"There is still an opportunity to exceed this" reminds me of the rather unfortunate episode at the tail end of the very active 1984-85 fire season in Canberra (when just about every hill went up in smoke at some point) when the fire brigade were silly enough to put out a media release on 27 February saying that the ACT was three short of its record number of fires for a summer.

Predictably, there were seven new fires the next morning, all deliberately lit.