it's mostly NSW, QLD and SA. A lot of the Mexicans have gone elsewhere, WA being WA of course have their own forum and the same goes for the Taswegians. That's a great shot of Waratah, when you get a cold airmass colliding with all that west coast moisture it sure works a treat. I'm sure St. Valentines Peak would have had a fair dusting as well.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2012 18:37

Heaviest fall in Waratah since '04 - 25cm

Still a good cover when i went through this morning
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/08/2012 09:02

Cheers Snowies - a lot of people in here love the updates. Nice brisk breeze?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/08/2012 18:18

As you well know, I didn't step out to find out, it was raining as ever in the Bermuda triangle of rain - Waratah-Hamphire-Guildford

Sunny in Waratah, less often than ole Daz use to get snow at Mount Nelson - pretty grim.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/08/2012 08:50

smile
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2012 10:26

I've got a weekend getaway to Cradle Mountain planned for this weekend, which Ive been looking forward to for sometime, now the forecast isnt looking great with a few showers and possibly some snow for both Sat/Sun. Are there still some good walks you can do in the area even if the weather is a bit inclement? Or would most tracks/trails in the area be off limits during bad weather? GFS was showing ridiculous -6 850T's over Tas a few runs ago, which have now vanished without a trace!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2012 13:04

I posted in the Alpine topic but will add some here.

You can walk anywhere if you have the right gear. The easiest walk in snow is the Dove Lake circuit - very good, I've done it many times and I really love it in snow.

Short walks too:
1) Waldheim
2) A little walk upstream near Cradle Mtn Lodge
3) Pencil Pine falls etc.

If the weather clears a bit, the walk up to Marions Lookout and a bit beyond is great. When you see down to Crater Lake it's spectacular. Crater Lake can't be seen unless you go higher and it is well worth a look - I love it as much as anything else there.

Don't go higher though unless well geared because it's very open and in windy/snowy conditions can be very harsh. If weather ok though getting up higher opens up a whole different world you can't see from the shores of Lake Dove.

Where are you staying?
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2012 13:32

Thanks for your tips DaveM, both here and in the snow thread. Booking our accommodation tonight, but Im thinking the Highlanders cabins look good?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2012 14:09

We actually tried to buy the Highlanders cabins a few years ago - just couldn't get the finances right.

The cabins used to be good fun, we stayed there several times. Not sure what they're like now but they are often booked out and there's not many so it's usually nice n quiet as well.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/08/2012 07:02

CS22, Just noticed the last model runs for Tassie have 850 temps of -5 and heaps of precipitation streaming in from the SW on Sunday. This will translate to snow to 500m on Sunday. You should have a great snow day if you are there on Sunday.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/08/2012 21:13

I'll be sure to pack the winter woolies then, PD! I just hope we get some good walks in before the weather turns bad on Sat afternoon, would be great to get some shots of a snow capped CM without it being blotted out by low cloud. Actually, after Friday's system i hope the road in isn't closed.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 09:28

If you get a glimpse of the mount - snap away because it may be quite fleeting in those conditions. Hopefully you will see it clearly at some point. Do enjoy it. The waterfalls should be good coming down into lake dove, last time I was there was the first time (for me) they were all but non existent it had been very dry. You should see AND hear them well if you walk around Lake Dove or head towards Hansens peak.

Enjoy. smile
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 09:45

Geez, that is a whopper change for Sunday, 500mb -35, 850mb -5 and heaps of precipitation. Not much changing in the models for Tassie. You should be right until Sunday morning, that Sunday change is about as cold as they have been so far this winter. Its actually fairly typical for Tassie that they get their heaviest low level snow end August and early September.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 09:54

I always worked on late Aug and Sept having the heaviest falls in general, even early October. The earlier months tended to have less precip than Spring falls at least that's how it seemed to me. smile
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 10:21

Wow, just checked the BOM state forecast for Sunday and they have snow to 500m! Not sure what the elevation is in the Cradle Valley, but it would have to at least 500m given how often they get snow.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 10:48

The accomodation areas are about 800m or so from rusty memory.

The top of Cradle is about 1500 (but you won't be up that high) smile

Rusty memory but Dove Lake must be about 1000 or thereabouts.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 11:13

I just checked Google maps and that's about right DaveM, didn't realise the accommodation was quite that high. Do you know if they close the Cradle Mountain Rd very often, or is it ploughed when it snows?
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 11:23

CS22, can we swap places? Will be a huge shock to the system for you going from 30C temps straight to abundant snow. Not unusual for southern VIC and TAS to stay cold while we cook on the east coast, just look at January 1994. The strong thermal gradient between the mainland and Tassie/Southern Ocean waters at this time of year helps to produce huge snowfalls at times, no doubt.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 11:48

The road from Devonport to Cradle is generally ok - not often it's a prob. They run a bus shuttle from The old airport up to Lake Dove. Anyhow whatever is there you will just find a way to cope with. If there is any way of getting a 4wd or awd it may not hurt though just as added peace of mind.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 12:33

Hired a Subaru Forester, so should be fine.

I was just browsing the Tas P&WS site and came across these two handy webcams!

http://www.parks.tas.gov.au/index.aspx?base=28485
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 13:12

Forester absolutely perfect for the job. My Forester has been through quite a lot of quite deep snow. My first experience in a Forester was May 2000 in Tassie and it was a ripper. (The snow and the car)
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 20:50

21 degrees here in Hobart today shocked That's the January daily average max. Just ridiculous for this time of year and more on the way next week.
Cheers from the New Sub Tropics.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 21:18

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Forester absolutely perfect for the job. My Forester has been through quite a lot of quite deep snow. My first experience in a Forester was May 2000 in Tassie and it was a ripper. (The snow and the car)


They don't cope with water crossings quite so well, though, as I found out the hard way in the back blocks of the Kimberley a few years back.

I'm doing the Overland Track myself in the first week of October - will be a bit disappointed if I don't get snowed on at least once.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 22:38

Mountain H2o Hey Yeh.There have been some incredible thermal gradients as 'YOHo' has said
I was interested in the source of your warmth and that of Sydney metropolitan today
and in contrast the cold in Canberra ,southern SA and VIC

In the maps below you can see a warm protrusion of air from sub tropical Tasman and from Queensland interior has funneled its way down east oz mainland and east tassie' coastline returning on its poleward journey
and the opposite is happening on the west side of 'tassie'.
The n/west of tassie'was much cooler than Hobart
You can see cold sub polar air from the southern ocean pushing Northward up the south east of OZ.
The boundaries between warm and cold have assisted in spawning some incredible storm and wind activity on the steepest sections of the thermal boundary of hot and colder air.
You should notice the contrast tomorrow l would imagine

Snow in the hills in Tasmania tomorrow maybe ?

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2012 23:18

Blair - enjoy the OT - that time of the year anything and everything usually happens with the weather. smile

Now I need to hear what happened with the water crossing smile They get water in the diffs through the breather if water is a bit deep but I've had mine through water about half way up the door. Then had to drain the diffs frown
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 11:35

GFS has backed off a little on the 18z run, it now has the coldest uppers just missing Cradle to the south, still very cold at 700/850hpa though.

Anyone care to take a guess at how much snow there will be on Sunday morning in the Cradle Valley? smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 12:15

Depending on the timing of cold air vs rain - you might end up with anywhere from a light dusting to 10 or 15 cm. Less at the lodge area than further up but the nice thing there is that the accomodation valley is fairly sheltered and nice steady snow can pile up quickly.

And the place looks magic when it's like that.

If you get a chance sneak into the guest areas of the original Cradle Lodge, the old leather lounges, timber beams and open fires etc make a place full of atmosphere.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 12:43

Snow or not, there are plenty of chances to Rock the Cradle Of Love up there beside a cozy fire.

The only time I've been to the Holy Cradle was in January 2000, socked in by cold drizzle, but that's the beauty of Tassie:

"If the summer changed to winter,Yours Is No Disgrace! "
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 15:40

Sadly 00z GFS confirms what 18z was saying, so that's keeping the best 500mb temps and instability to the south of Tassie. Close but no cigar for a bigger dump of snow!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 16:41

Don't be surprised what happens down there - it often used to snow when the models said it had no right to do so. Orographics etc play a huge roll in that area.

It may not be a "dump" but i would be shocked if you don't have ok snow.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2012 16:43

Have a blast CoastalStorm22 and a cold blast at that. I went down there Mid May with snow on the ground in lots of places. Beautiful to see. The Walk around the lake is great (go clockwise direction for better views) I had waterfalls pouring off the cliffs and big snow drift cornices in the higher valleys. Beautiful spot.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/08/2012 09:59

The waterfalls were the biggest surprise for me the first time I went there. I had no idea there were so many obvious waterfalls. Thing is you don't see them from the car park, you need to walk around to the left (clockwise as popeye rightly said) to get the full impact.

The view from Hansens Peak is ripper.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/08/2012 20:14

Just started teaming snow at cradle! smile
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 00:10

Lucky you CoastalStorm 22, such a beautiful place and snow is the icing on the cake. I stayed at Cradle in October years ago and we were blessed by snow. Magical, (except for showering in the camp ground showers, where you put a coin in a slot, and when the money ran out the water went to icy cold wink )
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 07:43

some photos from around the cabin this morning!










Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 08:52

Very nice pics CS.Looks like a nice fall there.As for forecast models i think we put too much faith in them as proven by the pics above.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 11:26

Not wrong there Pete!

Lee side of the cafe

Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 11:31

I am jealous.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 12:19

Well done CS22, thanks for sharing, that is beautiful, you have done well to catch that snowfall. So hard to plan these things but finally you got lucky.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 17:14

My wife woke me up about 6:30 this morning and said you better come and have a look at this !! I got up and there was snow all over the back paddock,front lawn and our roof. Mount Wellington had snow way down as well. I could see Mt. Nelson and some higher peaks on the Eastern Shore also had a topping as well. I've only been in this House for a week after moving, and it sits about 200 metres ABSL on one of the higher hills in Lenah Valley so it was a great start to wake up to a white neighbourhood. It melted pretty quick, it's still been a very gusty chilly day.
Cheers for the Bart.
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2012 23:41

Beautiful pics, and what a wonderful 'welcome' to the neighbourhood!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/08/2012 09:35

CS22 - Told you there was every chance of having a nice surprise. There were quite a few occasions when the models were not indicating ANY snow over Tas but I would be at Lake Dobson or on Mt Wellington and it would be snowing.

The cold air was there and Cradle ALWAYS gets moisture due to its position in the state. You picked an absolute corker of a weekend to go. smile

H2O - great stuff there, glad you had a nice surprise there. Snow to about 200m or less according to reports. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/08/2012 08:51

Snow forecast in Tas again to 300 or 400 m.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/09/2012 15:29

Snow forecast to 400m or so again tomorrow.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/09/2012 14:20

Well after being battered by what can only be described as frightening winds the last 3 days , today around 1:00 pm it came over really black and the Temperature dived from around 15 Degrees to around 5.5 in 15 minutes . It pelted and blew and after it lifted Mount Wellington can be seen with a coat of Snow to about 400 meters. I think all this is not over yet , so I hope everyone in the Southern Half stays safe.
Cheers from the Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/09/2012 14:29

Thanks for the update H2O - always good to hear whats happening there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/09/2012 14:16

Hobart is still being hammered today. BOM said wind up to 50 kmh but it's been almost twice that. The Derwent is awash with whitecaps and certainly no Saturday sailors out today. The house is creaking and shaking and the man hole is lifting with the pressure changes.The gum trees up here are being bent sideways. It's quite incredible that more damage has not been reported. Will be glad when this is over.
Cheers
From The Bart.
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/09/2012 22:33

A very slack effort by the Tasmanian BOM today. Surface obs at Liawenee (Central Plateau) had recorded wind gusts up to 107km/h at 12:30pm yet they have only just been added to the SWW about half an hour ago. So thats about 9+ hours after the event has started occuring before it was noticed and warned for this district. The east coast district has only just been added aswell with obs recording gusts around 100km/h at 4pm. The majority of people probably have gone to bed or are just about to by now!! The winds have started easing since then aswell, pathetic sums it up. How hard is it honestly you only have to concentrate on one state!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/09/2012 23:47

Totally agree Scottie , In Hobart we are still being hammered as I type with gusts over 100kph. It's dam well frightening and we are just sitting here waiting for something to give. I have lived in FNQ for a few years and if a Cat 1 Cyclone came anywhere near the Coast the stores would shut , windows taped and the SES and BOM would be telling everyone to battern down and stay home. So here we sit with this weather pattern and there no warnings for residents , nothing on the TV , nothing on the BOM site except for a Coastal Warning ect. Just very very slack and somewhat irresponsible from the powers to be. This event should be getting a full warning and advice . mad
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/09/2012 00:07

Thinking of you guys down there with your wild weather. Just had patients in from Hobart very happy to be basking in our monotonous sunshine! wink
Posted by: Scottie A

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/09/2012 10:18

Hi Mountain,

The south east district has been in the Severe Weather Warning since it was issued on Friday morning. Its just a lazy effort to monitor the situation and update the warning as required. Happens alot across all state BOM offices especially with Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. Its lazy and negligent I cannot see why they have trouble monitoring 1 state! They have come out all guns blazing this morning and warned nearly all of the districts except the islands. Bit late now. Looking at modelling I can only see the South West and mabye the South East areas being affected by damaging winds this afternoon.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/09/2012 17:06

Hi Everyone , Today we had Temps close to 21 about 6 above the average and some very heavy winds again around 87 kph at 4.00 pm.
Looking very black and stormy now, seems becoming from the NW .
We might see some high level snow showers tomorrow , so as usual with Tassie 4 seasons in a week.

Cheers from
The Bart.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/09/2012 21:06

Hi All, Away in Launceston this weekend .Today we had heavy rain till about 2:00 pm today. Tonight at 9:00 pm we just had a big storm and downpour with lots of thunder and small hail up to 5mm.

Cheers from Launnie
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/09/2012 17:33

Was in that hail/thunderstorm in Launnie as well, pretty rough. Good snow to mid levels over the weekend, 20-40mm through the north, maybe a little less down south.

~170mm here in Burnie in the past 6 weeks (been away for most of it)
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2012 10:28

Been on the north island DL or o/s?

October often sees a couple of decent snowfalls down there too - so should be a bit more to come. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/10/2012 23:01

Tomorrow looks interesting , time to batten down the hatches.

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/warnings/severe.shtml
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/10/2012 09:00

Yep the natural tree top trimmer is coming to town again. Keep your head down and your eyes squinty for the dust. Hate those days. The only weather condition in Tas I do not miss is that heavy wind. Cheers Mountain man.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/10/2012 09:04

Sitting on 23.8 deg c at 9.00 that's 7 over average and my little weather station has recorded a max wind gust of 50.8 and it's picking up. At least it won't take long for the washing to dry !
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/10/2012 09:37

Yes but you might have to go looking for the washing. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/10/2012 19:01

All the wind was down south, pretty calm mild day til late this arvo and the front brought in some cooler air.

was O/S DM, went and stayed with Lara's family for a few weeks and spent another couple of weeks touring about. Is warming up down here, might get another decent fall yet, Waratah had 20cm Sunday morning just gone but either side of it and temps have reached 25-27 on the east coast and low 20's on the NW coast
Posted by: gwilli

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/10/2012 18:35

Just noticed 141 kmh gusts at Mt Wellington @ 2.30am this morning ....thats some serious wind.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/11/2012 09:19

5400 thickness prob over Tas on Friday and possibly Monday - that would normally provide some snow from about 900 metres in the central and western areas. Some Overland Track walkers may get a surprise.
Posted by: Androooo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/11/2012 11:04

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DESTRUCTIVE WIND, LARGE HAILSTONES and TORNADOES

For people in the
Upper Derwent Valley and parts of the
South East and
Midlands Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:35 am Friday, 9 November 2012.

THIS INCLUDES A TORNADO WARNING.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce destructive winds, large hailstones and tornadoes in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include New Norfolk, Oatlands and Richmond.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 1:35 pm.


Like... WTF??
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/11/2012 11:20

It's been updated: 11:19am 09-11-12

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DESTRUCTIVE WIND, HEAVY RAINFALL, LARGE HAILSTONES and TORNADOES
For people in the
Upper Derwent Valley and parts of the
South East and
Midlands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 11:19 am Friday, 9 November 2012.
THIS INCLUDES A TORNADO WARNING.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce destructive winds, heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, large hailstones and tornadoes in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include New Norfolk, Oatlands, Richmond, Hobart and Huonville.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover.
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 2:20 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 216. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

This warning now includes: New Norfolk, Oatlands, Richmond, Hobart and Huonville.

--

Why isn't weatherzone displaying this warning in the weather warning area yet, weatherzone seems to be a little slack today.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/11/2012 11:37

Wow - never seen that warning before!!!
Posted by: _Sarah_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/11/2012 11:58

Whoa in tassie a tornado warning! Keep safe everyone.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2012 11:39

Hi all ,
Wind is really picking up here in Hobart , house is creaking and shuddering. Gusts at 61 km per hour according to BOM ?? Seems allot more than that .
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2012 12:04

Quite gusty up here too but the strength down there and the wind chill would be quite nasty. Top of Mt Wellington must be vicious at the moment.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/12/2012 18:44

Hi Everyone,
BOM is saying Hobart for Christmas Day 12- 18 and clearing showers.
The 24th looks like showers as well. I just wanted to know if anyone with a bit more expertise can say if we will get a white christmas on top of Mt.Wellington?
Cheers
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 17:34

Hobart heading for 39 tomorrow, weatherzone article says Hobart hasn't passed 38 since '06 - I can recall at least 2 days that have been hotter since, 31 Dec 2009 and late Feb 2012 - 38.8. Might have referred to the airport site.

Lightning moving in from the south west - with it dry and 4 large fires burning any storm needs to bring rain or the fires could get worse
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 19:42

Got to 33.8 today. Extremely dangerous at the moment you can smell the eucalypt vapour in the air , BOM has said for the rest of the day winds to 35kmr to 45kmr. Well it just topped out at 89kmr !! Still sitting on well over 30deg as well.
Are wind speeds that hard to predict ? They nearly always seem to under cook the forecast. Pinnacle Road up to Mt. Wellington is closed to due the high fire danger.
Tomorrow my money is the all time record will be broken, currently is 40.8 January the 4th 1976. After the series of persistent Highs over Winter keeping the rains away and the temps high this was bound to happen. Summer can't go away fast enough.
Cheers and stay safe everyone.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 20:10

Tassie all time record is 42.5 I think at Scamander - but yeah the Hobart record could be given a push.

Wind speeds are usually quoted as average speeds, I think the max gusts are up to 40% higher, was part of the investigation post the 98 Sydney Hobart
Posted by: Ruckle

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 22:18

Good luck tomorrow. With that lightning around now and tomorrows likely conditions it's (the fire risk) certainly a concern.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 23:35

Currently 28.3 degrees at 11:34pm

The January highest minimum temperature of 22.9 could also be broken.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2013 23:49

Pretty interesting evening here in Coles Bay. Fairly intense periods of lightning earlier on around the road into Coles Bay/Bicheno area. With the strong winds and high temps for tommorrow I am hoping that those strikes havn't started any fires. Fire brigade went past just before with a few cars following so I think something has started. Fire TAS has two fires near Bicheno. Coles Bay is fairly vulnerable to conditions like tommorrow and especially combined with the lightning tonight. Only one road in and It would be the first to be cut off.

Saviour might be the light rain that is now falling.

Just now have smelt smoke!!!

Will be an interesting night/day. I even contemplated driving out as a precaution but deciced to stay and see what eventuates. Might just be over caution but I have always thought this place could burn to the ground in the right conditions.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 09:34

Pretty sure Hobart City had it warmest Jan night on record, 25.4 was the min. Not quite a state record though.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 09:55

I'm pretty sure it's the all time warmest night in Hobart.
The previous record was 23.9 degrees in December 1920.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 11:15

Originally Posted By: Snowies
Pretty sure Hobart City had it warmest Jan night on record, 25.4 was the min. Not quite a state record though.


Hi, out of interest where did you get that reading as weatherzone says 23.4 and the BOM say 25.7.
Everyone seems to have a different overnight temp.
One things for sure, it was a hot night.

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/observations/hobart.shtml
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=94029&list=ds

Thanks,
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 11:20

I was awake until nearly 5.00am last night (couldn't sleep) and it was still hovering around 27 degrees.
I'm not certain the 23.4 is correct at all.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 11:48

Up 8 degrees in the last hour to 36.3 - only Ouse hotter at 36.8
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 11:51

Yeah that was quite a jump.
I hope it reaches 40 degrees.

Hobart currently on 37.2
Posted by: Vinnie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 12:14

bom says 37.9 but it looks bearable to be outside as it says the feels like or apparent temp is 27 deg. 27 knot winds though !

What would a place like Penguin be getting in this heat as I know someone who lives there ?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 12:17

Vinnie, about 23/24 degrees

Mueller Ridge, 790m asl at Lake Gordon reported 41 at Midday.... converted to sea level thats 49 degrees. State record possible if no fault found with that station.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.99975.shtml
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 12:29

39.2 in Hobart, 39.5 current Max at Campania. 40 by 1pm?
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:00

Wow, look at Tassie go!! 40.1 at Hobart AP now which i think is the current record.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:15

40.4 at Campania, 40.1 at the Airport and in the City as well. Hobart could break it's own record of 40.8 which has stood for some time.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:22

40.7 at Campania, 40.5 in Hobart City, .3 to equal the hottest ever day.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:47

40.7 in Hobart now, come on just a little bit more! =P
Posted by: Hello Hurricane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:48

BoM list 40.9 as the maximum so far at Hobart at 1:41pm.
That would be an all time record for the site, and a 118 year record at that!
Posted by: Hello Hurricane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 13:57

Wow, Hobart has blown past the record now, 41.3C at 1:53pm!
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:05

Yeah it's bloody hot out there now!
Very windy as well which is a worry.
Posted by: rain gauge

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:07

WOW look at Hobart 41.3
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:10

The minimum in Hobart has been recorded as 23.4C, rather than 25.7C, due to it being the minimum temp between 9am yesterday and 9am today (between 9am and 10am yesterday it was around 23-24 degrees). So it's the warmest January night on record, but not the warmest night on record for any month.
The 'Low Temp' on the Observations page (showing 25.7C) is the minimum temp between 6pm yesterday and 9am today, but it is not the official minimum. As the Bureau also states: "Note: Minimum temperatures in the Bureau's climate records are measured from 9 am to 9 am and may differ from the values shown in the table."
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:19

Well I thought may hit over 40.8 today and it did. eek
What is the chance of seeing 45 or so in February when we normally get the hottest spells . Pretty good chance I think.
Posted by: Vinnie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:21

Originally Posted By: Snowies
Vinnie, about 23/24 degrees

Mueller Ridge, 790m asl at Lake Gordon reported 41 at Midday.... converted to sea level thats 49 degrees. State record possible if no fault found with that station.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.99975.shtml


Why so much cooler in Penguin ? Right near the sea ? Hobart isn't ?

Also what about Molesworth about 41 deg ?

Finally this may sound dumb but if Australia being a continent and Tasmania being on a separate bit of landmass surrounded by water , how does the hot desert air from Central Australia travel to Tasmania, does it cross the ocean ? That would make it humid ? confused

Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 14:25

Hobart and Penguin are on the water - by the time it crosses bass straight the air has been moderated by the ocean and the air less well mixed. The air mixes as it rises over the central plateau and you get much hotter conditions through the Derwent Valley. North West Coast around Penguin is more humid.

Molesworth is in the derwent valley and would be close to Hobart's temp.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 15:57

Still 41 degrees and rising at 3:56pm.

I had to take a cold shower just before. =P
Posted by: Hello Hurricane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 16:09

Hobart's temperature just peaked up higher again, 41.8C at 4:05pm.

Past the record by a whole degree now!
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 16:35

59.9 at Dunalley - new world record - although it is being affected by bushfire
Posted by: Brett Guy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 16:42

Originally Posted By: Snowies
59.9 at Dunalley - new world record - although it is being affected by bushfire


Does that mean the thermometer is on fire?
You get the feeling that temp may be a little innacurate don't you:)
Posted by: Brett Guy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 16:57

Actually looking at the BoM obs it was 54.9deg and had a jump of 16.5deg in the space of half an hour to get to it.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:01

Fire passed pretty close, township of Dunalley was under threat.
59.9 briefly according to this
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/observations/hobart.shtml
Posted by: Vinnie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:03

app temp of over 50 deg ? 99 percent humidity -- error ? for Hobart



http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/observations/hobart.shtml
Posted by: Brett Guy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:05

I wonder what will happen to the reading of the temp then. It seems to be too far out to be accepted
Posted by: Vinnie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:08

Is this temp accurate

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/tas/lower-derwent/dunalley
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:10

No, not accurate. The original max of 41.3 might be accepted. Up to the BOM
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:18

Bushfires everywhere. Dunalley, Fawcett and Bicheno and other southern east coast towns are under serious threat. Evacuations everywhere. 3500 customers without power with many road closures. All peninsular residents been told to go to Nubeena NOW. All tourist that were at Port Arthur are being ferried out.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:20

Tarmac melting on Southern side of constitution hilln Midlands H'way
Posted by: Inclement Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:32

Obviously an extremely serious situation occurring down there. Keep safe all. Updates can be monitored here .
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 17:39

Hopefully all is well when I head back home in a couple of weeks for holidays
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 19:23

65 buildings/dwellings lost around Dunalley - including the school, petrol station and RSL. Some reports of a death as well.
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 19:35

Originally Posted By: Snowies
65 buildings/dwellings lost around Dunalley - including the school, petrol station and RSL. Some reports of a death as well.

Source(s) of this information?

Edit: Thanks gregr. Have found an article on the ABC News website: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-01-04/fire-risk-high-as-southern-states-swelter/4452306
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 19:37

Originally Posted By: Seabreeze
Originally Posted By: Snowies
65 buildings/dwellings lost around Dunalley - including the school, petrol station and RSL. Some reports of a death as well.

Source(s) of this information?


This info was just repeated on ABC News24
Posted by: PerthWXLive(SB)

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 19:48

havent read anywhere about deaths
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 19:51

Nothing confirmed re 1 death, police on the way to investigate
Posted by: Steven

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 21:09

ABC 936 Hobart radio
http://www.abc.net.au/hobart/programs/webcam_radio.htm?ref=listenlive&src=internetradio
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 21:29

Ash reported falling in Sandy Bay , Howrah , Claremont , Mount Nelson . We have had embers and ash falling in Lenah Valley which is at the foothills of Mount Wellington 5 mins from Town. Here's praying none of these are still live as the place is tinder dry.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 21:49

Heaps of ash falling in Claremont mother in-law said
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 22:54

Very smokey here in Coles Bay. Winds have shifted Northerly and have picked up a bit over the last hour. Orange glow to the huge smoke cloud to our north. An expected change tommorrow morning has the crews doing some backburning around Bicheno to protect the town when it changes.

A bit of an interesting weather experience for myself. Today was 38 here which was a record for Coles Bay. Whilst its hot for here, Broome where I spend most of my time has temps above 38 probably 50+ days a year if not more. Its funny what you get used too.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 22:57

Bring out the flanny popeye. They just downgraded the rainfall for tomorrow with the potential of lightning. Still 30 at Bushy Park
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:00

LOL. Nahh Smoke is so thick the missus has closed all the windows and doors so the 32 degrees outside ATM is a sweaty 35 inside. No Flanny tonight but a stinking smokey house instead.

As for the lightning, I was absolutely amazed that the storm just north of here last night didn't light the whole region up with fires today. Whilst there has been fires it could have been so much worse for the Bicheno Coles Bay area. I took a snapshot of the radar last night so I might put it up here.
Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:02

Does anyone know who I could send some clothing to? 14yo son just cleaned out his wardrobe, got bags of clothes to give away. I would prefer to give them to someone in need than any one else.

All good condition, some never worn things like jeans. He grows too fast.

I know my offer may be a bit early with the fires still on but if you know of anyone who has lost in the fire and could use them please pm me so I can send them on.

Stay safe. Better to take the precaution of running before the fire than being a statistic. Houses, property can be replaced, you and your family can not.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:07

Not sure Bundy but a nice offer there. I have to say whilst cyclones and floods are scary, Fires give me the heebies. Bit of a scarey feeling when a fire is around. The wind here today was pretty wild there for a few hours. I feel for people right in the path of these fires today in Tassie.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:09

Someone asked the same thing on the radio too. Not so much asking for goods, just hands on deck to help with food prep and assistance of the like. Hope ya stay safe popeye
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:11

You got power still popeye?
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:15

Yeah cheers westy. Was watching weatherzone here today and it jumped from 32 to 38 in a matter of minutes when the WNW change came through. Our balcony overlooks the bush and I saw a few puffs of smoke go up and then it was just game on with big towering smoke billowing to the North. It looked closer than what it was. Bicheno must be 30kms north of here and there were two fires going at the time.

A bit of adrenaline ther for an hour or so. Had the car packed with a few things just in case it came over the range. All good here though. Unless we get some cranking Northerlies we should be OK. Been interesting watching the Parks guys driving past back and forth. There must be 8-10 of them that have been in and out this evening. They will have a huge night ahead of them no doubt. Heres hoping that this are survives OK. The Freycinet National Park is such a beautiful part of tassie. To have it buring is not good.
Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:16

Originally Posted By: Westy80
Someone asked the same thing on the radio too. Not so much asking for goods, just hands on deck to help with food prep and assistance of the like. Hope ya stay safe popeye


I wouldn't be much use in fighting a fire but am a dab hand in a kitchen. I would be there to lend a hand with whatever I could if I wasn't a tad far away from it.

But if I can lend a hand with anything from the centrally coast of Qld let me know.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:18

Yeah Power is fine. Fire front is a distance away and is in fairly inaccessible country. The best they can do is just put out warnings and evacuate the shacks and camps sites between here and Bicheno. Power went out last night with that storm that went through. Was a ripper. Big strikes everywhere straight to the North of here.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:49

Interesting link to blog and images of Tassie fires
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/01/2013 23:55

To close for comfort mate
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 00:04

Yeah I dont like fire that much. I love my weather and I guess thats were I get my respect for fires and how quickly they can move. Like I said in a post before Coles Bay with one road in on a peninsula with a hot Northerly fanning in would be frightening. The whole town is full of gum trees and heaps of bush which adjoins National Park. I thinks Parks do a good job of back burning during the winter or shoulder seasons as I guess they know the consequences if they dont at least try to reduce the fuel on the ground.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 00:10

Yeah familiar with Tassie roads mate, lives there for 25 years. Now a westerly coming in.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 00:11

Night mate, take care.
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 02:10

Thinking of you all in Tassie (and SA too) - take care and stay safe.
Posted by: Green n Lumpy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 17:33

Anyone heard from Popeye today? From the latest news reports there are still uncontrolled fires burning around Coles Bay / Bicheno.
Posted by: Gabby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 20:49

Originally Posted By: Popeye
Not sure Bundy but a nice offer there. I have to say whilst cyclones and floods are scary, Fires give me the heebies. Bit of a scarey feeling when a fire is around. The wind here today was pretty wild there for a few hours. I feel for people right in the path of these fires today in Tassie.


You said it Popeye I too feel for all those who have lost their homes and treasured possessions in these terrible fires. Keep safe!
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/01/2013 23:37

I think Coles Bay has been ok G n L. Few fires still burning near Bicheno with more houses taken, but south to Coles Bay was on affected by ash. Fingers crossed but.
Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 14:31

Originally Posted By: Green n Lumpy
Anyone heard from Popeye today? From the latest news reports there are still uncontrolled fires burning around Coles Bay / Bicheno.



Still no Popeye. I hope it is only because they don't have internet at the moment and nothing worse.
Posted by: dlcat1

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 14:57

They (TFS) still have Coles Bay as ok. Hoping its just power or internet out too smile
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 19:43

We managed to get out of Cole's bay yesterday just before they closed the road. Fire was near the road then. Thick smoke everywhere. We've got a ferry to catch back to mainland tomorrow and then back to broome and the end of the wet. Missing the tropics and the family freezes in anything under 32degrees. Lol. I hope the bicheno/Coles bay fire is controlled before any more strong winds. It looks like wind conditions are ok for another day or two. A bit of rain would be good too.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 20:08

I managed to get a screen grab from the weatherzone radar from the other nights lightning storm. When it was happening I new there had to be fires considering the forecast the following day. I'm not sure how the other fires started further south but the line of storms that evening was awesome around coles bay. Even give the Kimberley a run for its money when it was pulsing down. Clear sky strikes all over the place looking off our balcony. A few had me running for cover.

Posted by: bundybear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 22:13

Popeye, glad you are safe. That would have to be scary.
Posted by: Westy80

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/01/2013 22:55

Good to hear Popeye
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/01/2013 13:46

Popeye - enjoy trip across the strait.

Snowies - you are living on the correct side of the state to avoid the worst of the temps at least.

Hope the fires remain away from Mt W. Lots of little fire starters seem to live in that Lenah Valley/Glenorchy area.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/01/2013 20:53

Yeah, but lightning started a fire out at Mawbanna on Sat morning and unusually it reached 32 at Wynyard/Burnie on Sat - not 40+ but a hot day for the north west where the locals melt when it hits 25.

Enjoy the 45 degree temps Mo Mundey.
Posted by: Popeye

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/01/2013 22:37

We were up at boat harbour and sisters beach before getting onthe ferry. Beautiful day. Light winds looked like paradise. Didnt thin k it was the norm
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2013 08:54

Boat Harbour is a lovely spot Popeye.

Have you enjoyed your Tassie sojourn?

I won't get to 45 Dan, (thankfully) but a few spots will.

Tas has a chance of snow on higher peaks today, CRAZY but I wish I was there. smile
Posted by: duckweather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2013 08:56

Was saddened to see the losses in Tassie.
Tassie is one of my fave places and a lovely place to live.
Duck.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2013 13:39

Wet, windy and cold down at Savage Today, hopefully some respite from fires on the way through. Snow to 800m tonight...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2013 14:04

Dan you live in a great place. Gee it would be nice to get that cool weather after the extreme heat. Enjoy the brief coolness. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/01/2013 09:29

Lovely single digit temps at many places of elevation about 300 metres and up. Snow flurries would certainly have been seen on a number of higher areas in the West or SW. Lucky Ducks. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/01/2013 17:57

Now back to stormy, few claps of thunder around the place. Few sprinkles of rain, should get the account for 2013 open at some point tonight.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/01/2013 08:57

It's ALL happening down there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/01/2013 06:48

Very warm night down here . Already 24.9 going for a top of 25 .
Very sad seeing the only chance of moisture we have had for what seems like months , zip past us to the south. Not much chance of any more either according to the 28 day outlook. The place is like a desert. Everything is as dead as , even the most hardiest plants are dying back. Oh well I new something was up when we went through a very warm winter with very little rain. cry
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/01/2013 14:16

You will have to get a watering programme going, we had to or we would have lost quite a few of our long established plants/trees.

I think we would all love to see 3 days of constant steady rain. Wow just try and imagine it.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/01/2013 10:15

Makes me feel a bit better knowing that Tassie isn't escaping, but then that means there is nowhere in Australia that is safe. The UK and NZ are the places to be- they escape the bad influences of an overheated landmass- and can even benefit from it at times in the form of increased precipitation. However parts of NZ are pretty dry at the moment as well.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2013 08:47

Well we are supposed to be getting some much needed rain today. (10+mm)
But so far the system is looking like a bit of a flop and no rain yet.
Pretty cloudy, but i get the feeling we won't get much out of this.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2013 10:42

Hobart often doesn't do so well in a NW band but if you can get a storm develop in it you might. Hope you see some wet stuff, long overdue for it.

A good cool change behind it. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2013 17:43

17mm since early hrs of today, been overcast, cool and damp all day. Can hear the frogs and crickets out in force. Good sort of rain for dry ground.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/02/2013 08:44

Good news Dan, It's been an unusually dry spell down there I believe. I like the sound of cool and damp. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/02/2013 12:21

Finished with 20mm after some persistent rain last evening. Yeah, typical north westers, if it doesn't rain for a week, we need rain, rest of the year they want some sun, but if it hits 25 it's too hot - ultimately they spend all year inside.Probably been 6 weeks since we had 60mm in a night, which was the last fall over 5mm, so needed a good rain. Nothing like as dry as the south east though, even the midlands looks better, very parched down around Hobart.
Posted by: -Stranger-

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/02/2013 12:43

Finished up with 10.4mm here, a much needed drink!
The rain didn't really set in until about 6pm.

You were right about the cool change Dave, it's only 12.3 degrees atm with some brisk winds smile
3.5 up on the mountain, I'm sure there would be a few snowflakes around.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2013 22:47

Well the hot weather and winds from the North are set to return from tomorrow they are saying 32 but I think it will be closer to 35. cry A very warm night down here as well. Last weeks little drizzle has done nothing to green the place up. The winds have not abated this year at all and it's drying the place out to a crisp.
Allot of people that are born and bred here are saying it's one of the worst summers ever seen. I hold no hope for a decent Winter , I think those spoiling Highs will do what they did last year , keep the rain away and temps well over average. mad
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/02/2013 08:53

I hope you get more rain soon. Autumn can be quite dry down Hobart way unfortunately.

You will be hotter than us (again) smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/02/2013 10:05

Hi all , Large bushfire broke out yesterday NW of Hobart in the South Derwent Valley at Molesworth.Is currently out of control. Smoke is affecting the Northern Suburbs of Hobart. Going for a top of 28 according to the BOM is already 27 and the wind is picking up from the North West. Boy do we need rain and lots of it ! Pics showing smoke over North Hobart and The Upper Derwent.




Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/02/2013 12:06

Gee that's no good - hope it doesn't get onto the mountain proper, anything in there can be damn hard to stop and they travel a long way too in that rugged country.

I heard there was a fire but more detail up here was hard to find. Any updates will be welcome. cheers
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/02/2013 00:27

Bushfire at Molesworth took off badly today with high winds again.
It is still currently out of control and in very difficult terrain.
Mount Wellington Road and walking tracks are closed . Hobart is covered in very thick stinking smoke. The bad news is they are saying that it will burn out of control for a another week.It may start to impact on the Northern Suburbs by then. The forecast for next Thursday onwards is looking grim with day after day of high temps returning with little or no chance of any rain.
I think we have had less than 50mm over the last 3 months and every month the temps have been way over average and this month already sitting at 3 above for the month .
Does anyone out there with any greater knowledge have any idea if Tas or any of Southern Australia can expect some sort of system in the near future to break the drought and heat. This Summer is driving me insane. crazy
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/02/2013 08:53

Fires in the Wellington Ranges are not good - too hard to access. Autumn tends to be dry down there and stable weather. Hope some ok rain comes soon.
Posted by: Thunder Front

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/02/2013 11:42

Forecast said lower temperatures but still have the risk of bushfire. O: Hope it rains soon.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/02/2013 12:05

Later in the week it is forecast for mid to high 20's but it seems more NE winds than NW which MAY bring a little humidity. No real sign of any significant precip on the eastern side of the state in the near future. I used to live in Ridgeway and dreaded fires on Wellington.

