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#1414363 - 22/03/2017 21:12 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
rainiac Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 508
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
GFS forecasting te southerly to move up the coast and stall in the NR tomorrow morning. Could a wettish day for this area tomorrow.
btw I received 15.1mm yesterday.

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#1414370 - 22/03/2017 21:23 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Timbuck Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/10/2013
Posts: 150
Loc: Highland park , Gold Coast
I was quite surprised today to have solid showers and solid rain patches for a few hrs from a cloud that decided to park it's self and Bach build a little. 37mm today was the closest official reading , but I'm calling for 50+ here as I was dead centre of a good yellow cell for quite while. Most fell between 12 and 3pm.

Tim

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#1414378 - 22/03/2017 21:58 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 2547
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
I'm just so over this crappy dripping tap over out place, damn well rain or go away. Drizzle & dripping last few days making me mad.
The green drought continues.

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#1414382 - 22/03/2017 22:20 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 2837
Loc: Yatala, Gold Coast QLD
Will send some your way Mad Elf seeming how you've been generous to Us sending it this way straight off the ocean.


Edited by Steve O (22/03/2017 22:21)

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#1414415 - Yesterday at 08:28 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4155
Loc: Wynnum
Wynnum Nth 24 hour rain 4.4mm.
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Wyn Nth 2017-Jan107.6(158),Feb24.4(149),Mar147.6(123),YTD279.6(430.2),

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#1414443 - Yesterday at 10:40 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 2547
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Thanks SteveO, got another massive .25mm dripfeed. Another lot of dripping atm.
On a more happier note, lovely field mushrooms a plenty here.

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#1414448 - Yesterday at 11:19 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Pharbelle Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/04/2013
Posts: 105
Loc: Burrum Heads , Qld
Another 31mm last night and I'm up to 232mm for this event. The excavator had to plough ahead as the rain wasn't letting up so it's a little muddy here now. I got a tilt tray in yesterday to move a 20 foot shipping container and the excavator had to tow it up the hill as it was just so greasy. Can't complain though, the dam and the tanks are pretty full. smile

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#1414455 - Yesterday at 12:15 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4172
Loc: Brisbane
Whilst most major forecasting models are currently predicting the developing tropical low in the Coral Sea to cross the coast in FNQ, CMC is going for a coast hugger.

Whilst CMC is the outlier and a model that performs consistently weaker than the other models, if the system does end up stronger than initially forecast I could certainly see it taking a more southerly track due to the upper level steering influences.

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#1414530 - Yesterday at 15:51 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5126
Loc: Diamond Valley
Locke, yes, I am constantly amazed at how CMC always seems to have a default southerly movement in its runs for these systems. They almost never come off. It's as if it doesn't factor in environmental steering influences. In the absence of this, one would expect an inevitable polewards movement to kick in. Otherwise know as beta drift.
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#1414585 - Yesterday at 19:00 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Timbuck Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/10/2013
Posts: 150
Loc: Highland park , Gold Coast
That slow moving rain band of the border has some good rain in it. Just got a txt from my parents at kyogle they have had over 80mm in the last hr. Hopefully it keep creeping north

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#1414605 - Yesterday at 20:59 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 511
Loc: Bardon 4065
Looks like it is starting to split Timbuck. Strongest section heading along the range to the north the rest seems almost at a standstill. Could do with a nice drop to cool things down a bit. Very humid in Brisbane at the moment.
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If at first you donít succeed Ė call it Version 1.0

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#1414606 - Yesterday at 20:59 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 2547
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
14mm last half hour, wonderful!

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#1414648 - Yesterday at 23:03 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Mad Elf #1.5]
kg8 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/10/2014
Posts: 87
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD and brisbane
Originally Posted By: Mad Elf #1.5
14mm last half hour, wonderful!

Yes I can see it on the BOM now, a nice little cell lurking right over our respected areas. Looks like I'll be up mowing the grass again soon.


Edited by kg8 (Yesterday at 23:04)

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#1414686 - Today at 07:08 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 2547
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
67mm from that liiittle cell last night, just amazing, plenty solid rain, no wind, lightning or thunder. I'd say that be the last decent rain we get for a while unless the remnants of the system up north come through this way somehow.


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (Today at 07:09)

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#1414701 - Today at 08:41 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Mad Elf #1.5]
Timbuck Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/10/2013
Posts: 150
Loc: Highland park , Gold Coast
Originally Posted By: Mad Elf #1.5
67mm from that liiittle cell last night, just amazing, plenty solid rain, no wind, lightning or thunder. I'd say that be the last decent rain we get for a while unless the remnants of the system up north come through this way somehow.


Nice drop... I'm happy it kept going for you smile

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#1414751 - Today at 11:09 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1398
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
Very surprised BOM haven't issues a heads up regarding the possible cyclone, that looks like a certainty
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If it's Flooded - FORGET IT

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#1414753 - Today at 11:10 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Ken Kato Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 4091
Originally Posted By: paulcirrus
Bom are very confident about tomorrow 6 to 25 mm and cloudy, meaning overcast. This will be interesting. Where's the overcast skies comming from?

It was overcast here for much of Sun morning except very early on.

I posted elsewhere on Fri that after the temporary dry W'ly flow on Sat, the models were going for a moist N to NE flow to become re-established overnight Sat night with a corresponding increase in showers and thunderstorms starting to stream down from the Sunshine Coast overnight... before the flow becomes even more onshore on Sun with moisture and precip persisting. Lots more moisture and precip = more cloud.

This is another good example of those occasional times when things can change suddenly and current radar doesn't always represent what things will be like in a few hours time - see archived radar below:

http://www.theweatherchaser.com/radar-loop/IDR663-brisbane/2017-03-18-01/2017-03-19-01

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#1414824 - 53 minutes 48 seconds ago Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
BIG T Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 24/01/2012
Posts: 829
Loc: Albany Creek , QLD
good example of it up around hervey bay marynorough today , started off fine and clear , didnt take long before it was dropping chunky showers , same all way down to gympie where i am now.

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#1414835 - 16 minutes 6 seconds ago Re: SE QLD/NE NSW Upper low then ECL/Trough, with showers/thunder/rain areas 12 to 24 March 2017 [Re: Taylsy]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 511
Loc: Bardon 4065
Yes fine and sunny here this morning, but has clouded over. Nice heavy shower of rain here at the moment in the western suburbs.
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If at first you donít succeed Ė call it Version 1.0

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