I've noticed the Tasman Peninsula (Port Arthur etc.) has been copping the SW'ly stream showers, unfortunately they don't get to Hobart because of the rain shadow effect. In more "gutsy" frontal weather these showers penetrate, and pre-frontal NW'ly rainbands are a chance too of course. I hate to see Tassie dry because it really shouldn't be- more like the UK/NZ than Australia climate wise which means lighter but more regular rainfall.
It's been pretty dry up this way too as DaveM can attest. Though we are closer to the ravages of the dry interior we do benefit from tropical systems, pretty rare for those to make it all the way to Tassie.
Will certainly agree S_B , I'm thankful we got a few mm on Saturday that's for sure. We certainly are in a Rain Shadow.
Even more so where I am on the Lenah Valley side of Mt.Wellington. Last year most of our rain came from the East Coast and not from over the mountain , where I usually get it.
You could always look up and if Mt. Wellington was black and socked in you knew you were going to cop it , rain and hail !! This all changed last year and this year so far.
The patterns of the blocking Highs keeping the Lows and cold fronts from coming across are continuing on from last year.
I don't know , but I really just get the feeling we are going to receive very little rain and will be in even bigger trouble than last year come fire season. I really hope that's not the case and we back to our usual wet Winter pattern soon.