Hope the winds don't get too active. At least nights should have cool air falling of the mountain tops, that might help a bit. Obviously very dry fuel loads though. So yes you need a wet circuit breaker for sure.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/02/2013 13:03

Thanks everyone , according to the Tas Fire Website the fire is still going but they have pulled the air mounted attack. This may be a sign that it's slowing down ? Conditions are much milder today. Will just keep our fingers crossed smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/03/2013 12:59

Well Hobart has equalled it's hottest Summer on Record set back in 2000 at 23.3 degrees.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-03-01/hobart-matches-hot-weather-record/4547342?section=tas

The trend is set to continue as the first tens days of this month look like being 6 to 9 degrees over average every day and very little chance of any rain. AHHHH mad
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/03/2013 13:42

Maaate - how unlucky, you will be hotter than us in Bathurst this first week at least. Gee high 20's when you should average only 20. Good luck. smile
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2013 01:29

I wish we could send our almost non-stop drizzle down your way MOUNTAIN h2o where it would do some good, or better yet the rain still to come for the Capricorn Coast where they really need a break. It would have those fires extinguished in no time.
Posted by: FaulcoChasers

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2013 15:16

Just came across this & made me want to come back to Tassie & revisit all my favourite places! Might have to visit this place next time.

Regardless of the weather something to celebrate smile

Autumn raspberries

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=...&type=1&theater
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/03/2013 20:12

Well another 35 degree day , another bushfire. It's on Hobart's Eastern Shore at Risdon Vale . Smoke and flames and helicopters can be seen bombing it. Currently out of control . Will see if I can load some pics later.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/03/2013 21:35

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/59/dscf3186z.jpg/

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/855/dscf3193w.jpg/

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/221/dscf3196.jpg/
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/03/2013 09:03

Well done H2O, nice to hear what's going on down there.

35!! Lucky you - NOT. I've been going crook about 27's up here. smile

Cheers from Dave.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/03/2013 22:11

The balmy summer rolls on, was hot and muggy at Savage River on Tues and Wed - up around 30(of all places...usual drizzle and cold wind has been missing for sometime), now 30 along the coast today.

Severe Thunderstorms around Campbell town, Fingal, Friendly Beaches earlier this afternoon. Could see the mushroom tops and anvils from well west of Burnie.

On the plus side the tomatoes have gone nuts in the last couple of months and now i'm drowning in them.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2013 13:44

Food fight!!! (to get rid of excess tomatoes)

Not many cool changes getting through there the last month or so. Amazed that 35 was down there again. Very Very rarely would we see 35 here in March.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2013 14:49

Currently sitting at 37 degrees in Hobart's Northern Suburbs. mad
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2013 15:57

37.8 degrees here in Howrah, all i can say is.. thank god for air conditioning.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/03/2013 09:04

You have had a rough trot down there - much hotter than Bathurst at times. Also the nights have not been that cool either down there.

However, a good cold change on the way - get up on Mt Wellington for a few flakes on Saturday. If I was still living there I reckon we would have organised a bbq at the chalet for this sat night smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/03/2013 08:03

Hi Everyone, Well the BOM said showers last night and we got zip.
Today they have changed to showers developing in the morning,from the radar and looking at the mostly sunny skies I'll say we will get very little if any. Now looking at the NZ thread about the North Island and reading about the blocking Highs, that's what happened here last Winter and the place also looks like a desert. I'm only new at this but my gut feeling and given what last Winter brought us and also looking at the chances of rain ahead, Southern Tasmania will be in the same situation in the near future. Here's hoping those Highs don't come back again this Winter , but it's not looking good.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/03/2013 09:33

Once the cooler changes start pushing northwards, southern Tas will get showers. The models are already showing signs of the changes getting closer to you over the next few weeks. Actually about March 23 - 25 looks like a fair chance of a stronger change for Hobart.

You have had a tough summer this year and a warm Autumn so far. Sadly the weather is usually relatively dry around there in Autumn but I do think showers will increase with the regularity of cool changes for you. Hang in there. smile

Radar atm shows showers from the west down there (not getting to you - mountain lee effect) but the models show the wind getting more southerly and when that happens you should hopefully get more showers around the Mt & Hobart.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2013 19:56

Weather is definately about to break, looking at plenty of rain in the next 7 days.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/03/2013 08:47

GFS for about 28th/29th of March has a big red bullseye right near Hobart. I don't think you would want the bullseye but good rain from a SE would be good.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/03/2013 17:32

Hi Dave , Thanks for the heads up. Sorry but what does the big red bullseye mean ?
Was 27 plus here today so looking forward to a shower or two tomorrow. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/03/2013 08:59

The GFS model "WAS" showing a deep low forming just to your SE. The rainfall rate it was showing for Hobart was a tight red colour - meaning high rainfall - it looked like a bullseye smile

Sadly that model has changed again but I think you will have some ok rain at some point the next 10 days or so, the models keep changing it around but have various rain scenarios at times.

Radar shows that big cloud/rain band approaching Hobart now. A few embedded storms more to the NW of you as well.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2013 08:07

38mm for me in Burnie from that system, some pretty neat fork lightning yesterday evening. Most of the rain fell after 4pm yesterday.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2013 08:56

That should get the green going strongly down there. Looks like about 20 mm in Hobart - that would be very welcome too given Hobart only had 60mm ytd before yesterdays rain.

Missed us up here yesterday, obviously your turn.
Posted by: Michael Bath

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/04/2013 10:20

Some big rainfall totals in SE Tas overnight. Models didn't highlight much potential there

Eaglehawk Neck 156mm !!
Copping 103mm

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood/southern.shtml
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/04/2013 08:52

Some light activity down there again this morning. Next Tue/Wed MIGHT see some snow flurries on the peaks in the south.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/04/2013 09:11

0.6 on Mt Wellington, wind chill approx -7 - nasty ole morning on top of the hill in Hobart!!

I daresay a couple of errant flakes may have made an appearance overnight. Actually I would say some light flakeage has the possibility of occurring several times over the next week on southern peaks.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/04/2013 22:37

Hi Everyone ,
I found this on the Net and have no idea what it represents , but does this explain the drought in New Zealand and the drought like conditions in Southern Tasmania ?
http://jisao.washington.edu/data/aao/eofreg.gif
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/04/2013 09:00

Hello H2O, good chance of flakeage on the peaks a couple of times the coming week or 10 days. Some possibility of snow to about 700 or 800 too in one event. Enjoy. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/04/2013 15:38

Hi everyone ,
Haven't posted for a while due to the lack of significant events.
Today we had winds up to 91 Km per Hr in Hobart and was probably a bit more around the hill tops. Temperature got to 25 degrees which is around 8 over.
I hold very little to no hope of any coming Winter rains at all and the very warm dry conditions prevail. Any drizzle we have had seen is quickly dried out and blown away. Still have a dead brown lawn and still have not mowed since around October last year. Unless things turn around we will see very bad drought and fire conditions come Spring and Summer cry
Posted by: Brett Guy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/04/2013 17:22

I just heard reports on the news of wind gusts up to 150km/h(132 on mt wellington). Pretty impressive system.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/04/2013 13:07

Snow on Mt Mawson (MT FIELD) snow cam this morning. Forecast to 1000m in the south.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/05/2013 09:17

532 thickness over southern Tas today - snow will prob get down to around 600 or 700 in places.

Most precip in the west and south, places like Mt Rufus or the Cheyne Range, Mt Anne, The Arthurs etc should see some ok amounts of snow.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/05/2013 11:07

Hi Dave and others ,
I would say no chance at all of snow on Mt. Wellington today at all. Rained a bit this morning but now a bright sunny cloudless day and warming up rapidly. BOM says top of 13 today and I really don't know how they come up with that ? It will be more like 18 or so,with the sun burning down . Some pretty warm days well over average ahead too , so no sign of the warm weather abating yet.I read some place recently that Hobart has not had an average or below average month of temps for 15 months straight. That pattern is continuing .
cheers
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/05/2013 14:19

Hobart now about 9 degrees with plenty of precip in the South & west. Mt Wellington would have snow showers by now for sure. smile

Mt Wellington currently -0.2 with showers.

Just had to wait till the cold change arrived H2O smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/05/2013 15:36

Hobart now 7.4, Mt Wellington -1.1

Certainly fresh down there now.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/05/2013 18:35

Phenomenally hot weather in Tasmania today, Hobart 22 and Mount Wellington 10.
Posted by: Ruckle

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/05/2013 18:49

And snow in the BOM's forecast for Hobart for tomorrow, an awesome place.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/05/2013 22:11

BOM have Hobart forecast next week as Wed 20 deg , Thurs 21 deg , Friday 21 deg , Sat 19 deg . Basically January averages in the middle of May. shocked
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/05/2013 17:23

Now forecast has gone up ,Saturday now 21 and Sunday 18.
At this rate looks like another Month will go down as the hottest on record in Hobart , the closer Winter gets the hotter it's getting just plain crazy. mad
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/05/2013 09:05

Frustrating for sure H2O.

It will come, I never used to expect winter proper until July down there. June can be one of the rare frosty times around Hobart, not much cloud about in June, that changes in July.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/05/2013 19:46

Is this going to happen in Hobart?, love the vision and the projected images.
http://www.mtwellingtoncablecar.com/

Great idea, should have been done years ago, even Cape Town has one.

Only thing I would be concerned about are the strong winds since I get sea sick quite easily. My preference would be for a steep mostly above ground railway system, also could be done.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/05/2013 21:41

Forecast now been increased again 22 deg for both Friday and Saturday. Just to bring this into perspective January and February max average is 21.7 deg. By the way max May record is 25.7 deg set on the 01/05/1997 , I can see Friday and Saturday giving this a very close nudge.

Cheers from
HOTbart grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2013 09:02

Grizz - where thay want to put the car is pretty much the lee side of the Mt. They will keep it not too far off the ground unless topography requires otherwise. This talk has been going on for decades, at least it seems to have more substance the last couple of years.

H2O - certainly been a warm Autumn for you.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2013 16:40

BOM have just put Friday up to 24 degrees . Records will fall for sure !! shocked
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/05/2013 08:57

Yes saw that this morning - that's damn warm for that time of year.
Posted by: Ruckle

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2013 00:01

Hee hee got to 21, they should have stuck with the original forecast, was a little closer.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2013 11:45

Well very disappointed again to wake up to another sunny warm day given the BOM last night at 4:20 pm said we were going to get 10 to 20mm ???!! today. Now they have changed the forecast to basically a few showers. How can they be so very wrong so often ?
We managed to get about 10 drops last night so I must be thankfull for that I suppose.
Cheers from
DRYbart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2013 13:29

DRYbart - like it smile Well not really just the pun.

They get our weather in Bathurst wrong way too many times as well.

Hang in there - it will rain at some point.

Should be noticeably cooler from now.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2013 19:43

21mm in the gauge sunday arvo through monday morning.

A few heavy showers about early this morning.

Burnie is 140mm down on YTD compared to last year - which is odd because I thought the summer/autumn was nicer last year...
Posted by: Tom1234

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2013 16:11

Originally Posted By: GrizzlyBear
Is this going to happen in Hobart?, love the vision and the projected images.
http://www.mtwellingtoncablecar.com/




That looks great, something like that would bring more tourist $$ to the area. I have never been to Tasmania but it sounds like there's currently no facilities on Mt Wellington ?
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2013 16:21

I think the cable car has been on the books for years, but green groups are vehemently opposed because of the potential impact on the Organ Pipes (the columns on the Hobart side of the mountain). It would give all weather access to a unique part of Australia- currently the only access to the summit is via a winding road that is closed at the drop of a hat whenever there is significant snowfall.

Perhaps an alternative route (say on the Fern Tree side) would be more feasible? DaveM should know more.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 07:54

It was a wild night, strong winds and driving rain/heavy showers. 27mm overnight, 62mm in ~60hrs from Sunday evening.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 09:29

Aah Snowies - finally remembered how to rain down there?

Enrique - currently on Mt W is a small enclosed observation deck, made of stone and glass. It is a life saver on the cold windy times, wind chill can be severe up there at times.

There is a small toilet block, there are buildings housing TV transmission equipment etc and not really anything else regarding buildings.

Certainly no food or drink facilites.

I think something more would be good up there as long as it was styled as a low riding, low vis structure. A proper visitors centre with say a cafe would be quite popular. At the moment most people (on nasty days especially) pop out of the car have a quick look, take a few photos and leap back in the cars with frozen ears/hands etc.

The biggest concern is that the whole mountain is a major collector for water for Hobart. Water is collected directly off the mountain before it gets low enough altitude to meet human habitation. It is pristine water and requires only the absolute minimum treatment allowed by law. Any development needs to ensure that the water quality of any section of the Mt is not compromised in any way.

The sections of Hobart that get mostly Mt Wellington water have absolutely excellent drinking water.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 09:40

They should have rebuilt the old springs Hotel after it was burnt to the ground in 1967. Was a good looking building and given the number of people who are forced to stop there on a snowy day it would do a decent trade most of the time.

Could erect something similar on top, if it needed to over look the city, or something a bit bigger it was was further over the back on the north/north west side - looking up the midlands/Derwent Valley.

Cable car would be a pretty neat ride to the top, but wouldn't work in the snow, in really cold events the amount of ice and high winds would shut it down. You'd need a stop lower on the mountain, about where the chalet is to avoid the worst of the conditions.

So much scope in tassie but so little will to do anything. Costs a fortune for tourists/backpackers to get about, you have what could be a fantastic rail trip - meandering through the midlands, out through the north west, along the coast to Stanley or down the west coast - but the rail is falling to bits, would cost the government money to run - but the returns to business if done properly... with cost effective prices..
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 09:52

Amen Snowies - spot on.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 12:56

Mt. W has to be the most "un Australian" place in Australia- cold and windy most of the time just like parts of the UK, perhaps that's why tourism opportunities are shunned? wink Even the Snowies/High Country get their fair share of "Aussie" weather in summer, complete with bush flies the size of your hand.

And you'd have to be, umm, Nuts, to take a train all the way to Stanley...

Tassie is overlooked by most international travellers to Aus, which is a great pity. If you don't like vapid hedonism, flies, desert or coral reefs then its the best of Australia- the Aussie spirit without the worst this country has to offer.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 19:58

Yeah, you would travel in sections, hop on/off.

Rained pretty much all day, another 12mm or so. Nearly 3 inches in 3 days.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2013 22:37

Well still no rain down here , tomorrow the BOM have us penciled in for 2 to 15 mm . They said that the other day and we got zilch , so I don't hold any hope. The rivulets on the New Town side are but a trickle and the fire trails and undergrowth still is tinder dry.
So far just 12mm so far from an average of 44 mm. Temps also still sitting 3 degrees over the average max as well.
I would sure love to see some of those disused railways turned into cycling trail / tracks , imagine being able to ride from Hobart to the Derwent Valley or up the Midlands to the North . Many similar trials have been developed in England and Scotland and are a huge tourist draw card for touring cyclists. It would bring trade to many historic towns now by-passed by the highway as the railways still go through most of them. It would be safe and away from the roads , we get many people trying to ride around the State , but they presently have to deal with shoulderless roads and log trucks in many areas. Also the railway track follows a mainly flat profile and stays away from some of the steep hill climbs . Anyway that's my dream , as far as the cable car anything that makes use and tidies up the Giblin Street Quarry would be a bonus smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 08:00

26mm to this morning, a 3 day total of 88mm - or ~50% increase for the YTD total.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 09:08

As usual the west and north west gets the rain. At least this morning there are showers coming into Hobart from the SE - the best direction for rain there.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 11:09

Here in Howrah between 2:58 and 3:05 this morning we had a very heavy downpour totaling 5mm, quite a nice surprise to see so much rain coming down at once even though very little of it soaked in.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 12:00

The radar shows some streaming shower lines approaching from the SE, some of them look like there's a bit in them. Hope you get lot's more.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 13:58

Originally Posted By: DaveM
The radar shows some streaming shower lines approaching from the SE, some of them look like there's a bit in them. Hope you get lot's more.

Some very dark clouds out around here in Hobart but no a drop yet. Currently 69 % RH and 13.8 deg .Plenty of good stuff on the radar but is missing Hobart as usual so far,can only hope smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 14:58

The new radar on Mount Koonya over estimates the rainfall intensity a little. The old radar at the airport was the other way round, couldn't detect much at all west of the mountain. Only had line of sight up the Derwent Valley.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 15:15

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Some very dark clouds out around here in Hobart but no a drop yet. Currently 69 % RH and 13.8 deg .Plenty of good stuff on the radar but is missing Hobart as usual so far,can only hope smile


Looks like hobart missed out on that last downpour, here in howrah on the eastern shore we picked up another 7mm.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 16:22

Originally Posted By: gregr
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Some very dark clouds out around here in Hobart but no a drop yet. Currently 69 % RH and 13.8 deg .Plenty of good stuff on the radar but is missing Hobart as usual so far,can only hope smile


Looks like hobart missed out on that last downpour, here in howrah on the eastern shore we picked up another 7mm.

Great news gregr glad you're getting something , still not a drop here on the Hobart side and now the sun is coming out and clouds going away . Oh well so much for the BOM's 2 to 15 mm Again !! mad
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/05/2013 22:06

Well the BOM is at again for tomorrow they are saying a 95 % chance of rain and 4 to 8 mm , what a running joke this is becoming. Tonight a 90 % percent chance of rain as well ?? , a bigger joke have they looked out the window and seen the cloudless star laden sky ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/05/2013 09:00

Yes frustrating that lack of rain for there. The changes are pushing through with more regularity now, hopefully that means increasing frequency of showers for you there over the coming weeks.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/05/2013 15:20

I've noticed the Tasman Peninsula (Port Arthur etc.) has been copping the SW'ly stream showers, unfortunately they don't get to Hobart because of the rain shadow effect. In more "gutsy" frontal weather these showers penetrate, and pre-frontal NW'ly rainbands are a chance too of course. I hate to see Tassie dry because it really shouldn't be- more like the UK/NZ than Australia climate wise which means lighter but more regular rainfall.

It's been pretty dry up this way too as DaveM can attest. Though we are closer to the ravages of the dry interior we do benefit from tropical systems, pretty rare for those to make it all the way to Tassie.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/05/2013 18:45

Originally Posted By: Southerly_Buster
I've noticed the Tasman Peninsula (Port Arthur etc.) has been copping the SW'ly stream showers, unfortunately they don't get to Hobart because of the rain shadow effect. In more "gutsy" frontal weather these showers penetrate, and pre-frontal NW'ly rainbands are a chance too of course. I hate to see Tassie dry because it really shouldn't be- more like the UK/NZ than Australia climate wise which means lighter but more regular rainfall.

It's been pretty dry up this way too as DaveM can attest. Though we are closer to the ravages of the dry interior we do benefit from tropical systems, pretty rare for those to make it all the way to Tassie.

Will certainly agree S_B , I'm thankful we got a few mm on Saturday that's for sure. We certainly are in a Rain Shadow.
Even more so where I am on the Lenah Valley side of Mt.Wellington. Last year most of our rain came from the East Coast and not from over the mountain , where I usually get it.
You could always look up and if Mt. Wellington was black and socked in you knew you were going to cop it , rain and hail !! This all changed last year and this year so far.
The patterns of the blocking Highs keeping the Lows and cold fronts from coming across are continuing on from last year.
I don't know , but I really just get the feeling we are going to receive very little rain and will be in even bigger trouble than last year come fire season. I really hope that's not the case and we back to our usual wet Winter pattern soon.
Cheers
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/05/2013 13:55

Hi All ,
Well the Warm Northerlies are back , blowing a gale down here and back to temps over avg for the next week. The tulips are starting to push up so they think it's Spring already.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/05/2013 11:29

Actually we have daffodils coming up here too!!

Aren't they in for a surprise smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/05/2013 12:29

A very warm night it got down to a min of 13.5 deg at about 8:30 pm last night but hovered around 14 plus the rest of the night. Which is pretty warm as the daily daytime max is 14.5 for May.
Another restless night of the place being pounded by high winds , 82 kmr winds here in Hobart and the top of Mt Wellington clocking out around 126 kmr.
The WaveRider buoy at Cape Sorrel has hit a mighty 10 meters !!

Cheers from
Blowabart grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/05/2013 08:59

Wow at the wave height!! I know it does it sometimes but not often. Well spotted.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/05/2013 16:34

Well the news as far as Winter and any rain down here just gets worse by the day. Next days are 17 , 18 , 18 to finish the month , that's just incredible. The first few days of what is Winter next week looks like being the same. At this rate it will back to 35 degrees by August and back to 40 by October. mad
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/05/2013 17:08

Hi , just thinking does anyone out there know what the record daily max temps would be this late in May in Hobart ? Surely the next 3 days would have to come close ? The Australian newspaper on Saturday said the record for that day was 18.1 in 1893. So going by this I would assume we will see the record books rewritten if the forecast is on or above what is predicted.
Cheers
from the new sub tropics cool
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/05/2013 21:03

Record max temp for Hobart in May since 1882( 120 yrs records)
Station: Hobart (Ellerslie Road)
Opened: 1882
..............was 25.7 deg c 1st may 1997

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029

Hobart monthly mean for May is 14.4 deg C

20 of your 27 days of may so far (2013) have been above the mean

The forecast for 18 deg c in the coming days is 3.6 deg c above the monthly mean

Highest monthly mean in May for this data set is 17.3 deg C

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/05/2013 22:07

Originally Posted By: crikey
Record max temp for Hobart in May since 1882( 120 yrs records)
Station: Hobart (Ellerslie Road)
Opened: 1882
..............was 25.7 deg c 1st may 1997

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029

Hobart monthly mean for May is 14.4 deg C

20 of your 27 days of may so far (2013) have been above the mean

The forecast for 18 deg c in the coming days is 3.6 deg c above the monthly mean

Highest monthly mean in May for this data set is 17.3 deg C

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/


Thanks Crikey, much appreciated.
Cheers
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/05/2013 13:24

Well it hit a top of 20.7 deg at my place today and about 20 deg in the city. That's about 7 over average . So we see 40 plus in Summer when it should be 21 and 21 in Winter . The rest of the Southern part of the country are in for a good soaking and looks like we will miss most of it again. The fire service are still conducting Autumn burn backs , the leader last night on TV said they have never been able to burn so late in the season. I know I'm whining on but surely something is really wrong with the Climate in this neck of the woods.
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/05/2013 13:33

No nothing wrong,just the vagaries of the weather.Your turn is coming very shortly.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2013 17:06

Well the first day of Winter and we peaked out at 17 degrees daily and 10.5 last night. That's already 5 over average for the daily and 5.3 overnight. We now won't see an average day till Sunday the 9th if we are lucky . Most days are looking at 16 to 18 in the week ahead. Another Record Smashing Month ahead mad
As I've said before ,something is very wrong indeed.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2013 19:00

Not wrong h2o, something certainly has to be wrong. Each time we think things are bad low and behold they get just a bit worse. One just has to come to terms with the fact that things will not get better and only surely but gradually always get worse.

I know there are a lot of optimists out there but they just remind me of a blind man on a sinking ship that keeps saying she'l be right. In the end it does not matter what your opinion is because it will make no difference to the reality.

You have to either trick yourself into believing a different reality and setting lower standards, or accept what you know is fact and change your environment by moving yourself to a different one. The 3rd option is to stay where you are but accept that change is going on and will continue to do so, this is the hardest option of all because it feels like someone is stealing from you and there is nothing you can do about it unless you take one of the first 2 options.

My solution has been to try to find other interests where a warming climate is actually an advantage then its just a win win situation. Things like going to the beach and boarding on the waves.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2013 20:30

Hobart has not had a month below the mean since April 2011
That is some 23 months in a row ABOVE the mean..

The pattern is certainly warm anomalies..

Quite amazing considering the Antartic is experiencing the opposite scenario with historical extensive sea ice extent.

The mean wind flow must be favouring a northerly advection from the mainland toward Tasmania?

I had a look at the historical AAO/SAM time series to see if l could point the finger at an anomalous Positive AAO/SAM. But had no success.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/aao/month_aao_index.shtml

I will say that a meridonal sub tropical jet has been delivering some crests and troughs from the mainland interior .
So maybe this is the key to the Tasmanian warming.
Anomalous sub -tropical jet. .Meandering??

Also polar jet contracted south..

Strange.. Record cold ice extent to your south in the Antarctic and record hot landmass to your north. And you have copped the warm from the north from the mainland.. There's the clue..

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029

Blame the wind patterns..?
Posted by: Tom1234

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/06/2013 20:47

Originally Posted By: GrizzlyBear


My solution has been to try to find other interests where a warming climate is actually an advantage then its just a win win situation. Things like going to the beach and boarding on the waves.


For people who love the rush of going downhill fast I'd recommend mountain biking. Thredbo has been on a bit of push lately to upgrade their lift access downhill trails in the hope of emulating Whistler. The operators aren't silly, they know the ski season is getting shorter and they are diversifying.

Or you can just board the waves as you suggested, less chance of major injuries compared with mountain biking smile Personally i love doing both
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/06/2013 23:14

Thanks so much everyone for your kind sympathy and ideas on turning the warming into fun. I sincerely apologise for coming across like a whinger blush . It's been such a long hot Summer and very warm Autumn and I guess I was looking forward to a cool wet Winter. Oh well there is always next year. BTW I think Crikey on the General Weather forum has found some info that may in some way relate to the crazy warming we are getting.
Cheers from
Hobart .
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/06/2013 10:14



But worse than there being no snow on The Mount, I just realised that it is NOT an extinct volcano. Intuitively you'd think it was so, given that it stands alone, but it was apparently thrust up as Australia separated from Antarctica (if WP is to be believed). Geology is not one of my strong suits- surprising given that I have rocks in my head a lot of the time smirk .
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/06/2013 09:19

Whilst it is not a volcano, dolerite is an igneous rock, it's very very hard and tends to push up in faults in the crust.

Very few places in the world have as much dolerite as Tas. The rest of Oz virtually has none (one or 2 tiny patches I Think? in WA or NT.

Maybe it's talc in the head SB/HBB you know nice and soft. smile

Could be some nice cold conditions by the weekend down in Tas. Snow to maybe 800m.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/06/2013 18:21

MountainH20 said
"...some info that may in some way relate to the crazy warming we are getting."

The best explanation for the warming you have been getting MH20
is most likely from the anomalously high pressure across the eastern sea board for MAY 2013
as seen on the pic below
This means you have had more than your fair share of warm north west winds from the interior flow down across Tasmania.
If you were to check the BOM 'obs' for Tasmania for May 2013,you would find the extent of winds as been anomalously from the N/west


In a way this is good.. As it means the air circulation is robust as warm air from the interior is sent poleward to cool.


http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/cm...=month&area=nat


EDIT

Hmmm
Also some very strong warm anomalies of plus 10 on the Antarctic circle for may 2013..May have contributed?

select

850 hPa southern hemisphere temps.

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/cmb.cgi?page=top
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/06/2013 09:19

Over the next day or so, even 528 thickness is close or partially over Tas (GFS).

Even with 536 and 532 thickness, snow under precip will make it down to maybe 600m or so. Sadly for Hobart it is a typical western system that will not give Hobart much precip. All blocked by Mountains to the west and south.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/06/2013 09:57

Western elevated areas above say 500 or 600m will get quite solid accumulations out of this. The speckled cloud on the Sat Pic show what is about to hit Tas. It looks really classic.

Mt Rufus (Near Lake St Clair) should look very special tomorrow night. It is uniquely positioned to get the heaviest falls in a westerly change.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 10:16

Wild night for a while, winds really picked up ahead of the front and then the rain arrived. 12mm to 9am - about 10mm of it overnight. Was roughest here from 8 to 10, rained on and off for a while after that.

As you say DM, bit of highland snow on the way for the Western half, BOM are saying 700m, so you'll be on the money. Bulk of the speckly cloud staying well to the south.

Has remained rather mild despite the odd colder day/night.

About 90mm down on this time last year, but fairing better than most of the state in that respect.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 10:36

I was surprised at how that lovely looking low pushed southwards so quickly.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 11:19

Looks at todays polar chart, can see it steering the weather quickly to the south after peaking to the west of us
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 11:48

That's a shame. At least you are getting some wintry weather down there - pretty damn benign in the NSW/Vic high country.

The westerly fronts will keep it damp in your part of Tas. Hobart still fairly dry.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 11:52

Sluggish start to the ski season no doubt.

Farmers down south are battling after a hot summer, warm autumn and very little decent rain. They'll be low on feed in a couple of months.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 12:11

They need a good low pressure cell just to the E of Tasman Peninsula or off the east coast of Tas. Drive rain in from the SE is the only way any good falls will get that area.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 12:12

A shower rolled through last night bringing us a grand total of 0.6 of mm. Will have to be happy with that as today it's back to clear skies and sun. At least it's about average temp today , but that is all set to change again tomorrow and into the next week with temps up around the 17's again. We are just smashing the averages for temps down here , it's like we have totally skipped Winter and gone to Spring . I guess if the Tropics really didn't get a Monsoon this year , we can go without Winter. confused
Thanks to everyone who has been posting articles and research that may be giving the reasons to what we are experiencing. Cheers to you all smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 12:49

Yet it's funny, everyone on the mainland (oops North Island) thinks all of Tassie is soaking wet. Hobart and Bathurst have almost identical rainfall - just over 600mm pa. It's only the Left hand side that is generally damp down there.

At some point it will come. Don't when but it will arrive. The streams off the Mt must be struggling a bit.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/06/2013 16:29

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Yet it's funny, everyone on the mainland (oops North Island) thinks all of Tassie is soaking wet. Hobart and Bathurst have almost identical rainfall - just over 600mm pa. It's only the Left hand side that is generally damp down there.

At some point it will come. Don't when but it will arrive. The streams off the Mt must be struggling a bit.

Certainly are Dave, went for my hike up the Lenah Valley trail today , and to get a drink I had to go right into the middle of the creek. The Rivulets are just a trickle at the moment . No rain and no snow melt ,just the natural springs keeping them alive.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/06/2013 09:53

Showers coming in from the SE - the best direction for Hobart rain - Hope it gives a bit down there - sorely needed.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/06/2013 10:42

Poor old Hobart, still only up to 130mm ytd. That really is low for 5 1/2 months.

Strahan (west coast about 580mm ytd)

Geeveston (south of Hobart) about 230mm ytd

Burnie (north west) about 300mm ytd

So the west is fine but the north and south are behind their averages by quite a way in general.

Snow forecast down there above 1200m today so nice n chilly in exposed areas.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/06/2013 11:02

Yeah, Burnie is 100-110mm down on the long term average for rain to the end of June. Wynyard is about the same, Smithton is further behind.

I think in 2010 Hobart didn't even reach 100mm by the end of June, but it was a wet end to the year - but it was heading into La Nina.

Don't think the east is any better off, haven't been the big summer/autumn downpours that can occur. Tasman Penisula excepted - Eaglehawk neck had 150mm in 24hrs a while back.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/06/2013 14:21

Only about 1 degree on Mt Wellington and precip now up to 12mm. Gauge still going up so it's not frozen. Must surely be an occasional snowflake in that precip.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/06/2013 16:11

Hi All , So far over 2 days I got 2.3 mm in the gauge. Not a lot , as I'm sort of in the shadow of the Mountain. It's been drizzly sort of stuff and no real downpours. However the Rivulet is running nicely and is looking much better today. So as Dave said Mt.Wellington has seen some good falls and we are getting the run off. Went for a drive yesterday to the Huon Valley and things are much greener and lush down that end. We drove through some really heavy downpours and it was very sleety on the higher range passes.
Well I'm happy that we got something to dampen the dust. Honestly I can't see Hobart catching up the lost rainfall we have missed , but I really hope the cooler conditions and some precipitation signal conditions turning around and getting back to normal before Spring.
Cheers from
The Bart. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/06/2013 14:52

Hey H2O - finally got some rain down there!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/06/2013 17:10

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Hey H2O - finally got some rain down there!!

Yes Dave , happy days indeed . The roof leaked as well grin
We just have to keep those Highs away and we will get some more.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/06/2013 08:49

Thats' the problem, you need rain to work out what leaks - but then things are wet. smile
Posted by: Grant

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/06/2013 14:20

I wonder if that 0.2mm fall at Launceston Ap with the air temperature below zero this morning is fairdinkum?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2013 17:56

Starting to dry out down here again and not much rain ahead on the 28 day. The days are warming up ahead and it just feels we are slipping back into the same old North Westerly winds and dominant Highs. Yet to wake up to a white mountain and I can't I see it happening in the next two weeks at least.
It's looking like another warm and dry month ahead for us. frown
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2013 08:55

Had a rather surprising 48mm to this morning, stationary convergence zone running north/south through burnie. Wynyard only 10mm.

Be interesting to see what the BOM site at Round Hill reports in a few minutes

That's the 2nd time this has happened, think it last occurred in March 2012?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2013 09:12

Solid fall there Snowies. Surprising to be so different to Wynyard as you say.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2013 10:01

BOM site at round hill only picked up 18mm - I'm only a few km's west of it. very isolated falls.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2013 09:08

One really interesting thing I noticed is that both AXS and GFS going for 524 and juuuust maybe 520 thickness over southern Tas around 6th/7th July - tomorrow week and just after.

Basically around 524 down there and snow is getting mighty close to sea level. Any heavy snow showers would often penetrate to sea level at 524 if it's closer to 520 definitely to sea level. All that is needed then is precip.

That should kick start the tassie winter nicely especially in the south and west.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2013 09:29

Thanks for the update Dave , I'll keep my fingers and toes crossed.
We are back to a run of 15 and 16 degree days ahead, the Bom has the first 3 days of next month penciled in for 16 and 10 overnight!
So the heating bills will less. smile Everytime I look at the Synoptic charts all I see are Highs everywhere AHHH I'm starting to see them in my sleep. cry
Been dry as anything again and just feels like Spring to me.

Cheers from
Hobart
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2013 11:53

Yeah it's showing some long range promise - although there's been promise at the end of the model runs for a while on and off.

524 is solid settled snow to 250-300m, 520 is pretty much cold enough for snow settling on the beaches. Recent history suggests when it gets that cold the moisture isn't there and the snow stays to the south of Hobart. July-August 2008 and August-September 2010 were the last real bursts for really low level snow - specially the 2008 events, there were 2 or 3 from memory with snow forecast well below 300m, Mount Wellington reach -7/-8.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2013 14:19

Will be interesting to see what actually does eventuate.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/07/2013 10:49

We are getting hammered by high winds today , blasting through here around 80 km per hour. Not only that is already 17 degrees and rising and last night only got down to 12 degrees. All that would be normal if it was November but it's the first of July !!!
Where is Winter ???
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/07/2013 12:07

On it's way this week. smile Winds probably not going to go away in a hurry this week either.

Some models hint at the POSSIBILITY of quite low level snow this weekend.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2013 16:43

Plenty of widespread showers in Tas atm. Snow to approx 1000m or a bit lower. At least it's something.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2013 21:15

BOM have snow to 400 in the south and 500m in the north for Friday. Snow levels set to drop each day this week. Frost to return as the weather clears over the weekend.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 09:09

An old snow chaser like you will be happy enough with that Dan. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 14:37

Hobart has just started to be hit again by some strong NW Winds.
In the last half hour we have jumped from 9 degrees up to 15 degrees and winds have gone from 13 kmr to 72 kmr . It amazing how quickly the NW winds can change the Weather . And also how much effect these NW winds have impacted on us this year.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 15:33

Yes you have plenty of close isobars on the charts - hold on to your toupee. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 15:48

Yep I'm as bald as a bowling ball , went outside the other day and my beanie blew off down the hill . It was the most exercise I'd gotten in a year , chasing it !! smirk
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 16:06

Lol - picked it in one without even knowing. smile

Need a chin strap on the beanie!! Can't have you getting tired chasing the beastie. smile
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 16:09

As i have discovered beanies only work if you have hair to hold it to the scone otherwise they just slide off.Anyway Mh20 looks like some nasty weather coming up for you.Enjoy
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2013 19:59

Interesting that AXS has it cold enough for snow to 500m for 4 days with a brief dip to 400m, whereas GFS has snow to 600m for 4 days with a 12-18hr dip to 300m Friday night. That's for southern Tas, Mount Wellington might look pretty Sat morning.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/07/2013 08:56

Keep us informed, be good to get more interest going in the Tassie thread. smile Also I can't let Tassie go, I love to know what's happening in the best place I ever lived.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/07/2013 17:44

29mm so far this week from the various frontal systems - about half since 9am this morning. Looking at the radar the break in the rain will be short lived, with rain moving in from the north west, some embedded thunderstorms in it.

Wind last night was pretty wild, don't often get strong winds up North.
Posted by: LightningGus

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/07/2013 20:36

Originally Posted By: Weather News
The most intense barrage of wind will come during Saturday morning when the low gets closest to state. Winds may reach as strong as 150km/h about the exposed coast in southern TAS, while they may gust up to 100km/h in Hobart and 140km/h about Mount Wellington, strong enough to cause significant damage. The intense wind will create giant seas, reaching 12 metres offshore early on Saturday, and 6 metres along the beaches, with swells up to 8 metres.

Yikes! shocked 150km/h, That's the same as a category 2 cyclone.
Have fun Taswegians!
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/07/2013 21:05

Tasmanian's aren't put out by 150km/h winds - happen all too frequently. QLDer's run for shelters - we go for a bike ride and enjoy the good weather
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 10:58

laugh laugh You idiot Dan poke poke

Maybe not so far fetched either I suppose. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 11:43

BOM forecasting snow to 200m in the western/central and southern areas tomorrow morning. Looking at the sat pic, could be some nice accumulations
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 11:56

Mt Rufus should look good, Cradle too.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 12:20

Hi Everyone ,
As per the reports on WZ Mount Wellington has a dusting of snow , last night was pretty windy . It's always seems to be garbo night when that happens and wheelie bins could be heard falling over and sliding down the road. Also got some small hail showers but not allot of actual rainfall. At the moment it's windy and sunny and the snow is melting faster than paddlepop on summers beach.
The conditions are set to worsen this arvo , we will see what happens.
Cheers from
Hobart
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 12:37

Keep the reports coming, enough wind to blow the milk out of your coffee!!
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 12:53

Second front slamming into SW Tas right now, some very strong gusts from that area. Hold on to your hats!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 13:04

Yes Sat pic tells all.
Posted by: LightningGus

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 13:22

Originally Posted By: Snowies
Tasmanian's aren't put out by 150km/h winds - happen all too frequently. QLDer's run for shelters - we go for a bike ride and enjoy the good weather

Haha laugh
But you see, us Queenslander's need to run for shelter, I don't remember the last time Tasmania got hit by a Cat 5 Cyclone poke
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 16:20

-2.6 on the Mt, Hobart has had 6 or 7mm of precip, Mt W would have had more and most of it would be snow. smile Be nasty up there in the cold wind etc. I imagine the gates may be shut to the pinnacle.

