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#857771 - 07/04/2010 21:56 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
Weather Nerd Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/02/2010
Posts: 69
Loc: Wamuran QLD
Hey "Mal" VIP,
Pack for cold for sure, you may get a cracker sunny winters day as Melb can produce but you will still freeze your ass off at night without dobut.
I'm a Vic living in Bris and I have aclimatised so I freeze whenever I visit the olds on the Mornington peninsula. Pack a combo of both hope that helps.

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#857834 - 08/04/2010 10:41 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
Thank you for your kind reply.

I was just watching today the sky weather channel on foxtel. They said its been over 100 days that melbourne hasnt been below 20 at all.

And in fact we are in the middle of AUTUMN.

Does this mean that june or should i say winter wont be as cold as preview years ? considering its been low 20's all the times in melbourne area.

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#858330 - 10/04/2010 22:59 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 22529
Loc: Vincent, Townsville - NQld.
looking a fair way ahead here, but i am in melbourne the anzac day weekend for the big footy game, ext gfs showing a monster high with a very deep southerly flow. was hoping for some good weather for the few days i am down there. maybe even a snow chase if it comes off. didnt think i would have much of a chance so early in the season.
_________________________
Vincent, Townsville Nth Qld -
May Total - 13.8mm (17mm)
June Total - 61.2mm (21mm)
2014 Total to Date - 1000.2mm (1107mm)

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#858412 - 11/04/2010 14:57 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: Mick10]
Mets-Hadouken Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 31/03/2010
Posts: 2
Anyone have reports from Mt. Hotham? It's -.6 degrees there and it looks like they got 0.2mm recently. It could be snowing right now for all we know since tube rainguages are terrible at picking up light snow, the 0.0 report now could just be all the snow particles going around the rainguage tube entrance!

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#858806 - 13/04/2010 17:38 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: Mets-Hadouken]
The Fishman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 938
Loc: Always in the wrong place.
Third day under 20 and third day of grey skies, when do we get some blue sky? I don't care if it is -20 or +40 degrees I need some blue sky. I don't feel the cold.
_________________________
26 November, 31 December 2009, 1 January, 11 February, 6 March, 2, 9 December 2010, December 24, 25 2011

Top 9 Storms in chronological order.

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#858818 - 13/04/2010 18:52 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: The Fishman]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1091
Loc: bribie island
I'd say you would feel -20

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#859077 - 15/04/2010 23:58 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: petethemoskeet]
ColdsnapIII Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 6495
Loc: Mount Macedon, VIC
5 days under 20C in Melbourne. A bit sad that this even needs a mention but that's the way our climate has gone I'm afraid, very much warmer than it used to be <=10 years ago.

Another extended Indian summer ahead for VIC the next 5 days at least with mid to high 20s temps forecast. At least here on the ranges it should be a very pleasant 21C/22C for the entire period but 26C/27C is pretty warm for this time of year in Melbourne.

Plenty of sun ahead after 5 days with little.

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#859090 - 16/04/2010 07:38 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ColdsnapIII]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
Isnt that normal for this time of the year? think about it! We are know in the middle of AUTUMN and there for Autumn sounds just about right that melbourne is below 20's (its not even winter yet for melbourne to turn below 19c just yet)

Know i could be wrong but thats how i see it.

Next month in MAY will be the last month of the season Autumn. JUNE is when winter begings.. im sure that by about late end of this month in april or early MAY will aventualy see below 20 degress and teens. I think thats quite normal sort of weather if im not msitaken and im talking about melbourne city zone weather. Not just outside of melbourne.

Know i dont no... i could be wrong but thats how the weather normaly is.

By about late MAY or very early june you will then end up seen early snow comming in victoria. Last year if im not mistaken victoria had snow quite early... Even the weather channel didnt had the SNOW report just yet on display but the snow came early just 3 weeks earlir then when winter began.

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#859091 - 16/04/2010 07:41 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ColdsnapIII]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
Originally Posted By: ColdsnapIII
5 days under 20C in Melbourne. A bit sad that this even needs a mention but that's the way our climate has gone I'm afraid, very much warmer than it used to be <=10 years ago.

Another extended Indian summer ahead for VIC the next 5 days at least with mid to high 20s temps forecast. At least here on the ranges it should be a very pleasant 21C/22C for the entire period but 26C/27C is pretty warm for this time of year in Melbourne.

Plenty of sun ahead after 5 days with little.


Well if melbourne at this time of the season year which is the middle of autumn..... is obove 20s something like 27 or 28c then i gues thats alittle warm for this time of the year... but rememebr we are in the middle of autumn we will get these early 20s and high 20s because we in the middle of autumn.. just wait about the end of this month and you will notice lower 20s something like 21c most of the times..... by MAY it will be mor and more in thier below 19c and by the way you know it you might aventualy start to see snow fall in victoria by the end of MAY as it did happen last year. If im mistaken please correct me.

than you

malissa

P.S remember your not going to expect to be winter degrees during middle of autumn. think about it..! this sort of weather is wutumn weater.. anywhere between 19c to 24c but if anything is obove that then thats like early wutumn weather..... and then its not normal to see higher 20s...

i bet by about the last week of april you will aventualy see very early 20s and no way it will go obove 25c considering WINTER is just around the corner in just a month and a half.


