Unless the op manual is out of date they only cover up to 125E. This is numbered 20U.

THIS WARNING IS PROVIDED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE JAKARTA
AND ISSUED FOR THE CIRCULAR AREA OF METAREA XI (POR) BY JMA

INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

SECURITE

OCEAN GALE AND STORM WARNING

OCEAN GALE AND STORM WARNING FOR AREA 0 - 10 S, 90 - 141 E
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 07:11 UTC 07 May 2012

SITUATION
At 00:00 UTC Tropical Depression 1000 hPa was within 65 nautical miles of 7.0 S 128.3 E

This tropical depression may develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 12-24 hours.

FORECAST
Clockwise winds reaching 25 knots expected to increase to 30 knots in the next 24 hours.
High seas may exceed Rough to Very Rough scale and rising swell.

12:00 UTC 07 May: Within 55 nautical miles of 7.4 S 128.3 E
Central pressure 999 hPa.
Wind speed reaching 30 knots near centre.
00:00 UTC 08 May: Within 105 nautical miles of 7.9 S 127.9 E
Central pressure 999 hPa.
Wind speed reaching 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
Next warning will be issued by 13:00 UTC 07 May 2012.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre JAKARTA

ACCESS interactive indicating a small tight, surface low persisting north of darwin and shifting westward in the coming days
ACCESS suggests that it is still well formed as far away as next sunday 13th may
however ACCESS not suggesting a corresponding low in the mid and upper layers atm
upper trough north of darwin on friday arvo
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
noticed this low is not on boms 4 day synoptic forecast?

GFS and CMC models have picked up on this LOW for a few day now. EC has been a little non commital to anything out there. JTWC and the NAVY SITE are all over it with forecast future winds up to 75knts and issuing a cyclone alert. MMMMMMM I think I might wait until JTWC and the Navy site update cause looking at the MSat Scans at the moment there is nothing overly promising looking that represent a cyclone at the moment. Especially where they are pinpointing it.

Give it 24hrs and the real truth will be spelt out cyclone or no cyclone, Model vs model. All interesting but I am still sitting on the fence as to anyhting forming to a cyclone level just yet. Knock me off the fence JTWC/Navy site if you must but it looks like a dogs breakfast up there at the moment.

Hmmmm Popeye... they've blown an extremely good record if they are wrong.
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh1912.gif

WTXS31 PGTW 070900 AMD
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001A AMENDED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001A AMENDED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 6.9S 129.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 6.9S 129.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 7.6S 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 8.4S 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 9.7S 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 10.8S 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 12.3S 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 12.7S 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 13.0S 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 7.1S 129.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A BROAD, EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE
INITIAL POSITION WAS BASED ON THE MSI. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS
BASED ON PGTW AND KNES DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 30 TO 45 KNOTS.
A 070120Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 30 KNOT WINDS
WRAPPING AROUND THE OUTER PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA
OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. TC
19S IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY TURN POLEWARD AS A SUBTROPICAL STEERING
RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE TOP END OF AUSTRALIA STRENGTHENS. THE SYSTEM
SHOULD TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER THIS STEERING INFLUENCE. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS INTO A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT, CLOSER TO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. HOWEVER, AFTER
TAU 72, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS INITIALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT
UNTIL AFTER TAU 36, WHEN THE MODELS DIVERGE. BOTH GFDN AND GFS
MAINTAIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK, WHERE UKMO AND NOGAPS MAINTAIN A
MORE WESTWARD TRACK WITH A STRONGER STEERING RIDGE. THIS FORECAST
FAVORS A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AND IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF MODEL
CONSENSUS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT:
NEW MSI SHOWED THE LLCC TRACKED FARTHER SOUTHEASTWARD BEFORE THE
TURN POLEWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN

Ok I concede lol. they have been pretty good over the yeasr. Does someone want to start a new thread for this one as I dont know where to post and its a definate sytem to talk about. cheers

I started a thread in the World section at
http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea..._ad#Post1103444

But, I have posted some Indonesian warnings (not in English) in this thread and I want to keep them separate from the English/Australian thread.

I will leave it to moderators to decide how to handle it

Steven, the appropriate thread in this case is the the Banda one. It's more related to WA than world but I understand why you would wish to create a separate thread (don't get me started on the cyclone lounge...LOL)