Good strong band of storms etc crossing the state. Bushwalkers alerts out for snow to 200m.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 16:52

Very heavy downpours of rain from 2.00 pm till now about 8mm in total. The best and heaviest rain we have seen for a very long time. The Mountain was covered in jet black storm clouds . I'm just loving this as we needed it so badly. grin
Hopefully I'll get a chance tomorrow morning to take a hike up the fire trail and see what's going on .
Cheers
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2013 16:57

50mm this week, 21mm since I reported last night. Be a good dump on Mount Wellington today/tonight.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2013 09:26

Hobart has 25mm for overnight, Mt Wellington almost certainly would be more - it should look absolutely splendous this morning (or when it clears)!!

MH20 - smiling??
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2013 11:20

It's still pretty overcast and raining , the roof has now sprung 3 new leaks !!
A little bit of icing on the cake though ,


Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2013 11:34

Good pics - looks like a heavy fall. Need a couple more, soon, to establish some snow drifts on the mountain.

Pretty active weather around the southern hemisphere when you look at the longwave trough. Good odds on more cold outbreaks reaching us over the next week or two. Next Saturday has some potential.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2013 11:38

First you want rain then you whinge smile smile

Actually they are not new leaks they are old, it just has not rained for you to discover them. smile

Enjoy the rain and snow (not the wind)

Thanks for the pics. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2013 12:02

Originally Posted By: DaveM
First you want rain then you whinge smile smile

Actually they are not new leaks they are old, it just has not rained for you to discover them. smile

Enjoy the rain and snow (not the wind)

Thanks for the pics. smile

Yes the extra hot Summer has dried out allot of the timbers and silicon resulting in a leaky roof. It's pretty hard to get some good shots as it keeps clouding over. Hopefully ?? we are taking a drive to Evandale up north tomorrow if it clears up. So there should be some amazing scenery on the way up after all this weather.
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/07/2013 08:22

Nice pic of snowcapped Mount Wellington on the RoseBay cam this morning, looks all clear.
http://www.rosebay.tased.edu.au/webcam/large.html

Would the road be open now so you can go up for a look?.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/07/2013 16:05

Originally Posted By: GrizzlyBear
Nice pic of snowcapped Mount Wellington on the RoseBay cam this morning, looks all clear.
http://www.rosebay.tased.edu.au/webcam/large.html

Would the road be open now so you can go up for a look?.


Nope, road is still closed

You have to wonder how hard is it to put the plow up the road, its not as though todays weather has prevented them for working on the road, would only take a few hours to clear it.

Spose i should not be surprised the hobart city council are never in a hurry to reopen that road after snowfall, even though its a big tourist draw card, its a real shame.

http://www.hobartcity.com.au/Recreation/Mt_Wellington/Pinnacle_Road_Status
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/07/2013 09:32

I wonder if one of the issues might be icing up. I used to notice the pinnacle could be very icy some times on the road surface. So much so that one time I was stepping out of my car only to realise that it was actually sliding away from me down a very slight slope. Most disconcerting to say the least. Hopped back in and drove it slidingly else where.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/07/2013 17:39

Hi All ,
There is still plenty of snow on the Mountain. We took a drive north to Launnie on Sunday and the Midlands was just spectacular.
Snow and frost to around 300 meters in the surrounding hills. Most of the falls seemed to be south of the St Peters Pass approx a half way point north , further up towards Launnie seemed pretty dry.
A local Launnie paper said the had 50cm of snow fall at the resort at Ben Lomond and they has some amazing pics of people enjoying the action. There is currently a petition going around to have Ben Lomond better developed with snow making machines , huts , resorts and better grooming to take advantage of the tourism as it's only an hour from Launnie. Perhaps with the way the weather patterns have been going and the poor ski seasons on the mainland over last few years , it may be something to consider ?
Hey Dave there has been a lot of black ice about , on Sunday a guy up the road was lucky to still have his car. It must of had the same thing happen as you describe above. The car slipped down his driveway into his retaining wall. If it had not wedged in the wall it would have gone straight across the road and down a 200 meter hill into the bush. Another guy we passed had slid across the road into someones front fence. It was a pretty dangerous day on the roads.
Now as to Mt.Wellington being closed the bright sparks at the City Council have come up with idea of using Antarctic people movers to get people to the top when the road is closed. The article from the Saturday Mercury is below :
http://www.themercury.com.au/article/2013/07/06/382901_tasmania-news.html

Cheers from
SNOWBART
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/07/2013 18:36

All the more the reason to get the MWCC up and running.At least people will be able to get up to the top in safety and enjoy the snow when it does fall.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 08:55

One of the issues is that in order to make a cable car viable, the road will probably be closed to public traffic. That is not a good thing for locals who like to pop up there a couple of times a month like I did.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 09:00

I lived in a very deep gully in Taroona the last couple of years there. In mid winter it had zero sun on most of my yard and sections of the road just near me. The road was also VERY steep. At least several times a winter if we actually had a good frost (which was very rare) the road would be WHITE and passage on foot or by vehicle was all but impossible without losing control. Anyone trying to walk it would always either skate down in their shoes or (most) went base over apex landing very hard.

Vehicles would slide through the patch hitting gutters, walls etc, luckily my car was parked off the road. Getting up hill was simply impossible. A couple of times that ice would last for a couple of days without melting. People would be forced to park the car below my house and try to negotiate the icy section by walking on the neighbours grass to go uphill to home. Luckily it was a very short street but still about 20 houses above us.

Much of Hobart rarely see frost BUT there are some frost gullies that can occasionally be severe.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 09:24

-12.2 in Liawenee this morning which appears to be a record low for that site and lowest minimum in Tasmania this century.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 11:23

Yes that is damn cold!!
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 19:10

Need to keep in mind that Liawanee only has observations this century and is much colder than any other station used previously. Coldest temps last century have been -13.0 at much lower warmer stations at which time Liawanee would have been much colder again except there was no WS at that time.

This makes the Liawanee record a pretty weak one and happening now in mid winter due to weak westerlies is not really a good sign. A low max record would have been far more significant even here.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 19:31

Yeah Butlers Gorge which co-holds the current all time cold night record, and the coldest July night, was a full 7 degrees warmer this morning than Liawenee. Having said that, the temps tend to flip, tends to be much warmer in Liawenee when the upper Derwent Valley is very cold and vice versa.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 20:40

Yeah, Liawenee is colder but perhaps not much colder. Shannon, only 100 metres lower in altitude had winter average minima just half a degree warmer than Liawenee.
What was remarkable about the record cold spell late June-early July 1983 was the Tarraleah minima which were several degrees below their previous record.
It would have been good to have some readings from late June-early July 1837 when the Derwent above Hobart in most of the bays was frozen over and the creeks were clogged with ice according to the Colonial Times! Governor Franklin's overland journey to Macquarie Harbour in 1842 observed the effects of the frost of 1837 destroying trees in the Central highlands. "Those
trees were all in full leaf and vigour in 1835 but in 1837 every one was stripped of life and verdure. This destruction is attributed to the long and severe frost experienced in the latter year." That would have been a cold spell to see!
Posted by: GrizzlyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 21:50

Originally Posted By: pwa54
It would have been good to have some readings from late June-early July 1837 when the Derwent above Hobart in most of the bays was frozen over and the creeks were clogged with ice according to the Colonial Times!


That is the first I have heard of that!, truly amazing. I think that perhaps what could have contributed is more snowfall at higher elevations and a stronger colder river as a result. When the water is colder to start with the water is already at the tipping point of being able to freeze. Then it only takes a run of slightly colder nights to freeze.

Interesting that Shannon and Butlers Gorge had the -13.0 on the same day 30/06/83 yet one is 939m and the other 667m. So the cold night that time spread down the valleys lower and more evenly, something that would have happened even more last century I would think when parts of the Derwent froze.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/07/2013 22:30

It seems like there was a run of two weeks of very cold nights in late June 1837 according to the very sparse press reports at the time. An interesting article on the effects is at

http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/page/1555236?zoomLevel=1

Bothwell at 350 metres was down to -12.5 in the big freeze of June 1972 but unfortunately there is a gap in Bothwell's records in the middle of 1983 as that site had some very low minima.

The Huon River froze near the banks 100 years later in 1937 but I don't think the Derwent has over the last 100 years or so and, for much of that time, probably because of the hydro schemes (Butler's Gorge ironically!) controlling the flow.

If Mt Wellington is any guide, it does seem as though there was more snow in Tasmania in the 19th century so the rivers would have run colder at times.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/07/2013 21:57

Well it looks like our nice Winter break is over starting Thursday.
Another week or so of 16 and 17 degree temps back again with those rotten North West Winds. mad
We could still be heading for a really warm July despite the last week of cold weather.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2013 16:43

54mm in the last 24hrs. Water everywhere from Deloraine heading west. 112mm in the last 10-12 days.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2013 17:02

453.2mm year to date, 77mm down on this time last year.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2013 21:19

GFS has sub 524 thickness over the central southern areas this sat morning, sub 528 statewide from the early hours of Sat. Good potential for snow to 200m in the south, 400m everywhere else.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/07/2013 21:34



After wet March in 2012, 2013 is starting to claw back the difference, see if the link works
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/07/2013 10:29

Got the rain thing happening for sure up your way. Hobart not much though. They need more for sure.

524 always got me excited when I was there!!
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/07/2013 17:48

GFS still looking the goods this evening, sub 524 statewide Sat afternoon. BOM now have 400m in the forecast, could easily drop to 200m when they re-do the forecast tomorrow.
Posted by: gwilli

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2013 22:56

Hobart temps are crazy with the current northerly... 11.7 @ 9pm... now up to 16.2 @ 10.55pm ... in the middle of winter. And even warmer than Brisbane (14.2)
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2013 23:26

Originally Posted By: gwilli
Hobart temps are crazy with the current northerly... 11.7 @ 9pm... now up to 16.2 @ 10.55pm ... in the middle of winter. And even warmer than Brisbane (14.2)

Yes the heat this year just rolls on. Last night I had the ceiling fan going tonight the Air Conditioner !!! Not a breath of air movement whatsoever. The Record for the overnight min in July is 12.6 C will smash that tonight unless some cold air shows up soon.
Posted by: gwilli

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/07/2013 02:40

You have actually crept up a bit more to 16.6 @2.40am

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Originally Posted By: gwilli
Hobart temps are crazy with the current northerly... 11.7 @ 9pm... now up to 16.2 @ 10.55pm ... in the middle of winter. And even warmer than Brisbane (14.2)

Yes the heat this year just rolls on. Last night I had the ceiling fan going tonight the Air Conditioner !!! Not a breath of air movement whatsoever. The Record for the overnight min in July is 12.6 C will smash that tonight unless some cold air shows up soon.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/07/2013 09:14

Good rain down there finally. About 40+ overnight. Needed a good freshen up. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/07/2013 16:49

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Good rain down there finally. About 40+ overnight. Needed a good freshen up. smile

Yeah most of in my leaky garage and kitchen grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2013 08:51

Plant some vegies in the kitchen then, less distance to walk. smile Watering system laid on. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/07/2013 15:52

Well not the news I was looking forward to , but I fully expected it. The days here have become warm and sunny once again and we only had one snow event this Winter. That lasted 3 days before the warm northerlies melted the lot . We have seen no decent Winter whatsoever , worse than last year and that was very poor. Oh well better put in that extra aircon and get ready for the 40 plus days. mad Probably won't see a day under 15 degrees in next years Winter if things keep going the way they have in the last 5 years.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/warmer-days-and-nights-ahead-for-tasmania/25047
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2013 16:30

Looking at breaking another new record this month. Daily average is sitting on 13.5 degrees (record for July is 13.9 ) and we are set for more 15 plus days to finish the month. It's the Winter that never was. This now seems to be an ongoing permanent change down here . I think it's 19 months in a row now, since we have seen an average month. What's causing it ??
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2013 18:44

Weather
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/07/2013 09:27

H20 - we are also suffering from a lack of a real winter up here. Just one of those stupid years I reckon. Just look at the ski season - it's been a mess this year and not looking to improve any time soon. Hope for next year.

You might end up with a really cold spring/summer as an offset
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2013 15:06

Hi All ,
A very warm 17.6 deg max here today. Spring has really sprung for sure. Today should give us a new July average max record.
2013 shaping up as one for the books cry
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/08/2013 21:04

Have recorded rain 29 of the past 39 mornings, 22 out of 31 in July alone. Have cut the gap to 35mm difference between this year and last year up until Aug 4th. Approx 245mm in those 29 mornings.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2013 09:24

Webbed feet yet?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2013 14:22

No, but I do have a bill, a fur coat and a desire to be nocturnal. Is it fatal?
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2013 14:29

Originally Posted By: Snowies
No, but I do have a bill, a fur coat and a desire to be nocturnal. Is it fatal?


Sounds pretty dire in my opinion, have you been to the doctors yet?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2013 16:09

Only fatal if you scratch yourself with that spur on the back leg.

You should get some snow nearby this week too.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2013 13:54

34mm to 9am this morning. Came down hard last night after 10pm.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2013 16:49

That's good rain. It can be quite a bit heavier rain rate up there compared to Hobart region. One of the obvious things I noticed when travelling between Wynyard and Hobart. Hobart's rain is often quite light but may be steadily persistent whereas up north it can come down much harder - more like rain up here in storms etc.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2013 17:39

Certainly, short sharp showers or prolonged rain and good rainfall rates are more common up here. Hobart has more showery, drizzly rain. Tend to have a wet/dry season - summer can go weeks without rain and in winter you hardly go a day with it. Similar day to day, either it rains well or not at all - not many overcast days with light sprinkles.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/08/2013 10:21



Catching up, close to the year to date rainfall last year and not too far short of 2011, but to reach 1000mm for the year the wet weather will have to continue to the end of sep at least.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/08/2013 11:34

Pretty wet down there again - except for the Hobart surrounds as usual. At least it's finally remembered how to rain down there. Should be a VERY green spring.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/08/2013 09:05

Tassie has been copping it up north. Cataract Gorge in Lonnie must be a beauty after that rain.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/08/2013 12:37

15 days in August to date, 1 non rainy day, 172.6mm mtd.

Friday night through Monday could add another 50-100mm to that.

674.6mm YTD - 385.6mm in the last 50 days.

Wind along the the lightning and thunder made Tuesday night interesting...

PS: It was the North Esk that was the problem, expected to peak tomorrow, just has the rains arrive again...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/08/2013 15:04

OK - Cataract is on the South Esk, what a shame. Should get a run though with more rain.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/08/2013 20:20


The near vertical increase in YTD rainfall continues unabated.



Gorge on Saturday, had another 35mm after this photo was taken around Launnie.

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/08/2013 08:51

Thanks snowies, the gorge always looks good with a fresh in it. Can be quite scary standinf on the bridge.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2013 17:36

It didn't feel particularly cold but -0.4 this morning was the coldest minimum in Hobart since 2007.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/08/2013 10:16

Amazing how not cold that record that is. Most people think Hobart is freezing when in reality it does not really get to "freezing" smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2013 17:01

Hi Everyone,
Well it's been a fantastic way to finish up Winter. We have had some very welcome rain and today even some of the showers came with little bits of snow drifting around in it. Very pretty indeed.
September is looking like a another very warm one. Some of the other weather sites I use have the temps ahead for the next 2 weeks well above average. And also the whole month in fact , I hope they are not too much on the money. I just don't need another warm record breaking month yet.
Anyways thankful to the Gods for what we have got recently. smile
It will set us up nicely for the dry season.

Cheers from Hobart
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2013 09:18

Glad you got some joy at last. Don't write September off too fast, I always thought it often has the biggest chance of big snowfalls.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/08/2013 13:22

I really don't know what to make of the next two weeks or so in regard to average temps. If the forecast is correct we are going to average about 19 degrees in that period. That includes this Sunday which is forecast at 21 degrees , the first day of Spring and we are going to get a January max eekJust glad I just put in a new Air Con the biggest one I could find.
Anyway some pretty good storms came through last night.
http://imageshack.com/scaled/medium/585/rirm.jpg
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/08/2013 08:56

Similar in Bathurst, our Sept 1st forecast would be a record if in August - missed by one day.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/08/2013 11:49



YTD 785.6, August was 279.6mm, 496.6mm in 66 days.

Quite likely that Savage River just recorded it's wettest month on record - required 1.8mm yesterday and last night to tie the record. Already the wettest August.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/09/2013 17:47

Our channel 10 weather report is giving snow down to 200m for Tasmania tomorrow. Looking at ACCESS thickness values. The 532 thickness line is over Tasmania tomorrow Wednesday 11th Sept and Thursday

What are the units for' thickness'?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
Posted by: Ruckle

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/09/2013 20:46

Was -5.7C at Mt Wellington this morning with 96km winds. Pretty nippy.
Posted by: Ruckle

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/09/2013 22:27

Band of light precip approaching Hobart with a current temp of 3.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/09/2013 09:09

I know someone who lives in the Huon Valley at 75m asl who had settled light snow this morning. Not a bad effort.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/09/2013 17:21

...whoaaa! that's my kinda country...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/09/2013 10:25

Bit easier than climbing Bluff Knoll Snowbaby smile
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/09/2013 18:03

yeah...spot on DaveM
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/09/2013 20:29

I last climbed BK as a teenager but it won't ever be forgotten. Trying to jog all the way up certainly help sharpen the experience! You think you've done all the hard yards only to find that last steep section right in your face!
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2013 11:15

Anyone still around or have you all been blown/washed away.

Its so quiet in here if it was not for the wind you could hear a pin drop.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2013 11:37

Were still here in Central Tas ..but she's nasty out there - had gusts recorded at 74kph and steady wind of 50kph - light rain all morning that's just starting to pick up a little.

Not sure where all the water we've had the last week or so is going but the rivers seem to be doing a good job of keeping up all things considered, all minor flood warnings aside from a moderate for the upper South Esk. BOM's saying the South Esk at Longford probably wont even hit minor levels which is a surprise.

Radar looks like your copping it rain wise down south.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2013 12:17

The rain this morning has not been that heavy but its been very consistent, 5.4mm since midnight with 4mm of that falling in the last hour and Winds gusting to 52kph.

Bom still suggesting possible afternoon thunder and hail.

All makes for an interesting afternoon.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2013 12:29

Rains picked up, winds blowing at 65 km/h with gusts of 94!

yep defiantly interesting - I enjoy a good storm but am not a fan of the wind
Posted by: Duane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2013 16:53

Hope it clears up for next week. Am sailing over on Saturday night.

Duane.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/10/2013 08:57

Originally Posted By: Duane
Hope it clears up for next week. Am sailing over on Saturday night.

Duane.

Hi Duane , how did your trip go ? Was blowing a gale here in Hobart on Saturday peaking out at 102 kmr.
Posted by: Duane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/10/2013 19:10

Trip went well. Not that rough. At Hobart atm. Has been raining quite steadily for a few hours now. Done the Tahune Air Walk before lunch. It was great.
Duane.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/10/2013 22:36

Hi Duane , Welcome to Tassie and The Bart!! Glad you enjoyed the Tahune . Yes we got pelted in the Northern Suburbs here tonight. A bit of small hail around as well. If your down for the rest of the week you will enjoy a nice mix of what we call " Jacket on ...Jacket off " weather.
Sunday and Monday are a slight chance of snow showers I would say on the higher peaks. It's also our Windy season , 70 kmr winds around midday today. Cheers and enjoy your stay.
Posted by: Duane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/10/2013 20:50

Up at Launceston now. Was a nice day. Saturday looks like being a bit windy. Sailing back on Sunday night so hopefully won't be too rough through Bass Straight then. Have really enjoyed my stay here over the past week. It is truly gods country here. Absolutely loved it.
Duane.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/10/2013 11:22

First trip there? We went in 96 then just had to move there, which we did for 10 years - best place I've ever lived and I lived in plenty of places. Enjoy the rest of the trip. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2013 12:22

Hi Everyone , A very wild weekend in Hobart with gales up to 80 kmr , rain , hail , and a very cold 3.9 degrees last night . That resulted in snow this morning on Mt Wellington. A pretty good dump as well and to about half way down or so.

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/10/2013 09:13

Thanks for the photo and info smile
Posted by: Duane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/10/2013 12:42

Just got back yesterday. Had great time there. It is truly a great place.

Duane.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/10/2013 13:45

Watch out, Tassie won't leave you for ages!! It nags away at you making you want to go back!! smile
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/10/2013 13:46

Windy as again here today , I'm not a summer person usually but i can't wait, think there's supposed to be some fairly decent rain coming over later on today too

Wind
NNW 59km/h
Wind Gusts 80km
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/10/2013 14:39

Around 1:30 pm today,
Hobart 96 kmr
Hobart Airport 109 kmr
Bushy Park 102 kmr
Mount Wellington a whopping 133 kmr !!
Cape Sorell wave buoy has hit 11 meters.
The Aurora Australis left Hobart yesterday heading for Antarctica so spare a thought for those on board in these conditions.
Pretty warm as well 23 degrees.
Wind is still picking up at the moment.
Cheers from
Blowbart
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/10/2013 18:16

..reminds me of the helluva blow we had here a couple of weeks ago - probably not as strong but constant from mid Friday through till Saturday evening - no wheelie bin was safe!

...Love the pic of Wellington
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/10/2013 09:57

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
The Aurora Australis left Hobart yesterday heading for Antarctica so spare a thought for those on board in these conditions.

Cheers from
Blowbart


Looking at the charts for the next few days those on the AA are going to be doing a fair bit of rock and rolling on the southern ocean swells! I note their initial track is southwards, perhaps with a view to later coming about more westerly as the worst of it sets in. Hopefully things should start to settle down a bit by Sunday.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/10/2013 17:00

Hi All , More snow this morning on all the higher peaks and Organ Pipes of Mt.Wellington a result of last nights 13 mm of icy rain and winds.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/10/2013 09:02

Well spring is certainly living up to my memories of it down there. Enjoy, better than the heat you were getting for so long smile
Posted by: Duane

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/10/2013 13:43

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Watch out, Tassie won't leave you for ages!! It nags away at you making you want to go back!! smile


I know! I went a few years ago and got addicted. I had to come back again!

Duane.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/10/2013 08:54

Well Tassie is copping it today, snow to low levels, heavy winds and rain.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/10/2013 00:54

Snow to 400 meters here in Hobart on Thursday morning , a horrendous night of rain , small hail pelting the house and high winds. Tonight the high winds are back and I would say worse than last night , another sleepless night waiting for something to blow over or come loose and take off.
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/10/2013 06:15

That sounds so much more interesting than 'beautiful one day - perfect the next'. Think I'll plan another Tassie holiday for this time next year!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/10/2013 08:58

Cloudz - if you want lots of variable weather - Spring in Tassie is IT!!

My personal thoughts every year down there was to expect everything in spring, snow, rain, gales, lovely days, calm days, warm days, cold days, storm force.

All the above almost guaranteed around the south every spring. smile

For stability - Autumn including up to end of June.

H20 - at least you are having some decent variation. I suspect you could do without the gales. though. smile
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/10/2013 11:22

..and just to underline that point...the forecast temperature probability charts from Ncep's Climate Prediction Centre has a fair splash of red for Tasy round about first week of November (particularly the latter part) ie: at least 60% probability of above average temps. The resolution isn't that high so it's a bit tricky to read but 60% is being conservative - particularly for the north.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/11/2013 08:39

Hi Everyone, A very extreme day in Hobart yesterday with 80 kmr winds and 9.2 mm of rain in the last 24 hours. Blasted yesterday by icy rain and small pellet size hail , really got a sting to it with the wind behind it. Higher peaks of Mount Wellington had a good covering of snow and it's still there this morning , just awesome for this time of year grin
Warming up Tues and Wed but cooling down with showers again the rest of the week so anything is possible , maybe even more snow.

Cheers from
Snowbart
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/11/2013 09:27

Everything but the wind sounds fun!! smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/11/2013 09:18

Should be getting a bit of rain even in the SE over the coming week. NE coast may get a big drop.

Cold air behind it too Fri night/Sat - snow on some peaks I suspect.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/11/2013 12:44

Plenty of rain in the last 72 hours in Hobart , totals around 23.8 mm . Also some good icy rain and a top of only 10.6 degrees yesterday. Snow yesterday on Mt wellington to 800 meters above sea level. Retracted a bit today to the higher peaks 200 meters from the summit. Still pretty heavy though on the Southern side.

Cheers from
Hobart
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/11/2013 09:59

At least Hobart is getting rain now. Good news - it's been a long dry argument down there.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/11/2013 14:06

Geewhizzicals...what chances Tasy getting a nice bump from a cold pool about mid next week too. Would be great to see a significant snow fall - only wish it was a short bus ride from here.

The cold pool may brush us here briefly on it's way through Monday - Tuesday with max about 15 to 16 according to the bom - at the moment anyway.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/12/2013 19:34

It has been a very wet few months in Tassie be good to see some better weather now there as we move into Summer
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/12/2013 08:58

There's an off chance of snow on the higher peaks tomorrow down there. Wish we had some of that, our cool change last week was much nicer than the 30's we've also had and about to have much more of up here.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/12/2013 22:01

Bit of heat for Tasmania mid to late week, Thursday might see temps reach as high as 33c in Hobart
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/12/2013 22:45

Yes Johnno , temps have really taken off since the first day of Summer. Moisture has also really dried up very quickly , and the undergrowth and grasses are browning fast. Hobart is already over average for daily temps with a very hot week ahead. I'm just hoping this Summer is not like the last one.
Posted by: Vinnie

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2013 23:27

How does the heat in Tasmania get there when it is separated by water ?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/01/2014 08:05

Hi All,
Being blasted by high winds here all night.
Hobart 93 kmr at 7:00 am
Hobart Airport 100 kmr at 6:28 am
Cape Bruny 106 kmr at 4:00 am
Mount Wellington a whopping 145 kmr at 2:13 am shocked
Cape Sorell Wave Rider 9.75 mtrs and rising at 7:20 am , anyone for a quick surf ??
I'd say quite a few of the Sydney to Hobart finishes will be stuck here a for another few days with conditions set to worsen by Saturday
Also very warm already heading close to 20 degrees the forecast max at 8:00 am !!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/01/2014 08:59

[/b]Update Hobart now blasting at 109 kmr and Mount Wellington 165 kmr.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/01/2014 09:15

Hooley Dooley, hold onto your hat Mountain h2o! 165km/h is almost as strong as the gusts experienced during cyclone Christine. Crazy! crazy

Edit; Hobart now gusting to 113!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/01/2014 11:36

I have 2 large tree branches down in the yard and the neighbour down the road has lost some roof tiles. If this was happening in the Tropics the place would be in lockdown. Typically here it's just a "windy day " . Complete madness confused
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2014 20:22

Originally Posted By: Vinnie
How does the heat in Tasmania get there when it is separated by water ?

I don't Vinnie ? Maybe someone with a lot more knowledge can explain. But I'm like you , I can't believe it travels all that way over so much water and it does nothing to cool it down.
Anyway we are about to find out from Friday onwards , looks like we are going to roast like last year. Funny ever since the BOM came out with a cooler ? wetter ? Summer forecast for Tasmania.. The rainfall average has fallen to about half and we are set for extended periods of heat waves. Lucky I don't bet my house on their accuracy.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2014 17:25

34c in Hobart Tomorrow
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2014 22:26

Originally Posted By: _Johnno_
34c in Hobart Tomorrow


Yeah and 36 degrees on Friday so far . mad

Again I say so much for the BOM Summer outlook for Tasmania being wetter and cooler than average. What a joke , the exact same Summer weather as last year stinking Hot and rainfall next to nothing. Tell my now dead brown lawn about wetter and cooler. Thank god I put in the biggest air con I could find ready for this year.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 09:05

Regarding the air coming over Bass St.

It does cool it down at surface levels, you watch Wynyard/ Devonport etc temps on those days you get into the mid 30's. They will only be 26 or 27 every time. My daughter lived in Wynyard for years while I was in Hobart, we would be 38 and she would be 26 up there.

However the air above the surface level stays hot and by the time it gets south over the Central ranges it has mixed the cool surface levels out. On Days like that, sometimes Derwent Bridge will be warmer than Wynyard. (air at higher elevation vs surface level).

That's the explanation the Bom gave me when we used to go see Simon McCullough every now and then as a snow freak group. They were good visits. smile

You will be nearly as hot as us today.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 09:13

Low Head on the north coast has never reached 30 in nearly 120 years of observations.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 09:34

Thanks Dave for the info. Interesting stuff , now I can try and explain to relatives on the big island why we are cooking. Everyone thinks Tasmania is always freezing . Low Head is looking good for a Summer getaway !!!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 10:40

Blair - great info!!

Saw you on TV last night smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 14:02

You know it's going to be a warm one, when Mount Wellington is the warmest location in the state as it was around 7am this morning. Tells you the air aloft is pretty darn warm and once that mixing kicks in... mind you Hobart has a seabreeze and will battle to see 34 today.

North West coast touched 30 late Sunday, about 5pm, was mid to high 20's on Sat. Low to mid 20's last couple of days.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 17:27

Some seriously high temperatures today reaching 40 at Bushy Park and Melton Mowbray might have given 40 a nudge as well as it was 39.1 at 3.00. Scotts Peak Dam in the South West got to 38.6 which looks to be 2.3 higher than the previous all-time high. Could be a few more records in the North tomorrow and the South on Friday. Hopefully the winds stay calm though.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2014 22:35

Strahan on the west coast , also an all time record 38c . God knows what Friday will bring ? Can't get my fried brain around it. After last Summer here and now this one it's getting beyond the joke. crazy
Also reports of the bitumen melting on the Midlands Highway !!
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 14:41

Here's something you don't see every day in Tassie. Hobart is sitting on a cool 19.5C in an ESE wind, whilst Bushy Park is roasting at 36C. Obviously a very shallow southerly/seabreeze change. These types of changes are more common around here.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 15:10

Actually in my memory, Hobart VERY regularly gets that ESE strong sea breeze in summer. Most days it stops Hobart getting too hot. It takes a strong NW'er to overcome the sea breeze. Usually kicks in around 2pm. It often dropped the temp to the high teens, often going from a 30 or so to 19 in minutes.

It used to annoy me when storms were looking good from the NW, if the sea breeze kicked in hard (which it usually does in summer) you could see the storms dissipating before your eyes with the loss of uplift and feed.

We sailed a bit with a friend, setting off in the morning usually had a W to NW wind pushing the boat down the Derwent into Storm Bay, a solid lumpy swell and sea breeze (gale) usually shoved us back home to Hobart. smile
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 15:34

Hmm, Diamond Dave, I seem to recall you saying once that the wind is almost always westerly in Hobart smile. A seabreeze dropping temps to 19C rather than say 25-27C would be amazing, but of course we'd need a cold ocean to do that (and Sydney would be a desert).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 15:44

Hey Humpy bear smile

Prevailing winds are indeed almost ALWAYS in the Westerly quadrants (I'd say 95 percent of the time) but at surface level in Hobart in Summer the ESE sea breeze was almost able to be used for setting the time each arvo. smile
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 16:20

The summit of Mt Wellington has been warmer than Hobart by about 5 degrees all afternoon. The city and river has had cloud/sea mist most of the day. Still looking hot for Friday though!
For Humphrey Bear here's a site with some wind stats for Hobart
http://www.windfinder.com/windstats/windstatistic_hobart_city.htm
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/01/2014 17:34

Thanks for that pwa, a fair bit more easterly than expected.

Yes Friday will be one to watch. 925 hPa temps reach 32C just inland from Ho-town (Hoey?) according to 00z GFS. You can add about 10C to that given enough mixing and sunshine, so it could go near the record again if the seabreeze stays out. Certainly places like Bushy Park and Ouse will be near the record.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/01/2014 09:00

Bushy Park and around Campania often/generally the hottest places down there. Bushy is very cool and frosty in winter but much warmer in summer, especially in these types of scenarios.

The easterly/SE etc for Hobart is quite regular but stays generally at very much surface levels a lot of the time. EG as noted above that Mt W was warmer than Hobart for a while. That is not an overly unusual occurrence in these NW set ups. It takes a really good NW'er to overcome Hobart's sea breeze, but when it does Hobart can really bake.

Hobart's best rain comes when they have the equiv of a NSW ECL off Triabunna on the east coast. Then Hobart gets a good SE infeeed with rain. The westerly rains are drained by the mountains on all other westerly quadrants of Hobart. It's very much on the lee side of most rain/frontal passages.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2014 00:04

Big jump day for most of Tassie tomorrow! large parts of Tasmania have missed this heatwave even Bushy park had lower temps today. Tomorrow you will feel it. 37/38c looks about right for Hobart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2014 14:58

Raining now in parts of Tassie, temp dropped from the 30's to about 24 in Hobart.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2014 15:18

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Raining now in parts of Tassie, temp dropped from the 30's to about 24 in Hobart.


We also have a little bit of thunder rolling through.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2014 16:18

Nice - I notice the temp dropped further since my last post - enjoy it!! smile
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2014 17:14

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Nice - I notice the temp dropped further since my last post - enjoy it!! smile


Dropped to around 22 here at Howrah but shot up to 27 when the clouds cleared.

Cant really complain about today's heat when you compare it to the mid 40 your seeing in SA, VIC and parts of NSW.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/01/2014 09:36

I like the look of this weekend for you down there - Snow on the peaks Sat/Sun. Nice cold push to get the heat out. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/01/2014 14:31

I had a rather surprising 13mm Sat night and Sun morning, yesterday was overcast with a bit of drizzle. But that was still less surprising that the 26mm of rain last night. Very isolated falls, Wynyard had a good drop overnight, but Burnie at Round Hill which is further east than my place barely had a drop.

Anyway, 39mm is good for the lawn and vegies, saves me watering them. A better than average month.

Was a warm to hot 9 day period, broke 30 a few times along the coast which is unusual. But the really high temps were quite isolated, West Coast and Central Plateau were hot compared to old records. 30 at Liawenee is hot (3 days of 31 and one at 32, 4 day spell), nearly 1000m ASL - equates to something nearing or above 40 at sea level. Surely the first time Liawenee has had 4 days over 30.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/01/2014 21:47

Hi All ,
As per the rest of the South East it's been a long dry hot argument here in Hobart. December produced half the average rainfall and now January is looking like only producing 16 mm from possible 45. Looking ahead on the 28 day rainfall things are unlikely to change. The bureau has updated their seasonal outlook and now have decided that Tasmania will have a 60 to 70 % chance of above average temps. Well durr , all of a sudden after a cooler Summer prediction has been turned on it's head.
The thing that still amazes me is the rainfall prediction of 60 to 70 % above average still stands , what the hell are they thinking and where do they think it's going to come from ? Beats me ?
Anyways I'm turning into Grumpy Cat as we stare down the barrel of another 10 days of temperature forecasts that would make more sense if it was for somewhere like Perth.
So far we have dodged the bushfire bullet but surely that can't last much longer as the place is very crispy . Seems like the mild Summers in Tasmania are becoming a thing of the past. confused confused
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/01/2014 14:29

So much for the BOM's 29 today its already 34 in Hobart and 35 here in Howrah, if this continues its going to be a hot week.

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Hi All ,
So far we have dodged the bushfire bullet but surely that can't last much longer as the place is very crispy.


For sure if this warm weather continues the fires will follow,i just hope we have nothing as bad as the JAN 2013 fires.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/01/2014 15:32

Yes , it was 29 at Lenah Valley at 11:00 am , temps still going upwards here currently 35.5 !! God knows what tomorrow will be at this rate. mad
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 09:16

You've had 8 times as much rain as us this month, This is supposed to be our wettest month at about 68mm, we won't get past 2mm. It's just above our driest ever month.

Your week so far is forecast to average out in mid to high 20's this week. Hot one today again down there.

We will average low/mid 30's this week, about 4 or 5 degrees above the Jan average of 28.

Hang in there, 1 month to go till March starts. smile
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 13:41

Sure has warmed up since that wind started this morning, 37.5 at howrah and still slowly climbing, hobart is 35.4.

The wind is starting to turn westerly so perhaps that cool change is not far away.

Glad to see there are no major fires around today, with this wind they would be hard to control.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 14:10

Hovering a touch over 36 degrees in Lenah Valley with wind gusts up 70 kmr.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 14:16

Fairly toasty there!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 14:34

Up around 36.8 now here in L V , this is going to make a big hole in the monthly average now.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 14:51

38.5 at Howrah now, quite a warm one,

So much for saying there were no nasty fires around, now there are 2, one near the Hobart airport and another at wattle hill, Forcert, both have a watch and act alert.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 16:49

This doesn't look good:

http://www.rosebay.tased.edu.au/webcam/small.html

Smoke plumes not showing on radar though. 39.7C at Hobart Airport frown.

Bushfire appears to be at Wattle Hill NE of Sorell, which currently has an emergency warning issued:

http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/Show?pageId= ... ateID=1799

Stay safe everyone.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 17:04

The Wattle Hill fire does not look good, access would not be easy and its quite windy for the helicopters.

There is also a fire at Lachlan just south of New Norfolk and another at Lucastun, these 2 fire are the most likely cause of the smoke around Hobart.

Still 34.5 and 19% humid here at Howrah.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 17:09

Thick smoke everywhere in Hobart , several fires burning around the area now. Another day of ridiculous temps 38.9 Bloody Summer mad The South East is becoming a Summer hell hole the last few years and one wonders if you'd be better off in the Tropics at this time of year. At least you might get some downpours and the houses are built to take the heat.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 20:12

Was a loverly 22 about an hour ago now it is gone back up to 27, looks like its going to be a warm night.

Hope they are getting those fires under control that wind is picking up again.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2014 23:43

It's the third year in a row to have a 38C or above in Hobart...
2012...38.8
2013...41.8
2014...38.9

But it's happened before thru history...
1981-1983
1943-1945

and in 1897-1900 there were 4 years in a row of 38+...with 3 40s in there..
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2014 11:52

Originally Posted By: yep
It's the third year in a row to have a 38C or above in Hobart...
2012...38.8
2013...41.8
2014...38.9

But it's happened before thru history...
1981-1983
1943-1945

and in 1897-1900 there were 4 years in a row of 38+...with 3 40s in there..



I have seen records of high temps in hobart also see records of low level snow as late a december.

It just show the natural cycles the weather goes through, its just that a natural cycle, it has nothing to do with the nonsense the governments have been on about over the last few years.

Its like the Y2K bug all over again.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2014 17:22

Oh I disagree with your premise.

If, for example, I lowered the threshold to annual days on record over 30C for example, there would be a clear trend observable. ( We are getting many more of them ).