Edited by ''Mal'' VIP (16/04/2010 07:44)

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#859211 - 16/04/2010 21:53 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
ColdsnapIII Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 6495
Loc: Mount Macedon, VIC
I think what is 'abnormal' about the weather atm, and indeed pretty much persistently since June last year is the lack of cool days. We should be seeing heaps more days below 20C in Melbourne at this time of year and even some down into the mid teens. Everything is just so much warmer now. The cold days are warmer as well as the warm days, and we seem to get more northerly wind days than southerly now. One explanation for this is the westerly belt and sub tropical high pressure ridge all contracting southwards due to changes in the atmospheric circulation. This could be due to global warming or some other explanation but it is the main culprit as to what is causing our warmer weather. General lack of cold air masses intruding into the continent to break up heat buildup through the desert and semi arid inland and then the persistent northerly airflow brings the heat down here to the SE corner and heat builds up here over time as well.

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#859762 - 20/04/2010 08:15 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: tonzo5]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
hmmm thats interesting, Just been compareing data brisbane/melbourne weather for the last 2 weeks now.. and notice Melbourne is more or less close extint the same weather degreess recently.. So yes you are right melbourne seems alittle warm then normal.

For example my data indicates example: brisbane 17/26C while melbourne is 18/27C So looks like melbourne is slightly alittle warmer at night and also during the day.

I dont no either this is normal but brisbane seems to be about 1 or 2c lower then what melbourne seem to be.... that 1c or 2c lower should be melbourne since melbourne is much colder then what brisbane is.

I think brisbane is been abit like melbourne in terms of early autumn style.

But im quite suprise melbourne seems slightly warmer still.. and think about it... there is 1 month and a half left for winter to arrive so pretty much we are in mid autumn as we speak.

I wonder what the weather patten degrees will be like by the end of april2010. If nothing has change i believe it has something to do with el nino... I also check out last year april2009 for melbourne victoria.. and the weather degrees patten seems different then what this april2010 has been indicating.

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#860423 - 24/04/2010 09:58 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
ROM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/01/2007
Posts: 6628
The daily AAO [ Antarctic Oscillation Index ] has gone negative again during the last week or so and is now heading up towards neutral again.

Having watched this index for a year or more and having read a research paper or two on it, it is quite striking how the winter rain events or lack thereof across Victoria seem to closely follow the changes in the AAO index but about a week or so after the AAO Index readings change.

I have also observed over the last year or so that there seems to be a loose correlation between the length of time that the AAO index spends in negative territory and the length of the period where we can expected rain and showers across Victoria particularly southern Victoria.
And the intensity and amount of that rainfall also seems to have a very loose correlation with the range of the negative readings of the index.

The opposite situation also seems to apply when the AAO index goes positive in that we can expect dry weather in Victoria again in a loose correlation with the range of the positive measurements and the length of those positive periods of the Index.

The research papers on the AAO index also suggest that there is an opposite correlation between the northern tropical summer rainfall and the AAO index.
When the Index goes negative during the summer then there is an increased likelihood of some rainfall across our tropical regions.
Conversely with a positive AAO reading the reduced likelihood of rain across our tropical areas during summer.
From what I observed during the summer this does seem to be the case in both cases although the link is not appear to be very strong and is open to question .

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#860548 - 25/04/2010 09:23 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ROM]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
is it true that melbourne is finaly below 19c ? they say that it was unusual that melbourne has allways been below 20's but not below 19c

Well if im not mistaken today been boring anzac day in 2010 melbourne has just turn below 19c if not mstaken. So it has past more then 100 days of these under 20c.... finaly... if not mistaken melbourne is experience soon winter.


So melbourne has went over 120days with unusual warm weather stuck below 20s and that it should suppose to be below 19c weeks ago.. if im not mistaken.. but yeah cold today and will see if melbourne is below 19c and stays that way? or is it still early for that.


Edited by ''Mal'' VIP (25/04/2010 09:26)

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#860683 - 26/04/2010 09:10 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
''Mal'' VIP Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2008
Posts: 434
Loc: QLD,. my name is MALISSA.
So it looks like melbourne just gone up into the 20's Today been 20c for melbourne.

Was it the only day yesturday anzac day when it was below 19c ? course i heard its been well and truely over 100 days and more without days that are below 19c

Know unless im mistaken.. if this is normal weather.. remember that next month in MAY it is the final autumn season.

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#860862 - 27/04/2010 18:09 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ''Mal'' VIP]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1462
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
12C here today, grey and drizzly off and on. 3mm

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#862601 - 10/05/2010 18:23 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: avalon]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 5035
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Another 23C+ day out this way again so I'd say it qualifies as an Indian Summer, hardly any Northerly breeze on the ground, baro dropped from 1020 to 1013. Beautiful mild evening outside, good for the kids netball atm but Wed will provide a big contrast with temps predicted to be only 14C max here.

I'm getting pretty keen on the chance of inland rain in the NT and W Qld next week to add moisture for an autumn break around Sat week 22 May.

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#862628 - 10/05/2010 21:19 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: Petros]
ColdsnapIII Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 6495
Loc: Mount Macedon, VIC
15.5C here, I was in Melbourne though sweating it up in humid and mild conditions.

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#862795 - 11/05/2010 18:21 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: ColdsnapIII]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1462
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
far out, temp has dropped from a max of 11C today and now it is down to 5C under a very clear sky

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#862802 - 11/05/2010 18:47 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: avalon]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 5035
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
10C outside atm, 5.25mm rain this morning with the cold changes. Winter is officially here.
Very keen on the Vic weather possibilities "way out there" mid next week onwards!

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#862965 - 12/05/2010 16:53 Re: Melbourne & Victoria day to day weather [Re: Petros]
Bryan Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2002
Posts: 2595
Loc: Beenleigh,
I was in Melbourne only a couple of weeks ago! IT was boring and warm! (LOVEEEEEEEEEEEEEE Melb more than any other city though) but still around 20C! I wanted COAT Weather poke
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In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of priniciple, stand like a rock!

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