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#1466762 - 01/07/2018 19:30 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: rainthisway]
Ollieo Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 11
Loc: Mundingburra
The forecasts don't seem to stack up do they? Whenever there is a setup like this with a north westerly flow the models (and by extension the BOM forecast) seem to overcook the rainfall.

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#1466792 - 02/07/2018 09:09 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
When the rain tumbles down in July....

44mm - most of which fell overnight.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1466827 - 02/07/2018 22:01 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25280
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
damn good drop, saw a decent area of rain over the ingham area about 3am, sadly didnt move south.
still got 14mm in Kirwan, cant complain with that after 3 months of virtually nothing.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1466833 - 03/07/2018 07:48 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14221
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
6mm over 2 days.
Meh back to sleep mode again.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1466835 - 03/07/2018 08:37 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12967
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
17mm in BG from this event.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1467568 - 19/07/2018 09:43 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Still Bom claims El Nino watch yet outlooks don't support this...please someone explain why there is a El Nino watch when only one model is showing El Nino in the outlook graph. Am I missing something somewhere.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1467582 - 19/07/2018 11:06 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1365
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
"The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral—neither El Niño nor La Niña. However, warming in the tropical Pacific Ocean and recent model outlooks suggest an increased likelihood of El Niño developing during the Australian spring. As a result, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook is at El Niño WATCH, meaning there is roughly a 50% chance of El Niño developing later in the year (double the climatological average)"

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#1467867 - 26/07/2018 16:50 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25280
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
a shameless plus here folks. I entered one of my storm photos in a local council photography comp. If you are on facebook i would love it if you could click on the link and 'like' the photo. cheers.

Click Here
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1467881 - 27/07/2018 08:11 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25280
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
a few chunky showers about this morning, a real surprise. poured in the city for a while about 3am
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1467889 - 27/07/2018 12:03 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Nerd65 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 426
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
Yep. Was woken up by rain sometime in the early hours.
_________________________
Linux is Star Trek; Windows is Star Wars.

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#1467984 - 30/07/2018 08:21 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14221
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Small shower about the only thing worthy of a mention in the last week or 2. Bloody boring the cold weather.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1467985 - 30/07/2018 09:14 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12967
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Has felt cooler, but both the minimums and maximums have been about 1C above the July average.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1468241 - 03/08/2018 19:05 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Nerd65 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 426
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
Looks like a short lived bout of very dry air pushing through our area on Tuesday/Wednesday next week.
_________________________
Linux is Star Trek; Windows is Star Wars.

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#1468267 - 04/08/2018 08:55 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12967
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup, just as I was starting think that we were on the way to warmer minimums. This winter still has some legs yet.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1468439 - 07/08/2018 08:53 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14221
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Bored into numbness by this weather.
Roll on the Wet.

I sincerely hope we get a large Gulf Cyclone that heads south and brings a shed load of rain to the middle of Queensland and NSW to break this drought.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1468453 - 07/08/2018 12:30 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: hickory]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: hickory
"The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral—neither El Niño nor La Niña. However, warming in the tropical Pacific Ocean and recent model outlooks suggest an increased likelihood of El Niño developing during the Australian spring. As a result, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook is at El Niño WATCH, meaning there is roughly a 50% chance of El Niño developing later in the year (double the climatological average)"


I read that but going off the outlooks, it shows remaining neutral, no indication of El Nino...all models minus 1 are within neutral phases.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1468498 - 08/08/2018 10:35 Re: North Queensland Dry Season - Cardwell to Bowen - 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 722
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
My new weather station measured a low of 2.2c in my back yard this morning at around 6:10am.

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