Huge seas likely for the southeast

Posted by: gustfront

Huge seas likely for the southeast - 05/06/2002 23:27

The wave models are pumping out some impressive wave heights across the southeast over the next few days. 72 hour NOGAPS has 24 foot waves affecting the SA coast. Be interested to hear reports from anyone down that way over the next few days.
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 06/06/2002 14:15

Hi GF,
I have been watching this developing system very closely since last Wednesday - it's a very complex arrangement, with a large SW component advancing towards the coastline during Friday. The arrival of the SW groundswell front isn't due into the SA coast until Friday night, however there's some pretty large windswell ahead of that. AVN is also progging a small area around 55S 125E that should assist in the development of a more SSW swell, which will help the southerly facing beaches (including Victoria) pick up some big surf.

Adelaide forecasts (covering this event in detail) are at Swellnet .

Cheers, Ben
Posted by: 350rat

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 06/06/2002 20:50

Bells beach willhandle the size of the swell if they get a northerly wind the surf will be epic.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 10:22

Yeah looking great...seeing that its the long weekend I might head down to Bullies - one of my fav bodyboarding spots. But i guess ill have to be careful...last time I went there I got smashed to bits and peices just about....hope they are clean lines will have the time of my life!!!!

TS cool
Posted by: liz

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 11:21

Hi thunderstruck, where is the spot Bullies that you refer to. It is a bit draughty around the drawers down this way at the moment so be careful if you venture out, I dont want to have to carve Lennie was here on the rocks. Anyway, enjoy your long weekend, if the surf is not good the Port Elliot Bakery is always a good place to visit. Liz.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 11:29

LOL Liz no need for that im a careful fella smile

Pt. Elliott fish and chips shop sells the best whiting since the earth was born. Ill be having that for sure but better not go in water to soon after because the sharks will be after me...terrific sense of smell they have.

Bullies is just along to the east of Chiton rocks near Boomer but not quite that far...I go in that spot between Chiton and Boomer all the time.....it can get very rough and dangerous due to steep beach and killer shories....

TS cool
Posted by: liz

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 11:48

Gustfront,to get back on to your topic,the Transport S.A. website www.transport.sa.gov.au/webcams.asp has a webcam on Granite Island(which is off Victor Harbor). The camera shows the sea, but it is not a picture to rave about. I can see this area from home, ATM with a strong NW blowing,the sea is full of white caps,an ugly day to be in a boat. Liz.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 11:55

There is another site that has got cams for middleton, Bullies, dump, mid coast etc etc.... I thinks its something like southcam...great site with a load of cams smile

TS cool
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 12:41

Gulf St Vincent is starting to feel the effects of the increasing groundswell and windswell. Surf size is currently a foot or so overhead, which is quite respectable for this stretch of coastline. The tide is coming in until 2:30pm, but the surf should rise all day as the winds veer WNW. Metro beaches already have small surf, which should increase later aswell. (non-SA people should be made aware at the irregularity of this kind of swell event! head high waves along the Mid Coast are quite infrequent)

The Victor Harbour stretch is, by comparison, flat. The current approaching swell is too W in direction to wrap into Encounter bay, however a more SSW swell will arrive during Saturday which looks like being on the large size smile .

Model data is still going for a decaying westerly stream late Sunday and through Monday; in these circumstances the South Coast's terrestrial influences tends to affect the wind flow, and I'm hoping for light NW winds along the coast.

waiting...waiting... smile
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 12:49

Quote:

There is another site that has got cams...something like southcam
'Southcam' is now 'Wavewatch', Lennie, and unfortunately you are required to be a member to access the cam images - at $55.

Alternately, try the Adelaide Sailing Club at West Beach, Glenelg Jetty cam (with links at the bottom to other SA beaches - although they only update once or twice a day max), and the Granite Island and North Haven cams as mentioned by Liz.
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 13:41

Neptune Island is currently recording W winds at 49kts, gusting to 60 (!)