Looking at rare heat peak phenomena is perhaps not a climate trend determinable especially if referenced in isolation. ( I just thought it would be of interest to have a look at the database, in reference to H20's interesting observation ).

As far as low level snow events are concerned in Tasmania the historical portrait shows a remarkable decline. If there was one standout element in regards to a changing climate, the snow would be the one I would choose. I have spent many hours at the library archives and on Trove...looking back to the 1830s. The incidents have fallen away dramatically since the first turn of the 20th century.

There is also nothing to compare with the last 2 decades of dismal Mt.Wellington snow cover. Any Hobarton would contest to this. It used to be common for snow cover for several weeks or months at a time...almost every year. We are now lucky to get a weeks duration of snow cover! The mountain looks lonely in wintertime to be so regularly bare.

Cold outbreaks are now usually one day wonders and are often dry.

Cold weather records have also shown a spectacular downward decline. As well as days with general low maximum anomaly.

Natural cycles? It's one very long cycle of cold weather disappointment!
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/01/2014 10:20

yep, your commentary re snow trends could easily be applied to the CT'/NT's of NSW. Snowfall trends in these occasional snow areas could be our 'canary in the cage'. I have lived on the western side of the CT's since 1983 and the steady, prolonged decline in snowfalls since then is well established, anecdotally, at least. Of course, the corresponding contraction polewards of the polar vortex has been measured. Unfortunately there isn't an archival record specifically for the CT's that I'm aware of, but there is for the Blue Mtns/Central Highlands (ref. Blackheath Weather site) and many of these records incorporate events covering the CT's and elsewhere in NSW.

Perhaps you could post the summary results of your historical trawling some time? It would be of great interest to the many snowphiles out there.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/01/2014 13:15

Here are some points in history of Mount Wellington in Hobart.
I doubt that some of these activities could survive in the present Winters we now experience.

1849 The first of the Mount Wellington ice houses built by convict labour to
compact snow for ice, then transported to Hobart by pack horse to be used
by the confectioners of Hobart in the preparation of ice creams.

1870s West Coast mineral boom
Henry Woods the old man of the Mountain and his family live in a hut at
the Springs and provides refreshments to visitors and sells ice from the ice
houses

1938 Luckmans Hut built by the Hobart Walking Club used as a base in winter by
skiers and ice skaters (originally named the Mt Wellington Hobart Walking
Club Hut)

1940 Tasmanian forces leave to fight in the Second World War A second ski hut built near the Pinnacle, this time by the newly formed
Wellington Ski Club. There were ski runs on The Drift (above the Zig Zag
Track), at Mt Arthur, on Thark Ridge and near the huts

And now the current homepage of the Wellington Ski and Outdoor club. Note how they state they had to move the club to Mt Mawson in the late 1940's due to reducing amount of snow on Mt Wellington.

Wellington Ski and Outdoor Club
Wellington Ski and Outdoor Club Hut is at Lake Dobson, Mt Field National Park. The hut simply known as Wellington Hut is used all round as a base for Skiing, Bushwalking, photography, fishing and other sustainable outdoor activities.

The club started on Mount Wellington in the early 1930's and moved to Mt Mawson in the late 1940's in response to reducing amounts of snow on Mt Wellington. This club is well known for its hospitality and social events. Although originally a ski club the Club recently changed its name to reflect the increase in non skiing members.

The club can be contacted by

Post Wellington Ski and Outdoor Club
GPO Box 1197,
Hobart Tas 7001
Email wsoc@webbed.com.au



Cheers
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/01/2014 16:54

I am not sure whether this research has been published on this thread. History of low level snow in Tasmania from 1800-1900. It's very interesting..
www.tasfieldnats.org.au/TasNaturalist/Articles/2009/TasNat_2009_No131_pp02-11_Roberts_Snowfalls.pdf

Somewhere,about, there is a Part 2.

Page 10 in above article shows a block graph of Mt. Wellington snow cover comparison. I think the most recent 'observations' up to 2008 are overly generous. From 2009-13 however, if a block graph was drawn, it would show many tiny 'splinters' as opposed to 'blocks' of visible snow cover duration.

Snow on the summit lasting from winter to middish summer was also documented via The Mercury newspaper in the mid 1900s. Two or three articles during this time reported crowds at Christmas time sledging and skiing on packed snow that was several months old.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/02/2014 17:33

Off to another hot start to month . 29.5 here in Hobart, so we are already 7.4 over the monthly average.
Tomorrow and Monday see no real change , and just to make my week next Saturday is already is forecast for another 29 !! mad
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2014 13:36

Yep we be melting down here in Tassie grin

I'm used to a few days at most of high temps followed by a decent thunder storm and then back to normal - this extended hot weather is starting to get annoying now.

At least Tuesday and Wednesday look to be a bit more reasonable
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/02/2014 08:57

I'd still take your version of melting over ours smile

Hobart averaged about 23 or 24 for Jan, a degree or 2 above average, here we averaged about 32 or 33, a good 4 degrees above average. Makes me want to move back down there, actually anything makes me want to move back there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/02/2014 23:33

Well nice and cool here today at last got to about 18c , with a few spots of rain if you could call it that. Tomorrow looking like 20c so not too bad , the fun starts again on Thursday with a run of 29's c finishing on Sunday with 33c predicted so far .The Heat abates for a few days and then looks like ramping up again from the 13th onwards. As others have mentioned on the VIC forum this is unrelenting heat this year.
My bets are that Adel , Melb and Hobart will smash their previous monthly averages for February.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2014 08:54

Will be an interesting month indeed. The current pattern has been running for a lot of the summer. Depends how many cycles it can keep running. Time will tell.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2014 19:29

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o

My bets are that Adel , Melb and Hobart will smash their previous monthly averages for February.


I think there will need to be a fresher, NW flow to the pattern for Hobart to achieve that feat ( incoming but weakening deep low pressure from the far southwest rather than a continuous light feed from the continent ). Otherwise, I think, we are too susceptible to cooling influence of seabreese and fronts cutting thru bringing their follow-up southerlies.

Hobart's hottest February ( and hottest month ) is 2001 with a mean of 19.7C ( min:14.4 max:25 ).
For average maximum alone it is 25.2C in 1895.

Those are really big numbers we would need to be on full motor to get there.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/02/2014 20:31

Hobart got 27.5 , very frustrating with BOM saying 60 % chance of rain. Of course we got nothing and it hasn't looked like rain for 2 months.
Where are they getting their predictions ? a fortune cookie !!
The next 7 days average out to around 26 degrees so I still think we a bang on target to break the monthly max average (25.2). Currently sitting at 24.5 deg at present and still looking at another very hot spell from the 12th to 18th again.
Posted by: Seina

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/02/2014 12:08

From my own perspective, I would be watching for developments with the 500-1000 mb thickness over the next 3 days in Western Tasmania smile .
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 12:39

Hi All,
Currently sitting sliding between 37.7 c and 35.5 c here in Lenah Valley ( 5km North of City ). Winds have not eventuated yet hanging around 7 kmr. No bushfires reported yet on the TFS website , so that's really good news so far.
Another day to make a real hole in the FEB average. shocked
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 13:10

So far the temp has not exceeded 27 here at howrah, has a nice cool southerly breeze blowing all morning, very pleasant.

Looking at some of the other stations around the area (oakdowns, clifton, lauderdale,) i'm seeing temps into the mid 30s, its amazing how a slow southerly breeze can keep one area cool while others bake in the heat.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 14:31

Temp has now dropped to 26.7c , here in L V . Wind has increased now and cloud cover is taking over .
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 14:40

Flinders Island was today's hot spot with 39.4C.. and a new February record there... ( beating the record set in 1983 by 1.1C)

Radar is interesting showing heavy showers and possibly storms streaming down from the north west but staying to west of the Wellington range.

Very high wind speeds in the west..154km/hr at Scotts Peak.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 14:48

Lenah Valley has dropped to 26.7 c , winds have increased to 25 kmr from the North West. Also a few drops rain and cloud cover has taken over.
Bushfire has also broken out at Nile rd Evandale 15 km east of Launceston watch and act in place .
Update as I type really big gusts coming through now house is shuddering .
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 15:16

Winds coming through now at 117 kmr and Mt Wellington 144 kmr shocked
Dry Storm also with a bit of thunder.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 15:26

130km winds in Hobart and suburbs. The nastiest gusts for many years. Rain is horizontal and lots of small branches coming off the trees here.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 15:27

130km/hr in Hobart! Battery Point blitzed, surely news of minor destruction to come through shortly..

Highest February wind speed recorded beating the wind event during the 1967 fires

Highest wind speed measured in Hobart since 139 in August '91.

Tiles and guttering dislodged from my block of flats
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 15:38

Trees down everywhere in Lenah Valley including a huge branch snapped off one of my own . Debris flying like kites !!
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/02/2014 16:23

Highest wind speed recorded in Hobart
km/hr

Jan...130...1978 WNW
Feb...130...2014 WNW
Mar...128...1958 W
Apr...141...1977 W
May...135...1962 WSW
Jun...146...1983 SW
Jul...128...1962 WSW
Aug...139...1991 W
Sep...150...1965 W
Oct...141...1965 W
Nov...135...1957 NW
Dec...122...1964 WSW

February's previous record was 120km/hr on the 7th, 1967.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2014 13:54

Oh well, BOM said 24 c today ?? Currently 29.7 c how did they miss by that far ???
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2014 16:48

You beat me to it. Logged in to say the same thing.

30.2 after a predicted top of 24...biggest margin of error I have seen in years. Certainly cloudy enough, so that wasn't a factor.

Hottest place in the state today.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/02/2014 17:30

It's 5:20 pm and it's still sitting on a very muggy 28 c . Not a breath of air movement here in the Valley . Hobart is turning into Brisvegas. Temp averages after today still on track to set a new Feb record. Look out yep for Saturday BOM are saying another 24 c so I'm expecting another 30 plus day. confused
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2014 10:20

A terrific storm has just ripped thru Friendly Beaches near the east coast township of Swansea...39mm in less than half an hour!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2014 15:16

That IS solid!!! I noticed a good looking storm on your radar. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2014 17:56

Hobart totally missed out from 9:00 am , also got to 22 degrees.
Forecast was 95 % 10 -20 mm on rain and 19 degrees on temps so once again nothing went to plan. Very humid day though around 85 % so nice and sticky.
As far as the Snow out of season , I think I've got more chance of winning lotto twice . The warm weather has once again reared it's ugly head. grin
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/02/2014 22:28

Wow,still don't know where all this cold is going to come from ?
10:30 pm still 20 degrees and 60 % humidity confused
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/02/2014 07:27

As above it struggled to get down to 15 c here last night. Forecast is for 20 c today now , already 16 c so that will go and the BOM are saying 85 % chance of rain , guess that won't happen either.
The big cold change that was forecast only 2 days ago was joke surely ? mad
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/02/2014 18:13

Low starting to ramp up, wind and rain have finally moved in from the west as the low deepens and moves to the south east. Weather been going round tas rather than over or through it.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/02/2014 09:19

Howdy DL - let us know how it's going. Another cool change getting closeish around next Wed.

The cold air you looked like getting this week dissipated, that trough/low system too far west instead of further east as the models had it.

Thankfully though by being more west and south - WE GOT RAIN!!!! Halle bloody luia!!.

Should cool off nicely down there over the next few weeks. Autumn in Tassie always lovely.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2014 22:23

Milder weather indeed smile beats the heatwave we were having earlier this summer that's for sure smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2014 18:13

Another stinking hot 30 plus day here in the Bart. The weekend looks like being a stinker as well. Four days in and looking like another near record breaking month on the cards again ? mad
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2014 10:10

Hobart already 19 degrees going for a top of 22 , looks like another sunny dry stinker coming up . Still on track for one of the warmest March on record and the next 4 days will just add to the total with temps around 30 degrees.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2014 18:59

I was starting to get excited about the three consecutive 29's forecast and began to wonder whether Hobart has ever had three 30's in a row before outside of the summer months? I began my search from the beginning of the data set ( 1882 ) online but it didn't take me long to find gold...three 30's in a row in March 1891. So i didn't go on from there, there are probably others.

MOUNTAIN h2o.. I'd wait until mid March to see how the rest of the month starts to look! High anomaly unlikely to hold, in part because of the dipping sun. Last March was also Hobart's warmest March on record so it'd be crazy to follow that one up so soon.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2014 21:52

One March hot spell was in March 1940 in which Hobart had 3 days out of 6 between the 8th and the 13th above 35. There were few inland sites at the time but the unofficial one at New Norfolk's Boyer Mill had the 6 consecutive days from the 8th-13th all 35 and above. The official station at St Helens reached 39 on the 11th which would be the March record for Tasmania if the digitised records went back that far. Hopefully there won't be a repeat of that this year!
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2014 16:09

Originally Posted By: pwa54
One March hot spell was in March 1940 in which Hobart had 3 days out of 6 between the 8th and the 13th above 35. There were few inland sites at the time but the unofficial one at New Norfolk's Boyer Mill had the 6 consecutive days from the 8th-13th all 35 and above. The official station at St Helens reached 39 on the 11th which would be the March record for Tasmania if the digitised records went back that far. Hopefully there won't be a repeat of that this year!


Just had a look at that month. A 37.3 in Hobart ( March record since equaled in 2008 ) but also a 37.2 in there as well. What an exciting time to be a weather watcher back in March 1940.

Where did you get the New Norfolk Boyer readings from by the way?

And the St.Helens reading...is this officially recognised as a Tasmanian record even though it has not been digitised? Am I correct in interpreting the word digitised as meaning the data has not been computerised?

I struggle to understand what records are considered to be actually validated for the purposes of demonstrating the historical significance of an event, or for the extremes for a given location.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2014 18:41

Hi Yep

The Boyer temperatures are from http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/25760357 The Mercury page 6 14th March 1940. There's some really interesting weather "stuff" that can be found going through old copies of newspapers online. It's an enjoyable time-waster!
I got the St Helen's data from a photocopy of the averages and extremes for Tasmanian sites that the Hobart Bureau used to hand out in the 1980s. I'm really not sure of the status of non-digitised/non-computerised records. Some records from the first half of last century are listed and used, others not and it does seem unusual that the BOM seems to be inconsistent with this, but maybe there are quality control issues with some sites being suspect.
I reckon Blair Trewin would have the answers!
It's interesting, though, looking back how many extreme events tend to be forgotten about or overlooked today.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2014 19:46

Haven't been a big user of Trove, I have often found it a bit slow and cumbersome to navigate the pages, but it certainly is a handy research tool to have available when you want it. I have made quite a few trips ( well lots ) over the years to the library archives in town and love using the archive reels. It's as good as going to the cinema in my view.

Yes, I remember the Tasmanian booklets and pamphlets the BOM used to produce during the 80s/90s. As a schoolkid in the 80s I often walked over to Ellerslie road and picked up the latest from the foyer, or sent a letter kindly asking for some of their latest materials. Ah those were the days! Also the monthly weather review. One of the extreme events which used to be well publicised as I am sure you would know was Bushy park's 40.8C in 1976, which tied with Hobart as being the states highest recorded temperature at the time, standing for 33 years. It was even on the front page of the Merc the following day. That one appears to have been erased from time and curiously the BOM have a completely new figure for that date online for Bushy park. Strange!
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2014 20:30

Sounds like a similar set of experiences with trawling the archives!
Before so much data came online, the BOM was always very accommodating to anyone interested in weather records and generous with their photocopies.
It is surprising that the Bushy Park record is not listed but I think it was the other way around where the Bushy Park 40.8 was from December 1945 and the Hobart temperature from 1976 equalled it.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2014 23:04

I am preety sure I am correct...I'd be really annoyed at myself if i've misinterpreted what i had read many times in the past... but what you say sounds more logical. I am however surprised to read that Bushy park was 40.8C in December 1945? Bushy park's record is widely touted as being 40.3C last January. It simply doesn't make any sense to ignore stats that for whatever reason aren't part of the digitised records.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/mo...dsTmaxDailyHigh

It's all a bit frustrating.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/03/2014 08:50

It is frustrating that Bushy Park's records in the database effectively only date from 1962 http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=095003
That also misses the 40.6 in January 1959 which, given the same temperature in Hobart on the same day (Hobart's hottest in over 60 years), would seem to be legitimate.
Swansea Post Office was another long-term site with some very high temperatures in the early-mid 1900s but their records also only date from 1957. It seems that, from a quick look, only Hobart and Launceston have extreme temperature records from pre c.1950 listed. Not sure why.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/03/2014 16:51

What an warm start to March here in Hobart , we are still cooking and no end in sight. So far in 13 days we have pumped out 30.2 , 29.6 , 27.6 , 32 , 27 degrees. Average now sitting on 24 degrees which currently way over the 23.4 max average record. This will only be added to tomorrow 24 and Saturday 27 , and as usual it will be warmer than they forecast. Overnight Temps are also cooking 2.3 over average. Only 0.2 mm of moisture as well. I can't believe that the word Cold Front and Snow for Tasmania next week has been mentioned on other forum pages?? confused
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/03/2014 13:23

Wow, 1C above the previous record? That's impressive, even though the second half of March is usually quite a bit cooler especially down there.

Very warm March right down the East Coast, warmer than Feb here in the southern suburbs of Sydney so far and it looks set to continue for the forseeable future.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/03/2014 14:17

Hopefully weather patterns start shifting over the coming weeks. it has been one hot period for south eastern Australia past few months
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2014 17:12

Hobart's predicted temp of 26 degrees tomorrow will all but put Hobart further on track for the hottest March ever on record. Currently still averaging 23.5 degrees and the record is 23.4 set in 1882. Looks like a very warm weekend to end the month as well , so more icing on the cake.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/03/2014 09:17

But the following week is all 20 or sub 20 degree max - so you won't make the record. Obviously though it's been much hotter than usual again. Here for Feb we were well on track for all time record but a cool last week dropped us under again. The same will happen for you by the looks of things.

I'm still only dreaming of the possibility of sub 20 days, let alone a row of them smile

Wish I could move back there!!

could be a bit wet there tomorrow too!! BOM says 10 to 20, Opticast says 20 - 40. The closer to THE MT you are the wetter you will be. You're in Lenah Valley so you might get a bit wet there. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/03/2014 13:03

Hey H20, it's only 12 degrees in Hobart at the moment smile You should enjoy that!! Mt Wellington 7.3, Strathgordon 8.7, Mt Read 5.8 - pretty fresh in places down there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/03/2014 09:50

Gidday Dave and All,
16mm of rain here in Hobart for the last 72 hrs and only a top of 15 degrees yesterday and forecast 17c today ?
A much needed change for sure , neighbours didn't really appreciate me dancing around yesterday in the rain on the front lawn in my jocks " singing and dancing in the rain ". grin
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/03/2014 09:07

Enjoy the rain. Hopefully a bit more shower activity for you the next few days. Temps still 20 or just above but at least not high 20's in general.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/03/2014 16:03

Likely to be the 3rd warmest March on record in Hobart ( mean temperature ), behind 2013 ( 1st ) and 2010 ( 2nd ).
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/03/2014 18:50

Another shocking warm weather fact:

Hobart has only had 1 month in the last 29 months that have been cooler-than-average...I am being kind here, using the 1981-2010 comparison ( mean ) as a guide. This extinguishes the Urban Heat Island excuse and this 30 year period also happens to be the warmest in annual mean temperature too, compared to other 30 year periods ( so 81-10 weren't comparatively cool decades ).

Only month that stood out in this 29 month period was November 2013...

-----------
Time for a cool down? Hopefully in time for winter. Would love a 1992 winter...
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/03/2014 19:15

Wouldn't the warmest March max temp record to beat be 1881/1882..'yep'?

some other close years would be

1891, 1940 and 2013

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029

Not to take anything away from this anomonously warm month of March
The current running mean is 22.38 deg c at the 26th March 2014

This is just above the 95th percentile .
so was 2013
The last time we had 2 yrs in a row at the95th percentile was 1881/1882



http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/

of the 132 yrs of records only 3.8% of those years reach the 95th percentile or above
So a significant warm event


However looking at Hobart max temps deviating from the mean.
Hobart temps are incredibly stable in March
the mean is 20.1 deg c but the HIGHEST mean is only a few deg c higher at 23.4 deg c

The current running anomaly is only 2.28 deg c
Do you really notice that?
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/03/2014 20:09

Hi crikey,
I was referring to the overall mean temperature for the month (min+max).

Yes, the mean maximum and the mean minimums for the month alone will not come close to their respective records, but combined it will rank probably as 3rd warmest.

It is not significant alone, but the long period it has been anomalously warm, is. That 29 month period in which only 1 month has been cooler than average, also applies to the maximum mean for these individual months. Only 1 below. The daily minimums are not as anomalously high.

I wonder whether any capital or region has recently had such a long warm spell to compare?

Is the warm March perceptively noticable, you ask, without looking at the stats? Probably not...but nature probably does notice these changes of course.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/03/2014 16:58

Well the forecast is out for the first day of April here in Hobart . Forecast is for 26 degrees !! so far ? mad
No April fools day joke , just more heat and no cooling signal yet.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/03/2014 21:54

Yes H20. The weather presenter tonight mentioned the lack of cold fronts so far for this time of year. There absence so far is quite noticeable. The high pressure belt is still centered quite south
The SAM has been a bit negative lately so one might expect some cold fronts?
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN60801/IDN60801.94582.shtml

The 544 thickness line doesn't come near the Tassie mainland ALL week. !!
No early winter starts in sight yet
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/03/2014 11:13

We should start seeing more regular cold fronts move through as we move into April so any warmth will be brief
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/03/2014 16:38

I'm so excited now the 2nd of April is forecast for 26 degrees also ...Yipeee!!

Will we ever see a month that actually starts off anywhere near average ever again ?
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/03/2014 21:22

MH20' ..The last year the March mean max' temp was average was 2011.

Here is the time series graph since records began reliably at 1910

I believe you will see average March temps again..
Not this March though



http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/03/2014 22:54

Is that graph from the BOM website crikey? If so, could you please explain how to access them? smile
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/03/2014 19:18

Yes 'yep' . The graph is produced by BOM climate data online
you need to click the graph icons on the data page to create the graphs

Here is the Hobart monthly data

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weath..._stn_num=094029

From the Hobart data table (link above)
At the top of the page is the month of year axis

Find March..
Notice the graph icon

This is actually a button that creates the graph for all of the March data . Just like EXCEL would

Clicking on the graph icon will load the graph for you

Try clicking around on all images on the page. It is amazing what this software will graph for you.
and scroll over text highlights records etc

any probs just ask

the FRONT DOOR to data base.

accessed from the BOM data base front door
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/03/2014 07:39

Thank you!, I'm 'quietly amused' I have constantly overlooked those links!
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 14:35

Hobart 30.0C at 2:15pm.
Highest April temperature since 1992's 30.2C
Record for month is 30.6C in 1941....

....will it get there? Just fallen back to 29.7C currently.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 14:46

Hobart 30.2 degrees at 2:34 pm. Tonights going to very warm , thank god for air con.
UPDATE now 30.5 degrees !!
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 14:56

BINGO 30.7C
New April record
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:01

Well that's it now 30.7 the job is done. Now will be looking at tonight if it doesn't drop below 18 we have another record.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:05

That's crazy!!

What have you lot done to the weather down there since I left? smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:08

I don't know Dave maybe you're the cause , the place is missing you so much it's gone into a spin . smile
I swear I could here the trees calling your name the other day whilst out bushwalking.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:09

That record won't be achievable h2o...I just had a look, it was 18.1C at 9am this morning and the april minimum record is 18.6C. Daily minimums and maximums are measured 9am-9am.

Never mind...1 monthly heat record in a year is good enough!
Of course we broke the January record last year ( 41.8C )

and based on whats been happening of late, 2014 may spring a few more surprises, i wouldn't be surprised
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:19

Originally Posted By: yep
That record won't be achievable h2o...I just had a look, it was 18.1C at 9am this morning and the april minimum record is 18.6C. Daily minimums and maximums are measured 9am-9am.

Never mind...1 monthly heat record in a year is good enough!
Of course we broke the January record last year ( 41.8C )

and based on whats been happening of late, 2014 may spring a few more surprises, i wouldn't be surprised


Yes , thanks Yep . Sorry, I forgot about the 9 to 9 range . Oh well still be a warm one .
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/04/2014 15:28

I just caused it to be dry when everyone else wanted rain. You however have created heat!!

Today almost doubled the April average of about 17!!

Hope you dip into Autumn properly soon.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/04/2014 12:29

ABC story about records melting in Hobart , story also mentions breaking the overnight min record(18.6 deg / 1952).
I don't believe that happened , I think we missed by half and hour as it was 18.6 at 9:30 am ? Anyway story below.

www.abc.net.au/news/2014-04-02/hobart-swelters-through-hot-april-night/5361072
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/04/2014 23:35

Although the extreme over averages have abated for now , the next 7 days are still pretty warm . Still a few 22 degree days creeping into the long term . Which is still around 5 degrees over . I was out walking this afternoon and can't believe how much bight the sun still has in it. Rainfall prospects are not good either . Really not looking forward to next Tues or Wed . I'm looking at the charts and we have two troughs bordered either side by two highs . All that hot air is will be filtered down right on top of Tassie. Could be in for a couple of real stinkers again ?

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/synoptic.jsp?d=6

This is also shows another warm signal , look at the 544 thickness line vanish way way south again .
www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/i...it=Refresh+View
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/04/2014 02:28



Some fairly recent warm spikes observable on the April mean maximum historical graph for Hobart. But take a look at 2006..very nice... the coldest April ( by day ) on record.

April 1st of that year is actually quite memorable, hard to believe 8 years has passed by though.. It was 11 degrees max. in the city, with snow on the mountain. I had a beer at Shippies in front of the open fire place that afternoon, and had some pleasant wandering thoughts that the winter coming up was going to be an absolute corker ( it wasn't )..but what a contrast to April 1 2014!

April 2006 low maximum mean ( 15.0C ) also happened to be the last time Hobart cracked a cold weather record (of any type).

Fast forward 2012..and that produced a tied record high of 19.6C... Perhaps we'll need a big shift to a colder regime in the second half of this month to at least diminish the prospect of putting up a challenge to that record.

Charts in the medium term look very tedious..but they are of course prone to readily change..they do look really unkind to cold weather connoiseurs. Belt of High pressure at Tasmanian latitudes, yes and that 544 is out of the picture, and a central continental low pressure trough drawing warm air down this way fairly constantly, where it neither belongs or is actually very welcome!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/04/2014 17:53

The first tens days of April and Hobart is still running an average daily max of 21.4 degrees . The record is 19.6 degrees in 1993 and again in 2012. Nights are also currently still very warm averaging 12.1 degrees , record is 11.3 degrees 1989.The long term average is 9 degrees.
Seems like very little is changing fast and the outlook is for a handful of days that will be close or below average. Should be some very interesting data at the end of this month for sure.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/04/2014 10:24

You just keep copping these nor wester winds that drag heat down from the North Island. Pattern has to change sooner or later. Models keep trying to throw the 540 thickness over you but they always die to the south as the fronts get closer. There will have to be a break through surely in the next fortnight or so.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2014 08:52

..reckon there's a bit of a chance for a dusting at some stage during easter break.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/04/2014 19:12

Originally Posted By: snowbaby
..reckon there's a bit of a chance for a dusting at some stage during easter break.

I don't know about the rest of Tassie , but Hobart/ Mount Wellington chances are looking no chance ?
Good Friday 12 / 20, +3/+3
Saturday 9/16, +1/-1
Sunday 9/18, +1/+1
Easter Monday 8/20, -1/+3
Also 544 thickness line just knicks us on Friday then vanishes way way South again frown
Average is still running about 20 degrees this Month , still on track to have a very warm April and may be a record one ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/04/2014 09:22

GFS has enough cold air to give places like Mt Field snow over about 3 days. EC & Access not quite so bullish. I've seen Mt Field get snow heaps of times when the 540 was not even over the state. Go up to Lake Dobson, it was my favourite place in cold changes. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/04/2014 08:52

Should be cooling off nicely tomorrow. Next week or two could be quite interesting too. Models starting to get the changes a lot closer to Tas. smile
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/04/2014 09:00

Haven't looked at soundings but Mt Field looks to be a good chance for easter. Bom has light snow in forecast for late afternoon and evening Friday above 1100m. Wish it was a short stroll away.

Early Tuesday 22nd GFS now throwing up some pretty cold temps now too - though might lack a bit of moisture then.

Dont think Wellington is so favorable at either time.

But snow pulse though could at last be ticking as you say DaveM - with Anzac weekend also looking intriguing.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/04/2014 10:06

When I lived there, Mt Field OFTEN had snow when even I was not expecting it. Some interesting microclimate there. The 540 line could be well south of Tas but it would snow at Mt Field many a time.

Best one was May 2000 up there, my first time attempting to drive through proper snow in an awd (Subie) boy was I impressed, with the snow and the car. smile

Oh, the 540 line was WELL over Tassie that time smile

I think Tassie peaks are about to head into a 2 - 3 week period where snow is possible on a few occasions.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/04/2014 22:03

Well next Thursday and Friday back to 20 degrees in Hobart and Sunday 21 . Tomorrow is forecast for 14 , but still well on track for another record warm month. Average this month just seems to want to be 21.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/04/2014 10:16

With about a mill of ppn and dewpoint and temps about or just below freezing on Wellington since early this morning, wonder if it managed a dusting?
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/04/2014 13:04

Don't often see warm fronts mentioned by the BOM (from the Tasmanian State Forecast):
A warm front over Bass Strait will slowly move south across Tasmania today as a low over the Bight moves southeast, expected to pass southwest of the state tonight with the associated cold front to then cross Tasmania early tomorrow. On Wednesday a west to northwesterly flow is expected over the state as a cold front approaches from the west, eventually crossing Thursday morning.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/04/2014 21:24

Probably because the accompanying cold front will usually catch up to the warm front and it will become an occlusion - perhaps at an early developmental stage before the frontal system gets very close and needs to be written into the text forecast . I'm not absolutely sure what happens to the occlusion. You often see warm fronts with frontal systems but they dont seem to persist on charts at least.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/04/2014 12:22

Currently 20.4 degrees in Hobart going for a top of 17.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/04/2014 13:30

Originally Posted By: snowbaby
You often see warm fronts with frontal systems but they dont seem to persist on charts at least.


NZ Metservice seems a bit keener to show warm fronts. Example here:

http://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/maps/tasman-sea-nz
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/04/2014 17:14

Hi OR

thanks for that. It looks like the NZ Met office takes the hemisphere red symbol for the warm front and keeps it as part of the graphic with the dark triangular symbol for the occluded front - there's quite a few on that map. Notice some hemispheres face backward rather than forward - could be warm occlusions - the air forward of the frontal line is actually colder than that behind(or if it's the other way round it would be a cold occlusion)

Bom, when it does the graphic for occlusions, has both the hemisphere and triangular symbol the same colour, even though at the warm front stage the hemispheres are red too - makes it easy to overlook the little blighters!

That text forecast posted by seabreeze seems to indicate that there was a warm front which had not been overtaken by the trailing cold front by the time it reached tas. The cold front expected to cross tomorrow again has a remnant warm front sector near the low centre.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 08:49

Tassie should start getting some snowy changes next week. Looks like about Wed and a possible secondary pulse on the Friday as well. Long range GFS also indicating that 540 line getting over the state several times in pulses. Perhaps signs the patterns are shifting northwards. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 13:19

Wow , just got hit by a 15 minute squall, wind and rain also some small hail. Dropped down to around 6 degrees here in LV and after it had passed I could see cars making a hasty retreat back down the mountain road. Suns back out now , I really hope more is to come. The ABC are still saying snow to 900 meters.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 13:27

Your weather is now going to be vastly more interesting than the last few months. smile

You should be up the top of the MT getting frozen and wind blasted. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 13:48

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Your weather is now going to be vastly more interesting than the last few months. smile

You should be up the top of the MT getting frozen and wind blasted. smile

From the numbers of cars that made a quick exit back down I'd say things would be nasty up there. Another big squall coming through now.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 14:06

Aah ya big chicken smile

This was the time I used to head on up there, get the ears and fingers frozen solid in an instant, stagger for shelter in a howling freezing gale. - Bliss smile

Wander back to the Chalet for shelter and to watch gently falling snowflakes. Top up the water bottles while I was there. smile (freeze fingers again under the waterfall) although now there is a black poly pipe with a tap a bit uphill of the waterfall for sooky fingers like mine. smile
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/04/2014 16:41

Up at The Springs with granddaughter about 1.00 and a couple of impressive snow showers but only very lightly settled. Temperature 3.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/04/2014 17:56

Tomorrow Saturday should be interesting in Tassie . Hobart forecast is for 45 kmr winds and 6 to 10mm of rain a top of 13 degrees. smile Hail in the afternoon and snow above 700 meters . There is also a "heads up " warning for flooding in the Huon river catchment. It's been a long hot Summer , but things are finally turning the corner . cool
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/04/2014 13:04

Good Afternoon all,
Hobart copped a good storm with plenty of rain small hail wind and thunder around 5:30 am this morning. The skies have cleared at the moment revealing a good dusting of snow on Mt Wellington. Down to about 700 meters , it's very black looking towards the North West so I think a bit more is on it's way.So far today tops of only around 12 degrees app temp of 3.1 , so pretty damp and chilly.
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/04/2014 13:25

Winter starting to make presence
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/05/2014 19:44

Hi all Hobart currently sitting at -1.0 on the May average.
There seems to be a very warm signal( temps avg around 18c) for about 7-10 days from Friday onwards though. Have we had our cold spell ? and about to see the temps rocket upwards again. confused
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/05/2014 16:59

Oh well , the fun is over . The below average days are over and we are staring down the barrel of at least 10 days of Northerlies and temps well over average. Just when I thought we would have an average or below average month for once. mad
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/05/2014 09:32

Much of NSW in the same boat. We have not had a below average month this year either.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/05/2014 13:15

Currently hanging around 20 degrees in Hobart . OMG Spring has arrived already . shocked
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2014 15:13

Hanging around 18c in Hobart with a forecast top of 16!, we could be in for 2 weeks of this . I think we have had all the snow we will see this year already ?
www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/i...it=Refresh+View
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2014 15:30

Indian summer
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/05/2014 19:22

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Indian summer


More than that Dave . When we are getting 10 and 12 days in a row of 18/20 degree days this late into May it's just plain "Scary".
This is Hobart for goodness sake , not Brisvegas or Sydney shocked
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2014 09:10

Yes but a lot of Eastern Oz is doing the same thing. Not just Hobart, similar to here and quite a few other areas.

We all (us cool lovers) hate the warmth stealing our cool weather. smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2014 10:40

According to the 28 day rain forecast the Indian Summer will last a while
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/05/2014 22:24

Roasting evening in Hobart , 10:30 pm and it's still 16 degrees. shocked
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2014 08:58

That's definitely warm.

You've obviously broken the weather down there!! smile
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2014 16:59

Random question, but does anyone know the highest residential suburb in the Hobart area?
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/05/2014 17:42

I'm pretty sure it is Fern Tree which gets up over 400m ASL
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 09:24

Yes Reilly, Fern Tree is generally accepted as the highest suburb for sure. Sits right on the side of Mt Wellington.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 11:27

Thanks guys, I was trying to figure it out via Google maps yesterday and Fern Tree was the highest I could find which makes sense now because it is! smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 12:49

A colder area just further along the side of Mt Wellington is NEIKA. It's also around 400 odd m but being further away from the water is colder.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 14:08

Definitely not cold at the moment in Hobart and surrounds - currently up to 23.9 in Hobart, which is a late-season record, and 24.1 in Campania, which is a late-season record for any Tasmanian site. (It's never reached 25 in Tasmania any later than 8 May).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 14:52

Wow, thanks Blair. Certainly crazy.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 14:54

Wow that sure is impressive, Tasmania seems to be getting warmer at a faster rate than anywhere in Aus. Hobart seems to have broken more heat records in the decade than any other capital city too.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 15/05/2014 17:40

Still 20 degrees at 5:30 pm. Hobart certainly is becoming just off the planet , records after records continues to fall. This is to back up the hottest April day ever last month. One wonders where all this is going ?There seems to no relief for at least the next ten days either. What do we expect for June or July ?? At this rate I would say more records will fall easily.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/05/2014 14:56

Another 21 plus May day here in Hobart.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/05/2014 17:50

Tomorrow at least another 19 degree day, the first week of June is still showing some 18 degree days. shocked
More records in June to fall for sure confused
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/05/2014 08:55

Yep same as a lot of places. It's been a very warm Autumn. Around here people are astonished at how warm it still is. Nights at least cool here. You will at least get some flick by of cool changes that we won't over the next couple of weeks.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/05/2014 10:16

After a cool night of clear skies , we are heading into another great Spring day . Forecast was for 14 in Hobart , and it's already
15 plus here in LV at 10:00 am. Not a cloud anywhere . With Summer starting again next week back to 18 degree plus days for the foreseeable future.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/05/2014 20:51

Not quite a record breaking May, but min/max temps for Hobart in the top 10% of all May records.

Hobart hasn't had a below average monthly min for 34 months including May (not since July 2011) and has only been below the average monthly max once in the last 29 months (Nov 13, prior to that it was Dec 2011).

The frequency of below average months has declined greatly, even since the early 90's. The 40's,50's and 60's were almost all below the long term average (full record), whereas the last 20 years have been almost all above. Not a great surprise that over the last 25 years, the winter/spring months with below average temps have also tended to be the snow bearing months. Becoming apparent in the last few years that snowfalls and snow cover are declining further and further. Hobart temps have risen about 1 degree in 130 years, I suspect another degree or so and snow may become a rarity on the mountain.

Website below shows the sharp decline in snow pack at ski resorts in NSW, lower peak depths and early melt.

http://gergs.net/gallery/
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/05/2014 09:22

Howdy Dan.

Yes it's been a shocker for that. Hobart particularly cops it when that long MW fetch hits. Seems to be more and more common.

In this area as well, similar trends occurring.

I note that at the moment Mt Wellington about -1.3, if there's any precip about, that should be small snow flakes. If it's windy - nasty.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/05/2014 21:17

Hobart is set to start the first 7 days at least with temps 16 and 17 degrees. It should be 12 degrees shocked
The Decile 9 max for June is 15.3 degrees. It just shows how warm it really is and has been , we will certainly be looking at 35 months in a row of above average monthly maximums. Lucky I put in the biggest air cons I could find , it's going to be one hell of a ride come Spring.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/05/2014 17:57

At least today we had first sub 10 maximum for an autumn month since 2006 ( 9.2C ). Whether that holds before the cut off into a new day at 9 am tmrw though, another matter!

Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/05/2014 21:58

Best day ever for a long time in Hobart. smile
Currently 5.4 degrees with an App Temp of 1.1 degrees at 9:50 pm.
A very clear sky , but from up here I can see a very thick fog rolling down the Derwent sitting about 50 meters above the water surface. " The Bridgewater Jerry"
www.abc.net.au/local/stories/2009/05/13/2569108.htm
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/06/2014 17:50

Longwave signal suggests the back end of next week should deliver the first substantial cold front for sometime to Tasmania (depends exactly where the fronts peak). GFS/Access both show some frontal systems building toward the end of their runs, it'll be interesting to see what eventuates. Long wave pattern also moving toward a 5 node set up, and the peaks are pushing well to the north, if that remains the case then the next couple of weeks should hold some promise. Thursday/Friday on Access look nice, Sat looks ok on the longer range GFS (give it a bit more credit given the longwave predictions).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/06/2014 09:30

Good news Dan. Keep us northerners informed. smile
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/06/2014 09:42

Coldest morning of the year, the Bridgewater Jerry puffed its way down the Derwent river on some pretty frigid air draining down the valleys into the Hobart city basin. 1.2C in Hobart at 8am, Liawenee -8.7C.

I think it'll be colder tonight. It is so rare now though to get a zero in Hobart.
With this strong band of high pressure at Tas latitudes persisting maybe we'll end up with a rare colder than average month.(!)..despite the snowless situation.
Posted by: CoastalStorm22

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/06/2014 11:28

That's been a cracking subsidence inversion over Tassie the past 24hrs with Mt Welly being warmer than the lowlands for the most part. Pity the cold temps are not a result of frontal activity tho.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/06/2014 18:56

That inversion was back in full force today again, Ouse and Bushy Park hit just 5 and 6 degrees respectively, while Mt Wellington 1200m higher also hit 5 degrees.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/06/2014 15:42

Another perfect Spring day here in Hobart , sunny with Warm Northerlies all day. Topped out at 15.3 degrees , another week of this on the way as well. If it's this warm down here , I don't hold much hope for the Mainland getting any Winter ?? either.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/06/2014 20:10

Looks like the big bad Cold Front is going to amount nothing as usual. Monday has changed now from 9 degrees to 14 and more North West winds. A big jump up from what was forecast only a day ago, the rest of the week will amount to a big fat nothing as well by the time it rolls around. mad
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/06/2014 22:56

Was forecast to be -4 out here overnight Monday and Tuesday when I looked this morning , now tonight the forecast is for a low of 5.

Not that I'm complaining but what happened do you think? that's quite the jump
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/06/2014 09:12

Have some patience, next week is winter down there with regular falls in the usual places.

NOBODY is getting proper winter yet not just you guys.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/06/2014 19:22

Another very warm 16 degrees here today , forecast going for 16 again Sat and Sun . Monday still showing a very warm 15 degrees.
The rest of next week will only see days on or about the average of 12 degrees. Spring continues to roll on.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/06/2014 19:48

Another very warm 16 degrees here today , forecast going for 16 again Sat and Sun . Monday still showing a very warm 15 degrees.
The rest of next week will only see days on or about the average of 12 degrees. Spring continues to roll on.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/06/2014 21:01

What a useless crap Winter this has been here in Hobart . No wind , a bit of drizzle and temps running 15 and 16 day after day .
Boring confused
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2014 08:52

I've said it a number of times before, I don't believe real winter arrives in Hobart until late July early August, late July seems to be when the windy and snowy changes really get going. June to me was always a relatively "boring" month down there.

The best "winter" weather down there in my mind seems to be August September.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2014 16:41

Originally Posted By: DaveM
I've said it a number of times before, I don't believe real winter arrives in Hobart until late July early August, late July seems to be when the windy and snowy changes really get going. June to me was always a relatively "boring" month down there.

The best "winter" weather down there in my mind seems to be August September.


This is true, June is traditionally not a month for cold instability - but what a shame Tasmania has been left high and dry by this current ( prolonged ) event.

Early next week offered some hope for a short cold southerly change, but the forecast temperatures have now been lifted.

Mt Wellington looks stark naked without its winter snowcap. Even "normal" Junes usually provide the sight of snow...
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2014 23:20

Only 19 !! months in a row now of above average maximums.
It's easy to work out what the upcoming monthly maximum will be , go look for the 95 % percentile max and above,and there you have it. smile
As Yep said , they have backed off the temps next week already.
Looking forward to more sunny 15 degree days "NOT".
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/06/2014 23:53

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Only 19 !! months in a row now of above average maximums.
It's easy to work out what the upcoming monthly maximum will be , go look for the 95 % percentile max and above,and there you have it. smile
As Yep said , they have backed off the temps next week already.
Looking forward to more sunny 15 degree days "NOT".

Should have read 30 !! Months in a row now to June 2014 , the 19 was to April last year .
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/06/2014 12:43

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Only 19 !! months in a row now of above average maximums.
It's easy to work out what the upcoming monthly maximum will be , go look for the 95 % percentile max and above,and there you have it. smile
As Yep said , they have backed off the temps next week already.
Looking forward to more sunny 15 degree days "NOT".

Should have read 30 !! Months in a row now to June 2014 , the 19 was to April last year .


You forgot about November 2013 h2o...1.9C below average for mean maximum.

But...if you exclude that month, you have to go back to 2011 to find a below average temperature month in Hobart ( mean maximum alone):

- December 2011 had a mean maximum that equaled the long-term average, ( but was 0.1C cooler than the 1981-2010 average...) so that's 30 months up to June 2014 with just 1 below average temperature month inbetween, if you prefer to use the recent 30 year period as a guide.

- If you just use the long-term average alone then you have to go back to March 2011 for a below average temperature month in Hobart ( mean maximum ). March 2011: 20.0 LTA: 20.1.
So, that's 38 months up to June 2014 with just 1 below average temperature month inbetween.

-----
Crazy warmth however way you cut it!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/06/2014 13:03

Originally Posted By: yep
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Only 19 !! months in a row now of above average maximums.
It's easy to work out what the upcoming monthly maximum will be , go look for the 95 % percentile max and above,and there you have it. smile
As Yep said , they have backed off the temps next week already.
Looking forward to more sunny 15 degree days "NOT".

Should have read 30 !! Months in a row now to June 2014 , the 19 was to April last year .


You forgot about November 2013 h2o...1.9C below average for mean maximum.

But...if you exclude that month, you have to go back to 2011 to find a below average temperature month in Hobart ( mean maximum alone):

- December 2011 had a mean maximum that equaled the long-term average, ( but was 0.1C cooler than the 1981-2010 average...) so that's 30 months up to June 2014 with just 1 below average temperature month inbetween, if you prefer to use the recent 30 year period as a guide.

- If you just use the long-term average alone then you have to go back to March 2011 for a below average temperature month in Hobart ( mean maximum ). March 2011: 20.0 LTA: 20.1.
So, that's 38 months up to June 2014 with just 1 below average temperature month inbetween.

-----
Crazy warmth however way you cut it!


Crazy alright , another 15 plus day today . Forecast was 12 degrees so blew that away with ease . I just picked another six ripe cherry tomatoes from my vine . Winter is not here at all.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2014 08:05

Got a taste of winter yesterday, sleet and hail and some scattered patched of melting snow above 600m on the way through the Waratah area. Cradle would have had a reasonable cover. Rained on/off down there for 2 days straight. Had more than 35mm for the week here in Burnie, 72.5mm for the month to date and raining again this morning. Expecting another 15mm over the weekend to bring the total close to normal.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2014 09:19

Thanks for the news DL smile How are the Waratah Falls going? pretty well after that I imagine. smile

With the "conveyor belt" of changes you should see more regular snow down there, especially at that 500m and above elevation. Enjoy smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2014 16:46

17.4 degrees in Hobart today. That has to be some sort of record again !!! It's getting worse by the day down here in Hobart. Next month is set to have at least 3 days of 15 in the first week . mad
Posted by: Seabreeze

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2014 17:26

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
17.4 degrees in Hobart today. That has to be some sort of record again !!! It's getting worse by the day down here in Hobart. Next month is set to have at least 3 days of 15 in the first week . mad
Probably not it seems. The June record high is 20.6C, and the July record high is 22.1C (recorded quite early in July too, on 6th July 1901)
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/averages/tables/cw_094029_All.shtml
Posted by: suomalainen

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/06/2014 18:15

tja. You have winter, and you get +17,4 degrees right now, unbelievable. We have summmer, and the High Sun. But it's now only +17. Would like to see the snow in this winter season or don't you like the snow?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2014 08:24

The other big worry is we are not getting our usual wet season Winter rains. As we know Tasmania is very dry come Summer, we rely heavily on Winter rain to keep the bushfire risk down and the hydro and farming running. To only have a dribble of 11.2mm from the average of 53 mm this month is a great concern. We are drier now for the same period than we were in 2013 , and 2013 was a shocker and I thought it couldn't get any worse. The BOM are predicting a wetter than average July to September for Southern Tasmania ... I just can't see that happening .
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/06/2014 12:03

It's pretty dry down the South but the North, Central Plateau and the West are receiving good falls. There was another widespread 50 mm on the Plateau in the last 24 hours. Burnie's on about 70 mm, Launceston 45 mm for the month.
Posted by: wingtipvortex

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/06/2014 13:24

Hi peeps. Wonderful winters day in Hobart today. Loving it! Have some friends heading up to Great Lake next weekend, and was wondering what the likely-hood of snowfalls were around then?
They are heading up next Friday, returning Sunday.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/06/2014 19:22

Originally Posted By: wingtipvortex
Hi peeps. Wonderful winters day in Hobart today. Loving it! Have some friends heading up to Great Lake next weekend, and was wondering what the likely-hood of snowfalls were around then?
They are heading up next Friday, returning Sunday.


Perhaps a marginal snowfall event on Friday night?
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/liawenee.shtml

Apparently there's quite a bit of snow on the ground there at the moment following 3 days of snowfall...The Examiner newspaper has some photos up on their website. Perhaps there will still be snow on the ground by the time next weekend comes around?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/07/2014 22:30

Ho Hum , Another Month starts and still no sign of Winter here in Hobart. Already daytime is over by 2 plus and night by nearly 3.
More 14 and 15 degree days on the way , looks like we will have to wait at least 10 days ?? into the month before we see a day even close to what the average should be. The weather is firmly stuck in 15 degree mode and nothing will budge it. eek
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2014 14:39

Another October day with 16 degrees and 50 kmr winds. Yes spring has sprung here in Hobart. It will be interesting to see what top we get tomorrow , the BOM are saying 16 it will be closer to 20 going on their last predictions ie : just add 4 .
Posted by: wingtipvortex

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/07/2014 19:33

Winter will arrive, don't panic. End of July, and through August/September has been the norm of late. Patience grasshopper.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2014 09:04

I've said that many times too but no listen.

I liked getting info from Tas in this topic but hardly check now, only ever the same post.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2014 12:49

Closing in on 18C in Hobart this lunchtime, a mark only achieved in twelve Julys since records began in 1882. The sun is out.

Whilst I love traditionally cold Hobart winters I am willing to forget about that today. Rare to have T-shirt weather in the middle of winter. Feel like I should pop down the shop and buy an icecream.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2014 14:48

Similar here in Bathurst, after a heavy fog and -3, it's t shirt weather too, been out and about the last 3 hours in just a polo shirt.

Your windy cold months slowly getting closer, August, September the wildest & coldest months down there in my memory.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/07/2014 18:49

yes, it does have that broken record feel(literally and figuratively)about it.

Send some of that warmer weather my way, been wet, drizzly and cool out west.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/07/2014 08:57

Finally got a proper frost here, (should have had plenty by now) - The day will be a beauty, blue sky, crisp clean (dry) air. Bit of a fog too atm but it will burn off soon. About -4, by far the coldest morning of the year.

DL you must be looking towards your trip soon!!

Wet drizzly cool - just what you would expect that side of Tas. smile

We had seen so little sun this last fortnight, it was getting drab, you'd have been right at home. smile

Hope you get some sunshine. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2014 11:21

DM, been away and am back. Left 17 April back 25 May.

17mm last night, nice little boost to get the month underway.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/07/2014 11:40

Duh!! I had wrong dates in my head smile I know I know, nothing usually in my head!! grin

17mm would be nice about here, probably nice around SE Tas as well. Have you got webbed feet yet from living in the NW?

Some really nice circulation in the clouds going on right now near Smithton!!

All these low centres passing to your north & NW not helping the snow situation in Tas.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/07/2014 11:26

Looks like the SE finally picked up some decent totals, Hobart 26mm to 9 this morning and Mount Wellington 54mm.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/07/2014 09:00

Excellent news DL, been a long time coming. Get the gullies running nicely again off the Mt.

Hopefully winter will get a bit serious down there soon.

I notice that these cutoff lows that are putting nice snow on the Snowies etc are becoming very regular. Tas often on the "wrong" side of the low with much of the cool air passing up via the west.

Still I'm sure the usual haunts would have been getting some occasional falls of snow down there from time to time. Hopefully pick up much better as July rolls on and August approaches.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/07/2014 09:06

Cut off lows certainly have been the theme in the last month, at least 3 lows have centered themselves close to the north west coast - as you say doesn't do tassie snow much good.

Front on Saturday night might buck the trend, -5.5 850Tmps when I looked last night.

Usual haunts have seen 3-4 light falls (inch or three), but nothing reallu substancial. A dusting on Mount Wellington the other week was enough to make page 3 of the paper...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/07/2014 11:56

Will keep an eye on that change. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/07/2014 18:43

Certainly cold enough from 2am-12pm on Sat morning for snow to 3-400m. Probably going to be too dry around Hobart for anything significant, but further south and west should see some reasonable falls on the highlands with a dusting to the lower levels.

Models throwing cold air over the state again late next week in a more southerly/south easterly flow - be interesting to see if anything comes of that.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/07/2014 09:03

Southerly/SE much better for Hobart region and of course Ben Lomond. Hope they get some.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/07/2014 16:31

If the last week of July is as mild as the last 2.. and the forecast temperatures for the next week are sustained.. then there is a reasonable chance Hobart will record its warmest July on record ( mean=max+min ).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/07/2014 16:54

You need to find where that damn heater is plugged in and turn it off!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/07/2014 17:06

Originally Posted By: yep
If the last week of July is as mild as the last 2.. and the forecast temperatures for the next week are sustained.. then there is a reasonable chance Hobart will record its warmest July on record ( mean=max+min ).



From Saturday all 14 degrees day after day , AccuWeather has the 30th and 31 st in at 16 and 17 . Warmest on record ? I have been banging on about since Winter started . It was the Winter that never came , hope all the Hobart experts are correct with their comments about August and September being Hobart's real cold and snow season. grin
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/07/2014 17:28

Wonder just how big a departure your July temps will be - and if the picture is the same all over Tas.

Over here on the other southern outpost(albeit another latitude) we're pretty much bang on average for July at present.

Strange how tas missed some of the stuff heading into the snowies - but it has been a strange season anyways with the AAO way positive.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/07/2014 10:44

Tassie surprisingly CAN miss cold blasts that mature to it's west, create a low in Bass St that send lovely cold southerlies to the mainland but draws easterlies into tas. When cutoff lows occur, Tassie often misses out.

However the time comes when Tassie keeps getting snow when the mainland is nowhere near snow. Mostly late winter and into mid October.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2014 09:04



A sight for sore eyes..
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2014 10:06

Thanks for that smile Every time I see that view I look to the left to see (sort of) where I lived in Ridgeway and then wish I was still there.

Lovely photo!! That cam is in exactly the right place. School with a view!!
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2014 10:37

Agreed DM & yep. Good to see the rosebay cam is back up and running. Magnificent scene!
Posted by: avalon

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/07/2014 10:51

It's the best city in oz, by far
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/07/2014 09:22

Avalon - 100% Best place I have lived in my 50 odd years without a doubt.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/07/2014 11:11

I lived overseas for a few years during my 20s and I remember being absolutley mesmerised by the beauty of the place when I returned home. Sometimes it is hard to appreciate how special the place is ( visually and its energies ) if one becomes too familiar with it, or generally a bit jaded!


Originally Posted By: DaveM
Thanks for that smile Every time I see that view I look to the left to see (sort of) where I lived in Ridgeway and then wish I was still there.

Lovely photo!! That cam is in exactly the right place. School with a view!!


My "old" school actually..and I am pretty sure the camera is inside the reception office. I agree, it would be good if the camera could pan to the left to also take in Mt.Nelson/Sandy Bay. That stretch of hillside is equally as splendid especially viewed from the east side of the river.

Ridgeway...more of a hamlet than a suburb. Very beautiful little nook, I imagine it is very cold and frosty in the winter time! Perfect place for H2o?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/07/2014 11:07

Yes certainly H20 should be at Neika, Fern Tree, Ridgeway or Collinsvale smile

I remember years when it was always too warm but we can't change the weather (thank god) so look for another positive. That's what I try to do. I've lived in NW NSW where the heat is unrelenting, Hobart is much better than there!! smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/07/2014 20:21

How the hell did you survive up there Dave with 34-35C January avgs, being a cold lover smile

In fact Narrabri and Coonamble hit record maximums of 48C in January shocked and Coonable also had their coldest January max of record not even a week later smile

And I think Liawenee would be the perfect place for Mtn H20. At least it's always cold there with Jan avg of 19C and Jul avg of 6C cool

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/07/2014 09:21

Liawenee is a very interesting place. I regularly went up there and used that road as a geatway to the NW of the state. Stunning scenery on the drive, glacial lakes, huge mountains, waterfalls, Australia's largest permanent lake (at approx 1000m above sea level), fresh clean crisp air and sky. Pub at Miena a great place for a stop.

Yes RP, I was happy to move to Tas after Narrabri. smile

It's only the fact that all my family are in NSW that stops me moving back to Tassie. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/07/2014 09:21

Liawenee has reached -7 in consectutive mornings. Been a little frostly along the north west coast, with mins between 0 and 3 for most places for the past 3-4 mornings. Weekend and today were/are brilliant winters days, cold start, clear, crisp and calm.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/07/2014 11:00

Nice days indeed by the sound of it, Calm huh? not often that happens over the left hand side. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2014 14:45

Thanks to all for the the suggestions on where to move to .Sorry but given my recent rantings (from heat stroke) I'll bet some of you want me to go to hell. smirk The Huon Valley is looking the goods when I retire and don't have to be in Hobart most days confused .
Anyway another 15 plus day here in Warmbart , leaving Melbourne and Perth behind so far. With 16 and 17's on the forecast ahead will we see 20 degrees?? within the months end. It's a very real possibility given the continuing warming pattern. Still looking the goods for new record month at this stage.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2014 15:50

Huon is nice!! EXCEPT when forestry does those autumnal burn offs and the smoke sits in the bottom of the valley!!

Pretty much everybody is having a hot year this year. We have actually finally had some good cool temps the last few weeks but August is approaching and for us that's a definite warm up.

It's funny how most mainlanders think Hobart is freezing cold when as you know it's not. smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2014 15:53

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Thanks to all for the the suggestions on where to move to .Sorry but given my recent rantings (from heat stroke) I'll bet some of you want me to go to hell. smirk The Huon Valley is looking the goods when I retire and don't have to be in Hobart most days confused .
Anyway another 15 plus day here in Warmbart , leaving Melbourne and Perth behind so far. With 16 and 17's on the forecast ahead will we see 20 degrees?? within the months end. It's a very real possibility given the continuing warming pattern. Still looking the goods for new record month at this stage.


It's quite strange that Hobart is getting such a warm winter but yet other places are getting an average or slightly above avg winter.

Usually when Hobart (or Warmbart poke ) has a warm winter and July, the rest of SE Aus has a warm one because if Tassie is above avg that usually shows that there has been a lack of cold fronts that winter (example last year). But this winter there certainly hasn't been a lack of cold fronts, the snow cover on the alps proves it.

Hobart's average max in July 2014 has been 13.5C (+1.7 above avg) which is the exact same as Melbourne's avg July max. So you could say that Hobart is getting a Melbournian winter.

Dave or h2o- Where exactly is Huon Valley? smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2014 20:31

Globally May and June have been the hottest May and June on record, Hobart is just reflecting the trend.

Tasmania's problem this winter has been the warm sea temps, have seen a lot of lows passing through bass strait and the cold air moving up over the mainland.

Huon Valley is south and west of Hobart (behind the mountain), old stomping ground, grew up down that way.
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/07/2014 20:44

Thanks for that snowies. I wasn't sure if it was the valley that has Ouse and Bushy Park or the one with Geeveston, Grove and Cygnet.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 09:18

Howdy Snowies, pleasure to hear from you again. smile

Reilly, Dan is exactly right (better be, given he is from there smile ) Huonville is a big giveaway to the location of the Valley smile

Geeveston etc yes in the Huon. Really nice area and very different to the Derwent Valley which has Bushy Park. Derwent Valley by and large is relatively open and farming land (not alll but much more than the Huon.

Huon is mostly natural with habitation in small pockets and agriculture not broad scale. A lot of forestry areas, very mountainous, lot of Apple orchards though, some wineries, heaps of fish farming.

The Huon is stunningly beautiful with big rivers (The Huon being the main one) and big mountains beside the river, mostly forest and mountains. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 10:12

Yeah, the two valleys are quite different, Derwent Valley is much drier thanks to the central plateau. You make the huon sound more like New Zealand, ever consider writing tourism pieces?

Shaping up for a big end to July, BOM fella on the radio reckoned the North would see 1-5mm Sunday and Monday, but 100-150mm Tuesday through Thursday - snow on Ben Lomond all of those days. Certainly pushing some cold air Thursday/Friday.

Just had a week of clear, clam, frosty weather (nearly spun on the ice west of waratah), perfect winters days and very rare to have a completely dry week in July at Savage. But the rain has returned this morning with 3mm.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 11:24

My wife does a few days work a week in Huonville (the township) , she says some days the fog never lifts and it's freezing and damp all day. smile Those same days I'll be in Hobart with the sun beaming down and 16 degrees. They also seem to get allot more rain as the Mountain doesn't have the same shadow effect as in Hobart proper. It's always lush and green over the range into the valley , even in Summer . Although they still get very high temps in Summer , the greenery seems to make it seem cooler. I love the Derwent Valley but they cook through Summer and it can mighty dry up there.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 12:46

Snowies, that's a lot of rain. H2O wouldn't mind some of that down south.

Yes H2O, worst fogs are those autumn ones with forestry burn smoke in them. Huonville cops too many of those. Rest of the year it's a lovely place.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 17:22

The smoke problem from the forestry "regeneration" burn offs are a thing of the past now, following the near collapse of the native forest logging industry. Low grade forest burn offs in the autumn though are being increased as a summer fire control measure.

The Huon is a very tranquil place but I notice higher density residential encroaching south from Kingston to Margate and beyond, and a northward spread from Cygnet. I hope the increasing population (it has one of the fastest growth rates in Tasmania )doesn't kill off it's charm! The increasing popularity of the region is also increasing house and land costs. Quite spectacularly.

There is a thunderstorm forecast tonight. Very rare event for wintertime in Hobart.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/07/2014 17:27

Originally Posted By: yep
If the last week of July is as mild as the last 2.. and the forecast temperatures for the next week are sustained.. then there is a reasonable chance Hobart will record its warmest July on record ( mean=max+min ).


The 2013 record will hold. That's my call right now. Butit is quite likely Hobart will come very close to its highest July mean maximum on record. That is 13.9C in 2010.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2014 09:28

Not surprised at the population spread down via Margate etc, it was pushing like that when I left Tas. Easy to understand, a good run up to Hobart and lovely Storm Bay scenery. smile

Good to hear the forestry burns a lot less now, they were horrible months down there!! Smoke laden autumnal skies!! (in some areas).

Nice to see more chat in here. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2014 09:57

Next Thursday/Friday, Tassie has a really good chance of having a fair amount of area at sub 524 thickness. If that does happen (good chance) and moisture is available, I suspect the possibility of flakeage close to sea level or certainly say 300/200m in the south. The Western Arthurs could be clobbered big time. smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2014 10:34

Thanks guys for telling me about the Huon Valley smile

I found out that some of my ancestors are actually from Cygnet! smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2014 10:56

When you grow up you'll be a swan!! smile
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/07/2014 11:12

Hahaha! Good one Dave smile
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/07/2014 17:07

Boms got a severe warning up for winds and a flood watch, . Suppose id better do a run round the yard before dark and secure the trampoline.

Quote:
Severe Weather Warning

IDT28100
Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Central North, North East, Western and Central Plateau forecast districts

Issued at 3:29 pm EST on Monday 28 July 2014.

For areas west of a line from Eddystone Point to Liawenee to South East Cape
Weather Situation

An area of low pressure will lie to the southwest of Tasmania on Tuesday with a number of cold fronts to cross the state during the day.

Damaging winds around 55 km/h with peak gusts of 100 km/h are forecast for Tuesday for the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Central North, North East and Western forecast districts and parts of the Central Plateau forecast district. Damaging gusts are most likely during the morning and then again late in the day, particularly with thunderstorms.

The State Emergency Service and Tasmania Police advise that people should:

Supervise children closely
Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment
Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings
Manage pets and livestock
Be prepared in case of power outages
Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving
Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice

For flood and storm emergency assistance, contact the SES on 132 500

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Monday.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 09:57

Northern areas copping a flogging with wind & rain. Storm force wind warnings etc and very heavy rain over the next few days. Major waterfalls will be roaring.
Posted by: Lindsay Knowles

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 13:47

Anyone seen the Tornado photos and the damage it caused today. Looks pretty bad.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 14:42

Yes looks nasty.

Hey NW - tying down Trampoline a damn good idea, I have seen one half way up a tall gum tree before.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 14:48

Originally Posted By: Lindsay Knowles
Anyone seen the Tornado photos and the damage it caused today. Looks pretty bad.


These Ones, Looks pretty nasty.

(ABC NEWS) Flash flooding warning after Tasmania cleans up from 'tornado-like' winds
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-29/tornado-winds-hit-tasmania-cause-widespread-damage/5630746
Posted by: Lindsay Knowles

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 15:34

There is a photo on one of the Weather pages on facebook that show the Tornado. Looked pretty big. If you have Facebook check out the Police in the area Tasmania Australia or Melbourne Storm Chasers pages.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 17:13

We've been ok here so far, bit of wind picking up every so often and a short heavy rain went thru about half hour ago.WeatherZone says gusts to 69km currently but i don't think our place is getting that , perhaps the wind meter doofer smile is up higher than we are.

Looks like the north west copped a beating and lilydale road was cut off for a while today, the pictures show a phenomenal amount of water over the road there - it's not a place i usually see covered over
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 17:39

Still howling through here, gusting up to 60kph easily according to the weather station 5 meters from me.

Few lighter showers passing through, probably seen the worst of the rain until tomorrow. Should get increasingly wet tomorrow, be a shocker on thursday and for the north ease Fridqay afternoon. With the wind backing to the south and -6 850TMPS south and south-east could see some nice snowfalls with reasonable precip forecast late friday in the latest GFS, but easing overnight Friday into saturday.

Power flickering, might lose it if the winds get much stronger...
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 18:32

A report on wind damage and flooding here including photogallery and video
"
There was a tornado-like severe destructive wind and there was four or five commercial buildings in that area which ... had significant structural damage.

Anthony Dick, SES duty officer "
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-29/tornado-winds-hit-tasmania-cause-widespread-damage/5630746
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 19:14

Hit 96.6Kph earlier, strongest gust since I put the weather station in. Not a patch on a few sites around the state.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 19:22

Originally Posted By: Snowies
Hit 96.6Kph earlier, strongest gust since I put the weather station in. Not a patch on a few sites around the state.


...One of those is Maatsuyker Island which had a wind gust of 172km/hr at 644pm this evening. The winds are increasing everywhere this evening. That's up there with the highest wind speeds ever recorded in Tasmania which I think is 200km/hr on top of Mt.Wellington in 1998 March.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 19:47

MSLP was 973.5 hPa !!! at 6.43pm
ID: 094041 Name: MAATSUYKER ISLAND LIGHTHOUSE
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94962.shtml
and
Macquarie island also 973 hPa at 7pm with a northerly and 35km winds go figure?
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94998.shtml
Posted by: chasers addict

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/07/2014 21:56

Have look at Burnie Webcam the clouds is very dark and can see sun going down hazy but not sure what time Storm Hit Burnie..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aWHSuIT39QU&feature=youtu.be
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/07/2014 15:27

Originally Posted By: crikey
MSLP was 973.5 hPa !!! at 6.43pm
ID: 094041 Name: MAATSUYKER ISLAND LIGHTHOUSE
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94962.shtml
and
Macquarie island also 973 hPa at 7pm with a northerly and 35km winds go figure?
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94998.shtml


Very low pressure. I wonder what Tasmania's lowest ever reading is. I do recall a 966 or 964 reading in Hobart in September 1987...that caused the Derwent river to spill its banks in combination with high tide. Walking home from school along the waterfront, it felt like something dramatic was happening to the world ( I was quite young! ). That's the lowest barometric reading I remember observing in Hobart; it's possibly also the lowest on record. Maatsuyker may have even been in the 950s.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/07/2014 15:51

The Hobart storm surge was in fact in July 1988
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/07/2014 22:02

The bom wind charts show many windshifts through the time steps in the next little while - has the worst of it gone?

I love the inclement & cold as much as the next but I must admit I do fear raging winds - hope no more will have their homes damaged.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 09:11

Tassie has been copping a good old fashioned flogging this week!!

Very cold air tomorrow. I reckon snow to below 300, possibly approaching sea level in heavy showers down south.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 09:12

Quote:
Bush Walkers Weather Alert
for the Western and Central Plateau forecast districts

Issued at 5:51 am EST on Thursday 31 July 2014.

Bush walkers are advised that snow as low as 400 metres is expected to develop by late today. Snowfalls will persist during Friday, lowering to as low as 200 metres later in the afternoon and evening. These hazardous conditions are expected to occur in parts of the Western and Central Plateau forecast districts.




It's about to get very cold grin
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 09:29

Going to be very interesting to see how things pan out especially in that central plateau area......not sure exactly where you are TheNW but hope you can keep us all regularly updated ...there's also the Great Lake Hotel facebook page.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 09:56

...wonder if there's any chance of serious icing of the tarns up there?..would have thought the smaller ones could do.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 10:34

The Tarn shelf (Mt Field National Park) has several quite large tarns (small glacial Lakes) that ice over most winters. I expect they would benefit greatly from this change. Been a bit warm up till now.

People can often ski over the top of a number of decent sized tarns up there. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 11:53

Front crossing now, passing through north west. Conditions near stanley are terrible. Wind is howling, bass strait heaving and the rain is coming in hard at times.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 12:53

Powers been off a while finally remembered my login details lol

The winds been horrid here, sustained at 70 plus km and gusts over 100km
Had to pick the kids up from school.

We're in Cressy , so not up on the plateau but have a nice view if the teirs and if conditions are right ... Maybe a little snow on Friday smile not holding my breath tho

Just hoping this wind is done now that's it's died down a little , we've got they so far with only the trampoline matt and gate latch damaged
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 14:18

Rain has stopped, The Mt has cleared.
Nice amount of snow on Mt Wellington, Have not seen it this white for quite a while and by the sounds of thing there is more snow on the way.

Pics of Mt Wellington about 2pm today.
http://r1networks.net/pics/Snow2MtWel310714.JPG

Mt Mawson has also had a good dump.
http://mtmawson.info/base_cam/snowcaml000M.jpg
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 14:43

Wow, Mawson certainly picked up the last couple of days!!

Shot of Mt W nice. Is that from Mt Nelson or Dynyrnne? Angle not quite Ridgeway and not Hobart?
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 15:18

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Wow, Mawson certainly picked up the last couple of days!!

Shot of Mt W nice. Is that from Mt Nelson or Dynyrnne? Angle not quite Ridgeway and not Hobart?


Umm............Can i Lock in E, None of the Above.

Actually its from Howrah.

The rain has cleared, Sun is out, just as the temp was starting to drop.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 16:14

Good zoom. I wondered if it was from there but thought it looked too close. Nicely done. smile
Posted by: Arthurs lake

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 17:36

Hey guys,

looking the goods down here - been a cold wet day! Looking forward to tonight and tomorrow..... Bom forecasting snow to higher suburbs in latest update - hopefully get some further down? Could make up for a boring winter thus far!!
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 18:50

I cant tell from the satellite images...are we expecting another front over tonight in Northern Tas?
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/07/2014 19:06

Scotts peak..Tasmania Altitude 408m
31st july 2014..6.35pm
Temp 2.9 deg c, Feels like minus 16.7 ! deg c, 97 % humidity, Wind gust 115 km/hr,( highest 122km/hr) rain at19.8mm so far
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.95958.shtml

Freezing level about 800m curently at Haartz
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.94977.shtml
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 07:04

Probably the best snow cover I have seen on Mt.Wellington since the winter of 2004. There's got to be half a metre to a metre of snow up there at the moment. Much more in drifts.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 09:00

Excellent, keep the info coming!! smile

Hello TM - long time!! smile

It's a shame that Tassie is often forgotten up here, if your weather of this week was up here it would be wall to wall media coverage.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 10:27

Snow plough being diverted to Waratah once it finishes the Cradle Link Road/Murchinson hwy. Tree's also blocking the road to Savage River further in beyond Waratah.

Weather eased a lot late yesterday and overnight, much of the weather going around the state.

Last burst pushing through the south/south east now.

Reports of snow falling around Oatlands on the midlands hwy this morning.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 10:57

Snow plough to Waratah - good effort!! Dan.

Oatlands and St Peters Pass I imagine.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 11:19


Most of the roads affected are in the west, generally 600m asl and above. Reports of slushy snow on the road at the Fern Tree Tavern (450m). MOdels looked good for several mm's of precip this afternoon in the south east, so may see some of these lower area's report a cover this evening. The bulk of the cloud looks like it passed through Bass Strait.


Pic ripped from twitter, Waratah this morning.


Roads Affected By Snowfall
Thursday, 31 July 2014 - 2:22 pm. Updated Friday, 1 August 2014 - 11:07 am

The following roads are affected by snow fall. The roadway is accessible by 4WD vehicles or vehicles with chains only.

Murchison Highway between Tullah and the Cradle Mountain Link
Mount Arrow Smith on the Lyell Highway at Derwent Bridge.
Highland Lakes Road, from Golden Valley to Steppes. Accessible by 4WD and vehicle with chains only
Poatina Road from Poatina to Highland Lakes Road 4WD and vehicles with xchains only
Marlborough Road from Miena to Lyell Highway. 4WD and vehicles with chains only
Murchison Highway, Waratah (between Animal Creek and the picnic area near Waratah turn off). 4WD and vehicles with chains only.
Cradle Development Road, Cardle Mountain is accessible by Four WD vehicles only. extreme caution
Other snow affected roads:

Road turn off (4WD vehicles recommended but still accessible to vehicles).
Midland Highway, Oatlands (motorists should use caution due to snow falling on the road).
Collins Cap Road, Molesworth.
Lyell Highway, Queenstown to Derwent Bridge is open to all vehicles with caution
Anthony Main Road is open to all vehiclesd with caution.
Cradle Track open to all vehicles with caution
Waratah Main Road open to all vehicles with caution
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 11:24

Thanks Dan, nice photo!! smile
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 12:46

Looks like its snowing at collinsvale http://www.cvweather.webbed.com.au/

Would love to see a few flakes here on the eastern shore, but i'm not holding my breath.

Currently at howrah,
5.3 degrees and raining
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 13:46

Good on you Greg, just see some white on the ground in sheltered spots. smile

5 degrees nice and cool we about 7.6 and mostly sunny.

When Mt W emerges it should look great from Howrah!!
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 14:07

Huon hwy at Vinces Saddle now snow affected, snow settling all the way to Grove, visibility poor.

Ridgely hwy now only open to 4WD. Last report, snowing very heavily through waratah - 2WD vehicles stuck.

Virtually every west coast road under the police alerts now.

Roads Affected By Snowfall


Thursday, 31 July 2014 - 2:22 pm. Updated Friday, 1 August 2014 - 2:02 pm

The following roads are affected by snow fall. The roadway is accessible by 4WD vehicles or vehicles with chains only.
Highland Lakes Road, from Golden Valley to Steppes. Accessible by 4WD and vehicle with chains only
Poatina Road from Poatina to Highland Lakes Road 4WD and vehicles with xchains only
Marlborough Road from Miena to Lyell Highway. 4WD and vehicles with chains only
Murchison Highway, Waratah (between Animal Creek and the picnic area near Waratah turn off). 4WD and vehicles with chains only.
Cradle Development Road, Cardle Mountain is accessible by Four WD vehicles only. extreme caution
Ridgely Road, Burnie through to Warratah 4WD only

Other snow affected roads:
Murchison Highway between Tullah and the Cradle Mountain Link Road turn off (4WD vehicles recommended but still accessible to vehicles).
Midland Highway, Oatlands (motorists should use caution due to snow falling on the road).
Collins Cap Road, Molesworth.
Lyell Highway, Queenstown to Derwent Bridge is open to all vehicles with extreme caution
Lyell Highway Queenstown to Strahan is open but extreme caution required
Zeehan Highway, Queenstown through to Zeehan open but extreme caution
Anthony Main Road is open but with extreme caution.
Cradle Track open to all vehicles with caution
Waratah Main Road open to all vehicles with caution
Huon Highway at Vinces Saddle snow is settling as far down as Grove and visibility very poor
Tasman Highway at Premadyna snow is settling on road and currently hail and ice falling. Motorists to take caution.
Midland Highway, Oatlands. snow falling at highest points on highway. Motorists to take extreme caution.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 14:14

No surprise re Vinces Saddle.

Not often Ridgely Rd struggles.

Where's Mountain H2o - should be ecstatic to finally get some cold stuff smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 14:23

Yeah was wondering the same thing - maybe he secretly likes the warmth...

The only time I get a little edgy is when it's snowing down that way. Had enough days on Vinces Saddle in the snow, but you can never have too many. Haven't been up that way in deep snow since '02.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 14:35

Wonder if the commuters got going home early? Later it will be icy as can be on a nice steep pass. shocked
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 15:28

Mt Wellington looking good under its white blanket. http://r1networks.net/pics/SnowMtWel010814.JPG

Temp is climbing a little, still the odd rain shower coming through, only 6.4mm since midnight, 28.6mm yesterday.
Posted by: TheNW

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 16:11

Still got no power , it's getting pretty chilli but no snow or even sleet to be seen frown bit if ground level snow would make it worth the two days so far without power

There was some nice snow a fair way down the sides of the mountain earlier but the last showers over seem to have washed alot off the sides
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/08/2014 21:49

ABC news vid, some footage from Mount Wellington and west coast roads

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-01/af...524?section=tas

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-29/severe-storm-lashes-north-west-tasmania/5633630?section=tas

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-31/storms-wreak-havoc-across-tasmania/5639488?section=tas
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 09:36

Nice stuff Snowies. smile
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 12:09

It doesn't look like this turned out to be Hobart's first low level snow event for the year - no settled snow in Collinsvale village or on top of Mt.Nelson for example, ( both near 340m asl ). I am hard pressed to think of a year without a low level snow event- but there's plenty of time for that to happen.

