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#1414330 - 22/03/2017 19:24 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
gleno01 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2010
Posts: 87
Loc: Shepparton
hey guys whats the outlook for the the next few months , l herd a nasty rumour that vic is going to be below average rainfall,
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#1414335 - 22/03/2017 19:47 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 910
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Scrapped out 12mm so far for this event.
Hopefully another 1/2" or so early next week
And that should do nicely!
Been foggy drizzly windy day up here all
Today

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#1414336 - 22/03/2017 19:49 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 910
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
G'day gleno, I've heard the same thing that
We could be in elnino phase through winter??
Hopefully not

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#1414357 - 22/03/2017 21:02 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5676
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Originally Posted By: doogasnow
G'day gleno, I've heard the same thing that
We could be in elnino phase through winter??
Hopefully not


Here here! Unless it's a repeat of 2009/2010 I ain't gonna be happy, no sir! mad frown

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#1414372 - 22/03/2017 21:27 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2191
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Gleno01 and Doogasnow good question

AENSO Outlook chart was Inactive few months ago and Now is Watch..

The Cold uppers far Southern Ocean "Polar Belt" looks stronger.
So I hope WA,SA and SE Australia still wet winter frontal.

Perth has cool winter last week

Looks like very Short Summer than Devil 2015/2016 Heatwave.
My records is over 30c days
Bendigo.

November 2 days
December 10 days
January 16 Days
February 10 days
March 11 days

Nov 1st to March 22nd
49 hot days out off Cool low 20c to 29c is 93 days

We only had 3 Days of 40c
January 17th
February 9th
February 10th

its a worry if High pressure keep Easterly Dip like over summer will kill S/W "Westerly wind" flow away "slip in Tasmanian Sea.. for Victoria and NSW likely trough along Coast heavy wild weather infeed by Easterly wind..

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#1414419 - 23/03/2017 08:57 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: gleno01]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 286
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: gleno01
hey guys whats the outlook for the the next few months , l herd a nasty rumour that vic is going to be below average rainfall,

POAMA outloook for Winter is dry.

Low accuracy! Caution when using this outlook.
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Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1414422 - 23/03/2017 09:03 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 286
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.

MSLP anomaly. Same Caveats Apply to this Experimental product.
_________________________
Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1414425 - 23/03/2017 09:15 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1528
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
To 0900 this morning, a wonderful 24.5mm from this event with 4mm overnight when it all looked to be over on the radar.

Very handy bit of rain, for us near enough to an Autumn Break event that is to late in the year to dry off.

This morning is a dull 100% cloud calm morning and the paddocks are greening as you look at them. Radar shows clear skies but it's still misty light rain here & where ever you look outside.

With a good chance of follow up rains, as previously mentioned, and some heat ie 34C Monday next, some good growth is on the way for the mini flock of Dorpers at home.
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March-49mm
April-40mm. May-12mm. June-11mm to 0900 24th.

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#1414434 - 23/03/2017 09:44 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5676
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 15.3C, currently around 17C and cloudy.

Collected another 1mm of rain this morning. smile

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#1414581 - 23/03/2017 18:44 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1528
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
1.5mm since 0900 this AM, 26mm for event and still overcast.

Had some sun during the day and high humidity with it.
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March-49mm
April-40mm. May-12mm. June-11mm to 0900 24th.

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#1414583 - 23/03/2017 18:56 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6394
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Just poured out another 3mm from overnight showers and light rainy periods this morning, a total of 22.75mm. Fantastic, drizzle patches still about even now.

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#1414586 - 23/03/2017 19:06 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5676
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Reached 25.3C here in Belgrave today, a full 10C about the overnight low! smile

Gloriously warm and mostly sunny with a fresh southeasterly breeze. I noted some high cloud beginning to appear across the northwest horizon late this arvo btw.

Currently around 19C.

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#1414698 - 24/03/2017 08:22 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Alexia Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/12/2002
Posts: 564
Loc: Corryong
We had 51.5mm for this system very lucky as it did vary quite a lot around here more people had around 30 to 40mm. Can't believe how green it is already.

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#1414705 - 24/03/2017 08:48 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
gleno01 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2010
Posts: 87
Loc: Shepparton
thanks for your help guys, will study what you have posted chers gleno
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check out my you tube channel gleno2008

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#1414738 - 24/03/2017 10:25 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5676
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 12.2C, currently around 18C and partly cloudy. smile

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#1414962 - 24/03/2017 19:00 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6394
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Just poured out another 0.5 mm from overnight showers and light rainy periods this morning, a total of 23.25mm. smile

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#1416199 - 26/03/2017 19:48 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 539
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Very late in posting (apologies) - but I got a total of 21mm out of this event. Never had rain of any intensity but the drizzle was almost never-ending - so ended up with a very soaking 21mm.

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