Page 28 of 28 < 1 2 ... 26 27 28
Topic Options
#1491639 - Today at 08:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
Snapper22lb Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/02/2015
Posts: 341
Loc: Golden Beach
Thanks NF, great info for us novices.

Top
#1491641 - Today at 08:29 Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
pkgjmg Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/01/2009
Posts: 2949
Loc: Mt Warren Park
i think it's goodbye Oma - i hope she does cross and delivers the rain that parts of QLD need .. we don't need any more devastation ....

I'd like to thank everyone for their input - it's been interesting to read and follow along, and nice to see for once no big blow up's or arguments smile .....
_________________________
** sunshine and lollipops and rainbows every where **

Top
#1491645 - Today at 08:39 Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: crikey]
Stephen Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2004
Posts: 1644
Loc: Buderim ,Sunshine Coast
Originally Posted By: crikey
Here is a news release from BOM this morning giving a detailed report on what to expect from OMA

http://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/...iBs?ocid=ientp2


Even though that was only publushed 2 hours ago, that looks exactly like what they said yesterday before the changes. They need to update that to fall in line what every other news and government site is saying.
_________________________
S.Kunze

Top
#1491647 - Today at 08:45 Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
dormant Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 706
Loc: near ferry, FNQ
I'd close my eyes and stick a pin in your post, NF, but it might damage the screen...

Top
#1491651 - 44 minutes 44 seconds ago Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
Inclement Weather Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5341
Loc: Diamond Valley
Is it any wonder most models are sending Oma NW after about 48 hours. The CIMSS steering chart below indicates the steering flow at the mid-levels. You can see that wall confronting Oma to its west that will prevent it from crossing the coast. It's hard to see that break down over the next few days.



_________________________
The original donut hole

Top
#1491655 - 33 minutes 0 seconds ago Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
Stephen Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2004
Posts: 1644
Loc: Buderim ,Sunshine Coast
Originally Posted By: Inclement Weather
Is it any wonder most models are sending Oma NW after about 48 hours. The CIMSS steering chart below indicates the steering flow at the mid-levels. You can see that wall confronting Oma to its west that will prevent it from crossing the coast. It's hard to see that break down over the next few days.





Poor Oma, she did her best to try give us what we wanted. Damn mid level winds.
_________________________
S.Kunze

Top
#1491658 - 29 minutes 14 seconds ago Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 954
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
A fitting end to a most wretched summer One giant tease then a bit of wind to blow our wigs off and some big waves to look at.I can't wait till this season's over and done with good and proper.

Top
#1491661 - 18 minutes 45 seconds ago Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Inclement Weather]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 3652
Loc: Buderim
Originally Posted By: Inclement Weather
Is it any wonder most models are sending Oma NW after about 48 hours. The CIMSS steering chart below indicates the steering flow at the mid-levels. You can see that wall confronting Oma to its west that will prevent it from crossing the coast. It's hard to see that break down over the next few days.





I think the wall of mid level winds is the circulation of Oma itself.

The strengthening ridge to the south is pushing it north. Default motion of cyclones in tropics is west. No upper trough to pull it south or east. Therefore NW path.

Top
#1491664 - 1 second ago Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma (15P) - Coral Sea - February 2019 [Re: Mike Hauber]
Inclement Weather Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5341
Loc: Diamond Valley
Originally Posted By: Mike Hauber

I think the wall of mid level winds is the circulation of Oma itself.

The strengthening ridge to the south is pushing it north. Default motion of cyclones in tropics is west. No upper trough to pull it south or east. Therefore NW path.


Thanks Mike, the shallower the convection profile with increasing shear south will put it at the mercy of lower level winds such as the forecast building surface ridge that you mentioned.
_________________________
The original donut hole

Top
Page 28 of 28 < 1 2 ... 26 27 28


Who's Online
25 registered (Squeako_88, Delta-T, mysteriousbrad, Snapper22lb, Weary, quietskies, Dan101, Inclement Weather, Golden State, Warloq01, Coxy, Ahab, Petros, Stephen, SMD1125, Gringo2412, Astra, bd bucketingdown, Hailin, Mcbobbings, Homer, 4 invisible), 196 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Jinda, Melkizadec, Silver Lining
Forum Stats
29839 Members
32 Forums
24092 Topics
1518006 Posts

Max Online: 2985 @ 26/01/2019 12:05
Satellite Image