BoM have issued a SWA for almost all SA waters smile
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 13:48

Surf is increasing quickly on metro beaches; around shoulder to head high now but very northerly and wind-affected at Glenelg.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 15:44

Ben u had a chance to stroll down along the foreshore down at Glenelg? U live close to there ive heard...from up here at Uni Brighton looks like a froth and a grey couldron. Must be some huge waves crashing against the rock wall and jetty's....bye bye embryo dunes....

TS cool
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 07/06/2002 18:09

Just got in from a great surf out the front of my house (I live on the foreshore at Glenelg, Lennie :p ). The surf picked up quickly behind the change - sets weeellll overhead at the Jetty towards dark, with plenty of stinging rain when the wind gusted up around 30kts+ (ouch!). Pity about the crowd though - I was on my own for 45 mins, then around 20 people decided it looked alright aswell.
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 08/06/2002 13:49

Victor Harbour has seen the swell increase steadily all morning, with wave heights at some of the exposed beaches now around double overhead (some of the biggest surf we have had here in about 4 months). Winds were NW earlier this morning, but gusts appear to be tending W with passing showers. Ecellent waves to be had!

The Mid Coast still has plenty of swell overhead high, but is affected by onshore winds.

Vic has seen a steadily increasing swell all morning, and it won't stop here either - I am expecting another swell surge later Sunday/Monday which should see some really large waves on the Surf Coast. With predominantly NW winds, there will be some epic sessions going down over the next few days.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 09/06/2002 22:05

I didnt go to Bullies today or Victor...I thought the better of it lol but went to Southport just near north of Rivermouth. I didnt have a lot of time on my hands but still enjoyed my 1 hour bodyboard and the waves were pretty big but messy. Lotta wind coming in onshore the waves were head high. Got a sweet rip each time that helped my journey back out to the back against a barrage of waves smile so i had some fun.

TS cool
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 12/06/2002 10:47

It's a real shame there's such little interest in marine weather.....*sigh*...biggest swell in months and only a handful of postees - yet a tiny bit of convection and the thread gets 300 replies...

Headed to western Victoria Mon/Tues to chase the swell, and witnessed some of the largest waves I've seen in years - a few 'unnamed' protected reefs were around the double overhead mark, and a visit to a few of the exposed areas had mammoth amounts of water moving through - perhaps 15'-20'? Who knows. I usually just classify anything above 10' into the 'too big' category smile

And as seen via the Bells pics on surfshop.com.au, the 'surf coast' saw some hefty waves - even some tow-ins throughout Tuesday when the swell was at it's peak.

Plenty more on the way for SA this week too.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 12/06/2002 10:57

Cool....yeah I reckon later todday the swell should start to arrive and then by sat with that intense low some serious waves will be around with cleaner ones for sun and mon. 5ft for Mid today and sat and also for sotuh coast....BRING IT ON I SAY!!!

TS cool
Posted by: liz

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 12/06/2002 12:15

Hi Thermalben,just to try to cheer you up, the chicken run looked to be magic yesterday early morning, but I couldn't tell you the wave height. I haven't seen it like that for a while. Looked a good spot to put the board in. Liz.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 12/06/2002 14:24

WHOA!!!! CG sorry bit excited!!!

anyway, I go to Chicken Run sometimes....I like Horseshoe bay....it can turn on some heavy shories....did u check it out? Also how was Freeman Knob looking? Nice spot that is!!

TS cool
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 09:05

Cheers Liz, thanks for that smile

The main swell event from this discussion has now passed (unless NZ counts...) but it's looking like the next week and a half will see continual surf along both local SA coasts with a series of lows expected to pass through the upper Bight region.

Ahh, winter! Love it smile
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 10:18

Ben surely this cut off low will generate some pretty hefty swell along the mid and metro coastline?? like 6ft on the mid and 3ft on the metro? or is it because the low is a cut-off and the fetch distance wont be as great?