The significant thing was the apparent snow depth on the mountain, falling and settling over 2-3 days. Looks incredible.

It has also been very cold for 2 days in a row in Hobart which turns out that this is unusual in itself over recent times.
Thursday and Friday's official maximums were 7.8 and 7.3C.

I scanned thru the BOMs climate data base and came up with following trivia

CONSECUTIVE DAYS UNDER 8 DEGREES MAXIMUM IN HOBART
( Some years have more than 1 period of consecutive days under 8C )

2014: 2
2005: 2
1986: 2
1983: 5
1982: 2
1978: 2
1977: 2
1976: 3
1974: 2
1973: 2
1972: 2
1968: 2
1964: 2,2,2
1963: 2
1962: 2
1961: 2
1961: 2
1958: 2
1956: 2
1953: 2,4
1951: 3,3,2

I stopped taking notes when I got into the 1930s because of the regularity.
Interesting to see how lengthy cold outbreaks used to be typical winter fare, and how bad its been over the last 30 years.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 12:25

Originally Posted By: yep


CONSECUTIVE DAYS UNDER 8 DEGREES MAXIMUM IN HOBART
( Some years have more than 1 period of consecutive days under 8C )

2014: 2
2005: 2
1986: 2
1983: 5
1982: 2
1978: 2
1977: 2
1976: 3
1974: 2
1973: 2
1972: 2
1968: 2
1964: 2,2,2
1963: 2
1962: 2
1961: 2
1961: 2
1958: 2
1956: 2
1953: 2,4
1951: 3,3,2

I stopped taking notes when I got into the 1930s because of the regularity.
Interesting to see how lengthy cold outbreaks used to be typical winter fare, and how bad its been over the last 30 years.



Missed 1990 ( 2 )
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 14:48

Went for a drive to Waratah, lot of snow, at least 20cm maybe 25cm in some areas - not much drifting. A lot of traffic heading down the Ridgley Hwy heading for Waratah or Cradle (mostly Cradle).

5 Pics from Waratah:










One of the old stomping ground from twitter at Lower Longley on Vinces Saddle this moring, must have had an inch or two at most.
Posted by: James Chambers

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 19:57

Brilliant photos there Snowies!! Decent event... finally!
Posted by: Cloudz

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 23:23

Great pics Snowies, thanks for sharing them smile
Posted by: Homer

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/08/2014 23:54

Brilliant photos Snowies.
Love it!!

Homer
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/08/2014 08:20

Those are such good photos Snowies smile Thanks for sharing.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2014 08:51

Cheers Dan, looks excellent, would have had the waterfall running well!!
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2014 09:54

The snowy mantle in the town looks superb. In the first shot Waratah, looks like someone started to build a snowman some distance behind the park seat then left it - maybe forgotten how it goes?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2014 10:58

Or it was built then destroyed by someone else?

Dan, Surely you got a shot of the waterfall looking back from the pub!!! smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/08/2014 17:51

I didn't, but was sent some pics from earlier in the day when the snow was still heavy on the trees and fresh on the ground that included one with the waterfall - although the angle wasn't quite right to see the whole waterfall. I travel down there a least weekly, generally get no sense of the waterfall (sometimes you forget it's there), have only gone for a look when down on non work visits.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2014 07:09

I can't believe the snow on Mt.Wellington has vanished so quickly. Perhaps the mystery heat pump which has kept Hobart anomalously warm for so long is coming somewhere from underneath the summit.

Great photos Snowies.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/08/2014 11:43

Hey Snowies, yes the waterfall is extremely well disguised and it is VERY easy to drive past it and not realise a very good waterfall is right beside the road. smile

Yep - that sunny side always melts rapidly but on the southern slopes (left of the organ pipes) it will hang about quite a while, possibly weeks. Luckily my house at Ridgeway had that view and I often had snowy slopes to look at when Hobart saw only the sunny side of the hill. smile

Or maybe the heat pump is indeed at work. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/08/2014 11:15

Out of interest, I saw photos of this latest event for Queenstown and a number of cm's of snow all over the main street etc.

Fair effort at about 140 odd metres elevation!!
Posted by: Homer

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/08/2014 08:29

Looks like Tassie is copping it nicely this morning!!
Posted by: wingtipvortex

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/08/2014 16:01

Just had solid sleet shower in Kingston.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/08/2014 08:58

Yes low level snow in the south west it seems, reports of snow at about 100m. Precip struggled to get across to the east it seems, only light stuff eastside.

Good and cold though again. As I always believed down there, snowy times don't kick in until the 2nd half of July and then continue through to early October.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/08/2014 08:58

GFS has the trough coming through here this weekend BUT then places an ECL far enough south that NE Tas cops it. ACCESS not agreeing, EC gives me thoughts it could happen as well. Ben Lomomd may do ok, especially if it's cool enough to make snow for the bunnies down there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/08/2014 16:41

Oh well the Winter that really never was is about to finish the way it started. Here in Hobart I was hopeful we would finally see and average month. Currently we are bang on average , but all that is about to go down the gurgler. Looks like we are in for some very warm days in the next ten days at least. Hobart is looking at 16's & 17's for the foreseeable future. Might even see a 20 in there as well , I just looked at the first few days of September and yes plenty of 20's there already as well. I guess it is what it is , Winter is the new Spring and Summer is just a heatwave. confused
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/08/2014 18:48

I'm keeping an eye on how long this dry spell is going to last.
9 dry days in a row in Hobart presently, with another 7 in the forecast.
That may be the longest dry spell for years (for any month).
My memory tells me the all time record is 24 or 25 days.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/08/2014 09:50

Longest of the 2000s was 21 days in November-December 2003. All-time record is 26 in December 1905-January 1906. Longest in August (wholly or partly) is 16 days in July-August 1949, longest starting in August is 12 days in 1893.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2014 07:54

Cant resist joining in on the chorus with this one - you're not being singled out for special treatment - for August our mean max temp is a solid 2.5C above av, ppn currently sitting at 10mm with a mean of 106mm - and not a lot coming for rest of this month that I can see.

Gotta be one of the most bizzare late July-August's I've seen in my short time.

Could be a sting in the tail yet though - especially for Tas - if a decent meridional flow gets going.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/08/2014 12:01

Hi snowbaby , we are copping it in the South East Region . It's bizzare alright , someone on one of the other forums on here is suggesting it's the because of the Antarctic ice shelf build up in previous seasons ? And that is why Darwin is getting some unusual freezing mornings. There has certainly been a pattern of the last few years for these large Highs to park themselves over the South and not move for weeks. Yes , I'm hoping here we still see one more blowout before Spring proper. We just might have to wait through two and half weeks of the present mind numbing boring pattern. BTW how did your Winter in Albany pan out ? did you feel you got a fairly average one or did it come up a bit short ?
Cheers smile
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2014 09:44

Looking for the occasional flurry of snow about the stirlings it's been a shocker - there's only been one front with a cold pool capable of producing anything like that and that was embedded in too much of a zonal flow and produced virtually zilch.

Altogether ironic that the main skifields and some other marginal snow areas over there got such a good period of falls.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2014 16:39

Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin
Longest of the 2000s was 21 days in November-December 2003. All-time record is 26 in December 1905-January 1906. Longest in August (wholly or partly) is 16 days in July-August 1949, longest starting in August is 12 days in 1893.

The August starting record has fallen, and the wholly or partly one will fall as well. 13 dry days until 9am this morning, another 5 almost certain, and 6 or 7 highly probable based on the 7 day forecast this afternoon.

So that's maybe 20 in the bag; next target the longest dry spell of the century.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/08/2014 23:32

It sure looked like a good storm was brewing from the North today around midday . Nothing happened though it just vanished .
What a run of dry warm days to end the month , looks like going till at least next Monday or Tuesday. Does anyone know what we can expect down here from then on ? Sure doesn't look good at all running bone dry 18 degree temps day after day week after week. I guess down here we are accustomed to getting a couple of days out of the box and then the weather changes back to the norm. Not anymore , the whole scenario has changed now, we are really becoming more like Adelaide where the heat just hangs around for weeks with no end in sight. Oh well , nothing but sit back and watch it happen. Consistent November temps in August are a huge worry , with bushfire season knocking on the door things couldn't be looking any worse . eek
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/08/2014 17:56

Hi , can any weather gurus tell me what the most consecutive days over 16 degrees in August for Hobart would be ?
Looks like this run of at least 16 plus is going to last at least 13 in a row so far .Surely has to be a record of some type ?

Thanks in advance.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/08/2014 21:26

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Hi , can any weather gurus tell me what the most consecutive days over 16 degrees in August for Hobart would be ?
Looks like this run of at least 16 plus is going to last at least 13 in a row so far .Surely has to be a record of some type ?

Thanks in advance.


I'm not a weather guru but I was bored so I had a look at the Climate data base for Hobart going back to 1980 ( I didn't have the patience to go back further than that ).

I found a couple of 5 or 6 day runs of 16+ but no longer than that.
I didn't take note of the years.

We have had 5 consecutive days above 16C by the way, and if the forecast proves right then the final August tally will be 11. I was thinking the same thing you were thinking about having such an uninterrupted run of mild days in August. My strong hunch says it will be a record of sorts, but there are so many of these types of obscure benchmark records you could pull out of the hat for any month for anything, really.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/08/2014 22:10

I also did a quick look but certainly not all years; seven in a row at the end of August 1965 followed by a 20 on the first day of September was one long spell of over 16. There seem to be plenty of other years with fairly long above-average spells (1940 for example). It will be interesting to see if this pattern holds for the rest of the week.

The average temperature for the month will reflect the cold mornings we've been having; 16 out of 25 below normal so far.

There was a little very light rain on Saturday in the city but obviously not enough to register 0.2.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2014 16:52

A beautiful sunny day again in Hobart but it only got to 15.

There was a thick sea-fog at Kingston that lasted from 8.00 until 12.30 - exceptionally unusual.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/08/2014 21:49

Yes a magnificent day indeed , I did get just touch of sunburn on my bike ride cry
UV is slowing creeping upward , going for 3 moderate tomorrow. It's the first UV warning for a few months , even though it is only for 11:40 to 1:40 pm. There is still a tiny little spot of snow left on the mountain , a nice little reminder of the last fall a few weeks back.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/08/2014 00:29

Not sure why 0.2mm of rain is showing up on today's Hobart observations?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/08/2014 09:34

Not only did the sea fog get Kingston, it crept UP the Derwent over a few hours. I first saw it from Howrah and it was down around Pierces Point and across to Oppossum Bay. By about 10.30 it had made it up past Prossers on the Western shore and was on the water up to Howrah and indeed almost to Bellerive.

I was down there from last Thursday till yesterday, yes it was warm BUT so was Bathurst and many other inland areas (not under that coastal NSW crud). We are also well over average in most of NSW.

Apart from one really big snow event, the Snowies have not had much really. Very FEW top ups.

Hobart is not being singled out, it's widespread and has been all this year.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/08/2014 17:45

Originally Posted By: yep
Not sure why 0.2mm of rain is showing up on today's Hobart observations?


Dew. Dry spell officially ends after 15 days.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/08/2014 18:53

That's interesting given it was measured between 4.30 and 5.00 pm!
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/08/2014 11:48

Originally Posted By: pwa54
That's interesting given it was measured between 4.30 and 5.00 pm!


I don't understand it, but I was told that a film of condensation had built up in the measuring device throughout the night/day and then 'dripped' in as a recording during that half hour period. I don't understand it as the dew point reading and humidity levels weren't really conducive for that to happen, and obviously any moisture building up in the guage must be protected from sunlight so evaporation doesn't occur, as it was a sunny day.

I admit though I am no expert in these things.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/09/2014 09:03

Should be snow in Tassie tonight.

Plenty of precip and thicknesses around 532 at some point too. Quite possibly snow to around 500m in places.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/09/2014 11:10

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Should be snow in Tassie tonight.

Plenty of precip and thicknesses around 532 at some point too. Quite possibly snow to around 500m in places.


I don't know about any where else , but if Mt Wellington was any indication nothing happened .It was going to very hard to snow when the temps took off yesterday 11 degrees overnight and 18 degrees in Hobart in the daytime. Glad to finally get 5mm of rain yesterday though. Last night was cold enough for snow but it dried up really quickly after our midday down poor.The forecast was looking good for this week but as usual is fading back to nothing. Looks like the warming will continue unabated. I doubt if we will get anymore rain of significance for at least another 10 days or so. Most daytime temps in the next 10 trending back to being 2 to 4 degrees over the monthly avg.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/09/2014 12:35

There looks to be a very light and patchy dusting of snow atop Mt Wello this morning, going by the view from the Mt Wello webcam.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/09/2014 15:13

A few snow showers now can be seen passing over Mount Wellington.
Heavier on the southern side , currently -0.1 degrees and 96% humidity up there. Maybe tonights the night ? Getting pretty chilli and wind is picking up here in town.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/09/2014 12:31

The Synoptic chart Monday and Tuesday looking like pushing some very warm air down on Tasmania. Probably haven't seen a set up like this since late Summer / Autumn this year. Wouldn't mind betting the current forecast temps changed to more like the low twenties as this event draws nearer. Hopefully it will only 2 or 3 days and the front following is strong enough to bring things back to normal.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/09/2014 15:27

The longer term charts currently suggest a move back towards the zonal patterns of a typical spring, aka your 'normal' Mh2o. There are many folk across the central/southern farming regions of the north island that are hanging out for just one more decent nw rainband with a southern ocean front to see the crops thru into the silos.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/09/2014 15:45

Great news about the long term "or" , sure would like to see one more blast and wet down here before bushfire season .
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/09/2014 20:01

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
The Synoptic chart Monday and Tuesday looking like pushing some very warm air down on Tasmania. Probably haven't seen a set up like this since late Summer / Autumn this year. Wouldn't mind betting the current forecast temps changed to more like the low twenties as this event draws nearer. Hopefully it will only 2 or 3 days and the front following is strong enough to bring things back to normal.

Seems that the BOM now agree , Monday now 20 degrees was 17 degrees before tonight. If I was a betting man , I'd say more like 24 degrees with that type of setup. Time will tell ?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/09/2014 18:21

20 degree day in Hobart today , shaping again the same or more tomorrow . Average currently running exactly one degree under monthly record. The warming trend continues for at least the next week. Hopefully we will see some rain soon ?
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/09/2014 17:54

Chalk up another 20 plus degree here in Hobart , got none of the promised overnight and morning showers. The warmth just keeps powering on , pretty much tracking the 1972 records.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/09/2014 08:55

Snow to around 600 or 700m today down there.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/09/2014 17:35

A light dusting on the mountain this morning did look to be down to around 600-700 metres early. Surprisingly some is still there this evening after a wintry-type day where the temperature in Hobart fluctuated between 9 and 12.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/09/2014 09:00

Cheers PWA. Always nice to hear interesting news from there. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/09/2014 20:10

Light snow showers seen drifting across Mt Wellington tonight around 6:00 pm. Same could be seen around 7:30 am this morning.
Only 14 degrees today and APP temp tonight out there around 5.3 at the moment . Pretty icy stuff.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/09/2014 09:42

Yes it would have been quite nippy on The Pinnacle smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/09/2014 08:48

Snow forecast to 500m today again. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/09/2014 10:28

Went down to Cradle on Friday and spent Saturday walking around Lemonthyme lodge (stayed there) and went back to the Cradle lodge for dinner on Sat night after looking at the Devil park.

It had snowed a bit on the Wednesday/Thursday, there were still a few small patches of snow on the walk from the ranger station to Ronny Creek. Still a patchy light cover up higher, although we didn't cradle as it was foggy and drizzly. A least being up higher reminded me we weren't in November/December, although once we drove back to the coast on Sunday morning it was very mild and sunny.The road down from Moina through Wilmot is a hairy drive, steep and windy.

North had a reasonable drop of rain yesterday 10-20mm throughout. A few showers about this moring in this colder air mass.

Only had 1/7 the rain in August 14 that we did in August 13 (about 40mm versus 280mm), September has already been wetter than August, but still a lot of nice, mild sunny days. Keep thinking it's much later in the year than it is.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/09/2014 11:14

Below zero on Mt wellington and decent showers going through. Certainly would be snowing up there.

Lemonthyme and Cradle - excellent stuff Dan. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/09/2014 16:49

Certainly a good dusting of snow of the mountain today, best time was around 12:30 pm. Mostly melted away now on the Northern side. With 70% chance of rain tonight and the radar is looking good another top up on the way. Around 14 degrees max today , pretty gusty as well. The warming starts again on Monday back to 21's and 22's .
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/09/2014 08:45

We're feeling your chilly winds today. smile

Damn fresh outside here in that breeze.

Yeah we will hit the 20's as well in a few days.
Posted by: shob

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/09/2014 16:59

If you want to see climate change in action just look at Mt Wellington. Since the start of this century snowfalls & cover has declined dramatically. When I first took observations in the 1970s drifts would form by June and last till late October even early December a few times. Good falls could occur from May to October. This year only early August provided anything of note and the few snow spots have done well to survive this long.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/09/2014 17:59

Originally Posted By: shob
If you want to see climate change in action just look at Mt Wellington. Since the start of this century snowfalls & cover has declined dramatically. When I first took observations in the 1970s drifts would form by June and last till late October even early December a few times. Good falls could occur from May to October. This year only early August provided anything of note and the few snow spots have done well to survive this long.

Have hinted at this myself , around 40 months in a row now of above average monthly max's. However I think there was a -1.9 below somewhere in there. When you look back at the historical photos of the Hobart Winter club and the like , yes things are certainly changed now. Also I've read that the early explorers of the D'Entrecasteaux Channel between 1642 and 1792 reported snow could been seen on the mountain from early April staying there until late December . Wow ! how much fun that would have been smile
Anyways some nice little showers and light dusting of snow are drifting by the top of needle as I type. Next week still looking pretty Summer for at least 4 days . So I'm enjoying the cool and wind blast while I can , lucky to get them this year and this late is a bonus.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 09:20

No doubt things are not what they were, note the presence of the "Ice Houses" below south Wellington. Also the ski clubs in the early 1900's would go up the top to ski and or skate on ice. Major changes seem to have set in from the 30's last century. It's not a change that's just occurred in the last few years.
Posted by: shob

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 12:03

No doubt the climate has been changing probably since Hobart's foundation in the early 1800s. However, the recent years have seen an acceleration in the change. Certainly sources have snow on the ground to sea level from early days but the falls of note seem to have all but ceased since the epic 1986 snow cover. The Illustrated Tasmanian Mail of November 11th 1931 pictures walkers atop Mt Wellington. The snow drifts they have climbed may never been seen again?
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 12:20

A local historian has collated newspaper reports of snow in the Hobart area from 1804 to the present (the Bureau has a copy which I have seen, but he hasn't published the full list as yet - naturally we'll be encouraging him to do so but until he does so it's not really appropriate for us to publish it).

Based on these reports, settled snow at or near sea level in central Hobart occurred, on average, a fairly consistent 3-4 times per decade from the early 19th century until the 1950s, but has only occurred 7 times since 1960, and none since the mid-1990s.

(By the way, my statistical checks for abnormal discontinuities in temperature records - which readers of the Australian and certain blogs have been hearing about ad nauseum for the last month - picked up a jump of about 0.5 degrees in Hobart maximum temperatures relative to other sites in the region in 2007, probably related to development in the area, so the run of above-normal monthly average maximum temperatures isn't quite as impressive as it looks).
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 14:29

Very interesting reading these last few posts.

I've noticed that SSTs surrounding Tassie have been perpetually above average this year, which tends to lock you in to above average surface temperatures unless there are sustained southerly winds. With high pressure systems tracking near or even south of Tassie lately as in the warmer months, you're not getting much cold air. Your loss is our gain though, since those highs pump the southerlies up here. In effect, your weather, just like Boags and Cascade, is being exported to the mainland.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 15:29

This
http://www.tasfieldnats.org.au/TasNatura...s_Snowfalls.pdf
is on-line with some details of Tasmanian snowfalls from 1804-1900.

Having lived in Hobart since the 1950s, it certainly feels as though there are fewer snowfalls to a low-level than there used to be but I think we always remember weather extremes rather than the mundane "normal" day-to-day weather.

Blair's response about the collation of the newspaper reports by a local historian would seem to be strong evidence but I would have thought, though, that there have been at least a couple of quite low-level snow events since the mid-1990s. My memory is likely to be unreliable here! The difficulties of defining what constitutes a "low-level" snow event makes this a bit of an inexact science.
Posted by: Blair Trewin

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 16:39

That piece was written by the historian I was referring to. He's now extended his analysis to the present day. For these purposes, "low-level" means snow on the ground at, or very close to, sea level in the central Hobart area.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/09/2014 17:45


I've got a photocopy of an old BOM booklet 50 Years of Weather; Tasmania 1908-1957 and that has snow on the ground at the Bureau only in 1914, 1919, 1921, "patches in the city" 1946 and 1951 which doesn't match the "3-4 times per decade" quoted. The fall in 1919 was described as one inch deep at the Bureau at 9.00 am and gone by 3.00 pm and was "the heaviest since 1882".

Just having a look at some old clippings I've kept and there does seem to have been snow settled below 100 metres in Hobart in August 2005 and it settled on the beach at Kingston just to the south. There doesn't seem to be any other fall settling in the city since 1994.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/09/2014 13:58

Currently 21.2 in Hobart, blown past the 19c forecast. Going to be a very warm week ahead based on today.
Posted by: Knot

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/09/2014 14:58

Be growin pineapples down that way at this rate he he he.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/09/2014 20:48

Interesting comment Blair about the Hobart Max temps jumping in 2007. Be interesting to go up and have a look at the site and see what is newish.

Going to be a very warm September week for Hobart, well into the 20's until at least Wednesday.

Snowfall frequency, depth and the altitude to which they descend are all heading the wrong way. Skiing moved away from Mount Wellington to Mount Field in the 40's/50's when snow declined on Mount Wellington, now Mount Field is virtually unskiable. That article linked above contains stories that will simply not be repeated, snow heavy enough and prolonged enough to freeze a body in the bagdad tiers... be lucky if snow settled on the those tiers these days. Oatlands with 18 inches of snow... might be and inch or two in the coldest blast each winter these days.
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/09/2014 22:32

It does seem as though there is much less snow now than during the period up to 1950 but there are a few pieces of evidence which do suggest that maybe the amount of decline is exaggerated.

During the period 1908-1957 snowfalls of 2" or more occurred at The Springs an average of 6 days per year.

Snow settled at the Bureau or in the centre of the city (town) in

30/6/1814 "snow ankle-deep" and "we never see so much before" according to Robert Knopwood.

14th July 1830 "more snow than for many years" - Knopwood, "the whole of Hobart Town streets covered with several inches of snow or hail a sight which the oldest inhabitant scarcely remembered" (Launceston Advertiser)"unprecedented since the establishment of the colony" (Colonial Times) which mentioned "two and three feet deep between Jericho and Lovely Banks".

9/6/1836 "the streets of Hobart town presented the unusual phenomenon of 3 to 4 inches depth of snow" (Hobart Town Courier)

27/6/1862 "Yesterday morning the citizens of Hobart were treated to a sight somewhat novel of late years. Mt Wellington was covered with snow .... the fields in the suburbs of the city were literally "as white as snow" as were the gardens and the paddocks in and near the town .... the sun rose bright and clear and a rapid thaw took place"

17/7/1868 "a heavy fall of snow having taken place last night to the delight of the young natives, many of whom had never seen such a sight before. I think the last snowfall here was about 15 years ago and 10 years before that, we are told, there was a heavy fall" (Hobart correspondent of the Launceston Examiner)
"A fall of snow greater than has taken place for many years, if indeed ever before.... 6 o'clock [pm] it covered the roofs of houses to a depth of some inches .... in the leading thoroughfares of the city the snow melted as it fell"

16/6/1882 "the streets covered with snow to the depth of 2 or 3", the landscape graced with a delicate beauty seen here seldom more than once in a score of years....by 10 o'clock [am] the sun had broken through and within an hour ... had given the thin covering of snow about the city a happy dispatch" (Mercury)

25/9/1914 Snow lying on ground at the Bureau before 9 a.m. according to 50 Years of Weather 1908-1957. The Mercury said "the snow stretching to the lower levels near town"

30/6/1919 "At 9 a.m. snow 1" deep at the Bureau ... by 3 p.m. snow in the city had disappeared. It was the heaviest fall since 1882 in the city" (50 Years of Weather ...)

31/7/1921 "3" of snow on the ground at the Weather Bureau at 9 a.m., and 4 to 5" at 3 p.m." (50 Years of Weather)

15-16/8/1946 May have settled for a short time

9/8/1951 "At 9 a.m. snow 2.5" deep at the Weather Bureau... Snow lay on the ground all day at sea level" (50 Years of Weather)

There might be a few missed but those are the snow events up to 1951 where snow settled at the Bureau or in the centre of the city.

There doesn't appear to be a significantly greater amount of snow in the city in the 19th century. C. Pierrehumbert's paper on "The Frequency and Duration of Cold Spells in Southern Tasmania" uses the statistics of snow at The Springs and on the summit of Mt Wellington to show that, for example, in 1942 no snow settled below 500 metres (1500'). He contrasts 1960, a "relatively snow-free year" with 1961 when a 20' drift closed the road for 8 weeks.

The 50 Years of Weather booklet had the Least Snowfall Years as (in order of least falls at The Springs) 1922, 1923, 1924, 1926, 1957 and 1925. There was no explanation for the paucity of snow in the mid-1920s but this is when Mt Wellington was supposedly a mecca for skiing.

Observationally there has been a decline in snow cover but maybe it has not been as dramatic as claimed.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/09/2014 23:21

Certainly no snow at Nubeena 5 km South of Port Arthur around 5:30 pm this afternoon. Just a seal rolling around in the bay, he can be seen as just a dot in the picture around 100 meters of the bow of the boat.

https://imageshack.com/i/f0QnsZQEj

This September will go very close to nudging off the average monthly max of 17.4 degrees back in 1972. The warming of the Southern Ocean is upon us as the Antarctic sea ice continues it's record growth.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/09/2014 07:11

Originally Posted By: pwa54

I've got a photocopy of an old BOM booklet 50 Years of Weather; Tasmania 1908-1957 and that has snow on the ground at the Bureau only in 1914, 1919, 1921, "patches in the city" 1946 and 1951 which doesn't match the "3-4 times per decade" quoted. The fall in 1919 was described as one inch deep at the Bureau at 9.00 am and gone by 3.00 pm and was "the heaviest since 1882".

Just having a look at some old clippings I've kept and there does seem to have been snow settled below 150 metres in Hobart in August 2005 and it settled on the beach at Kingston just to the south. There doesn't seem to be any other fall settling in the city since 1994.


I don't think that's right, the 1994 incident was on September 6th, I was living at Sandy Bay at the time and was at the uni that day, there was no settled snow at sealevel as campus is about 50m asl and close to the cbd - although I confirm it did snow. There was quite a decent covering to about the 100m level, with about 6cm at the Mt.Nelson signal station (330m level) in the morning. Maybe snow settled very, very briefly on some lawns or garden beds in some sealevel suburbs, but thats it.

Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/09/2014 08:26

Yep, you're right that "settling in the city' for the 1994 fall overstates the extent of the snow. I was relying partly on memory and partly on the following from Laurier Williams' Australian Weather News in August 2005

From about 4am Thursday, the weather deepened in SE TAS, with snow beginning to accumulate to sea level. Snow fell in central Hobart for the first time since 7 August 1994 but did not settle. The snow settled down to the 100m level in Hobart, but settled to sea level 10km to the south, with snow reported on Kingston Beach and the beach at Blackmans Bay.

It was September in 1994, snow was on the ground at Elizabeth College in North Hobart for a short time and the city starts across the road from the College!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/09/2014 17:37

Blew away another 24.4 degree day here in Hobart. The coolest day ahead looks like a 17c then back up to 27 c on Sunday.
Early October looking like a stinker as well.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/09/2014 09:00

Originally Posted By: Blair Trewin

(By the way, my statistical checks for abnormal discontinuities in temperature records - which readers of the Australian and certain blogs have been hearing about ad nauseum for the last month - picked up a jump of about 0.5 degrees in Hobart maximum temperatures relative to other sites in the region in 2007, probably related to development in the area, so the run of above-normal monthly average maximum temperatures isn't quite as impressive as it looks).


That's an enormous leap, what stations in the region did you use to determine Hobart's data discrepancy? I would think Hobart AP and Cape Bruny were the closest to look at.. but they are quite some distance away with completley different climate influences.

I don't live far away from Ellerslie road myself, I am very familiar with the area, and I say with certainty that no new buildings of any note went up anywhere near the aws site. When I say nowhere near, I am talking about a circumfrence area of close to 1km. The only proviso to my comment here is that the adjacent old concrete clad BOM building was pulled down in 2011, and a smaller residential complex was built in it's place. Much less brick and cladding so much less of a heat store I would suggest. But you mentioned the anomaly began in 2007, which is quite complexing.

Wouldn't it be the case that if you picked another period in history rather than the recent past, and did the same analysis of the sites you looked at, you'd find another discrepency ( a site which doesn't follow the trend of the others ? ).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/09/2014 09:07

When Tassie gets in that set up of regular NW winds, the temp can be quite high, as you've noticed!!

Those winds not pushing this far east as yet, the highs seem to be settling in a position to give Tassie NW winds dragging warmth down from the continent whilst being settled over us or with SE breezes.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/09/2014 20:37

I would also say the Hobart Botanical Gardens site would have pretty much the same conditions since it's inception in 1841.
The Botanical Gardens site is at 27 m ASL , and actually I personally think it's conditions would more accurately reflect a typical Hobart day. A few small vegetation fires around today but nothing major. All have been controlled , a little rain tomorrow will be a bonus.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/09/2014 08:06

Well and truly on track to break the 132 record for September in Hobart. Sunday is going to be very dangerous for fires , 25 plus degrees and 50kmr wind . Very little Winter rain this year and we now have a recipe for disaster.

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/hot-in-hobart/147834
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/09/2014 08:47

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Well and truly on track to break the 132 record for September in Hobart. Sunday is going to be very dangerous for fires , 25 plus degrees and 50kmr wind . Very little Winter rain this year and we now have a recipe for disaster.

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/hot-in-hobart/147834



Sorry, but that's wrong.
Hobart Winter rainfall 2014: 163mm
Long term average: 160mm
Rainfall 2014 anomaly ( Jan-Aug ): -21%

High winter and early spring rain promotes a lot of growth and warm and dry conditions which may follow in mid-late spring and summer dries it all out. We didn't meet the first criteria for a dangerous summer fire season. The fire index rating and seasonal outlook which can be found somewhere on the BOM website also shows no cause for alarm in southern Tasmania. This of course doesn't mean we won't have severe or extreme fire danger days.

I think you are also jumping ahead of yourself by declaring that Sunday will be a fire danger threat. Please remember what time of the year we are in!
It's only late September. 25 degrees in September also falls far short of top 10% of historic high September readings.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/09/2014 08:56

If it was Feb and 35 degrees with that wind, I'd be more concerned. Of course it's possible it could occur now but not very likely. The vegetation is not parched and dessicated either. There is dampness after winter in the soils and vegetation.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/09/2014 13:46

Yes- Hobart isn't a dry winter climate like Sydney or Brisbane, where major fires in early spring often occur. Rain totals don't tell the full story either, Tassie (like western Europe) gets frequent rain but in much smaller amounts than a subtropical place like Sydney or Brisbane. Evaporation rates aren't nearly as high either, particularly in the low sun months.

Tassie definitely getting its fair share of warmth, but you still live in a very agreeable climate. Just move a little up the mountain and you'll get your "old" Hobart averages back wink.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/09/2014 16:41

28 forecast for Sunday now...now that's quite startling !
28 in September has only been passed twice before:
28.2C ( 1973 ) and 31.0 ( 1987 ).

I remember that 31 degree day, it was a very windy day, stayed warm thru the evening too. It was in the mid 20s after sunset. Played backyard cricket with my brothers until we couldn't see the ball anymore.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/09/2014 09:14

Higher areas of tas in for a cool few days. tuesday will be cool enough for snow to around 600 or so metres in southern areas. Warm ahead of changes but a cool few days after that.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/09/2014 16:25

Total fire ban tomorrow, earliest I've ever known it.
May need to eat my earlier words.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/09/2014 17:24

Seems now the BOM and Fire Tas are taking no chances. Maybe I'm just psychic not psycho ?
Others may disagree smile

www.abc.net.au/news/2014-09-27/total-fir...c=statenews_tas
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/09/2014 17:54

And some said it was unlikely.

" More than a Dozen fires Burning in Southern Tasmania"

www.abc.net.au/news/2014-09-28/tassal-fish-farm-under-threat-from-dover-fire/5774568
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/09/2014 18:00

28.2C in Hobart today - September's equal second highest temperature, and the highest since 1987.

We'll probably finish the month with an average daily maximum temperature of about 18C, smashing the 1972 record by 0.6C..huge margin in anyone's language.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/09/2014 21:43

Wow, I'm eating my words now, well done Mountain H2O for calling it. Just shocking that Tassie is copping a fairly substantial fire outbreak in September. It may well be our turn on Tuesday with westerlies and temps pushing the mid 30s, though winds won't be as severe as down there...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/09/2014 09:02

There are approximately 30 fires burning in NSW as well. Fires can and will occur at any time really, even in mid winter, however it is not an apocalypse.

I notice that you don't say that it's cooled down today, it's only ever about armageddon.

How about a bit of all round reporting instead of just one thing only. I've spent years trying to keep this little topic running along and trying to generate interest. If someone only has one opinion etc it chases people away. Including me.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 10:13

Thin dusting atop MtWello according to this morning's cam.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 10:29

Not surprised OR, should be snow in places to about 600 or 700m if enough precip falls.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 13:12

15-20mm in the North West til 9am this morning. Hobart 5mm, there was a faint dusting on the Mountain, however much better cover over what I could see of the central highlands on the way back up.

Had about 80mm for the month. Better part of 300mm behind last year, if not more (have to add it up), but well on track for a close to average year. Looks a lot drier south of Kempton.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 13:24

That SE corner always drier and warmer really. You though are in one of the prime wet and windy regions.

Gee last year must have been wet up your way!!

We are dry up here too, getting a bit dry, a good 80mm down on annual average (should be say 450mm to end Sept but only had about 380) That's about 18% down and no sign of rain any time soon!!

I reckon the Overland Track regions would have had some good snow. smile

Time of the year now of see sawing temps and for you guys - heavy winds. Glad we don't get them much up here. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 16:05

Very wet this time last year.

I think we are pretty close to 700mm year to date. Driest year out of the last 3 years was 2012 which reached 995mm.

Reckon Hobart would be in the same boat as Bathurst rain wise.

Definately some good snow for the overland track.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/10/2014 16:24

Thanks for the info Dan. Always good to get your little tidbits of info. smile

The speckled cloud that ran over you yesterday was pretty nice looking on the sat pic. smile

Mt Rufus etc should look good on the shady side today. Cradle would look alright too.

Cheers.

Hey, I ran into Daryl when I was down for a couple of days in August - he's still alive and hasn't grown any. smile

Be nice if we could get some of the old school fellas talking a bit in here again. Planet seems to be pretty flat.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2014 06:02

Easy there DaveM, it's not right for you dictate how this thread should be run, especially in such personal terms!

From my own perspective I have no problem with anyone's contributions on here, we all have our own styles, interests and perceptions on what we are observing.

Again, from my own perspective and because you have raised the subject, my interest in reading a paragraph about typical cool changes with light highland snow comes in quite low on the interest scale.

On the other hand, the warmest September on record, the earliest total fire ban on record, the second highest September temperature on record and unprecedented September fire activity ( at least in my 30 odd years of weather watching ) is certainly worth talking about, and even getting shocked and excited about.

The facts speak for themselves, the story of the last 3 years is about endless anomalous heat, there is no getting away from it. That is being reflected in heat related weather events which are historically significant, and interesting heat related records. This place should also serve as an archive of those events, expressed thru members contributions. Normal cool weather discussion doesn't deserve to be given the same space and it seems to me to be silly to intentionally ramp them up or get excited about them, especially if its done with the intention of balancing out the other side of the story which is far more worthy of mention/discussion.

Cheers.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/10/2014 09:31

Not trying to dictate, just like to know more of everything going on. I know it's been very warm down there, it's been much the same for much of SE Australia. But the weather does get hot and it does get cool as well as dry and wet.

It would be nice to hear more like it is in other threads where it's a pleasant day to day reporting of what is going on. sometimes the weather is dead boring and sometimes it's not. But many people in these forums just like to hear what is happening on a regular basis because they are genuinely interested.

We know it's been a crazy period in recent times with ridiculous above average temps but it's not the only thing happening. I know hobart set a new all time heat record earlier this year, but so too did other places.

Many people in here like to know for instance that if it's hot in NSW or Qld etc that somewhere might actually be pleasantly cool, that often gets (or used to) a reaction from others.

I actually do really appreciate Snowies info because he gives a variety of observations and he tends to come up with stuff that would otherwise be unknown. He's very good on records etc. Also having grown up in the south and now living in the NW he has good broad experiences and memories that allow him to provide good comparisons around the State.

People used to contribute from various places around the state, the last few years this forum has dropped away. I've been trying to generate interest in it again.

When MH20 started I gave regular and strong reinforcement and encouragement, it was good to hear stuff from there.

If you re-read my last post with the thought that I would like to have input from more of the old timers it may give you a different message. I genuinely wish the people who no longer bothered would post, they were a good bunch and formed a pleasant weather communicating community.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/10/2014 10:10

After all the crazy warmth in Tas, a solid cool down with snow to around 600m. Hobart struggling to get past 15 this work week except for Wednesday. Might help to get the average temp back closer to normal. currently running a bit high.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/10/2014 15:10

Dry as a dead dingo's donga, maybe some light falls over the western half of the plateau. Coolish, but no much more so than the weekend up this way.

Hopefully no frost as I planted the tomatoes the other week.

You lot learnt to lay some asphalt yet? I won't send up any locals because they certainly can't lay it properly. Looked a bit dry up that way on the tele (not as bad as years past mind you).
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/10/2014 21:08

A strange October, no Roaring 40s, usually well established by now. Maybe a windy and cool entry into summer is on the cards?

Nice and cool today, 12.2C maximum...not unusual for October but really nice.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 07:11

Coldest October morning for Tasmania extreme lows since 2011 with a couple of -5C readings ( Tunnack in the Midlands and Butlers Gorge in the Central Highlands ). Liawenee impresses with a -5.8C.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 08:53

Ah Snowies - trust you to come up with the tar joke. smile Mind you it seems the tar was the joke.

