Page 8 of 8 < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Topic Options
#1428886 - 25/07/2017 21:17 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Wave Rider Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5850
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Thanks guys, I always find it interesting to look at stats like this when I have the time.

Btw 06z GFS is not letting go of this 'heat wave' with 18C at 925mb over Sydney on both Saturday and Sunday. I'm contemplating making a thread, since this is locked in I would say.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

Top
#1428887 - 25/07/2017 21:21 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5049
Loc: Dural
Go for it WR.
Why not? It's a winter heatwave.

Top
#1429043 - Yesterday at 08:24 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4064
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
The first week of August is looking good for rain, not huge amounts and west of the divide should see some falls too!!
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 41.0mm
YTD 997.3mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1429053 - Yesterday at 09:20 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9522
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
To me the patterns are changing for August. Long term GFS showing different progressions of systems in my eyes.

Showing more moisture about than for many months. Hopefully a really good cold change around the middle of the month - but that's just "hope" talking smile

Top
#1429057 - Yesterday at 09:40 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 198
Loc: Newcastle
How often would the blue mountains have a winter without a settled snow fall?

Top
#1429059 - Yesterday at 09:45 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1696
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Seeing that delicious low that will be mostly fended off by high like every front this winter is infuriating.


Edited by Knot (Yesterday at 09:48)
_________________________
The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

Top
#1429064 - Yesterday at 09:54 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9522
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Not often at all I reckon SM. However settled falls in the BM's have been getting lighter/fewer.

Katoomba less and less, Blackheath generally still gets a couple of half decent falls a year.

However this year will be touch and go it seems.

Top
#1429074 - Yesterday at 11:56 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Ben Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/10/2002
Posts: 5294
Loc: Loganholme/Tweed Coast
Hey Orangeroughy (in reply to my previous post), my judgement is based off just watching the patterns as a forecaster + current fortnightly models (which indicate a cut off low event in early August now bringing some good rain to NSW/VIC), plus watching the CFS model (at https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis...xpos=0&ypos=492).
This model has also been going hard on a cooler October (though it has backed off a little lately) + wetter spring for a while, so will be interesting to see what happens smile The recent runs have really upped the rain for August, which only a couple of weeks ago was really dry for this part of the world.


Edited by Ben (Yesterday at 11:58)

Top
#1429082 - Yesterday at 13:33 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 647
Loc: Orange, NSW
Thanks Ben. Appreciate your update. cool
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

Top
Page 8 of 8 < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Who's Online
5 registered (Twister1, betsuin, Wave Rider, aussiestormfreak, 1 invisible), 275 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Roddy, sparra
Forum Stats
29315 Members
32 Forums
23644 Topics
1456611 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image