TS cool
Posted by: Alex Zadnik

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 10:21

It's a real shame there's such little interest in marine weather.....*sigh*...biggest swell in months and only a handful of postees - yet a tiny bit of convection and the thread gets 300 replies...
I agree Ben!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Although I have not been posting myself this week I have been keeping an eye on the swell all week. Surfshop photo's of Bells have looked epic!
I have had reports from a freind who surfed deep inside Western Port on Tuesday, and was calling the sets 5ft..........it must of been huge out to sea (sounds like you're 15ft-20ft estimation would have been reasonable!).
Where in VIC did you go Ben? Did you make the west coast or did you stay out Portland way.
I'm heading down to Victoria tonight, alas a week too late! hopefully well see some sort of a wave while I'm down there though- it's dead flat here in Sydney!
At first glance, the wind looks like it will swing northwest late Fri in VIC and tend more Northerly on Saturday. So hopefully I will get some nice clean waves (and I'll also get to wear my steamer for the first time this year!)
Alex
Posted by: liz

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 11:07

Hi guys,I think the reason for my lack of reporting is that because we are living close to the sea we take it for granted when a big sea is working. It is a bit like the whale watching at the moment, with all the whales sighted I have lost interest. I dont go surfing(used to)therefore wouldn't be good at wave height reporting. I would gladly report our times out in the boat,during summer, but that is off the thread a bit. Liz.
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 11:54

Quote:
Johnny Utah:
Where in VIC did you go Ben?
G'day Alex
Generally not too keen to blow locations, but yep, in the Portland vicinity. Ventured back to Pt MacDonnell on Tuesday (SA) aswell.

Not looking as nice in the Vic area for this weekend though; there will still be swell (just not as big) but with blustery offshore winds throughout Sat and Sun with this low parking itself in the Bight.

Quote:
TS
surely this cut off low will generate some pretty hefty swell along the mid and metro coastline
I'm still watching it closely, Lennie - the low is progging to be large, but the associated fetch isn't as desirable as I would like.
The metro beaches need a combination of factors to ensure rideable surf, but even the latest AVN run is showing 20-25kt NW winds Sat veering SSW later Sun (winds from the WNW thru' SW are a much needed parameter - wind directions outside of these boundaries will limit swell development severely).

Most of the groundswell generated in the Bight will arrive throughout Saturday, but the low looks like stalling and dissapating a little just as it nears Pt Lincoln. SSW winds are most unfavourable (with regard for pushing swell into the gulf).

I'm still going for possible 4ft surf along the Mid for later Sat and thru' Sunday, however this is something not to be sneered at - 4ft surf is not a regular occurence. The 00Z update will shed a little more light on how this low develops.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 14:53

I might check out 3-poles on sat or sun - depends which day Im free.....more so sun cos I cant bear to miss the state footy match! Havent been to the pole for a while - 3months now. might give it a go...

TS cool
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 16:02

Looking unlikely for large storm surf along the Mid Coast this weekend now; Sat will have 15-20kt NW winds during the day, with groundswell in the 2-3' mark. AVN is now progging calm conditions over the region for Sunday morning! Could see some small glassy waves along the Mid before the winds picks up from the south later on in the day and strengthens.
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 20:29

Darn with that low ud think that there would be some sort of swell around on sunday!!!! hrmmm u reckon its worth goin out on sunday arvo?? or should I give it a miss and save me some petrol?

TS cool
Posted by: Rainlover

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 13/06/2002 22:26

Thermalben, would that secret surfing spot of yours be Cape Bridgewater just out of Portland :rolleyes: wink wink :rolleyes: :rolleyes: wink

Rainlover laugh
Posted by: thermalben

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 14/06/2002 08:37

nup.
keep guessing
Posted by: Thunderstruck

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 14/06/2002 10:08

I reckon Ive got a good idea...hehehe but cant remember the name of the place.....its well known for monster waves anyway....

TS cool
Posted by: Rainlover

Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast - 14/06/2002 21:10

Is it west or east of Portland. Is it the area around the duck's head (on Mt Gambier if you face your head to the left you can see a duck's head. Last year for camp i had to walk round this duck's head, then canoe (sp?) over the lake. anyway we went surfing in Cape Bridgewater.

Is it near Cape Nelson?

Rainlover laugh