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#1487021 - 25/01/2019 21:39 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19003
Loc: The Beach.
Not as dry as Bundy.

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"water has c.30x the heat capacity of air. Someone drop the penny please for those fixated on the notion that the atmosphere is the driver ( preferably in 3D)".

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#1487026 - 25/01/2019 22:02 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
BIG T Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/01/2012
Posts: 1248
Loc: Albany Creek , QLD
Bundy doesnt do consistency. Its all dry or real wet... lets wait a few weeks and see if it flips from one to the other. Fingers crossed.

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#1487319 - 27/01/2019 11:02 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6767
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
When was the last time the monsoon trough dipped as far south as Yeppoon?

Would be nice if the rains in Cairns moved south.

On the plus side I guess this fine weather is good for tourism.
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#1487386 - 27/01/2019 18:14 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2582
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
It is a very rare event for the monsoon to ever get this far south.

It usually needs a cyclone to suck it down. It is looking like the failed wet season is set to continue.

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#1487389 - 27/01/2019 18:45 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: ifishcq]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 8020
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: ifishcq
So that could be it for the wet season hey?
Nice while it lasted, grass is a bit green, not enough to get any crabs running but there's always next year. Bring on 2020.


Deja vu from last years posts, like..... "even if it does rain in Feb, the dams wont fill".

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#1487550 - 28/01/2019 18:04 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Rhys. Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/02/2008
Posts: 2076
Loc: North Rockhampton, QLD
Yawn...
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Koongal, North Rockhampton

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#1487611 - 29/01/2019 07:47 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Rhys.]
Hailin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2010
Posts: 1018
Loc: Moranbah/Glenella
10mm since about midday yesterday here in Moranbah. Lovely and overcast. Hopefully more today smile

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#1487687 - 29/01/2019 16:35 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8795
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Been years since GFS has shown falls that big around the Mt Isa/Cloncurry region. Gold for the farmers up that way with up to 150mm forecast on the 18z run and general agreement between models of 50-100mm for a wide area.

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#1487914 - 30/01/2019 18:21 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6767
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Interesting next Wednesday forecast for Rocky

Possible rainfall: 2 to 60 mm Chance of any rain: 50%

Yeppoon is 15-100mm.60percent chance.
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#1487985 - 30/01/2019 21:53 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2582
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Vinnie it is not worth taking any notice of such a forecast that far out.

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#1488005 - 30/01/2019 23:34 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Wrasse42 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2013
Posts: 332
Loc: Gladstone, Queensland
6 days out? I for one show interest in a 6 day forecast. Not as if its day 15 on a GFS run or something.

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#1488054 - 31/01/2019 10:07 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 133
Loc: Rockhampton - Xtra Dry Dust La...
I only show interest when the stuff falls out of the sky and hits the ground, because I find most forecasts, especially out past 3 days are often wildly inaccurate, models out to 15days are Science Fiction.
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It's so dry the trees are bribing the dogs.
Charles Martin

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#1488058 - 31/01/2019 10:24 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2582
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Does not seem many models are interested in any major rain event for this region for the forseeable future.

Most seem to be predicting, 1 to 3mm.

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#1488063 - 31/01/2019 10:47 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: RC]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 133
Loc: Rockhampton - Xtra Dry Dust La...
Originally Posted By: RC
Does not seem many models are interested in any major rain event for this region for the forseeable future.

Most seem to be predicting, 1 to 3mm.


Yeah a little disappointing RC, i still think we are in the dry season here. lol
But we might pic up a few showers during the upcoming winter, or even a decent storm when Oct & November rolls around again. So fingers crossed.
_________________________
It's so dry the trees are bribing the dogs.
Charles Martin

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#1488068 - 31/01/2019 11:10 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8795
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Some incredible rains now forecast for W QLD over the next week by BoM WATL, 300-400mm in the Mt. Isa/Cloncurry area that I mentioned before (A station to the east recorded 129mm to 9am). GFS looks good for as far south as Boulia, should give them a much needed boost. I'm not good with the geography out there, but I'm guessing that area flows into Lake eyre whilst further SE is needed for the murray darling. Either way there will be a big river flow somewhere.

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#1488115 - 31/01/2019 12:57 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: RC]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2362
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
Originally Posted By: RC
Does not seem many models are interested in any major rain event for this region for the forseeable future.

Most seem to be predicting, 1 to 3mm.


It is getting proper dry down here. The dog went to go for a swim in the house dam the other day. She ran through the whole thing so that means maybe a foot of water in it at the deepest. The top dam has a bit more but god it stinks.

Unfortunately the plants I had hoped might come back from the fires have no chance. So sad to have lost plants that had such special meanings to me. Whilst I can replace the actual plants they just won't be the same.

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#1488235 - 31/01/2019 19:47 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Wrasse42 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2013
Posts: 332
Loc: Gladstone, Queensland
Latest GFS is now in agreement with access g of a gulf born low/tc moving east and then sliding down the coast although it has it a few days behind access. Still uncertainty exists but the probability is increasing. If this does eventuate then it will be hats off to Access G.

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#1488241 - 31/01/2019 20:02 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19003
Loc: The Beach.
Way too early to get excited about model forecasts that far away. If they are still showing it in 4-5 days time I'll start taking notice.
_________________________
"water has c.30x the heat capacity of air. Someone drop the penny please for those fixated on the notion that the atmosphere is the driver ( preferably in 3D)".

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#1488315 - 01/02/2019 08:18 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6767
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
GFS has no rain for Rocky for the next week and sadly temps going up to 36 deg by next weekend.

Again this is a fair way out but sounds like it could be more accurate.


Edited by Vinnie (01/02/2019 08:19)
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