Yes it is greenish around here BUT it's very much just the surface, soil was very dusty and the grass was browning off in heaps of places. These storms we had yesterday (& supposedly today) will help though.

We are forecast for frost again a few mornings this week. As Yep mentions, a tad chilly in a few spots down there. I spotted the frost warning yesterday arvo. That -5.8 is indeed pretty damned impressive.

I always believed October down there to be the crazy month, living up to it this year for sure.

SE Tas obviously needs a good drink (as usual) shall I push our coming ECL southward for you guys?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 09:03

If I thought you had any ability to push weather our way i'd have requested it years ago.

Having asked for no frost, we got a light frost, dropped to 2.2 just before 7 this morning. Don't think it did any damage, was still above 7 when I went to bed after 10pm. The dew point was low for most of the night and with no wind, clear skies...

Was there much precip in those storms or did they wip through too fast?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 13:29

They whipped through quickly but if you were under the correct bit of cloud you could get a quick fire 20mm or so. East parts of town had about 5mm, other parts about 21mm.

You always believed that I was the cause of snow minimising when I lived down there, hence I though I could control weather. smile
Posted by: Farm Weather

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 14:29

are the usual spots in the midlands east coast dry or quite well below this year?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 15:12

Farm Weather - quite a bit below this year, but recent years have been ok - last year was above average.

DM - I reckon you only have powers for evil, not good.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/10/2014 16:07

crazy smile
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/10/2014 19:10

20th_ 21st OCT 2014
High pressure forecast at 1035 hpa over Tasmania on Monday/Tuesday
seems quite high for mid spring?
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/10/2014 00:07

Bad bushfire near the coastal town of St Helens tonight.

http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stori...bushfire_191014
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/10/2014 08:02

Surprise to see that this morning. I just had a look at their rainfall totals, 266mm for the entire year. Dry.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/10/2014 10:52

Latest on St Helens fire here,
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-20/st...c=statenews_tas
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/10/2014 11:07

That east coast can be very dry some years and with the rain Yep mentioned, no wonder it's burning.

It's a shame the ECL we had off NSW last week didn't wander southwards for you guys in the East and SE.

At least this week you guys seem to be (surprisingly) sheltered from the hot NW winds that would normally make it hot down Hobart way. Going to be quite hot up here. Maybe mother nature thinks you've had enough heat for a while (you could do with a change in that hot trend).

No reale precip in the forecast though sadly.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/10/2014 09:29

Tassie quite cold yesterday, especially higher ground. Mt Wellington for example struggled to get to just over 3 degrees yesterday after a night of below -4. That's pretty damn chilly for this time of year.

A frost warning went out yesterday arvo and Ouse for example had nearly -2 this morning. I know that Snowies in the NW of the state had a light frost this morning too.

Hope you guys escape the heat moving across SA atm.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 21/10/2014 23:02

Temps around my place about 5 degrees this morning , magnificent day around 22 degrees. UV was pretty nasty though around 6 , first day of the Hobart Royal Show tomorrow. Clear and 27 forecast , plenty of liquids and sunscreen required. Everyone at work was commenting that it nearly always pours for the show. Maybe a few spots in the afternoon ? but they will get good crowd numbers with the forecast for sure. Escaping the heat so far , and the nights are pretty chilly wink
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/10/2014 08:29

It apparently snowed on Show day in 1958 ( Thursday, October 23 ). There is a great photo in The Mercury a day after that, showing people on the showground chairlift with the Glenorchy hills in the background covered in white - a real European scene.
6.0C maximum in Hobart on that day.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/10/2014 09:04

Enjoy Show Day you lot. smile Public holiday for you.

You've got a pretty warm one for today but hopefully the sea breeze kicks in later. tomorrow looks a lot cooler.

Models for next Monday-Wednesday quite a mixed bag. You should see much cooler weather with likely snow on the peaks and maybe lower say 600 or 700 if Access has it's way. The others not as bullish but all show good cold air for a day or two.

Regarding rain, GFS the only one showing potential for decent falls for the SE and East. EC and Access have the main precip in the west and south as it normally occurs.

I hope GFS is right for you guys, if so the east coast could see 30mm or so. Probably not likely but fingers crossed for you.

At least you look to mainly miss out on the bigger heat going on with the north island. Hope it stays that way for you for a while. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/10/2014 09:29

Access has pulled that big cold change back a bit. I notice that overnight/this morning, Mt wellington has been cool enough and with light precip, likely to be some flakeage on top.

Coolish day down there today.

Sadly GFS has completely lost that idea of decent rain in the east. Now showing the usual for down there. frown
Posted by: _Johnno_

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/10/2014 00:32

Yes and ACCESS continues to keep the high west and Tasmania in cood/cold south west winds next week all week, GFS is similar. EC wants to push a high in by Thursday warming things up again ahead of a stronger front on Friday.

Interesting times ahead.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 24/10/2014 09:08

Yes at least in the main, Tassie should miss the majority of the heat for a change. Be a welcome change I suspect.
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/10/2014 20:17

Decent wind gusts look possible for the state early to mid week courtesy of the strong westerly flow and embedded fronts if everything lines up.

The more extreme model scenarios range up to 160km/hr in the most exposed places although might be hard to verify if they occur in remote areas without AWS's. Here's the current offering from GFS. No doubt it'll chop and change between now and then:

https://farm6.staticflickr.com/5602/15434813579_de26f28012_o.png

Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/10/2014 07:48

Great weekend up north other than a spot of drizzle yesterday morning. Sunny, warm, high teens and low 20's.

Down south Hobart had showers overnight on Saturday night and yesterday was overcast with drizzle. A much needed 10mm of rain though.

Woken this morning by an enormous clap of thunder at 4:30, bought some rain with it, currently 19.2mm in the gauge. Further claps of thunder since 430, but much further away. Really only two decent rainy days this month (39mm and 19mm). Should be enough to keep it green for another couple of weeks.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/10/2014 11:02

Sounds like a bit of a dry spell for you up there of late (compared to averages).

A few more storms occur in the north though compared to the southern areas. A bit more exciting from time to time. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 10:24

Snow to 600m, wild winds - nasty day in Tassie.

Hopefully at least some showers push off the Mountains into Hobart and Suburbs.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 10:45

15mm to 9am for Hobart, so a decent drop. Now had 44mm for the month which is not too bad all things considered. Drier up this way this morning, just the 4mm. Squally winds through the night, but nothing too bad.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 11:31

Thanks snowies, nice info.

The SE needs those showers for sure.

Having trouble keeping the hair tidy today?
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 11:45

It's short and grey, no need to worry.

Looks like further fronts to follow in the next few days, brief respite from the encroaching summer. Spent an hour on the deck, in a reclined deck chair getting some sun on sunday afternoon.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 12:27

GREY!!! already!!!

Well after the last couple of years of continual above average temps down there, you need a lot of cooler days to make up for it.

You will likely have snow in the state again this weekend - seem to be in a persistent westerly flow.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 14:28

Very grey. More grey than the old man.

Worst of the current weather has blown through.

Mount Wellington didn't record any rain last night, so it all fell as snow (15-20cm's worth).
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 16:05

Well the Mt wellington Snow will assist all the streams on the Mt and of course that will help to city water storages along nicely.

Mt Field would have done ok too, that helps with Lake Fenton which is also a water supply dam.

would have been nice snow around Lake Dobson Dan. smile

Don't tell anyone but my son (33) has thinner hair on top than me by quite a bit, I am however much much more grey than he is. smile
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 16:07

Not surprisingly, some decent gusts around... 148 km/hr at Maatsuyker Island and Mt Read so far.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 16:16

Hadley Hotel roof peeled off in Hobart wind squall
http://www.themercury.com.au/news/tasman...1-1227104947517
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 16:50

Just saw that story!! Used to love a nice lunch at Hadleys.:)

148k is seriously big. I've experienced something like that on top of Mt Wellington once and it scared me. I was parked on snow and my car started shifting/sliding sideways just as I was getting out of it.!!

It was a bugger of a job getting the car door open in the first place, needed to be a weightlifter. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/10/2014 21:29

Certainly a day to remember for sure smile Some great sights with the Mountain covered in snow , snow showers high winds and small hail blasting Lenah Valley all day. Wow! we needed that moisture , took a drive up to Launnie on Sunday . Most of the Midlands is looking quite lush this year. Plenty of rain around on Sunday as well , cut off point was about Perth. Good showers any where South of Perth itself. Both Launnie and Hobart have had some very black looking skies in the last 2 days , with some great storms brewing around the high ranges in the distance. Drove back via Lake Leake and the East Coast and met up with a huge storm and down poor right around the lakes area itself. Dave was right , sometimes the best snow is in Spring wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/10/2014 09:18

Well you had a nice drive. smile

Midlands green, nice, sadly as almost always it will brown off in a month or two. The place always looks stunning when it's green.

I always believed the best winter weather(best snow)was in spring (as mentioned before) smile

Looks like another blast of wind and snow this Saturday for you. At least the Tassie heater has been turned off for a while.

You still need more rain in the SE for sure. Hopefully some continuation of fronts might help a bit.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/10/2014 09:43

Originally Posted By: Snowies
Very grey. More grey than the old man.

Worst of the current weather has blown through.

Mount Wellington didn't record any rain last night, so it all fell as snow (15-20cm's worth).


Yep, decent accumulation is showing on the webcams this morning. Might hang around long enough to be topped up by the next fall!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/10/2014 08:54

GFS and Access going for areas of 524 thickness down there Saturday arvo/evening.

Areas in decent precip (in the south) may see snow to below 500m.

You guys are above avge max so far for October but at least not by much for a change.
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/10/2014 17:14

Below is the GFS yes/no snowfall output for Sat/Sun. EC isn't quite as keen on the eastern parts but still suggests a decent extent of snowfall over western/southern/central parts with possible depths up to 15cm in higher places. Wind gust speeds look decent as well:

https://farm4.staticflickr.com/3941/15486024678_b10e9f60f9_o.png

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/11/2014 09:41

SW corner will do best as usual. The Arthurs will look spectacular.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/11/2014 10:30

Snow warnings out, down to 400m
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/11/2014 18:56

Mount wellingtom minus -2.5 deg c at 6.30pm ( alt 1200m)
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDT60801/IDT60801.95979.shtml

100km wind gust at 5pm
Hobart currently 8.9 deg c

That's a nice cold pool
extends toBaw baw at minus 1.6deg c 6.30pmpm under zero for the VIC alps as well
Ballarat same temp as Hobart currently

(direct linked)
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/11/2014 08:59

Cold change, a lot of wind yesterday, some hail, had 4mm to this morning, overnight low of 3.5 which is getting down there for November. Mount Wellington dropped to -4.4, despite the sat pic the showers haven't been prolonged or had a lot of juice in them once they cleared the west and south west coast. The Tasman Peninsula might report some reasonable totals as well.

Tas Police alerts:

Snow on Cradle Development Road, link 56 & 94 open to 4 x4 only at the moment snow clearing to commence snow depth 50 mm.

Murchison Waratah & Ridgley open.

Pinnacle Road closed to the springs, snow to the gate.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/11/2014 08:51

Thanks for the info Snowies. Obviously pretty fresh on any exposed and higher areas.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/11/2014 16:42

Trough over the eastern half of tas producing heavy showers and storms, been very active over the freycinet peninsula. Friendly Beaches not so friendly with 40mm since 9am, 21 on Tasman Island, 15 at Dunalley and 6mm in Hobart. Some storm activity near Launceston has produced a few mm as well.

Been a nice sunny day up this way, after the weekend we just had its been a welcome change.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/11/2014 08:54

Enjoy that, shame not a bit more around Hobart area and general SE.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/11/2014 20:28

7th Nov
Just noticing the sub polar jets stream at 200 hpa are very wavy ( meridonal)currently with high amplitude
Also the sub polar jet has some strong northward anomalies this week. Intruding/meeting into the sub tropical jet position Seems to be keeping the sub tropical jet northward as well. Generally Great for severe weather events

Noticing the strong amplitude sub polar jet brings some sub Antarctic air over Tasmania Thursday 13th Nov with thickness at 532
and gee!s that a 1038 high pressure in the Bight in November!
source

Hot linked and will update

Here is the 200 hpa jet stream

source
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View



Posted by: Petros

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/11/2014 21:41

Great post Crikey. I'm certainly watching smile
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/11/2014 15:36

ACCESS has downgraded the event for Tassie Petros and has the cold pool peaking in the Bight before it takes a south east dive
What a shame..
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/11/2014 23:23

Makes a change - a lot of cold pools this year been peaking west of us sliding south-east into the bight then peaking again over there...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/11/2014 15:03

Looks like some showers around the north of the state today. Be nice if some went a bit further south.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/11/2014 11:58

Another lovely 15 ish degree day today in Hobart. Plenty of cloud cover as well. We really have been dodging the heat bullets so far this year. The outlook latest from the BOM suggesting average or just above rainfall for Southern Tasmania was welcome news.
Spent last weekend in Launceston , rained really nicely on Saturday and a good storm hit the city around 3:00 am Sunday morning.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/12/2014 09:49

Yes I've been watching the temps down there and pleased that it's been a little more normal for a change. smile You had a ridiculous run of above average temps.

One model even has the 540 thickness close to you in about a week. Hope you get rain but Hobart is in a funny spot for rain compared to some parts of Tassie.

Like us you're well behind on annual rainfall. It's a bit stormy down there this morning but not much has hit Hobart, Radar LOOKS great but nothing much in the official gauge.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/12/2014 16:26

Hobart about 7mm to about 4pm, not spectacular but at least it's something for a change. smile
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/12/2014 16:46

Warmest spring on record for Hobart. November's temperature anomaly was +0.5C, October +0.5 and September +1.7 ( 1981-2010 comparisons ). So far we have a run of 12 months in a row above average, with November 2013 being the only cooler than average month since spring 2011.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/12/2014 09:00

Yes it's been a long run of that. I think it was the warmest spring for Australia let alone Tassie. Our November was 6 above average and that hurt. smile

you had a bit over 7mm in Hobart, hopefully places over the range like New Norfolk etc got a bit more.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/12/2014 17:33

Another cloudy day with drizzle here in Hobart . A few more on the way say the BOM. Happy as pig in poo poke
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2014 10:18

smile I would be too!! smile
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2014 16:55

The cold is being trapped down there I guess due to the stationary troughs on the mainland. It's like someone hit the pause button on the DVD player around the nation. You deserve it though as Tassie has been getting unabated warmth month after month, as has been well documented.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2014 17:56

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Another cloudy day with drizzle here in Hobart . A few more on the way say the BOM. Happy as pig in poo poke


Noticed that, when viewing the Aurora Australis (at dock) webcams today. Big contrast to the weather here on the north island. (Have a nephew on the forthcoming Davis resupply trip, so been keeping tabs on it of late.)
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/12/2014 20:45

So humid and muggy for Hobart , it's really weird . It feels like Cairns wet ( lived there for 20 + years ) , BUT it's only 15 degrees. What a muddy drizzly day at work today. Can't get the washing to dry for 3 days !! But who's complaining , I'm just loving every second of it !!! laugh
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/12/2014 09:24

Enjoy Enjoy Enjoy!! smile

Been a long time between drinks down there.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/12/2014 15:07

Currently just less than 13 degrees in Hobart at the moment. SE breeze means most likely fairly cloudy and maybe a bit of drizzle too. Although it could also be a strong sea Breeze.
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/12/2014 15:30

That's cooler than Coos Bay Oregon at 43N. I think they maxed at around 18C there today smile. The climate of the southern Oregon coast is similar to southern Tas in both summer and winter, they usually see at least one sea level snowfall each year too.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/12/2014 09:10

Around Tuesday next week, EC and Access have the 540 line over half of Tas. IF this eventuates, higher peaks (say above 1000) in the south and west should see some flakeage in precip.

I always worked on a theory that most years will see a light snow fall in December down there. Of course I always hoped it would be Chrissy time. smile Often though it was around the middle of the month.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/12/2014 12:31

Happens often enough in December not to be a notable event really, but snow on Mt.Wellington on Christmas morning is very special - 2006 was a memorable year, it didn't melt away until around lunchtime, there was a couple of occasions either side of that year with less significant snow around the Christmas period.

I wasn't around in 1972 but The Mercury reported there was "a heavy mantle of snow" to 1500ft on Christmas morning, now that works out to 457m which is pretty crazy. BOM rainfall/temperature records confirms that cold event. Similar thing happened in 1962.

I see Hobart's coldest Christmas day on record was in 1984 with 12.6C, I think that was in an easterly setup which ran for a few days,like the one now coming to an end, perhaps no snow.

I've heard folklore a couple of times saying it snowed in Hobart "sometime in the 19th century" at Christmas, probably an urban legend - but considering the frequency and intensity of cold outbreaks back then that happened right throughout the year, who knows..?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/12/2014 12:49

That 2006 fall was a ripper, we took ourselves up there and grabbed a heap of photos in our Chrissy hats etc. Used them for the following year Christmas cards. smile

in the 10 years there, i'm thinking we had snow on 3 occasions either Chrissy Day or Evening (24th).

Also one year it missed by a day or two.

The biggest one was the year the bushwalker went missing around The Acropolis in Christmas/New Year, up to 1 metre of snow fell in places in that time. Was that 2003?
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/12/2014 13:29

On Christmas Day 1972, I was at Mountain River in the Huon, underneath Sleeping Beauty but only a couple of hundred meters above sea-level, and eating Xmas dinner in front of a roaring fire with at least one interruption to look at the sleet out the window. From memory of many years in the 60s and early 70s being there at Christmas, it's the only time I remember a fire being lit.
I was in Hobart on Christmas Day 1984 but can't remember that as especially cold one way or the other.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/12/2014 06:46

Originally Posted By: DaveM

The biggest one was the year the bushwalker went missing around The Acropolis in Christmas/New Year, up to 1 metre of snow fell in places in that time. Was that 2003?


Not sure really, I was living in the UK around this time, but i remember the story because when I got back I went to the library and checked out The Mercury archives for Tasmania weather stories I may have missed hearing about when I was away. Politics too. Sometimes I can't get enough. I remember reading about that 1m reference.. wondering whether the report was supposed to say 1ft.

Terrific story pwa54.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/12/2014 11:40

Some nasty little thunderstorms through the South east, midland and central north yesterday, Launceston picked up 20mm in a couple of hours, the air port 29mm, Hobart had 13mm.

By and large missing all the rain up this way for once. Very little since October ended (~15mm in Nov and 25mm so far in Dec).

As for snow, have pics to confirm the following;

Snowed early on Dec 27th, 2004 - lighly settled in places
Heavy snow showers last in the afternoon on Dec 24th, 2005(settled)
Heavy snow showers and settled snow late evening Dec 24th, 2006
Few light snow showers early in the morning on Dec 24th, 2007

In 2004 I have recorded snow showers as early as Jan 8th and as late as 27th of Dec.

I think the 2003 fall was actually further back, 2000 rings a bell. Will have to look through temps for Mount Wellington.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/12/2014 11:52

EDIT: From Christmas to New Year 2000, 3 hrly temps from Mount Wellington confirm that event as being very cold.Was also at or below 0 around christmas time in both 2001 and 2002, 2003 was probably the mildest between 1999 and 2008, or at least no obvious cold change.
25 0 -0.5
25 3 -1.5
25 6 -0.5
25 9 -0.3
25 12 0.1
25 15 0.4 2.1
25 18 0.4 0.7
25 21 0.4 0.1
26 0 0.2 0.1
26 3 0.6
26 6 -0.3
26 9 1.4
26 12 4.3
26 15 4.3
26 18 3 1
26 21 -0.6
27 0 -1.5
27 3 -2.1
27 6 -2.4
27 9 0.2 -1.5
27 12 0.2 0.7
27 15 0.4 3
27 18 0.2 0.6
27 21 0.2 -1.1
28 0 -1.6
28 3 -2
28 6 -2.4
28 9 -1.6
28 12 0.6 -0.4
28 15 0.2 2.1
28 18 0.2 0.8
28 21 0.4
29 0 2 1.8
29 3 2 -2.3
29 6 -2.7
29 9 0.2 -1.2
29 12 1 0.1
29 15 1 0.1
29 18 4 0
29 21 0.4 -0.9
30 0 -1
30 3 -1.2
30 6 -2.1
30 9 -0.8
30 12 2 0.8
30 15 3.8
30 18 5.6
30 21 2.1
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/12/2014 13:24

Good on you Dan, Was hoping your memory and joy at correcting me would kick in. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/12/2014 09:09

Europe and in particular the UK is the intersection of a number of different air masses, whichever is dominant, and they appear to be somewhat controlled by the positioning of the jet stream, dictates the weather. From memory theres the artic wind from the north west, the siberian from the north east, sub tropical from the south east and the atlantic (trade wind?) from the south west. There was a good little doco on this a while back that I saw on the SBS webiste.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/12/2014 09:43

Doh, put that in the wrong forum - oldish age catching up with me.

You can't underestimate my joy in correcting you.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/12/2014 10:29

Lucky I'm masochistic smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 10:37

10:31 am , some thunder rumbling throughout Hobart. Looking very dark towards the South. Radar confirms this , looks like it will push South. It's been such an unusual start to Summer indeed , only the last 3 days have been those super dry hot days that we have come to know in the past seasons. Great to see more moisture in the air this year so far.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 11:10

Great news. H2O. Hope you get some precip out of it.

I'm still thinking that one of these cool changes in the next couple of weeks might have flakeage for the peaks. Couple of models getting the 540 thickness on or very near Tassie at times. One half decent tease is one coming just after Christmas Day. smile

Enjoy the rumbles. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 14:42

Severe thunderstorm warning for Hobart area - reports now of marble sized hail through the CBD. Small, but fairly intense storms.

I like GFS's set up for next tuesday....
Posted by: Wave Rider

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 16:05

I saw photos on the weather report of the hailstorm. Apparently they were the size of $2 coins. The whole ground was covered according to the photos.

Very unexpected seeing the photos of hail and then hearing that there was a storm in Hobart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 16:42

Next Tuesday looks intense for Vic and Tas indeed.

Hail quite uncommon for Hobart too!!.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 18:38

WOW what a storm (hit around 5pm), here are a few pics from howrah.

Still a little thunder around and very heavy rain, during the main event we received 11.6mm in under 10min.

Will add more pics soon.



Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 19:40

Here is a short video from the 5pm Storm, Filmed in my backyard at Howrah.

Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 21:55

Finally got my internet connection. Went out with first storm around 2:45 pm. Certainly was mothball sized hail and rain like a monsoon downpour. Guttering became blocked with hail and the overflow has got into the sheeting in the overhang. Spent all night in the roof cavity mopping up and I still have a waterfall down the wall in the ensuite.
Second Storm around 5:00 pm small pea size hail and more heavy rain , a third shorter storm hit around 5:45 and looking across the river to Geilston bay and it was incredibly black and lighting forks coming down. Incredible stuff for Hobart as the posts above show,
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/12/2014 22:39

Originally Posted By: gregr
WOW what a storm (hit around 5pm), here are a few pics from howrah.

Still a little thunder around and very heavy rain, during the main event we received 11.6mm in under 10min.

Will add more pics soon.



...who managed to get the washing off the line?


That second shot - got the distinct look of hail formed as result of two freezing episodes - opaque centre with clear casing - rings a bell somehwere in my reading.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/12/2014 09:00

Great to see a proper storm in Hobart, always creates excitement down there when a good one hits. Given that Hobart doesn't see many storms compared to the north of Tas and the north island. smile

About 20mm to hit your rain records this morning, that's heavy rain for there!! smile

SB - love the comment re the washing. grin

They are big hail stones indeed, SB, can't wait to hear more about you clear/opaque thoughts. smile

Well done with the photos and clip. smile
Posted by: David Simpson.

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/12/2014 07:45

Yes congrats Hobart, a rare event indeed for the south! How that storm slipped beyond Oatlands is beyond me... wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/12/2014 09:09

Indeed DS, not common at all, storms often stay in Boags country!!

Get some crackers in the northern half but not many in Cascade country. smile

How are you, long time no talkie!! smile

Other lot are damn quiet on the tassie forum!! frown I'm trying to keep this one moving along a bit but not easy. smile

Access puts snow over Tas on Christmas Day, GFS not quite as keen EC will prob have it just missing as well. I reckon a good 50/50 for flakeage on the southern peaks late in the day or maybe boxing day. smile
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/12/2014 17:07

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Indeed DS, not common at all, storms often stay in Boags country!!

Access puts snow over Tas on Christmas Day, GFS not quite as keen EC will prob have it just missing as well. I reckon a good 50/50 for flakeage on the southern peaks late in the day or maybe boxing day. smile


Associated weather could make things interesting for the yaughties crossing Bass Straight. Timing looks perfect.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2014 10:22

Certainly a good chance of some snow on Christmas night/Boxing day morning. Both fronts this week brought 4mm to the north west, but also a much colder air mass - comfortably under 10 degrees on Wednesday morning (7) and similarly cool again this morning.

The rain on Tuesday is hovering off to the east, not sure we'll see that, but the models are pretty fluid at the moment with 'strong' cold fronts and deep troughs moving about.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2014 11:25

EC and GFS quite keen on 540 thickness around that time. I might have to catch a quick flight down there.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2014 12:03

...Im dreaming of a white Christmas...

EC looks good
But ..
looking at just Gfs ensembles for 850 temps(only), theres no current hint of much - if there isnt going to be a major disagreement between the two(models) all the way to the event, would have thought more significant anomalies need to appear ensemble-wise in day or so, even if these dont show in model runs just yet...or EC has to revise down...wouldnt suprise though if the Gfs ensemble abruptly changes tack soon - the longwave looks very inviting..
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2014 12:54

Access and GFS been swapping around for days now as to yes or no down there. As long as they take turns and EC is in there as well, I reckon it's a good chance.

It can snow on the peaks in the mid and south even without the 540 being over it. smile
Posted by: Markus

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/12/2014 19:48

Mighty impressive cells for Tasmania the other day that's for sure! Reminded me quite a bit of some New Zealand type setups I've noticed when they get severe cells, where there wasn't high surface dp's or temps, but the atmosphere cooled rapidly above.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/12/2014 08:57

Models still looking good for snow on the peaks for Christmas Day/night. smile
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/12/2014 22:10

touch and go for snow, but Hobart set to get ~10mm on Christmas day, drier in the norther half of the state. temps are marginal and so is precip, maybe a light flurry, very early boxing day (4/5am ish). +96hrs is 11am Friday.





Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/12/2014 23:27

Yeah I would think about then...if like this - good mid-level moisture and precipitation into drier atmosphere below might take care of any shortcomings in temps




Still a chance of improvement in tomorrow's run too.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/12/2014 12:39

Magnificent day on the Derwent todayblue skies, blue water - perfect fit for a cracking race finish!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 11:47

Hobart currently 28 degrees and rising. Oh well there goes the monthly average we have been clinging to, finally thought we would see a below average stat. It was our best chance in probably 3 years , but again the heat steals the show. eek
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 12:03

Ye God , now 29.1 and still rising . No where near the 25 forecast.
Posted by: Hells kitchen

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 12:04

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Hobart currently 28 degrees and rising. Oh well there goes the monthly average we have been clinging to, finally thought we would see a below average stat. It was our best chance in probably 3 years , but again the heat steals the show. eek


Your December has been flat out cold. 14 days under 20C with several more in the 20-21C range. Better to use median than mean because sudden spikes in temps on a couple days will always skew the means and give a somewhat false impression.
Posted by: Larzus

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 12:51

Looks pretty wild down there just now in the south east. Big red cell over Hobart's eastern shore and another in the Huon. What's happening? Hail? Flash floods?
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 12:55

A short blast but it did cause a bit of damage at the Taste of Tasmania on the waterfront! Some thunder but only a few mms although another line of storms on the way in a few hours apparently.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/12/2014 18:35

Snowforecast keeps insisting on a dusting at Mt Field Tuesday morning - I haven't lookd at anything much myself but would've thought it's all a bit marginal - anyone have a firm view one way or the other?
Posted by: vjknight

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/12/2014 12:58

Hi Taswegians

Any long range forecasters able to provide an idea on weather in the period 19-26 January. Staying around launceston.

Thanks.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/12/2014 20:10

Hi vj , I'm not a long range forecast person . poke
But usually at that time of year in Launnie it will about 23 degrees during the day and about 12 degrees at night. I always find staying in Launnie at that time of year that the afternoons can be very warm as there is no sea breeze that we get here in Hobart. Also because of this I like to have a room with an Air Con for the night, as the lack of breezes make it very sweaty. A thing to remember is the UV and clear skies can burn you to a crisp really fast , and as always in Tassie pack a light rainproof jacket in case it turns cool or wet.
Anyways long term on accuweather has it as what I've just said , 23's ect unless things really heat up.
Have a great trip and thanks for coming to Tassie. poke
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/01/2015 20:02

Hobart maxed out at 28.8 degrees , but not till 6:30 pm tonight.
33 predicted for Saturday , will be every bit of that and we be lucky to escape some fires breaking out. Tonight will be hellish for those without air con. Thank god we loaded up on two reverse cycles a couple of years ago. smile
What a stinker of a day , great way to start the monthly average already 3 plus degrees over for the month. A long way to go but as usual it will be hard to pull back anywhere near average with more stinkers on the way.
It really is starting to be a hell hole in Jan and Feb in Southern Australia , what's this 3 years in a row now .Ahhhg. shocked
Anyway , to all in Vic and Sa we are thinking of you ...Take Care.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/01/2015 12:04

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Tonight will be hellish for those without air con. Thank god we loaded up on two reverse cycles a couple of years ago. smile


Lucky you, neither of our two Heatpumps cool the bedrooms, both installed in the living areas at the other end of the house, must be time i did something about that.
Here at Howrah it got down to 22* this morning at 3:35am, then up to a MAX of 31.5* at 10:55am this morning, since then a cool southerly breeze has moved through cooling it down to 23* (11:55am)

I see the BOM is forecasting possible thunder this afternoon, would be nice to finish the day with a bang.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/01/2015 17:33

Another very warm day down here , clocked in at about 28 degrees. No breeze and the scorching sun made it feel a lot hotter. Tasmania had it's 2nd warmest year on record in 2014 .
This year looks like another stinker already. We are sitting on an average of 26.2 for the month. I know a cool change is coming but the damage has been done , the place is nice and crispy after the past weeks heat and dry air. Also the closer it gets to the cool couple of days the warmer they keep revising the forecast and downgrading the rain. eek
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 09:41

Below is a thunderstorm, severe weather and tornado script output for today:





Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 14:17

So far in Hobart , just one loud clap of thunder very early this morning. A bit of mostly drizzle total of 3 mm so far. Temps are finally coming down after a very warm night. Lets hope we get a bit more out of this system , as usual in Hobart the Mountain is taking the rain away.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 16:29

Wow another 1mm , makes it about 4mm from the big event. Saturday all of a sudden with latest forecast has gone from 17 to 20 degrees and the back to 23 plus for the rest of next week.
The big build up amounts to bitter disappointment once again.


Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:05

The Sun is well and truly out now , all cloud the has moved off the whole of Tasmania on the radar. I still can not believe the inability of modern forecasting technology that comes up so short so often. The talk of massive storms and hail for today was talked up by the BOM for at least the last 3 days. It even got a mention on the 20/20 cricket last night. Massive fail , why don't they just go back to looking out the window like the rest of us ? End of rant ....sorry . cry
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:15

And yet, I didn't see anyone here who predicted in ADVANCE that they definitely WOULDN'T happen....
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:16

It should also be noted that just because lightning didn't burn a hole in your patio roof that thunderstorms didn't occur elsewhere in the state.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:27

Yes okay understood and some good points Ken. It was the local BOM down here that banged on about the huge hail storms that would hit Hobart today. They had us all geared up for an event similar to a couple of weeks back. It didn't come off , as on the Vic forum I'm not the only one saying they got today wrong.
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:30

No worries, hope you got at least some good rain out today if nothing else smile

I've been keeping a record of various forecasts vs outcomes just out of my own interest and here's some of them: https://www.flickr.com/photos/9687852@N07/sets/72157649254986917/
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:32

Also looked like there was a lot of lightning over parts of TAS earlier today too.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:37

Thanks Ken , didn't want to start an argument with anyone. Thank goodness we did at least get some rain , better than nil. I just get over excited I guess . I was just hoping I would get to test the leak I fixed in the roof from the last hailstorm . smile
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/01/2015 20:40

If it makes you feel any better, my suburb in Brisbane seems to be the ultimate of donut holes when it comes to hailstorms. The vast majority of the time, my area gets marble size hail while many other suburbs in Brisbane get golf to cricket balls. Good if you're in the majority who don't want to get pummelled by big hail!
Posted by: vjknight

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/01/2015 21:14

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Hi vj , I'm not a long range forecast person . poke
But usually at that time of year in Launnie it will about 23 degrees during the day and about 12 degrees at night. I always find staying in Launnie at that time of year that the afternoons can be very warm as there is no sea breeze that we get here in Hobart. Also because of this I like to have a room with an Air Con for the night, as the lack of breezes make it very sweaty. A thing to remember is the UV and clear skies can burn you to a crisp really fast , and as always in Tassie pack a light rainproof jacket in case it turns cool or wet.
Anyways long term on accuweather has it as what I've just said , 23's ect unless things really heat up.
Have a great trip and thanks for coming to Tassie. poke


had a quick look at a 10 day forecast. looks promising.
fingers crossed it holds up.
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 10:26

Hi everyone in Tassie. I have just moved back to Tasmania after twenty one years away. The weather has been pleasant over the last week. Although it is a lot cooler than Central Queensland thankfully. I noticed two of my neighbours have weather stations up, so I am surrounded by weather lovers (one happy girl). Hopefully we will get some decent rain today, as it is looking very brown here in Somerset.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 11:26

Welcome home Adele , what a big change from Central Qld. It will be great to hear from another weather lover from that part of Tassie. smile
Hopefully you should get some good rains soon. Last time I was up that way was a couple of Winters ago and it was soaked and a lovely shade of lush green.
On the weather front down here in Hobart , well it's pretty cloudy so far going for a top of 25 degrees. Also a bit more humidity today so maybe a late shower or two.
A small scrub fire broke out yesterday at the top of Pottery Road Lenah Valley ( The edge of Wellington Park) but the fire guys used 4 tankers and one helicopter to bring it under control thankfully. It could have been very nasty as the last few days have been really sunny with that crispy toasty Northerly drying things out. Also the wind was blowing about 30 kmr at the time.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 13:22

Adele, you have moved to a great spot, enjoy. smile

Look forward to posts about goings on in the north of the state. smile

Where were you in Central qld, rockie? Emerald? Blackall etc?

H2O has the south well covered. smile

Good job they got onto those fire quick smart!!

Looking forward to hearing more now that I'm back online after a few weeks away. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 15:38

Welcome back Dave , we have missed you for sure.
Did I just read somewhere on this site that the BOM have issued a flash flood warning and heavy downpour outlook for Southern Tas ? Certainly is looking very gloomy out the window , I thought it looked liked a few showers . Maybe there is more than that on it's way ? Time will tell.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 15:50

Just about to post about the same thing - batten down your hatches Mr O. grin

Hope you get the rain, the place could do with a good drink.

I imagine the east coast is very dry as it often is.

sounds like Gray etc up the NW will cop it big. Worth a visit to St Columba Falls in a few days!!! smile

I keep seeing those strong cold air regions not far to your south. Be nice if one of them at some stage should shove a bit north smile

At least your prevalence of extreme heat has backed right off for a change.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 16:53

Dave , I forgot to mention while you were away we managed an average daytime temp of -0.1 degree for December in Hobart.
So maybe things are swinging back the other way ? Has been along time for sure , the ants have been running around the lounge room for the last week . Maybe they know something I don't and the crows that also Farrkk when it's stinking hot have disappeared .
It even is starting to smell like rain.
Only downside is I have to go to Brisvegas for a family do on the weekend and they are saying 33 in Bne and 18 degrees here in the Bart . Oh well , that Murphy's and his law I guess.
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 17:11

I came from Middlemount. It has been a very grey day here with only 1 mm of rain.
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/01/2015 17:34

Mountain h2o: unfortunate timing there, looks like you'll be arriving here on some of the hottest days out of the next several days with max temps in the low to mid 30's (significantly above average for here). This time last year, it was also drier than the very humid conditions we've been having here for the past few weeks.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 07:33

Plenty of mountain H2O last night. Hobart 69mm, Mount Wellington 147mm, Launceston 44mm. Seems most of the east coast has 50mm, South East had fall between 50-100mm. Most of it falling between 10pm and 6am - so a lot of run off, but a big fall. Probably more rain in that than many parts had in the first 3 months of 2014. Sure the media will report it as a "mini freak storm creating havoc"
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 08:14

Nearly 100 mms so far here at Kingston (Auburn Road)with the golf course totally flooded at the Bonnet Hill end. Seems like some interesting variations in falls and intensities across the South-East.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 09:04

Well H2o, your ants were correct!! smile

That ought to top off the reservoirs around the place!!

147 on Mt Wellington will have all the streams off it roaring nicely.

Good that December came in anywhere near average, like us here, we've been consistently above average for a long time as well. Fancy going to Brisbane and missing the 18 degree days lol.

Many years ago I had to do something similar re Brissie. That morning it was about -3 on the Mt and Brissie was going to be a crazy 37 or so and damned humid.

So I went up the Mt in -3 then flew to Brissie several hours later to get there in high 30's heat and humidity.

I experienced a "diurnal" range that day of 40 degrees. Much preferred the minus 3 smile

This rain will green the place the place up nicely and help set Autumn up for farmers.

Snowies, obviously in these type of events it was pretty dry your side of the state?
Posted by: pwa54

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 09:52



The Kingston golf course flooded this morning. For those who know it, that's the normally placid Browns River running through it.

127mms at the official site at Kingston. Looking over the history of previous sites very near the same location, this may have been the heaviest fall at Kingston since the April 1960 floods
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 10:13

So the tee off on the second hole is fine smile but the green a little brownish? smile

I've seen it a little like that when I lived in Kingston but not very often!! smile

That's a lot of rain!!
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 10:16

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Many years ago I had to do something similar re Brissie. That morning it was about -3 on the Mt and Brissie was going to be a crazy 37 or so and damned humid.

So I went up the Mt in -3 then flew to Brissie several hours later to get there in high 30's heat and humidity.

That tends to be the exception here in Brisbane rather than the norm. When temps get beyond about the mid 30's, humidity is often pretty low due to the northwest to westerly winds.

That 153mm at Mt Wellington is pretty impressive too!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 10:20

What a wonderful event , there is certainly plenty of news of water running down peoples walls and ceilings . I know for one that happens here in this old boat of a house very often when we get a rain downpour it can't handle. There are so many old houses down here and they are just not designed to take huge amounts of rain at one time. So far we are looking okay , I fixed the last leak from the storm a few weeks back and it seems to be holding. Wow , how good are those ants !! smart little buggers. I will try and pop down to the rivulet and see what's happening . Ken ,I hope we get a few ripping storms on the weekend in Brisvegas.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 10:56

I just looked at my bird bath on the deck. Yesterday afternoon there was nothing but dust in it , now it's full and overflowing . It's exactly 70mm deep to the overflowing rim. poke
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 11:21

Ken - yes it was an exceptionally hot day for Bris with huge storms late in the day but VERY hot for there. When it stormed I stood out in the rain for quite a while.!!! smile

H - what a good rain gauge although probably not marked very well for a rain gauge. smile
Posted by: Ken Kato

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 14/01/2015 13:33

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Ken ,I hope we get a few ripping storms on the weekend in Brisvegas.

Hopefully without the big hail from last time!
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 12:01

Good cold change in Tas with snow on Mt Wellington. smile
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 12:18

Nothing has settled up there, would be very rare if it did in any January, even right at the top.

( I notice the Weatherzone story said there was a "dusting"...that is false reporting and appears to be a straight out guess ).
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 16:24

I am starting to question if we made the right decision to move up on top off a hill in Somerset. It is very windy and cold. My son and I definitely look like tourists when we venture out of the house, with beanies and coats on. How are we going to cope when winter sets in BRRRR.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 19:01

Originally Posted By: Adele
How are we going to cope when winter sets in BRRRR.


...try a little pepper in your tea or coffee. Many years ago trekking high up in north India a local told me about it - I was suffering a bit so I tried - and it did seem to work.
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 19:19

Thank you. I started reading your comment and my initial thought was you were going to tell me to eat concrete and toughen up LOL. Monday is looking good at having a day to thaw out. I am being optimistic with a forecast this far out.
Posted by: vjknight

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/01/2015 22:26

the kids are disappointed there will be no swimming next week in tassie, but still looking forward to the trip.
Posted by: tasdevil

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/01/2015 11:53

Originally Posted By: yep
Nothing has settled up there, would be very rare if it did in any January, even right at the top.

( I notice the Weatherzone story said there was a "dusting"...that is false reporting and appears to be a straight out guess ).


Speaking of cool weather and snow, check out the mt mawson snow cam.


Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/01/2015 23:10

If that was a bit less patchy I'd see it as a bit more than a dusting - in my snow starved kneck of the woods I'd have probably called dusting to be a little understated.Dont imagine there's enough elevation left for there to have been better cover at the top.

Dusting is one of those terms I think often difficult to gauge - seems to cover a wide range of conditions...
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/01/2015 09:33

Adele, the north of the state is regularly airconditioned via evaporation. When Hobart has a high 30's day, most of your area only goes to about 25 or 26. The breeze comes over Bass St bringing moisture. That dampness can make it feel cool more often.

When it's really cold though, the water nearby tends to moderate the cold a bit as well. Unless you are a bit further inland away from the coast.

You most likely won't have many out and out hot days there despite other parts of the state copping heat at times. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/01/2015 09:24

The 540 line gets mighty close to the bottom edge of Tassie in a couple of days. In years gone past I have seen it snow in Mt Field (see pic above) with the 540 in a similar position. It so happens that link above keeps updating so it might be interesting to look for light flakeage on the weekend in that photo. Not very likely but definitely possible!! smile
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/01/2015 12:11

Anyone know what that thready white stuff is, looks like some sort of netting?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/01/2015 12:50

Yes it is netting, I always assumed it was to consolidate the loose rocky bits and perhaps encourage some plant growth over time and thus hold it together better.

I notice the drift fence has plenty of new timber on it too.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 23/01/2015 15:41

Probably so, to stop erosion, whilst at the same time allowing the sun through.
Posted by: vjknight

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/01/2015 20:12

Originally Posted By: vjknight
the kids are disappointed there will be no swimming next week in tassie, but still looking forward to the trip.


the initial forecast proved to be wrong. muggy start then a few glorious warm days around launceston.
had a great time. will be back.

but only in january/february. wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 28/01/2015 09:09

Nah go back in the cooler months and it's actually magnificent!!

Autumn in Tassie is stunning. Spring has the craziest weather of the year, autumn the most settled and endless blue sky days.
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 10:50

I may be relocating down to wonderful Tasmania in the future. Being from NQ I would imagine that we will be in for a bit of a culture shock. I was wondering what we should expect in the way of heating costs and if we are looking to buy a house, what kind of heating is better.

Your responses would be much appreciated
Posted by: Ollieo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 11:22

Hi slippery, I went the opposite way to you and moved from Hobart to NQ a few years ago. The best thing you can do to keep heating costs down is pick the right house to start with. Something that faces North with less glazing to the South, East and West works best. Well insulated of course!
If the basics are in place there you won't need to run a heater as often, but when you do a heat pump (Or reverse cycle air-con as you call it up here!) is reasonably efficient. On the coldest nights though, a wood heater is a great luxury to have. It just makes it that little bit cosier.

Whenever I go back for holidays I find that you acclimatize the fastest if you get outside in the cold, kinda like ripping off a band-aid!
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 12:43

Thanks Ollieo. Obviously you are talking about the inverter systems. Someone suggested Gas heating as well.

Also best suburbs in Hobart, and ones to stay away from ?
Posted by: Ollieo

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 13:13

Gas is good where a fixed line is available. I'm not a huge fan of replacing bottles where it's not. It is a nice 'type' of heat. Inverter systems can feel a little dry sometimes.

There's plenty of suburbs to avoid! Hopefull I don't offend but the old saying used to be to stay South of Creek Road (The Flanellette Curtain).
That said there are plenty of great places to choose from, but like anywhere they all have better and worse little pockets. Everywhere has a view, something you take for granted until you move to Townsville! Are you looking for something central or a little more room?
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 13:26

It will all depend, whether work will be based in Moonah or Cambridge. That has yet to be decided. I have noticed that the prices have certainly gone up since last time I looked a few years ago. I guess the Victorians have discovered the little secret on their doorstep.

I like the areas of Bellerive up to Geilston Bay. I would love to be able to afford closer to the city, but reality is reality.

Obviously being in the Towers open space is taken for granted, so not opposed to a nice little plot, however I will be very busy so maintaining a large yard might not be advantageous.

I really do appreciate your time to give me a bit of insight.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 29/01/2015 22:38

Originally Posted By: slipperyfish
I may be relocating down to wonderful Tasmania in the future. Being from NQ I would imagine that we will be in for a bit of a culture shock. I was wondering what we should expect in the way of heating costs and if we are looking to buy a house, what kind of heating is better.

Your responses would be much appreciated


Hi slippery,
Well what a change install for you . I have done the same thing many years ago , moved from Qld a good few years back. Originally Cairns FNQ as well. As others have mentioned , look for a good insulated home to start with. Another thing that will be a home shock down here for Queenslanders is that the housing and building codes are probably 15 to 20 years behind the mainland. Unless you buy very new. Things that we took for granted in Qld like, standard thick glazing ( Tassie glass is mostly the old thin stuff) ,allot wiring is the old brown stuff( check the meter box and make sure the place has been re-wired), very few double garages or covered parking ( or limited onsite parking) , ensuites are often a luxury , very few home shave ceiling fans, allot still have one form of heating and it's wood, and if you like open plan living well most places are divided into small rooms you can block off in Winter. So some of these factors will have a huge bearing on your energy costs. So what are the costs ? , well we have ducted gas heating on mains and it costs us about $ 800 at current gas prices to warm the house during the Winter months. Wood prices are about $ 600 - 700 dollars a load and you will need about one and half to get through your first Winter. We also have had installed 2 reverse cycle air cons , one in the bedroom and a huge mother downstairs. This affords us the luxury of cool summers and it's also a handy back up for the gas unit as well.
Most people down here have one fire place only , believe me it's only fun for the first few weeks till the novelty wares off. Dirty , inefficient as well $$$$$ of wood. Some people have a warm air transfer unit that takes warmed air from where the heat source is and basically sucks it up , runs it through a tube/ pipe and lets it out in another area of the home. This is also a poor option , but better than nothing at all. Heat pumps ( reverse cycle a/c ) is a great option , however one unit will not suffice to do the whole home. And sadly that's what most people have. Not only does the unit have to work overtime to keep up , you still need heaters in your bedrooms ect . That's why we have 2 , nice and toasty in the bedroom when getting dressed for work on a 6 degree morning !! Also make sure your heating units are connected to the Hydro Tarrif , it's a cheaper power rate for heating. Also with reverse cycle , don't be tempted to turn it off during short sessions of going out. It's actually more efficient to leave it running on minimum , than heat the house up all over again when you get home. We rented for a while with a home with one heat pump , from memory it was a fraction cheaper than gas. However , flick the gas switch and the whole place is at 23 degress plus within five minutes. we also run gas water and cooking too. Solar is becoming very popular down here , so it maybe something to look at if you rely solely on electric.
When live at Lenah Valley , yes on the edge of the flanny curtain. In fact always lived here since coming from Qld . We like it , but is still in Hobart city shire . Not Glenorchy , it's amazing what happens five minutes down the road . Glenorchy does have a poor rep, but areas of Moonah West are fantastic and with killer views. Some old locals told us to stay away from suburbs that start with "R" or "W". It does ring pretty true , but there are exceptions. Anyway keep us all updated on your move and fire away anymore questions. Currently a very cool windy , damp 12.2 degrees with a wind chill factor that takes to 8.5 !! Might just put that heat pump in the bedroom on yet . grin
PS Plenty of QLD licence plates around of late, and just maybe I won't be the only one driving around with a QLD State of Origin and Cowboys stickers on the back window laugh
Cheers
from Hobart
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/01/2015 09:57

Thanks Mountain H2O. It will be a bit of a shock. Not set in stone yet. I lived many years in Canberra as young fella, so the cold is no stranger to me, but my wife is born and bred North Queenslander and reed thin so the cold will certainly sort her out. She wants to know if they televise the league down there, not sure she could live without watching her beloved Cowboys.

I really do appreciate the feedback. It is such a daunting move when you sit down and think about the logistics involved, so any help is much appreciated.

Will probably be down on a reccy in a month or two and then again in the middle of winter.

Will be good to go Kayaking without fear of a bloody big Croc latching on! LOL.
Posted by: petethemoskeet

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 30/01/2015 10:38

I'd say ch9 would still show the fri night live game as usual.But she might have to get use to AFL.Won't be easy lol
Posted by: David Simpson.

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2015 08:02

Originally Posted By: slipperyfish
Thanks Ollieo. Obviously you are talking about the inverter systems. Someone suggested Gas heating as well.

Also best suburbs in Hobart, and ones to stay away from ?


Best suburb of Hobart is Launceston, just 2 hours north and 2 hours closer to the equator (and the 21st century wink )
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2015 09:24

David you will have to excuse me, but I am looking at what seems to be happening in this 21st century, and really wondering whether it is really worth moving into it.

Launceston is a beautiful place and we have visited there many times. It reminds me of that show on the ABC, Heartbeat I think it was called. My work will be in Hobart if they decide to go ahead with it.
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2015 13:39

Please consider joining a conservation group and voting Green if you move down here, our environmental heritage is currently under attack by a senseless right wing government, the more that actively oppose their unfettered development plans the greater chance of keeping Tasmania's unique identity intact.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2015 17:35

Hobart enjoying a tropical end to january, with 4 days under or around 16. Bit of rain in the eastern half to complete a wet January. A least the north has seen a few nice days of late.

Anyone moving down here either needs to be a) retired and self funded, b) on welfare, c) a public servant, D) in agriculture of some sort or e) slightly mad. There isn't much else to do (for work) if you don't fit one of those categories. Don't get me wrong, the lifestyle is excellent, if you can make it work, but very few people I went to school or uni with are still here (I'm 33), most left to find decent careers/jobs on the mainland, of those that stayed many work in areas they never studied, self employed or public servant. Certainly a consideration if you have kids in the mix.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 31/01/2015 20:07

Interesting comments Snowman. We're straying off topic a bit (although looking at the heading its pretty broad wink ) so I'll press on I have a nephew and his wife who both stopped in Tassie during a round trip. Both work in the marine side of things, but sadly, its been really tough finding work. My nephew managed to score some guide work on a river cruise, plus a recent contract on an Antarctic resupply trip (he has his masters licence). His wife has found the cuts to the marine science funding has really devastated her hoped for employment opportunities. Looks like they'll have to move on, but in every other respect they have loved the place.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2015 08:59

It is a truly wonderful place to live. It sounds like slippery has work lined up already and that is good. smile

The best 10 years of my 56 year life were down there, hands down!! smile
Posted by: David Simpson.

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/02/2015 16:59

presses the *like* button for DaveM's comments. smile
4th generation Tasmanian here. And work options reach far beyond those few outlined in an earlier comment.

On the weather front, great to have a day relatively free of wind and no more southerlies, our rural property east of Lonnie will cop the NW'ly tomorrow afternoon though.

Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/02/2015 09:04

G'day DS, good to see your post. If Fi and I only cared for ourselves and not others in the family (all on the mainland), we would be down there again in a flash. Even if i had to buy a shack in Rosebery or Queenstown to be able to afford to live, we would gleefully do it!! smile

I would really like to live up near Miena/Great Lake - that would be incredible with the weather experiences. smile

People MIGHT earn decent money up here but housing is more expensive, travel times much greater, climate much hotter and generally drier (when evaporation rates accounted for) etc. The natural areas of Tas, the many waterfalls, strong running streams/rivers etc etc etc STUNNING!!! smile

Win the lottery and able to afford to come back to the mainland at will - we're back there!! smile
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2015 00:13

I have just recently moved here from Middlemount Central QLD, and have no regrets at all. We now live in gods country. The people are so friendly, and laid back. Everything has been cheaper so far. There is so much to see and do if you love nature, and you don't have to go very far to see it. Yes we took a pay cut to move here, but the lifestyle we now have as a family is so worth the move.

We are still adjusting to the climate. However the days have been glorious in the past week or so. My son even went swimming over the weekend at the beach. I love the fact you can actually do stuff outside comfortably, without feeling like your in an oven and sweating like a pig.

So having to wear more clothes to stay warm is so worth it in my opinion.
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2015 06:40

That's great to hear Adele.

Obviously you were in the mines? Middlemount is very similar to the Towers in conditions so it is good to get your viewpoint.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2015 09:08

Don't worry Adele, over a bit of time you will likely find you will wear less clothing as you adjust. Mind you with a breeze always around in Tas, some sort of vest,light jacket etc is always handy to leave permanently in the car. Sea breezes can cool things off quickly near the coast. smile
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2015 10:05

Yes my husband worked in the mines. Instead of doing the 13.5 hours per day Monday to Friday, he now works 8 am to 4 pm weekdays. He feels like he is in a permanent part time job. The work load is a lot less here too. So he isn't as stressed.

I have my trusty Japara from years ago Dave M, but I have noticed that no one wears them any more. Not that I care to much, as I have been a fashion victim for years now. I am going to invest in some rain and wind proof jackets before winter sets in.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/02/2015 11:14

Yes the north of Tas is much wetter than the SE (Hobart). And the further towards Smithton or Strahan you go the wetter it gets. Drier as you move east and SE.

A sleeveless polarfleece vest was a constant companion in our car, often not needed but great when it is. Even a quick trip a bit higher in elevation can provide much cooler temps or stronger wind chill.

I always carried a vest and a light jacket all year. In winter I would have a warmer jacket in.

Even here in Bathurst, I follow a similar pattern, I just need them a little bit less often but nights here cool much more quickly than down there by the sea. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/02/2015 15:15

After last weekends big predicted floods here in Hobart . poke
A grand total of about 11mm fell . Anyways it been pretty mild but humid of late. Looks like Cairns is coming in the next 4 or so days though. Plenty of temps around 30 plus degrees and it's going to be very humid ? Apparently ? Fridge is stocked with XXXX Gold to make it feel more real. smile
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 20/02/2015 15:42

11 mm a bit of a let down!!

At least your average this month is 21.8 - hoo boy I'd love that!!

Yep several warm days coming but then a cool down again. Sitting here sweating away and wishing I was down there. smile

Mind you, a couple of your nights are pretty damn warm this weekend, 19 and 21 !! Shove that!! smile
I will have temps like that too, heading to Central Coast (NSW) tomorrow for 2 days and the nights average that sort of rubbish!! Be glad to get back here Monday night. smile

Enjoy the goldies!!
Posted by: Asturai

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 22/02/2015 14:36

Looks like a nice cell has started near Franklin.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2015 10:04

Looking at the longer range charts I reckon the period of around the 3rd to 6th of March might be interesting. AXS has a strong cold change in that period (actually hitting the mainland), GFS not as keen but still interesting.

hopefully that change will clear a lot of the heat around SE NSW as well. A proper start to Autumn. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 25/02/2015 16:46

As silly as this sounds I have been crossing off the Festivals and Events at this time of year in Tassie as a marker to cooler weather. It's fascinating that when it's a weekend of a festival that occurs annually it nearly always coincides with the hottest weather.
The Wooden Boat Festival and Regatta Weekend always a stinker.
The Hobart Cup always a stinker.
The Festivale in Launceston always stinking hot.
Last weekend Penny Farthing races in Evandale always is and was this year 35 degrees.
The next one is the 8th and 9th of March , The Taste of the Huon it's always 30 plus over that weekend. In fact one year they had patrons passing out as it was 36 degrees.
And Easter for some reason , no matter when it occurs it always coincides with unseasonal hot weather down here.
After that then things usually start to cool off. So good buy to all those events and hello to cooler days.
Anyways that what I've noticed , but it'seems funny but it works. wink
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2015 09:07

I actually have calendar dates etc that mean the same to me. I think quite a few of us do. smile

I always look to mid Feb here for nights just starting to hint at cooling off, not happening this year, end of Damn Feb has been hotter than anytime this summer, fair dinkum!! smile

Our nights will cool off more quickly than yours over the next 2 months but your days are cooler. At least you've had a not too bad Feb in the main. smile A bit more rain would have been good, hopefully you will get some proper rain soon.
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2015 12:02

I would just like to thank you all for your insights. The figures we are seeing coming out of Tassie at the moment are very exciting.
The appeal of Tasmania is its stability. Info I have at hand is showing a marked increase in property sales in the greater Hobart region, and better still a reasonably high demand for property in certain regions.
The north of Tassie is starting to turn after a prolonged slow spell, but not quite at the rate of Hobart.
I guess the challenge for this unique and wonderful state is to find the balance between creating employment and prosperity and keeping your difference unchanged.
I am really looking forward to getting down there and immersing myself in the states culture. I love a nice hot coffee on a cold morning. Oooh! Scones, cream, and strawberry Jam. MMMM!

By the way I have been thinking. We have pets, you know the ones that replace children, so I am wondering what most people do with them during the winter months? Obviously keeping them outside is difficult.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2015 13:28

Plenty of pets in Tassie live outside, all depends on individual circumstances though.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 26/02/2015 21:54

Originally Posted By: slipperyfish
I would just like to thank you all for your insights. The figures we are seeing coming out of Tassie at the moment are very exciting.
The appeal of Tasmania is its stability. Info I have at hand is showing a marked increase in property sales in the greater Hobart region, and better still a reasonably high demand for property in certain regions.
The north of Tassie is starting to turn after a prolonged slow spell, but not quite at the rate of Hobart.
I guess the challenge for this unique and wonderful state is to find the balance between creating employment and prosperity and keeping your difference unchanged.
I am really looking forward to getting down there and immersing myself in the states culture. I love a nice hot coffee on a cold morning. Oooh! Scones, cream, and strawberry Jam. MMMM!

By the way I have been thinking. We have pets, you know the ones that replace children, so I am wondering what most people do with them during the winter months? Obviously keeping them outside is difficult.

Yes sf , real estate in Hobart has really taken off and all the reports are good. Plenty of action here in Lenah Valley , things are not on the market long and they are gone. The place over the road just sold for about 600k , I thought it would take a while but it's gone. Also they are opening up a bit of new land estates in this area as well. However the build start times will be a couple of years away I reckon.
The fur babies will probably like to be inside , especially if they have come from a warm climate. It will take them a few seasons to adapt for sure. I know we nearly killed our cat the first year , we boarded him till we settled in and he didn't get enough warm blankets at the boarders and he got very sick with an infection. Another thing is make sure if your flying your babies in is be at the airport to get them as they come straight off the plane. It could be freezing and windy / wet and it would be a great shock to their little systems coming out of the plane into that. Plenty of cheap polar fleece is the way , cleans easy and is light to pack and super warm.
A great place to visit for jam scones and cream is the Shot Tower halfway between Sandy Bay and Kingston on the Channel
Highway. Tassie is the home of the bakery as well , Jackman & Mc Ross in Battery Point or New Town is a great start as well.
No carbohydrate free diets down here. smile One thing to remember and we learnt the hard way is many small places coffee shops ect don't take card. So many still work cash , it's a Tassie Surprise as we call it. So always have a few bucks in the wallet in case this happens. I'll bet your excited as we were our first time. It's coming into a stunning time of year. Hope you will be here for Dark Mofo and the Mid Winter Fest.
Cheers from the Bart.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/02/2015 09:02

Yep agree, it's a brilliant place but with the odd surprise. smile

I still like the look of that change around late next week, both Axs & GFS still have it. At this stage I would suspect snow to around 900m in the south in good showers.

Polarfleece really works so well in tassie doesn't it!! Relatively water/drizzle retardent and light and warm. Sleeveless polar fleece ALWAYS in our car down there, even if just for the sea breeze of an afternoon. smile
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 27/02/2015 13:26

Thanks again for the info. I am sure to have many more questions as time progresses. I really do appreciate everyone's time in answering my silly questions.
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/03/2015 00:10

We left our 14 year old dog in Brisbane with the in laws due to not being able to have pets inside our rental. It was a hard decision and we miss him dearly, but thought it was best for him. Our two and a half year old lab is coping OK to now being an outside dog. He is in a portico and he has a bed with polar fleece mattress. I must admit he has got even fatter since moving here. I don't think I could have handled the red mud in the house any way.

Weather wise, we had lightning tonight to our north. No cg's just sheet lighting. Very different to the storms I am used to. However, it was still exciting.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 01/03/2015 14:04

Originally Posted By: DaveM
Looking at the longer range charts I reckon the period of around the 3rd to 6th of March might be interesting.


..very early Thursday could be - worth a trip up on to the mountain or out to Mt Field?(let's face it - probably need the exercise) Last progs I saw a bit of a streak within the main jet body on the left of the trough - could amplify it & further improve
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2015 09:45

For sure snow on the peaks under the correct clouds. smile

My son and hid G/F heading down wed morning, he's used to it but she's never been there, she's in for a weather surprise.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2015 13:06

...lucky them...but around Hobart region Bom's currently showing bit of rain shadow over the Wednesday night - Friday period...but bigger falls west and south..Frenchman's, Arthurs etc could be the go..
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 02/03/2015 14:51

Yes, Hobart is very often in a rainshadow. It only receives about 600mm rain per year whilst on the west coast, Mt read gets around 3000mm or 3 metres.

Mt Field always does better. The only time Hobart does really well is in a SE windlfow for precip. Like a NSW ECL.

Mt Wellington has much higher rain though than it's town at it's feet. smile
Posted by: Adele

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/03/2015 15:40

Forecast for North West Coast on Thursday from BOM

Thursday 5 March
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Winds southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.

I think we maybe using the heat pump that day. So exciting about snow, maybe a drive will be on the agenda.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 03/03/2015 16:30

Hobart forecast a bit out today , 19 degrees and showers .
Actually got a pretty warm and cloudless sunny 22 degrees.
Still very warm out now.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 09:06

Enjoy the warmth and then the cool down smile

My son arrived down there this morning for a week holiday with the G/F. He's hoping she will fall in love with the place so he can move back there. smile

I reckon snow to around 800 or 900 under the correct cloud in the south. smile
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 19:42

ACCESS R showing a 532 thickness over Hobart vicinity briefly tomorrow at 8am. Lovely autumn is arriving
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 21:55

Pretty well over (3 Deg ) the predicted 20 degrees again today. The BOM again missed the mark on the showery day , but did score one out of three with the wind prediction.
So far tonight got down as low as 15 degrees but the temps on it's way back up again. Hope tomorrow comes off , but I think it will be a miss . Just has that Indian Summer feel so far this month.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 22:34

Edit , it's started rain . Just need to get that temp down now.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 23:08

...Mt Mawson netting on web cam shows evidence of dampness I think at 5pm

...meanwhile the blob approaches....



In the same area (behind the frontal band) showing positive upper & lower divergence/convergence on CIMSS charts
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 04/03/2015 23:19

...really cold mid-level air over Mt Field looks to be setting in after 8pm towards 11pm by GFS soundings
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 09:04

Mt Wellington about -1.8 at the moment in showers - snow flakeage on the peaks for sure.

Also, looking ahead, next Thursday looks interesting as well!! smile

Going to be a mighty fresh day down there!! smile
Posted by: Ron W at Walcha

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 09:10

Check out Mt Wellington webcam- good dusting
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 09:56

Hard to get a look between clouds smile

My son said there's snow on top as well. Heavy breezes would make the windchill in the street canyons of Hobart a bit fresh!! smile
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:02

Nice dusting on Cradle Mtn too! I can feel that chill in the breeze here. smile
Hobart apparent temp 2.2deg cool
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:16

Wow , what night ! It was like being on a boat in a stormy sea.
Wind howling , house shuddering and creaking and rain and frozen rain coming sideways. The best pictures are on the ABC NEWS 24 on TV when they show the weather segment. Was pretty well dusted form our side early a.m , but now has retracted to a dot in a cold spot on the side. Chill factor brings a cool morning for sure 11.2 degrees and 2.2 degree apparent . cool
Thoughts are with people in the North of Tasmania near Lefroy Georgetown. Very bad bushfire and is out of control at the moment. Winds are not helping , and again some frightening pictures and footage coming out on the ABC TV News.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:20

Update also a grass fire last night at Firthside , Southern outlet Road Hobart. This morning a structure fire at the same location , I don't know yet wether the two are related. But again would prove hard to control in these winds. Last night the TFS had about 5 units on site.
Posted by: orangeroughy

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:37

Yeah, ironic to be battling fires with snow on the peaks! Winds will be quite nasty. Lets hope the temps help the fire fighting.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:41

Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o

Thoughts are with people in the North of Tasmania near Lefroy Georgetown. Very bad bushfire and is out of control at the moment.


...very little in the gauge at Launceston some parts must have been all wind and fury...

Scotts Peak had 30 mm I notice, most of it kicking in after 9pm last night...would have to believe the Arthurs etc might have been in line for a pretty decent dump.
Posted by: snowbaby

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 10:48

...btw Mt field snow cam cleared now(p 129 this thread). Anyone hazard a guess on snow depth?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 11:36

Just several cm at Mawson (Field)

Arthurs could have been very interesting, also Mt Rufus (just west of Lake St Clair) is a prime snow collector & holder in these conditions.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 16:04

Actually got to 17 degrees today , 2 over the predicted 15.
So the warming is still consistent with past few days , if it was my bet the BOM will now change tomorrow from 17 to 20 .If they don't it will be 20 or so anyways. The weekend temps are also jumping up now as well , not unusual though as this long weekend in recent years has always bought very warm weather.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 16:20

Don't forget to check the models for about this time next week, could be something similar. smile Will be watching the models. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 05/03/2015 17:29

Yes I will keep an eye out , thanks for the heads up. BTW the wind has picked up again and a few showers are blasting through.
Only 1.6 on the Mountain now , so just maybe a little more left in this system just yet ? Tomorrow is still forecast for 17 at the max. Will be working on the Glenorchy side of the mountain tomorrow in the landfill site , usually gets a good blast and also a good view of any dusting of snow from that side.
Posted by: crikey

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/03/2015 15:49

"HOBARTIANS could be excused for thinking winter had come early today, waking up to a snow-capped Mt Wellington.

At 8am, the temperature at the summit was a chilly minus 1.8 degrees, with the apparent temperature a teeth-rattling minus 13.2."
http://www.themercury.com.au/news/tasman...1-1227249013557

ROUGH conditions including wind speeds of up to 140km/h have buffeted Tasmania where at least one person has been lucky to escape injury and multiple weather warnings are in place.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/lat...e-1227250781316
Posted by: yep

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 06/03/2015 20:44

Yep, earliest season snow on the mountain since 2006 when there was a fall in February ( does that count? ). That was more substantial than yesterdays and at lower elevation. There was settled snow in March in 2012 ( near mid month ) and a about three days of snow in a row at the end of March in 2008.

It's uncommon to see snow in the first half of March but happened a couple of times in the 1990s.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/03/2015 12:25

Accu Weather is showing a pretty strong outbreak of late warm weather starting around Friday the 20th . Anyone else out there have some other data on this ? and wether it looks like it will happen.
Posted by: payshense

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 07/03/2015 16:15

I've seen snow on the West Coast mountains on Christmas day. Some years ago now. Just goes to show that it can snow anytime of year in Tassie.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2015 17:26

Well Hobart has sprung back into the warms. 25 Degrees here today , looks like beating Adelaide and Melbourne .
Not surprising given it's the Taste of the Huon this long weekend , it never fails to be hot and sunny for the event.
Looking ahead Wednesday could be another very warm one and Thursday seems to have backed off on any extreme cold. Went for a drive up New Norfolk way today , it's so dry and brown up there . So as bushfires go the season is far from over. Especially as it's looking more like a typical over average Indian Summer outlook for the remaining month . In other words , more like we have been accustomed to in recent years. The early snow was great though.:)
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 08/03/2015 17:42

Yes damn hot for march up here too. Hope we both get to cool down properly soon.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 09/03/2015 18:07

Taste of the Huon does it again , BOM predicted 20 degrees and showers. Actual result 25 degrees and not a cloud in sight. tired Maybe next year they will listen ?
Still looking and feeling like some more 25's or so in the next few days. Should cool down a bit Thursday onwards. Next round of heat still showing around the 19th 20th .
Polar trees are just slightly turning lighter in colour the last few days.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/03/2015 09:05

Warm temps hanging on all over the place this March!! frown

At least you are getting some little cool downs, send some up here. smile

That change I was looking at for Thursday seems to have flattened off a bit. Should still cool things, Saturday also may cool a bit.

Yes I can remember quite a few warm days at the Taste. smile Good observation. smile
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/03/2015 12:39

I'll take a 25 degree day anytime guys. Been suffering through mid to high 30's since September with up to 80% humidity. Looking forward to taking a breather down there in April. Recon mission.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 10/03/2015 22:15

A very pleasant 21deg here in Hobart today. SE breeze made it feel a bit cooler though.
Slippery , the place is full of QLD landers at the moment. They are driving around everywhere , I feel like I'm back up there.
My wife and I see a QLD numberplate drive past and we say " there goes another mad Queenslander". I reckon I saw 15 the other day just going to New Norfolk and back. I went to pick up my car from the local auto electrician today , and another QLD lander was in there as well. You certainly will feel right at home down here at the moment for sure. Got the in laws coming from Cairns Kewarra Beach in May , boy are they in for a rude shock. It just might be slightly nippy by then.
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 09:03

Looking forward to a change. Sitting around in your own sweat day after day gets a bit annoying. We will also be down in July. A bit more serious trip that will involve house hunting. Very hard to rent down there it seems if you have any more than one animal, so it looks like purchasing for us straight up.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 09:04

Hey Slippery, you will enjoy it in April, nights will be nice and cool, days around 18 or so but mostly sunny (except for west coast as usual). It will feel quite chilly for you guys until you acclimatise, then you will love it smile

H2O, you have your own Queenslanders as well!! smile Take them up Mt Wellington just to finish them off. smile

That change on Thursday flattening out. Should still cool off though. Maybe an errant flake on top of the higher peaks.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 09:18

We sold our house when we were down there and wanted to rent for a while, VERY difficult with animals we found. Really restricts your options. A hard thing when you love your pets. smile
Posted by: slipperyfish

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 09:42

It's not a massive issue Dave, as we will just buy something that we could rent at a later date if need be. Our pets are our kids, so no question really. As a landlord I can completely understand the issues of too many pets. As is normal these days we must have contingencies in place to deal with the 1% of d'heads that find it completely alright to trash your property.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 09:47

Yes some pet owners leave a place so you'd never know they had a pet and some make a hell of a mess. Pretty sure I know which one you'd be. smile

Our dogs are our grand kids. smile
Posted by: HumphreyBear

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 11/03/2015 12:40

Dr Harry still lives near Lonny doesn't he? smile

Might have to sell the Titans to a willing Hobartian and call them the South Queensland Devils?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2015 10:58

I had a suspicion that Harry may have moved to the Port Macquarie area???? I'm probably wrong smile

Tassie people just have almost zero interest in league, much to my disgust when I moved there. So to really hurt them I refused to enjoy AFL, pretty sure I caused a lot of anguish across the state. smile NOT smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2015 16:22

Felt pretty warm for and 18 degree day , checked the temps and yes we came in at 20 degrees here in Hobart. So the warmth is still around especially when that sun comes out. It sure still has a real sting in it. Still some days ahead in the low twenties ahead. I would say this month will come in a few degrees above average at this stage. Also it's starting to get very dry gain , could do with some more of those previous Summer falls we just had. Outlook is looking very dry unfortunately .
The warmth I talked about on the 19th & 20 the looks like it will come off . Next Thursday 25 degrees , bloody hell ! It's Summer in reverse.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2015 20:48

Hobart is sitting 0.7 above the long term average maximum for March and 0.5 below the long term average minimum - not all that bad. It is looking rather dry in March after greater than average rain in summer, propped up by 70mm in one day.

Max temps were 0.5 up in Feb, 0.2 below in Jan and right on average for Dec. Min temps were still more than a degree above average in all 3 months.

Summer 14/15 was pretty mild all things considered, only 3 days over 30 degrees. 1 in Jan and 2 in Feb, nothing over 35. Even had 5 consec days at the back end of jan and 1st day of Feb that were all under 16, usually the warmest time of the year.
Posted by: Snowies

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2015 20:59

I reckon if you compared the actual temps against the forecast temps then you may have a point about being a few degrees up. Quite possible the BOM are under predicting max temps.

I was in Hobart last weekend, Sunday was a glorious day, rode the bike down the eastern foreshore. Saturday was mild enough, just no sun and a cool breeze made it less enjoyable.
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 12/03/2015 21:49

Yeah Snowies , my bad , not my best work. My brain was talking out loud in general speak. crazy
You are spot on , maybe 1 degree or less is on the cards.
Also correct about the BOM underestimating the max. It's been pretty consistent over the last 5 days with being under forecasted.
I think the last run of consistent warmer days also coincided with the last QLD cyclone. Seems to be happening again , but I'm just guessing ? I don't know if there are any meteorological evidence of such events drawing warm air over the far south ? Melbourne and Adelaide are in for some pretty warm days of near 30 degrees or over . So maybe it's all relative ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 13/03/2015 09:13

We have a similar issue up here with the heat refusing to go away (inland not coast). We still have mostly max temps of around 28 to 31 of late. Way above average and refusing to die. We still have a forecast of 30 for late next week as well, crazy for March here.

So I feel your angst at the warm days. smile

Rainfall - same same, my yard is DUST!! it shouldn't be, we have areas of very high deficiencies all over NSW and that is similar to the East of Tas. My son was down there for a week, came home yesterday, pictures of Russell Falls show the typical late summer/autumnal little trickle on the left hand edge.

You need (as do we) about 3 or 4 days of steady soaking rain giving a total up around 100mm or more.!!

Storms are about but too much space between them and places are either feast or famine with them.

Anyhow all of us hope for Autumnal temps and some proper rain. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 16/03/2015 20:34

I see the heat is on for Wed & Thurs this week. I Have been watching on Accu Weather for some time now. Looks like 25 degrees on Thurs , pretty warm considering we didn't have all that many days like that in Summer proper. Also some more warm days ahead on Sunday and early next week. The pattern is starting to look like last year now. The decent rain is gone , things are drying out and like last year the closer we get to Winter the warm days continue to appear. Accu has April looking like it could be on the warm side as well.
Hey Dave in NSW and others I see you guys are going to cop it with some very hot days for this time of the year. I see a forum has been opened for the event . I saw the Bathurst forecast , very warm indeed . No fun at all.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/03/2015 09:16

Yep H2O, you and us and plenty of others all going through somewhat similar things. Damned dry and very warm. We are running around 3 degrees above average so far this month. It will cool though for us after this weekend. A turning point is arriving with the equinox. smile

You have a pretty good cool down coming at you on Thursday/Friday (snow on peaks) and then again on Monday/Thursday if models are correct.

Also it may surprise you to know it will become windy as well. wink Not that it's often very breezy in Tas. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/03/2015 10:06

A smoky sort of morning today in Hobart and surrounds. A few hazard reduction burns taking place , I thought they might leave them till later this month or next given the winds and heat are still with us. Currently 16 degrees after overnight of 11 degrees, a good start on the 21 forecast. Will depend wether the few showers predicted for this arvo come through or not ?
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 17/03/2015 10:16

The two things I least enjoyed living in Tassie was the too common very strong winds and especially those burn offs. Poor Huonville was often cloaked in heavy smoke and fog for weeks. Other areas of course similar issues and I wonder at the long term health effects on some communities from those burns!!

Gives a good sunset photo but boy, most of the forestry is in the middle or west of the state, most of the population is in the east AND of course the prevailing winds are westerly!!

One day down near Lake Skinner (down Judbury/Lonnavale way) we were walking to the lake and saw the chopper doing it's burn thing, the fires grew so large so rapidly it worried us on our walk. Incredible how quickly it goes up!!
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2015 13:54

Hobart 25.6 degrees today so far , out doing Melbourne & Adelaide so far. A few showers also making pretty sticky.
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2015 14:26

I've got you covered though, we've been to 30.5!! smile

You can have the "sticky" but at least a shower or 2 - good. smile

I do like your temps from Friday onwards!! smile Wish I was there to enjoy it. smile
Posted by: MOUNTAIN h2o

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 18/03/2015 17:04

Hobart still close to 25 degrees at 5:00pm this afternoon, it's going to be a warm night for March.
Tomorrow's forecast has just got a bit scary ,
25 degrees and winds North westerly 20 to 30kmr increasing to 45kmr by midday .
A few showers in the morning and late afternoon.
Fire Danger High.
Lets hope no outbreaks occur , would be difficult to contain any fires in those conditions. Fridays cool down can not come quick enough. crazy
Posted by: DaveM

Re: What's happening in Tassie? - 19/03/2015 09:18

I see there are some showers about from the NW, unfortunately they usually don't drop a lot from that direction. Probably a bit steamy down there I imagine? Wind not bad so far. smile

Forecast min tonight for you about 10 degrees, that's a bit better. smile We will be 16 tonight and I won't enjoy that much. Then we get our cooler morning Saturday (11).

You get to cool down first, enjoy it. smile
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